XAU/USD Forming Higher Lows – Eyes on Breakout Zone
Gold is showing signs of bullish momentum after rebounding from key support near 3,207. If price sustains above this level and breaks 3,265 resistance, a potential upside continuation could be expected. Monitoring for confirmation of trend reversal.
Goldprice
Gold's callback remains bearish
As expected, the market weakened and fell again. Today, the lowest price fell to 3215. There are countless opportunities to stop profit and leave the market. Even if you don't operate, you can see the strategy time I publish every day. This can be regarded as the first round of gains since the opening. Although there is no long position, the short position is still good!
Approaching the European session, I also mentioned at noon that the rebound upward can continue to bet on the second short position. Both the time and the point are given. The highest rebound in the European session is 3266. The point I gave is 3260-63. There should be countless opportunities to enter the market. The current gold price fell to 3237! Still the same point of view, it is easy to make a profit of at least 20-30 points each time! If you have been facing losses, it means that you have not focused on the free strategies I publish every day.
Traders who did not enter the market today are advised to continue to pay attention to the 3266 resistance and enter the market again. The support below is 3215. Before the data market is released, it will be treated as a volatile trend. I will make real-time suggestions when the breakout occurs.
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, please leave a message below, I will be very happy
CPI data released. Impact on gold prices?Gold suffered a setback this week; but then it rose to $3,250 and began to fluctuate slightly.
CPI data was released this morning, but it did not have a big impact on gold. The current price is still in a sideways trend.
Two support positions need to be paid attention to today:
Downward $3,230 support line, if it falls below this position, the gold price will quickly reach below $3,200.
Upward $3,270 resistance line, if it breaks through the resistance position strongly, there is hope to try to break through $3,300.
Quaid believes that if the gold price fails to break through today and presents a new trend, it is likely to continue the sideways trend.
CPI data released, golden day analysis and operation layout🗞News side:
1. CPI data is in line with expectations, short-term positive
📈Technical aspects:
As we wrote in the last post, from the 4H point of view, the oversold is serious, and there is a need for rebound correction in the short term. At present, the fluctuation of gold prices is mainly affected by news. Technical analysis and indicators can only be used as a side analysis guide and reference. Gold bottomed out in the morning and rebounded, and the European market continued to rise above 3250. This means that today is not a very weak bear. At the same time, the daily line touches the 30-day moving average support. There is a high probability of turning positive today. The overall idea is to treat the market as a shock.
Intraday gold operation suggestions:
🎁BUY 3240-3250
🎁TP 3260-3270
Looking further towards the 3277 line
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSDHey traders!
The second trade of the day comes from XAUUSD (Gold).
Yesterday, due to Trump’s recent remarks about agreements with China, gold saw a significant pullback. However, I believe this drop—whether short-term or long-term—is temporary. In fact, from a macro perspective, I still see gold potentially reaching levels like $3600 in the long run.
But as a day trader, I always aim for setups with 1:1.50 or 1:2 risk-to-reward ratios. That’s my focus. Long-term expectations don’t impact my short-term executions.
🔍 One important note: My signals are often sniper entries, and that’s no coincidence. I closely monitor order flow and volume-based price movements. That’s why, if the price starts moving sideways (ranging) after my entry, I tend to manually close the position to protect capital.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3255.39
✔️ Take Profit: 3265.55
✔️ Stop Loss: 3250.16
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
GOLD Sell Setup Alert – High-Probability Trade Sell GOLD @ 3256
🎯 Targets:
TP 1 → 3248
TP 2 → 3240
TP 3 → 3220
🛑 Stop Loss: 3267
⚠️ Enter slowly in layers with proper risk and money management.
This setup is based on technical levels – stay disciplined and trade smart.
📊 Follow for more premium setups on Crypto & Forex.
#GoldSignal #ForexTrading #XAUUSD #SellSetup #ForexSignals #RiskManagement #SmartTrading
Gold May Drop Further Below the $3,200 Level in the Short TermGold (XAU/USD) faces the risk of a deeper decline if the following factors continue to develop unfavorably for the precious metal:
📌 1. Continued Improvement in US-China Relations
• The joint statement between the US and China has eased trade tensions.
• If both sides announce more concrete agreements or actions (such as tariff reductions or market access), safe-haven demand may weaken significantly, leading to gold sell-offs.
📌 2. Sustained Strength in the US Dollar
• The USD is strengthening on expectations that the Fed will maintain higher interest rates for longer.
• Capital continues to flow into the USD rather than gold, especially as US bond yields rise.
📌 3. Lack of Supportive News for Gold
• Geopolitical risk factors have temporarily subsided.
• Inflationary pressure is no longer strong enough to support gold prices as before.
📉 Key Support Levels Ahead
If gold breaks below the $3,200 level, the next potential support zones include:
• $3,185 – a recent short-term low (if applicable)
• $3,160 – $3,170 – a technical support confluence zone
• $3,140 – a strong psychological support level, and a potential target if a sell-off intensifies
⚠️ Recommendation
• If gold decisively breaks below $3,200 with rising volume and continued positive developments in US-China trade, the downtrend could accelerate.
• Traders should monitor the $3,195–$3,200 range closely to assess whether to expand short positions.
Gold fell and then rose to $3,250. Next trend?News summary:
After two days of negotiations in Geneva, China and the United States announced that they would reduce tariffs on each other in the next three months: the US tariff on Chinese imports would be reduced from 145% to 30%, and China's tariff on US goods would be reduced from 125% to 10%. This news pushed global stock markets up.
Boosted by the agreement, market risk appetite has increased, investors' concerns about the US recession have eased, and expectations for the Fed's aggressive rate cuts this year have also declined accordingly, which has pushed the US dollar to continue to strengthen, and gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has come under pressure.
Technical analysis:
Gold prices fell below the 21-day moving average on Monday, when the average was at $3,313, further increasing downside risks. The 14-day relative strength index also fell below the midline for the first time since early April, sending a bearish signal. Buyers are trying to regain control of the situation.
Traders need to pay attention to the release of US CPI data.
I think if the US CPI data is higher than expected, gold prices may start a new round of decline, with the target being $3,145 near the 50-day moving average. The important support level below is $3,100.
On the contrary, if the CPI data is lower than expected, gold prices are expected to re-enter the 21-day SMA, which is currently $3,311. Once this resistance is broken, it will test the trend line resistance at $3,430. If it breaks further, the trend will open up space for gold prices to hit the historical high of $3,500.
Gold Sees Technical Rebound, But Downtrend Remains IntactGold has seen a modest rebound from its lowest level in over a week, driven by dip-buying interest. However, the overall downtrend remains intact as risk appetite increases across markets, following a temporary trade and tariff agreement between the U.S. and China. This progress has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
In addition, if the U.S. continues to release more positive updates on bilateral trade relations, downward pressure on gold is likely to persist — especially amid a stronger U.S. Dollar. As such, current rebounds are likely to be technical in nature, and investors should exercise caution with long positions.
🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario
Gold (XAU/USD) may continue a technical recovery around the $3,275–$3,280 zone due to bottom-fishing activity. However, without a clear breakout, the broader trend remains bearish, driven by:
• Increasing risk-on sentiment
• Continued USD strength
🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy
• Short-term Sell in the zone: $3,275 – $3,280
• Short-term Buy in the zone: $3,205 – $3,210
• Always use tight stop-losses to mitigate risk from news-driven volatility.
💡 Short-Term Trade Setup
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,275 – $3,280
• 🎯 TP1: $3,265
• 🎯 TP2: $3,255
• 🚨 SL: $3,300
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,205 – $3,210
• 🎯 TP1: $3,215
• 🎯 TP2: $3,225
• 🚨 SL: $3,195
XAU/USD 13 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains remains the same as analysis dated 07 May 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bearish pullback following previous bullish iBOS.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not mark the previous iBOS. I have however marked this in red.
Price continued bullish and subsequently printed a bearish iBOS to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,435.055
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Ideas - Tuesday May 13 ahead of CPI🧠 GOLD (XAUUSD) – Reaction Zones & Ideas – May 13, 2025
🔹 Bias: Bearish with Corrective Bounce - potential flip to bullish
Gold is currently retracing after reacting off the 3220 liquidity sweep zone. While price is moving upward intraday, the overall structure remains bearish on the higher timeframes. This is a corrective bounce unless we break decisively above 3297.
Today’s CPI release brings volatility risk. Price may spike into premium zones before reversing. Stay reactive — not predictive.
📊 Key 4H Reaction Zones
These are zones of interest where price may reverse or accelerate, depending on behavior inside.
🔴 Potential Sell Zones
• 3272–3287
Lower premium trap zone. Strong confluence area ahead of CPI.
Watch for early rejection if price spikes here.
• 3292–3308
HTF OB + FVG combo. If price drives here quickly, high probability of overextension fade.
• 3315–3330
Final upper sweep zone. Only valid if price breaks above 3300 aggressively during NY.
🟢 Potential Buy Zones
• 3220–3240
Confirmed sweep base. If price calmly retests, may provide second entry opportunity.
• 3170–3190
Deep HTF demand zone. Only in play if CPI triggers heavy downside movement.
⚠️ CPI Volatility Alert
CPI releases at 12:30 GMT / 15:30 GMT+3.
This event can trigger unpredictable price action — fakeouts, long wicks, and rapid reversals. Wait for structure. Let the market reveal the plan.
🧠 Final Note
The zone is never the trade.
The behavior inside is.
Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Gold rebound is a good time to shortGold has been in a volatile state since the opening today, opening at 3236 and reaching a high of 3243. It is currently fluctuating in the form of shocks. With the comprehensive ceasefire between India and Pakistan and the peace talks in the Sino-US tariff war, gold will still be in a downward trend. Although it is in a downward trend, we should not chase the short position directly. We can just treat the rebound as shorting. The main trend is still to short on the rebound. After all, the general trend is bearish.
In the 4-hour chart, the weak stage is oscillating downwards, and the resistance of the middle rail has moved down to the 3300 mark. At the same time, there is still a gap to be filled, and it is currently in shock above the neckline. There are two differentiated moves here. One is to go sideways and weakly consolidate and then directly break the neckline of 3200 and go for in-depth adjustments. The other is to rebound above 3200 to correct and build momentum, forming a wave of poised to break low. One is weak consolidation to break low, and the other is poised to break low. Overall, it is optimistic that the market will break through the low of 3200, but it reflects the various changes in the short-term form. The upper 3250-3260 range has gathered intensive trading resistance, forming short-term strong pressure. In short-term operation, first go short on rallies below 3260, and first look at the profit from this wave of correction! Next, we will look at the previous low support of 3200. If the position is broken, we will continue to see the downward continuation. If the position is not broken, we will place long orders on the backhand. At that time, we will choose the opportunity to lay out the long-term plan based on the support of 3200. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3248-3252 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3200-3160 support line.
Gold operation suggestion: short gold near 3245-3255, target around 3220-3210. Gold will go long when it pulls back around 3210-3200, with the target around 3230-3250.
Gold turning point. What signals are hidden?Overall analysis of gold trend:
Gold prices suffered a setback under the influence of the optimism of tomorrow's US-China negotiations. The core reason for the decline in gold prices is the breakthrough in global tariff negotiations.
The key factor driving the rise in gold prices early on: Tariff concerns are significantly easing, which directly leads to the gold market entering a phased consolidation.
I think the price of gold will fluctuate in the range of US$3,000-3,300 per ounce for some time to come. This forecast range is significantly narrower than before, reflecting that in the current complex and changing market environment, gold price fluctuations will tend to be rational.
I think the gold price at this time is already at the crossroads of an important trend.
The current gold market is facing a fierce game between long and short factors. On the one hand, the optimism brought about by the easing of trade tensions suppresses gold prices; on the other hand, the safe-haven demand generated by economic uncertainty, potential spot shortages, and the continued inflow of ETF funds provide support for gold prices. This complex market environment makes the trend of gold prices full of variables.
For traders, it is more necessary to remain rational in the current market environment, pay attention to short-term price fluctuations, and grasp the long-term value of gold as a safe-haven asset. The next round of big market in the gold market may be nurtured in these seemingly contradictory market signals.
Operation strategy:
Traders need to try to adopt scalping trading strategies in the current small fluctuation range, enter the market in time, and take profits in time.
The current fluctuation range is between $3200 and $3245. You can try to short near the high point and long at the low point, so that you can reap a small profit.
If you are a large-capital customer who can withstand market fluctuations, you can hold the position and wait and see for part of the time, and then choose the appropriate time to close the position.
Tariff easing has just begun
📌 Driving factors
The historic easing of tariffs between China and the United States, the imminent peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, and the market's pricing of geopolitical risks have obviously cooled down, which has further shrunk the demand for gold as a regional safe-haven tool. The situation in the Middle East is complicated, and it is necessary to monitor the latest developments in real time, focus on the latest developments in the follow-up news, and adjust strategies in real time.
📊Comment analysis
In the Asian session, gold is concerned about the upper resistance at $3,250 today. The rebound relies on the resistance below to continue shorting. The lower point is $3,207. If it falls below, it will be $3,150. For specific operations, please pay attention to the free channel.
💰Strategy Package
Long position:
Actively participate at 3200 points, with a profit target of around 3230 points
Short position:
Actively participate at around 3245 points, with a profit target of around 3220 points
Labaron believes
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning profits is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profits are the only proof of being able to stand up from the mountains of corpses and seas of blood.
Decisively start the short-selling layoutThe results of the China-US talks were significant and exceeded market expectations. China and the US issued a joint statement, the core of which was to end the tariff war and reduce the tariffs of both sides to 34%, of which 24% will be temporarily exempted within 90 days.
At present, there is still a demand for a rebound. For the US market, we should first look at the area around 3245-55. If the rebound is in place, continue to play short orders to look at the target position of 3200. If it breaks upward, find a new point layout. This week's data and news will have a further impact on gold.
Operation suggestion: Short gold when it rebounds to around 3245-3255, pay attention to 3220 and 3200
Gold is losing its shine as the US and China move closerGold price (XAU/USD) has dropped below $3,300 and is now trading around $3,275 in the Asian session on Monday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar and optimism from US-China trade talks. Both sides reported “substantial progress” after two days of negotiations in Switzerland, reducing safe-haven demand for gold. However, ongoing trade uncertainties and geopolitical tensions may still provide some support. While military activity between India and Pakistan has eased following a ceasefire, the risk of conflict remains.
🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario:
This week, gold (XAU/USD) may continue to face downward pressure due to positive expectations surrounding the US-China trade process, which reduces demand for safe-haven assets. If the US releases more favorable trade details, risk sentiment could improve, causing capital to flow out of gold. A stronger US Dollar also adds pressure to the metal.
🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• If the price rebounds to the $3,275–$3,300 zone but fails to break through, consider shorting with targets at $3,240 or $3,200.
• Conversely, if the price breaks above $3,300, wait for confirmation to open a long position.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
SELL XAU/USD Zone: $3,275 – $3,295
• TP1: $3,240
• TP2: $3,200
🚨 SL: $3,310
BUY XAU/USD Zone: $3,305 – $3,315
• TP1: $3,325
• TP2: $3,350
🚨 SL: $3,290
Gold plunged. Will it rebound?Market Summary:
Gold prices suddenly saw a new round of selling in Asian markets on Monday, and the price of gold just fell to $3,210/ounce, reaching today's low, a drop of nearly $110.
Gold prices weakened at the beginning of the new week as the latest optimism about the US-China trade agreement continued to weaken demand for traditional safe-haven assets.
At the same time, positive signals from the US-China negotiations eased market concerns about a US recession. This, coupled with the Fed's hawkish comments, helped the dollar stabilize near multi-week highs and put pressure on gold. The gold price trend seems quite fragile. Gold prices fell and broke below the main bullish trend line in the short term, which sent a bearish signal, indicating that the trend may change.
I think the US-China trade agreement will have an impact on gold prices for a period of time.
Technical Analysis:
Gold's 4-hour level oscillation downward trend is relatively obvious, and the shape is a step downward. After the gold gapped down, there was a large gap. The gold rebound was unable to continue to fall. It is not easy to cover it in the short term. It will be covered in the process of the market. On the whole, for the short-term operation of gold today, Quide suggested that the rebound should be shorted as the main strategy, and the retracement should be long as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term trading should focus on the upward resistance of 3240-3250 US dollars, and the downward resistance should focus on the support position of 3200-3190 US dollars.
Today's operation strategy:
Operation strategy 1: Short the price when it rebounds to around 3245 US dollars, stop loss at 3260 US dollars, and take profit near 3210.
Operation strategy 2: Long the price when it falls back to 3210 US dollars, stop loss at 3200 US dollars, and take profit near 3240.
Gold Sniper Zones - XAUUSD May 12 Monday🔍 Key Intraday Demand Zones (Potential Bounce Areas)
🔵 3220–3200
Current area of interest with short-term absorption signs
May serve as temporary reaccumulation base if bulls defend this area
Ideal zone for intraday reaction → confirmation required before acting
🔵 3180-3165
Strong historical reaction level
Previously held structure before rally
If price breaks below 3209, this is likely where buyers will re-enter aggressively
🔺 First Major Intraday Resistance Zones
🔴 3240–3255
First clean lower high zone
Recent bearish pressure originated here
Any bounce toward this area may face sharp rejection
🔴 3275 - 3290
Former structure base, now flipped
Watch for potential NY spike into this region → rejection likely without a confirmed breakout
🧠 Final Words:
Gold isn’t in freefall. It’s moving between precision zones that traders either recognize — or get wrecked by.
At this stage:
Below 3209 = bearish pressure likely continues toward 3170s
Above 3255 = watch for liquidity sweeps and false confidence
🎯 Stay with structure. Ignore the noise. Let the market earn your entries.
Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Shorts were active at the beginning of this week, and prices fel
📌 Gold driving factors
The joint statement of the Sino-US Geneva economic and trade talks has just been released. This development has hit the safe-haven demand for gold and has become the fuse for a new round of gold selling.
Coupled with the hawkish "holding back" of the Federal Reserve, the dollar has remained stable near its multi-week high and put pressure on gold. The trend of gold prices seems quite fragile.
📊Commentary analysis
The next resistance for gold prices is the static barrier of $3360-3365/ounce. If it can be decisively overcome, it will eliminate the recent bearish tendency and lay the foundation for gold prices to regain the $3400/ounce mark.
💰Strategy Package
⭐️Set Gold Price:
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3315-3317 SL 3322
TP1: $3300
TP2: $3290
TP3: $3280
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3223 - $3225 SL $3218
TP1: $3238
TP2: $3245
TP3: $3260
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Golden Opportunity: XAU/USD’s Bull & Bear Heist Strategy!Hello Money Makers & Market Bandits! 🤑💰✈️
Get ready to raid the XAU/USD Gold Market with our cunning Thief Trading Style, blending sharp technicals and deep fundamental insights! 📊🔥 Our plan? Strike with precision on both bullish and bearish moves, grabbing profits before the market turns. Let’s outwit the charts and stack that gold! 🏆💸
📈 The Gold Heist Plan
Entry Points 🚪:
🏴☠️ Bullish Move: Wait for a pullback to the Institutional Hidden Buy Zone at 3080—your signal to jump in for bullish gains!
🏴☠️ Bearish Move: Watch for a breakout below the neutral level at 3200—time to ride the bearish wave!
Tip: Set alerts to catch these key levels! 🔔
Stop Loss (SL) 🛑:
Bullish Trade: Place SL at 2960 (4H swing low, Institutional Hidden Buy Zone).
Bearish Trade: Set SL at 3360 (4H swing high).
Adjust SL based on your risk, lot size, and number of orders. Stay sharp—this is your shield! ⚠️
Take Profit (TP) 🎯:
Bullish Robbers: Aim for 3660 or exit early if momentum fades.
Bearish Robbers: Target 3080 or slip out before the market flips.
Escape Plan: Watch for overbought/oversold signals to avoid traps! 🚨
📡 Why XAU/USD?
The Gold Market is in a bearish trend 🐻, driven by:
Fundamentals: USD strength from Fed policy, US growth, and tariffs.
Macroeconomics: US resilience vs. global economic weakness.
COT Data: Bearish speculative bets favor USD.
Intermarket: Rising US yields and equities boost USD, pressuring gold.
Quantitative: RSI and Fibonacci confirm bearish momentum.
🧠 Sentiment Outlook (May 12, 2025)
Retail Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 42% 😊 (Hoping for gold rebound on trade war fears)
🔴 Bearish: 45% 😟 (USD strength and improved US-China relations weigh)
⚪ Neutral: 13% 🤔
Source: Social sentiment & trading platform polls
Institutional Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 30% 💼 (Safe-haven demand amid geopolitical uncertainty)
🔴 Bearish: 60% ⚠️ (USD rally and higher concrete 5/12/2025)
🟢 Bullish: 30% 💼 (Safe-haven demand amid geopolitical uncertainty)
🔴 Bearish: 60% ⚠️ (USD rally and higher yields suppress gold)
⚪ Neutral: 10% 🧐
Source: COT reports & institutional flows
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Risk Management 📰
News can shake the market like a storm! Protect your loot:
Skip new trades during major news releases.
Use trailing stop-loss to lock in profits and limit losses.
Stay vigilant—volatility is our playground, but only with a plan!
💪 Ride with the Thief Trading Team!
Hit the Boost Button to power up our Thief Trading Style and make this heist epic! 🚀 Each boost fuels our squad, helping us plunder profits daily. Let’s conquer the XAU/USD market together! 🤝
Stay tuned for the next heist! 🐱👤 Keep your charts ready, alerts on, and trading vibe high. Catch you in the profits, bandits! 🤑🎉
#ThiefTrading #XAUUSD #GoldHeist #TradingView #StackTheGold
How to layout gold as Sino-US trade eases🗞News side:
1. China-US trade relations eased, suspending some tariffs and countermeasures
2. Russia and Ukraine suspended firing for 30 days, and the India-Pakistan conflict was temporarily mediated
📈Technical aspects:
Affected by the easing of Sino-US economic and trade relations, coupled with the fact that the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations are on the right track and India and Pakistan have suspended firing, the risk aversion sentiment in the gold market has eased, and the gold price has fallen sharply since the opening today. At present, the 3200 line has formed an important short-term support. If the support effect is strong at this point, the gold price may rebound further; if it falls below this key support, it will accelerate the opening of downward space. The upper 3250-3260 is the previous intensive trading area, which will pose a certain pressure in the short term. At the top of the European market, focus on the resistance range of 3250-3260, and at the bottom, the support range is 3210-3200.
🎁BUY 3200-3210
🎁TP 3250-3260
🎁 SELL 3260-3270
🎁 TP 3250-3230
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The tariff storm has subsided and gold has plummeted!
The tariff storm has come to an end, and gold has plummeted. At 3 o'clock today, gold plummeted by more than 40 US dollars in 10 minutes in the short term, because the tariff storm has ended, and China and the United States will only impose a 10% base tariff. So the so-called tariff storm of more than 100 points by all parties has ended. At present, it is no longer good for gold in terms of the trade war, and the short-term plunge has been encountered long ago!
At the same time, this point, coupled with the hawkish "holding troops" of the Federal Reserve, helped the US dollar to stabilize near the highs of several weeks and put pressure on gold. It also became the fuse for a new round of gold price selling. In addition, the current situation in the Middle East countries has temporarily begun to mediate, and the difficulty of maintaining risk aversion makes it difficult for buyers to enter the market again!
How to enter the market after the plunge?
After the market plummeted across the board, from a technical point of view, the oscillator indicators on the hourly chart have been gaining negative traction and supporting the prospect of further declines in gold prices during the session. Coupled with the current continued selling of gold, a position that needs to be focused on in the European session is around 3200. If it falls below this position decisively, it will pave the way for the weekly retracement trend.
At present, since the mid-term short orders I have arranged have been profitable and exited, if I want to gamble again, I need to pay close attention to the position of 3200. Breaking down and rebounding from support will usher in different market crazes and long-short games. The market fluctuates violently, and real-time entry is mainly based on real trading!
XAU/USD 12 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned previously mentioned that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bearish pullback following previous bullish iBOS.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not mark the previous iBOS. I have however marked this in red.
Price continued bullish and subsequently printed a bearish iBOS to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,435.055.
Alternative scenario:
Price has this far failed to target to target weak internal high, as has H4 TF. This could be related to the fact that all higher timeframes remain in corrective bearish pullback phase initiation, therefore, it should not come as a surprise if price prints a bearish iBOS.
Note:
Gold price volatility is expected to remain heightened due to the Federal Reserve’s dovish approach and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should remain vigilant, fine-tune their risk management strategies, and be prepared for potential price fluctuations in this highly volatile market. Additionally, recent tariff announcements by former President Trump are likely to exacerbate market instability, leading to further price swings.
M15 Chart: