XAUUSD Gold monthly breakdownDespite gold closing bullish for the month of July, Price action indicates bears are still in control and there are opportunities for swing-sells
The reason for this is due to the fact that the 1970-1990 levels were rejected in the month, showing strong resistance is still intact and we can anticipate the support created at the 1900 level to be broken for a continuation down to 1825.
Goldshorts
Gold Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
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Xauusd Bias: ShortCurrently, the gold order flow is bearish. The price has broken and retested the strong support level. Now, the bulls appear to show no more interest in the price of Gold because of the presence of the exhaustion candle, a semiclassic pin bar, that has been printed on the chart at the key level area, followed by a small bearish candle.
Expectations: we expect a bearish continuation tomorrow. I'm expecting this to move to 1912.342 tomorrow.
Gold is ready to tumble to $1,810 before the riseIf you haven't followed my analyses for the last 15 years.
You'll know, I am a BIG gold bull.
Yes I know gold hasn't performed as well as it did in the 50s, 60s, 90s etc...
But it's the tortoise of commodities with the algorithms, the exposure in longs and shorts and with the greater variety of safe-havens.
But Gold will eventually head up to $100,000 eventually.
It's a waiting game.
For traders however, there is a short opportunity for downside which looks juicy on the radar.
We see an Inv Cup and Handle on the daily. The price has broken below the brim level, and there is a current test on the resistance.
It could even break above the brim and head and test the downtrend line. But right now the opportunity is leaning more to a short and downside to come.
Other indicators confirm.
21>7
Price>200 (Price heading to this level)
RSI<50 and lower highs (Sell divergence).
My first target is down to $1,810 then we will re-evaluate the next opportunity.
Gold Likely to go down- ShortGold Price has broken the Upward facing trendline. Price has left the bullish channel and making HH and HL. In such a case Price seeks a support.
As of current 50 SMA is at 2008 which is likely to act as resistance. 200 SMA is at 1950 which should be the 1st target (on 4H Chart) .
Further , To me price will go down from 1950 to 1890 to meet upward facing trendline on daily chart.
So what should the strategy? Ideally i will seek to sell Gold near 2000 to 2009 with immediate SL 2015.80 Targeting 1970 , 1950 and 1908 in extension.
Do Comment on the idea and odds.
Breaking News! Gold just broke a crucial support level (15min)Hello Traders
Tell me what you think about Gold in the comments
Gold has been showing signs of bearish momentum in the 15 min time frame as indicated by the breakout of the support level. This suggests that there may be a potential trading opportunity for sellers in the short term.
Regards,
The Mehdi
GOLD SHORT TERM INTRADAY IDEAIntraday Analysis - GOLD - ( 7th MAR 2023 )
As per analysis last week , Price tapped into our take profit region with possibility of price heading towards 1852-1855 region. Price was setting up better sell side liquidity during the start of the month and we may see a potential shift in market structure soon as we can see new lower highs printed and failure to print higher highs.
Will be primarily looking for shorts with FED CHAIR JEROME testifying tonight at 11pm SGT. A hawkish remark by the fed will bring prices of gold back down however with a dovish stance we will adapt to buys tmrw.
Bias - hawkish remark by jerome - gold shorts - dollar dominance
HRHR SELLS AT 1864
MRMR SELLS AT 1855
SAFER SELLS AT 1847
Will not be looking for buys in our analysis although scalp buys are valid.
For new traders, watch and observe the volatility during the news and wait for better price action or retest before entering tmrw. If you want to trade, reduce risk especially during NY session tonight.
GOLD SHORT TERM INTRADAY IDEAIntraday Analysis - ( 8 FEB 2023 )
Price still trading in a range, range plays are always valid however will be looking for break outs in days to come.
HRHR sells 1902 / 1897 regions
MRMR sells breaking back below 1876
Safest sells below 1960
A break of 1960s, will be targeting minimally 1830s giving us a solid 300+ pips
Scalp buys are valid in this range however will be more incline to take buys above 1883
Medium Term Setup For XAU/USDHi Traders,
I’ve got my eyes on XAU/USD today for potential shorting opportunities, Price created a double top and proceeded to break the neckline, I’ve drawn a trendline from the outer most points of the uptrend and price has persisted to breaking the trendline. We have one more barrier in the way of a potential clean move to the downside.
1841.250 is the current barrier I need taken out before looking to sell this instrument. A strong bearish closure below the key level would spark my interest. I would be looking for price to fill in the wick on the left of the range which would yield a profit target of 87 pips, At that point, I would be satisfied and close 80% of my positions where I could leave the rest to potentially breach 1832.5 and meltdown to 1825.0
for a total risk to reward of 5 to 1. We still playing around in the range of 1850.0 – 1841.250 a closure above 1850.0 could potentially send price to 1865. We will have to wait and see what the day brings, Keep in mind that we have some fundamental elements coming into play later on today (US-GDP)
let's remain patient and only strike when we have clear direction and confirmation.
Renaldo Philander
SELL XAUUSDGold is more likely to retrace to the 1814.83 level where we expect it to drop much further to the 1770 zone. Our stops are tight at 1824 use proper risk management. All the best and good luck.