12.27 Asian Handicap continues to see a declineGold surged and fell in the US market last night. Gold continued to be short at 2635. Gold fluctuated at a high level in the second half of the night, and the lowest level fell to 2627. Gold did not fluctuate much, but there was no strong breakthrough at the high level. Gold bulls lacked confidence and continued to be short and fall.
Gold broke through the previous high of 2633 in 1 hour, but gold did not stand firm. It surged and fell again and broke the previous high of 2633. Gold did not form an effective breakthrough, so there is a possibility of gold bulls being lured to buy more. At least the market is not a unilaterally strong market. Gold continued to hold the short position of 2635 in the US market last night.
Asian trading operation ideas:
Gold 2635 short, stop loss 2645, target 2615-2610
Goldsell
12.26 Gold short-term operation analysis strategyThe market opened at 2610.6 in the morning of the previous day and then the market rose directly. The daily line reached a high of 2621.6 and then the market fell rapidly. The daily line reached a low of 2609.7 and then the market rose in the late trading. The daily line finally closed at 2616.7 and the market closed with a small positive line with a long upper shadow line. After this pattern ended, it rose first today and gave a short stop loss of 2630 at 2635. The targets below are 2615, 2607 and 2603
Xauusd sell Gold trades in a narrow channel above $2,600 on Tuesday, albeit lacking strong follow-through buying. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears lend support to the safe-haven XAU/USD, while the Fed’s hawkish shift acts as a tailwind for the USD and caps the precious metal.
Gold confirm signal
Gold now sell 2629
Target 2580
From a technical perspective, the recent recovery from a one-month low, along an ascending channel, constitutes the formation of a bearish flag pattern on hourly charts. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart remain in negative territory, suggesting that the path of least resistance for the Gold price is downward. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for a convincing break below the channel support, currently pegged around the $2,605-$2,600 area, before positioning for any further depreciating move.
Xauusd sell signal
Gold continues downtrend at the end of 2024⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) remains steady near $2,610 in the early Asian session on Tuesday, with trading subdued as markets anticipate a quieter pace ahead of the holiday week. Investors are keeping an eye on the US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for December, set to be released later in the day.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold sideways in 2 H1 trendlines - downtrend is dominant. At the end of the year, there will be a lack of trading liquidity, not many big fluctuations.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2627 - $2629 SL $2634
TP1: $2620
TP2: $2610
TP3: $2600
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2604 - $2602 SL $2597
TP1: $2610
TP2: $2618
TP3: $2627
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
12.24 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsYesterday, the gold market opened low at 2619.5 in the morning and then the market rose first. The daily line reached a high of 2633.3 and then the market fell back. The daily line reached a low of 2607.8 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2613.3 and the market closed with a pregnant inverted hammer pattern with a long upper shadow. After the end of this pattern, today's market fell back and continued to short. In terms of points, today's market first rose to 2620 short and conservatively 2628 short stop loss 2632. The target is 2612 and 2607. If it falls below, it will look at 2603 and 2600. If it falls below, it will leave near 2593 and 2585.
Gold fell and weakened
Gold fell after rising to 2790. The daily chart shows a descending triangle pattern, with the high point gradually moving down, and the overall trend is a five-wave decline at a high level. The lower support level of 2545 is the dividing line between long and short positions, and the upper level of 2720 forms a double top and falls back, and it rebounds near 2584.
In general, gold is in a trend of high-level shock and decline, with a short-term rebound and a small ascending triangle structure. In terms of operation, you can pay attention to the breakthrough of the triangle before trading. Short-term support is 2610 and resistance is 2635.
It is recommended to arrange short orders when breaking below 2610, and those who are conservative can wait for the price to rebound to 2630-2635 under pressure before going short. The downside targets are TP2605, TP2580, and TP2550, respectively, and the stop loss can be set at 2656 (breaking above the previous adjustment range).
XAUUSD ShortGold Bias is Sell. We plan 2 entries if 1 SL hit then we enter 2nd trade. Remember 1 thing Both entries trigger before downside liqudity sweeps that mark in the chart.
Gold Price Overview: Consolidation Amid Bearish Bias
Sentiment: Bearish
- Key Factors:
- USD Strength: Fed’s hawkish projections and higher US Treasury bond yields keep the Dollar supported.
- Thin Trading Conditions: Holiday season liquidity could lead to exaggerated moves but favor the safe-haven USD.
- Bearish Technical Setup: Gold remains below key moving averages, with the RSI signaling selling pressure.
12.23 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsLast week, the gold market opened at 2650.3 at the beginning of the week, then rose slightly to 2664.7, then fluctuated and fell. The weekly line reached a low of 2582.6, then rose at the end of the trading day, and finally closed at 2622.8, and then the market closed in a hammer-like pattern with a long lower shadow. After this pattern ended, the weekly line was rubbed and consolidated. In terms of points, today's decline to 2610, stop loss at 2600, and the target is 2635 and 2640.
Xauusd sell On the flip side, the $2,616-$2,615 region that is deemed as a pullback area, or the 23.6% Fibo. level could offer immediate support. This is followed by the $2,600 round-figure mark, below which the Gold price could retest the monthly swing low, around the $2,583 zone touched last week. Some follow-through selling will be seen as a fresh trigger for bears and set the stage for deeper losses in the near term.
Gold now sell 2613
Target 2590
XAU recovers - returns to downtrend retest zone⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates at its December meeting as anticipated but signaled a slower pace of future reductions. The updated dot plot, which outlines projected rate trends, now suggests a half-percentage-point cut in 2025, down from the full percentage-point reduction forecasted in September. This shift continues to strengthen the US Dollar (USD) and weigh on USD-denominated Gold, as rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
On the other hand, weaker-than-expected US inflation data may help limit gold’s downside. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose to 2.4% year-over-year in November, up from 2.3% in October but slightly below the 2.5% market estimate. Meanwhile, Core PCE remained steady at 2.8% but fell short of the expected 2.9%.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold H1 frame recovered and retested the break zone in the downtrend, mainly sideways price below 2650 zone
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2651
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2620
TP3: $2610
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2606 - $2604 SL $2599
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2628
TP3: $2640
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD (xauusd): it is bearish now!hello guys.
let's make this analysis a simple one!
as you can see gold touched the upper S&D zone perfectly and at the same time touched the top line of the channel!
now the midline of the channel is broken too!
so we can consider a downward movement at least until the bottom line of channel
Gold retreats from weakness
The price of gold is near the downward trend line on the daily chart and has encountered obvious resistance many times, forming a strong suppression zone. The price trend has gradually narrowed to form a symmetrical triangle, which usually indicates that a breakthrough is coming, although the direction is still uncertain, so we need to pay attention to the specific direction of the breakthrough.
In the short term, the price has rebounded near the lower track (support line) of the triangle many times, with recent lows of 2539.37 and 2583.61, indicating that the support below is strong. The previous adjustment range (2635-2720) still constitutes pressure, and the current price is below the range.
The current price is about 2619.46, slightly below the key resistance of 2635, and is suppressed by the downward trend line. If the 2635 resistance is broken and stabilized, it may test the upper track of the triangle and further explore near 2720. On the contrary, if it falls below the 2580 support line, gold may continue its downward trend and test lower levels.
Trading strategy: It is recommended to wait for the breakthrough signal of the triangle pattern. In the short term, we can pay attention to the rebound pressure in the 2625-2630 area. If it weakens, we can consider placing short orders.
In short, the gold market is at a critical decision point, and we need to pay close attention to the price trend and market sentiment changes in the next few trading days.
If you have different opinions, please leave a message to share. If the analysis helps your trading, please like it to support it.
Summary of 12.21 Golden WeekendThis week, gold experienced continuous shrinkage, but we also followed the trend and finally won a great victory. Our members also successfully completed the goals set at the beginning of the week.
Finally, I wish you all a happy weekend. Let us continue to complete our profit plan next week.
Bears dominate - gold selling pressure below 2600⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Thursday's US economic data revealed a decline in unemployment claims, while the final Q3 GDP report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis confirmed 3.1% year-over-year growth.
Despite these figures, market attention remains focused on projections for 2025. The Federal Reserve (Fed), led by Chair Jerome Powell, reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, though the decision was not unanimous, with Cleveland Fed's Beth Hammack dissenting in favor of maintaining current rates.
Fed officials have also shifted focus to inflation, as reflected in the dot plot. Their projections indicate two 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025 and another two in 2026.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Strong Bearish Trend - Pressure on Market Maintains Around 2600
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2626 - $2628 SL $2633
TP1: $2620
TP2: $2610
TP3: $2600
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2576 - $2574 SL $2569
TP1: $2582
TP2: $2590
TP3: $2600
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD - continuation sells? What about Pullbacks?Here is our in-depth view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2605 .
We are still following our long-term analysis on XAUUSD which was posted on November 27th (almost a month ago).
Last time, we took a step back and took a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective (H4 time-frame). We are now using H1 to show you possible outcomes we might have in play.
Overall XAUUSD is still extremely bearish . We could see the following scenarios happen.
Scenario 1: SELL from 2620
We could see a potential pullback to 2620, which was respected last time we made a pullback from the massive drop on XAUUSD. This would give us an amazing entry for further gold sells.
Scenario 2: SELL from 2633
A deeper pullback could happen if we break to the upside from 2620. Entering in 2633 would give us an amazing opportunity to hop into sells and hold it long-term, still targeting the 2480 level.
Scenario 3: SELL from 2590
Breaks below 2590 would result in more sells on the pair. As we failed to break to the upside that would confirm the 2620 being the “pullback area” and we will most likely continue to the downside. We would be targeting 2550 and possible breaks of it. If 2550 would be broken we could start seeing more extreme sells on XAUUSD.
Personal opinion:
The direction for now is bearish in our opinion. We are looking for sells and we do believe gold could see some more sell-offs in December before the year of 2024 ends.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD is overall bearish.
- XAUUSD sells are valid from key pullback areas 2620 and 2633.
- XAUUSD breaks below 2590 would also confirm further sells.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
12.20 Gold short-term short-selling trend remains unchangedAgainst the backdrop of changes in the Fed's expectations for a rate cut in 2025, and the reduction in the number of rate cuts and the reduction in the magnitude, the gold market plunged sharply on Wednesday night. Although there was a rebound on Thursday, the price once reached 2626. However, it should be noted that this seemingly strong rebound is actually a bullish counterattack after the decline, and it is difficult to reverse the overall downward trend.
From the daily trend pattern, the closing line of the high-rise and fall leaves a long upper shadow, which means that the increase cannot be maintained and the strong pattern is difficult to return.
This rebound, on the one hand, vented the resistance of the bulls, and on the other hand, it confirmed the pullback of the previous bottom support and completed the top-bottom conversion. Once the key support level is broken, the bears will continue. In addition, after the short-term touches the whole hundred mark, there will be repeated situations. From the technical perspective, whether it is rising or falling in the short-term, after touching the whole hundred mark, there will be short-term repetitions. Therefore, after yesterday's decline and the price fell below 2600, it is normal for the price to rebound.
Although the current market has not started to fall, it is very difficult for the price to return to the original support level, and the downward trend has become a high probability event.
Today's trading strategy:
SELL: 2620 Target 2600 90 80
12.20 Gold Short-term Operation Analysis StrategyYesterday, the gold market opened at 2645.2 in the morning, and then the market rose slightly. The daily line reached a high of 2652, and then the market was in a range. Before 3 am, the daily line reached a low of 2632.9, and then the market was in a range. Although the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points in the early morning, the dot plot showed that the rate cuts next year would be reduced from 4 to 2, and the Fed Chairman later confirmed that the market broke through and fell sharply. The daily line reached a low of 2583.1, and then the market was in a range. The daily line finally closed After the line reached 2585.2, the daily line closed with a saturated large negative line with a slightly longer upper shadow line. After this pattern ended, the rebound trend was destroyed. The market has a need to continue to fall back within a certain period of time. In terms of points, the short position at 2600 this morning was reduced and the stop loss was followed up at 2602. Today's market first rose to give a 2600 short conservative 2612 short stop loss of 2616. The lower targets are 2590 and 2583. If it falls below, it will focus on the 2572 and 2563-2554 support range.
#GOLD XAUUSD SELL MORE?🌐The Fed cut interest rates by another quarter point to a range of 4.25% to 4.50% early this morning and announced it would continue to shrink its balance sheet. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack voted to keep rates unchanged.
After confirming the Fed had delivered a 25 basis point cut, markets immediately turned to see how the central bank’s view on future rate cuts has changed. Unsurprisingly, the Fed is expected to be more cautious in 2025 than President Trump had predicted before the election. The Fed is expected to cut by 50 basis points, while raising its inflation outlook
XAUUSD - sells in play?Here is our in-depth view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair updated from the previous one.
Last time, we took a step back and took a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective (H4 time-frame). We are still using H4 to show you the sells we have in play.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2670s .
If you remember our previous long-term view on OANDA:XAUUSD you should remember that after hitting the top of the area at around 2714 (a bit higher) we were automatically looking for sells. We are currently holding a few sell positions at 2680s as the price failed to break higher.
Personal opinion:
The direction for now is bearish in our opinion. We are looking for sells and we do believe gold could see some massive sell-offs in December before the year of 2024 ends.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD completed the predicted long-term move to the upside.
- XAUUSD sells were called at the top of the area (2714).
- XAUUSD failed to break higher and is following the long-term analysis.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
12.19 Gold interest rate decision determines direction!How to participate in the short-term gold today?
From the daily chart of gold, it is a weak bearish pattern. The upper 2662 is the resonance pressure of the daily and hourly lines. This position has been prompted in recent days. The hourly chart shows that 2651 is the hourly annual line level pressure. This position also suppressed the retracement in the early trading. The hourly BOLL is slowly closing. The data is approaching. The 1-hour and 30-minute charts are also in a volatile pattern. So today's morning trading will not see a big market outbreak. Pay attention to the 2640/38 area below to see a volatile rebound of 2651-2662. When the price reaches 2662, you can first participate in the retracement. Of course, these are all before the data is released. After the data is released, you can still treat it as a shock between 2706-2600.
12.18 Gold tests low and waits for interest rate cutYesterday, the gold market opened at 2652.6 in the morning. After that, the market rose to 2658.9. After that, the market continued to fall under pressure. The daily line reached 2632.7 at the lowest point. After that, the market was slightly pulled up by the support of the 50 mark of the Fibonacci in this round of upward movement. The daily line finally closed at 2646.2. After that, the market closed in a hammer pattern with a long lower shadow. After this pattern ended, the daily line constructed a rubbing signal. Against the background of the Fed's interest rate cut tomorrow morning, today's retracement layout is long.
Intraday short-term operation suggestions:
BUY: 2640 Defense 35 30
$: 55 62 68
12.18 Gold shock revision BUYGold rebounded slightly yesterday, with a small cross positive line on the daily line.
1. After bottoming out and rebounding in the morning, it started to rise from 2650 in the afternoon.
2662-3 is the 382 position of the rebound from Friday's decline, and 2664 is the continued decline, so it is the key resistance level.
The two watersheds are very clear, one is the low point of 2643, and the other is the European session time point. Therefore, the 2650 line was chosen to bet on the rebound.
2. The 2662-4 line, the evening retracement, the formula emphasizes that the European session opened a decline in the morning, oscillated, especially the rebound from 6-8 o'clock, so in this process, the price did not break through from 8-10 o'clock, and it has been sideways, so the probability of a retracement in the US session is very high.
3. The 2650-1 line, yesterday's intraday rise and retracement to the 618 position, the standard 618 in the oscillation is better to make a mistake than to let it go.
Although the 618 position was touched yesterday or sideways this morning, the strength of the pullback is not large, but it is still a sign of oscillation.
Today, it is quite controversial. The daily small cross positive line, according to the previous rhythm, the daily positive line is a continuous positive line, so we still need to see a rebound.
The cross K is also the transit point of the short-term decline, so the European session time is very important.
The watershed 2643 is also very important, which is the key to see whether it will continue to fall.
From the operation point of view, in the morning at 618, the 4-hour is still more, 2651-2 is more, if you don’t participate before 7-8 in the morning, you won’t participate in the second time.
Today, we really need to observe the strength and weakness of the day.
Look at the rhythm of the day’s operation and the layout of the US market.
1. Break 2643 during the day, the US market will pull back and empty, and the support level is 2630-32.
2. If it continues to rise during the day, the daily line is likely to go through a cycle of continuous positive rebound. Today, we will see a pullback of 618. If it is touched, you can short. You can’t double top short.
Intraday short-term operation suggestions:
BUY: 2640, defense 30, target 55-60