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Gold is weak. Will it explode next week?Gold prices failed to stabilize above $3,400 after a bullish breakout this week. The technical outlook highlights the recent indecision of gold bulls. In the first two trading days of this week, spot gold prices rose by 2.4%, but the cumulative decline in the last three trading days of this week reached nearly 3%. The sharp fluctuations this week were due to the positive progress in Trump's trade negotiations, and the rebound in market risk appetite, which hit the safe-haven demand for gold. Looking at next week, the economic calendar will provide several high-impact data releases. The Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision after the policy meeting on July 29-30; the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the July employment report; and some important news such as the US-China trade negotiations may trigger the next major move for gold. From a technical perspective, the current market short-term technical outlook highlights the hesitation of gold buyers. The daily chart shows that the RSI is still slightly below 50, and gold prices have difficulty staying away from the 20-day and 50-day MAs after breaking through these two levels earlier this week. On the upside, 3450 constitutes the first resistance for gold prices. If it breaks through this resistance, gold prices will most likely hit the 3400 integer mark again. On the downside, if gold prices remain below 3340, technical sellers may still be interested. In this case, 3310 can serve as the first support level, followed by the second support level near 3285. A new week is about to begin, and I wish all traders good luck.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
"GOLD Bandit Strategy: Loot Pips Like a Pro!🏆 GOLD HEIST ALERT! 🏆 XAU/USD Bandit Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) Steal Pips Like a Pro! 💰🔓 Bull vs. Bear Raid Plan 🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates! 🌟 "The trend is your accomplice—time to loot!" 🔮 Thief’s Technical & Fundamental Intel: XAU/USD (The Gold Vault) is flashing BEARISH signals, but we’re ready to raid both sides! Follow the heist blueprint below 👇 🎯 ENRY POINTS (Where to Strike!) 🏴‍☠️ LONG RAID (Bullish Thieves): Break & Grab: Enter above 3450.00 (Pullback Zone) "Wait for the breakout, then ambush!" 🐻 SHORT RAID (Bearish Bandits): Sneak Attack 1: Sell below 3300.00 Sneak Attack 2: Sell below 3260.00 (Support Wall Cracked!) 🛑 STOP-LOSS (Escape Routes) Bullish Trade: SL at 3230.00 (Guard your loot!) Bearish Trade 1: SL at 3360.00 (Don’t get caught!) Bearish Trade 2: SL at 3280.00 (Risk = Reward!) (Adjust SL based on your risk appetite & lot size!) 💰 TAKE-PROFIT (Cash Out & Flee!) Bullish Thieves: TP at 3270.00 (Or escape early!) Bearish Bandits (1): TP at 3270.00 Bearish Bandits (2): TP at 3210.00 (Big score!) ⚠️ WARNING: Market Traps Ahead! News = Danger Zone! 📢 Avoid new trades during high-impact news. Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! Lock profits & evade reversals. 📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works) Bearish momentum fueled by macro trends, COT data, & sentiment. Stay sharp—markets shift fast! 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥 Like & Share to strengthen our pirate crew! 🚀 More alerts = More profits! 🚨 Next Heist Coming Soon… Stay Tuned! 🚨
TICKMILL:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
Gold is going down. It may continue next week.On the last trading day of this week, the bears attacked strongly and continued to refresh the recent lows, reaching the lowest point near 3325 before stopping. From Monday's 3345 to 3440, it closed near 3337. This week, it also walked out of the large range roller coaster pattern, and all the strengths in the previous period did not exist. Under the continuous downward trend, the bulls were also vulnerable, and there was not even a strong rebound, which indirectly explained the strength of the bears in the short term. As for the current trend, the bears are likely to continue to be strong, and before there is a symbolic upward breakthrough, we still need to maintain the idea of ​​shorts to operate. The current upper pressure is maintained near 3350, which is also the bottom position touched for the first time in the previous period. It is possible that it will be transformed into a top-bottom conversion pattern; and the strong support level below is near 3310. When the Asian market opens next Monday, we need to pay close attention to whether there is a gap problem on both the bulls and bears. After three consecutive negative daily lines, all the moving average systems have been broken, and it is also likely to form a resonance pressure pattern. On Monday, gold will first touch around 3350 and continue to short. The profit range will be around 3330-3320, and the stop loss will be 3360. If the European session is stronger, you can adjust the point before the US session.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by quaid_2
Gold is weak. Beware of lows.On Thursday, the dollar index ended a four-day losing streak thanks to the progress of the fund between the United States and its trading partners. As signs of easing global trade tensions curbed demand for safe-haven assets, gold fell for the second consecutive trading day, and yesterday it hit the 3350 bottom support level. From the 4-hour chart although it rebounded to the 3370-3380 range after hitting 3350. But it can be found that the current rebound is actually weak, and it is still maintained at 3360-70 for rectification. At present, the bottom of the 4-hour bottom is absolutely supported at 3340-3335. The rebound high is around 3375. As of now, gold has not rebounded above 3375, and gold is actually in a weak position. Secondly, from the hourly chart, the weakness is even more obvious. The high point on Thursday was around 3395. Today's current high point is around 3375. It can be seen that if the bottom falls below the 618 position 3350 again, it will directly touch around 3335. It coincides with the target position of 3340-3335 in the previous 4-hour chart. Therefore, it is not possible to buy the bottom and go long today. Be alert to the possibility of further touching 3340-3335.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
Gold fluctuated downward. Or it will continue.Gold was blocked near 3393 in the early trading on Thursday and began to fluctuate and fall, falling to 3351 as low as possible, then stopped falling and rose, and after rebounding near 3377, it was blocked and fell back to 3370 and fluctuated up and down, and the daily line closed with a negative line. After three consecutive positive rises from last Friday to Tuesday this week, gold ushered in a turning point on Wednesday. On Thursday, it continued to fall and broke through the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, and the short-term market weakened. From the overall structure, the rising channel since June 26 remains valid. The highs on Tuesday and Wednesday approached the upper edge of the channel and then fell. The current price turned to fall and approached the lower edge of the channel. There are two key positions for the support below: the first support level is near 3345, which is the lower edge support of the current rising channel; the second support level is near 3325, which is the trend line support formed by the connection of the previous low points. From the 4-hour chart, the 3351 low point and the rebound resistance level can be used as a reference for today's long-short game. The breaking of key support and resistance will determine the trend direction of the next stage. Operation strategy: Short near 3375, stop loss 3385, profit range 3350-3330 Long near 3330, stop loss 3320, profit range 3350-3370
FX:XAUUSDShort
by quaid_2
XAU/USD 24 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
The Myth of Gold Reversals – Why Traders Keep Catching the KnifeGold is a master of deception. It shows a clean wick into a zone, but reacts just enough to pull in early buyers or sellers — then rips straight through their stops like they weren’t even there. The reversal looked real and the candles seemed perfect. But the move? It was never meant for them. This isn’t bad luck, but traders who survive aren’t trying to guess, they are the ones reading the reaction after the trap. Let’s break down how these traps happen — and how Smart Money actually operates when XAUUSD is loading a real move. 🟥 Sell Trap – The "Instant Short" Mistake Price pushes up into a clear reaction zone — maybe an OB, maybe an imbalance, a FVG, or a gap. Structure looks stretched. Traders recognize a premium zone and decide it’s time to short. The trap? Jumping in immediately on the touch, with no confirmation. This is where Gold loves to trap sellers. No M15 CHoCH/ BOS on M5 or real liquidity swept. Just a blind move and hope. Price often pulls slightly higher — sweeping internal liquidity, triggering SLs — then shows a real rejection. 📌 Here’s what needs to happen before selling: • First: look for a liquidity sweep (equal highs or engineered inducement) • Then: price must shift — CHoCH or BOS on M15 or M5 • Finally: confirmation via bearish engulf, imbalance fill, or break + retest • For experts: M1 can offer refined sniper triggers with minimal drawdown 💡 If none of this appears, it’s not a setup — it’s a trap. 🟩 Buy Trap – The "Wick Bounce" Illusion Price taps a demand zone — again, a refined OB or imbalance, liquidity zone. A long bullish wick forms. Some candles pause. It looks like a reversal. But there’s no shift.Just hovering. Many jump in long the second they see the wick. And then price breaks straight through. 📌 Here’s how to flip this trap into a real buy: • Let price sweep liquidity below the zone — signs of a purge - true wick bounce • Watch for a CHoCH or BOS on M15, M5, or even M1 • Look for a strong bullish engulf from the reactive level • Confirm via imbalance fill or price reclaiming broken structure 📍 If all that happens — the trap becomes your entry. If not? Stand down. 📊 What Smart Traders Actually Do Differently They don’t chase wicks. And never enter just because price tapped a line. IT IS ALL ABOUT READING STRUCTURE AND PRICE ACTION. Here’s how: • Mark the highest probability reaction zones — above and below current price; • Set alerts, not blind entries; • Wait for price to come into their zone and then watch what it does there; • Look for confirmation: CHoCHs, BOS, engulfing candles, FVG fills, clean rejections; • And always keep one eye on the news — because Gold reacts fast and violently when volatility hits. • Repeat this work daily until they learn how to recognize signs faster and more secure. That’s the difference between chasing the reversal… and trading the move after the trap. Because in this game, patience isn’t just a virtue — it’s survival. And Gold? Well, XAUUSD has no mercy for those in a hurry and not studying its moves day by day, month after month and so on. Learn structure and price action even if you join any channel for help if you are serious about trading this amazing metal. If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity: Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more trading ideas and trading psychology.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Gold - Week of 21st JulyWelcome to a new trading week. Price is compressing within a premium structure, boxed between clean supply and demand zones. While the overall trend remains bullish, momentum is clearly fading — so structure takes priority this week. 🟨 Weekly Bias: Neutral | Range-Bound Conditions There’s no clear directional conviction on the weekly timeframe — we’re in a consolidation phase. 📊 Technical Overview & Strategy We’re currently range-locked between: Main Supply: 3380–3405 Main Demand: 3275–3250 Until either breaks decisively, we treat this as a two-sided market. 🔹 Weekly Key Zones 🔸 3365–3390 (Primary Supply) Why it matters: Price was rejected cleanly from a previous weekly high (3377), aligning with a fresh Order Block (OB) and Fair Value Gap (FVG) from June. Context: No bullish Break of Structure (BOS) above 3375. Repeated wick rejections indicate strong supply. Game plan: If price returns, monitor M15–H1 for reaction. Consider shorts only if there's no BOS above 3390. 🔸 3430–3450 (Final Supply Barrier) Why it matters: Unmitigated OB from a macro swing high — the final ceiling before bullish continuation. Context: A clean BOS through this zone flips the larger structure bullish again. 🔸 3285–3260 (Key Demand Base) Why it matters: Last untouched bullish OB + FVG combo from early July. Context: No downside BOS yet. If price pulls back sharply, this zone offers a potential clean long from discount. 🔹 HTF Structure Summary Trend: Still bullish (no BOS down), but compression under key resistance Structure Range: 3390–3260 EMA Flow: Bullish, but extended — watch for pullbacks RSI: Bearish divergence above 3350 — potential retracement brewing 🕯️ Daily Zones 🔸 Supply Zones 3380–3405 – Main Daily Supply / Liquidity Pool Top of current range. Multiple upper wicks = rejection zone. Unless we get a daily close above 3405, this remains a trap for breakout buyers. 3355–3375 – Internal Supply / Inducement Block Acted as a consistent ceiling post-CPI. Often triggers fake breakouts and quick reversals — ideal for fading strength. 🟢 Demand Zones 3312–3300 – Mid-Range Internal Demand Reactive level post-CPI and NY session. Often used for stop hunts and intraday bounces. 3275–3250 – Main Daily Demand Held firm as support all month. Every dip here has resulted in strong rallies. A daily break below flips the HTF bearish. ⏱ H1 Execution Map 🚩 SELL ZONES 3358–3370 – Primary Intraday Supply Site of last week’s failed breakout. If price taps this and shows M15/M5 bearish momentum — it’s a sniper entry short. 3380–3395 – Upper Liquidity Trap Classic fakeout zone. If breakout fails with a sharp reversal, it’s prime territory for “fade and dump” trades. ⚪ DECISION ZONE (Neutral / Pivot) 3335–3345: A choppy, indecisive area. No clear OB or FVG. Avoid trading here — only observe and wait for clean setups on the edges. 🟢 BUY ZONES 3326–3332 – Primary Intraday Demand Strong evidence of absorption + sharp reversals. Look for clean M15/M5 snapbacks — a reactive long setup. 3311–3320 – Deep Demand / Fear Zone Sits below recent lows — ripe for liquidity sweeps. Only consider longs if a strong impulsive bounce follows. High risk, high reward. Disclaimer: For educational context only.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FX_Scrubbs
1
Gold peaked in the short term. Welcome a new trend?The previous rising structure of gold was broken, especially yesterday's rapid decline broke through the previous support of 3385. Although it rebounded slightly, it was difficult to change the adjustment. Yesterday's high point of the US market was at 3396-98 US dollars. Today, the adjustment trend continued. The dividing point between long and short is 3395 US dollars today. Before the price reaches here, do not consider long. Many traders are confused. Why are there longs one day and shorts the next day? In fact, this is the characteristic of the volatile market. Breaking the key position cannot last. No matter what you think about the market, you must pay attention to the current shape changes. In the volatile market, you should consider the market of the day more, not the long-term direction. From the 1-hour chart, the gold price rebounded near 3390 and shorted, and the profit range is 3370-3350. The backup strategy is to break through 3400 and go long, and pay attention to 3415-3425 on the upside. In other words, look for opportunities to short on a rebound below 3400 today, and adjust your thinking after breaking through the key resistance.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
Gold is weak. Will it continue to fall?Yesterday, the price of gold did not continue to rise as strong as in the previous two days. After reaching the previous top position, it began to retreat under pressure. The market is too bullish, and under this pattern, the market is likely to have an unexpected reversal. Yesterday, it fell below the 3400 integer mark, so it is likely to maintain a volatile downward trend in the future. The current main support level is around 3370, which is also the primary point for the bears to continue to break down in the future. Once it falls below this position, the target may be around 3345-3355. It cannot be said that it has completely turned to a bearish position at the moment. It is just a bearish oscillation pattern within a large range, and the upper pressure is maintained near 3405, which is also the support point for the first downward step of the bears on Wednesday. Today, we still need to operate around the short position first. The price rebounds to 3405 and shorts, and the profit range is around 3390-3380, and the stop loss is 3415. After a new low appears in the European session, wait for the US session to rebound and continue shorting.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
Bullish on gold, but avoid chasing highs , beware of pullbacks!Analysis of gold trend: From the daily chart, gold is in an upward trend. From the technical indicators, MA5-MA10 moving averages are golden crosses, BOLL opens upward, K line runs on the upper track of the daily Bollinger band, and the MACD candle chart momentum column continues to increase, indicating that the bullish trend remains unchanged. KDJ runs near the 80 draw line and is overbought, which means that the short-term market upward momentum may be over-released, and there is a need for callback or shock consolidation. Although the general trend is bullish, it is difficult to form a continuous surge. This wave to 3440-3450 is very good, and it is likely to form a mid-term adjustment under the pressure of 3450. Be cautious about the current rise. If there is an effective adjustment, it may turn from strong to weak. From the 4-hour chart, the performance in the chart has the possibility of reaching the top now. Gold surged to around 3438 after opening, and then fell back. The current strength is still relatively large. Therefore, today we should pay attention to whether there is a possibility of reaching the mid-term top. The support below is around 3410-3400. If it breaks below 3400, it may continue to adjust to -3385-3375 today. From the 1-hour chart, the technical indicators in the chart cross downward, indicating that there is a need for a short-term decline. The general trend is bullish. The short-term will first look at the retracement. Today, the support below is around 3410-3400. The intraday retracement relies on this position to continue to be bullish. Gold operation strategy: short gold around 3435-3438, target 3420-3310. It is recommended to go long around 3410-3400, target 3420-3430.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
Gold is going down. Can it break through?First, we can look at the daily chart，Currently, the support below the gold daily chart is around 3385, which is also the low point on Tuesday. The current price drop has already touched the support near 3385. Secondly, from the 4-hour chart, the low point of yesterday's US market retracement was around 3405, and the high point on Monday was 3400. So the first pressure point of this price correction is 3400-3410, followed by the suppression position near 3420. The 4-hour chart shows that the gold price fluctuated in the 3410-3440 range in the early stage, the MACD red column shortened, and the KDJ dead cross began to appear, facing the pressure of correction in the short term. At present, the main focus is on whether the 3385 support line can be broken. If it falls below this support level, it will most likely touch around 3375. Then gold will most likely start a downward trend and the rebound will be weak.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
1
Gold surges! Gold prices soar!Market news: In the early Asian session on Wednesday (July 23), spot gold fell slightly and is currently trading around $3,422/oz. Supported by the increasing uncertainty in global trade, the downward trend in U.S. Treasury yields and the weakening of the U.S. dollar, spot gold rose strongly, hitting a five-week high. The market's tension over the August 1 deadline for the implementation of U.S. President Trump's tariffs has intensified, driving safe-haven funds to continue to flow into the international gold market. Investors are focusing on the progress of the U.S. multilateral trade negotiations and the new round of tariffs that the Trump administration is about to launch: while the demand for safe-haven assets has increased, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has fallen to a two-week low, further enhancing the attractiveness of non-interest-bearing gold. The global economic slowdown, expectations of loose monetary policy and geopolitical risks will continue to support gold's status as a safe-haven asset. Looking ahead to the market this week, the market focuses on: the Fed's FOMC policy meeting will be held next week. Although the meeting is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, investors have begun to bet on the possibility of a rate cut in October; Fed Vice Chairman Bowman reiterated on Tuesday that the central bank should maintain policy independence, and Powell's upcoming policy meeting may release further signals; in terms of inflation, as signs of tariff costs being transmitted to consumer goods emerge, Powell has previously warned that inflation may accelerate again in the summer. Technical Review: Gold maintained its expected bulls and hit a new high yesterday. The daily line maintained a long-term structure of consecutive positive bulls. The MA10/7-day moving average opened upward, and the RSI indicator ran above the central axis. The Bollinger Bands of the hourly and four-hour charts opened upward, the price maintained the middle and upper track channel, and the moving average system opened upward. The idea of gold trading remains unchanged, and the layout is mainly based on buying at a low price and selling at a high price. After a sharp rise last night, gold began to fluctuate at a high level in the second half of the night, and the adjustment was very small, which means that the market is still the strong market. The recent pattern of gold price fluctuations and rises remains. Since it is fluctuating upward, the overall trend of gold today is still biased towards buying, but we need to be alert to the risk of short-term corrections. It is recommended to arrange buy orders based on technical support levels, and pay attention to trade policies and the Fed's trends! Today's analysis: Gold buying has been as strong as a rainbow in the past two days, and it is also a buying carnival. Gold is now buying strongly and the momentum is winning. Once the trend is formed, it is necessary to follow the trend. Now the trend of gold buying is very obvious, constantly refreshing the recent highs, so continue to buy gold to the end, and continue to buy if it rises. Continue to buy if it falls during the day! The gold 1-hour moving average continues to form a golden cross upward buying arrangement. The gold buying power is still there, and gold continues to exert its strength. Gold has risen step by step in the past two days. As long as there is no sharp decline, it is accumulating momentum to attack. The gold support continues to move up. Now it has broken through and stabilized at the 3400 line. If gold falls back to 3400, it can still be bought at low prices. Operation ideas: Short-term gold 3400-3403 buy, stop loss 3392, target 3420-3440; Short-term gold 3438-3441 sell, stop loss 3450, target 3400-3380; Key points: First support level: 3412, second support level: 3403, third support level: 3390 First resistance level: 3438, second resistance level: 3450, third resistance level: 3468
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NicolaZhu
2
Gold is bullish and bearish. Will it continue?From the daily chart: The moving average is bullish, and the MA5-day, 10-day, and 30-day moving average supports move up. The 3380 dollar has turned from resistance to strong support. If this position is maintained, the upward channel will continue. The support position is 3380-3375, which is the top and bottom conversion position, and is also near the middle track of the Bollinger Band. From the four-hour chart, the MACD red column shrinks and the RSI is near 60, and the bulls are still dominant. If the price falls back to the 3375-3380 area and stabilizes, it is expected to attack the 3400 mark again. Operation strategy: Long operation: Steady type: When the gold price falls back to the 3375-3380 area, long orders are arranged in batches, with a stop loss of 3365 and a profit range of 3400-3410. Aggressive: If the price breaks through 3400 quickly and falls back to around 3395, you can chase long with a light position, stop loss at 3388, and the profit range is 3420 strong resistance area. Short operation: Resistance area test short: 3408-3415 area, light position short order, stop loss at 3422, profit range 3390-3380. Break short: If it falls below the 3375 support and the rebound is weak, follow up with short short, profit range 3360, stop loss 3385.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
XAU/USD 23 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold bulls are on the offensive. Can they continue to chase?On Tuesday, as trade tensions and the conflict between the White House and the Federal Reserve continued, the US dollar index continued to fall, and continued to fall in the early US trading, once hitting a low of 97.28. Gold also continued to rise, once standing above the $3,430 mark, setting a new high in more than a month. From the current point of view of gold, this week has stood firm at two levels, 3,350 and 3,400. Next, it depends on whether it can continue to stand firm at the 3,450 level. From the current hourly chart, Monday's high is around 3,400, and yesterday's low of the US market retracement on Tuesday was around 3,405. So theoretically, 3,400-3,405 has become a support position. And from the hourly chart range, the bottom trend line support is also about 3,400-3,405. Therefore, it is not ruled out that it will oscillate and retrace like yesterday, and then rise and stretch again. Secondly, from the daily chart: After gold stabilized at 3400, the current daily range has become 3400-3450. As we can see above, there have been three times of falling back after touching 3450. If it breaks and stabilizes above 3450 this time, the historical high of 3500 will most likely be refreshed. On the contrary, if it still cannot break through 3500 this time, the possibility of further pullback cannot be ruled out. For the next operation, I suggest paying attention to 3400-3405. If it can retreat and stabilize at 3400-3405 during the European session, you can continue to enter the market and go long to around 3450. On the contrary, if it falls below 3400 today, then don't go long, as there may be a possibility of further retreat in the future.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
Gold is strong. Can it continue?On Tuesday, the overall gold price showed an upward trend. The highest price rose to 3433.32 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 3383.21, closing at 3431.46. On Tuesday, gold prices fluctuated during the early trading session and then corrected downward. During the European session, the price fluctuated mainly and fell weakly. It rose before the US session and hit the high point of the week again in the US session, and finally ended with a big positive line. From the four-hour level, the technical adjustment needs, but the speculation of risk aversion suppressed this demand. There is a contradiction between the fundamentals and the technical aspects, and it is necessary to wait for the market sentiment to stabilize before clarifying the direction. In the early Asian session, it hit a high of 3438 and then fell back. It is necessary to pay attention to the possibility of reaching the top. The support position is 3400-3405. If it falls to 3400, it may continue to adjust to around 3385. The probability of closing the negative line today is relatively high. If the price stabilizes above 3400, it is likely to maintain high fluctuations. Today's market is complicated. Although the bullish trend has not changed, it is not advisable to be overly bullish. The operation is mainly shorting on rebounds, supplemented by long positions on pullbacks. The upper pressure position focuses on 3440-3450. Operation strategy: Short near 3440-3450, stop loss 3460, profit range 3420-3410. Long near 3390, stop loss 3380, profit range 3420-3430.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
Gold stabilizes. Sets a new high?Gold continues to rise, with uncertainty in trade negotiations and the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting being key variables. If no agreement is reached before August 1, the high tariffs imposed by the United States on major trading partners may trigger greater risk aversion demand, pushing gold prices further up; if the negotiations make a breakthrough, the market risk appetite will rebound, and gold prices may face correction pressure. Gold has shown a strong upward trend recently. It closed with a small positive on Friday last week and closed with positive for two consecutive trading days this week, forming a three-day positive trend, with strong short-term momentum. In terms of indicators, the moving average diverges upward, with obvious bullish trend characteristics, and the support below needs to focus on the moving average performance. At present, the gold price has broken through the trend line formed by connecting the previous high points. The primary focus on the upside is near the previous high of 3452, which is an important short-term resistance level. The upper focus is on the previous high of 3452, which is an important short-term resistance level. The first support below is the 3390-3385 area, which is close to yesterday's low and is also an early trading intensive area. The second support focuses on the vicinity of 3360. In terms of operation, it is still mainly low-long, and short selling is not considered before the upward trend reaches 3450. Operation strategy: Short around 3450, stop loss 3460, profit range 3430-3310 Long around 3400, stop loss 3390, profit range 3420-3430
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
Gold at a Crossroad: Long or Short? Key Levels in FocusThere are three chart of Gold . Gold1! is forming a Rising Wedge pattern, with resistance positioned between 103500-104000 levels. Gold1! is facing Pivot Point resistance around the 103500 level, indicating potential supply pressure. Gold1! is approaching the parallel channel resistance, and the upside move is nearly complete in percentage terms, with resistance around 103800-104000. if this level sustain then we may see first of all higher prices then again fall in gold1! Thank You !!
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by FiveCircles
Gold is under pressure. Can it break through?Since the "W bottom" pattern was formed at the low of 3344 US dollars, the gold price broke through the neckline of 3380 and further stabilized at 3400 today, confirming the continuation of the medium-term upward trend. The moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, with the 5-day, 10-day and 20-day moving averages diverging upward in turn, and the support strength is stable. The MACD indicator golden cross continues to expand, the upward momentum is enhanced, and no divergence occurs; the RSI indicator rises to around 76. Although it enters the overbought range, there is no obvious turn, indicating that the bullish momentum is still being released. The current support level has risen to around 3390, and the support level has risen sharply. The resistance position needs to pay attention to 3430-3440. At present, several times have tested above 3430, but they have not stabilized above this position. Operation suggestions: 3390-3400 light position to try more, stop loss 3360, profit range 3435-3445. If it encounters resistance and falls back near 3435, you can consider short-term short orders with stop loss at 3445 and profit range at 3400-3380. Although the upward momentum continues, some risk information still needs to be paid attention to; this week, we need to pay attention to the US June existing home sales data (July 23), the preliminary value of the second quarter GDP (July 25) and the core PCE price index (July 26). If the data is stronger than expected, it may trigger expectations of interest rate cuts.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
Gold prices soared! Gold hit a five-week high!Market news: On Tuesday (July 22) in the early Asian session, spot gold rose and fell, and is currently trading around $3,390/ounce. Driven by the weakening of the US dollar, the decline in US bond yields and the increasing uncertainty in trade policies, the gold market broke out again, breaking through the $3,400/ounce mark, hitting a five-week high. As the deadline for the United States to impose new tariffs on global trading partners on August 1 approaches, market uncertainty provides strong support for international gold.In addition to the trade situation, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trends have also added momentum to the rise in gold prices. The market expects that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September has risen to 59%. The Federal Reserve's July meeting is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but the market's expectations for an October rate cut have been fully digested. These policy uncertainties have further enhanced the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset.This week, the London gold price ushered in a "critical node" market. Trade policy, US dollar fluctuations, central bank trends and safe-haven fund flows will become the core driving force of the long-short game in the gold market. On this trading day, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a welcome speech at a regulatory meeting. Pay attention to whether Powell involves remarks related to monetary policy. In addition, continue to pay attention to news related to the international trade situation and geopolitical situation. Technical Review: The gold daily chart is strong and oscillating upward. The MA10/7-day moving average maintains a golden cross and opens upward. The hourly chart and the four-hour chart Bollinger band open upward, the moving average system maintains an upward opening, and the price fluctuates upward along the MA10-day moving average. Yesterday, the Asian session fell slightly to 3346 and stabilized. The bottoming out and pulling up again broke through and stood on the hourly line middle track, which means short-term stabilization! So yesterday's Asian session rose, the European session continued to break high, and the US session still had a second pull-up; but because it is in a period of oscillation, wait patiently for a wave of stabilization before taking action. The reference point selected should pay attention to the 382 split support, that is, 3370, which happens to be the top and bottom conversion support point, followed by the 3356-3358 split support and the middle track. Today's analysis: Gold rose strongly yesterday, breaking the highest level in the past month. After the price of gold rose yesterday, it did not rise and fall like before. Instead, it broke through multiple resistances and came to the 3400 mark. From the one-hour market, the direction of the market is very clear, but it is still not recommended to buy directly. Waiting for a fall before getting on the train is the safest strategy!The Asian session gold price was blocked near 3400, and the one-hour market showed a small double top structure, which means that the market will still adjust in a short time. Therefore, do not buy in the Asian session, wait for the adjustment to continue to buy, and the support below is the top and bottom conversion position of 3370. After the Asian session gold price adjusted to 3370 and walked out of the bottom structure, continue to buy. The general direction of this round is to look at the 3450 line! Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3375-3378, stop loss at 3366, target at 3400-3420; Sell short-term gold at 3425-3428, stop loss at 3436, target at 3390-3370; Key points: First support level: 3383, second support level: 3370, third support level: 3358 First resistance level: 3403, second resistance level: 3416, third resistance level: 3428
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NicolaZhu
Gold is under pressure. There is hope for another rise.Today's important news: At 8:30, Fed Chairman Powell delivered a welcome speech at a regulatory meeting; at 13:00, Fed Governor Bowman hosted a fireside chat session at the large bank capital framework meeting hosted by the Fed. Market conditions: The current daily trend is mainly "strong rise" (Monday closed positive and broke through the shock, and the moving average turned upward). The core logic is that short-term bullish momentum is dominant, and it is necessary to focus on the effectiveness of support and the rhythm of breaking through resistance. Today, we need to focus on the support belt 3365-3360 area (this position is the 5-day moving average position and the low point of yesterday's European session). As a short-term moving average support, this area is the first line of defense for bulls today. If it can stabilize here, it can be regarded as a signal of short-term strong continuation. The key pressure level is still around 3420. As a trend line resistance that has been under pressure many times in the early stage, if it can break through, it means that the bulls will break the shock suppression and open up more room for growth. In terms of operation, it is still mainly low-long. The current gold is still strong. Operation strategy: Short around 3420, stop loss 3430, profit range 3400-3380 Long around 3360, stop loss 3350, profit range 3380-3400
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
Gold - Week of 21st July (updated)Market Outlook Update Following up on Sunday evening’s analysis — honestly, I didn’t expect the move to unfold this quickly. We’ve still got questions on the table: will the market call Trump’s bluff, or just shrug it off? The Euro certainly didn’t ignore the developments, as we saw with that strong bullish London session yesterday. Will we see one or two more retracements? Or is the market gearing up for a favourable month-end close? Either way, I hope you’re kicking off the week with high energy — because XAUUSD is primed for fireworks. With Powell speaking tomorrow, expect increased volatility and some fakeouts. Stay sharp, stay focused — it’s all about reading the true structure and keeping it 100% sniper. Key Intraday Zones 🔻 Main Sell Zone: 3440–3452 This is our strongest supply area for now. Last touch saw aggressive selling. If price revisits this zone, look for a clear rejection: wick rejections, bearish engulfing, or BOS on M5/M15. ⚠️ No FOMO — only short if the market shows real weakness. 🔁 Flip/Sell Zone: 3412–3427 This is the "chameleon" zone — flips between support and resistance. Price often hunts liquidity here. Watch for a sweep or a sharp rejection before entering. ✅ Look for confirmation: clean rejection or a break back below. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3360–3372 Last strong base of buyers. If price drops into this range, wait for a solid bullish response: long wicks, bullish engulfing candles, or a CHOCH. 🚫 Don't catch a falling knife — wait for buyers to show up. 🟩 3345–3350 (Main H1 Demand / Flip Zone) Why it matters: Strong structural flip — former resistance turned demand + previous session low. A deeper pullback here offers a solid swing re-entry. 📌 Enter only on confirmation: strong wick, CHOCH, or clear reversal pattern. 🎯 Swing Target Zone: 3380–3420 🔸 Decision Zone: 3395–3405 Keep an eye here — this zone may dictate the short-term direction. Disclaimer: For educational context only.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Scrubbs