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Gold 4hr TF setup for CPI When considering CPI, a lower figure is preferred when buying assets such as gold, EUR, EURUSD, Cable, and indices. The weaker the CPI, the better it is for risk assets, especially those associated with hedging against the dollar. For instance, if there is a year-on-year 4.7% inflation and a month-on-month 0.2%, it would be ideal to buy indices and sell dollars because the data has outperformed. If the CPI is lower than expected, buying gold and selling dollars is a good option. Gold, GBP, EUR, and JPY are some of the assets that may be purchased in such a scenario. Indices such as S&P may move 30-40 points, while Wall Street may see a few hundred points move. Typically, any CPI figure before 4.8 or lower is considered a good data point. It is crucial to analyze the CPI figure excluding food and energy. Food and energy prices have rapidly increased in the last two years, making them an important outlier. However, we are starting to see food and energy prices normalize, and they have been coming down steadily over the last three to four months. If the CPI comes out at 5%, and food is at 5.5%, it is not a good number. The ideal situation would be to see continued decreases for six months. If there is a slowdown in one or two months, that is a problem. Currently, the Fed is still raising rates, which can aid in stabilizing prices. CPI inflation and rates are positively correlated.
TVC:GOLD
by ChartStrategist
Gold 4hr TF I am closely monitoring gold's movements and have a plan in place for both scenarios. If gold breaks the uptrend channel, you anticipate a fall to 1950, where you plan to look for buying opportunities. Alternatively, if gold breaks the decline trend line, you anticipate an acceleration to 2050 and plan to enter on pullbacks to find buying opportunities. Gold miners are up 1.60% while gold is only up 0.10% is a positive indication that gold may turn bullish and break the decline trend line. Silver has broken and retested a 2.6 year channel, which suggests that the bulls have taken over and silver should begin to swing bullish.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ChartStrategist
Gold 2 day TFIf gold breaks below the uptrend channel, I anticipate a further drop in its value. However, I have identified two specific areas where multiple factors converge, and I will keep an eye on them for potential buying opportunities. There are several factors that can cause the price of gold to rise: Supply and demand: Like any other commodity, the price of gold is affected by its supply and demand in the market. If the demand for gold exceeds its supply, the price of gold can rise. Economic and political instability: Gold is often seen as a safe-haven investment during times of economic and political uncertainty. In times of market volatility, investors may buy gold as a hedge against potential losses. Inflation: As the value of currency decreases due to inflation, investors may turn to gold as a store of value. Gold has historically maintained its value over time and can provide a hedge against inflation. Central bank policy: The policies of central banks, including changes in interest rates and quantitative easing, can affect the price of gold. For example, if central banks lower interest rates, it can lead to a weaker currency and an increased demand for gold. USD exchange rate: Gold is priced in USD, so changes in the exchange rate between the USD and other currencies can also impact the price of gold. If the USD weakens, it can make gold more affordable for investors holding other currencies.
TVC:GOLD
by ChartStrategist
Gold Targets if the Fed Pauses Rate Hikes Gold has managed to surge its way to US$2,020/oz, taking full advantage of the renewed weakness in the dollar price and treasury yields. Recent data from the US showed a slowdown in the services sector growth, fewer private company job additions than expected in March, and a fall in factory orders for the second consecutive month. This suggests that the economy could be cooling down amid higher interest rates. As a result, the market anticipates that the Fed will keep the funds rate steady next month, following a similar path to the Reserve Bank of Australia which decided to pause its rate hikes this month. Investors have recently increased their bets that the Fed will opt for a pause in its rate hikes after its May 2-3 meeting to approximately 60%, up from around 43% the previous day. Gold is particularly sensitive to the rates outlook because lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. If the Fed does decide to pause rate hikes in May, how might we expect the price of gold to react? Markets see a ~60% probability that the Fed will pause. Target prices could include US$2,027, US$2,032, US$2,036, and US$2,040, with the first two being levels of recent struggle. If we want to look back to the last time that gold was this expensive (March 2022), we might like to consider a couple daily peaks at US$2,070 and US$2,060 as higher targets. The Fed decision is still quite some time away, so some downside risk is of course still present in the meantime.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
When the Dollar fall each time, Gold increases a few foldsMany got distracted when Gold was trading in a range the last few years. A question for you to ponder over: Will there be a situation where interest rates continue to rise and yet a lower Dollar? Why? Let me hear thoughts, I would love to exchange ideas with you. Included last two videos link below, I explained: i) Gold is still an inflation hedge ii) Gold it is also a currency hedge CME Micro Gold Futures Minimum fluctuation 0.1 = $1 1 = $10 10 = $100 100 = $1,000 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
ICEUS:DX1!Long
by konhow