UPDATE GOld hit 1st target - 2nd Target ready to rally to $2,746Our gold anaslysis played out very nicely after the triangle formation, breakout and then run up to the first target at $2,236.
Now we have a new formation in the making - W FOrmation.
I do believe we will get some sideways movement to create equilibrium and prepare for the next run up.
So as long as the price is above the 20 and 200MA - it's good to go!
My second target is set for gold to $2,746
Goldprice
Gold price today (May 16): Strong increase againWorld gold prices increased sharply with spot gold increasing by 27.4 USD to 2,385 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,391.8 USD/ounce, up 31.9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold prices rose to their highest level in more than 3 weeks on May 15 (US time) thanks to support from the weakness of the greenback and falling yields after the latest inflation report. Published data showed that the US consumer price index in April increased less than expected, increasing the possibility of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). The dollar fell 0.5% to its lowest level in more than a month, making gold more attractive to holders of other currencies. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields also hit a more than 1-month low.
The CPI rose 0.3% last month after rising 0.4% in March and February, suggesting inflation continued its downward trend at the beginning of the second quarter. This has pushed up financial market expectations of an interest rate cut in September. According to Reuters poll results, economists forecast CPI to increase 0.4% in the month and up 3.4% over the month. with the same period last year.
Technically,
Bullish gold futures have a solid overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price objective is to produce a close for June futures above solid resistance at $2,400 an ounce.
Analysis of technical prospects for gold prices
After breaking the $2,366 level yesterday, gold has also confirmed the breakout of the falling price channel and now the target increase could be aimed at the raw price point of $2,400 in the short term and more to the $2,417 level.
In addition, gold also forms an increasing price channel in the short term and this will technically be the trend price channel for gold prices in the near future. As long as gold remains above the EMA21 and within the price channel, the outlook is technically bullish.
During the day, the uptrend in gold prices will be noticed by the following technical levels.
Support: 2,377 – 2,366 - 2352 USD
Resistance: 2,400 – 2417 - 2430 USD
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Gold can still maintain this range for long purchases to earn the price difference. Rely on the MA below and the geopolitical news below as support. In the ultra-short term, I personally think there will be more room for buying operations and lower risks. 20310-2319buy
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GOLD slight recovery for the long uptrendGold prices extended gains near $2,360 on Monday during the first hour of trading in Asia. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East boost safe-haven flows and benefit precious metals.
Gold prices traded positively during the day. The yellow metal kept the bullish trend intact as it held above the key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the daily timeframe.
In the short term, XAU/USD climbed above the descending trend channel that formed in mid-April, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sitting in a bullish zone around 67.50, supporting buyers in current time.
If gold bulls enter the psychological $2,400 mark, the yellow metal could see a rally to all-time highs near $2,432, en route to $2,500. Gold price is trying to break the 2375 level to reach the round port of 2,300 USD.
Support: 2350 - 2340- 2332 - 2327 - 2316
Resistance: 2378 - 2391 -2400 - 2408- 2417
Breakout: Sell 2346 - Buy 2379
SELL zone 2391 - 2393 stop 2396
BUY zone 2330 - 2328 stop 2324
Gold back to 2400?Gold prices continued their uptrend on Thursday and rose more than 1% as US Treasury yields fell, reducing the greenback's appeal. Labor market data from the United States was weaker, increasing the chances of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve despite facing inflationary pressures.
XAU/USD's daily chart shows it has slowed its recovery around the slightly elevated 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), at around $2,345. Longer moving averages maintain their upward slope well below current levels, while technical indicators remain below midlines with no clear directional strength. Overall, Gold extends its consolidation phase ahead of a suitable directional catalyst.
Looking ahead and according to the 4-hour chart, XAU/USD is neutral. The pair met with intraday buyers around the bullish 200 SMA but failed to extend gains beyond the slightly bearish 100 SMA. Finally, technical indicators remained unchanged at positive levels, showing that bulls are more willing to jump in.
The resistance zone at 2375 is currently expected by investors to be able to reduce the increase throughout today. The price range of 2375 and 2352 will be the trading range in today's US session. If the recovery level is nice enough, gold's destination will return to around 2400 soon.
SELL zone 2375-2377 SL 2380
BUY zone 2353-2351 SL 2348
XAU/USD 16 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish BOS.
After bullish BOS expectation is for price to pullback.
We have nested Daily and H4 supply levels where price is expected to initiate pullback, which price did.
As previously mentioned, CHoCH was positioned at quite a distance away from current price, therefore, there was a possibility price could engineer a CHoCH closer to current price to indicate initiation of pullback. Price has did this.
We are again seeing a reaction to nested Daily and H4 supply levels where price could pull back deeper.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was for price to continue bullish and react at nested Daily and H4 supply levels which price did.
Current intraday expectation: Price has reacted at nested Daily and H4 demand where it is expected that price will pull back to discount of 50% EQ or H4 demand levels.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After iBOS price is expected to pull back.
First indication, but not confirmation of pullback initiation is for price to print a bearish CHoCH. Price has printed this which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday expectation: Price to pullback to discount of 50% EQ or M15 supply level, possibly as deep as H4 supply level before targeting weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line.
M15 Chart:
Gold prices are likely to increase sharply in the coming daysGold rate forecast
Gold costs accelerated due to the fact tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East nonetheless display no symptoms and symptoms of cooling down. Russia is attacking on many fronts in Ukraine and fierce combating is occurring. Meanwhile, withinside the Middle East, Iran these days stated it'd create a nuclear bomb if threatened via way of means of Israel.
With indicators from cooling US commodity costs, it's far probable that the USD will keep to sag and in all likelihood weaken because the time till the September assembly steadily shortens.
Recently, many forecasts say that gold costs can also additionally weaken this summer, in all likelihood in May and June while the Fed delays reducing hobby rates. However, if inflation withinside the US is still managed and americaA financial system suggests similarly symptoms and symptoms of weak spot, gold has the possibility to growth its rating following the weak spot of the greenback.
In addition, buyers additionally carefully display geopolitical fluctuations withinside the Middle East, Ukraine and a few different regions.
XAU/USD 15 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish BOS.
After bullish BOS expectation is for price to pullback.
We have nested Daily and H4 supply levels where price is expected to initiate pullback, which price did.
CHoCH is positioned at quite a distance away from current price, therefore, there is a possibility price could engineer a CHoCH closer to current price to indicate initiation of pullback.
Price did not pullback back into either discount of 50% EQ or H4 Demand level before continuing pro-swing which could potentially mean that price may need to pull back deeper to gain liquidity for a sustained bullish move.
Intraday expectation: Price to continue bullish and react at nested Daily and H4 supply levels.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a printed a bullish BOS and iBOS
After BOS we expect price to pullback.
Price is now in discount zone of 50% EQ and has reacted to M15 POI but is unable to sustain a bullish move. Buyers are expected to step in once in discount zone of 50% EQ, which has happened.
Intraday expectation dated 13 May 2024 was for price to react at M15 POI, discount zone of 50% EQ or H4 POI before targeting weak internal high where we saw a reaction.
Intraday expectation dated 14 May 2024 was for price to target weak internal which is denoted with a blue dashed line. This is currently underway.
Current Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high (denoted with blue dashed line) It is expected that price breaks and closes above blue dashed line which will mean an internal break of structure that will eventually lead to price pulling back from nested Daily and H4 supply levels.
M15 Chart:
World gold prices will continue to increase in the long termGold buy limit
World gold rate extended with the aid of using 15 USD/ounce, to 2,356 USD/ounce after americaA manufacturer rate index (PPI) introduced a warm growth. US April PPI extended 0.5% over the preceding month, in comparison to expectancies of a 0.3% growth. The center PPI rate (apart from meals and energy) additionally extended 0.5% in April in comparison to expectancies of handiest a 0.2% growth. However, the March PPI quantity turned into revised right all the way down to terrible 0.1% from the to start with stated 0.2% growth. An index this is of hobby to the market, introduced on May 15, is the purchaser rate index (CPI). CPI is forecast to growth 0.4%, in comparison to the March file displaying a 0.4% growth. The annual CPI in April is anticipated to growth with the aid of using 3.6% in comparison to a 3.8% growth withinside the March file.
US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke in Amsterdam announcing inflation has been better for longer than the Fed anticipated and it seems it'll take the Fed longer to be assured that inflation Inflation will fall to 2% annually. He stated the Fed will preserve restrictive economic coverage till inflation falls to a stage the Fed is happy with. Powell`s remarks did now no longer come as a wonder to the market.
Gold prices have strong fluctuationsGOLD ANALYSIS - May 14, 2024
⬆️Buy gold across the charge variety of 233x
⬇️Sell gold across the charge variety of 235x
Yesterday, the charge of Gold had a downward fashion as expected, symptoms and symptoms of purchasing seemed across the 233x area.
Traders can prioritize shopping for across the cutting-edge charge variety and anticipate a sturdy growth withinside the close to future. Stop as quickly as gold breaks the 233x charge variety. Gold goal may be 2350 today.
Other valuable metals additionally went up yesterday. Silver fees extended 0.3% to 28.2 USD an ounce. Platinum brought 0.6%, to 1,000 USD - the best in almost a year.
XAUUSD: 13/5 Today’s Strategy and AnalysisGold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2361/2400, support below is 2327/2319
Four-hour resistance is 2365/2370, support below is 2340/2327
Gold operation suggestions: The current strong dividing line for bulls is at 2330. This position will also be related to the long-short conversion in the later period. For now, the long-short situation is unclear and in a state of contention. The strong resistance above is 2370/2377. Although it rose sharply last Friday, the energy is likely to have been exhausted, and it is likely to continue to fall in the short term.
Judging from the current trend of gold, we focus on the support of 2340/2327 below, the resistance of 2365-2370 on the top, and the suppression of 2377. From the chart, the market tends to fluctuate and fall.
BUY:2327near SL:2324
SELL:2365near SL:2370
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Gold’s pullback gives opportunity to go longLast Friday, as weak U.S. economic data supported the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, the price of gold rose sharply, once rising to 2,378. Investors are paying attention to Powell's speech this week, as well as CPI data.
Gold's rise and fall are basically in place. On the one-hour line, bulls are firmly holding the key watershed of 2352, and the first support level of the moving average has now reached the 2360 line. Although the price of gold fell slightly below the moving average support level, the daily closing positive last Friday gave us a clear direction.
Above 2300 is bullish, below it is bearishGold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2320-26, support below is 2300-2293
Four-hour resistance 2320-26, support below 2300-2280
Gold operation advice: Gold once again had a range-bound market trend yesterday. Judging from the current trend, today gold will focus on the upper resistance at 2320-26, and the lower support at 2305-2300. This is also the dividing line between gold's long and short strength. Wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
SELL:2300 near SL:2305
BUY:2305 near SL:2300
Gold is likely to return to the 24xx area this weekLast week, the yellow steel published modest profits as expectancies that the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) might loosen coverage this 12 months improved following vulnerable monetary data. Experts say that subsequent week is an vital time to determine whether or not gold will attain a brand new document or now no longer while the marketplace gets the April patron rate index and manufacturer rate index reports. Recently, The Fed emphasised that America`s inflation strugglefare isn't powerful while inflation remains a lot better than the goal degree of 2%. In addition to the patron rate index and manufacturer rate index, this week the marketplace will anticipate the United States retail income report, the wide variety of weekly unemployment gain applications, and the assertion of Fed Chairman Powell in Amsterdam.
According to Larry McDonald, founding father of the Bear Traps Report, the United States is in a chronic inflation strugglefare, in which all asset training will see "sizeable" revaluations and as Therefore, capital flows withinside the marketplace will steadily shift to difficult assets. “This is the time while the Fed takes action, which creates a bullish situation for difficult assets,” he said.
McDonald believes that a few metals have sizeable rate will increase and predicts gold charges will attain $3,000-3,500/ounce withinside the subsequent 12-18 months.
How To Start Investing In Gold (7 Ways)Gold's allure as a precious metal transcends time. It has served as a symbol of wealth, a reliable store of value, and a hedge against inflation for centuries. For investors seeking to diversify their portfolio and protect their purchasing power, gold can be a strategic asset. This guide explores seven methods for investing in gold:
1. Physical Gold (Coins and Bullion): Owning physical gold, like coins or bars, offers a sense of tangible ownership and security. However, there are drawbacks. Secure storage is crucial, and selling physical gold can be inconvenient, potentially incurring fees or melter costs.
2. Gold ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds): These investment vehicles track the price of gold, allowing you to trade them on a stock exchange like a stock. ETFs offer advantages like affordability (you can buy smaller amounts than a whole gold bar) and liquidity (easy buying and selling). However, you don't own physical gold with ETFs.
3. Gold Mutual Funds: Invest in professionally managed funds that hold a basket of assets, including gold mining companies' stocks. This offers diversification and potentially reduces risk compared to directly owning gold. The downside is that fees might be higher compared to ETFs, and the fund's price performance depends on the underlying holdings, not just gold itself.
4. Gold Futures and Options: These are contracts for buying or selling gold at a predetermined price on a future date. This approach offers leverage and the potential for significant profits, but it's also high-risk. Futures and options are complex financial instruments and require a deep understanding of the derivatives market. Consult with a financial advisor before venturing into this territory.
5. Gold Mining Stocks: Investing in companies that mine, refine, and trade gold can magnify your returns if gold prices rise. However, this method is indirectly tied to the price of gold and is also susceptible to the risks associated with the stock market in general, including company-specific risks.
6. Gold Certificates: These paper certificates represent ownership of a specific amount of physical gold stored in a secure vault by a bank or other institution. They offer a way to own gold without physical possession but might have storage fees and redemption restrictions.
7. Digital Gold: A relatively new option, digital gold allows you to invest in fractional ownership of physical gold stored securely. This method offers affordability and easy online buying and selling, but regulations and risks associated with the specific digital gold platform need to be considered.
Top 10 Tips for Investing in Gold:
1. Do your research: Understand the gold market, different investment options, and their associated risks and rewards before investing.
2. Set investment goals: Align your gold investment strategy with your overall financial goals and risk tolerance.
3. Diversify: Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Gold should be a part of a diversified portfolio.
4. Start small: Begin with a smaller investment to test the waters and gain experience.
5. Consider fees: Compare fees associated with different investment options like storage costs for physical gold or expense ratios for ETFs and mutual funds.
6. Think long-term: Gold is generally considered a long-term investment. Don't expect quick gains.
7. Store securely: If you buy physical gold, ensure secure storage in a safe deposit box or a reputable vault.
8. Beware of scams: Be cautious of get-rich-quick schemes or companies offering unrealistic returns on gold investments.
9. Stay informed: Keep yourself updated on economic factors and events that can influence gold prices.
10. Seek professional advice: Consult with a financial advisor to create a personalized investment strategy that includes gold, if appropriate for your financial goals.
By understanding the different ways to invest in gold and following these valuable tips, you can make informed decisions and potentially benefit from incorporating gold into your investment portfolio. Remember, gold is a valuable asset class, but it's not without risks. Do your research, invest within your risk tolerance, and enjoy the journey of exploring the world of gold investing.
GOLD - Confluence for a long ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GOLD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I wait price to continue the retracement and then to reject from trendline + liquidity zone.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Wednesday (GMT+3) we will see results of monthly and yearly CPI on USD, news with high impact on currency.
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How to trade gold after it rises sharplyGold has been rising slowly today without any correction, but it is not yet certain whether the rise in risk aversion can continue to amplify. Gold will continue to rise, and there must be news to stimulate further support. Gold has now reached the early intensive resistance area, and beware of a pullback under pressure.
XAU/USD 10 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish BOS.
After bullish BOS expectation is for price to pullback.
We have nested Daily and H4 supply levels where price is expected to initiate pullback.
CHoCH is positioned at quite a distance away from current price, therefore, there is a possibility price could engineer a CHoCH closer to current price to indicate initiation of pullback.
Intraday expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at nested Daily and H4 POI levels to start pullback phase.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a printed a bullish BOS and iBOS
After BOS we expect price to pullback.
First indication, but not confirmation of pullback initiation would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday expectation: Price to react at nested Daily and H4 POI levels to initiate pullback.
M15 Chart:
Gold prices receive a lot of economic and geopolitical pushscalp gold sell 235x
tp 233x
sl 236x
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According to Mr. Joaquin Monfort, FXStreet expert, gold fees accelerated this consultation after some of important important banks determined to reduce hobby quotes, which include the Swedish Central Bank (Riksbank), or signaled the opportunity of a reduce. withinside the future, which include the European Central Bank (ECB). Lower hobby quotes lessen the "possibility cost" of maintaining gold, a non-hobby-bearing asset, for this reason making gold greater attractive.
Mr. Monfort stated the treasured steel is likewise seeing the go back of cash searching for secure havens amid the "impasse in ceasefire negotiations among Israel and Hamas."
💡 GOLD: Analysis May 9Gold fell for the second day in a row, but selling pressure continued to be as weak as the previous day, because yesterday's bar D1 had a narrow range, even narrower than the previous falling bar D1. Structurally, Gold D1 continues to move inside the Inside bar pattern, reflecting a state of cumulative price compression, and remains within the larger Inside bar and large price range. Gold D1's trend is more inclined to increase in price.
After touching the border on the H1 price frame, H1 Gold is adjusting down, however the selling pressure is not strong because the adjustment span is not steep and has large fluctuations. The scenario for buying Gold is still the dominant one today, the best option is to buy when the price breaks out to the top and then retest, otherwise you can "fish for the bottom" with the buying zone being the margin below the price frame.
💡H1 trend: Gold moves sideways.
💡Today's trading idea: Buy Gold.
Yesterday’s short gold profit was huge, can it continue today?Gold's 30-minute moving average is still in a dead cross downwards. Gold's 30-minute rebound seems to be strong, but it still has not been able to break through the downward trend line resistance. The gold downward trend line resistance has now moved down to around 2320.
Gold has shot up many times and then fallen back. There are many resistances above, so there is a possibility of a sharp decline at any time.