Goldsetup
How Far Will the Prices of Gold Fall, $1000/oz? Gold’s reputation as a safe haven in times of financial turmoil was tarnished on Friday as the growing panic about the spread of coronavirus infections outside China saw the precious metal suffer one of its worst one-day drops on record.
While the coronavirus is the major headline for the shock and awe in gold, the chart has already presented a pattern that suggests a possible sell-off. And last week's decline could be the beginning of a massive sell-off according to Elliot Wave Principle.
Elliot Wave Analysis
The decline from $1920.10/oz in September 2011 to as low as $1044.92/oz in November 2015 can be seen as a complete impulse pattern. The five waves are labeled 1-2-3-4-5, where wave 4 unfolded as a triangle and wave 5 in an ending diagonal.
The recovery from $1044/oz in 2015 to as high as $1688.72 an ounce in February 2020 looks like a simple A-B-C zigzag correction with a running flat wave B. According to the Elliott Wave theory, impulses point in the direction of the larger trend. Once the corresponding three-wave retracement is over, the trend resumes.
In Gold's case, we have an impulse to the south followed by a correction. If this count is correct, there is a complete bearish 5-3 wave cycle.
Verdict
This means that instead of joining the bulls now, investors should remain cautious. The anticipated decline has the potential to drag Gold below wave (A) low around $1044 an ounce. With the yellow metal currently trading at $1585.40/oz, this translates into a 33% slump, maybe more.
Note
This is a longterm view on Gold. It takes wave (A) around 5 years to complete the bearish impulse, so we could anticipate this move to unfold in the next 3-5 years.
What's your thought on Gold? Can we see $1000 again?
XAUUSD tend to go north next weekOANDA:XAUUSD as we can see Gold prices have fluctuated in last week's trading. Last week's trade created the right price setup sitting at 61.8 Fib level . In the next trade, gold potentially will rise up to the first target of 1587 , if it breaks it will move towards the price of 1624 .
GOLD "XAUUSD" CORRECTIVE CYCLE IS YET TO BE COMPLETEDI have posted a series of analyses on GOLD in the last few weeks forecasting a bullish run in the longterm but seems the bears are not giving the bulls a chance.
Here we go again as I'm looking at Gold from a fresh perspective after last Friday's sell-off.
The GOLD corrective structure in wave 4 is becoming more complex. The visible count for the correction right now is a triple ZigZag Elliot Wave pattern.
The retracement which is most likely to be completed within the blue zone that lined up with 50% Fibonacci retracement of wave 3 rally, and wave (iv) low of one lesser degree.
This is a critical level to defence the bears and any move lower that breach wave 1 high @ $1348.0/oz will invalidate wave 4 idea.
Another Elliot Wave Principle that's guiding this retracement is called alternation.
The guideline stated if wave 2 corrective structure is shallow and simple in nature, then wave 4 will be complex and deeper.
In Gold case, wave 2 is a simple zigzag and retraced 38.2% of wave 1, and so we're anticipating wave 4 to retrace 50% in a complex and time-consuming triple zigzag pattern.
NOTE: This bearish bias on gold will most likely drag bitcoin price lower, as explained in the video I published on Sunday.
What's your view on Gold, Bearish or Bullish longterm?
Thanks for reading!
Veejahbee.
GOLD DAILY ANALYSISHey traders,
Markets are now closed but this is the best time to review and analyze what happened over the past week.
Price for Gold touched the green trend line I drew which may be part of a bullish flag pattern for gold.
Price immediately bounced up, with 3 bullish candles before experiencing a minor retrace on Friday.
The close on Friday was weak and indicated bears were not in control the full time.
On the MACD we see bearish momentum fading, and a possible bullish cross about to occur maybe sometime next week.
My bias for next week is up, and for the bulls to remain in control.
Simple price action and analysis.
GOLD H4 LONG - BULLISH PINBAR CONFIRMATIONHey traders,
Yesterday I posted a trade idea for Gold, but we did not get a confirmation signal.
WE GOT CONFIRMATION! We got a bullish pinbar on the H4 off the blue trend line.
Price is still in the ascending triangle pattern.
Risk to reward is 2.
Targets are 1504, then S/R at 1515.
Daily trade analysis and ideas:
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GOLD LONG OPPORTUNITY - CAUGHT OUT BY A STOP LOSS HUNTHey traders,
I was in a long gold position today, unfortunately price spiked down to my stop loss. I linked my previous analysis and trade idea.
Now I'm waiting for Gold to come back down to 1495 at the minor S/R before entering long.
Gold is still in an ascending triangle pattern and for that reason i am bullish.
Price today was unable to close below the bottom line of the ascending triangle pattern.
Risk to reward of 1.6
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GOLD H4 ANALYSIS - ASCENDING TRIANGLE PATTERN BULLISH?Hey traders, as the day comes to a close, I am looking at this setup for Gold on the H4 charts.
I have drawn from what I see an ascending triangle pattern. Price has come down to test the ascending line, with 2 long wicks forming on the H4.
This represents demand from buyers who are either taking profit or entering into long positions.
The risk to reward of this trade is 3.
There is a minor S/R at 1495, so if price can break that, then I am really bullish until the major S/R.
On the MACD we can also see that although bearish, the momentum for the bears seems to be decreasing.
Daily trade analysis and ideas:
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GOLD Long to $1555Hello Traders,
A breakout to the upside was seen in XAUUSD, and thus a trade was taken with as stop loss of $27 at around $1478 just around the previous consolidation low and a take profit of $50 at around $1550 just around the previous swing high. The price had been consolidating $1495 and $1481 and therefore, this breakout can be identified as a start of an upward momentum with the bulls taking over.
Have a lovely day!
Riverfront Capital
Is Gold (XAUUSD) going to make a Retracement? On screen analysisI have been keeping my eye on gold for a while now and I suspect that we will see a Retracement coming next week. The Counter Trend Line has been respected for more than two weeks now so it's just a matter of time before we will see a break of the Neckline.
Remember, Patience is Key!
Gold D1 Potential Buy, New HighGold has reached new highs, the highest point since April 2018. The metal is overall trading inside an upside wedge, broke above a weekly trendline and doesn't face any significant resistance until $1.360. USD weakness may push it to the mentioned upper resistance.
CommaFX traders are long in gold from $1.310. Join our Telegram channel to receive more trade setups. t.me
GOLD BULLS ARE ONFinally Gold has started to move in that bullish move that we have been expecting for a while , support lies at 1182 and target zone is at 1250.
The overall pattern is looking to be double zigzag.The wave count in Euro and US Dollar index DXY is also supporting this, US Dollar is about to finish last leg of bearish correction , hence GBP, CAD , EUR , AUS and Gold shall be traded as a bullish move.
Hope this helps .
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ELLIOTTWAVEGREEN