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Gold rises as a safe haven, how to plan the market outlook 📌 Gold Drivers Gold prices rose more than 2% on Monday, benefiting from a weaker dollar and safe-haven inflows as U.S. President Donald Trump's new tariffs reignited concerns about the impact of a global trade war. Spot gold rose by more than 2.3%, US gold futures rose by 2.4%, and the US dollar index fell by 0.4%. On Sunday, Trump wrote on his social platform Truth Social: "I authorize the Department of Commerce and the United States Trade Representative to immediately initiate procedures to impose a 100% tariff on all films produced abroad entering the United States. We want to make movies in the United States again!" But he did not specify how these tariffs will be implemented. 📊Comment analysis Gold prices continue to accumulate and have broken through 3330 points. It can be found that gold is now completely above the trend line. 💰Strategy package The only suppression position above is currently around 3350. The support below is currently at 3275-85. If gold does not retreat, then the upper side will directly test the suppression near 3350. On the contrary, if gold chooses to retreat next, then pay attention to 3275-85. As long as gold retreats and stabilizes in the 3275-85 range, you can directly enter the market to do more. Continue to look at 3350 above. If it breaks through and stabilizes above 3350 in the future, you will see the 3380-3420 range. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
Gold bulls are back in force. What is the operation strategy?The gold price has reached the sideways fluctuation range expected by Quid. This matches my morning prediction. From the 4-hour trend: Gold has now broken through the first upward resistance level predicted by Quid, and is currently fluctuating slightly in the 3315-3320 range. The current upward resistance position is around 3330. The lower support is currently located at 3275-85. If gold does not retreat, then the upward trend may test the position around 3350. On the contrary, if gold chooses to retreat, traders need to pay attention to the 3275-3285 decline range. Quid believes that as long as gold retreats and stabilizes in the 3275-3285 range, then a long operation strategy can be carried out at this position. The current upper high is still at 3350. If the upward resistance level of 3350 is broken later, I expect the price of gold to reach a height of 3380-3420.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
GOLD Technical Analysis - Deeper Pullback in PlayOANDA:XAUUSD remains within a broader ascending channel, but recent price action suggests that the market is undergoing a deeper corrective phase. Following a prolonged bullish rally, price appears overextended and is now pulling back more decisively. This correction aligns with expectations for a healthy retracement after such strong upward momentum. I anticipate that the pullback will extend further toward the $3,160 level, a key technical level defined by the confluence of horizontal support, ascending trendline support, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse. This zone will be critical for determining whether the broader bullish structure remains intact. If price holds at this level and shows signs of reversal, it may present a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. However, a decisive break below this zone would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door to a deeper correction. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management. Best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TrendDiva
97
Trade Plan – MGC (Micro Gold Futures) | Sunday, May 4Trend Bias (Multi-Timeframe Analysis): • 1W: Bullish – Strong macro uptrend with pullback off all-time highs. • 1D: Bearish – Lower highs and lower lows forming after topping out at $3,509. • 4H: Bearish – Clean downtrend continuation forming. • 1H: Bearish – Price rejected lower highs, now curling down again. • 15M: Bullish – Short-term bounce from $3,210 low, but corrective in nature. Trade Setup: • Direction: Short • Entry Zone: $3,250 – $3,260 • Price has retraced to a lower-high zone under supply; aligns with hourly resistance. • Stop Loss: $3,270 • Just above 1H structure and 15M failed high. • Take Profit: $3,210 • Prior swing low and liquidity zone.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by KamStockman
1
The latest gold strategy analysis and operation guidance📌Fundamentals: This week, the US economic data was released intensively, and ADP employment, unemployment benefits, GDP and PCE price index were all bullish, but some data showed signs of weakness after Trump's tariff policy. The unemployment rate remained the same as the previous value of 4.2%, while the expected new employment of 130,000 was significantly lower than the previous value of 228,000. The market's concerns about the cooling of the economy provided support for the gold price. 📊Technical side: Although the 1-hour moving average is still in a dead cross short arrangement, there are signs of turning around. At the same time, after the rebound, gold began to consolidate at a high level instead of continuing to fall, so the momentum of the bears was weakened. So today's closing is critical. Today, gold fell back to around 3230 under pressure from 3270. In the short term, this is a balance range. You can see the shock in this range at night. If gold finally closes above 3270, then gold will most likely continue to rise next week. If it closes below 3240, then gold bears still have a great chance. If you want to operate in the short term, then don't chase it for the time being. Since it is a shock, you can go short first at a high level. If it breaks through 3270, then wait until next week. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that the rebound is mainly short, and the callback is supplemented by long. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3265-3270, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3200-3197. 🎯Practical strategies: Strategy 1: Go short when gold rebounds around 3263-3266, with a target around 3230-3210. Strategy 2: Go long when gold pulls back around 3197-3200, with a target around 3220-3230.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Gold trend layout in the evening after the release of NFP data🗞News side: 1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts 2. Be wary of DXY trends 3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict 📈Technical aspects: The short orders in hand have already been profitable, and gold is now back near 3250, while the US dollar index has once again fallen by 100, reaching around 99.6, and the 1H moving average is currently showing signs of turning upward. The upper and lower shadow lines of the 1H K-line closing look like cross stars of equal length, which means that things may go wrong, and gold may rebound upwards in the short term. We can still focus on the resistance of 3260-3270 above, and further focus on the first-line resistance of 3280-3286, while the bottom has never been able to effectively break through the first-line support of 3240. If this week closes at 3240, then the market outlook next week will be conducive to long trading. Intraday operation suggestions 🎁SELL 3260-3270 🎁TP 3245-3240 🎁BUY 3230-3240 🎁TP 3260-3270 If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
Non-agriculture ended perfectly, Today’s closing is key!📌Fundamentals: The US April non-farm payrolls data (177,000 new jobs) exceeded expectations, reinforcing the Fed's expectations of a smaller rate cut. The market's expectations for rate cuts this year have been lowered from 90 basis points to 85 basis points, and the strengthening of the US dollar has suppressed gold prices. 📊Technical aspects: From the 4-hour analysis, gold fell after the negative news of non-farm payrolls today, but gold bottomed out and rebounded, and continued to fluctuate. It feels that non-farm payrolls have gradually lost its charm, and the market is not as good as usual. However, today's closing is very critical, and it is also the key to whether gold will turn around. The non-farm payrolls market has basically finished, and the upper side continues to pay attention to the suppression of 3260-68, focusing on the suppression of 3290-95 above, and the short-term support near 3235-3240 below. 🎯Practical strategies: 1. Go short when gold rebounds at 3260-65, cover short positions at 3378-85, and target 3240-3245.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
1
XAU/USD buy to sell outlookThis week, I’ll be monitoring potential long entries from the nearby 3H demand zone, but my primary focus will be on price retracing into the 4H supply zone around 3,300, where I’ll be watching for a sell opportunity. This zone aligns with the current bearish momentum we've seen recently, and I’ll wait for price to slow down and show signs of distribution once it reaches this area.Once we see that slowdown, I’ll aim to refine a clean order block for entry, ensuring a clear change of character and avoiding any potential smart money traps or false moves. Confluences for Gold Sells: - A clean 4H supply zone has formed, which caused a break of structure to the downside. - There's significant liquidity resting below, making further downside likely. - Gold has been heavily overbought and saturated, which supports this correctional bearish move. - The DXY recently reacted bullish from a strong 2-day demand zone, adding confluence for downside in gold. - After last week’s sharp decline, a retracement is expected before further downside continuation. P.S.: There’s also liquidity to the upside in the form of uncollected Asia highs, so don’t be surprised if price sweeps those first before tapping into our supply zone. Let’s stay patient and smart with entries — have a great weekend, everyone!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
Non-agricultural prospective data analysis Operation suggestions📌Fundamentals: 📊Technical aspects: Technically, spot gold is in a downward trend in the short term, and there is a certain rebound or shock at the key support level. At the 4-hour level, the gold price is running above the lower track of the Bollinger Band, and the opening shows signs of contraction. The MACD indicator dead cross is gradually closing, and the RSI indicator is running in the 35-45 range, showing that the long and short forces are relatively balanced. 🎯Practical strategy: 3260-3270 light position short, target 3225-3200. When it reaches 3225-3200 and stabilizes, try to go long, target 3250-3270.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Maintain shock and short position before non-agricultural📌Fundamentals: From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine has eased, and the dawn of peace talks is approaching, which is a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan has heated up, which has supported the price of gold to a certain extent. 📊Technical aspects: In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and warned that gold is likely to break and fall sharply. Gold, the general trend is as described in the continuous analysis. This round of price has fallen from the historical high of 3500. The first round of selling to 3260 rebounded to repair 3370; after rebounding to 3358 during the week, it weakened again, and the Asian market quickly sold off and fell below 3260. The subsequent analysis emphasized that the short-selling pattern of each cycle is good, and the shock bearish trend continued before the non-agricultural, and the target was adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168; European and American markets fluctuated and were bearish, which is in line with expectations; short-term resistance 3221, 3226, strong resistance 3231-3235; short-term support 3212, strong support 3202; 🎯Practical strategy: It is recommended to rebound and sell: short near 3220-3230, target 10-15 points
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
How to layout gold before non-agricultural data🗞News side: 1. Progress in Sino-US tariff negotiations: The United States has recently contacted China through multiple channels, releasing signals that a trade agreement may be reached. Market concerns about trade friction have significantly cooled down, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold. 2. The U.S. non-farm payrolls report for April will be released today (expected to add 130,000 new jobs). If the data is weak, it may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut. On the contrary, if it is stronger than expected, the interest rate cut schedule may be further delayed. 📈Technical aspects: Gold bottomed out yesterday and has now rebounded to around 3250. For the current market situation, the previous low of 3260-3270 has become an important resistance level above the gold price after the top-to-bottom conversion. In addition, non-agricultural data will be released in the U.S. market today. Therefore, if gold wants to reverse upward, the first resistance will be in the 3260-3270 range. If the counter pull from the bottom fails to stabilize at 3270, then there will be a downward trend. If it breaks through this resistance range, it may test the 3286 line. Before the release of non-agricultural data, the European market can be shorted when encountering resistance at 3260-3270. Everyone is waiting patiently for the opportunity to enter. The following focuses on the important support of 3200. If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
Gold trading ideas after key data releaseOn the news front, the US April ISM manufacturing PMI was higher than expected, which led to the US Treasury bonds giving up their gains. From a technical analysis point of view, after the gold price fell out of the strong support of 3260 in the shock range, this position turned into the short-term resistance level for our short-term reference, followed by the position of multiple entity K-lines at the hourly level of 3275. There is a possibility of breaking through 3260 in the later period, so 3275 can also be treated as a defensive position. Although the price of gold has been hovering around 3220, our main bearish direction remains unchanged in the short term. The trading strategy given in the afternoon is still a reference. For rebound, first focus on the 3240-3250 first-line resistance, and further look at the top-bottom transition position of 3260-3270. You can participate in transactions in small batches. Below, focus on the 3210-3200 support, and if it falls below, look for the 3193 first-line. TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
The short position continues to approach the expected point📌Fundamentals: From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine weakened, and the dawn of peace talks was approaching, which was a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan heated up, which supported the gold price to a certain extent. 📊Technical aspects: In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and reminded that gold is likely to break and fall sharply. From a technical perspective: the lower track of the Bollinger band at the 4-hour level broke through, and there was no sign of stabilization. The support of $3,250/ounce turned into pressure, the downward channel has been opened, and MACD has walked out of the hovering area, and the downward momentum has been strengthened; at the daily level, the MACD indicator is dead cross running, and the KDJ indicator enters the oversold area, showing that the short-selling force has an absolute advantage. The short-term short-selling force of spot gold is strong, and the gold price is in a downward trend. Before there is an obvious reversal signal, the short-term trend is still bearish. 🎯Practical strategy: Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3235-3245, target 3220-3200.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
XAUUSD Take ProfitThe gold trade I shared a few hours ago has hit Take Profit at the RRR 1:2 level. This was the second TP level. For those who wish, you can hold the trade until the TP level at 3206.35. If the price approaches this level, don’t forget to move your SL to the entry point. Wishing everyone a pleasant end to the day. 🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile. 👉 Follow me to get notified and read the full breakdowns.
FX:XAUUSD
by Nurlan_PT
Gold continues to fall, is it expected to reach 3210-3200?Yesterday we mentioned that the market may present a convergent triangle pattern. Today, the gold price has indeed ushered in a wave of sharp declines at the opening of the Asian session, and has fallen below the key support of 3260, and the lowest level has reached 3221. At present, the 1H moving average is spreading downward. In the short term, gold is still in a downward trend and is in a correction to overbought. The gold price is expected to reach 3210-3200. If it falls below this support range, it may even test the previous low of 3193. But at the same time, the 1H RSI indicator has fallen into the oversold area. Therefore, in terms of news, we need to pay attention to the initial jobless claims and PMI data during the US trading session today, and beware of the rebound after the correction. Many friends who have read my posts have reported that my trading ideas and strategies are very helpful to them. I always firmly believe that profitability is the criterion for measuring strength, and seizing the opportunity is the key to victory. I will post every day to share my trading strategies and ideas for free. If you have just entered the market and don’t know how to make more profits, if you are already in it but the harvest is not ideal, then you might consider taking a look at my profile. TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
Gold Updates - May 1st , ahead of Unemployment Claims & PMI News🔍 Gold Route Map – Updated May 1st | Macro Levels & Bias 📊 Today’s Key News (May 1st): • 🕒 14:30 – Unemployment Claims (USD) • 🏭 14:45 – Final Manufacturing PMI • 🏭 15:00 – ISM Manufacturing PMI + Prices Expect high volatility and whipsaws. Gold continues its ruthless selloff, slicing through level after level with institutional precision. As we enter May, structure is loud and clear: bulls are out cold unless price proves otherwise. 👁‍🗨 Key Zones to Watch: 🔻 Resistance 3385 – HTF FVG zone / reversal risk 🔻 Resistance 3350 – Clean target above breakout 🔻 Resistance 3325 – Final barrier before shift ⚔️ 3315–3320 = Flip Zone  → Flip = reclaim structure  → Rejection = continuation sell 🔁 Retest 3308–3312 – Last OB Rejection ⚖️ 3286–3292 = Retest Range  → Internal structure test  → Weak support unless reinforced 🟩 3260–3270 = Reaction Zone  → Confirmed demand  → Last week’s sniper buy played from here 🟢 3252–3244 = Fresh Buy Zone  → Strong OB + inefficiency  → Eyes on reaction 🟢 3220–3235 = Major Discount Range  → ⏳ Multi-timeframe OB + weekly FVG 🧊 3190–3205 = Daily Demand Shelf  → If price nukes, this is where blood meets buyers 🧊 3160–3175 = April’s Demand Base  → Mid-range accumulation shelf 📉 Current Bias • HTF Trend: Bearish under ATH, clean lower highs • LTF Flow: Still bearish unless we flip above 3315 • Market Context: News-heavy week + low liquidity zones triggered this meltdown 🧠 Pro Tip: Don’t trade every bounce. Trade the right structure with proper confirmation. Most of the breakout noise is bait — only a few zones are true sniper setups. Gold plays games. We play levels. GoldMindsFX 🙏 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. 🖊️ If these insights help you refine your trading plans, give us a boost and follow GoldMindsFX on TradingView. Let's grow together!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
2
Gold’s short trend intensifies! Main empty follow up.📌Fundamentals: 📊Technical aspects: Gold, the price of this round has fallen from the historical high of 3500. After the first round of selling to 3260, it rebounded and repaired 3370; it rebounded to 3358 during the week and then weakened again. The Asian market opened with a rapid sell-off below 3260 and is now trading around 3234; the short position in each cycle is good, and the pre-non-agricultural market continues to be bearish. The target is adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168. Short-term resistance 3235-3240, strong resistance 3246-3250, 3260 is not expected to arrive; short-term support 3220, strong support 3210-3194. 🎯Practical strategy: Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3240-3250, target 3220-3200.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
XAUUSD Sells on possible tariffs reduction on ChinaFX:XAUUSD XAUUSD ✏️Gold has rose roughly 30% since Trump took office in Jan 20 early this year, trading at about 2,700 per ounce, to highest at 3,500 on 22 April. Price has recently also reacted off the 0.79 fibre zone, giving a fantastic reaction upside, but failed to break above the HTF Resistance. 🔖Trump recently has also mentioned that he would not fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and we could see him lowering his 'tough guy' attitude towards China. On his recent speech in the Oval Office he said “I'm not going to say, oh I’m going to play hardball with China, I’m going to play a hardball with you, President Xi”, and “we’re going to be very nice”. 📌On the other hand, a White House official mentioned about possible reduction of the 145% tariffs to less than half of its current charges. Note that, this happened before the China's foreign ministry spokesperson Guo JiaKun clarified that the two countries had not held any negotiations on the tariffs, and reached to any agreements. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent did mention about the rates being 'unsustainable', as well as Powell warning about Trump's tariffs worsening inflation and slowing the economy. From these sources, we could perceive it as, the US may desperately need the negotiations with China, than vice versa. 📌As mentioned by Radomski ( news article referred below), we could be experiencing the ‘Buy the Rumour, Sell the News' effect, where investors sought to buy low risk investment products, such as Gold at the beginning of the year due to expected tariffs implementation and trade wars, and selling safer investment products when they see better opportunities. Rarely, we experience ATHs after ATHs without significant corrections. Therefore in this scenario, we could expect at least a few % of short term correction in the near future. Let me know what you guys think! 🔗Sources: www.investing.com www.reuters.com spectrumlocalnews.com
FX:XAUUSDShort
by CandleCipher