XAUUSD - Support as US CPI shapes view ahead of Fed and ECBGold prices slightly increased today as the market anticipates the possible outcomes of the US CPI and PPI before the Fed's FOMC meeting tomorrow. Meanwhile, the US 10-year real interest rate continued to inch up slightly to above 1.5% with stable bond yields this week ahead of the significant monetary policy meeting and inflation data.
The real yield is the nominal yield minus the market-based inflation rate, originating from Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) for the same term. If today's CPI data differs significantly from expectations, the real yield may fluctuate, affecting gold prices. In February, gold was below $1,850/oz when the real 10-year yield was at this level.
Goldprices
catching THE BIG GOLD SHORT!Over last 2 weeks, the market has stopped responding to fundamentals which are showing a stronger labor market than the Fed is willing to tolerate; should have pushed XAU lower.
We're 2 weeks away from the next rate hike (February 1st) and we could see a correction in this time, especially if the market is expecting a less aggressive Fed. In that case, price will likely correct going into the hike and then explode higher on Feb 1-2.
XAU is reaching a key monthly lvl by tomorrow (1937) - valid short.
*NOTE: I'm looking to catch a large reversal and 1937 is 1 of 2 scenarios for this potential upcoming move (see chart for more details)
XAUUSD poised for another move up?Gold prices have a tendency to congest for many months at a time before it breaks out. Current price action could suggest that we are close to a new rally to the upside.
My suggestion is to wait it out for a few days to see if 1817 holds and wait for a good buy signal.
For now, it's wise to be on the sidelines or wait for the price to break below 1817 for a short entry.
RGLD: $140+ Short (Expected Positive Earnings Call)First off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion basis. That being said, let me get into my insights. I do expected Royal Gold to have a positive earnings call in the upcoming 5 days, and currently it already is on a bullish curve with many investors giving it buy ratings. This is why I am calling at least a $140 short target and saying it has some long potential with low to medium risk.