XAUUSD (GOLD): Is it bearish?!As you can see the 4H chart is Bullish.
but the 15 minutes chart is bearish and till the previous high respected we stay bearish on chart and expect the 15 min supply zone act as a resistance.
So we can expect the price has a bearish reaction to supply zone and we can enter to the sell position with 5 or 1 min. confirmation at 15 min supply zone.
Goldsell
Top Resistance Points in XAUUSDOur XAUUSD market analysis highlights a key sell level at 2750-2756, with an extreme sell zone around 2772-2776, where we expect significant selling pressure to develop. These levels are critical for those looking to capitalize on potential resistance in XAUUSD.
On the buy side, our support area is set at 2702-2698 , suggesting a buy opportunity if the price revisits this range. However, given today's emphasis on the sell zones, these levels may see stronger market activity. Keep an eye out for any major USD news today, as it could impact these levels.
If this analysis adds value to your trading strategy, a boost would be greatly appreciated—it’s always motivating to know my insights are valuable!
Perfect Time to Buy Gold! Morning Star Signals Further UpsideGood morning, everyone! A new day, a new opportunity! Yesterday’s trading brought us solid profits, and today we aim for even more gains.
In the current gold market, I believe buying is the optimal strategy. In the short term, gold is likely to rise before a potential pullback. What’s behind this view?
Take a look at the 30-minute chart: gold has successfully broken through the MA60 resistance and has formed a “morning star” pattern—a strong bullish signal indicating increased upward momentum. If MA60 can hold as support, gold is expected to rise to around 2745, possibly even reaching 2750.
11.5 Gold adjustment is still continuing!1: For gold price, 2730 is support in the short term! 2730 is just a rebound, not a reversal. The pressure is concentrated in the range of 2745-50. The sideways trading at the bottom is not a bottoming out, but a new adjustment is brewing.
2: The reason is that gold has fallen from the high of 2790 US dollars. After breaking through the support of 2770 US dollars, the high point position has continued to break down. Even if the non-agricultural data is positive in the middle, it did not drive gold to continue to rise. It just rebounded to above 2760 to complete the top and bottom conversion (previously 2760-70 was a strong support, and strong pressure was formed after breaking).
3: From the $60 plunge in gold last Friday to the non-agricultural data, which did not rise, it shows that the selling pressure from above is large, the buyer's power is weakened, and the gold price can no longer be sent to a higher position. Moreover, the rise from 2605 to 2790 is a full $185. The technical side also needs to be corrected, and the profit-taking urgently needs to close the position and leave the market, so it is not blindly optimistic to chase more!
The 1-hour structure clearly indicates that the highs have been moving down from 2790/2760/2748, while the lows of 2770/2734/2725 have been lost. This is a typical adjustment market pattern. There is no need to guess where the bottom is. Just keep an eye on whether the last high point has been lost.
Gold Trading Insights Ahead of the Election!Although gold didn’t fluctuate much today, our returns were quite impressive! These small range movements create excellent opportunities for agile buying and selling. As I mentioned yesterday, the New York market did indeed decline today, and the buy signal I provided at the open hit the TP of 2745 perfectly. I then began selling, ultimately closing the trade at 2733 with great results.
Tomorrow is the election, and I believe the results will boost the dollar, which could lead to a drop in gold prices. I plan to continue selling during tomorrow's New York session. What do you think?
Adjustment - gold price drops! Waiting for the new US president⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) remains positive on Monday as US election risks and Middle East tensions continue to support the safe-haven asset. However, stronger demand for the Greenback and rising US bond yields could limit Gold’s gains, as higher yields make non-yielding assets like Gold less appealing.
Investors are focused on Tuesday's US presidential election, with the market’s attention shifting to the Federal Reserve’s rate decision on Thursday. Given the election uncertainty, it’s anticipated that the Fed will opt for a standard 25 basis point rate cut, rather than a larger half-point easing.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price officially decreased - legalized adjustment with the US presidential election. The US economy will have a new breeze - boosting the economy and other investment areas. Gold will wait for the next interest rate information
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2757 - $2759 SL $2762 scalping
TP1: $2750
TP2: $2740
TP3: $2730
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2771 - $2773 SL $2778
TP1: $2765
TP2: $2750
TP3: $2740
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2717 - $2715 SL $2710
TP1: $2725
TP2: $2732
TP3: $2740
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU / USD ! 11/4! Downtrend - correction continuesXAU / USD trend forecast November 4, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) sees modest gains around $2,740 during early Asian trading on Monday, breaking a two-day losing streak. Safe-haven demand for gold may rise due to uncertainties surrounding the US presidential election and Middle East tensions. The upcoming US presidential election on Tuesday is a key focus this week. Analysts at JPMorgan suggest that any decline in gold prices, regardless of the election results, could be a buying opportunity.
Gold price continues downtrend H1 - waiting for the US presidential election move and the decision to lower interest rates or not in November 2024
/// SELL XAU : zone 2747-2750
SL: 2755
TP: 50 - 120 - 200 pips (2730)
/// BUY XAU : zone 2717-2714
SL: 2709
TP: 50 - 120 - 200 pips (2734)
Safe and profitable trading
Short gold, TP: 2730-2725Gold may still fall back and test the support of 2725 area again
At present, gold maintains a volatile market as a whole. Although gold has failed to fall below 2730 several times, it is still in a rebound structure at the short-term level. But it is still relatively weak at present, and the rebound strength is not strong, so the continuity of gold rebound remains to be seen.
At present, it is still suppressed by the trend in the short term, so gold may still fall back to around 2725, so I do not recommend aggressively chasing long gold for the time being, and you can still seize the appropriate opportunity to short gold.
Clear Outlook for Gold Rebound: Bulls May Retest 2753At today’s opening, gold formed a long lower shadow, indicating that support remains intact. Currently, the MA5 is undergoing a shift from support to resistance, which, if successful, could signal a short-term bullish trend and a potential move higher.
I expect gold to approach the MA60, around 2745, followed by a pullback to retest the MA5 to confirm support, potentially reaching 2753. Thus, buy orders placed on Friday may see profits today.
However, as we approach the New York session, gold may encounter downward pressure. The daily chart shows a notable bearish divergence, suggesting a long-term trend shift. Barring a major bullish catalyst, this divergence may only resolve through further declines or consolidation. Iran’s possible retaliation could serve as a pivotal event.
Meanwhile, tomorrow’s U.S. election is expected to bolster the dollar, potentially adding pressure on gold. Today’s strategy favors buying, but attention should shift to selling opportunities tomorrow.
11.4 Gold daily line support high position is not guaranteedIn terms of gold, the overall gold price fell last Friday. The highest price rose to 2762.08 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 2733.08, closing at 2734.94. Looking back at the details of the gold market performance last Friday, the price stopped rising in the short term after the opening of the morning session, and then maintained a state of fluctuating rise during the day. At the same time, during the US session, the price rose and fell with the help of data, and then the price continued to fall weakly, and finally ended in a big negative state on the daily line. Today, Monday morning, it opened directly with a gap down. From the low point, the 2731-2734 range is the long-short watershed position at the daily level. Pay attention to the downhill performance of this area in the future. Once it breaks down, the band is expected to be further under pressure in the future. At the same time, from the four-hour level, pay attention to the resistance of the 2755-2756 range for the time being, and wait for the subsequent price to step back and then go short. As long as the price does not temporarily break the high point of last Friday, it will be treated as short first. There are signs of correction in the short term in the one-hour chart. At the same time, the price is in the key support area of the daily chart, so we will wait for the price to fall back and then go short. Once the price breaks below the 2731-2734 area, it is expected to be under further pressure.
Correction Gold. H4 04.11.2024Correction Gold 📉
On gold, I expect a deep correction to the buyers' target zone of 2637-2666.
Just above the zone is the margin and also hits a strong accumulated volume
profile on the rise. Together these factors give a high probability of a price
bounce if it can reach the zone. From the current 2730 from 1/2 of the margin
a bounce is also possible, but given the importance of the current week,
the US elections on 5 November and the Fed rate on 7 November, we should
consider the possibility of a deeper correction.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
11.4 Where will the gold trend go?Last week, the gold market rose and fell. At the beginning of the week, the market opened at 2736.8, then fell back to give a weekly low of 2724.5, and then the market rose rapidly. On Thursday, the market gave a new historical high of 2790.2 for the second time, and then the market fell strongly. The weekly line finally closed at 2735, and the weekly line closed with a shooting star pattern with a very long upper shadow line. After such a pattern ended, the market had a signal of a decline this week. In terms of points, the long stop loss of 1996 and 2028 below is followed at 2600. Today, the short stop loss of 2752 is 2757. The lower target is 2730 and 2724. If it falls below, the support points of 2716 and 2705 are seen.
BUY: 2720 Target: 2740------50
SELL: 2755 Target: 2730------20
You Know: This Is Comprehensive Sell Trade setupCore Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts - 7 Dimension Analysis
This analysis provides a short-term sell setup within a larger bullish swing structure, using liquidity levels, chart patterns, and volume to determine an ideal entry point for a pullback.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H1
Swing Structure:
Bullish Structure with Break of Structure (BOS): The current structure remains bullish, with a BOS already confirmed. However, there are signs of a potential pullback.
Inducement Complete: Liquidity has been gathered in previous moves, indicating a probable short-term correction.
Current Price Zone: The price is positioned in a discounted zone, making it an attractive area for initiating a short position during this pullback.
Point of Interest (POI): Key Order Block (OB) and Fair Value Gap (FVG) areas are located around the 2724 price level, with liquidity resting here.
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
A Rounding Top and Triple Top formation is present at the swing’s high, which could signal a reversal or the start of a Deep corrective move.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
A Double Bottom is forming, with the last candle closing as an inside bar and showing bullish support. This pattern suggests a potential short-term rally toward the FVG area before resuming a bearish correction.
Volume:
Sell-side volume is showing strength, indicating the presence of sellers and supporting a potential downside move within this pullback.
Momentum (RSI):
🟢 Momentum shows the price in a super bearish zone with signs of weakening bullish strength.
A bearish divergence is visible at the top, suggesting a decline in bullish momentum and adding weight to a probable short-term reversal.
Volatility (Bollinger Bands):
🟢 After a contraction, a squeeze breakout has been observed, with the price walking along the band. This formation often points to strong momentum, and in this case, it supports the downside breakout and potential continuation of the bearish pullback.
Strength (ROC & DMI):
Rate of Change (ROC) indicates an increasing bearish trend.
Bear DMI Line is above the 20 level, with an upward ADX curve, indicating that bearish strength is building.
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐
Probability: 60%
The overall analysis suggests a moderate confidence level, with strong indicators for a short-term bearish correction within a larger bullish swing structure.
Trade Setup:
Entry Details:
Entry Time Frame: M5
Entry TF Structure: Bearish
Point of Interest (POI): FVG
Trade Execution:
💡 Decision: Sell Limit
🚀 Entry: 2753
✋ Stop Loss: 2763
🎯 Take Profit: 2725
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 3.5 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 1 Day
SUMMARY:
This setup aims to capture a bearish correction within a bullish structure on the H1 timeframe. Key reversal patterns, such as the Triple Top and bearish divergence on RSI, alongside increased sell-side volume, suggest potential for a short-term downward move. A Sell Limit order is planned around 2753, targeting a quick pullback to 2725, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 3.5 RR.
Gold: Dual Impact of NFP and Geopolitical RisksGood morning, everyone!
Yesterday’s intense market fluctuations made fortunes for some and losses for others overnight.
As time progresses, we see clearly on the 30-minute chart that MA60 has shifted downward from around 2770 to 2760, while the primary uptrend support has moved up from 2730 to approximately 2740. This suggests that, under MA60 resistance, gold might retrace to test support near 2740.
Meanwhile, the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and unemployment data will be key drivers for gold’s direction. And don’t overlook another major factor: a potential response from Iran, which could bolster gold’s safe-haven demand.
After reading this, do you feel more clear on your trading strategy? If not, feel free to read it again, or reach out to me—I’m here to help clarify and refine your approach!
XAU! 11/1 ! Gold price adjustment - NF newsXAU / USD trend forecast November1, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) regains some ground on Friday, supported by US election uncertainties and Middle East tensions, which boost demand for the safe-haven asset. However, rising US Treasury yields and a stronger US Dollar may limit gains. Traders now await the US October employment report, with key data on Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings. A strong report could reduce expectations for Fed rate cuts, potentially weighing on gold.
Gold price adjusted down - market reduced FOMO. Waiting for NF news to officially return to the price range of 2700 - 2720
/// SELL XAU : zone 2769-2772
SL: 2777
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2742)
Safe and profitable trading
11.1 Gold shock awaits non-agricultureJudging from Wednesday's ADP, non-farm payrolls on Friday should also maintain good growth. The same is true for the initial clearing last night. The sharp retracement before the data is basically the early digestion of the data.
1. The price broke the morning starting point before the US market and rebounded at 6-8 o'clock. This pattern must not have fallen much.
We have been emphasizing this point of view to everyone recently: Don't buy more twice when gold retreats in the US market. After the increase is too large, it is easy to fall by a large margin. Double bottoms, 618, and other positions are not caught, and there is no rebound.
But compared with yesterday's empty, it is the rhythm. Continuous failures and no operating mentality are easy to form. If you can't get started when you see it right, and you can't hold back and get started, it's wrong.
2. The morning is still a cyclical rise.
Intraday analysis:
1. A sharp drop in the rise, the first day is still a bull correction, which has been seen countless times before.
2. The continuous sharp drop breaks the bottom, which changes the short-term bull direction.
3. There will be non-agricultural data tonight. Before the non-agricultural data, the overall market should not change much.
4. If the bearish outlook continues, the rebound in the morning is focused on the European session. If the European session continues to rebound, the US session will inevitably fluctuate. If the market is weak, the European session will retreat first.
At present, it is obviously the top of the hourly big Yin line at 2757, because this position breaks the position of the decline and rebound at 382. And there is no high point of correction in the early morning, so it can only be arranged at the top of the big Yin line.
At the same time, the non-agricultural data is divided into two parts:
1. Look at the second retracement before the non-agricultural data.
2. Whether the non-agricultural data can continue the decline of yesterday depends on the data. Last month, it was 254,000, and this time it is expected to be only 11.3. Whether it is from the initial claims or from ADP, it is impossible to be lower than 11.3. It can only be high. How high it is depends on the data performance.
Therefore, the worst non-agricultural data is also bad for gold. It just depends on how bad it is. For example, ADP rebounds first and then falls, or it retreats directly.
As long as the data is higher than 150,000, the pullback is also empty, but no matter what, the European session is very critical. The European session continues to rebound and is strong. The US session fluctuates, but the European session is weak, and the probability of breaking the bottom is high.
Is now the best time to short gold prices?I don't think so. I believe you have read the article I posted yesterday. If not, read it again.
Is the accuracy of the fast trading strategy amazing? Indeed. This is the strength of the fast trading strategy analysis team.
At present, the values mentioned yesterday have been fully achieved today. Today, I led all members to go long on gold prices again to expand profits. There are about 9 profitable orders. You can refer to the fast trading strategy grouping
Tomorrow's trading direction: Check above to see if the position of 2786 can be successfully broken through. If not, you can refer to the opportunity to sell above 2786 and buy near 2770 tomorrow. If it breaks through, then 2800 points is not far away. At present, there is no major news to promote it. Focus on the initial jobless claims data on Thursday night and the release of non-farm data on Friday. This week's time is also very tight. After all, good trading opportunities want to expand profits. Members of the fast trading team are no exception. So I am also busy.
Market analysis for three days this week. The accuracy of the signals is obvious to all. Trading is actually very simple. As long as there is trading funds in the account, everyone can leave me a message. Everyone has equal opportunities. No one wants to be a person who keeps losing money! Everyone agrees, right?
There are only two trading opportunities left this week, and the trading space is still very large. The proportion of making money. The probability of making 70% profit on 100k is more than 95%. The probability of making 100% profit is more than 85%. The above are all cumulative data. People who continue to pay attention know this.
Regarding trading, this is all I will notify you today. If you have any questions, you can leave me a message at any time. I will reply and solve them in time when I see them.
WHAT ARE GOLD GOING TO DO? HERE IS THE COMPLETE ANALYSIS 2H TFTechnical Analysis: Currently, XAU/USD is approaching the resistance level at $2790, where I believe we could see a significant selling opportunity. This level has historically acted as a barrier, and recent price action suggests that bullish momentum may be waning. If the price reaches $2790, I anticipate a potential reversal, with targets set for a downward move towards $2765. A break below $2775 would further confirm bearish sentiment, opening the door for additional downside.
Fundamental Analysis: The gold market is heavily influenced by shifts in monetary policy and global economic conditions. With the Federal Reserve signaling a potential tightening of interest rates and ongoing concerns over inflation, investors may look to liquidate positions in gold as the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets rises. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and market volatility could prompt a flight to safety, but if these factors stabilize, we could see a shift in sentiment favoring dollar strength. This backdrop supports the notion of a sell-off in XAU/USD from $2790 to $2765 as traders adjust their positions in response to changing economic signals. Let’s watch for these developments!
10.31 gold box vibration???Gold is mainly affected by the following three aspects:
1: The October US non-farm payrolls data will be announced at 20:30 on Friday. The US September ADP employment data released on Wednesday increased significantly beyond expectations. Next tonight, the US September PCE price index and the number of initial jobless claims for the week will be released.
2: The US presidential election next Tuesday (November 5th), there are less than 4 trading days left. Who will eventually enter the White House in the battle between the Donkey and the Elephant parties? Especially on November 5th, the day of the election, the gold market will definitely fluctuate violently!
3: Geopolitical risk events, North Korea tested an intercontinental ballistic missile around 7:10 this morning, and Iran will say that it will retaliate against Israel before November 5th. With the reshaping of the world pattern, the geopolitical risks in the Middle East are spreading to the world.
As the price of gold approaches $2,800, bulls and bears diverge again. The last time gold approached $2,700, it adjusted around $2,685, which ultimately did not affect the upward trend. It just threw the bulls off the train during the adjustment, which also hit the bulls' morale for short-term operations.
This time, when it approached $2,800, the bulls paused. On Wednesday, the market repeatedly washed between 2,790 and 2,770. In addition, the heavy pound data will be released today, tomorrow and next week. The suspense will naturally be left to the non-agricultural data today and tomorrow night.
1 hour, it quickly fell back to the 2,770 point where it started to rise in the morning, forming a high-level box shock. At present, the gold price has not stabilized at 2,790. Don't rush to chase more, but pay attention to the direction of the 2,790-70 box range breakthrough, and try to avoid chasing the edge position within the box.
Gold : Leveraging Double Top Pattern and Support AnalysisToday, I shared a short strategy, selling in the 2787-2791 range, with a target set at 2783-2779 and a stop loss at 2792. This is a smaller range signal.
The reason for the sell signal is the double top pattern observed on the 30-minute chart, along with the break of MA5 and MA10. I see this as a solid selling opportunity, with the main target being MA60. During the New York session yesterday, gold found support at MA60 twice, with long lower wicks, indicating strong support. Typically, longer upper wicks suggest stronger resistance, while longer lower wicks indicate stronger support.
I hope this trading tip helps everyone—don’t forget to accumulate your knowledge!
ADP data is coming soon! Gold shortThe market performance on Wednesday (October 30) continued the recent strong upward momentum. The price of gold hit $2,789.83/ounce in early trading, setting a new record high and rising sharply by more than $15. With the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and the intensification of geopolitical risks, gold has once again become a safe haven choice for investors.
Technical analysis
After breaking through the resistance area of 2,780-2,785 US dollars/ounce, the price of gold became an offensive signal for bulls. The price of gold may further push towards the $2,800/ounce mark. At present, any meaningful correction is expected to find good support around $2,750/ounce. If there is a subsequent sell-off in the price of gold, it may push the price of gold to the support level of $2,732-2,730/ounce, or even further down to the $2,715/ounce area.
Today's focus data:
US unemployment rate in October
US non-farm payrolls in October (10,000 people)
Today's expected trend of gold prices can focus on the fluctuations between the support level of $2,765.00/ounce and the resistance level of $2,800.00/ounce. Under the current market sentiment and technical conditions, gold is still a worthy investment option.
Gold: Are You Stuck?After experiencing a setback, we are now steadily making profits again. Today, gold has finally lived up to our expectations. By employing high-frequency trading, we executed several orders and achieved substantial gains.
The MA60 has successfully completed a test, but several other MAs are acting as resistance. Therefore, in the upcoming trades, I plan to continue selling until MA5 becomes support again, at which point I will switch to buying.