Gold Ready to Start Big Bull Trend towards 1900 and 2500I am analyzing this monthly chart with the help of 20 EMA. As far as gold close monthly candle above 20 ema.. bullish trend will remain intact and gold will continue to jump upside..
Bears tried 4 times but gold closed all last 4 monthly candles above 20 ema. To me its a very bullish sign and now we have breakout of last high after Brexit.
There will be consolidation as gold has approached towards Monthly Resistance Trendline but overall picture is very bullish. Next milestone will be 1430/1435. If it remains under 1430/1435 then consolidation will remain in place between 1200 and 1435 But weekly and monthly candle close above 1430/1435 will open new doors towards 1550 and towards 1800 and 1900.
This week is very important for gold especially Monday!!! I will be watching for retracements as it will clear long term picture..
For now gold holds bullish setup on daily chart.. lets see how it rolls for short term but monthly chart is depicting breakout upside soon.
To turn gold bearish... Monthly Candle needs to close below 20 ema!!! Above bulls will keep rocking.
Goldstocks
XAU/USD Market Analysis and Trading Tips 29th June 2016Overview:
The Gold market fell during the day on Tuesday, but did found enough support below at the level of $1305 to bounce slightly. The main trend of Gold is bullish on charts and the $1300 level is looking a strong support level, at this point in time buyers are still interested in in the precious metal . The primary trend of Gold is bullish on charts. On its 4 hourly chart, market is trading above 100 days moving average. It is having important resistance at the level of $1330 and support level at the level of $1300. On its 4 hourly charts, MACD is sustaining in its positive territory and RSI is sustaining in its buying zone indicating the upcoming bearish trend in the oil prices. On intra day basis one can go for buy on lower level strategy.
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Gold Miners Trying to Hold it up! $GDX$GDX Looks to me like it is going through a 2 and half week to 3 week consolation cycle before continuing its rally, that started with a breakout and subsequent bull market end of January, start of February. (Which was right about when I got into trading more seriously.) I am unsure of which way to go here. This Brexit thing has been an incredible learning curve for me on my travels. But also rather hard to place any trades. In-fact, I have only been able to place minor scalps (not my strategy, I tend not to do this. Again, learning curve.) on FX markets and a couple of futures lost me some profit.
I like Gold stocks for obvious reasons, (economy, safe havens. etc.) So the miners index is an interesting one.
I would wager the long side long term. Short term? It needs a bit of a reality check before we see further upside. I expect other markets to retrace from their losses soon but not for long. So Gold will (maybe!?) continue it's uptrend for the rest of 2016. I am strapping in for a bumpy one.
RunningAlpha Upgrades Commodity Markets Update to Priority ListRunningAlpha dot com Capital Markets Intelligence High Priority Update for Monday, May 2nd, 2016
Although $39 and $36.50 remains baseline intermediate to long-term support for Light Crude Oil ( in reference to June Contract Pricing ), the recent advance upwards has opened the door for a further short covering rally upwards to $62 to $65, and perhaps $74 to $76 levels if on a spike. Bullish window for buying on dips extends into at least June period -- this also applies to Brent Crude. Russian Stock Market ( $RSX ) looks bullish during this period. Oil and Gas Drilling stocks will likely continue higher on balance -- particularly a core position in stocks like $PBR.A would be sensible, which should also benefit from a continued bullish run in Brazilian Equities ( which I expect Brazilian equities should trend higher into the summer, and again later in the fall to close out the year much higher ). Among many other equities in Latin America, $ARCO and $KOF also have a strong bullish bias with sentiment conviction windows extending into foreseeable future.
Other Commodity Markets showing very significant sentiment strength going forward are in the Agricultural complex -- Soybean, particularly Soybean Meal $SOYB, Rice, Corn $CORN, Cotton $BAL and Coffee ( $JO is ETF -- when above $18.02 and especially when trading above above $19.00, then $27 is interim target ), and even wheat to some degree. Equities that would benefit from a rise in these commodity markets should have a tail-wind. Silver and Gold stocks, which RunningAlpha.com has been bullish on for a few months now, still shows signs of strength on pullbacks. Sourced from premium sentiment conviction list on RunningAlpha dot com
XAUUSD WEEKLY CHART - MAKE IT OR BREAK ITWith all the NIRP's and ZIRP's flying around in an economy based off fraud and debt, this was expected, and now we have the start of the technical indicators to back it up :)
With the history of miners leading the commodity in moves, I'm expecting gold to make a move higher (see GDX charts):
- We again have the bull flag being made, with any bearish attempt to "fill the gap" back down to 1180 being stunted 1200
- Our 'medium' channel from 2013 has been broken, re-tested, and remained bullish
- We are at out 23% fib retracement (same that GDX just broke through) from our big move down from our ATH in 2011
- We are also one move away from recent solid price action (black horizontal lines), which was similar in the GDX as well
- If these are able to break tomorrow, 1300-1400 is our very short term goal
- After 1415 you only have 1485, and 1568-1600 as price action areas, which is a very nice, large gap to be filled
Feel free to comment with questions or ideas :)
Happy Trading!
XAUUSD DAILY CHART - MAKE IT OR BREAK ITWith all the NIRP's and ZIRP's flying around in an economy based off fraud and debt, this was expected, and now we have the start of the technical indicators to back it up :)
- Just as the GDX, we have a beautiful parabola, followed by an attempt to go to 1180, which was rejected by the bulls
- This creates the bull flag / pennant that was see now, which was just broken out of to the upside
- By finishing this day (April 11th) above the 23% fib retracement, I believe we have invalidated any head and shoulders pattern, as the left shoulder failed to do this
- This is vital, for if we drop lower from here, that is a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, which would launch us to 1180 no problem, so this is why it is a "make it or break it" time for gold ...
- We are out of our 'middle tier' channel, and back into a smaller and much weaker channel
- This leaves me with some concerns but the same thing applies as to the GDX;
- If it can break and hold above this channel and price action of 1270, that's when we should see the confirmation of a bull market, short term at the very least
Feel free to comment with questions or ideas :)
Happy Trading!
GDX DAILY CHART -- MINERS BREAKOUT, CASH WONT BE KING FOR LONG With all the NIRP's and ZIRP's flying around in an economy based off fraud and debt, this was expected, and now we have the start of the technical indicators to back it up :)
I was expecting it to retrace down to the 17 area to "fill the gap"
Instead it created a bull flag / pennant , and then in 3 days , broke out of our channel and above price action
All very bullish signs, even with the 50 and 200 ma quite far behind
Tomorrow (April 12th) I will be looking for a retracement of 22.16, which if it can hold, is where I buy more miners
- If it doesn't retrace at all I will simply buy in before the day ends, as I'm a firm believer in price action
Feel free to comment with questions or ideas :)
Happy Trading!
GDX WEEKLY CHART -- MINERS BREAKOUT, CASH WONT BE KING FOR LONGWith all the NIRP's and ZIRP's flying around in an economy based off fraud and debt, this was expected, and now we have the start of the technical indicators to back it up :)
My target area Short Term is 25-28:
- We have the 23% fib retracement from our move down from our All Time Highs in 2011.
- Weekly 200 ma
- Solid price action (horizontal black lines)
- Broke out of our channel to the upside that start in June 2013
-- If tomorrow (April 12th) holds above this channel, that's when I shoot my final bullet
- The top of our bigger channel is in this area
Feel free to comment with questions or ideas :)
Happy Trading!
XAUUSD (GOLD) * SWING * Friday Short / Monday LongWe are moving in ascending channel and just bounce from its resistance and formed H&S on top.
Sell order:
enter at 1240
with SL 1247
and TP at 1225
Buy limit order:
limit order at 1225
with SL at 1217
and TP #1 - 1245
and TP #2 - 1256
Happy trading for everybody!
Feel free for comments!
Quick Gold Long PositionOn this 1 hour time frame, price has retraced towards the weekly pivot, breaking through the resistance of 1st April. The 50 and 200 EMA both play a confirmation in this trade as price bounces of both moving averages. My take profit is placed at just a few pips below the Weekly Resistance 1 Pivot Point/Monthly Pivot Point.
GOLDRe-entry when the market test target with support at the trend line of high top.
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Not yetWe were stopped fairly quick today. This is typically...stops usually happen quickly. Now we must be patient with Goldie...she is still deciding if there is more upside. We will watch how price reacts to 1250 - 1254 area. If she breaks to the downside we will let it go for one day before looking for entries. Keep her on your watch list.
Love us GoldieWe are long Goldie again just above yesterdays highs. We have a VERY SMALL position and will add another tier on a clean break. This has a chance to visit to the 200 day MA on the weekly chart at around 1295. It also could chop around until a central banker open his ,mouth. HONOR YOUR STOPS!
Commodity Analysis And Trading Tips - GOLD BUY!! Today's Chart - XAU/USD
Overview :
Gold gave up some of its sharp overnight gains on Friday, but held above $1,200 an ounce as a drop in equities stoked fresh safe-haven demand for the metal.
On Technical charts, Current trend of Gold is bullish, it has given upside breakout from downward sloping trend. Now market is making higher top and higher bottom formation on chart. Market is likely to be further bullish, it has retrace its recent significant upward movement and still sustaining above the downward sloping trend line with formation of symmetrical triangle. It has been taking support of 50 DMA & 200 DMA on one hourly chart. Resistance is seen at high of $1240, while support is seen at $1200. On intra-day basis Gold price likely to trade tight range.
Indicators:
RSI entered and remains in positive territory now, trading at 52.9.
Let me know if you like the analysis guys and I will keep it coming :)