Goldprice
GOLD Finds Support at Key Fibonacci Level, Eyeing Further GainsGold gains traction and trades around $2,321 in the latter half of Thursday, buoyed by a drop in the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield, which fell more than 1% on the day to below 4.3% following disappointing US economic data. This decline in bond yields provides support for XAU/USD.
The price action in gold demonstrated a strong rejection from a minor structural level, specifically at the 61.88% Fibonacci retracement level. This rejection was accompanied by a divergence on the H4 timeframe, indicating potential upward momentum as it moved into a demand area or support zone. Our analysis remains consistent with our previous outlook, maintaining a bullish bias and looking for a long setup.
From a technical standpoint, this divergence on the H4 timeframe suggests a potential reversal, aligning with our strategy to capitalize on the expected upward movement. The demand area around the 61.88% Fibonacci retracement level has proven to be a significant support zone, reinforcing our confidence in a bullish setup.
Moreover, the broader macroeconomic environment supports this bullish perspective on gold. The recent disappointing US economic data has dampened expectations for aggressive monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve. As a result, lower yields tend to make non-yielding assets like gold more attractive to investors. This dynamic is likely to persist in the near term, providing a favorable backdrop for gold prices.
Given these technical and fundamental factors, we are poised to take advantage of the anticipated upward movement in gold. Our strategy involves setting up long positions at current levels, targeting further gains as market conditions continue to evolve. This approach is reinforced by the technical signals observed on the H4 timeframe and the supportive macroeconomic backdrop.
In summary, gold's current price action, supported by a decline in US Treasury yields and strong technical indicators, presents a compelling case for a bullish setup. As we monitor the market for further developments, our focus remains on capitalizing on this anticipated upward trajectory, maintaining our long positions and adjusting our strategy as needed based on evolving market conditions.
XAU/USD 20 June 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains the same analysis dated 17 June 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price traded to the downside, however, price was unable to breach and close below weak internal low where we saw a reaction at a H4 demand level.
Nonetheless, internal structure remains bearish, therefore, price should technically target weak internal low.
Price could potentially continue to trade bullish, react at either premium of 50% EQ or H4 supply level before targeting weak internal low.
Strong swing low is expected to hold, however, it would be worth noting the swing low must be taken as the weekly and daily TF's are both in pullback phase.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per expectation price targeted the weak internal high and printed a bullish iBOS
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback initiation following bullish iBOS.
Intraday expectation: Price to either react at M15 POI or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD - Sell PositionSomeone asked how I took this position. Let me explain the different reasons:
1. Two Bullish Legs: During the Asia session, XAUUSD formed two bullish legs. This suggested a pullback to the previous pivot level, even if it continues to rise in the London and NY sessions.
2. Bearish Flag Pattern: The trading range resembled a bearish flag, indicating a likely reaction and decline from this resistance zone.
3. Weakening Momentum: In the 5m chart, the three pushes up at the end of the second leg showed signs of weakening momentum, pointing to increased selling pressure. This signaled a high probability of a pullback.
These observations combined led me to anticipate a decline, making this position a strategic move based on technical analysis.
XAUUSD:19/6 Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2340-70, support below 2277
Four-hour resistance 2328-40, support below 2307-2277
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, gold technically fell first and then rose, ushering in a strong bull bottoming out and rebounding deep V rebound. The price of the Asian and European sessions was under pressure and fell back to the 2325 mark, and then weakened and further pierced the 2310 mark to reach 2306 and stabilized and rebounded. The price rushed up first in the late trading, and was blocked at the hourly starting point of 2324, and then quickly fell back and fell. Then, it repeatedly oscillated around the 2315-2318 area and formed a strong bottoming out and rebounded to break the high. The daily level continued the long and short yin and yang oscillation cycle rhythm.
Judging from the current gold trend, today's support is around 2318-15. If it returns to this position during the day, you can try to go long. The upper pressure is around 2335-2340. Rely on this range to maintain a high-sell and low-buy cycle during the day.
SELL:2334 near SL:2342
BUY:2277 near SL:2270
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAU - GOING SIDEWARD BUT STILL IN DOWN TRENDGold rose to around the $2,320 per ounce mark on Monday, rebounding from declines in the previous session, as investors awaited a series of economic reports and comments from Federal Reserve officials throughout the week to gauge the Fed’s interest rate cut timeline. Key focal points include the US retail sales data scheduled for later today, weekly jobless claims on Thursday, and Friday's flash purchasing managers' indices, all of which offer insights into consumer spending and economic strength.
Gold maintains the small frame sideway zone, the price tops create consecutive false breaks
🔴SELL GOLD: 2348 - 2350, SL: 2354
🟢BUY GOLD: 2307 - 2305, SL: 2301
Note: Zone 2300
⛔️Breakout:
📈 Breakout on: 2326 - 2341
📉 Breakout below: 2312 - 2305
🔼Support: 2305 - 2300 - 2291 - 2286
🔽Resistance: 2330 - 2340 - 2350
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
GOLD -cannot return to the 22xx area due to huge buying pressureJohn Williams - President of the New York Fed - stated hobby costs will steadily lower over time, however he refused to mention whilst americaA significant financial institution may begin loosening economic policy.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, investors expect a kind of 67% threat the Fed will reduce hobby costs in September. Lower hobby costs lessen the possibility fee of retaining non-hobby-bearing bullion.
Currently, Fed officers are touchy to the difficulty of cooling inflation. Any uncommon symptoms and symptoms from the hard work marketplace will have an effect on the choice to reduce hobby costs on the cease of the year. Investors additionally centered on weekly jobless claims and buying index.
Gold costs reduced 6% from the file excessive of 2,449.89 USD/ounce on May 20, specifically stricken by the sturdy USD, excessive hobby costs, and Fed policies.
In addition, the Chinese significant financial institution`s suspension of gold purchases in May endured to weigh at the marketplace.
However, in its annual survey, the World Gold Council stated that many significant banks are pushing beforehand with gold reserve plans notwithstanding growing treasured metallic costs, in part because of political and macroeconomic instability. .
Spot silver fell 0.4% to $29.forty an ounce, platinum fell 0.4% at $968.fifty nine and paladin rose 0.1% to $887.67.
Regarding the gas marketplace, Brent crude oil rate elevated 2 cents to 85.35 USD/barrel, at the same time as US WTI crude oil reduced 6 cents to 81.fifty one USD/barrel. Oil costs remained solid withinside the buying and selling consultation on June 19 because the marketplace taken into consideration escalating conflicts in Europe and the Middle East, and involved approximately gas call for after an surprising growth in US crude oil reserves.
XAUUSD: 18/6 Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2340-70, support below 2277
Four-hour resistance 2328-40, support below 2307-2277
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, gold technicals were suppressed and fell in the shock. The price of Asian and European sessions was under pressure at the 2330 mark and fell weakly. The European session fell further downward and broke through the 2320 mark to reach 2315 and stabilized, then rebounded and rebounded. The US session slightly rose and pierced 2327, and was blocked and fell again. Finally, it accelerated downward and pierced 2310. The overall price was under pressure at the 2330 mark and there were multiple suppressions and declines.
From the daily trend, we focus on the 2335-2340 suppression of gold. Today, we can focus on the 2310 support. However, the recent focus is on the 2305-2300 support. Recently, the overall gold price is still suppressed below 2340 and fluctuates in the short side. The starting point of the daily level decline last week is also the recent watershed between long and short strengths. Before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, it will continue to maintain a fluctuating downward trend.
SELL:2328 near SL:2331
SELL:2340 near SL:2345
BUY:2277 near SL:2274
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAUUSD:17/6 Today's Analysis and StrategyGold prices are showing a downward trend after a sharp rise last Friday and are currently trading around 2318. With a bearish crossover of the moving averages and a bearish signal from the relative strength index (RSI), gold prices are once again facing the test of 2300 and 2277.
From a technical analysis perspective, the short-term technical outlook for gold prices is still in favor of the bears. The upside for gold prices is limited by the confluence of the 21-day moving average (SMA) and the 50-day SMA near 2345. The 14-day RSI remains below 50, close to 48.00, while the 21-day SMA crossed the 50-day SMA from above to below at the close of last Friday, forming the so-called "death cross".
Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2340-70, support 2277
Four-hour resistance 2328-40, support 2307-2277
Gold operation suggestions: Today's gold price fell directly from Friday's closing price of 2332. The current lowest price has reached 2314. The key support below is around 2314, which is the current watershed of gold price strength. At present, the overall market is still in the 2310-40 oscillation range. The focus on the upper side is the 2335-40 line suppression. If this high point is reached, short selling can be considered. The recent market focus only needs to pay attention to the breakout of the large range of 2300-2340.
SELL:2340 near SL:2345
BUY:2277 near SL:2274
GOLD - The flag pattern appears clearlyBUY GOLD 2312-2313
GOLD in the current European session has also reached its very low zone. Previously, GOLD had formed a weak support zone at this price level. Although it was weak support, in the European session it was clearly quite strong. There is little reason to confirm that gold will break this zone, so you should place full TP/SL, don't abuse leverage, only risk about 1-2% of your total capital. Please.
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Last Sunday, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated that it's far affordable to are expecting that americaA Central Bank will handiest reduce hobby quotes as soon as this year. This announcement had a good sized effect on marketplace psychology.
This week, US retail income information, weekly jobless claims and shopping managers` indexes are anticipated to offer similarly clues approximately the course of the Fed's hobby quotes.
Although gold expenses have decreased, professionals nonetheless trust that gold is in a good environment. Data launched remaining week confirmed that hard work marketplace and fee pressures are displaying symptoms and symptoms of cooling. Capital monetary marketplace analyst Kyle Rodda stated that information displaying symptoms and symptoms of weak spot withinside the US financial system may want to weaken the USD and growth expectancies of destiny hobby charge cuts. .
Precious metals continue to be supported via way of means of hopes that subsequently the Fed will need to pivot its policy. In addition, political instability in France additionally multiplied danger aversion globally, supporting to enhance safe haven call for for the treasured metal.
EUR/USD weakenedEUR/USD falls to 1.0700 as the Euro weakens amid French election uncertainty.
ECB policymakers see a bumpy inflation path towards the 2% target.
The Fed maintaining its hawkish stance will offset the impact of weak US inflation data.
The next support level for EURUSD is around 1.066. Traders can pay attention to execute BUY signals.
The main resistance level is at 1.072 where the pair broke through strong support
XAU/USD 17 June 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price traded to the downside, however, price was unable to breach and close below weak internal low where we saw a reaction at a H4 demand level.
Nonetheless, internal structure remains bearish, therefore, price should technically target weak internal low.
Price could potentially continue to trade bullish, react at either premium of 50% EQ or H4 supply level before targeting weak internal low.
Strong swing low is expected to hold, however, it would be worth noting the swing low must be taken as the weekly and daily TF's are both in pullback phase.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed a bullish iBOS following US CPI data release 12 June 2024.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback initiation following bullish iBOS.
Price has reacted from H4 POI and continued bullish to target weak internal high, however, price was unable to breach and close above weak internal high reacting at an M15 POI.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high. Price could target more liquidity by trading down to nested H4 and M15 POI's before targeting weak internal high.
Alternative scenario is price could target strong internal low as H4 internal structure is bearish.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD - GOLD Zone 2322 rebounded💵GOLD PRICE AND ECONOMIC INFORMATION
Gold dropped to around $2,320 per ounce on Monday, following a more than 1% rise last week, under pressure from higher US Treasury yields, while market participants awaited further cues to gauge the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trajectory. Last week's data indicated that US consumer prices held steady in May for the first time in nearly two years, while producer prices unexpectedly declined.
Analysis:
Gold is currently stuck in the price range
Current gold range: 2340 - 2295
Between the 2 EMAs of frame D.
Large frame H4 shows a clear selling trend
🔴SELL GOLD: 2340 - 2342, SL: 2346
🟢BUY GOLD: 2307 - 2305, SL: 2301
⛔️Breakout:
📈 Breakout on: 2340
📉 Breakout below: 2312
🔼Support: 2312 - 2305 - 2291 - 2286 - 2280- 2274
🔽Resistance: 2338 - 2340 - 2350
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
Gold prices rebounded due to unfavorable news for the dollarGold rate remaining week began out the primary buying and selling consultation at 2,293.70 USD/ounce. During Sunday night buying and selling, spot gold surpassed $2,three hundred an oz. approximately hours earlier than North American markets opened and that degree held in the course of the relaxation of the week.
After that, gold costs reduced slightly, to approximately 15 USD/ounce because the marketplace waited for americaA purchaser inflation file and the FOMC`s hobby fee announcement, up to date monetary forecasts and the clicking convention of FED Chairman - Mr. Jerome Powell on Wednesday.
The US CPI file brought on the marketplace to interrupt out of sideways buying and selling, pushing spot gold from $2,313/ounce to a excessive of $2,336.72/ounce.
By the time the FED introduced that they might preserve hobby charges unchanged, costs had lower back to $2,326/ounce and see gold endured to be offered off because the marketplace absorbed the FED Chairman's "hawkish" stance.
By Thursday, spot gold had over again slipped to help levels. However, the treasured steel has considering that visible a strong healing. By Friday morning, gold costs over again increased, remaining the buying and selling week at 2,332 USD/ounce.
After a protracted slide, global gold costs recorded a sturdy healing week. This is inflicting many specialists to make pretty superb forecasts approximately the short-time period possibilities of treasured metals.
James Stanley - senior marketplace strategist at Forex.com - is one of the specialists forecasting gold costs to upward thrust subsequent week: "I am looking longer-time period variety resistance, round 2,075 -2,082 USD/ounce for longer-time period help.
Sharing the equal opinion, Colin Cieszynski - Chief Market Strategist at SIA Wealth Management - said: "I am positive approximately gold subsequent week. It looks like gold is prepared for a technical healing."
In addition, thirteen Wall Street analysts participated withinside the Kitco News Gold Survey. Experts are notably extra positive approximately the short-time period possibilities of treasured metals.
eight specialists (accounting for 62%) assume gold costs to upward thrust better subsequent week. Only analysts (or 15%) are expecting costs will decline. The closing 3 people (equal to 23%) assume gold to alternate sideways subsequent week.
Meanwhile, 216 votes had been solid in Kitco's on line poll. Of these, 117 traders (equal to 54%) are expecting gold costs will growth subsequent week. Another forty nine people (equal to 23%) are expecting treasured metals will lower in rate. While 50 people (equal to the closing 23%) forecast that gold costs may be flat subsequent week.
Gold shows a strong upward trend during the weekLast night, whoever accompanied me additionally shared very honestly approximately Gold`s Plan. With the cutting-edge Rhythm, Gold is absolutely at the promoting side. Like I stated remaining night. If this morning Gold will increase strongly thru the length 2335>2336, it's far possibly that Gold will growth 234x. And if Gold can not byskip the 3x stage, I will promote in keeping with Ma89 in Frame H4 and the Ma D1 Trend Plan is reporting a decrease.
>Sell Gold order from fee 33 remaining week of Smooth nonetheless holds. Today, all buyers can discuss with this Plan to change.
> Canh Sell Gold 2326>2329
SL 2332
TP2320>2214
Buy Gold Below the vintage accumulation area 2306>2309
SL 2303
TP 2316>232x
This is my advice from my perspective, and buyers can observe the fashion to change more 👌👌
XAU/USD Gold short from 2,360 back downThis week, I'm anticipating a bearish drop. I have a clean 12-hour supply zone that has caused a break of structure to the downside. At the start of the week, I expect the price to move towards this zone. If not, we might see a small reaction from the 2-hour zone, leading the price up to the 12-hour supply.
Once the price reaches the 12-hour zone, I'll look for a Wyckoff distribution to form on the lower time frame, then sell the price back down to target the liquidity below, which I have identified as trendline liquidity.
Confluences for GOLD Sellls are as follows:
- Price has been breaking down and confirmed with a BOS on the higher time frame.
- Lots of liquidity below in the form of asia lows and trendline liquidity.
- price is near a good supply zone that has caused a break of structure.
- ATH's was taken and enough liq for price to move back down.
- This trade idea is along the with the current bearish trend.
P.S. If the price breaks this 12-hour supply zone, I will wait for the mitigation of the 2-day supply zone.
Continuing DOWN trend !! XAU decrease⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) rose for the third consecutive day, reaching a weekly high of around $2,341-2,342 due to weaker US consumer inflation figures. However, the momentum slowed down near the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) resistance after the Federal Reserve's unexpected hawkish stance. The Fed now expects only one rate cut in 2024, compared to the three previously projected in March. This is likely to put further downward pressure on gold during Thursday's Asian session.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price shows that selling pressure is dominating in the short-term H1 session. The economic data this week is not enough to help the price of Gold increase - the most important thing is still the information that the FED's interest rates will be kept unchanged, causing the price of Gold to continue to decline.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2270 - $2268 SL $2263
TP1: $2280
TP2: $2290
TP3: $2300
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2319 - $2321 SL $2326
TP1: $2310
TP2: $2300
TP3: $2290
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAU/USD 14 June 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 June 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has continued to trade to the downside
Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH which indicates initiation of bullish pullback phase.
Strong swing low is expected to hold, however, it would be worth noting the swing low must be taken as the weekly and daily TF's are both in pullback phase.
Previous intraday expectation dated 10 June 2024 was for price to price to print bullish CHoCH, trade up to premium of internal 50% EQ before targeting weak internal low.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH which is indicative of bullish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at premium of 50% EQ or H4 POI before targeting weak internal low.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed a bullish iBOS following US CPI data release 12 June 2024.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback initiation following bullish iBOS.
Price has reacted from H4 POI.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high.
Alternative scenario is price could target strong internal low as H4 internal structure is bearish.
M15 Chart:
World gold prices plummeted, any opportunities for investors?SELL
2320-2335
TP 228x
Spot gold rate on the arena marketplace this afternoon June 14 stood at 2,313,3.7 USD/ounce, up 10.1 USD/ounce. Gold futures rate stood at 2,326.1 USD/ounce, up 9.6 USD/ounce. Thus, in comparison to this morning`s buying and selling session, international gold increased.
Commenting at the gold rate trend, a few specialists consider that the gold marketplace continues to be below strain as traders hold to investigate facts on the US Federal Reserve's June financial coverage meeting ( FED). Any selections on financial coverage through the FED will rely upon the precise state of affairs of the economy.
Despite being below strain, the truth that gold continues to be above 2,three hundred USD/ounce proves that consumers nonetheless actively don't forget corrections and rate drops as true possibilities to boom gold holdings. Although the FED is slower than different crucial banks in loosening financial coverage, as soon as the selection to reduce hobby charges is made, gold will boom.
Investors are predicting that 64% of the FED will reduce hobby charges in September, down from 71% formerly predicted.
Market analyst Carlo Alberto De Casa of Kinesis Money stated that, regardless of the strain, the truth that gold continues to be above 2,three hundred USD/ounce proves that consumers are nonetheless actively thinking about corrections and rate discounts as possibilities. Good possibility to boom gold holdings.
Founder and Chairman David Rosenberg of Rosenberg Research stated that despite the fact that the FED is slower than different crucial banks in loosening financial coverage, as soon as the selection to reduce hobby charges is made, gold will boom. Last week, each the European Central Bank and the Bank of Canada determined to reduce hobby charges.
PPI - Will data cause Gold prices to fall next?⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) rose for the third consecutive day, reaching a weekly high of around $2,341-2,342 due to weaker US consumer inflation figures. However, the momentum slowed down near the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) resistance after the Federal Reserve's unexpected hawkish stance. The Fed now expects only one rate cut in 2024, compared to the three previously projected in March. This is likely to put further downward pressure on gold during Thursday's Asian session.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
After yesterday's data on keeping the FED's interest rates unchanged, it is expected that the Gold price is still in a DOWN cycle. Watch for more data during the week to identify trends
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2280 - $2282 SL $2275
TP1: $2290
TP2: $2300
TP3: $2310
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2336 - $2338 SL $2343
TP1: $2328
TP2: $2315
TP3: $2300
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest