Gold Daily Sniper Plan - XAUUSD May 5th 💥 May 5 XAUUSD Sniper Plan – "Bulls Bounce, Bears Breathe – Who Takes the Next Shot?" 🎯📉
Gold is caught in a battlefield. After a textbook bounce from 3204, price is pushing into premium zones — but momentum is limping, and ISM Services PMI (4:00pm) could trigger the next major move.
Forget guessing. This is where levels speak louder than noise.
🧭 Market Overview
HTF Bias (D1–H4): Bullish macro trend, but pullback in play after rejection from 3500 ATH
LTF Flow (H1–M15): Bullish relief structure, but losing steam below key supply at 3315+
EMA Confluence (H1): EMA5 climbing above EMA21, but flat near 3260 — indecision zone
Liquidity: Sell-side liquidity rests below 3200. Buy stops are stacking above 3300.
🔥 Monday News Catalyst
🕔 4:00pm ISM Services PMI (USD)
Volatility expected. Strong data = dollar strength = possible Gold drop. Weak data = relief rally toward premium.
🎯 Sniper Entry Zones (With Logic)
🔻 Sell #1 – 3315–3325
📍 H1–H4 OB + FVG + equal highs above
🧠 Ideal for post-ISM spike rejection setup
🔻 Sell #2 – 3345–3355
📍 Final OB before last lower high + clean imbalance
🎯 SL: 3360 | TP1: 3315 | TP2: 3292 | TP3: 3268
🧠 Swing rejection setup if bulls overextend
🟢 Buy #1 – 3210–3220
📍 M15 OB + EQ + May 2 internal HL
🎯 SL: 3190 | TP1: 3244 | TP2: 3265 | TP3: 3290
🧠 Structure-based bounce zone with clean PA reaction
🟢 Buy #2 – 3175–3185
📍 LTF demand + FVG + RSI oversold sweep
🎯 SL: 3155 | TP1: 3210 | TP2: 3240 | TP3: 3268
🧠 Reactive area if NY flushes price before recovery
🗺 Key Levels to Watch
Level Meaning
3268–3275 Internal resistance + imbalance zone
3292–3300 Liquidity magnet pre-sell zone
3315–3325 Major rejection area
3345–3355 HTF supply & final trap
3210–3220 Primary bounce zone
3175–3185 Trap setup + liquidity sweep zone
3050–3075 HTF OB → swing buy only
👁🗨 Eyes On:
Rejection from 3315 = sniper short entry zone
Rejection from 3275 = continuation risk
Break below 3210 → 3175–3185 becomes critical
Weak ISM = gold spike toward 3300+ (fade setup)
💬 Final Thought:
This isn’t “buy now, sell now” nonsense. It’s about structure, timing, and logic.
The cleanest setups come to those who wait — not those who chase.
🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Goldprice
Gold 1H Outlook - XAUUSD May 4th 2025🔥 XAUUSD – H1 Outlook | May 4, 2025
Bias: ⚠ Short-term neutral to bearish — price reacting from a weak CHoCH + premium rejection.
Flow: Intraday trapped between 3240 demand and 3280–3300 supply. Next move decides the breakout.
🔎 Market Structure:
❗ Clean CHoCH + BOS sequence from 3285 → confirms bearish LTF momentum
🟠 Current HL attempt rejected off imbalance around 3268–3275
🔹 Structure still building under H4 LH (3315), supply remains in control unless flipped
🗝 Key H1 Levels (with confluence):
🔵 3233–3244 → Micro OB + FVG Support
🔄 Key short-term HL zone
⚡ RSI oversold bounce last touch
EMA5/21 zone → bounce risk
🟡 3268–3275 → FVG + OB + Last CHoCH Zone
🚩 This is the first sell POI
💧 Liquidity just above (equal highs)
Ideal for LTF short scalp if price rejects again
🔺 3288–3302 → H1–H4 Confluence Supply
🔥 Strong bearish OB + liquidity sweep area
🧱 Reaction zone for swing shorts (supply locked)
Confluence with premium fib retracement
🔻 3190–3200 → Extreme Demand Zone
🧲 Weak low + imbalance + discount OB
🔑 Watch for possible NY reversal trap if price collapses
💡 Plan:
We’re in the battlefield between weak HLs and greedy supply zones.
If 3275 rejects again → scalp sells back to 3240.
If 3240 fails → 3200 could be the "trap long" to flip everything.
🧠 Final Note:
Patience beats precision. Let the chart show its cards — no need to guess when liquidity does the talking.
🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
Is the gold market ushering in betting?
📌 Gold driving factors
There are two aspects to look at the impact of April non-agricultural data on the gold market.
One is the data itself and the existing economic environment, and the other is combined with the technical aspect.
The market itself is troubled by the tariff issue. Whether it is the US stock market or the US dollar, it needs good economic data to boost it. Once the April non-agricultural performance is poor, the market sell-off will be out of control, and it also means that the risk of US economic recession is increasing.
Secondly, good data performance reduces the Fed's expectations for rate cuts. As we all know, the Fed's expectations for rate cuts or rate cuts are theoretically good for gold prices, and vice versa.
The cooling of the tariff issue may come soon, which is also not conducive to the rise in gold prices, but cooling does not mean the end, and the final achievement will definitely take some time.
📊Comment Analysis
"After experiencing short-term fluctuations, the price of gold appears to be relatively stable around $3,250. If it is to rise further, it must break through the $3,300 mark. But whether the market is ready to break through this point remains to be seen."
At present, gold is still in a continuous adjustment trend. Although it retreated to the 3,200 line on Friday and then rose again, it is still under pressure below the opening of the 3,265 decline. This is also the pressure level we need to pay close attention to next Monday!
The sideways trading period on Friday is long enough, and it is time for a breakthrough. So how should we arrange the market next week? It should not rise, but it will fall instead. It is not difficult to understand the trend on Friday. If it rises in the morning next week, it should be noted that the upper 3,265 is the watershed. If it breaks through, it will continue to rise, but if it is still under pressure, it is our opportunity to enter the short position!
💰Strategy Package
Operation ideas for next week:
Short at 3265 gold, stop loss at 3275, target 3230-3220;.
The market fluctuates violently, and real-time entry and exit are mainly based on real-time guidance!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold 4H Outlook - XAUUSD May 4th🔍 XAUUSD – H4 Outlook (May 4, 2025)
Trend:
🔻 Bearish structure still intact after the lower high at 3533 (ATH) and CHoCH at 3420.
🔹 Price is now ranging below lower high, with weak demand attempts from 3200–3240 zone.
🔸 Order flow bearish unless major BOS above 3320.
🗝 Key H4 Levels & Confluences
🔵 3195–3220 → H4 Demand + EQ + FVG
🧲 Last strong reaction zone pre-rally
🔁 Untapped OB + minor gap
🔄 EMA21 dynamic support below it
🟣 FIBO 61.8% of swing leg (April move)
🔵 3280–3295 → H4 POI (Supply Flip Zone)
📉 Reaction to this zone previously rejected bullish continuation
🧱 Confluence with 4H OB + minor FVG + EQ
⚠ If broken → clean magnet toward 3320
🔺 3315–3325 → Major LH Zone + Liquidity Magnet
💧 Internal liquidity build-up
🟤 If flipped → could induce bullish CHoCH on HTF
🚨 Final decision zone before possible premium push
🔻 3050–3075 → Weekly OB + H4 FVG
⛔ Major HTF demand below current price
🔄 EMA100 crossover area
🧲 Long-term buy interest if macro risk spikes
⚠ Summary:
Gold remains in a bearish HTF context, but is holding at key demand near 3220.
Rejection from 3280–3295 could reinforce bearish continuation.
Break above 3325 flips structure bullish — until then, sellers still in control.
🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
Gold Daily Outlook - XAUUSD May 4thXAUUSD Daily Outlook – May 5, 2025
Structure doesn’t lie. Gold is cooling off – but the real game might just be starting.
📊 Trend & Structure:
HTF Bias: Bullish (intact), but showing signs of exhaustion.
Daily Market Flow: Strong rejection from 3500 ATH → bearish correction underway.
Latest Daily Candle: Bearish with large upper wick – confirms aggressive selling after liquidity grab.
🔹 Key Daily Levels:
🔻 Premium Rejection Zone
Zone: 3475–3500
Confluence: Previous ATH + liquidity sweep + FVG + overextension
Note: Reversal confirmed. Sellers aggressively stepped in.
🔻 Active Imbalance Zone
Zone: 3375–3400
Context: Unmitigated bearish FVG formed after ATH rejection
What to expect: Intraday bounces possible, but mostly mitigation unless reclaimed.
🔹 Current Reaction Zone
Zone: 3220–3255
Structure: Micro CHoCH + fresh demand reaction + FVG fill
Note: Bulls defending here. Breakdown = lower retracement likely.
🔻 Key Mid-Term Support
Zone: 3050–3080
Reason: Daily demand + OB + prior BOS
Expectation: Strongest support if price breaks 3200 – ideal HTF reentry.
🔢 Fibonacci Extension Targets (if 3500 breaks)
Using impulse leg 2970 → 3500 with retrace to 3204.50:
Extension Level
Target Price
Commentary
1.0
3500
ATH (already hit)
1.12
3558
First extension zone, minor reaction possible
1.272
3610
Institutional TP1 zone
1.414
3660
Premium FVG / liquidity target
1.618
3730
Strong continuation target, reversal zone
1.786
3785
Final blow-off area, low probability without macro push
📊 Summary:
Gold reached a major milestone at 3500, swept liquidity, and is now in correction mode. As long as 3220–3255 holds, bulls may stage a short-term defense. However, failure to hold opens the door to 3050–3080, the next major structure zone.
Above 3500, use extension zones to track sentiment traps and profit-taking waves.
🧠 Final Thought:
From greed at 3500 to fear at 3200 — markets reset sentiment before the next move. Smart money isn’t emotional. Stay with structure, not ego.
🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
Gold Weekly Outlook - XAUUSD May 5th- May 9th🌍 XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – “Gold’s Cooling Off… Or Just Reloading? 🔁💥”
📅 Week of May 5–9, 2025
After breaking records with a fiery move into 3533, Gold just blinked. But is this the start of a deeper pullback — or simply a power nap before another skyrocket? Let’s break it down.
🧱 Macro Structure:
🔹 Massive bullish expansion from sub-2000 to 3533 → clear weekly BOS & continuation
🔹 First real retracement candle after months of nonstop gains
🔹 Price now hovering around the 3240–3270 mid-range FVG zone
🔑 Key Weekly Levels + Real Confluence:
📍 Price Range Zone Type What’s Here & Why It Matters
3533 🔺 ATH / Weak High Top liquidity grab + Premium high — supply reaction confirmed
3480–3510 ⚠ Reversal OB zone Weekly OB + clean FVG + sell-off origin = potential rejection zone
3240–3270 🔵 Micro Demand Mid-imbalance fill + minor OB + current retest base
3050–3100 🟦 Weekly Demand Block Big boy OB + 50% FIB retrace + macro HL zone → sniper reentry magnet
2750–2850 🧠 Strong HTF Demand Long-term CHoCH zone + discount imbalance stack = last line of defense
🔎 Weekly Confluences:
✅ SMC: BOS confirmed, CHoCH flipped in 2023 = macro bullish bias holds
📐 FIBO: 3050–3100 = perfect golden pocket (50%) of last full impulse
📊 EMA 5/21: Full bullish lock, no signs of EMA cross down
🔥 Liquidity: Above 3533 = final weak highs, below 3050 = deep liquidity pool
🧭 Bias Summary:
Bullish overall, but watching for:
A trap sell into 3050–3100 (clean sniper reentry zone)
🧲 Liquidity grab near 3300+ that could fuel another leg up or fakeout
🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
#XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
Analysis of gold operation strategy next week
The latest April non-farm payrolls report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has attracted much attention from the market. The report shows that the U.S. economy added 177,000 jobs that month, higher than the market expectation of 130,000, indicating that the U.S. labor market still shows strong resilience. At the same time, the unemployment rate remained at 4.2%, in line with market expectations, while the previously released March data was revised down from 228,000 to 185,000. This data adjustment is an official routine operation. In terms of wages, the average hourly wage increased slightly lower than the market expectation of 0.2% month-on-month, and fell short of the expected 0.3%; however, the year-on-year growth rate remained at 3.8%, higher than the current inflation level, suggesting that real income is still showing an upward trend.
After the release of the non-farm data, the market reacted quickly but the trend was divided. Spot gold fell about $9 to $3,250/ounce within a minute after the data was released, but then quickly rebounded to $3,255/ounce, with an intraday increase of 0.56%. In the short term, the two price levels of 3,260 and 3,265 have become the resistance levels of market attention. Overall, the unexpected performance of the non-farm payrolls in April has boosted the market's short-term confidence. However, the downward revision of historical data and external uncertainties still keep investors cautious. Risk assets may still have some room for growth in the short term, but in the medium and long term, downside risks are gradually accumulating.
After the release of the non-farm payrolls, the price of gold fell as expected, but then quickly bottomed out and rebounded, continuing to fluctuate. The impact of recent non-farm payrolls on the gold market seems to be gradually weakening, and its volatility is even less than usual. The gold 1-hour moving average crosses the downward short position arrangement, and eventually continues to diverge downward. Gold is now under pressure to fall back at the 3270 line, so next week, around 3270 will still be the key turning point for gold bulls and bears. Although gold has rebounded, the decline is not large. If gold is under pressure at 3270 next week and does not break, it will be a shock at most. Gold bulls will not reverse easily for the time being.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to short gold near 3260 next week, with a stop loss at 3270 and a target of 3240
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
Gold fell as expected. What will happen next week?Gold fell within the range expected by Quid. Although it rebounded slightly, the final result did not change. Will the direction of gold change next week?
Quid's analysis:
Gold's 1-hour moving average is downward, and there is a trend of continuous downward development; gold is currently under pressure from the 3270 line, so 3270 will still be the key turning point for gold bears next week. Although gold has rebounded slightly, the magnitude of the decline is not large; if the upward resistance level of 3270 fails to break through next week, it may be in a sideways fluctuation.
The downward trend will not reverse for the time being, unless major news is released on the weekend, which directly affects the gold market.
Quid believes that the ups and downs of the market are normal. Gold has fallen by about $300 from its high point, and the overall trend in the near future is still downward; it continues to fall after a small rebound, which means that the strength of gold bears is still there.
Quide believes that it is always easy to follow its trend; violating its rules always makes oneself exhausted; the market is always right, and standing on the opposite side of the market will always be taught a lesson by the market. In the face of the overall trend, traders should not be lucky, and the market will not forgive your mistakes again and again.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3270, stop loss at 3280, take profit around 3220;
The latest gold strategy analysis and operation guidance📌Fundamentals:
This week, the US economic data was released intensively, and ADP employment, unemployment benefits, GDP and PCE price index were all bullish, but some data showed signs of weakness after Trump's tariff policy. The unemployment rate remained the same as the previous value of 4.2%, while the expected new employment of 130,000 was significantly lower than the previous value of 228,000. The market's concerns about the cooling of the economy provided support for the gold price.
📊Technical side:
Although the 1-hour moving average is still in a dead cross short arrangement, there are signs of turning around. At the same time, after the rebound, gold began to consolidate at a high level instead of continuing to fall, so the momentum of the bears was weakened. So today's closing is critical. Today, gold fell back to around 3230 under pressure from 3270. In the short term, this is a balance range. You can see the shock in this range at night. If gold finally closes above 3270, then gold will most likely continue to rise next week. If it closes below 3240, then gold bears still have a great chance. If you want to operate in the short term, then don't chase it for the time being. Since it is a shock, you can go short first at a high level. If it breaks through 3270, then wait until next week. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that the rebound is mainly short, and the callback is supplemented by long. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3265-3270, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3200-3197.
🎯Practical strategies:
Strategy 1: Go short when gold rebounds around 3263-3266, with a target around 3230-3210.
Strategy 2: Go long when gold pulls back around 3197-3200, with a target around 3220-3230.
As expected, gold prices continue to fall
📌 Gold driving factors
There are two aspects to look at the impact of April non-agricultural data on the gold market.
One is the data itself and the existing economic environment, and the other is combined with the technical aspect.
The market itself is troubled by the tariff issue. Whether it is the US stock market or the US dollar, they all need good economic data to boost. Once the April non-agricultural performance is poor, the market sell-off will be out of control, and it also means that the risk of US economic recession will increase.
Secondly, good data performance reduces the Fed's expectations for rate cuts. As we all know, the Fed's expectations for rate cuts or implementation of rate cuts are theoretically good for gold prices, and vice versa.
The cooling of the tariff issue may come soon, which is also not conducive to the rise in gold prices, but cooling does not mean the end, and the final achievement will definitely take some time.
📊Comment Analysis
Recently, we have been very good at controlling the gold market. Keeping an eye on the changes in fundamental news is the focus of research and judgment. Of course, the technical direction is also of reference value. The next market will revolve around fundamental news, especially in the context of tariffs.
The non-agricultural data exceeded expectations, and the tariff issue may see "dawn". If it can be confirmed in the near future, the risk aversion sentiment will subside in the short term, which is not conducive to the rise of gold prices. There is a high probability that there is room for retracement, so there is no rush to chase now.
💰Strategy Package
Operation ideas for next week:
Gold 3265 short, stop loss 3275, target 3230-3220;.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
XAUUSD BuyHello traders!
There’s an ideal buying opportunity on XAUUSD right now. I’ve activated a Buy position to take advantage of this setup.
The TP target is **3262.58** and the SL level is **3242.65**.
Make sure to adjust your lot size and risk according to your trading plan, and enter the trade with discipline.
🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile.
👉 Follow me to get notified and read the full breakdowns.
YOUR SEEING THIS NOT BY ACCIDENT (GOLD SWING)
remember this idea before, way early to short right?
Now its the time to short it. initial and 2nd tp zone. probable the swing tp could be 2700-2600 or
lower.
See this a liquidity grab on internal/inside a monthly basis chart.
This is not a random as you see this, it means you trade this for Long shot or swing thot.
Guys this idea is on my self only.
This is not a financial advice.
See you again next week.
The previous news or the ADP NFP are non sense. we a make a new highs again once this idea works?
This is only my view.
sharing this could turn your idea to swing trades.
Follow for more.
Gold trend layout in the evening after the release of NFP data🗞News side:
1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts
2. Be wary of DXY trends
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
📈Technical aspects:
The short orders in hand have already been profitable, and gold is now back near 3250, while the US dollar index has once again fallen by 100, reaching around 99.6, and the 1H moving average is currently showing signs of turning upward. The upper and lower shadow lines of the 1H K-line closing look like cross stars of equal length, which means that things may go wrong, and gold may rebound upwards in the short term. We can still focus on the resistance of 3260-3270 above, and further focus on the first-line resistance of 3280-3286, while the bottom has never been able to effectively break through the first-line support of 3240. If this week closes at 3240, then the market outlook next week will be conducive to long trading.
Intraday operation suggestions
🎁SELL 3260-3270
🎁TP 3245-3240
🎁BUY 3230-3240
🎁TP 3260-3270
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Non-agriculture ended perfectly, Today’s closing is key!📌Fundamentals:
The US April non-farm payrolls data (177,000 new jobs) exceeded expectations, reinforcing the Fed's expectations of a smaller rate cut. The market's expectations for rate cuts this year have been lowered from 90 basis points to 85 basis points, and the strengthening of the US dollar has suppressed gold prices.
📊Technical aspects:
From the 4-hour analysis, gold fell after the negative news of non-farm payrolls today, but gold bottomed out and rebounded, and continued to fluctuate. It feels that non-farm payrolls have gradually lost its charm, and the market is not as good as usual. However, today's closing is very critical, and it is also the key to whether gold will turn around. The non-farm payrolls market has basically finished, and the upper side continues to pay attention to the suppression of 3260-68, focusing on the suppression of 3290-95 above, and the short-term support near 3235-3240 below.
🎯Practical strategies:
1. Go short when gold rebounds at 3260-65, cover short positions at 3378-85, and target 3240-3245.
XAU/USD buy to sell outlookThis week, I’ll be monitoring potential long entries from the nearby 3H demand zone, but my primary focus will be on price retracing into the 4H supply zone around 3,300, where I’ll be watching for a sell opportunity.
This zone aligns with the current bearish momentum we've seen recently, and I’ll wait for price to slow down and show signs of distribution once it reaches this area.Once we see that slowdown, I’ll aim to refine a clean order block for entry, ensuring a clear change of character and avoiding any potential smart money traps or false moves.
Confluences for Gold Sells:
- A clean 4H supply zone has formed, which caused a break of structure to the downside.
- There's significant liquidity resting below, making further downside likely.
- Gold has been heavily overbought and saturated, which supports this correctional bearish move.
- The DXY recently reacted bullish from a strong 2-day demand zone, adding confluence for downside in gold.
- After last week’s sharp decline, a retracement is expected before further downside continuation.
P.S.: There’s also liquidity to the upside in the form of uncollected Asia highs, so don’t be surprised if price sweeps those first before tapping into our supply zone.
Let’s stay patient and smart with entries — have a great weekend, everyone!
Non-farm data is released, and gold is still going to fall.
📌 Gold information
Today, the market will usher in the heavy non-farm data for April. From the expected value, there are only 130,000 people, far lower than the expected 228,000 people, and the unemployment rate remains at 4.2%.
If we refer to the unsatisfactory ADP data in April, then the number of non-farm people in April should have declined, or it is lower than expected, but the ADP data cannot fully correspond to the final non-farm data. This is the answer given to us by too many experiences in the past, so it cannot be concluded that the non-farm data this time will be lower than expected.
📊Comment analysis
Combined with the technical aspect, the strong technical pressure above the international gold price is around 3280, and then the 3300 mark. Even if it rebounds next, the pressure of the above two prices cannot be broken, and there is still a probability of a pullback adjustment. The initial support below is 3230, and after breaking through the position, it will follow the trend to explore 3205.
💰Strategy Package
If today's non-agricultural data cannot provide strong support for gold prices, the rise in gold prices in the short term will be difficult to sustain. The specific decision can only be made after the final release of the afternoon data and the guidance on prices. The trend fluctuations tonight will be very intense. Remember to strictly control your positions to prevent risks.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Non-agricultural prospective data analysis Operation suggestions📌Fundamentals:
📊Technical aspects:
Technically, spot gold is in a downward trend in the short term, and there is a certain rebound or shock at the key support level. At the 4-hour level, the gold price is running above the lower track of the Bollinger Band, and the opening shows signs of contraction. The MACD indicator dead cross is gradually closing, and the RSI indicator is running in the 35-45 range, showing that the long and short forces are relatively balanced.
🎯Practical strategy:
3260-3270 light position short, target 3225-3200. When it reaches 3225-3200 and stabilizes, try to go long, target 3250-3270.
XAUUSD - GOLD UPDATES - May 2nd - before NFP🪙 GOLDMINDSFX | MAY 2 XAUUSD IDEAS
“Gold plays games. We play levels.”
🏛️ MACRO & POLITICAL CONTEXT
Gold is stabilizing inside a retracement phase following April's all-time high (ATH 3500). After sweeping major liquidity below 3205, we’ve seen structure shift back to bullish on the lower timeframes.
Today’s NFP may trigger sharp volatility, but we trade structure, not headlines.
China remains closed for Labor Day until May 5—reduced Asia volume. Meanwhile, Q1 data shows central bank gold accumulation slowing, adding caution to global demand outlook.
With recent lows defended and current price inside a decision zone, we wait for liquidity to declare direction—no predictions, only reactions.
🔁 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW
Confirmed CHoCH from 3205
BOS above 3233
Bullish FVGs developing
HTF still bearish under 3333
📍Live Price: 3265
📌 TECHNICAL ZONES & CONFLUENCES
🔼 BUY ZONES
🟢 Buy Zone #1: 3233–3220
15M FVG + recent impulse rejection
Entry on rejection or liquidity wick
🟢 Buy Zone #2: 3205–3190
CHoCH origin + 1H OB
Golden pocket: 0.618–0.705
Ideal continuation setup
🟢 Buy Zone #3: 3172–3160
H4 OB + EQ + deep liquidity
Final support before full structural flip
🔽 SELL ZONES
🔴 Sell Zone #1: 3284–3295
1H supply + FVG + BOS confluence
Buy-side liquidity resting above 3280
🔴 Sell Zone #2: 3325–3333
Prior rejection base + liquidity shelf
Best R:R trap zone
🔴 Sell Zone #3: 3366–3378
Final stop-hunt trap zone before reversal
Use only with rejection / PA confirmation
🧠 STRATEGY NOTES
SL adjusted to 100–150 pips according to entry zone
Price is coiling under 3265 = decision time
Liquidity is stacked above and below—wait for sweep and structure shift
We’re not here to predict. We hunt zones and execute like killers.
Confirmation before entry: BOS, CHoCH, wick traps, engulfing, rejection wicks.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
🖊️ If these insights help you refine your trading plans, give us a boost and follow GoldMindsFX on TradingView. Let's grow together!
"Gold Ain’t Done Yet – Snipers Don’t Sleep, They Wait After a clean CHoCH from 3205 and bullish NY session push, Gold is currently hovering around 3239 ahead of major macro catalysts tomorrow (May 2):
💼 News to Watch:
NFP (133K vs. 228K prev)
Unemployment Rate
Average Hourly Earnings All releasing between 15:30–17:00 UTC+2, potentially fueling a volatility storm.
We remain in a broader retracement phase after April highs (ATH 3500), with price still sitting in higher timeframe discount zones and internal bullish signs building. However, supply above is unmitigated and could cap rallies.
🔁 MARKET STRUCTURE
Price is currently at 3239, just above a valid H1–H4 support zone.
Clean CHoCH confirmed from 3205
Liquidity still resting both above 3284 and below 3172
🔽 BUY SCENARIOS (From Discount + Liquidity Areas)
🟢 Buy #1 – 3205–3212
🔹 H1 CHoCH zone + internal FVG
🔹 Sell-side liquidity just swept
🔹 Entry if price retests post-NFP drop
⚠️ Ideal for short-term bounce or reaccumulation into 3260
🟢 Buy #2 – 3172–3185
🔹 H4 OB + sweep zone + EQ
🔹 Heavy stop cluster under 3200
🔹 If broken, becomes invalid → eyes move to 3120
🔸 High-risk/reward reversal zone if NFP panic spikes below
🔼 SELL SCENARIOS (From Premium + Imbalance Zones)
🔴 Sell #1 – 3284–3295
🔹 H1–H4 supply + FVG + internal BOS
🔹 Buy-side liquidity just above 3280
🔹 Classic pre-news pump & dump zone
⚠️ Watch for wicks above 3288 → sniper sell trigger
🔴 Sell #2 – 3325–3333
🔹 HTF OB shelf + imbalance + previous NY rejection
🔹 Final retail breakout trap before larger drop
🔹 Cleanest R:R setup if NFP drives price explosively upward
👀 Eyes On:
Zone Reaction Type What to Watch
3220–3235 Bounce or trap Current zone = fragile intraday demand
3284–3295 Rejection or flip Cleanest NY pump trap zone
3172–3185 Final support Below = invalidates bullish scenario short-term
3325–3333 Bull trap zone If reached = extreme precision sell only
🎯 Bias:
LTF: Bullish retrace valid above 3212
HTF: Still bearish under 3330
Macro: Wait-and-react on NFP → NO prediction
📣 Final Note for GoldMinds:
This is not a prediction plan.
It’s a reaction plan.
We mapped the real zones.
Now let the volatility reveal which liquidity gets hit first.
💬 Drop a 🧠 if you’ve evolved past “buy now / sell now” noise.
Let’s hunt like pros — not guess like rookies.
Gold Technical Update (4H Time Frame) / Gold BullishAs we mentioned last week, gold was consolidating on the 4H time frame. After the breakout, all our projected targets were successfully achieved as of yesterday.
Currently, gold is forming a bullish flag pattern on the 4H chart — a continuation pattern that often signals the potential for further upside.
If gold sustains above the 3275–3280 zone, we may see renewed bullish momentum with the following potential targets:
Target 1: 3300
Target 2: 3340
Target 3: 3360
Target 4: 3400
⚠️ This is a technical analysis-based outlook. Traders are advised to manage their positions with proper risk-reward strategies and stay updated with market developments.