Seize the golden opportunity at high altitudeDuring the price fluctuations, after two obvious market declines, the market bulls once showed a relatively strong upward trend, which made some investors confused about the market trend. However, after a comprehensive analysis of multi-dimensional factors in the market, including in-depth analysis of global economic data, geopolitical situation evolution and market capital flows, it is believed that the current high-altitude strategy in the gold market still has significant advantages.
From the perspective of technical analysis, gold prices are facing great pressure near key resistance levels, and the market short-selling momentum has not yet been fully released.
From a fundamental perspective, although the regional situation has caused short-term risk aversion fluctuations, the long-term economic trend still suppresses gold prices. Based on the above analysis, we firmly maintain the original strategy, and the 3025-3035 range is still an ideal position for short selling. Investors can decisively establish short positions in this range, set reasonable stop loss and take profit targets, and achieve steady returns with the help of market fluctuations. In the gold market full of variables, only by strictly adhering to the strategy can we ride the wind and waves and seize wealth opportunities.
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Goldsell
Gold bulls are going crazy, need to be careful at this time
Gold bulls are too crazy and there is no chance of a pullback. So when the market is too hot, you have to be careful. You need to be cautious when doing long positions at high levels, and beware of gold falling back after a surge and starting to make a sharp adjustment.So at this position I think shorting would be better
Gold 25-35 is directly short3025-3035 is directly short
Gold continues to fall back. The current technical indicators of the K-line are all bullish, but the market may not necessarily rise. The K-line has been soaring all the way, and it must take a break and adjust. Correction is inevitable, and adjustment is also inevitable. Two horizontal and one vertical is the way to go
Gold is bullish across the network. This is an event that is prone to black swans. The hourly line also shows a bearish engulfing pattern, and the closing price of the big negative line entity is lower than the opening price of the positive line. Falling back is also inevitable. It must fall back to the position of the moving average. This is an inevitable thing. Go short at 3025-3035. The target area is 3010-3000.
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The secret behind gold's crazy riseGold surged as soon as it was stimulated by the news, but it is expected that this momentum will not last long. Instead, it is a good opportunity to short at high levels. From a macroeconomic perspective, the current global inflation expectations and monetary policy trends have a profound impact on gold demand. In terms of technical indicators, MACD shows that although bullish energy is being released, KDJ has entered the overbought area. It is expected that after gold hits the resistance range of 3025-3035 in the short term, continue to increase short positions and increase the number of transactions, with the target of 3010-3000, accurately grasp the band opportunities, and use the possible correction market to achieve profit goals.
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Gold Price Analysis: Supply Zone Rejection & Potential Drop to ESupply Zone Resistance (~3,004.973): Price is currently testing this resistance area, which could lead to a potential rejection.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Support Level (~2,949.378 - 2,945.323): This area is marked as a potential support zone where price might find buying interest.
EMA 200 Support (2,945.323): A critical dynamic support level that aligns with the FVG zone.
Indicators:
EMA 30 (Red Line - 2,990.457): Short-term trend indicator.
EMA 200 (Blue Line - 2,945.323): Long-term trend indicator.
Price Action & Prediction:
The price is in the supply zone resistance and could potentially reject downwards.
The blue projected path suggests a pullback to the FVG support zone before a possible rebound.
If price breaks below this support, further downside could be expected.
Potential Trade Idea:
Short Setup: If rejection occurs at resistance, a short trade targeting the FVG/EMA 200 support could be considered.
Long Setup: If price reaches the FVG zone and finds support, a long position targeting previous highs could be a strategy.
Excellent window for gold-------News---
The U.S. inflation data for February was released, and the data showed that the U.S. inflation in February fell across the board, exceeding expectations. The decline in inflation also gave the Federal Reserve more room and possibility for interest rate cuts, and also slightly reduced the concerns originally caused by tariffs. However, with the full implementation of tariffs on Europe, retaliation from Europe also followed, and concerns about the global economic downturn also intensified. The U.S. dollar index rebounded slightly and then fell again.
Gold hourly line pattern chart;
Spot gold; Previously, the gold market continued its strong upward trend, and the bulls performed extremely well. On Wednesday, gold successfully broke through the key resistance level of 2930, breaking the previous confinement and opening the upward channel. On Thursday, the rally not only continued, but also entered a large-volume stage, directly breaking through the previous high of 2956, and without any stop, the highest impact reached 2990. The daily line closed with a long positive line, showing a strong pattern of three consecutive positive attacks. On Friday night, it even reached above 3000. You can short sell near 3000 above, and continue to hold the short positions at the previously arranged points. Reduce positions at the target area of 2970, and exit all positions when it reaches 2950.
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Gold is testing the barrier again! About to plungeGold hit a new record high again on Friday, reaching 3005 at one point, and also perfectly reaching 3000 points. Obviously, the bulls' goal has been basically achieved. The current K-line must fall back. Moreover, Trump imposed sanctions on the Middle East at the weekend, but the gold price did not rise. Obviously, the bulls are also weak.
From the perspective of gold trend, the situation between Russia and Ukraine has become confusing again under the background of the originally expected clear situation, so the risk aversion sentiment has heated up again. In addition, the global trade concerns caused by Trump's tariff policy have led to the intensification of the risk of global economic recession. The uncertainty of the market has also increased again. At this time, gold has become the most sought-after product in the market. From a technical point of view, gold has repeatedly rushed to the 3000 mark last week. On Friday, it pulled out a Yin cross star at a historical high. There is a need for adjustment in the short term. Don't watch it blindly for the time being.
There is an obvious bearish engulfing at the top of the gold four-hour line, that is, the big Yin line entity directly covers the Yang line entity, forming a top signal. At the same time, the K-line is also seriously deviated from the moving average. It is an abnormal trend again. The decline is inevitable, and returning to the moving average is also a certain short selling.
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The 3000 mark falls back, continue short-term operationsAfter gold tested the 3000 mark again, it fell back and is currently hovering around 2990. It failed to test 3000 again in the short term. This position is obviously suppressed in the short term. The second upward test quickly fell back. The gold price may fall further. The idea is to follow the trend and short-sell. Pay attention to the short position near 2990, and the target area is 2980-2970. If it falls below 2980, you can directly look at the position of 2955-2940.
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The gold high top signal appears, deep correction!It can be found that 3004 is just the top position of the 4-hour chart. After failing to break through the range last Friday, a retracement signal has also appeared. The current lower range support of the 4-hour chart is 2955-50. And 2955-50 happens to be the previous high point. Therefore, this position may be the dividing point between long and short positions of gold this week.
Secondly, from the hourly chart:
It can be seen that the current hourly chart of gold shows signs of a head and shoulders top. Once gold falls below 2980 today, it is very likely to develop towards the lower 2955-2940. 2955-50 happens to be the 618 position of this trend. The lower 50% is around 2940, which may also be the extreme retracement position of gold. Therefore, I do not recommend that you continue to chase more, but consider entering the market to short near 2990. If it falls below 2980, you can directly look at the position of 2955-2940.
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GOLD TRADE IDEA : SELL | SHORT (17/03)Gold is at a crossroads. After continuously breaking ATH records it is now looking tired. It has given me signs of a potential reversal. A break to the downside would confirm that. I have reason to believe that it’ll begin dumping the second smaller opens. Even then a break downwards would help us make a decision.
N.B.: This is not financial advice. Trade safely and with caution.
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute Analysis – Bearish Breakdown Towards $2Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute Analysis – Bearish Setup 📉
Key Observations:
Rising Wedge Breakdown:
The price has been moving within an ascending channel (EA TRADE LINE).
A potential breakdown is forming as the price approaches resistance.
EMA Levels:
30 EMA (Red, 2,986.22): The price is hovering near this level, showing potential weakness.
200 EMA (Blue, 2,950.00): This is the first major support level in case of a decline.
Bearish Projection:
A break below current levels could trigger a sharp drop.
The target zone is around 2,902.73 – 2,902.41, aligning with prior support.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss (Red Zone): Placed above 2,990.86 to protect against invalidation.
Take-Profit (Green Zone): Set near 2,902, offering a strong risk-to-reward ratio.
Conclusion:
Bearish Bias: A drop seems likely if the price fails to reclaim higher levels.
Confirmation Needed: A clean break of 2,980 could accelerate the move.
Risk Factor: If price reclaims 2,990+, the bearish setup might be invalid.
Would you like a refined entry strategy or more confirmation signals?
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHPTAIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 list week profitable profomans reached target point 2961 ) New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 a short trend 📉 analysis setup. Guys 🤝 Gold 🪙 1 Time Frame 🪟 patterns chart 📉. Looking for selling zone ☺️ 🤝 FVG level 3006$ 2996$ rejected point below 👇 ⬇️ target point 2832 - 2818. ) again back 🔙 that entry buying said. Update you next analysis Guys 🤝 now follow it' good luck 💯
Key Resistance level 2996+ 3006
Key Support level 2832 - 2818
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales Support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold trading ideas for next Monday!On Friday, the gold bulls and bears were in a stalemate, and the overall market fluctuated around 2978-3005. As the weekly line closed higher, it means that the bulls have been released and will start to plummet next week.
From the time window, next Thursday is exactly the 89th trading day since gold rose from 2536 on November 14 last year. If it rises from 2832 on February 28, it is almost 13 trading days, which is in line with the law of market change time. In addition, the Federal Reserve will also announce the interest rate decision and press conference in the early hours of Thursday. Perhaps only under the promotion of the Federal Reserve's news can a new round of collapse be triggered! ! !
In the short term, gold rose and fell last Friday. The daily chart has a $15 upper shadow line, and the upper shadow line indicates that the upper pressure is strong and the market has a clear downward trend. Therefore, the overall market next Monday tends to fall first and then rise! ! !
Judging from the gold hourly chart, there are several positions to focus on next Monday. First, the hourly chart rising trend line support level is 2982. If it breaks below, it will fall further to around 2940. Second, the 61.8% position of the golden ratio of 3005-2978 is around 2995. Third, last Friday’s high is 3005, and a breakthrough is impossible.
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Gold the possible next move on a bullish trend The Gold on H4 Possible next move,
On 4H timefirame the Gold is still bullish but to validate the trend must respect the 2955-50 zone.
This is the outlook for next weekend; we will wait for the levels to be traded.
1. Put a sell order if gold breaks the 2978 zone with strong momentum and make sure that the real breakout happened.
2. Put buy at the 2955-50 zone with proper confirmations. If the price tests the 2955-50 zone and you will identify any pullback indications and some strong price rejections in M30 and H1, then put a buy order with a proper stop loss.
*Note*
*Here is the possible trades after the confirmations*
Gold Selling Zone: 2978-77
Stop loss: 2983
Take Profit: 2955
*Gold Buying Zone: 2955-50*
Stop Loss: 2945
Take Profit: 2990-3000
*Please read the information and possible directions listed above.*
Gold Head & Shoulder Pattern, Possible shorting opportunities.Gold has recently formed a head and shoulders pattern on the chart, a classic bearish reversal signal that could indicate a potential decline in price. If the neckline is broken with strong volume, it may present a shorting opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on downside momentum. However, confirmation and risk management are essential before making any trading decisions. This is not financial advice.
Gold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 levelGold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 level, navigating through a well-defined ascending channel where the upper boundary has acted as long-term resistance and the lower boundary as dynamic support. The price has respected this structure, with multiple touches reinforcing its integrity. However, a recent double top near the upper boundary signals potential bullish exhaustion, increasing the probability of a downside move. If the price remains below this key level, further declines are likely, with $2,720 emerging as a crucial support zone—aligned with the golden pocket on the Fibonacci retracement, making it a prime area for a reaction.
The Alternative Scenario: The New Economy's Bullish Case
Despite the bearish structure, gold in the new economy presents an alternative bullish outlook. A smaller bullish channel has formed between $2,789 and $2,855, suggesting that buyers are still in control within this range. If this mini uptrend holds, it could fuel another breakout attempt above recent highs, invalidating the bearish scenario and positioning gold for a renewed push toward higher levels.
For now, gold is at a crossroads, with $2,720 as the primary target on the downside—but if buyers defend this level or sustain the new bullish channel, the uptrend may persist in the evolving economic landscape.
Unlock self-rescue guide hereNotice! The gold market has suddenly changed! Gold, which had been rising all the way, has now shown a peak signal, and a decline has become inevitable.
The current big Yinxian is falling straight, and the market is completely shrouded in a bearish atmosphere. From a technical perspective, the evening star pattern is significant, which is often a strong signal of trend reversal. At the same time, the gold price deviates seriously from the moving average. This deviation is difficult to maintain in the market for a long time, and returning to rationality is an observable rule.
Looking at the four-hour line again, the big Yinxian entity strongly engulfs the Yangxian, directly breaking through the support line, forming an extremely strong bearish engulfing pattern, which means that the space below has been opened, and a plunge may be just around the corner. Are you ready to meet this storm in the gold market? Opportunities always coexist with risks, and now is the time to test investors' decisiveness.
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Golden milestone moment, about to fall!Gold hit a new all-time high on Friday, reaching the psychologically critical $3,000 mark, with the precious metal up nearly 15% since the start of the year, fueled by trade war fears and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Trump's tariffs have been a key driver of safe-haven buying in gold. The global trade war has roiled financial markets, sparking recession fears, and Trump threatened on Thursday to impose a 200% tariff on imported alcohol from Europe, a trade war that is escalating. But in the short term, there is absolutely no reason to chase gold higher. Reaching $3,000 today is clearly a long position in the market to pull up shipments. What happens when the longs are exhausted? That could usher in a wave of retracements, so don't chase the highs now. Gold is about to plunge.
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Gold is about to fall, maybe even plummet!In the morning, gold rose above 2990 as expected and then fell back, but it stopped falling again at 2980 in the European session and rose again. The current market is rising again to test above 3000. From the current hourly chart, the pressure of 3005 is obvious. Today is the last trading day of this week. It is still optimistic about the decline in the evening, and even more optimistic about the plunge!!!
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Be wary of black swans appearing on Friday!On Thursday, gold continued to rise in the US market. Driven by the uncertainty of tariff policies and the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the safe-haven appeal of gold remains undiminished. As of press time, the highest gold price has reached near 2985. After the CPI on Wednesday, gold seemed to have activated the rising button, and it started to rise all the way from the CPI low of 2905. After the initial jobless claims today, it hit a new record high again.
You can see that I have already drawn the 4-hour top range here
I think the top of 2990 is almost a potential top position, and tomorrow is Black Friday. Why did gold dare to go up so quickly on Thursday? There is only one reason, then there may be a big move tomorrow, Friday. It is very likely that in the early morning or tomorrow Friday morning, a wave of suppression near 2990 will be tested, and then the possibility of a rapid retracement will appear.
Therefore, I definitely do not recommend that you chase more in the future, there is no doubt about this. On the contrary, there are many people chasing more in the market at present. Seeing that gold has risen so much, they must think of retreating and going long. Therefore, tomorrow Friday, I suggest that you pay attention to the area around 2990. As long as this position can show a top structure signal in the Asian session, then don't hesitate to go short directly. Without saying too much, the first target can be seen at 2940-2930, or even 2920-2910.
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Short positions are in trouble, how to get out of trouble?Bros, gold accelerated to above 2980 today under the stimulation of news. If you hold a short position in gold, you must be in a trading dilemma, so how to get rid of the trading dilemma has become the current primary goal.
First remember the key node, Thursday. Under normal circumstances, Thursday and Friday are the nodes most likely to cause market changes! And from the candle chart, it is just pulled back to the high area with the stimulation of news. From the regional conversion, we can clearly see that according to the current momentum of gold, it will only reach the area around 2980-2982 (there may be a technical false breakthrough). It is difficult to rise to the vicinity of the 3000 mark in one fell swoop.
If you still have sufficient margin levels to help you get out of trouble, you might as well consider adding more positions near 2980 to continue shorting gold, effectively raising your average cost price. After gold falls back, you can choose to close all short positions and turn losses into profits. However, because gold has risen sharply, we must lower our expectations for the extent of gold's retracement. If gold retraces to the 2940-2930 area, we can consider closing our positions, so that we can turn losses into profits! And I predict that gold will enter a correction market tomorrow at the latest!
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