XAUUSD 4H forecast !Hello to all ! 😉
● According to the chart, gold is placed in a descending channel and we should wait for the third collision with the channel roof!
● The post head log indicates that the recent growth of gold is just a correction!😉
● The final goal is the area of the channel floor! 😎
● Please see the monthly gold analysis that has been posted! 😃
♢ Be profitable and successful ♢
Goldshort
Gold remains mixed and volatile.Gold - 24h expiry
A Doji style candle has been posted from the high.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
The 200 day moving average should provide resistance at 2034.94.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
We look to Sell at 2030.10 (stop at 2042.10)
Our profit targets will be 2000.10 and 1992.10
Resistance: 2032.10 / 2084.45 / 2121.70
Support: 2004.20 / 1984.70 / 1947.45
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XAUUSDHello traders ,what do you think about GOLD ?Last Friday, gold hit our projected resistance zone but failed to break through, aligning with our expectations. Looking ahead, it's anticipated that gold will struggle to surpass this zone. We foresee minimal fluctuations within this zone, ultimately leading to a decline towards the specified target level.
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GOLD H1 / FVG TAKEN / GOOD OPPORTUNITY FOR A LONG TRADE ✅💲Hello traders!
This is my idea related to Gold H1. I see a very nice retracement from the resistance level. Also, the FVG on M15 was taken, and I expect a bullish move until the price of 2048, were we have a valid FVG.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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XAUUSDHello traders ,what do you think about GOLD? Gold has breached its uptrend line and is currently positioned below it. We anticipate that following the completion of a pullback to the recently broken level and reaching the resistance zone, it will likely descend to the predetermined level.
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Gold is ready to go shortThe price of gold is currently maintaining its stability below the threshold of 2018.80, thus keeping the bearish trend scenario valid and active for the day. It is important to note that our main anticipated target is set at 1982.23.
We are taking short positions to achieve this target and break the level of 1900.
XAU sell Just as highlighted by my analysis, today is bearish and the sell momentum kickstarts after the liquidity buy zone has been filled.
The full prospect is a massive sell down to the 90's 📉
Let's watch the market movements and make profits off this analysis
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Gold trade: Is the Outlook too Pessimistic? A few weeks ago, there was widespread belief in the markets that the U.S. central bank would implement more than 160 basis points of easing in 2024. However, these expectations have substantially moderated since then, leading to a bearish reversal in the gold market.
Even today, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic emphasized that he anticipates policymakers will only commence rate cuts in the third quarter of this year. Additionally, the recent report from the Labor Department revealed that initial jobless claims hit their lowest level since September 2022, indicating a tight labor market and diminishing the need for immediate rate cuts.
The current week's sell-off has pushed the spot price below both the 20- and 50-day simple moving averages, intensifying the negative sentiment. While technical indicators have weakened in their bearish stance and fall short of suggesting a bottom, they still remain in negative territory.
The next level of support lies at $2,009/oz., followed by $1,987/oz. Taking an overly optimistic perspective in the long term, gold might remain positive as long as the last higher low at $1,973/oz. is maintained. The pair recovering beyond $2,040 will help it regain some bullish strength, but with no obvious reason for it to move back to this level, this might be overly optimistic too.
GOLD IS FALLING DOWN 👇 READ ITGold price (XAU/USD) has executed a short-term recovery move in the midst of a persistent downtrend. Gold price printed a fresh monthly low near the psychological support of $2,000 on Wednesday, then bounced.
Yet despite the rebound, the precious metal remains on the backfoot as investors continue to worry about when the Federal Reserve (Fed) will start its long awaited rate-cut cycle. The hopes of an early rate-cut decision from the Fed are easing as the last leg of inflationary pressures in the United States is turning out significantly more stubborn than previously thought, due to robust consumer spending and steady labor market conditions.
GOLD 4H : Under sell pressure GOLD
New forecast
The price perfectly fulfills my last idea and price reached to our targets +360 pip.
The price of gold confirmed breaking the 2043 level and stabilized within the descending intraday channel again, reactivating the bearish trend scenario in the intraday term, waiting to test the 2017 level initially, noting that breaking this level will confirm the extension of the downward corrective wave to reach 1993 and 1976 as the next main station.
Therefore, we expect to witness further declines during the coming sessions, supported by a move below the moving average of 50, keeping in mind that the 2043 breakthrough will stop the negative scenario.
The expect range trading for today it will be between resistance line 2043 and support line 2017 until stabilized .
Additionally ,Today News will affect on the market.
support line : 2017 , 1993
resistance line : 2043 , 2055
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XAUUSD GOING TOWARDS BUY (READ DESCRIPTION)Gold price (XAU/USD) has extended its correction on Wednesday as a hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller has casted doubts about a rate cut by the central bank in the March meeting. Fed policymakers have been favouring interest rates to remain higher for longer, defying market expectations, amid a lack of confidence in inflation returning towards the 2% target in a timely and sustainable manner.
GOLD - Short term SELL ?As you may know, DXY movement will have a strong impact to GOLD, xxxUSD pair.
From H4 timeframe, we can see that DXY got breakout from strong resistance to upside. Meaning there will be a SELL pressure to GOLD, xxxUSD pair.
For GOLD, price got rejected as resistance + double top pattern got breakout.
We should consider to look for SELL entry in smaller time frame:
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
GOLD H1 / SHORT TRADE ACTIVATED / STRATEGY CONFIRMED ✅Hello Traders!
In the previous analysis, I expected a retracement from the resistance level and I was looking for a short-trade from the OB.
Now we can see a very clear retracement. A good opportunity to execute short trades for scalpers or on small time frames.
Congrats to those who executed the trade.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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Will Gold collapse?We can see how clearly the price reacted to the Fibonacci levels, and now Gold is at an extreme level. I assume that 2023 was the best year for Gold. And in 2024, we can expect a drop to at least 745 level.
The next Fibo level is 385 but something tells me that the price will roll towards the low of 2000s - below 254.
And the most impossible scenario is when Gold will completely devalue (-27).
For several months now, I've been asking myself: what should happen globally in the world for the most stable investment instrument - Gold, to drop like a brick? I don't know. Write your ideas in comments 'what can cause drop of Gold?'.
Let's see what 2024 will bring us :)
GOLD GOING TOWARDS BUY CONFIRMGold price (XAU/USD) witnesses a sell-off after failing to reclaim the weekly high above $2,060. The precious metal drops as investors reconsider the timeframe in which the Federal Reserve (Fed) may reduce interest rates. This comes after the release of the sticky Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for December, as well as hawkish comments from European Central Bank (ECB) officials recalibrating broader market expectations.
XAUUSD GOING TOWARDS BUY (READ DESCRIPTION)Gold prices and the Nasdaq 100 could be at risk of a larger downward correction following the latest set of consumer price and unemployment claims figures released on Thursday. This means that new all-time highs for the precious metal and the technology index may have to wait a bit longer.
GOLD's Movement explainedSo what is up guys, I haven't had the opportunity to sit down and produce an analysis on gold over the last few days as I have been extremely busy working with students or other businesses that I run, I will admit my attention has been pulled away from the charts in the last few days but I am back and I am here for the day (I hope lol)
So looking at the monthly timeframe I can say that it still definitely is extremely bullish - there isn't anything that can convince me otherwise - See image below of the monthly timeframe
As I would mention in the image below I can't yet trust the monthly candle as it has about 20 days before it closes - meaning ANYTHING can happen between now and the next 20 days
I am skipping the weekly timeframe in this analysis as I don't think there is any information that I need from that timeframe that I cannot get on the daily - Looking at the daily timeframe we can see that it has had quite a few bearish days and moves in the last week
Now looking at the last 3 days or so, we can see that there are some wicks being thrown to the top side and I don't know about you but that doesn't give me confidence in looking for buys - why if I am looking for buys would I want to see data that suggests sells?
But it is interesting and I will tell you why - Why would the dealer be inducing sellers in a bull market? Let me tell you why I think this is the case
Who is the real target in a bull market? Buyers or sellers? Before you try to answer I want you to think who has more to gain. When you think about who has more to gain, you have to ask - does the dealer want this party to win? does he want this party to gain? Of course not. So in that light it is simple and easy to say that buyers would be the target right? Sellers would be taken out once the market resumes buying
But before it can resume buying the dealer needs to get rid of traders who bought - remember he doesn't want traders who are buying to gain anything.
So the next question is simple - Where are the buyers buying?
Lets look at the chart again and see if anything makes sense
When we look at the 4 hour time frame I am just trying to identify areas in which I feel the average retail trader may have felt safe to place a buy and I arrive at these zones circled in green, but why? These are low points that would have also made higher lows - which I am aware traders love using that B.S - Higher high and higher low to dictate whether or not they should buy.
If you realize I am using what I know other traders do in my analysis but I am not using that myself to place a trade - I said this before, I like Context, I want to understand what other people may be seeing so I can build out the picture as close to what it really is, you cannot do that when you look at the market one dimensionally.
But wait there is more
Is it at all possible that this bull trend is also now an additional induction to get traders to buy? I think so yes, it makes sense for the dealer to induce buyers to make them feel safe and add more buys
Buyers would feel more inclined to open bigger positions because the gold market is bullish overall so buys make sense. Interestingly enough buys are the right play I think but it isn't WHAT it is HOW.
This is why I think the seller induction of the higher timeframe right now make sense - get sellers to step in and push price lower and stop out the buyers induced to buy in these areas (green)
On the m15 timeframe I believe that sellers would have already been destroyed so the dealer is free to use that seller liquidity to push price lower as seen in the image below (turquoise)
Look at the previous tap on the trendline or the most recent low, I wouldn't be surprised if price stops there and bounces back up temporarily to further induce buyers before dropping lower to take out all buyers completely
I have an alert set at the low
Let me know what you think about this thought process
Don't boost if you didn't take the time to read and try to understand this entire analysis
OR
Boost if you did take the time to read and try to understand this entire analysis
I think trying to take a trade before I know what price is likely to do next is irresponsible of me. So I will be waiting
Have a great day folks
GOLD CPI CONFIRM TARGET TODAY The US Consumer Price Index is forecast to rise at an annual pace of 3.2% in December, a tad quicker than the 3.1% increase reported in November. The Core CPI inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is set to fall to 3.8% in the same period, compared with the previous growth of 4.0%.
Gold melting a little?In the final days in December gold's strength has started to weaken. Wednesday December 27th 2023 is the last high we saw gold peaking around 2088.41. A massive and consistent downtrend has come right after that with a clear formulated structure with lower-low's and lower-high's. Monday January 08th 2024 is when we saw a pull-back and momentum revitalize it's self with going stabilizing itself seeing more stride with it's price trying to gain value back to the upside. Yesterday Tuesday January 9th 2024 during New York session it's seemly lost it's momentum but we can see that Monday's New York session has made clean traffic with price to the upside which in turn will be great for pin pointing where gold will go.
*** KEY ANALYSIS ***
I'm looking for GOLD to break and CLOSE under 2023.83 on a 30M time frame. This will confirm more of a downtrend considering the clean traffic and move up from Monday New York session that had alot of volume
-- Close under my zone at 2023.83
Target 120 pts on candle break and close.
Stops: anywhere above opposite side of the zone at 2027.43