Gold trading zones: 27-May-2025Today's Gold trading zones: Identify potential opportunities and plan your strategy.
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Gold market analysis: 26-May-2025Good morning! Happy New Day! Here's your daily Gold market analysis. Learn, grow, and trade wisely.
XAUUSD 1H | Bearish Order Block Reaction + Liquidity Sweep🔻 XAUUSD 1-Hour Breakdown — May 14, 2025
Gold gave a strong supply rejection at a marked Order Block zone. This isn’t just a pullback — it’s a potential continuation setup targeting lower lows. Here’s what’s cooking:
🧩 1. Market Structure
Clean rejection from premium OB zone at ~$3,220
Massive bearish impulse candle right after sweeping demand zone liquidity
Price formed a lower low and is now forming a lower high
🛠 2. Key Confluences
🟪 Order Block: Solid rejection with no candle closes above
💧 Liquidity Sweep: Deep wick into OB zone → trapped breakout buyers
🔺 Strong High Protected: Market respects structure, suggesting continuation
🔻 Weak Low Targeted: Clean draw to imbalance & potential sweep zone near $3,116
🧠 3. Trade Setup
Entry: Rejection near $3,207–3,220 OB
SL: Above $3,229 (invalidates structure)
TP: First TP zone near $3,116, extended TP: $3,100
RRR: 1:4 to 1:6 setup depending on partials
⚠️ 4. Risk Management
Watch for NY session reversal attempts
Secure profits at first demand zone reaction
Consider trailing stop above last bearish engulfing candle
📌 Price respects structure. If bulls don’t step in quick, sellers will run the table. This is a classic SMC bearish continuation off OB + liquidity grab — don’t sleep on it!
💬 Type “🔻” if you're riding this short wave with us!
🎯 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for sniper SMC plays every day!
GOLD possible outcomesGold is now approaching 3275 area, which is probably the biggest make or break are right now
If we will see break, we gonna see some retest of previous resistance and we could see retest of ALL TIME HIGH again
If we hold this important 3275 area, we could see one more leg to the lower trendline (Daily TL) and possibly testing higher timeframe support of 3150 area... Possible retest of Daily trendline could lead us to even bigger decline all the way down to 2970 support area
Gold rebound height is limited, short goldTechnical aspects:
Gold has failed to make a major breakthrough in the recent rebound process, and the rebound height has been limited to a smaller and smaller level. Overall, gold is now in a state of shock and short position; as the center of gravity of gold shifts downward, the current short-term resistance is in the 3220-3230 area; and gold has tested downward many times recently, which makes it easier for gold to fall below 3200. Once gold falls below 3200 again, it is very likely to extend to 3190, or even around 3160.
Trading strategy:
Consider starting to short gold in batches in the 3220-3230 area, TP: 3205-3195
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
After a powerful bullish rally since the beginning of 2025, gold has entered a corrective phase
In the current price zone, we expect a temporary upward retracement, potentially offering short-term relief, before the downtrend resumes.
For a safer bearish entry, it's recommended to wait for a confirmed break below both the marked support zone and the ascending trendline to validate continuation to lower levels.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold Under Pressure from USD and the FedThe gold market is currently under pressure due to:
- Recent statements from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed).
- A stronger U.S. dollar, which reduces gold’s appeal.
Previously, gold had been supported by:
- A weaker dollar following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating.
- However, increased interest in risk assets and hopes for peace between Russia and Ukraine have reduced demand for gold.
Key factors to watch going forward:
• Statements from the Fed
• Developments in trade negotiations
Possible scenario:
• The bearish trend remains dominant.
• A short-selling wave and a breakdown from the triangle pattern may occur.
• A further drop toward the 3150–3120 zone is possible.
XAUUSD Sell Setup from Supply Zone | TP1 & TP2 BelowWe're keeping an eye on a clear rejection from the supply zone marked between 3,230 and 3,236. The price has dipped into this area, showing signs of slowing momentum, and is now breaking downwards.
📉 Sell Plan Details:
🔻 Sell Entry: 3,222 – 3,225 (just below where we saw the supply zone rejection)
🛑 Stop Loss: 3,232 (set above the supply zone for added safety)
🎯 TP1: 3,210 (a minor support level / our first target)
🎯 TP2: 3,195 (a major demand zone / our final exit point)
📦 Zone Mapping:
🔲 Supply Zone: 3,230 – 3,236
This is where sellers stepped in, creating downward pressure.
🔲 Demand Zone: 3,192 – 3,196
A strong bounce area that’s likely to draw in buyers for a reversal or partial exits.
📊 Bias:
As long as the price stays below 3,230, the bearish sentiment holds. If we see a breakout above 3,232, this setup will be invalidated.
🔁 Execution Tip:
Watch for bearish candles or rejection wicks in the entry zone for confirmation. TP1 is great for quick scalps, while TP2 serves as a position target near structural demand.
⚠️ Always prioritize risk management – never trade without a stop loss!
XAU/USD weekly outlook My analysis revolves around the continuation of the current short-term bearish trend. To capitalise on this move, I’ll be watching for price to mitigate either the 4-hour supply zone or the 3-hour supply zone. If price instead decides to respect a nearby demand zone, I’ll shift focus and wait for a potential reaction from a 1-hour demand zone.
From there, we could see signs of accumulation followed by a bullish reaction, leading price back up into a supply zone before continuing the sell-off in line with the prevailing trend. However, if price breaks below the 1-hour demand, that would further confirm a stronger bearish bias.
Confluences for GOLD sells are as follows:
- Price has broken structure to the downside, confirming the short-term bearish trend.
- Price is approaching both the 4-hour and 3-hour supply zones, which could act as strong sell areas.
- There is a lot of downside liquidity that remains untapped and could be targeted.
- On the higher timeframes, price appears overbought due to the recent corrective move.
P.S. If price fails to respect the nearby supply zones and breaks through them, I’ll then look for a reaction from a more premium supply level. Overall, my long-term bias remains bullish based on the higher timeframes.
GOLD MARKET OVERVIEW – WEEKLY SUMMARY 📉 Key Developments
• Gold price (XAU/USD) dropped from a weekly high of $3,252 to a low of $3,154, indicating strong selling pressure.
• U.S. bond yields have edged higher, making gold less attractive to investors.
• Recent inflation data suggests the Federal Reserve may maintain higher interest rates for longer, adding downward pressure on gold.
• Profit-taking has intensified following a strong rally in previous weeks when gold hit multiple all-time highs.
🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario
• Market sentiment leans towards profit-taking, especially since the $3,200–$3,250 zone has failed to hold.
• The inability to sustain higher levels indicates weakening buying momentum, increasing the likelihood of a deeper correction.
• Over the past week, gold formed strong bearish candles and repeatedly tested the $3,150 support zone, signaling that this level is weakening and could be broken soon.
📉 Conclusion & Outlook for Next Week
Based on:
• Weak price behavior
• Negative technical indicators
• Profit-taking sentiment
• Bearish macroeconomic backdrop
→ The scenario of breaking below $3,150 support and continuing downward toward $3,100 or lower is highly plausible in the coming week.
📌 SHORT-TERM TRADING STRATEGIES
🔻 SELL
• Entry Zone (SELL): 3245 – 3248
• Take Profit (TP): 3235 – 3238
• Stop Loss (SL): 3253
🔼 BUY
• Entry Zone (BUY): 3120 – 3123
• Take Profit (TP): 3133 – 3135
• Stop Loss (SL): 3116
🔁 Note: Only enter trades based on clear confirmation signals. Manage risk carefully — limit exposure to no more than 1–2% of your account per trade.
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 15.05.2025Key Supply Zones to Watch for Short Opportunities:
3170–3175 Zone:
→ Strong supply area.
→ If price rejects this zone with confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, M5/M15 BOS or CHoCH), enter sell.
3150–3155 Zone:
→ Mid-level supply.
→ If price fails to reach 3170 and breaks below this level, wait for a break & retest of this zone for potential sell entries.
📉 Trade Signal (Sell Bias):
Scenario 1 – Rejection at 3170–3175:
Sell Entry: On confirmation at 3170–3175
SL: Above 3178
TP1: 3155
TP2: 3145
TP3: 3125 (final target – next demand zone)
Scenario 2 – Break of 3150–3155:
Sell Entry: On retest of 3150–3155 zone after breakdown
SL: Above 3160
TP1: 3135
TP2: 3125
✅ Confirmation Tools:
Candlestick pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing / M15 BOS)
Lower timeframe structure shift (M5-M15 CHoCH)
Volume spike or momentum fade at zone
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Short-Term Outlook: Gold Slumps After Breaking Key Support📉 Short-Term Trend Analysis – XAU/USD
- Gold (XAU/USD) is under heavy selling pressure after decisively breaking below the key support level at $3,200, marking a significant shift in short-term momentum.
- The $3,176 zone, which marks the April 11 low, now serves as a crucial technical support. A clear break below this level could open the door for a deeper drop toward the next key support around $3,140.
If the $3,176 level fails to hold and bearish momentum continues, the market is likely to push lower toward the $3,140 support zone.
📰 Fundamental Drivers Behind the Decline
No major news has been released today, but the market continues to be weighed down by:
- Ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions, which remain unresolved.
- U.S. CPI data for April came in weaker than expected, causing investors to adjust interest rate expectations and favoring short-term downside for gold.
🔮 Short-Term Technical Scenario
After breaching the $3,200 support level, gold is expected to consolidate briefly in the $3,176–$3,190 range before potentially resuming its downtrend.
💡 Short-Term XAU/USD Trade Setups
🔻 SELL
Entry Zone: 3193 – 3190
Take Profit: 3188 – 3185
Stop Loss: 3198
🔺 BUY
Entry Zone: 3179 – 3176
Take Profit: 3184 – 3181
Stop Loss: 3171
📌 Note:
In the current market environment, short-term strategies are preferred.
Apply strict risk management as volatility may increase due to geopolitical headlines or technical retracements.
Closely monitor price action around $3,176 — a confirmed break below this level could accelerate the move toward $3,140.
XAUUSD | UNPRESIDENTED GOLD RALLY : Where to Next?GOLD has been trading extremely bullish over the past year, with high volume indicating lots of interest and movement in this commodity's market:
Is this where we should be getting worried?
Rapid surges in gold prices have historically been followed by sharp corrections as markets adjust. Three key examples illustrate this;
🧨 the 1980 spike to $850 due to global instability, followed by a 65% drop;
🧨 the 2011 peak near $1,900 driven by economic anxieties, leading to a 40% decline by 2015;
🧨and the 2020 high above $2,075 amid pandemic fears and stimulus, which subsequently settled into a lower range.
Noticing how gold has been trading in a parabolic curve, first corrections are likely to be down the curve (as it has been, historically):
Across past gold peaks ( 1980, 2011, and 2020) and recent record highs, markets share four core similarities:
🎈elevated inflationary expectations,
🎈low or negative real interest‐rate environments,
🎈heightened geopolitical and trade‐war tensions,
🎈aggressive central‐bank and ETF buying.
Today’s gold rally mirrors these patterns, driven by persistent inflation concerns and renewed safe‑haven demand amid Middle East conflicts and Ukraine risk. Aggressive central‑bank and ETF purchases have also replicated past behavior. Emerging‑market central banks have accelerated gold reserves diversification since 2022, just as they did after the 2008 crisis and the Euro‑debt peak in 2011.
Historically, swift peaks have been followed by multi‑year corrections as external conditions normalize. After January 1980’s peak, gold fell by two‑thirds over two years; following 2011’s high, it dropped 40% by 2013. If inflation cools or central banks signal genuine rate normalization, this rally may likewise give way to a sustained consolidation or correction.
Did the BBC just signal the peak??
Recently the BBC warned that while current trade‑war and market volatility parallels past booms, overreliance on gold alone risks miss-timing the eventual downturn when macro fears realize.
Therefore, if the curve breaks, it's likely the beginning of the hard correction.
__________________________
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold May Drop Further Below the $3,200 Level in the Short TermGold (XAU/USD) faces the risk of a deeper decline if the following factors continue to develop unfavorably for the precious metal:
📌 1. Continued Improvement in US-China Relations
• The joint statement between the US and China has eased trade tensions.
• If both sides announce more concrete agreements or actions (such as tariff reductions or market access), safe-haven demand may weaken significantly, leading to gold sell-offs.
📌 2. Sustained Strength in the US Dollar
• The USD is strengthening on expectations that the Fed will maintain higher interest rates for longer.
• Capital continues to flow into the USD rather than gold, especially as US bond yields rise.
📌 3. Lack of Supportive News for Gold
• Geopolitical risk factors have temporarily subsided.
• Inflationary pressure is no longer strong enough to support gold prices as before.
📉 Key Support Levels Ahead
If gold breaks below the $3,200 level, the next potential support zones include:
• $3,185 – a recent short-term low (if applicable)
• $3,160 – $3,170 – a technical support confluence zone
• $3,140 – a strong psychological support level, and a potential target if a sell-off intensifies
⚠️ Recommendation
• If gold decisively breaks below $3,200 with rising volume and continued positive developments in US-China trade, the downtrend could accelerate.
• Traders should monitor the $3,195–$3,200 range closely to assess whether to expand short positions.
Gold Sees Technical Rebound, But Downtrend Remains IntactGold has seen a modest rebound from its lowest level in over a week, driven by dip-buying interest. However, the overall downtrend remains intact as risk appetite increases across markets, following a temporary trade and tariff agreement between the U.S. and China. This progress has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
In addition, if the U.S. continues to release more positive updates on bilateral trade relations, downward pressure on gold is likely to persist — especially amid a stronger U.S. Dollar. As such, current rebounds are likely to be technical in nature, and investors should exercise caution with long positions.
🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario
Gold (XAU/USD) may continue a technical recovery around the $3,275–$3,280 zone due to bottom-fishing activity. However, without a clear breakout, the broader trend remains bearish, driven by:
• Increasing risk-on sentiment
• Continued USD strength
🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy
• Short-term Sell in the zone: $3,275 – $3,280
• Short-term Buy in the zone: $3,205 – $3,210
• Always use tight stop-losses to mitigate risk from news-driven volatility.
💡 Short-Term Trade Setup
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,275 – $3,280
• 🎯 TP1: $3,265
• 🎯 TP2: $3,255
• 🚨 SL: $3,300
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,205 – $3,210
• 🎯 TP1: $3,215
• 🎯 TP2: $3,225
• 🚨 SL: $3,195
XAUUSD Gold Possible Move 13/05/2025Major Supply Zones:
Upper Supply Zone around $3,275–$3,285: Strong reaction from this area before the massive drop.
Mid Supply Zone around $3,265 - $3,268: Price has reacted again here.
Trendline Liquidity Grab:
Price moved above the internal rising trendline (liquidity sweep).
The wick into the trendline’s upper side aligns with a key supply zone, followed by rejection = potential shift in structure.
Bearish Rejection from Supply:
Confluence zone (circle area) where price might reverse.
Strong rejection seen right after price tapped this zone. possible entry trigger.
Internal Structure Shift:
If price breaks $3,245 support, that confirms CHoCH (Change of Character).
Bearish FVG could be forming just below the supply zone, which may act as resistance on retests.
📉 Trade Signal (Short Setup)
🔔 Entry:
Sell: $3,265 - 68 (if price returns for a retest of supply zone)
OR
Sell Market: If current bearish candle confirms engulfing with strong momentum
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $3,245 (mid support zone)
TP2: $3,220 (major demand zone at the bottom)
TP3 (swing): $3,210–$3,200
🛡️ Stop-Loss:
Above supply zone high: $3,275+
✅ Confluences for Bearish Bias:
Liquidity sweep above trendline
Supply zone rejection
Structure shifting lower
Price action showing rejection wicks
Clean imbalance zones below (liquidity magnets)
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Gold is losing its shine as the US and China move closerGold price (XAU/USD) has dropped below $3,300 and is now trading around $3,275 in the Asian session on Monday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar and optimism from US-China trade talks. Both sides reported “substantial progress” after two days of negotiations in Switzerland, reducing safe-haven demand for gold. However, ongoing trade uncertainties and geopolitical tensions may still provide some support. While military activity between India and Pakistan has eased following a ceasefire, the risk of conflict remains.
🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario:
This week, gold (XAU/USD) may continue to face downward pressure due to positive expectations surrounding the US-China trade process, which reduces demand for safe-haven assets. If the US releases more favorable trade details, risk sentiment could improve, causing capital to flow out of gold. A stronger US Dollar also adds pressure to the metal.
🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• If the price rebounds to the $3,275–$3,300 zone but fails to break through, consider shorting with targets at $3,240 or $3,200.
• Conversely, if the price breaks above $3,300, wait for confirmation to open a long position.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
SELL XAU/USD Zone: $3,275 – $3,295
• TP1: $3,240
• TP2: $3,200
🚨 SL: $3,310
BUY XAU/USD Zone: $3,305 – $3,315
• TP1: $3,325
• TP2: $3,350
🚨 SL: $3,290
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 📊 SMC Analysis + Trade Signal
Market Structure Overview:
Accumulation: led to strong bullish rally from 3330 to 3435.
Distribution: Multiple liquidity sweeps between 3365-3394
Breakdown: Clean BoS confirms bearish shift from distribution.
Current Action: Liquidity grab at bottom 3320/30 likely a retracement.
🔔 Trade Signal: SHORT
Entry: 3,360 – 3,370 (pullback to supply zone)
Stop Loss: Above 3,380 (last swing high)
Take Profit:
TP1: 3,340
TP2: 3,320
Bias: Bearish
Reason: Distribution + BoS + Pullback to premium
Show your support by hitting follow, support, and boost.
Gold is expected to pull back, short gold!Fundamentals:
Focus on the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's speech;
I think the Fed will keep the interest rate decision unchanged this time, at least it will not announce a rate cut this time, which may suppress the gold market;
Technical aspects:
Before the Fed's interest rate decision, gold is currently in a volatile state. However, relatively speaking, it is currently in a volatile and bearish state, with short-term resistance in the 3395-3405 area; and gold has repeatedly tested the 3370-3360 below during the retracement process. After multiple tests, gold may be more likely to break through this support area; the key support below is in the 3360-3350 area, followed by the 3320-3310 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3395-3405 area, TP: 3370-3360
GOLD Potential ReversalIt appears that we've reached a significant top in the market, with price action showing signs of a potential dump. Liquidity has been taken out at this level, and we are now looking at lower price targets, which align with the lines below, marking new liquidity points. These areas could serve as key support levels as the market tests them for further reaction.
The price structure suggests a possible drop to the target zones around 3,300 / 3,200 & 2970 where we could see renewed buying interest. Stay cautious as we approach these levels, as they may present opportunities for short entries ahead of the market correction.
Keep an eye on the evolving price action for further confirmations.
GOLD Technical Analysis - Deeper Pullback in PlayOANDA:XAUUSD remains within a broader ascending channel, but recent price action suggests that the market is undergoing a deeper corrective phase. Following a prolonged bullish rally, price appears overextended and is now pulling back more decisively.
This correction aligns with expectations for a healthy retracement after such strong upward momentum. I anticipate that the pullback will extend further toward the $3,160 level, a key technical level defined by the confluence of horizontal support, ascending trendline support, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse.
This zone will be critical for determining whether the broader bullish structure remains intact. If price holds at this level and shows signs of reversal, it may present a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. However, a decisive break below this zone would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door to a deeper correction.
Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
Gold (XAU/USD) - Bullish Reversal Pattern in Play Hello guys!
Let's analyze Gold!
Gold has recently broken out of a descending wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal, with confirmation coming from a clear bullish divergence near the $3,200 zone. After reaching the target of the descending pattern, the price rebounded sharply and is now forming an ascending channel.
Currently, the price is approaching a key resistance zone around $3,280–$3,290. If bulls manage to push through this level, we could see a rally toward the next major resistance around $3,320 and beyond.
🔍 Key Points:
✅ Descending wedge breakout confirmed
✅ Bullish divergence near the bottom signals a momentum shift
✅ Price respecting ascending channel structure
📈target of long position: $3,290–$3,320
📉 target of short position and the entry for long: $3,240 zone
Outlook: Bullish bias remains valid as long as the price is above the $3,240–$3,250 support area. Watch for a breakout above resistance for further upside continuation.
