Temporary pullback for further gold upsideThe current price level is very strong and under high pressure. I believe the market could reach lower levels like 2600 and 2590 at the beginning of the week and then move back towards higher targets. While there is the risk of a potential Israel-Lebanon conflict, I doubt the market will react significantly to this news early in the week.
Goldshort
I'm sorry, I have been short againBros, you all know that I shorted gold some time ago. Although I was stuck for a few days, gold still gave me a chance to close the position near 2553, and finally closed the position with a profit of $90K.
At present, gold has risen above 2620 again. I think there should be many brothers chasing gold. I am sorry, I started shorting gold again and plan to hold it in the medium term. Bros, I calculated in advance that if gold can fall to 2575, I can make more than $50K in profit. If gold unexpectedly falls to 2550, there will be another huge profit! I am looking forward to such a result!
Bros, let's wait and see!
Gold Analysis: Volatility Contraction Near Support (15 min)Gold is currently hovering just above a support level, with small candles indicating a possible volatility contraction. This signals a potential buildup of tension, where a breakout could be imminent. If the price holds above this support, we could see upward movement. However, a breakdown below the support might trigger a bearish move. Keep an eye on volume and price action for the next big move.
XAUUSDXAUUSD . Potential short opportunity.
Our idea remains the same as yesterday however we are posting an adaptive analysis.
The price on XAUUSD has made a new ATH (All Time High) we are due for a pullback (at least 50%). Our new key levels are sitting at 2600, 2560, 2545, 2530. Our entry is at 2589. We are expecting the price to drop down to our Key Levels (KL). Every break of the new KL will result in deeper pullback . Stops are set at yesterday’s high. We must keep in mind that gold is still overall bullish and even if we see our KL4 (2530) we would still expect the price to go up from there.
Overall still bullish on XAUUSD .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2589
- SL: 2600
- TP1: 2560
- TP2: 2545
- TP3: 2530
KEY NOTES
- Possible double top on XAUUSD.
- Break of KL2 could result in deeper pullbacks (KL2 -> KL3).
- Break of yesterday’s low could result in deeper pullbacks (KL3 -> KL4).
- Stop is set at the previous days high.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Xauusd buyGold loses its traction and falls toward $2,570 after climbing above $2,590 during the European trading hours. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield rises toward 3.75% in the Fed aftermath, making it difficult for XAU/USD to push higher.
Gold now buy 2581
Support 2605
Resistance 2556
Confirm signal
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would like to see price attempt an undercut low and then start the incline into the higher levels. We gave KOG’s bias of the week as bullish above 2385 with the targets for the week 2510, 2515 and 2530, which we all completed.
We then continued with the path shown in the updates while Excalibur tracked price taking us up into our final take profit target at 2580. Please have a look at the previous reports to see how the algo has tracked the price from the highs to the lows, lows to highs, no matter where it goes we've traded it and moved with the market. Hats off to the team!
A phenomenal week on Gold as well as the other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We have FOMC this week so shall await more choppy price action as well as the potential per-event range that may form from Tuesday onwards. We’re a little high to long at the moment which is what most traders will be thinking but sentiment is strong now so there is a chance they open and stretch this a little higher. For that reason, we will be waiting to see how last week’s high and the levels of 2580-83 react to the price if attacked in the early session. If rejected we feel an opportunity toto short is available into the lower levels of 2565 and below that 2555.
Many traders will now be looking for the 2600 level so please be careful as breaking above the 2585 level will make it a lot easier to be achieved during the early part of the week. Ideally, we want the pullback into the lower support regions and then want to assess the price action before attempting to go long and take this above 2600.
Due to FOMC this week this report will be provisional as we’ll update the idea specifically for FOMC before the release.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2550 with targets above 2600 and above that 2610
Bearish on break of 2550 with target below 2535
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold NFP potential corrections / retracement key levelsIf FED will not disappoints market with a 50bps market pricing in rate cut, then some key levels are plotted that is due for corrections / retracement.
Later all eyes will focus on Powell speech whether he will take an aggressive approach for November FOMC.
XAUUSD | Bearish DivergenceCurrently, XAUUSD (Gold) is in an uptrend, making new higher highs and higher lows while moving within a parallel channel, supported by its trendline. Additionally, fundamental factors are pushing gold to reach new highs.
However, on the 1-hour time frame, there is a hidden bearish divergence, suggesting a potential trend reversal into a downtrend. This indicates that we may soon see the formation of new lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), and the price could move towards a high-demand zone.
Moreover, with high-impact USD news expected this week, we anticipate a potential retracement in price. After this pullback, we could expect an upward rally in gold.
In summary:
1: Uptrend: Gold is making higher highs and higher lows, moving within a parallel channel.
2: Fundamentals: Support the uptrend and push for new highs.
3: Hidden Bearish Divergence: On the 1-hour chart, indicating a potential shift to a downtrend.
4: High-Impact USD News: Expected to cause a retracement, followed by a potential upward rally.
Expectation: A short-term pullback, followed by a possible continuation of the uptrend.
These factors suggest short-term downside potential before a likely continuation of the uptrend.
Xauusd sell Gold trades in a narrow range above $2,580 after touching a new record-high near $2,590 earlier in the day. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield holds above 3.6% ahead of the Fed meeting and makes it difficult for XAU/USD to find direction.
Gold now sell 2581
Support 2550
Resistance 2600
In the event of a correction, firm support lies at $2,550, $2,544 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the September rally), and $2,530 (former range high).
Gold Thoughts 16-Sept-2024Happy New Week all, Kindly see my Gold thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Gold will go shortgold will go short if the price closes below 2590 at daily frame, but if closed above this price the gold will achieve new prices
in my point of view, if price does some correction will hit 2500
Trade : Sell
Entry Price : 2578:2580
Stop Lose : close above 2590 at daily frame
Take Profit :2500
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to start by attempting the higher resistance 2510-15 and based on the flip we would see an opportunity to short back down into the 2480-85 region. It was here that we suggested traders look for the set up to go long and target the higher levels again, which worked very well for us, both down and up. We then released the NFP KOG Report and gave the levels we would be looking to either long or short into, and on the flip look for the reaction in price. We managed to get a move into that higher level, completing our Excalibur targets and then getting the RIP from that level all the way back down into where we closed on Friday. Some traders even managed to get the long from the order region market bullish above, which should have been protected and partials taken.
Another great week in Camelot not only on Gold but US30 giving us a pin point level to level move for a phenomenal short, as well as all the other pairs we trade performing well.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’re going to keep it simple to start the week! We’re still in the range and price is still accumulating so we can’t get to concerned here with the longer-term direction, we’ll simply have to play the chart with what It’s presenting us.
The ideal scenario here is we see price attempt an undercut low and then start the incline into the higher levels 2505 and above that 2510-15 again. Therefore, key level support is sitting at the 2480-85 region, and our bullish above bias will still stand for this week based on that attempt to break above that 2515 price mark. If we fail here, the swing will continue to play, and we should see price attempt to break below the 2485 region and attempt to attack the order region 2450-55 which is where we feel the ideal position trade will come from.
As above, 2510-15 is a key level resistance here as breaking this level will lead to further gains on gold with that 2530-35 region again as the target level for the week.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bullish above 2485 with targets above 2510, 2515 and above that 2530
Bearish on the break of 2485 with targets below 2477 and below that 2465
As always, we will update traders through the week with our plans, KOG’s bias of the day and the Red Box strategy whenever we can.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold Short Trade Idea - After All-Time Highs 1 Hour (1H)Gold has recently surged to new all-time highs (ATH) following a strong breakout during the New York session. The momentum carried through to the Asian session, where the price continued to climb. However, as we enter a potential exhaustion phase, there may be an opportunity to short gold.
Analysis:
• All-Time Highs: After reaching new ATHs, gold appears to be losing steam, suggesting that a retracement could be imminent.
• Momentum Loss: The recent price action shows signs of weakening, which could indicate that buyers are stepping back, providing a window for a short position.
• Technical Levels: The take-profit target is aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, a common area for price to pull back after a significant move.
• Price Discovery: Gold is currently in a “price discovery” phase, where the market is determining the true value after reaching unprecedented levels. This increases the potential for volatility and unexpected price movements.
Trade Management:
• Partial Profits: If the trade starts moving in our favor, it’s advisable to take partial profits along the way. This strategy minimizes risk and locks in gains, as waiting for the full target may be too optimistic in a volatile environment.
• Tight Stop-Loss: Given the current market conditions, it’s crucial to keep the stop-loss tight. The market is in uncharted territory, so protecting your capital is paramount.
This trade aims to capitalize on a potential pullback after a historic surge in gold prices. However, caution is essential due to the “price discovery” nature of the market at these levels. Manage your risk carefully and be prepared to adapt to the market’s movements.
Trade carefully, and good luck!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Gold (XAU/USD) Short Setup on Daily Timeframe Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading near a resistance zone on the daily chart, presenting a potential short setup. With key U.S. economic data, including the CPI (Consumer Price Index), set to be released today, there is a high probability of increased volatility, which could drive the price lower if the data supports USD strength.
Technical Analysis:
• Resistance Zone: The daily chart shows Gold testing a significant resistance level around 2,520. This level has previously acted as a strong barrier, making it an ideal spot for a potential reversal.
• Bearish Candlestick Formation: The recent price action has formed a bearish rejection pattern, indicating that sellers may be stepping in at this level.
• Downside Targets: The initial target for this short setup is around 2,500, where the next significant support lies. A further decline could see the price move towards 2,480 if the bearish momentum continues.
Fundamental Analysis:
• USD CPI Data: Today’s U.S. CPI release is critical, as it will provide insight into inflationary pressures and could influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions. A higher-than-expected CPI could strengthen the USD, putting additional pressure on Gold prices.
• Market Sentiment: The market may already be pricing in expectations for the CPI data, so it’s essential to watch the actual release closely. A stronger USD could lead to a significant selloff in Gold, validating this short setup.
Risk Management:
• Volatility Caution: Given the importance of the CPI data, expect increased volatility during and after the release. Ensure your position size reflects this potential risk.
• Trailing Stop: Consider using a trailing stop if the trade moves in your favor to lock in profits while allowing the position to run if the decline continues.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Gold Price Analysis: Watching Resistance and Support ZonesGold is currently trading between a strong resistance zone, where we’ve seen multiple rejections, and a key support level. The price has been bouncing between these areas. If we see the price drop back to the smaller support, there’s potential for a bounce. It will be crucial to observe how buyers respond at this level to determine the next move. If buyers show strength, a rebound could occur; otherwise, we might see further declines. Monitoring price action at these critical levels will be key for future trades.
Xauusd The daily chart for XAU/USD offers a neutral-to-bullish stance, with the pair still meeting intraday buyers around a bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA). Technical indicators, in the meantime, lack directional strength, with the Momentum indicator stuck around its 100 line and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator consolidating at around 58. Finally, the 100 and 200 SMAs keep grinding higher, far below the current level, limiting the bearish potential in the wider perspectiv
Gold now sell 2516
Support 2500
Resistance 2525
GOLd possible short for 2465 & 2440Last weekly bar of the month of August in Gold is Inside bar. Range confined within the range of the previously weekly bar. First weekly bar of the month of September is Insurance bar, broker below the Inside bar low which confirmed further weakness ahead. selling zone for gold is 2517-26. stop loss above the previous two weekly bars high i.e. 2534. Target: 2465 (price may reverse back from there as a correction before further fall), next target level is 2440.