XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Goldsignals
GOLD (XAUUSD): Still Bullish Outlook
As I predicted on our Wednesday's live stream
Gold keeps going up.
Analyzing the intraday price action, I spotted one more bullish confirmation.
This time the price violated a support line of a wide horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
We see a positive bullish reaction after a retest of its broken upper boundary.
I think that the market will reach 2450 level soon.
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XAUUSD is in buy zone!XAUUSD Considering 4h timeframe, we can spot 2 significant liquidity candle formation with multiple liquidity grab with series of higher low. As with the previous session, we see 4h candle close with another liquidity grab signaling potential bounce to 2050 level which is another liquidity zone. As monthly price action is bullish, we may see even further trend continuation to the resistance level of 2474.18 level and beyond.
We are on a bullish trade with the possibility to long term trend continuation!!
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Support and Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising Trend Line
Vertical Support 1: Rising Trend Line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 2348 - 2364 area
Support 2: 2333 - 2340 area
Support 3: 2265 - 2298 area
Resistance 1: 2468 - 2483 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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As The Current Situation Gold Is Still Going BULLAs The Current Situation Gold Is Still Going BULL
As The Weekly Bias Formation I Strongly Believe Gold Will Go More Higher With The The Global Fundamental And Simple Technical Indication Of Price Action.
But More Further Growth Gold need To Breck The Upper Trendline And Make A Pullback Again. Or Pullback First And Then Keep Fly
Let's See More In LTF For More Conformations
Weekly Bias Is Still On Bullish MomentumWeekly Bias Is Still On Bullish Momentum
Last Week Prediction In On Fire And Gold Has Close Above The Weekly Resistance With Strong Bullish Momentum. Gold Has Rebound From he Zone Near To the Fibonacci Golden Pocket Zone
Still I Remain On Bullish Structure For Next Week As Well.
Wait For LTF Update
Weekly Bias Is Still On Bullish MomentumWeekly Bias Is Still On Bullish Momentum
Last Week Prediction In On Fire And Gold Has Close Above The Weekly Resistance With Strong Bullish Momentum. Gold Has Rebound From he Zone Near To the Fibonacci Golden Pocket Zone
Still I Remain On Bullish Structure For Next Week As Well.
Wait For LTF Update
Gold Needs Correction==>>Short-termGold is moving near the Heavy Resistance zone($2,484-$2,431) , Resistance line , and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Gold to go down to at least Monthly Pivot Point .
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Gold Thursday Trading Strategies and Signals
#XAUUSD
Today is Thursday. August 8. Gold has been stable for two days.
Today there is weekly news on unemployment benefits. But I don't think the impact will be big.
Today's current trend line is also very flat. Temporarily give some trading suggestions.
Sell:
sell xauusd 2394-2398 (The price is between yesterday's 0.5-0.618 line. But because of yesterday's small fluctuations. So today it may still continue to trigger the sell signal 2402-2405. So we can trade in small batches and observe)
sell xauusd 2314-2318 (The highest price of gold rebound on Tuesday)
Buy:
buy xauusd 2368-2371 (This signal is a conversion price that will be tested when gold continues to fall)
buy xauusd 2347-2351 (The bottom of the price of gold in recent times. If the price reaches it, buy it directly)
Currently, you can try to trade when the price reaches these ranges.
If you trade according to my signals. There is a high probability that you will win trading profits. We help everyone make profits accurately every day. If you like my analysis or make a profit by trading according to the signal, please give me a thumbs up and join me
XAUUSD Possible short term bounceXAUUSD after daily strong down trend the market started move slowly towards it's long term up trending direction. 15minutes timeframe has formed 2 strong doji with multiple rejection causing gold to bounce and it may continue to bounce to the next resistance at 2404.00 or up
XAUUSD still bearish!! major algo in sightwhats up gold gang hope you're well! .. been a little while since my last post its just been so mental with the pricing, i havent bothered analysing .. just reacting to current market price
we are continuing to trend downwards (missing a great sell today by 10 pips) and making its way down to the major algo at 2352.12. You can expect a bounce there for scalp buys but i would be careful for sure.
A pull back to the trendline and sell in asia would be the move!
tomorrow we find some good sell zones and let them rip
catch you all in london
tommy boi
XAU/USD : Awaiting Key Levels Amid Middle East Tensions (READ)By examining the gold chart in the 2-hour timeframe, we observe that the price is currently trading around $2398. We are still waiting for the price to reach the range of $2403 to $2410, after which we can prepare for a sell position with an appropriate trigger. Note that the risk of war due to high tensions in the Middle East remains high, which could cause a boost in the gold price, potentially pushing it above $2500. At the moment, we are following the price with our analysis and are trying not to prejudge it too much. We will wait for the price to reach the desired and attractive levels for trading. This analysis will be updated.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSD Top-down analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Key Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising Trend Line
Vertical Support 1: Rising Trend Line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 2348 - 2364 area
Support 2: 2333 - 2340 area
Support 3: 2265 - 2298 area
Resistance 1: 2468 - 2483 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Gold vs. Yen Carry Trade: A Shifting Paradigm
For years, the yen carry trade has been a cornerstone of many investment portfolios. This strategy involves borrowing low-yielding Japanese yen to invest in higher-yielding assets, such as US Treasuries. However, a confluence of factors is making gold, represented by the XAU/USD pair, an increasingly attractive alternative.
The Yen Carry Trade Under Pressure
The yen carry trade has historically been a profitable strategy, fueled by Japan's ultra-low interest rate environment. However, recent developments have cast a shadow over its allure.
• Rising Interest Rates: Global central banks, including the Federal Reserve, have embarked on a tightening cycle to combat inflation. This has narrowed the interest rate differential between the US and Japan, reducing the potential profit from the carry trade.
• Yen Strength: The Japanese yen has shown unexpected resilience, countering the traditional trend of yen weakness. This is partly due to safe-haven flows as investors seek refuge from global economic uncertainties.
• Geopolitical Risks: Increased geopolitical tensions can disrupt carry trades. A sudden shift in risk appetite can lead to rapid yen appreciation, erasing potential gains and incurring significant losses.
The Allure of Gold
In contrast, gold has emerged as a compelling investment option.
• Safe-Haven Asset: Gold is often perceived as a safe-haven asset, providing a hedge against economic uncertainty, inflation, and geopolitical risks. As global economic conditions become increasingly volatile, investors may seek the security of gold.
• Inflation Hedge: With inflation concerns persisting, gold has historically been seen as an effective inflation hedge. As the price of goods and services rises, the purchasing power of fiat currencies declines, making gold an attractive store of value.
• Diversification Benefits: Gold can help diversify an investment portfolio. Its low correlation with traditional asset classes can reduce overall portfolio risk.
• Central Bank Demand: Central banks have been net buyers of gold in recent years, supporting its price. This ongoing demand can provide a bullish undercurrent for the gold market.
XAU/USD: A Closer Look
The XAU/USD pair, representing the price of gold in US dollars, offers investors exposure to the gold market.
• Dollar Dynamics: While gold is often seen as a safe-haven asset, the US dollar can also appreciate in times of uncertainty. Therefore, the performance of XAU/USD depends on the interplay between gold and the dollar.
• Interest Rate Sensitivity: Gold is generally inversely correlated with interest rates. Rising interest rates can put downward pressure on gold prices, as investors may prefer higher-yielding bonds. However, this relationship is not always straightforward, and other factors can influence gold's price.
Conclusion
The decision to invest in gold or continue with the yen carry trade is a complex one, influenced by individual risk tolerance, investment horizon, and market outlook. While the yen carry trade has historically been a profitable strategy, the changing interest rate environment and geopolitical risks have increased its challenges. Gold, with its safe-haven appeal and inflation-hedging properties, offers a compelling alternative. Investors should carefully consider the potential benefits and risks of both options before making a decision.
It's important to note that this article provides general information and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
XAU/USD : Get Ready for another Bullish Move !(READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour time frame, we observe that on Friday, the price managed to surge to $2478, hitting our target levels, and then entered the marked supply zone (Bearish Rejection Block). This was followed by a heavy correction from $2478 to $2410, a drop of more than 680 pips in 4 hours! With this decline, a new Fair Value Gap (FVG) has formed, which is likely to be filled soon. The potential targets for this are $2450 and $2456. Currently, the price of gold is at $2442.495. After the FVG is filled, we need to watch the price reaction to this level. Considering the ongoing high risk of war, gold might ignore other economic data and, in the event of war, could potentially rise to $2500.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
What a day on the markets!
Yesterday we said we would want to see price push up into the higher resistance levels for the long trades and if we got a RIP there an opportunity to short would be available to traders. What an opportunity that was! We update trades during the London sessions stating that there was no clear sign of the move stopping or a reversal in play, and for that reason to hold runners until we find support to long. We had the 2360 level in mind, and once attacked said if it didn't break the bounce should take us back up into the 2390-95 region initially.
Now we have that flip again making the 2420 price point the resistance to be attempted and broken in order to complete and correct the move back upside to create a new ATH. Our issue here as mentioned earlier is that price is looking like it will want to retest that low, so if you're in long it might be an idea to protect and take partials. Levels are to be tested with a risk model in place, if you're uncomfortable and less experienced, let the chop end before entering these markets.
If we do struggle above, they will want to clear the BE traders before then attempting to move it again, which will now likely be tomorrow. So, resistance 2320 key level, needs to hold to then retest. If we can break above, bar the extreme stretch, we should get the move we wanted.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Sell Gold (Xau/Usd) BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2430, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2385.50
2nd Support – 2358
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2480. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to open and attempt to attack the lower support regions 2375 and below that 2367-5, which if held we felt long trades would be available to traders this worked extremely well for us and anyone else who followed the KOG Report. We gave the levels above 2410 and above that 2430 on the break, expecting a pullback around the 2410 region which only gave us a small bounce before continuing. We updated the reports through the week, in particular the FOMC report giving the target level of 2450 which is where we wanted to get a nice entry for to target, unfortunately, we didn’t manage to get the entry for that trade. Instead, we held the longs and finished off another great week in Camelot.
Friday’s NFP, analysis was posted for the Camelot members together with the potential high and the hotspot which worked well for traders giving them the opportunity to enter short, hit the hotspot as well as the Excalibur target which was active.
An extremely decent week not only on gold but all the other pairs we trade alongside our traders in Camelot.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Ok, to be honest, this week we may be subject to complete change based on the move NFP created on Friday, however, we have to go with what the chart is showing us and of course, with this being Gold the unexpected. So, we’ll say for this week we have the order region support level 2430 and below that the extreme level of 2410-13. Above we have the resistance levels of 2450-55 again an important level. If we see price attempt the 2450-55 region in the early sessions, which we feel is likely, a rejection there can bring us down into that 2430-35 region again attempting to break it and take lower into the extreme level below which is where we feel the ideal long trade will come from to carry this back up towards the 2490-95 region. That’s the region we ideally want to see completed before and held for now. This gives us the potential range to play unless one of the key levels are broken. Breaking 2410 we’ll be seeing this flush pretty fast so lets play some caution here, see how the levels react and we’ll take it as we see it.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2430 with targets above 2465 and above that 2490
Bearish on break of 2430 with targets below 2410 and below that 2395
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG