3.17 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsIn the early Asian session on Monday (March 17), spot gold fluctuated at a high level and is currently trading at $2,990.02/oz. Spot gold once broke through the important $3,000 mark during trading last Friday, reaching a high of $3,004.82/oz, setting a new historical high. Investors chased this historic surge in safe-haven assets, seeking to avoid the economic uncertainty caused by US President Trump's tariff war, and then fell slightly due to profit-taking, closing at $2,988.12/oz.
Analysis of intraday gold short-term operations:
Gold is still in a three-month upward channel, and the relative strength index (RSI) on the daily chart remains around 70, indicating that the bullish tendency is still intact.
Once the gold price stabilizes above $3,000/oz (integer level, midpoint of the ascending channel) and confirms that this level is support, then $3,060/oz (upper limit of the ascending channel) may be set as the next bullish target, and the next bullish target is $3,100/oz (integer level).
On the other hand, if gold fails to turn $3,000/oz into support, technical buyers may be frustrated. In this case, $2,920/oz (20-day simple moving average, lower limit of the ascending channel) and $2,900/oz (round level, static level) may be seen as the next support level for gold
Resistance: 2998 3010 3020
Support: 2980 2965 2950
Goldprice
Gold’s Big Moment: $3,000 in Play – Can Bulls Hold It?Gold has finally reached the psychological $3,000 level, triggering the first round of sell-offs as traders take profit. The question now is whether this move can sustain itself or if we are set for a deeper pullback. Given the rapid move up, I remain cautious, ready to cut the trade quickly if I see signs of weakness in the continuation.
Fundamentals:
• Market Sentiment: Bullish drivers remain strong as gold benefits from rising inflation expectations and the Fed’s rate pause, which has fueled demand for safe-haven assets.
• Geopolitical & Economic Factors:
• President Trump’s aggressive tariff agenda is fanning concerns about global trade, increasing risk aversion and driving flows into bullion-backed assets.
• Chinese jewelry stocks are soaring, signaling growing demand for gold in the region.
• The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 97% probability that the Fed will hold rates steady at its next meeting, reinforcing gold’s appeal.
• Technical Considerations:
• Gold hit a fresh all-time high of $2,993, putting the psychological $3,000 mark in focus.
• Above $3,000, there is little historical price action to guide resistance levels, making price discovery uncertain.
• On the downside, $2,970 acts as a key pivot, with $2,951 and $2,914 serving as strong support zones if a deeper retracement occurs.
Risk Management:
• The first sell-off at $3,000 indicates short-term profit-taking.
• I am monitoring price action closely and will exit quickly if the move proves unsustainable.
Let’s see if gold can hold above $3,000 or if we are in for a correction!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
XAU/USD 17 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025.
Previous analysis and bias was not met as price did not target weak internal low.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to either trade down to discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily/H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH confirming internal range, however, price has not in any way pulled back significantly enough to classify current internal high as an iBOS, should price print higher than current internal high.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 13 March 2025
Analysis and bias has not been met, largely due macroeconomic events, particularly the Trump trade tariff war, which is causing uncertainty within the markets which is supporting Gold price.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Within the structure following the iBOS, price has printed a several bearish CHoCH's with very minimal pullbacks before continuing bullish.
In order not to distort internal structure range I will apply discretion and not classify bearish CHoCH without considerable pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print Bearish CHoCH which is supported by a pullback relative to recent price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
The gold high top signal appears, deep correction!It can be found that 3004 is just the top position of the 4-hour chart. After failing to break through the range last Friday, a retracement signal has also appeared. The current lower range support of the 4-hour chart is 2955-50. And 2955-50 happens to be the previous high point. Therefore, this position may be the dividing point between long and short positions of gold this week.
Secondly, from the hourly chart:
It can be seen that the current hourly chart of gold shows signs of a head and shoulders top. Once gold falls below 2980 today, it is very likely to develop towards the lower 2955-2940. 2955-50 happens to be the 618 position of this trend. The lower 50% is around 2940, which may also be the extreme retracement position of gold. Therefore, I do not recommend that you continue to chase more, but consider entering the market to short near 2990. If it falls below 2980, you can directly look at the position of 2955-2940.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
Gold Price Analysis: Potential Head and Shoulders Breakdownhello guys.
In the 30-minute chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD), A head-and-shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a potential bearish reversal. The price is currently consolidating near the right shoulder, and if a breakout below the neckline occurs, it could lead to a further downside.
The volume profile indicates a strong support zone around $2,962 - $2,965, which aligns with a key liquidity area. As illustrated by the red arrows, the expected price action suggests a minor pullback before continuing toward this support zone.
Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakdown before entering short positions, with a target near the highlighted demand area.
3.17 Gold short-term may extend low and longLast week, the gold market opened at 2912.9 at the beginning of the week, and then fell back at the beginning of the week. After the weekly low reached 2880, the market rose strongly due to risk aversion. After breaking the previous historical high of 2957, the market accelerated upward. On Friday, the weekly high reached 3005.2, and then the market consolidated. The weekly line finally closed at 2986.1, and the market closed with a big positive line with a lower shadow slightly longer than the upper shadow. After this pattern ended, the market continued to look at the bullish demand point after the adjustment at the beginning of the week. After the breakout of 2940 and 2958 last week, the stop loss was followed up at 2956.
Short-term operation suggestions:
SELL: 2995 target 2980 70 stop loss 10
XAU/USD 17-21 March 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action.
The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Price printed as per analysis dated 16 February 2025 by price targeting weak internal high priced at 2,956.310. However, The pullback was not substantial. Nonetheless, due to time spent I will classify this as an iBOS.
Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Expectation is for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and the repricing of Gold.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Previous analysis and bias was not met as price did not target weak internal low.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to either trade down to discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily/H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHPTAIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 list week profitable profomans reached target point 2961 ) New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 a short trend 📉 analysis setup. Guys 🤝 Gold 🪙 1 Time Frame 🪟 patterns chart 📉. Looking for selling zone ☺️ 🤝 FVG level 3006$ 2996$ rejected point below 👇 ⬇️ target point 2832 - 2818. ) again back 🔙 that entry buying said. Update you next analysis Guys 🤝 now follow it' good luck 💯
Key Resistance level 2996+ 3006
Key Support level 2832 - 2818
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales Support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold trading ideas for next Monday!On Friday, the gold bulls and bears were in a stalemate, and the overall market fluctuated around 2978-3005. As the weekly line closed higher, it means that the bulls have been released and will start to plummet next week.
From the time window, next Thursday is exactly the 89th trading day since gold rose from 2536 on November 14 last year. If it rises from 2832 on February 28, it is almost 13 trading days, which is in line with the law of market change time. In addition, the Federal Reserve will also announce the interest rate decision and press conference in the early hours of Thursday. Perhaps only under the promotion of the Federal Reserve's news can a new round of collapse be triggered! ! !
In the short term, gold rose and fell last Friday. The daily chart has a $15 upper shadow line, and the upper shadow line indicates that the upper pressure is strong and the market has a clear downward trend. Therefore, the overall market next Monday tends to fall first and then rise! ! !
Judging from the gold hourly chart, there are several positions to focus on next Monday. First, the hourly chart rising trend line support level is 2982. If it breaks below, it will fall further to around 2940. Second, the 61.8% position of the golden ratio of 3005-2978 is around 2995. Third, last Friday’s high is 3005, and a breakthrough is impossible.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
The gold market will face a key test next weekThe gold market will face a key test next week. The pressure at the round-number mark of $3,000 cannot be underestimated, and the price will inevitably undergo a correction process.
Or it may show high fluctuations, with last Friday's retracement low of 2979 as support, and it can repeatedly rise to digest the pressure above. Or there will be a larger correction, and 2956 will become an important support at this time.
For investors, the operating strategy for next week remains unchanged in the bullish direction, and the key lies in the grasp of the points. I will still bring you wonderful analysis next week
GOLD TRADING PONT UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIANBuddy'S dear friend 👋.
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold Traders Gold 1H time. Look 👀 first take FVG level that take entry buying said target point 2959 New ATH wait for FVG level good luck 🤞
Key Resistance level 2930 + 2959
Key Support level 2909 - 2902 - 2896
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
continue to find new ATH next week, gold✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 03/17/2025 - 03/21/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices pull back after briefly surpassing the $3,000 milestone, reaching a record high of $3,004 per troy ounce before retreating to $2,982, down 0.21% for the day. Uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump's trade policies and a weaker US Dollar initially fueled the surge but later led to a price correction.
Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions continue to influence demand for the safe-haven metal. The Ukraine-Russia ceasefire hangs in the balance, with signs of reluctance from Moscow to uphold the 30-day truce.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price has reached over 3000 this week, a new turning point. The trade situation is still very tense, the momentum continues for the upward trend next week.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3043, $3078
Support : $2954, $2882
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold swing trade week 16/03/25Last week he had a trade from 2880 that ran for 1244 pips congragulations if you took it.
This week we are looking for a sell then leading into a buy at previous resistance.
Current Price Action:
Gold is trading near $2,984, slightly rejecting resistance.
The price is respecting the ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: Around $2,998 - $3,000, psychological and technical resistance.
Key Support: 2,961 - $2,965 (potential buy zone).
Next Major Resistance: 3,021 - 3,030 (Fibonacci extension + trendline target).
Fibonacci Levels:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement around 2,964 aligns with a potential buy entry.
The 0.382 retracement at 2,996 acts as immediate resistance.
Trendlines & Channel:
Price is respecting the bullish channel.
A break above 3,000 could push XAU/USD toward 3,021 - 3,050.
If price breaks below 2,961, a retracement to 2,930 - 2,900 is possible.
Moving Averages:
Short-term EMA (White) is above the Green MA, signaling continued bullishness.
If the price holds above 2,965, bulls remain in control.
Gold weekly chart with buy and sell levels 15/03/25Gold has achieved new all-time highs this week, breaking the 3000 level before retreating to 2982. As we look ahead to the coming week, I've outlined key buy and sell levels on this 4-hour Gold chart, along with potential entries.
For a buy, consider entering at 2988, targeting 2990 as the first resistance. If this level is surpassed, the next resistance range could be around 3000 to 3005. It's important to follow the chart levels closely and secure profits along the way.
For a sell, an entry at 2977 could aim for a move down to 2970, with subsequent targets around 2962 to 2960 as resistance levels. Stick to the marked entries on the chart for better clarity and control.
As always use proper risk management , take profit along the way and dont overleverage
Expect a strong pull back on Gold next week!Hello traders,
We have seen that Gold experienced a significant bullish trend last week, culminating in surpassing the $3,000 per ounce milestone for the first time on March 14, 2025.
Several factors contributed to this surge:
1. Market Uncertainty Driving Safe-Haven Demand – With ongoing global economic tensions, particularly due to U.S. trade policies, investors are turning to gold as a reliable hedge against instability.
2. Central Banks Boosting Gold Reserves – Many central banks are increasing their gold holdings, adding steady buying pressure that supports rising prices.
3. Speculation on Interest Rate Cuts – Expectations that major central banks, especially the Federal Reserve, may lower interest rates have made gold more attractive, as it benefits from a low-rate environment.
4. Inflation Concerns Fueling Demand – With fears of rising inflation, investors see gold as a traditional store of value that can help preserve wealth over time.
For a long time, many investors expected gold to hit the $3000 mark. Gold broke through that level on Friday, but it ended the day below it. We can anticipate a significant pullback in gold by next week based on recent price action. And these are my thoughts: We will be looking for shorting possibilities below 2978.620, with an initial target of 2961.524 and an overall objective of 2931.979. On the other hand, we can disregard the initial assumptions and assume that the price will continue to grow if we observe that it keeps rising and closes above Friday's high.
How do you plan to trade gold next week traders? Let me know your thoughts in the comment section.
XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2800 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2680 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook:
╰┈➤XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis
Interest Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB at 2.5%—U.S. yield advantage pressures gold, ECB easing weakens EUR—neutral.
Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, Eurozone 2.8%, Japan 2.5%—global inflation boosts gold’s hedge appeal—bullish.
Demand: Central banks (e.g., China, Russia) buy ~8M oz. in 2025; European ETF inflows up—bullish.
Geopolitics: U.S.-China tariffs, Russia-Ukraine tensions—safe-haven demand rises—bullish.
EUR Strength: ECB dovishness vs. Fed stability weakens EUR—bullish for XAU/EUR.
╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.: PMI 50.4, jobless claims up—USD softens, gold gains—bullish.
Eurozone: PMI 46.2, growth stagnant—EUR weakens—bullish.
Global: China 4.5%, Japan 1%—slow growth, risk-off favors gold—bullish.
Commodities: Oil $70.44 (U.S./OPEC)—stable, neutral.
Trump Policies: Tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—EUR weakens, gold rises—bullish.
╰┈➤Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Speculators: Net long ~50,000 contracts (global futures, down from 60,000)—cautious bullishness.
Hedgers: Net short ~60,000—stable, locking in highs.
Open Interest: ~120,000 contracts—sustained global interest, mildly bullish.
╰┈➤Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 55% short (global X posts)—contrarian upside risk—bullish.
Institutional: Bullish long-term (e.g., $3,000 XAU/USD targets), short-term caution—neutral.
Corporate: Global miners hedge at 2,750-2,800 EUR—neutral.
Social Media Trends: Mixed—bearish to 2,650 EUR, some see buy zone—neutral.
╰┈➤Positioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs target 2,750-2,800, shorts aim for 2,650-2,600 (global consensus).
Retail: Shorts at 2,710-2,720—squeeze risk if price rises.
Institutional: Balanced, favoring inflation-driven gold gains.
╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis
SMAs: 50-day ~2,650, 200-day ~2,500—price above both, bullish.
RSI: 52 (daily)—neutral, flexible for moves.
Bollinger: 2,670-2,730—price near upper band, breakout potential.
Fibonacci: 61.8% from 2,800-2,400 at 2,686—support holds.
Volatility: 1-month IV 11%—±30 EUR daily range.
╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis
EUR/USD: Below 1.0500—EUR weakness boosts XAU/EUR—bullish.
DXY: 106.00, softening—supports gold—bullish.
XAU/USD: 2910—aligned with XAU/EUR rise—bullish.
Equities: SPX500 5990, stable—neutral.
Bonds: U.S. 3.8% vs. Eurozone 2.2%—yield gap weakens EUR—bullish.
╰┈➤News and Events Analysis
Recent: Trump tariffs (Feb 23-25) and Russia-Ukraine talks—risk-off lifts gold—bullish.
Upcoming: U.S. PCE (Feb 28)—hot data could lift USD/EUR, pressuring XAU/EUR; soft data boosts gold—mixed.
Impact: Bullish short-term, PCE reaction pivotal.
╰┈➤Next Trend Move
Technical: Support 2,686-2,650, resistance 2,750-2,800. Below 2,686 targets 2,600; above 2,750 aims for 2,850.
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Dip to 2,650 if PCE strengthens USD/EUR; up to 2,800 if risk-off persists.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range 2,600-2,900, driven by tariffs/inflation.
╰┈➤Future Prediction
Bullish: 2,850-2,900 by Q2 2025 if EUR weakens further (EUR/USD to 1.03), tariffs escalate, or PCE softens.
Bearish: 2,600-2,550 if PCE boosts USD/EUR (DXY to 107) or risk-on emerges.
Prediction: Mildly bearish short-term to 2,650, then bullish to 2,850 by mid-2025
╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook
XAU/EUR at 2,700.00 benefits from bullish drivers (global inflation, geopolitics, EUR weakness) but faces short-term risks from USD/EUR strength (PCE). COT and sentiment suggest consolidation, with quant signals favoring upside if support holds. Short-term dip to 2,650 possible, medium-term rise to 2,900 likely with risk-off momentum.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 2960.00
Sell Entry below 2925.00
However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
-Thief SL placed at 2920.00 for Bullish Trade
-Thief SL placed at 2955.00 for Bearish Trade
Using the 30min period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 3030.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2880.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook:
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullishness)., driven by several key factors.
⭐Fundamental Analysis
The current price of XAU/USD is 2940.00, indicating a strong bullish trend. The gold market is driven by various fundamental factors, including:
Inflation concerns: Rising inflation expectations and a potential decline in the US dollar may boost gold prices.
Interest rate policies: The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions may impact gold prices.
Global economic uncertainty: Ongoing trade tensions, Brexit uncertainty, and geopolitical risks may drive safe-haven demand for gold.
⭐Macro Economics
The global economic outlook is uncertain, with:
Recession concerns: Weak economic data and trade tensions have raised concerns about a potential global recession.
Central bank rate hikes: The US Federal Reserve and other central banks may continue to raise interest rates, impacting currency markets.
Inflation expectations: Rising inflation expectations may boost gold prices.
⭐COT Data
Commercial Traders: Net short 143,000 contracts (a decrease of 11,000 contracts from the previous week)
Non-Commercial Traders: Net long 104,000 contracts (an increase of 8,000 contracts from the previous week)
Non-Reportable Positions: Net long 39,000 contracts (an increase of 3,000 contracts from the previous week)
Open Interest: 544,000 contracts (a decrease of 10,000 contracts from the previous week)
⭐Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment for XAU/USD is:
Bullish: 62% of investors expect gold prices to rise, driven by inflation concerns and global economic uncertainty.
Bearish: 21% of investors expect gold prices to fall, driven by potential US dollar strength and interest rate hikes.
Neutral: 17% of investors remain neutral, awaiting further market developments.
⭐Intermarket Analysis
The XAU/USD pair is highly correlated with:
USD Index: A weaker US dollar may boost gold prices.
10-Year Treasury Yield: Lower yields may increase demand for gold.
S&P 500: A decline in the S&P 500 may drive safe-haven demand for gold.
⭐News and Events
Upcoming events that may impact the XAU/USD pair include:
US Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: March 15, 2025
US GDP Growth Rate: March 25, 2025
US Inflation Rate: March 29, 2025
⭐Seasonality
Gold prices tend to be:
Stronger during the winter months: Due to increased demand for jewelry and coins.
Weaker during the summer months: Due to decreased demand for jewelry and coins.
⭐Positioning Analysis
Traders are advised to:
Consider long-term investments: As gold prices are expected to rise due to inflation concerns and global economic uncertainty.
Monitor market volatility: As interest rate hikes and US dollar strength may impact gold prices.
Diversify portfolios: By investing in other assets, such as currencies, stocks, or bonds.
⭐Next Trend Move
The XAU/USD pair may experience a:
Bullish move: Driven by inflation concerns and the US Federal Reserve's potential interest rate hikes.
Bearish move: If the US dollar strengthens or global economic uncertainty increases.
⭐Overall Summary Outlook
The XAU/USD pair is expected to experience volatility due to:
Global economic uncertainty: Ongoing trade tensions, Brexit uncertainty, and geopolitical risks.
Inflation concerns: Rising inflation expectations and a potential decline in the US dollar.
Central bank rate hikes: The US Federal Reserve and other central banks may continue to raise interest rates.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
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Gold Surges Past $3,000 Amid Trump, Economic FearsThe glint of gold has intensified, piercing the $3,000 per ounce threshold, a symbolic milestone that echoes through centuries of economic and political upheaval.1 This surge, fueled by a potent cocktail of market anxieties and, notably, the amplified rhetoric of a potential Trump return, underscores gold's enduring role as a safe-haven asset and a barometer of global uncertainty.2 The psychological significance of breaching this key level cannot be overstated, solidifying gold's position as a timeless store of value in an increasingly volatile world.
The current rally, while rooted in broader economic anxieties, has received a significant jolt from the political landscape. The prospect of a second Trump presidency has injected a fresh wave of uncertainty into markets. His often-unconventional policy pronouncements, coupled with the potential for trade disputes and geopolitical tensions, have created a climate ripe for gold's ascent. Investors, seeking to mitigate potential risks, are flocking to the precious metal, driving its price to unprecedented heights.3
Beyond the political sphere, persistent economic concerns are also playing a crucial role. Inflation, despite recent efforts to tame it, remains a lurking threat. Global debt levels continue to climb, and concerns about a potential recession linger. These factors, combined with the inherent instability of fiat currencies, have bolstered gold's appeal as a hedge against economic turbulence.4 Gold, unlike paper money, cannot be printed at will, offering a sense of stability in an uncertain financial landscape.5
Furthermore, geopolitical instability is a perennial driver of gold prices. Ongoing conflicts, simmering tensions between major powers, and the ever-present threat of terrorism contribute to a sense of unease that pushes investors towards safe-haven assets. The perception of gold as a reliable store of value during times of crisis has been reinforced throughout history, and the current global climate is no exception.
The $3,000 milestone also serves as a potent reminder of gold's role as a gauge of fear in the markets.6 When investors are anxious, they tend to seek out safe havens, and gold has consistently proven to be a popular choice. The current surge in gold prices reflects a growing sense of unease about the future, both economically and politically.7 This fear, whether justified or not, is a powerful force driving market behavior.
The technical aspects of the gold market are also contributing to the rally. The break above $3,000 has triggered a wave of buying, as traders and investors seek to capitalize on the momentum. This technical breakout could lead to further gains in the short term, as the market tests new highs. The sheer psychological importance of the $3,000 level also draws in investors who were previously hesitant to participate.
However, it is crucial to recognize that gold prices are not immune to volatility. While the long-term outlook for gold remains positive, short-term fluctuations are inevitable.8 Factors such as changes in interest rates, shifts in investor sentiment, and unexpected geopolitical events can all impact gold prices.9 Investors considering gold as part of their portfolio should be prepared for potential price swings.
The current rally also raises questions about the long-term sustainability of these high prices. While gold's fundamental drivers remain strong, it is important to consider the potential for a correction. Historically, periods of rapid price appreciation have often been followed by periods of consolidation or decline. However, the unique confluence of factors currently supporting gold prices suggests that the rally may have further room to run.
In conclusion, the breach of the $3,000 per ounce mark is a significant milestone for gold, reflecting a confluence of economic, political, and psychological factors. The potential return of Trump, coupled with persistent economic anxieties and geopolitical instability, has created a perfect storm for gold's ascent. This surge underscores gold's enduring role as a safe-haven asset and a gauge of fear in the markets.10 While the future remains uncertain, gold's historical performance suggests that it will continue to play a crucial role in investor portfolios, offering a sense of stability in an increasingly turbulent world. The breaking of such a psychological barrier will also inevitably drive more speculative investment, and thus, drive the market further, at least in the short term. Investors should continue to monitor the global landscape and adjust their strategies accordingly, while recognizing the inherent volatility of the precious metals market. The allure of gold, however, remains strong, a testament to its enduring appeal as a timeless store of value.
Gold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 levelGold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 level, navigating through a well-defined ascending channel where the upper boundary has acted as long-term resistance and the lower boundary as dynamic support. The price has respected this structure, with multiple touches reinforcing its integrity. However, a recent double top near the upper boundary signals potential bullish exhaustion, increasing the probability of a downside move. If the price remains below this key level, further declines are likely, with $2,720 emerging as a crucial support zone—aligned with the golden pocket on the Fibonacci retracement, making it a prime area for a reaction.
The Alternative Scenario: The New Economy's Bullish Case
Despite the bearish structure, gold in the new economy presents an alternative bullish outlook. A smaller bullish channel has formed between $2,789 and $2,855, suggesting that buyers are still in control within this range. If this mini uptrend holds, it could fuel another breakout attempt above recent highs, invalidating the bearish scenario and positioning gold for a renewed push toward higher levels.
For now, gold is at a crossroads, with $2,720 as the primary target on the downside—but if buyers defend this level or sustain the new bullish channel, the uptrend may persist in the evolving economic landscape.
Unlock self-rescue guide hereNotice! The gold market has suddenly changed! Gold, which had been rising all the way, has now shown a peak signal, and a decline has become inevitable.
The current big Yinxian is falling straight, and the market is completely shrouded in a bearish atmosphere. From a technical perspective, the evening star pattern is significant, which is often a strong signal of trend reversal. At the same time, the gold price deviates seriously from the moving average. This deviation is difficult to maintain in the market for a long time, and returning to rationality is an observable rule.
Looking at the four-hour line again, the big Yinxian entity strongly engulfs the Yangxian, directly breaking through the support line, forming an extremely strong bearish engulfing pattern, which means that the space below has been opened, and a plunge may be just around the corner. Are you ready to meet this storm in the gold market? Opportunities always coexist with risks, and now is the time to test investors' decisiveness.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
Gold weekly chart with both buy and sell levels See latest update on Gold for the coming week.
For a buy am looking at entering at 2914 expecting 2920 as first resistance.
For a sell ill look at entering at 2904 and expecting a move to 2889 as firat resistance.
Short idea this week as have other commitments but ill update when i get a chance in the coming week.