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GOLD increased in the short term: Break down expectedThe Gold market has been very strong for some time, but I don’t think this will continue to be the case going forward. As we’ve seen, the price has rallied a bit on Friday with Trump’s EU tariff threats. Market structure starts to hint exhaustion, as such overbought conditions often lead to generous pullbacks, supporting needed corrections. That being said I do think that on Monday we might see a short term pullback. We can see that gold is currently being rejected just above the higher zone of the 4h ascending channel. The zone aligns with a low-volume node as well. Therefore, at this zone around the 3,350, I wouldn't recommend to chase high. Before this zone is clearly broken considering long entries here would be buying blindly. Right now I think you have to look at this as a market that may just simply be a buy on the dip and hold till we get to the $3,500 level again type of situation. The other scenario is that the market will consolidate for a while. If we were to break down below the $3,290 level, then $3,200 is next support. In the long run though the bias remains bullish with potential to challenge the 3,435 and as well as 3,500 in the big picture. But if you're watching for buys: wait to see how price behaves on Monday watch for sustained bullish structure before getting involved don’t chase, wait for a clean break + candle confirmation pattern For sells: Watch for bearish rejection in the next couple of candles (4H or Daily) Don’t enter unless it’s confirmed!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TrendDiva
16
XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update Technical analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas and strategy behind it: --- Key Elements of the Chart: 1. Descending Channel Pattern: Price is moving within a descending channel (downward sloping resistance and support lines). The red arrows mark previous rejections from the upper boundary of the channel. 2. Supply Zone / Resistance Area: Highlighted in yellow, the price has entered a supply zone (between 3,412.00 and 3,440.42), historically where selling pressure has emerged. The analysis suggests sellers may dominate again in this zone. 3. Price Action Projection: Expected to reject from the supply zone, possibly forming a lower high. Price is projected to break the short-term upward trendline, then fall sharply. 4. Target Points: First target: 3,206.96 – likely aligned with a minor support level or Fibonacci retracement. Second target: 3,085.56 – near the lower boundary of the descending channel. 5. EMA 200 (3,238.55): Price is currently above the 200 EMA, but the projection anticipates a breakdown below it, confirming further bearish sentiment. 6. RSI Indicator: RSI is at 67.56, near overbought territory, suggesting limited upside and a possible correction. --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: Between 3,412 – 3,440 (supply zone) Confirmation: Rejection at the trendline + RSI divergence Targets: TP1: 3,206.96 TP2: 3,085.56 Invalidation: Break and hold above 3,440.42 (channel breakout) Mr SMC Trading point --- Risk Management Note: Ensure stop-loss is placed above the resistance zone (e.g., around 3,450) to mitigate false breakouts. Monitor fundamentals like upcoming US economic data, as they can heavily impact gold. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
Gold prices remain strong as tariffs heat up again Hey everyone, let's comment on the gold price next week from May 26, 2025 to May 30, 2025, 📌 Driving Events Gold prices resumed their upward momentum on Friday, surging nearly 2% on the day and up more than 5% for the week as the dollar weakened amid renewed trade tensions. Gold prices rebounded from an intraday low of $3,287 to $3,359 as escalating rhetoric from Washington fueled investor demand for safe-haven assets. U.S. President Donald Trump has intensified the trade standoff with the European Union, declaring that negotiations are "going nowhere" and threatening to impose a 50% tariff on EU imports from June 1. For months, Fed policymakers have made it clear that they want more clarity on the response from fiscal and trade policies and the economy before taking further action on interest rates. Over the past month, this cautious stance has prompted traders to withdraw their bets on a rate cut in the June meeting, and the market now expects the policy pause to continue until the July meeting. However, futures market positions show that the probability of a rate cut before the end of September is still slightly above 50%. This is essentially a bet that the situation will become clearer in the next four months: either slowing inflation paves the way for policy easing, or the economic deterioration forces the Fed to increase stimulus. 📊Comment Analysis Tariff news has begun to heat up again, and the United States and the rest of the world have not yet reached a consensus on negotiations, and gold prices have benefited from this rise. The big time frame shows that the price is breaking out and continuing the upward trend Technical: Based on the resistance and support levels of gold on the 4-hour chart, Labaron has identified the following important key areas: Resistance: $3412, $3436 Support: $3315, $3280, $3245 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Gold Rising in the Short Term: Is a Breakout the Goal?Hello to all dear traders! In general, Gold has gone through a very strong rally for some time, but I don't think this will continue to happen consistently in the future. As we can see, gold prices continue to benefit from various factors in the international market from the USD halting its upward momentum for four consecutive weeks and pulling back, to geopolitical tensions in many regions that have yet to ease. Most recently, the move by the U.S. President regarding the potential imposition of high tariffs on imported goods from the EU. The market structure is beginning to show signs of exhaustion, as such overbought conditions often lead to significant pullbacks, supporting necessary corrections. Although the long-term trend remains optimistic, I believe early next week may witness a short-term pullback. We can see that gold is currently facing rejection just above the upper boundary of the ascending channel on the 4-hour chart, a zone that also aligns with a low-volume area. At this level, around 3,350, I don’t recommend chasing the highs. Unless this zone is clearly broken with confirmation, entering long positions here would be more of an emotional decision than a strategic one. In my view, this remains a market where buying on dips makes more sense. Consider accumulating on pullbacks and holding until we revisit the 3,500 level once again. In the long run though the bias remains bullish with potential to challenge the 3,435 and as well as 3,500 in the big picture. But if you're watching for buys: Observe price behavior on Monday Only enter positions when the bullish structure is maintained Avoid FOMO; buy only when there’s a clear breakout signal with a confirmed candlestick pattern For sells: Prioritize when there is a clear bearish rejection candlestick on H4 or Daily Do not enter if there is no solid confirmation signal
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LucasMgoldview
2
Gold Rises on Tariff News, But Caution NeededGold prices surged after the U.S. President announced a 50% tariff on EU imports, triggering safe-haven demand. However, analysts warn that this may be a short-term FOMO reaction rather than the start of a sustainable rally. 📰 Key Drivers: - The tariff announcement spooked markets, boosting gold temporarily. - The U.S. dollar dipped slightly, but bond yields remain high – a bearish sign for gold. - No immediate EU retaliation weakens the long-term bullish case. 🔍 Technical Outlook: - Resistance: $3350 – being tested but not yet clearly broken. - Support: $3310 – may be revisited if upward momentum fades. - EMA 09: Price remains above, but fading volume and long upper wick suggest weakening strength. - Price Action: Sharp move looks emotion-driven; correction likely if no follow-up catalyst appears. 📉 Short-Term View: Despite the surge, gold’s rise may be temporary. If no escalation occurs, a short-term pullback is likely as markets reassess the impact. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup (Short-Term Bearish): SELL XAU/USD at 3345 – 3350 🎯 TP: 3330 ❌ SL: 3355 BUY XAU/USD at 3310 – 3312 🎯 TP: 3325 – 3327 ❌ SL: 3305
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold can be shorted near 3365-3370 in the US market 📌 Driving Events Gold prices fell about 0.48% on Thursday, retreating from a two-week high of $3,345 and falling below the key $3,300 level. Although U.S. Treasury yields retreated from intraday highs, the renewed strength of the U.S. dollar still pushed gold prices down. The pressure on gold intensified after the U.S. House of Representatives passed President Trump's budget proposal, which is now submitted to the Senate for final approval. At the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading at $3,289, down 0.83% on the day. Although the market sentiment has rebounded slightly, it remains fragile after Moody's recently downgraded the U.S. sovereign debt rating. The fiscal package approved by the House of Representatives is expected to increase the national debt ceiling by a staggering $4 trillion, which has exacerbated concerns about long-term fiscal sustainability. 📊Comment Analysis Gold is now facing strong resistance and buying power is weakening. 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3365- 3370 SL 3375 TP1: $3350 TP2: $3335 TP3: $3320 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
XAUUSD[GOLD]: 1 Hour View Show Extreme Seller Volume Gold in a shorter time frame shows extreme bearish volume kicking in the market, where bulls are failing to push prices higher. Additionally, if you’re someone who analyses patterns, a HEAD AND SHOULDERS pattern has also formed. There are three targets you can aim for. We extend our best wishes and good luck in your trading endeavours. Your unwavering support is greatly appreciated. If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can assist us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Setupsfx_
21
Plan ahead Sell ​​high and buy low to take the lead.Yesterday, the technical side of gold rose first and then fell. We directly arranged 3327 long orders to take profit and exit at 3340. After further accelerating to break through the 3345 mark, it fell under pressure and fell rapidly. We also successfully shorted at 3341, and the target successfully reached 3330-20. The European session continued to fall and broke through the 3300 mark and continued to fall to around 3280 to stabilize and rebound. We went long at 3280, and the target was 3300-3306. The daily K-line closed at a high and fell back to oscillate in the middle. The overall gold price was suppressed and oscillated at the 3345 mark in the short term. Yesterday's three orders also reached the take-profit target as expected. From the 4-hour market analysis, today's upper short-term resistance is around 3315-3320. If the upper pressure 3315-3320 is not broken, shorting can also be done. Focus on yesterday's high pressure of 3345. The support level below is still 3280-3275. If it breaks down, pay attention to 3255-3250. Continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles during the day. Observe more and move less in the middle position, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Operation suggestions: 1. Go long when gold falls back to 3285-3275, and look up to 3300 and 3315. 2. Go short when gold rebounds to 3340-3345, and look down to 3325 and 3315.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
PMI Boosts USD but Caution Lingers Ahead of Fed DecisionOANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD The recent release of stronger-than-expected S&P Global PMIs in the U.S. has offered short-term support to the dollar, pressuring gold from intraday highs. Manufacturing and services PMIs both improved to 52.3 in May, fueling speculation that the U.S. economy may still be resilient despite persistent concerns over Trump's proposed tax reforms and renewed tariffs. Still, market sentiment remains cautious. While Wall Street recovered slightly, it continues to post weekly losses. Investors are balancing upbeat data with longer-term risks — including a potential economic slowdown triggered by aggressive fiscal tightening and global demand headwinds. With the FOMC meeting approaching (June 17–18), gold traders are likely to remain reactive to macroeconomic signals. Any dovish shift or mention of a potential rate cut timeline could reignite demand for non-yielding assets like gold. Until then, price action around the $3,289 support and the Quasimodo pattern will be crucial for short-term direction. Resistance : $3,319 , $3,343 Support : $3,289 , $3,239
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
Gold Remains Under Pressure – Further Decline Likely Not OverGold has touched the key support level at $3290/oz as expected and is now hovering around $3295, indicating that the downward momentum remains intact. Recent U.S. economic data has been positive for the U.S. dollar, adding to short-term pressure on gold. ➡️ The strong data reinforces the Fed’s hawkish stance , increasing expectations that interest rates will remain elevated for longer. As a result, both the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields have risen, weighing heavily on gold prices. 🔍 Technical Analysis: • Price is tracking below the EMA 09 , suggesting the downtrend is still in play. • The $3290 support has been tested; a break below this level could open the door to the next target at $3225. • A consistent bearish candlestick pattern shows no clear signs of reversal. • Lack of strong buying interest at current levels suggests further downside is likely. 💡 Suggested Trade Strategy (Short-Term Bias: Bearish): • SELL XAU/USD in the $3294 – $3297 zone 🎯 TP1: $3275 🎯 TP2: $3225 ❌ SL: $3305 • BUY XAU/USD only if price pulls back to the $3225 zone with clear support signals 🎯 TP: $3260 – $3270 ❌ SL: $3210
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Intraday volatility,there is still chance to go long on pullback🗞News side: 1. The situation in Israel escalates 2. Initial jobless claims data 📈Technical aspects: Influenced by recent news, gold showed a volatile rebound trend. Gold continued to rise in the early Asian session, r OANDA:XAUUSD eaching a high of around 3345. The 3290-3300 level below has absolute support in the short term. As long as it does not fall below 3290, you can go long at 3290-3300. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger opening and the moving average diverge upwards. The upward momentum is sufficient, and it is not easy to guess the top. Pay attention to the 3310-3300 line of support below, and pay attention to the suppression of the 3340-3350 area above. If the gold price stabilizes at 3350, it is expected to further explore the resistance of 3360-3370. If the European session falls into volatility, maintain the range of high selling and low buying, and consider going long when it retreats to the support level of 3320-3310. If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell
Gold Shows Clear Signs of Weakness – Short-Term Downtrend LikelyGold is showing clear signs of weakness after failing to break the strong resistance level at $3350/oz. Bullish momentum has faded as gold broke below the $3325 support and continued its decline, now trading around $3310. Current technical signals indicate that the downtrend remains dominant, and there is a high probability that gold will continue correcting toward the $3290 support level, possibly even testing the $3225 area if the bearish pressure persists. 📰 Key Economic Data Scheduled for Today (U.S.): • Unemployment Claims • Flash Manufacturing PMI • Flash Services PMI These reports could trigger strong short-term volatility, especially if the data is positive and strengthens expectations that the Fed will maintain a tight monetary policy. This scenario could put further downward pressure on gold, as the USD strengthens and Treasury yields rise. ⚠️ Recommendation: Investors are advised to avoid trading during news releases to minimize risk from high volatility. 🔍 Short-Term Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3350 – remains unbroken, confirming weakening buying power. • Nearest Support: $3290 – crucial level to monitor if the downtrend continues. • Deeper Support: $3225 – could be tested if no strong rebound occurs. • Short-Term EMA: Price is currently below the EMA 09, signaling further downside momentum. • Bearish Candlestick Pattern: Series of long red candles reinforce the ongoing bearish trend. 💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios: SELL XAU/USD Zone : 3325$ - 3328 💰 TP : 3310 - 3313 🚨 SL $3335 BUY XAU/USD Zone: 3288$ - 3290$ 💰 TP : 3313 – 3315 🚨 SL $3283
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Grasp the core strategy of trend tradingGold continues to be bullish and will go to the area near the gap of 3325. At that time, the short-term may be blocked and fall back. If it breaks, look at the area near 3340-3345. In the 4H cycle, relying on the moving average to support the rising stage, and the Bollinger is in an open state, there is still room to see above. The support for the fall back is to pay attention to the top and bottom of the small cycle of 3285, followed by the low point of 3274, but there will not be too much retracement in the strong position. In terms of operation, the main fall back is long, and gradually look at 3325 and 3345. Shorting can only be entered at key points, and fast in and out without fighting. Operation suggestion: Go long on gold near 3285-74, look at 3315 and 3325! If it is extremely strong, go long on the support of 3298-3295!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Potential Selling Opportunity on Gold from 3374 level!Hello traders, 👋 I’m closely watching Gold (XAU/USD) for a possible short setup around the 3374 zone, and here’s my breakdown: 📉 Trend Structure: Gold continues to respect its bearish market structure, consistently forming Lower Highs (LHs) and Lower Lows (LLs) — a clear sign of sellers maintaining control. 📐 Key Confluence at 3374: Price is currently retracing toward a descending trendline that perfectly aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, drawn from the previous swing highs. This confluence zone strengthens the case for a potential reversal. 📍 Sell Zone: I’m watching the 3360–3380 region, with 3374 being my preferred level to look for entries. Entry Confirmation: Before executing a trade, I’ll be waiting for: A bearish engulfing candle A bearish breaker block Or a strong rejection pin bar on the lower timeframes 🎯 Targets: TP1: 3321 TP2: 3253 TP3: 3210 🔒 Risk management is key – always wait for confirmation before entering! Let me know what you think in the comments — agree or disagree? 👇 Trade safe and stay sharp!
TVC:GOLDShort
by AmaWina
Trend trading is the core strategyGold opened at 3290 and rebounded, reaching 3314 and retreating. Last night, gold broke through the box and oscillated, so it is reasonable to continue to move up. The gold moving average continues to cross upward and diverge. The strength of gold bulls is still there. The decline of gold is an opportunity to continue to go long. Gold is now at the top and bottom conversion position of 3275-85. Gold falls back to 3275-3285 and continues to go long. Gold has repaired the gap of the previous gap. In the short term, pay attention to the suppression of 3315-21. Try not to chase the high position. We will intervene in the long position when it falls back. Today, the support below is around 3275-85, and the upper short-term focus is on the 3315-21 line. If it does not break, you can short. The important resistance is 3340-45. The short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed is 3253-60. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Shorting can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly, and do not fight. Gold operation strategy: 1. Go long when gold falls back to around 3275-85, with a target of 3300-3320. 2. Go short when gold rebounds around 3340-45, with a target of 3320-3300.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
1
Gold price suddenly rises, how to get out of the trap at night🗞News side: 1. Humanitarian crisis in Gaza Strip, many civilians injured. I hope that world peace is all right 2. The call between the Russian and Ukrainian leaders is still ongoing 📈Technical aspects: After gold fell back after touching 3250, it rose again and has broken through to around 3270. This rapid rise was unexpected. Although the 1H moving average turned upward, the gold price is currently consolidating at a high level. It is not suitable for us to enter the market at this time. We should remain on the sidelines and pay attention to the pressure at 3290 above. The short-term support below needs to pay attention to 3250-2540. If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell
Momentum shift: bulls take control with the clean break outAfter a consolidation and indecision phase, price eventually broke out of the range with good bullish momentum, signifying a probable continuation of the trend. The breakout candle closed above the resistance level, making it a new support area (entry zone). This is in line with prior structure and volume accumulation. Entry Zone: 3,258 – 3,261 Stop Loss (SL): Below 3,255 to guard against false breaks Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,264 (important resistance re-test) Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,267 (former swing high) This setup has a good risk-reward and is consistent with the sentiment after a liquidity pull from lower levels. Reminder: Wait for a small retracement or confirmation prior to entry to minimize drawdown. Suitable for breakout traders who want to capture momentum early.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FadeTheFake
Gold price fluctuates, 3200 becomes a key watershed🗞News side: 1. Yesterday, Russia and Ukraine had a positive development on the issue of war and peace 2. The situation in Israel has become more serious 3. The United States and the European Union have further negotiations on tariffs 📈Technical aspects: At present, gold is in a volatile situation in the short term. From a technical point of view, the monthly chart of gold shows an upward trend, and the long-term trend is neutral to bullish; the weekly chart is in a high-level stagflation situation, and the medium-term trend is expected to be a stagflation correction; the daily MACD top divergence, there may be a rebound demand in the short term, and the 4H forms a double top suppression near 3250. We need to pay attention to the range breakthrough trend during the day. At the same time, on the news front, the situation in Israel is becoming increasingly serious. Before any major news comes out, we will focus on the support effect of the 3200 line in the short term, and focus on the 3240-3250 resistance range on the upside. 🎁BUY 3210-3200 🎁TP 3230-3250 🎁SELL 3242-3250 🎁TP 3230-3210 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell
Fed Signals No Rate Cuts Until Sept – Gold Under PressureFed’s Interest Rate Outlook: - Two senior Federal Reserve officials – New York Fed President John Williams and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic – signaled that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates before September 2025. - The Fed needs more time to assess the economic impact of new trade policies from the Trump administration. - Trade tariffs and ongoing negotiations are creating major uncertainties, making it difficult for businesses and households to plan financially. - The probability of a rate cut in June has dropped to just 10%, and expected rate cuts for 2025 have been revised down from four to only two. Impact on Global Gold Prices: ✅ 1. Short-term – Downward Pressure: Prolonged high interest rates → stronger US dollar → gold prices face downward pressure as gold yields no interest. 🔄 2. Medium-term – Mixed Outlook: - If trade talks fail and tariffs increase, leading to economic and inflation risks → gold may benefit as a safe-haven asset. - Conversely, if trade tensions ease and inflation stays under control, expectations for rate cuts will decline further → gold may continue facing selling pressure. 💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios: SELL XAU/USD Zone : 3249 - 3252 💰 TP : 3247 – 3242 🚨 SL $3257 BUY XAU/USD Zone: 3190 💰 TP : 3195 – 3200 🚨 SL $3185
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals