3.11 Analysis of gold short-term operation suggestionsOn Monday (March 10), the latest spot gold (XAU/USD) was quoted at $2915.01, up 0.10% on the day. In the Asian session, the gold price remained in a narrow range around $2914, but since 15:25 Beijing time, gold has fluctuated downward from $2915.39, reaching a low of $2896.73.
Fundamental analysis: The Fed's interest rate meeting is approaching, and the market is cautiously watching
At present, the gold market has entered a sideways consolidation phase, and investors are evaluating multiple factors, including the Fed's upcoming policy meeting on March 19 and the latest economic statements of US President Trump. In an interview with the media, Trump said that the US economy is in a "transition" stage, and the market has generally believed that the US economy is at risk of recession.
Market sentiment and capital flows: Short-term funds are cautious, and gold is still supported
Technical analysis: Long and short divergences are increasing, key support and resistance levels
From a technical perspective, the gold price is currently consolidating around $2890. The key resistance above is the intraday high of $2918.19, followed by the intraday R1 resistance of $2927 and the R2 resistance of $2945. If the gold price breaks through $2945, the market may challenge the historical high of $2956 set on February 24.
In terms of support below, the $2900 integer mark and the S1 support level of $2893 constitute double support. If it falls below this area, the gold price may test the S2 support level of $2878. Technical analysts believe that if Trump does not release additional tariff policy signals in the near future, market sentiment may gradually stabilize, and gold may pull back to the support range in the short term to accumulate power for subsequent gains.
Conclusion: Short-term consolidation, pay attention to the dynamics of the Federal Reserve
Overall, gold is currently maintaining a range of fluctuations, and the short-term trend is subject to the expectations of the Federal Reserve meeting and the uncertainty of the US economic outlook. Investors need to focus on the interest rate meeting on March 19 and the impact of the remarks of Federal Reserve officials on market sentiment in the coming weeks. In the current context, the market still tends to look for buying opportunities in pullbacks. If the gold price remains above $2,893, the bulls will still have a certain advantage.
Goldprice
Gold bullish trend signalFrom the 1-hour chart: Daylight saving time will be implemented today, and the US market will open one hour earlier; the current Asian and European sessions are still in a fierce sweep, falling sharply to the 2895 line, and then rebounding to 2915, at which time it began to decline again; for the consolidation with poor continuity, it is better to wait patiently for a relatively low or relatively high level to grasp the ups and downs. Everyone knows the operating range in the past few days, which is 2890-2930, and wait for stability; if it can continue to stabilize in the 2895-2890 area tonight, then continue to be bullish on dips; if it is still under pressure below 2930, then participate in bearish declines on rallies; another point, because it is a sweep and consolidation, it may pierce the key support, such as piercing 2895 or 2890 and then pulling back, and because the overall trend remains upward, breaking through 2930 is generally not likely to pierce, but directly continue to rush; on the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly to do more on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2928-2930 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2890-2894 support line. Go long in batches near 2895-2898, with the target near 2915-2920.
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Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute Chart Analysis – Bearish Breakdown & ShThis chart represents the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) price action on a 30-minute timeframe.
Key Observations:
Support and Resistance Levels:
The chart has clearly marked resistance around $2,930 and support near $2,885-$2,890.
A breakout attempt above the resistance failed, leading to a strong rejection.
Market Structure:
The price has been in a sideways range before breaking down from the resistance zone.
A lower high and lower low formation indicate a potential bearish trend.
Trade Setup:
Short Position:
Entry: Around $2,898.48 (current price).
Stop-Loss: Around $2,906.35 (marked in red).
Take-Profit: Around $2,884.31 (marked in green).
This setup suggests a risk-reward ratio favoring the downside move.
Volume Analysis:
A spike in selling volume supports the bearish momentum.
The lack of strong bullish volume confirms a weaker buying presence.
Conclusion:
Bearish bias with a potential price target of $2,884.31.
If the price fails to hold below $2,898, a retest of the resistance zone may occur.
Traders should watch for confirmation signals before entering trades.
3.11When will gold break out of its range?Will gold continue to adjust downward after the wash, or will it break upward after this period of consolidation?
1: Trump announced on the 7th that Russia launched a fierce attack on Ukraine. In order to encourage the two sides to sit down at the negotiating table for friendly negotiations, sanctions and tariffs will be imposed on Russia, including banks, until both sides are willing to stop the exchange of fire. This has increased the uncertainty of geopolitical risks, which will be a boost for gold.
2: Fed Chairman Powell reiterated at a press conference on Friday that the current US economic performance is relatively ideal, and the Fed does not intend to rush to cut interest rates next. As we all know, interest rate cuts will stimulate gold to rise, and slowing down the pace of interest rate cuts will form resistance for gold.
Since gold entered the adjustment on February 11, the repeated high-level roller coaster shock wash has been brewing for a month, and it is time to end. The gold price has repeatedly fluctuated around $2,900, and even the non-agricultural data failed to break the support of $2,890 and the pressure of $2,930.
As for gold, the focus is still on $2890 as the support point. As long as it is not lost here, it is still mainly based on reaching the bottom of the box. For players of physical gold, it is not recommended to repeatedly get on and off the gold when the funds are idle. It seems smart but will eventually miss it perfectly.
Trading strategy:
You can consider getting on the train within the range of 2900-2895, and defend below 2880 US dollars. The focus above is on the breakthrough of the 2920-30 pressure area.
Seize the opportunity to go long on goldTechnical indicators send strong signals, and the gold rising channel has been opened. At this moment, you should decisively go long and follow the trend, so that your wealth can ride on this wave of gold bull market and soar all the way.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies, so you no longer blindly follow the trend.
RSI is oversold, suggesting a bottom-picking signalAlthough the unexpected cold non-farm data last Friday failed to push gold prices above the key resistance of $2,930, the logic of gold's rise has not been shaken - the five core supporting factors of global central banks' increased holdings, continued inflows of ETFs, surge in demand for physical gold, deepening of the U.S. debt crisis and excessive money supply are constantly consolidating the long-term bull market foundation of gold. From a technical perspective, the daily MACD maintains a golden cross and the energy column expands. The weekly big positive line has established a medium-term upward trend. 2,990 is only the first target, and 3,000 or even higher may become the new normal.
The short-term market is in a volatile adjustment, but this is a necessary accumulation stage for a healthy rise. The current gold price is repeatedly pulling back in the range of 2,918-2,890, which is essentially a process of digesting previous profit-taking and waiting for new catalytic events. If it can effectively stand firm at the key support of $2,890, it is expected to restart the upward trend and challenge the historical high. It is worth noting that against the backdrop of the continued rise in expectations of the Fed's interest rate cuts, the spillover of geopolitical conflict risks and high global inflation, the dual attributes of gold's "anti-inflation + safe-haven" will continue to attract capital inflows. The general trend is still mainly to go long after falling back to lows.
Gold strategy suggestion: continue to go long after falling back to around 2900-2910.
Seize the opportunity to go long on goldFrom the trend point of view. Comparing the long and short positions, the long position is still slightly stronger. At present, the gold price fluctuates in a narrow range around 2905. There is no major news to boost or suppress the gold price in the short term. From the trend point of view, it is obvious that the rebound of gold is not enough to support the rebound and continuation of the breakthrough of gold. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of short-selling power, the bulls will regain control of the situation, and there will be very good trading opportunities for long gold. Now we are long gold around 2905-2910. The target is 2915-2920 area, wish us good luck! Brothers, are you following me to go long on gold?
Gold is expected to break out of the current rangeThe daily chart shows that the international gold price has fallen into a high-level shock consolidation trend after rebounding from a one-month low. The current price is repeatedly sawing in the 2900-2930 range, and the market's long and short forces tend to be balanced. Technical indicators show subtle differentiation: the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average form a dead cross and then turn upward, suggesting that there are signs of stabilization in the short term; the momentum of the MACD indicator candle chart continues to shrink, but the dead cross rhythm has slowed down; the KDJ indicator forms a low-level golden cross, and the RSI indicator rebounds from the oversold area, indicating that market sentiment is turning from pessimism to cautious optimism. However, the upper 2930 area gathers multiple pressures-this position is both the rebound high last Friday and the key resistance level of the previous failed breakthrough, suppressing the further upward space of gold prices.
In terms of fundamentals, the US non-farm payrolls data in February was unexpectedly lower than expected, reinforcing the market's expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates this year. Historical experience shows that interest rate cut cycles are often beneficial to interest-free assets such as gold, which provides medium- and long-term support for gold prices. But in the short term, the market still needs to wait for more economic data to verify the Fed's policy stance. During this period, gold prices are more susceptible to fluctuations in the US dollar index and changes in US bond yields.
Focus on the key support level of 2900 above $2930 as the primary pressure target. If US economic data continues to weaken, gold prices are expected to break through the current range of fluctuations and retest last year's highs. Operational advice: Go long near 2905-2910, target 2915-2920.
3.10 Gold short-term operation analysis and suggestionsIn early Asian trading on Monday (March 10), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $2,912.60 per ounce. Gold prices have fluctuated at high levels for three consecutive trading days, but they still rose 1.65% on a weekly basis, helped by safe-haven inflows and the U.S. employment report showing that job growth in February was lower than expected, suggesting that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates this year. In addition, the volatile tariff policy of U.S. President Trump has also increased uncertainty.
Gold continues to fluctuate in a range, and the overall trend is in an upward trend. After the adjustment, the price of gold will continue to rise. The idea is to continue to step back on low-multiple operations. Pay attention to the 2898 support during the day. Relying on this position, short-term long, stop loss 2889, stop profit at 2922/2932. Breaking the 2932 suppression is expected to further rush to a new high.
In addition, if it falls below the support near 2889, coupled with the recent strength of the U.S. dollar, gold may fall further, so if it falls below the support, don't consider continuing to go long, pay attention to the risk.
March 10th gold short-term trading: long near 2898, stop loss 2889, take profit 2922/2932
Backup ideas: (fall below 2889, rebound to 2896 and continue to short, stop loss 2904, take profit 2880-2876)
Gold (XAUUSD) is now rangebound (2893-2928) round about 350 pipsGold (XAUUSD) is now rangebound (2893-2928) round about 350 pips price in range. The consoludations periods will end with a high-pressure move. On the other hand, the US Index is at the support level.
The rangebound market is good for scalpers like price movement in range; they buy from the bottom and sell from the top. But in my view, the market makes 4 times the top and gives them the respect, and 5 times the bottom level. Now wait for the breakout and the confirmations of the breakout.
The possible best setups is following:
Selling Zone: 2922-2928
Stop loss should be above 2932
Take Profit Level: 2917, 2908 and 2890
The buying level should be 2896-2892
Stop loss; 2886
Take profit levels: 2905, 2916, and 2928.
Keep in mind;
The market price changed every second, and do follow the analysis with your own risk and take 1% of the account.
Gold strategy layout and operation suggestions for next weekAt present, the international gold price is in a range of fluctuations, and the game between long and short forces in the market has intensified. Technically, the gold price has formed a key suppression at the 2930 line. This position is the starting point of the previous decline. After several unsuccessful attacks, this resistance level has put obvious pressure on the short-term gold price. If it can break through effectively, it may launch an attack on the 2955 mark; on the contrary, if it encounters resistance and falls back, the lower support level will move to the 2900-2895 US dollar area.
Technical indicators release bearish signals:
From the daily chart, the gold price has ended the previous two days of continuous positive rebound and turned into a weak oscillation pattern. The price fluctuation has narrowed to near the middle track of Bollinger, indicating that the market direction is temporarily unclear. However, multiple indicators at the 4-hour level show consistent bearish signals: the KDJ indicator is blunted at a low level to form a clear downward momentum, and the MACD fast and slow lines turn downward and are accompanied by the release of bearish energy, suggesting that the gold price may continue the correction trend. In addition, MA5 and MA10 in the moving average system form a dead cross, further strengthening the short-term bearish expectations.
Gold operation suggestions for next week: short near rebound 2925-2930, stop loss 2938, target 2905
Chasing the gold wave and steering the direction of wealthFaced with the complex and ever-changing international situation, geopolitical conflicts and economic data fluctuations, as a qualified trader, he can always unravel the mystery, predict the trend of gold prices from the macroeconomic pattern, and skillfully grasp the timing of entry and exit. In the field of gold trading, his forward-looking analysis of industry trends and in-depth research on corporate fundamentals help tap potential markets and avoid potential risks.
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Gold trading continues to win and make profitsFriends who followed me to short in the 2920-2925 area, I made a profit of 140 pips this time, which is a good trading result. It has been proven to be effective. Others are still waiting and watching. I directly hit hard to short gold. This wave of operations is a sure win. Just wait and count the money.
This week's cumulative profit reached 30k. This achievement is inseparable from the close tracking of the market, the flexible use of technical analysis, and the accurate interpretation of fundamental news. Next week we will continue to maintain a rigorous trading attitude, optimize strategies, and continue to write good results in the gold market.
You can move your fingers and join my channel to make making money a pleasure. If there are good trading opportunities later, I will share them again in the channel. If you want to make money happily, you can join my channel.
Seize the opportunity to short goldTrading must have methods and rules, and it is not done casually based on feelings. In addition to trends, the market also has time points, and the position and time must match. Therefore, risk control is the first consideration. Only with appropriate position management can you dare to do it and take it, not afraid of stop loss, and gradually stabilize profits according to the trading system.
So in the short term, you can still try to short gold again. I have already shorted gold near 2920-2925. The target is 2910-2900 area. Wish us good luck! Brothers, are you following me to short gold?
Keep an eye on gold! Wait for the best time to enter the marketOn the road of trading, impatient people often lose their way, and only those who are patient can grasp the real opportunities. If you don’t have a good position to participate in the transaction, it is just right to hone your mind and let patience become your trading background. When the time is right, you can reap rich rewards in one fell swoop.You can move your fingers and join my channel to make making money a pleasure. If there is a good trading opportunity later, I will share it again in the channel. If you want to make money happily, you can join my channel.
Gold 2919-2925 short, waiting for non-agricultural guidanceBefore the non-agricultural data is released, the short-term trend is likely to continue to fluctuate. At present, the amplitude of the fluctuation is too large. The current support below is maintained at 90, and the pressure above is maintained at 20. In the short term, we can do some oscillation operations around this range. Once a breakthrough occurs, we can continue to follow up in the later stage. The previous value of non-agricultural data is 14.3, and the expected value is 16. The value in the evening is likely to be higher than 16, which may also have a negative effect. In the day, we still wait for the bulls to pull back and short near 2919-2925, and the target is the area near 2910-2900.
You can move your fingers and join my channel to make making money a pleasure. If there is a good trading opportunity later, I will share it in the channel again. If you want to make money happily, you can join my channel.