Gold’s Trap Above QML: Bearish Play UnfoldingHello Guys!
Gold appears to be forming a textbook Quasimodo reversal setup after printing a lower high into a key supply zone. Price aggressively tapped into the QML area (around 3,350–3,360), where sellers previously stepped in, and we’re now seeing signs of rejection.
The engulf zone marked earlier confirms bearish intent. It broke structure and flipped momentum. Price is currently retesting below that engulf level, likely as a last attempt to grab liquidity before heading down.
The projected move suggests a drop toward the next significant demand zone around 3,295–3,285, where the price previously found a strong bullish reaction.
Bias: Bearish below QML
Target: 3,295 zone
Invalidation: Above 3,368 (high of supply zone)
Goldsell
Gold Pulls Back After Strong US NFP Data📊 Market Overview:
U.S. June Non-Farm Payrolls came in at 147,000 vs. 110,000 expected, strengthening the dollar and reducing expectations for a July Fed rate cut. As a result, gold dropped nearly 1%, trading in the $3,328–3,332 zone
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,350 – $3,360
• Immediate Support: $3,322 – $3,328
• EMA: Price has fallen below the 09 EMA, indicating a bearish short-term trend.
• Candle/Volume/Momentum: A strong bearish candle with increased volume shows significant selling pressure post-NFP
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue its downtrend in the short term if the dollar remains strong and no fresh bullish triggers emerge. A drop toward $3,322–$3,328 is possible.
💡 Trade Ideas:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,342 – $3,345
🎯 TP: $3,322
❌ SL: $3,348
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,322 – $3,325
🎯 TP: $3,345
❌ SL: $3,316
Gold - This is the official top!Gold - TVC:GOLD - might top out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Since Gold confirmed its rounding bottom in 2019 it rallied more than +200%. Especially the recent push higher has been quite aggressive, squeezing all bears. But now Gold is somehow unable to create new all time highs, which could constitute the a top formation.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $3.000
Keep your long term vision🙏🙏
Philip (BasicTrading)
Continue to maintain the rhythm of short tradingUnder the influence of NFP, gold fell sharply as expected. What I had suggested before was proven correct by the market again. "Gold rose in advance to reserve room for the NFP market to fall." After NFP, gold fell to around 3311 and the decline narrowed. Therefore, we accurately seized the opportunity to go long on gold near 3312 and set TP: 3330. Obviously, gold successfully hit TP during the rebound and made an easy profit of 180 pips.
From the current gold structure, gold encountered resistance and retreated twice near 3365, and built a double top structure in the short-term structure. In order to eliminate the suppression of the double top structure, gold still needs to continue to fall after the rebound. After the cliff-like decline of gold, the short-term resistance is in the 3340-3345 area, and the short-term support below is in the 3320-3310 area.
So I think that gold can still continue to short gold after the rebound, and I have already shorted gold around 3336 with the 3340-3345 area as resistance. Now we just need to wait patiently for gold to hit TP. Let us wait and see!
Gold Drops as NFP Beats, USD Gains📊 Market Overview:
• June’s Non-Farm Payrolls came in stronger than expected at +147K (vs 110K forecast), with unemployment ticking down to 4.1%.
• The US Dollar surged (DXY up ~0.5%) and Treasury yields rebounded following the release.
• Gold dropped sharply after the report, hitting a session low of $3,311 and is now trading around $3,328.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,364
• Immediate Support: $3,311
• EMA 09 (H1): Price is below the 09 EMA → confirms short-term bearish trend.
• Pattern / Momentum: A bearish engulfing candle near $3,364 signaled strong seller control. The failure to bounce afterward suggests persistent bearish pressure. RSI is tilting lower, confirming weakening momentum.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to decline toward the $3,300–$3,290 area if USD and yields remain firm, especially if upcoming US data (such as ISM Services PMI) also supports the dollar strength.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,333 – $3,335
🎯 TP: $3,300
❌ SL: $3,339
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,293 – $3,290
🎯 TP: $3,330
❌ SL: $3,287
Gold May Pull Back After Day’s High📊 Market Overview:
• Gold is currently trading around $3,350/oz, with the daily high at $3,366/oz.
• The rally stalled as traders took profits near the session high, while a slight rebound in the USD and rising U.S. Treasury yields weighed on gold’s momentum.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: ~$3,366 (today’s high), with next level at ~$3,375–3,380 if breached.
• Nearest Support: ~$3,342 (intra-day low), stronger support seen at $3,329–3,330.
• EMA 9/21: Price is hovering near the EMA21 (~$3,350); this area is crucial to determine the short-term trend.
• Candle/Momentum Indicators:
o RSI is around 53-55, signaling a neutral stance;
o MACD shows weakening bullish momentum after hitting resistance.
📌 Viewpoint:
Gold may see a minor pullback in the short term, possibly testing the $3,342–3,329 zone after reacting to the daily high. However, if it holds above EMA21 and EMA50, the medium-term bullish trend remains intact.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,363–3,366
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,370
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,329–3,332
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,325
ARE WE IN A BEAR MARKET, AT WHAT EXTENT?In this video, I attempt to explain the fractal similarities in the gold market five years apart and how we can use a best-fit model to predict the next stage of the current correction.
In the next video, I will investigate the results of our model.
Check back shortly
Gold Sees Volatile Swings – Pullback Risk Remains📊 Market Highlights:
Gold surged to $3,351 earlier today after weaker-than-expected US ISM manufacturing data, which boosted expectations of a Fed rate cut. However, profit-taking quickly pushed prices down to $3,334 before recovering to $3,342.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,351
• Nearest Support: $3,334
• EMA: Price is above EMA 09 → uptrend still intact.
• Candles / Volume / Momentum: H1 candle shows a long upper wick, indicating selling pressure near the recent high. Bullish momentum is slowing, and volume has started to normalize.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may face a short-term pullback if it fails to break above $3,351 and the USD strengthens during the US session.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,345 – $3,350
🎯 TP: $3,334
❌ SL: $3,353
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,332 – $3,334
🎯 TP: $3,350
❌ SL: $3,323
Gold Trading Strategy February 7✏️As expected from the analysis, after the D1 candle showed buying pressure again, the price continued its uptrend yesterday and reached 3357.
Currently, the price is consolidating within a relatively wide sideways range, extending from 3328 to 3344.
A trend-following trading strategy will be set up when the price breaks out of this range.
The BUY signal is expected to bring good profits if the price retests the support.
The SELL signal at resistance is considered to look for rebound points in an uptrend.
📈 Key Levels
Breakout Range: 3344-3328
Support: 3310-3298
Resistance: 3368-3386
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY: 3310-3308 | SL: 3305
SELL: 3368-3370 | SL: 3373
Gold Pulls Back Slightly After Peaking at $3,357📊 Market Overview:
Gold rallied to $3,357 yesterday following weak US manufacturing PMI, sparking expectations of an upcoming Fed rate cut. This morning, prices are pulling back to around $3,340 as traders await the FOMC meeting minutes for further guidance.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Near resistance: $3,357
• Key resistance: $3,370
• Near support: $3,330
• Major support: $3,318
• EMA: Price is still above the 09 EMA, but starting to slope downward → short-term weakness emerging.
• Candlestick & momentum: Doji candle with a long upper wick on H4 chart around $3,357 → showing fading bullish momentum. RSI dropping out of overbought zone confirms potential short-term pullback
📌 Outlook:
Gold is currently in a mild downward correction, and may continue to decline toward $3,330 – $3,318 if the FOMC minutes do not suggest strong dovish intent.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,350 – $3,354
🎯 TP: $3,330
❌ SL: $3,359
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,328 – $3,332
🎯 TP: $3,350
❌ SL: $3,318
Gold breaks trend – bullish wave returnsIn the most recent trading session, gold (XAUUSD) has made a strong rebound from the key support zone around $3,263 and is now approaching a short-term resistance near $3,347 – signaling a potential continuation of the bullish momentum in the short term.
1. Price Structure & Market Behavior After reaching a local top around $3,347–$3,350, gold entered a clear downtrend.
However, the breakout of the descending trendline (yellow line) with solid bullish candles is a strong reversal signal.
The market has formed higher highs and higher lows with strong bullish candles, confirming a V-shape reversal pattern from the bottom zone.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels Immediate resistance: $3,347–$3,350 – previous rejection zone.
Short-term support: $3,308 – newly broken resistance now acting as support.
Major support: $3,263 – previous low with strong bullish bounce, highlighting significant buyer interest.
3. Suggested Trading Strategy Given the strong breakout and bullish trend structure, traders may consider a buy-the-dip strategy around $3,308–$3,315 on potential pullbacks.
Stop-loss should be placed below $3,263 to protect against false breakouts.
Short-term take-profit targets can be set at $3,350–$3,360. If this level breaks, extended targets could reach $3,375.
Volume & Momentum Volume is increasing along with price, confirming strong buyer participation.
Bullish candles are closing near highs, showing weak selling pressure and suggesting the uptrend may continue.
Conclusion: Gold has resumed a short-term uptrend after breaking its previous downtrend. Traders should favor bullish setups and look for pullbacks to enter at better prices. Watch the $3,347 zone closely – if gold breaks and holds above it, further upside is likely.
XAUUSD Consolidates Near Resistance After Strong RallyGold (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe has staged a solid bullish reversal from the 3,263 USD support zone, reaching a recent high of 3,357 USD. Now, the market is entering a consolidation phase just below this resistance. This price action may be setting the stage for the next directional move.
After breaking a clear descending trendline, XAUUSD formed a two-leg bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows – a classic signal of trend reversal. The rally paused around 3,357 USD, a previous swing high acting as short-term resistance. The price is currently ranging between 3,330–3,340 USD with decreasing volume, indicating a potential accumulation zone rather than distribution.
Resistance: 3,357 USD – breakout target
Support zone: 3,330–3,335 USD – short-term demand zone
Invalidation level: 3,306 USD – below this, bullish structure breaks
As long as price holds above 3,330 USD, a bullish continuation remains the primary scenario. Traders can look for pullbacks or bullish patterns within this zone for potential long entries. A break and close above 3,357 USD would confirm strength, opening the path toward 3,370 or even 3,390 USD.
Stop-loss should be placed below 3,306 USD to manage risk if the breakout fails. If price loses the 3,306 support decisively, the setup turns neutral to bearish short-term.
The breakout leg was supported by rising volume, validating real demand. Current low-volume sideways movement suggests the market is “cooling off” after the rally, often a precursor to the next breakout move. Watching for bullish engulfing candles or volume spikes near support can offer trade confirmation.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in a bullish technical structure on the 1H chart. The current range between 3,330–3,357 USD is key. If price breaks above resistance, we could see strong continuation toward higher levels. Traders should stay patient, manage risk carefully, and let price action confirm the next move.
Gold Might Break Higher As It Hits $3,330 Resistance📊 Market Drivers
Gold has just climbed to $3,330/oz, supported by ongoing safe-haven demand and a slightly weaker U.S. dollar ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s speech. Investor expectations of a rate cut in September are keeping bullish momentum alive.
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis
• Resistance:
→ $3,330–3,335 (50-day SMA & Fibonacci level)
A breakout above $3,335 could open the door to $3,350+.
• Support:
→ $3,300–3,310 (psychological level & EMA9)
→ Next support lies at $3,275–3,280 if the first zone breaks.
• EMA09:
Price is currently above the 9-EMA, confirming a short-term bullish trend.
• Momentum Indicators:
o MACD is bullish; Stochastics is high — all signaling upside, though a short-term pullback may occur if the resistance holds.
________________________________________
📌 Outlook
Gold is likely to continue climbing in the short term if it breaks above the $3,330–$3,335 resistance zone, fueled by bullish sentiment and dovish Fed expectations.
If it fails to break higher, a minor correction toward $3,300–$3,310 could follow.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trade Strategy
BUY XAU/USD : $3,320–3,325
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,310
SELL XAU/USD : $3,340–3,345
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,350
Gold price rises by more than $100, will the bull run continue?📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
3. Global Central Bank Governors Meeting
📈 Technical Analysis:
The NY session is about to begin, and there are two things we need to pay attention to. First, the PMI data, and second, the talks between global central bank governors. If Powell again hints that the inflation outlook is weaker than expected, this will increase the Fed's easing bets and trigger a new round of decline in the US dollar. The dovish tone may help gold prices to further rebound. On the contrary, if Powell makes some hawkish or cautious remarks, this may exacerbate the recent downward trend in gold prices. The key point at present is the 3350 mark. If the 4H closing line of the NY session remains below 3350, then in the short term we are expected to continue to retreat to the 3330-3320 range. If the 4H closing line is above 3350 and stabilizes, gold may rebound to the 61.8% position, which is around 3372.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350-3355
TP 3330-3325-3320
BUY 3330-3320
TP 3340-3350-3372
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAUUSD 01 July - Price pushing into premium zone 🔹 Macro Structure:
Gold has successfully broken structure (BOS) after forming a bullish shift in market structure (MSS) around the 326x – 327x zone.
Current price action is respecting internal bullish order flow, with higher highs and higher lows being maintained.
Breakout above 3300 psychological level + recent BOS confirms bullish intent.
🔹 Liquidity Map:
Buy-side liquidity is still resting above 3350 and into the strong OB at 3388, where a potential sell-side reaction could occur.
Sell-side liquidity below 3267 has not been swept recently, meaning deeper retracements may still occur after internal liquidity is cleared.
🔹 Expectation:
Current wave is likely in impulse phase (Wave 3 → Wave 5) aiming for 3388 OB.
A retracement into the discount zone (3301 – 3303 OB) is ideal for a continuation trade.
Watch for bearish signs near 3388 – this zone aligns with high liquidity, strong OB, and trendline confluence.
🔵 BUY SETUP (Retracement entry – continuation)
Buy Zone: 3301 – 3303 OB
Entry Trigger: Bullish engulfing / FVG fill
Stop Loss: Below 3297 (below recent swing low)
Targets: 3306 – 3310 – 3315 – 3320 – 3330 – 3346 – 3388
🔴 SELL SETUP (Reversal entry – premium zone)
Sell Zone: 3348 – 3350 (mitigation area)
Entry Trigger: CHoCH + bearish rejection wick
Stop Loss: Above 3354
Targets: 3344 – 3340 – 3335 – 3325 – 3310 – 3300
✅ Alternative Entry (Low sweep)
Buy Limit: 3270 – 3267 (deep OB + SSL zone)
SL: 3262
TP: 3280 – 3290 – 3300 – 3315+
⏳ Wait for price to confirm intention via structure + liquidity reaction before entering trades.
🧠 SMC traders: focus on manipulation zones, OBs, and internal BOS for precision entries.
GOLD SHORT TRADE IDEA ! Gold Looking For Sell On Order Block Zone 3331/3334 Target Will Be 3300
Gold Sell Second Zone Bearish Engulfing + Fresh Supply Target Will Be 3275
Gold Sell First Zone OB H1 (3331/3335
Stoploss - 3345
Tp Levels - 3325,3320,3310,3300
Gold Sell Second Zone Bearish EG + Fresh Supply (3338/3344)
Stoploss - 3350
TP levels : 3330; 3322; 3314; 3330, 3290
XAUUSD 15min – Bearish Setup | Short Trade Plan Below 3328Price action on Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of exhaustion near the 3,328 resistance zone, where we anticipate potential bearish rejection. A short opportunity may unfold once confirmation occurs below the key structural level of 3316.
Sell Trade Setup:
🔹 Primary Entry (Sell Entry 1):
📍 Zone: Around 3,328.29
📌 Reaction expected near major supply & resistance zone.
🔹 Confirmation Entry (Sell Entry 2):
📍 Below 3,316
📌 Break below structure may trigger bearish momentum.
Targets:
🎯 TP 1: 3,296.97 (Initial reaction zone)
🎯 TP 2: 3,276.64 (Mid support/EMA cross zone)
🎯 TP 3: 3,259.88 (Key structural support)
🎯 Extended TP:
3,243.94 (Re-entry confirmation level)
3,225.53 (Prior base structure)
3,202.45 (Final target if strong momentum follows)
3,159.31 (Ultimate low if sellers dominate trend)
Re-Entry Plan:
🔄 If price retraces after TP 3, watch for rejection at 3,243.94 to re-enter short toward the next levels.
Confluence Factors:
✔ 45° TPC angle supports bearish path
✔ Structure break expected below 3316
✔ EMA resistance and trendline rejection from upper zone
✔ Volatility cluster observed near 3,328 – ideal for trap setup
Bias:
Bearish below 3,316 – Expecting a downward continuation if structure confirms breakdown.
Author:
📅 1 July 2025
📊 Chart: XAUUSD – 15min
🧠 Shared by: @THEPATELCRYPTO
The limit is 3320. Rebound and still short📰 News information:
1. Gold market liquidity at the end of the month
2. Impact of geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
Currently, gold has rebounded to around 3295, reaching our ideal trading area. I have given the short-selling trading idea in the previous post. At present, in the short term, we still maintain the short-selling trading idea before effectively breaking through the upper resistance. Focus on the 3325 line of resistance
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3295-3310-3320
TP 3285-3270
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAUUSD/GOLD Geopolitical conflicts have escalated again. Next week is a week of heavy news. How will the gold price focus next week? How to trade? Look at the news preview first.
1. Geopolitics, Russia-Ukraine conflict, Palestine-Israel conflict, Iran-Israel conflict.
2. ADP data, NFP data.
3. Tariff deadline.
The above three news are enough to cause drastic fluctuations in the gold price.
On Friday, the New York market followed my expectations. After rebounding around 3282, it fell back. Finally closed around 3274.
The impact of the weekend news is huge. From the news perspective, the opening price of next Monday will be higher than the closing price on Friday. In terms of operation, you can pay attention to buying at a low price after the market opens.
Gold: Eyes on QML Zone for Potential Reaction Before Deeper DropHello guys!
Let's go deep into the GOLD chart!
Price has completed a liquidity grab near 3440 (marked as "a hunting") and is now heading downward toward a key QML zone.
First, a reaction is expected around the QML area (3180–3220), where previous structural interest and demand may cause a temporary bounce.
After this reaction, the price is likely to retest higher, potentially forming a lower high.
Then, the dominant bearish structure is expected to continue, with a possible sharp drop toward the final demand zone around 3050–3080.
This movement represents a classic manipulation.
Gold Faces Resistance Near $3,300 Ahead of U.S. Jobs Data📊 Market Highlights:
Gold holds firm above $3,280 supported by expectations of future Fed rate cuts, but upside momentum has stalled as traders await this Friday’s U.S. jobs report. A slight rebound in the U.S. dollar and elevated bond yields are pressuring gold in the short term.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistances:
– $3,300 (strong psychological and profit-taking level)
– $3,320 (last week’s high – potential heavy selling zone)
• Key Supports:
– $3,255 (short-term dynamic support – EMA 09)
– $3,230 (major support from previous breakout structure)
• EMA 09: Price remains above the 09 EMA → trend still bullish
• Momentum: The bullish momentum is weakening. A shooting star candle near $3,300 and RSI approaching overbought territory (>70) suggest a possible short-term correction.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may retreat to $3,255 or lower if it fails to break above the $3,300–$3,320 resistance zone. However, the overall bullish trend remains intact as long as price holds above $3,230.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,295 – $3,300
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,305
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,255 – $3,260
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,245