GOLD (XAUUSD): Bearish Move From Resistance
Gold went overbought after a test of a key daily resistance cluster.
A formation of multiple bearish imbalance candles on an hourly time frame
signifies a local dominance of the sellers.
The price will continue retracing at least to 3323 support.
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Goldsignals
Gold Bounces from Demand Zone – Next Targets in Sight!By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that today, price once again dipped into our key demand zone (Bullish Rejection Block) between $3245 and $3262, where it faced strong buying pressure and rallied up to $3296.
Currently, gold is trading around $3281, and as long as price holds above $3273, we expect further upside. The next potential targets are $3294, $3300, and $3309.
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Gold Rebound Underway – Support Zone Holds Strong! - Short termGold( OANDA:XAUUSD ), as I anticipated in the previous idea , has attacked the Support zone($3,281-$3,243) and Support lines .
From an Elliott Wave theory perspective , it appears that Gold has completed 5 sub-waves of the main wave C .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys.
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,307 in the coming hours.
Second Target: $3,321
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,240
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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XAU/USD (GOLD) H1 Chart Outlook – Supply & Demand PerspectiveGold is currently consolidating in a tight range near the 3355–3358 zone, showing indecision ahead of a potential breakout. Based on supply and demand dynamics, here’s what to watch:
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🔼 Bullish Scenario
If the H4 candle closes above 3365, this would confirm a bullish breakout above the immediate supply zone. In that case, expect upside momentum to target key resistance levels:
🎯 3385 – Minor resistance
🎯 3400 – Major resistance and potential reversal zone
A confirmed breakout with strong volume could open room for a short-term bullish rally.
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🔽 Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, if the H4 candle closes below 3340, it would signal weakness and a possible rejection from the current range. This breakdown could shift the momentum to the downside, targeting the following support levels:
🛑 3320 – Near-term support
🛑 3300 – Critical demand zone
Failure to hold 3300 could indicate further bearish pressure in the coming sessions.
I have shorted gold as expected and held on patientlyEven under the influence of the ADP data, which is bullish for the gold market, gold has not effectively broken through 3350, and even showed signs of falling back after rising several times. The resistance above is becoming more and more obvious, which may further weaken the market's bullish sentiment and confidence, thereby strengthening the dominance of the bears.
Although gold has not effectively fallen yet, from the perspective of the gold structure, even if gold wants to rise, it still needs to be backtested and support confirmed before rising, and the current retracement is far from enough, so gold still has a need for structural retracement; and before the NFP market, gold rose slowly but was far from enough to break upward, and there was no volume support, so the illusion of gold rising may be to lure and capture more bulls;
Therefore, out of caution, I try to avoid chasing gold at high levels; and I believe that shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading at present. And I have executed short trades in the 3340-3350 area according to the trading plan, and held it patiently. I hope that gold can retreat to the 3320-3310-3300 area as expected.
Gold Sees Volatile Swings – Pullback Risk Remains📊 Market Highlights:
Gold surged to $3,351 earlier today after weaker-than-expected US ISM manufacturing data, which boosted expectations of a Fed rate cut. However, profit-taking quickly pushed prices down to $3,334 before recovering to $3,342.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,351
• Nearest Support: $3,334
• EMA: Price is above EMA 09 → uptrend still intact.
• Candles / Volume / Momentum: H1 candle shows a long upper wick, indicating selling pressure near the recent high. Bullish momentum is slowing, and volume has started to normalize.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may face a short-term pullback if it fails to break above $3,351 and the USD strengthens during the US session.
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💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,345 – $3,350
🎯 TP: $3,334
❌ SL: $3,353
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,332 – $3,334
🎯 TP: $3,350
❌ SL: $3,323
Gold May Pull Back After Day’s High📊 Market Overview:
• Gold is currently trading around $3,350/oz, with the daily high at $3,366/oz.
• The rally stalled as traders took profits near the session high, while a slight rebound in the USD and rising U.S. Treasury yields weighed on gold’s momentum.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: ~$3,366 (today’s high), with next level at ~$3,375–3,380 if breached.
• Nearest Support: ~$3,342 (intra-day low), stronger support seen at $3,329–3,330.
• EMA 9/21: Price is hovering near the EMA21 (~$3,350); this area is crucial to determine the short-term trend.
• Candle/Momentum Indicators:
o RSI is around 53-55, signaling a neutral stance;
o MACD shows weakening bullish momentum after hitting resistance.
📌 Viewpoint:
Gold may see a minor pullback in the short term, possibly testing the $3,342–3,329 zone after reacting to the daily high. However, if it holds above EMA21 and EMA50, the medium-term bullish trend remains intact.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,363–3,366
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,370
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,329–3,332
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,325
Gold Pulls Back Slightly After Peaking at $3,357📊 Market Overview:
Gold rallied to $3,357 yesterday following weak US manufacturing PMI, sparking expectations of an upcoming Fed rate cut. This morning, prices are pulling back to around $3,340 as traders await the FOMC meeting minutes for further guidance.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Near resistance: $3,357
• Key resistance: $3,370
• Near support: $3,330
• Major support: $3,318
• EMA: Price is still above the 09 EMA, but starting to slope downward → short-term weakness emerging.
• Candlestick & momentum: Doji candle with a long upper wick on H4 chart around $3,357 → showing fading bullish momentum. RSI dropping out of overbought zone confirms potential short-term pullback
📌 Outlook:
Gold is currently in a mild downward correction, and may continue to decline toward $3,330 – $3,318 if the FOMC minutes do not suggest strong dovish intent.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,350 – $3,354
🎯 TP: $3,330
❌ SL: $3,359
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,328 – $3,332
🎯 TP: $3,350
❌ SL: $3,318
Gold Trading Strategy June 27✏️The price reaction at 3348 forms a sustainable bearish structure. 3296 is an important zone when broken, it will continue to fall deeply without any recovery on Friday.
Today the downtrend will encounter less resistance than the uptrend. Therefore, it is not difficult to touch the support zones of 3278 and 3255.
Any recovery in the price in the European session is considered a good opportunity for a Sell signal towards the target of 3278 and 3255.
As analyzed, the SELL zone today is noted at many resistance zones and consider the price reaction for the SELL signals.
📈 Key Levels
Break out: 3296
Support: 3278-3255
Resistance: 3300-3312-3325-3336-3348-3363
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY 3278-3276 SL 3272
SELL 3325-3327 SL 3330
The bearish trend is confirmed, it’s time to participate.Gold overnight short orders have been stopped at a loss, because it broke through the key pressure of 3325. However, we must grasp the trend of the market, adhere to the idea of technical analysis as the main and news as the auxiliary, and make a comprehensive judgment. Don't be at a loss about the market analysis because of the stop loss. There is nothing wrong with waiting for the market to step back and do more, but the market does not give opportunities, but forces you to chase the rise. Of course, from the perspective of risk ratio, high altitude is definitely more stable than chasing more.
From the current gold trend analysis, the focus on the upper side is the 3340-3350 line of pressure, the short-term support on the lower side is around 3310-3320, and the key support on the 3295-3301 line is focused. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, it is recommended to wait and see, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Operation strategy 1: Short gold near 3340-3350, target 3325-3315.
Operation strategy 2: Go long on gold around 3310-3320, target 3330-3340.
GOLD - at CUT n REVERSE Area? holds or not??#GOLD.. market palced around 3317 18 as day low so far but hour closed above 3323 that was our area.
so keep close our region that is around 3320 to 3323
that is our ultimate region for now and if market hold it in that case we can expect bounce again
NOTE: below 3320 we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
Gold Might Break Higher As It Hits $3,330 Resistance📊 Market Drivers
Gold has just climbed to $3,330/oz, supported by ongoing safe-haven demand and a slightly weaker U.S. dollar ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s speech. Investor expectations of a rate cut in September are keeping bullish momentum alive.
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis
• Resistance:
→ $3,330–3,335 (50-day SMA & Fibonacci level)
A breakout above $3,335 could open the door to $3,350+.
• Support:
→ $3,300–3,310 (psychological level & EMA9)
→ Next support lies at $3,275–3,280 if the first zone breaks.
• EMA09:
Price is currently above the 9-EMA, confirming a short-term bullish trend.
• Momentum Indicators:
o MACD is bullish; Stochastics is high — all signaling upside, though a short-term pullback may occur if the resistance holds.
________________________________________
📌 Outlook
Gold is likely to continue climbing in the short term if it breaks above the $3,330–$3,335 resistance zone, fueled by bullish sentiment and dovish Fed expectations.
If it fails to break higher, a minor correction toward $3,300–$3,310 could follow.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trade Strategy
BUY XAU/USD : $3,320–3,325
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,310
SELL XAU/USD : $3,340–3,345
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,350
XAUUSD 01 July - Price pushing into premium zone 🔹 Macro Structure:
Gold has successfully broken structure (BOS) after forming a bullish shift in market structure (MSS) around the 326x – 327x zone.
Current price action is respecting internal bullish order flow, with higher highs and higher lows being maintained.
Breakout above 3300 psychological level + recent BOS confirms bullish intent.
🔹 Liquidity Map:
Buy-side liquidity is still resting above 3350 and into the strong OB at 3388, where a potential sell-side reaction could occur.
Sell-side liquidity below 3267 has not been swept recently, meaning deeper retracements may still occur after internal liquidity is cleared.
🔹 Expectation:
Current wave is likely in impulse phase (Wave 3 → Wave 5) aiming for 3388 OB.
A retracement into the discount zone (3301 – 3303 OB) is ideal for a continuation trade.
Watch for bearish signs near 3388 – this zone aligns with high liquidity, strong OB, and trendline confluence.
🔵 BUY SETUP (Retracement entry – continuation)
Buy Zone: 3301 – 3303 OB
Entry Trigger: Bullish engulfing / FVG fill
Stop Loss: Below 3297 (below recent swing low)
Targets: 3306 – 3310 – 3315 – 3320 – 3330 – 3346 – 3388
🔴 SELL SETUP (Reversal entry – premium zone)
Sell Zone: 3348 – 3350 (mitigation area)
Entry Trigger: CHoCH + bearish rejection wick
Stop Loss: Above 3354
Targets: 3344 – 3340 – 3335 – 3325 – 3310 – 3300
✅ Alternative Entry (Low sweep)
Buy Limit: 3270 – 3267 (deep OB + SSL zone)
SL: 3262
TP: 3280 – 3290 – 3300 – 3315+
⏳ Wait for price to confirm intention via structure + liquidity reaction before entering trades.
🧠 SMC traders: focus on manipulation zones, OBs, and internal BOS for precision entries.
Gold encounters resistance at 3310-3320 and is about to fallAt present, gold has reached the 3300-3320 area as expected. As I mentioned in my previous article, we can consider shorting gold in batches in the 3300-3320 area;
Although gold once rebounded and stood above 3300, we can clearly see that when facing the short-term resistance area of 3310-3320, the bullish energy of gold has converged and began to show signs of stagflation, so the short-term resistance area of 3310-3320 is still valid.
Before gold breaks through 3310-3320, gold bears still have the upper hand. So as long as gold stays below 3310-3320 in the short term, don't be afraid of gold rebounds. Rebounds are opportunities to short gold. So I still tend to short gold at present, and have opened short gold positions according to the trading plan, hoping that gold can retreat to the target area: 3285-3275-3265. Do you think gold will fall as expected?
(XAU/USD) 3H Chart – Bearish Reversal Setup from Resistance Zon1. Entry Point (Sell):
Marked at 3,335.03
This is a key resistance level where price is expected to reverse downward.
2. Stop Loss:
Placed above at 3,354.88
This acts as a protection level in case the trade goes against the direction.
3. Take Profit Targets (EA Target Points):
TP1 (Downside): 3,245.65
TP2 (Upside - if Stop Loss is hit): 3,455.76 (in case of reversal or long position)
4. Price Action Observation:
Price is currently around 3,320.56, climbing back toward the entry zone.
The red 50-period moving average (EMA) and blue 200-period MA show convergence, often preceding volatility.
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📉 Bearish Scenario (Main Setup)
Sell Bias is expected from the 3,335 region.
If price respects the resistance zone and breaks down again, the target is 3,245.65, yielding approximately 90-point move.
This is a risk-reward favorable setup, with:
Risk: ~20 points
Reward: ~90 points
RRR ≈ 1:4.5
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⚠️ Bullish Invalidity (Stop Loss Hit)
If the price breaks and closes above 3,354.88, it invalidates the bearish setup.
Then, the market may shift towards targeting 3,455.76 — about 100 points to the upside.
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🔧 Technical Factors Supporting the Setup
Supply zone marked by the purple box around the entry.
Trend previously bearish — recent upward move may just be a retracement.
Confluence with MAs: Price is testing MAs — rejection here would add bearish confirmation.
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✅ Summary of Trade Setup
Element Value
Entry 3,335.03
Stop Loss 3,354.88
Take Profit 3,245.65
Alt Target 3,455.76 (if SL hit)
Risk-Reward ~1:4.5
Bias Bearish (Sell Setup)
Short gold, it will fall again when encountering resistanceIn the short term, gold retreated to around 3274 and then rebounded again, and it is only one step away from 3300. Will gold regain its bullish trend again?
I think it is difficult for gold to break through in the short term. Although gold retreated to around 3274 and successfully built a double bottom structure with the second low point and the low point of 3245, it only increased the rebound space; it is not enough for gold to regain its bullish trend. Since gold fell and broke through, the confidence of bulls has been hit hard. The previous support at the technical level has formed a strong resistance area after the top and bottom conversion, and to a certain extent helped the short force. In the short term, gold faces resistance in the 3310-3320 area. Before gold breaks through this area, the short energy still has the upper hand.
Therefore, shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading.
It is appropriate to consider shorting gold in batches in the 3300-3320 area, and look at the target: 3385-3375-3365
Gold Faces Resistance Near $3,300 Ahead of U.S. Jobs Data📊 Market Highlights:
Gold holds firm above $3,280 supported by expectations of future Fed rate cuts, but upside momentum has stalled as traders await this Friday’s U.S. jobs report. A slight rebound in the U.S. dollar and elevated bond yields are pressuring gold in the short term.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistances:
– $3,300 (strong psychological and profit-taking level)
– $3,320 (last week’s high – potential heavy selling zone)
• Key Supports:
– $3,255 (short-term dynamic support – EMA 09)
– $3,230 (major support from previous breakout structure)
• EMA 09: Price remains above the 09 EMA → trend still bullish
• Momentum: The bullish momentum is weakening. A shooting star candle near $3,300 and RSI approaching overbought territory (>70) suggest a possible short-term correction.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may retreat to $3,255 or lower if it fails to break above the $3,300–$3,320 resistance zone. However, the overall bullish trend remains intact as long as price holds above $3,230.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,295 – $3,300
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,305
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,255 – $3,260
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,245
XAU/USD Trade Setup – June 30, 2025📉 XAU/USD Trade Setup – June 30, 2025
Bias: Short (Sell Position)
Entry Zone: Around $3,363–$3,370
Stop-Loss: 🔺 $3,259 (Above recent highs)
Take-Profit 1: 🎯 $3,308
Take-Profit 2: 🎯 $3,302
Risk/Reward: Favorable (1.8–2.2:1 depending on entry)
🔍 Technical View
Trend: Bearish below $3,370
Structure: Price rejected key resistance at $3,370–$3,380
Indicators:
RSI weakening near 50 (bearish bias)
MACD crossing down on H1
Key Zone: A break and close below $3,350 will likely drive price toward your TP zones at $3,308 and $3,302.
⚠️ Notes
Volatility expected near NY session open or if macro data hits (e.g. Fed speakers, inflation prints)
Consider scaling out partial profits at TP1 ($3,308) to lock gains
XAUUSD Channel Down starting new Bearish Leg.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a 2-week Channel Down, recently rejected on its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). The last Lower High was priced on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, so currently we are on the ideal level for a new short.
With a 4H Death Cross emerging, we are targeting the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (as the previous Bearish Leg did) at 3210 for the Channel's new Lower Low.
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GOLD 30th JUNE - MONTH-END BULLISH OR BEARISHDue to war no update on gold, gold made bolt move downward. Slowly war has been becoming calm but no good news about it has been stopped completely. But you can see some great and correct structure in gold chart where you can find amazing entry and exit points. Gold lower was 1246 since then. Now gold is trading in bullish flag and expecting to breakout. And after breakout we can expect a big move upward.
Key point.
Support - 3248, 3272, 3289
Resistance - 3298, 3313, 3332, 3349
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Gold continues to be weak, but be careful about operations
📣Gold prices fell 2% last Friday, hitting a near one-month low. Optimistic trade-related agreements boosted risk appetite and weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. This week, the market will usher in a group meeting of major central bank governors around the world (Fed Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, and Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong). The market will also usher in non-agricultural data. In addition, Powell's remarks on whether to resign may ignite the market this week. Gold prices may fluctuate more around the lower track of the Bollinger Band at $3,270/ounce this week.
Technical analysis:
Last Friday, the K-line had a lower shadow, and the Bollinger Band did not diverge. It is not easy to go short directly in operation, but wait for the rebound to confirm 3295 and the key resistance of ma5 to be short.
💰 Operation strategy: Rebound to 3280-3283 to go short, target 3270-3265, stop loss 3288-3290
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.