GOLD BUY OR SELL IMPORTANT ANALYSIS?Technical Analysis: Currently, gold is trading at $2771, showing signs of potential volatility in the near term. The price has recently faced resistance around $2785 to $2790, which suggests that a correction may be imminent. I anticipate a retest of key support levels at $2758 or even $2748 before a possible rebound. Should the price maintain above these support zones, we could see gold push higher, targeting those upper levels again. Conversely, if selling pressure persists and we break below $2748, the next support level to watch would be $2730.
Fundamental Analysis: On the fundamental side, gold's movements are heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates, inflation expectations, and geopolitical tensions. Recent economic data points, such as inflation reports and employment figures, have created uncertainty in the markets. This backdrop has historically driven investors towards safe-haven assets like gold. If ongoing economic indicators continue to signal instability, we may witness renewed buying interest in gold, pushing prices higher. However, if the Federal Reserve maintains its aggressive stance on interest rates, this could exert downward pressure on gold, reinforcing the need to monitor these developments closely. Let’s see how gold plays out in the coming sessions!
Goldresistance
Gold Futures has taken support of near 50Weeks EMA (Mother line)Gold Futures has taken support of near 50 Weeks EMA (Mother line) which is near 66402. This dip was due to change in customs duty of Gold while thinking rationally. Thus the zone between 67400 and 66402 presents a strong support zone. Mid channel support for gold Futures in case the Mother line is broken remains at mid channel support near 64030. It does not seem likely that we will get a closing below this point but in case we get a closing below 64030 bears will become very empowered and in very unlikely situation Gold futures can fall to 61092. The zone between 56493 and 55091 is a mega support as 55901 is a 200 Week's EMA or Father line. Below this zone in extremely unlikely situation Gold Futures can further find a bottom near channel bottom which is near 53064.
Resistances for Gold Futures are near the zone between 69678 and 71222. Further resistance zone is between 73257 and 74881. If the channel top near 75K is broken the Gold Futures in the very long term can hit anywhere between 82K to 88K.
In my opinion which has a strong bias towards Gold as world is seeing a lot of conflicts and uncertainties due to internal and external geo-political instability, Gold remains an investment option which is accumulate on every dip. Gold actual price and Gold futures price and Price of Gold sold by Jewellers can vary a little bit so please take that into consideration too. The chart here represents Gold Futures movement.
To know more about Mother Father line and their significance and to learn Techno Funda analysis we recommend you read the book The Happy Candles Way. Which is available on Amazon on paperback version. Kindle version of the same book is also available on Amazon Kindle.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Gold's Resistance: Parallel Channel & A-assisted Zones, VectorsWelcome Esteemed Investors,
I n the ever-evolving landscape of the financial markets, understanding the dynamics of precious metals like Gold (XAU) is crucial for informed decision-making. Today, I bring you insights into the XAUUSD market, aiming to contribute to your comprehensive research endeavors.
T he recent movements in the Gold market have been intriguing, and a closer look reveals compelling signals for investors. After a decisive bounce from the support zone, hovering around $1820, Gold (XAU) has demonstrated bullish indications. Notably, a confirmed breakout from the falling channel, depicted by the blue parallel channel in the chart, stands out as a significant development.
F alling channels are "widely" recognized as bullish chart patterns. They have a tendency to break upwards. What makes this insight even more compelling is the application of cutting-edge technology in detecting potential support zones. Leveraging a Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithm integrated into a deep neural networking AI, the support zone was identified well in advance, dating back to 09 March. For human observers, this translates into a visually apparent double bottom pattern on the chart.
P ost-bounce from the predicted support zone and a classic breakout from the falling channel, Gold swiftly ascended to the resistance zone around $1980. However, historical selling pressure from supply, marked by the purple zone on the chart, has posed a formidable challenge. Since 04 May, XAU has been trading below this zone, reminiscent of the period from 04 May to 04 October.
Y et, the potential for a bullish scenario persists. A strong demand wave could propel Gold to break out from the current supply zone after a modest pullback within the projected purple area. It's essential to acknowledge the historical ebb and flow of demand and supply in this market; a failure to breach the resistance zone might lead Gold back to the blue support zone.
A nticipating market dynamics, it is crucial to consider external factors. Market news, with its inherent capacity to influence asset prices, might act as a catalyst for a reversal from the support zone. In the event of a downturn triggered by bearish news, the subsequent support zone is estimated to be around $1625.
I n summary, the prevailing signals for Gold appear bullish, suggesting a potential breakthrough of the resistance zone. However, the ever-present influence of market news introduces an element of uncertainty. Should bearish news materialize in the coming weeks, the $1820 support zone could offer another opportunity for bullish positions.
It is imperative to note that the insights shared here do not constitute financial advice. I am not an investment advisor. The decision to engage in financial markets should be made with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and thorough research. While the probabilities favor long positions at present, it is essential to remain vigilant and adaptable in response to changing market conditions.
Wishing you success and prosperity in your investment journey.
Warm regards,
Ely
XAUUSD Daily Technical AnalysisXAUUSD Technical Analysis 25.07.2022 1h chart
✅ Previous Weekly candle closed Bullish at 1728 forming Support at 1707.400, the last 2 trading days of the last week have had a huge pullback as the price tapped 1680 the previous Daily Support formed on the 8th and 31st of March 2021 grabbing Liquidity on the higher timeframe.
✅ Buys on a close above 1734.700 targeting 1h Resistance at 1740.000 leaving Runners to 4h Strong Resistance at 1745.000.
✅ Sells on close below 1723.500 targeting 1h Support at 1716.200 leaving Runners to the next 1h Support at 1711.500.
✅ Much better Buy positions would be above 1745 to at least 1770 based on the Daily timeframe having clean traffic on the left.