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Unlock Winning Strategies: Spot High-Probability Trades!Chart Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD) Based on the two charts you have provided, here is a detailed technical analysis of XAU/USD using price action and chart pattern observations: 1. Weekly Flag Trendline (Higher Time Frame Context) The upper and lower yellow trendlines represent a possible flag pattern on the weekly chart. This suggests a consolidation phase after a strong impulsive move. A flag pattern typically signals a continuation of the previous trend, which, if the context is bullish, indicates that after consolidation, there may be a continuation to the upside. On both charts, we can observe that price action is contained within this broader structure, indicating that price is in a correction phase rather than an impulsive phase. 2. Key Horizontal Levels 2,532.144 and 2,506.245: These levels act as strong resistance zones. The price has struggled to break above these levels multiple times, indicating significant selling pressure or profit-taking at these points. 2,471.313: This is a key support level. The price has reacted to this level before and, most recently, has bounced back after testing this support zone. This suggests that buyers are willing to step in at this level, providing a floor for the price. 3. Descending Channel and Price Action Patterns Descending Triangle/Channel Pattern: On the 15-minute chart, the price seems to be forming a descending triangle pattern (lower highs and a flat support at 2,471.313). This pattern is typically bearish, suggesting a potential breakdown if the support does not hold. Potential Reversal Patterns: After testing the lower trendline of the weekly flag pattern and finding support at the 2,471.313 level, there was a notable bullish reaction. This can imply a short-term reversal, especially if confirmed by a break above the minor resistance level of 2,494.370. 4. Consolidation Zone and Lower Time Frame Patterns The 15-minute chart shows a clear consolidation pattern after the sharp decline, with price action currently moving sideways between 2,494 and 2,506. A break above this consolidation range could signal a short-term bullish continuation towards the upper resistance levels, while a break below would imply a continuation of the bearish trend observed previously. 5. Breakout and Pullback Zones The yellow dotted lines on the 15-minute chart indicate key areas where the price broke out from consolidation phases. These areas are crucial for identifying potential entry points in a trending market. If the price retests these zones and finds resistance or support, they could act as triggers for either continuation or reversal trades. Trading Strategy Considerations Bullish Bias: Traders with a bullish bias might consider waiting for a breakout above the 2,506.245 resistance, looking for a confirmation with a pullback to this level as support. The target could be the upper boundary of the flag around 2,532.144 or higher, depending on momentum and broader market conditions. Bearish Bias: A trader with a bearish outlook might wait for the price to break below the 2,471.313 support level, looking for short positions targeting lower levels aligned with the descending channel's trajectory. Range Trading: Given the current consolidation between 2,494.370 and 2,506.245, range traders could look for entries at the edges of this range with tight stops and defined profit targets within the range. Conclusion Given the price action analysis and current chart patterns, the XAU/USD market appears to be in a consolidation phase within a broader flag pattern. This suggests that while the immediate outlook may be neutral to bearish, there is potential for a bullish breakout if key resistance levels are breached. Traders should watch for confirmed breakouts or breakdowns from these levels to guide their trading decisions, keeping in mind the broader market trend and any fundamental drivers influencing gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
Chart Patterns Within Patterns: A Guide to Nested Setups Daily Chart Analysis: Pattern Overview: The daily chart shows an Ascending Channel formation, which generally indicates a bullish trend but can also signal a potential reversal if the upper trendline acts as strong resistance. Within the ascending channel, there are continuation patterns such as smaller bull flags, which suggest bullish momentum continuation. Key Resistance and Liquidity Zone (LQZ): The upper trendline of the ascending channel aligns closely with the recent highs around the $2,530 - $2,540 region, creating a significant resistance area. The 1-Hour Liquidity Zone (LQZ) at $2,486.793 is marked below the current price, indicating potential areas where price might retest before any significant upward or downward move. Potential Reversal Signal: The upper boundary of the ascending channel has recently been tested multiple times, and each time, there has been a slight pullback, indicating selling pressure. This could be a precursor to a possible reversal if this level is not broken with conviction. 4-Hour Chart Analysis: Nesting Patterns: The 4-hour chart also reveals several nested patterns within the broader ascending channel, including smaller bull flags and a potential double-top pattern forming at the resistance zone. The price action is consolidating below the resistance line at $2,530.750, creating a possible Double Top scenario, which could indicate a bearish reversal if confirmed by a breakdown below the neckline support. Impulse and Correction Phases: The recent impulsive moves upwards have been followed by corrective pullbacks, which have been forming higher lows, reinforcing the bullish bias in the medium term. However, the proximity to the resistance and the potential double-top formation might signal caution for long positions. 1-Hour and 15-Minute Chart Analysis: Short-Term Structure: The 1-hour chart shows a more detailed view of the recent consolidation phase near the key resistance level. There are signs of weakening momentum as prices approach the upper trendline. The 15-minute chart further shows a tightening range and potential bear flag or a descending channel, which could indicate a short-term bearish continuation if the lower trendline of this smaller pattern breaks. Critical Levels: The support level around $2,486.793 (1HR LQZ) is critical for intraday trading. A break below this could lead to a sharper correction towards the lower boundary of the ascending channel on the daily chart. For bullish continuation, a clear break above the $2,530 - $2,540 resistance with strong volume would be needed to confirm further upside potential. Trading Strategy and Recommendations: Bullish Scenario: Look for a strong breakout above the $2,530 - $2,540 resistance on the daily chart, accompanied by increased volume and a break above the smaller continuation patterns (flags) on the lower timeframes. Enter on a reduced risk entry after a pullback to the breakout level, with stops placed below the recent consolidation range or the 1-Hour LQZ. Bearish Scenario: Watch for a confirmed Double Top breakdown on the 4-hour chart, with a clear break below the neckline support around $2,486.793. Consider short positions on the break of the neckline or after a retest of the breakdown level, with stops placed above the recent highs or the upper boundary of the descending channel on the 15-minute chart. Risk Management: Given the proximity to a key resistance level and the potential for a reversal, it is crucial to manage risk carefully. Use tight stops and consider reducing position size until a clear directional move is confirmed.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
2
Technical Outlook on XAU/USD: Rising Wedge and Ascending Channel1. Daily Chart (D1) Pattern Observed: There is a noticeable ascending channel forming. The upper boundary is marked by a series of higher highs (HH), and the lower boundary is marked by higher lows (HL). Resistance Zone: The chart indicates a key resistance around the 2,540–2,560 level, highlighted by the upper trendline of the ascending channel. Support Levels: Key support zones are marked around 2,267 (Weekly LQZ) and 2,353 (4HR LQZ), which coincide with significant price action in the past, potentially serving as strong support areas in case of a pullback. Market Behavior: The market is currently testing the upper trendline resistance of the ascending channel. A rejection from this level could indicate a potential reversal or a pullback to the lower boundary of the channel. 2. 4-Hour Chart (H4) Pattern Observed: The 4-hour chart also shows a more defined rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern when it forms in an uptrend. The price is trading near the upper resistance line of this wedge. Liquidity Zone: An important liquidity grab/rejection area is marked around 2,476, which aligns with previous price consolidations and rejections. This area could serve as a strong inflection point where price could either rebound or break below, leading to a deeper correction. Highs and Lows: A series of higher highs (HH) are visible, but the formation of a recent lower high (LH) could signal the start of a potential reversal if the price fails to create a new higher high above the previous peaks. 3. 1-Hour Chart (H1) Pattern Observed: The 1-hour chart presents a more detailed look into the price action within the wedge. The price action is currently within a tightening range, reflecting indecision and possible consolidation before a breakout. Support and Resistance: Near-term support is identified at the liquidity zone around 2,476, and the resistance aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge pattern. Potential Setup: A bearish divergence could be developing, given the price action nearing resistance while momentum indicators (not shown here) might start to flatten or decline. 4. Multi-Time Frame Analysis Higher Time Frame Influence: The weekly flag pattern identified on the daily chart is influencing the overall bullish bias. However, the rising wedge pattern on both the daily and 4-hour charts suggests caution as a potential bearish reversal could occur. Key Decision Zones: If the price breaks above the upper boundary of the wedge, it would likely aim for the next resistance levels around 2,560 and possibly beyond, towards 2,600+. Conversely, a breakdown below the wedge's lower boundary could accelerate selling towards the 2,353 and 2,267 levels, where major liquidity zones reside. 5. Trading Strategy Insights For Long Positions: Consider entries upon a confirmed breakout above the upper boundary of the ascending channel/wedge, targeting the next significant resistance levels. Utilize tight stop losses to minimize risk in case of a false breakout. For Short Positions: Look for bearish confirmation such as rejection from the upper boundary or a breakdown below the support trendline. Potential targets would be the 4HR LQZ and the Weekly LQZ, with stops above recent highs to protect against unexpected volatility. Conclusion: The current price action suggests a critical juncture where the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) is at a significant resistance area. Traders should watch for a breakout or breakdown from the wedge pattern on the 4-hour and daily charts to determine the next directional move. Keep an eye on volume and momentum indicators for confirmation, as well as news events that could influence gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
Profitable Gold Price Action Strategy For Beginners To trade this Gold price action strategy, you need to learn just 2 simple things: support and resistance levels identification a couple of bullish and bearish price action patterns. In this article, I will share with you a complete guide for Gold trading with price action and reveal the best patterns for XAUUSD. Step 1 Your First task will be to execute complete structure analysis on a daily time frame. It means that you should identify all vertical and horizontal supports and resistances. From structure supports, we will look for buying opportunities. From structure resistances, we will look for selling the market. Above, you can see how a complete Gold support and resistance analysis should look. Step 2 Patiently wait for the test of one of these structures. In the example above, we see a test of Support. Step 3 Your next task will be to look for a price action pattern on an hourly time frame on one of these structures. You should look for a bullish pattern after a test of a structure support. You should look for a bearish pattern after a test of a structure resistance. Here is the list of classic bullish patterns that you should look for: falling wedge, bullish flag, double bottom, triple bottom, inverted head & shoulders pattern, cup & handle, ascending triangle. Once you identified a bullish pattern, simply wait for a signal - with horizontal patterns like a double bottom or cup & handle you should wait for a bullish breakout of its neckline - an hourly candle close above. With vertical patterns like a bullish flag or a falling wedge, you should look for a bullish breakout of its trend line - and hourly candle close above. Here is the list of classic bearish patterns that you should look for: rising wedge, bearish flag, double top, triple top, head & shoulders pattern, inverted cup & handle, descending triangle. Once you identified a bearish pattern, simply wait for a signal - with horizontal patterns like a double top or inverted cup & handle you should wait for a bearish breakout of its neckline - an hourly candle close below. With vertical patterns like a bearish flag or a rising wedge, you should look for a bearish breakout of its trend line - and hourly candle close below. Sometimes there will be the situation when you will encounter multiple patterns. The rule is that the more - the better. Above, we can see 2 bullish patterns on an hourly time frame, after a test of a key daily support on Gold: bullish flag pattern and cup & handle. The price broke the resistance line of the flag and a neckline of a cup & handle, giving us a strong bullish signal. Step 4 Open a trading position. Once you spotted a bearish pattern after a test of a key daily resistance, and a signal - a bearish breakout of a neckline or a trend line, sell Gold on a retest of a broken neckline/trend line. Stop loss will lie above the highs of the patterns. Take profit will be the closest 4H support. Once you spotted a bullish pattern after a test of a key daily support, and a signal - a bullish breakout of a neckline or a trend line, buy Gold on a retest of a broken neckline/trend line. Stop loss will lie below the lows of the pattern. Take profit will be the closest 4H resistance. In our example, a long position was opened on Gold on a retest of a broken neckline of a cup & handle formation. Stop loss lies below the lows, TP based on a 4H resistance. After some time, the price reached the target! This Gold price action strategy is simple and very profitable. Try this strategy by your own and good luck in trading Gold! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Ascending Channel with Multi-TouchThese charts depict an evolving market structure for XAU/USD (Gold Spot) and highlight significant zones and patterns across multiple timeframes. 1. Key Patterns and Channels: Ascending Channel: A dominant ascending channel is visible on multiple timeframes. This is a classic continuation pattern, suggesting that as long as price remains within this channel, the prevailing trend (upward) is intact. The channel's lower boundary has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its validity as a support level. Weekly Flag: The “Weekly Flag” mentioned is a larger pattern that might suggest a continuation of a broader trend. Flags typically form after strong moves and consolidate before a potential continuation in the direction of the initial move. The flag is being “correctively broken,” which hints at a potential retest of the lower boundary or a reversal if the flag fails to hold. 2. Liquidity Zones (LQZ): 15M LQZ / Reversal Zone: This zone is near the current price and is a high-probability area for a reversal or significant price reaction. The price reacting to this level could determine the short-term direction. 1HR and 4HR LQZ: These zones are lower and represent potential targets or areas where the price might find support if it breaks down from the current structure. Daily and Weekly LQZ: These are even broader zones of interest. Their distance from the current price indicates that if the price moves toward these levels, a significant trend change or a large corrective phase could be unfolding. 3. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Continuation: If the price holds within the ascending channel and breaks above the “corrective break” in the weekly flag, this could lead to a continuation of the upward move, targeting new highs. Bearish Reversal: If the price breaks below the ascending channel and breaches the 15M LQZ, it might move towards the lower liquidity zones (1HR, 4HR), indicating a deeper correction or a trend reversal. Multi-Touch Confirmation and Advanced Pattern Recognition: Multi-Touch Confirmation : The chart shows multiple touches on the trendlines, especially on the ascending channel's lower boundary. These touches reinforce the trendline's validity and increase the likelihood of a significant move upon the next touch​. ADVANCED Pattern RECON: The "corrective break" within the weekly flag and the smaller internal channels within the larger ascending channel provide a "pattern within a pattern" scenario, which often precedes significant moves​. Conclusion: Monitor the 15M LQZ closely as it's a crucial area that could determine the short-term direction of the market. If price reacts strongly at this level, consider the implications for either a continuation (bullish scenario) or a breakdown (bearish scenario).
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
2
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to open and attempt to attack the lower support regions 2375 and below that 2367-5, which if held we felt long trades would be available to traders this worked extremely well for us and anyone else who followed the KOG Report. We gave the levels above 2410 and above that 2430 on the break, expecting a pullback around the 2410 region which only gave us a small bounce before continuing. We updated the reports through the week, in particular the FOMC report giving the target level of 2450 which is where we wanted to get a nice entry for to target, unfortunately, we didn’t manage to get the entry for that trade. Instead, we held the longs and finished off another great week in Camelot. Friday’s NFP, analysis was posted for the Camelot members together with the potential high and the hotspot which worked well for traders giving them the opportunity to enter short, hit the hotspot as well as the Excalibur target which was active. An extremely decent week not only on gold but all the other pairs we trade alongside our traders in Camelot. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Ok, to be honest, this week we may be subject to complete change based on the move NFP created on Friday, however, we have to go with what the chart is showing us and of course, with this being Gold the unexpected. So, we’ll say for this week we have the order region support level 2430 and below that the extreme level of 2410-13. Above we have the resistance levels of 2450-55 again an important level. If we see price attempt the 2450-55 region in the early sessions, which we feel is likely, a rejection there can bring us down into that 2430-35 region again attempting to break it and take lower into the extreme level below which is where we feel the ideal long trade will come from to carry this back up towards the 2490-95 region. That’s the region we ideally want to see completed before and held for now. This gives us the potential range to play unless one of the key levels are broken. Breaking 2410 we’ll be seeing this flush pretty fast so lets play some caution here, see how the levels react and we’ll take it as we see it. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 2430 with targets above 2465 and above that 2490 Bearish on break of 2430 with targets below 2410 and below that 2395 Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
11
+$374.00 on Gold Call Today What is up traders, Brandon here - Absolutely lovely call on Gold this morning. Below are the links to all the minds that I would have posted before and after the trade itself was taken> www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com I like showing all the receipts because this gives clarity, you get a good idea of before and after. I hope you understood where I was coming from with this one. Have a great rest of your day - see you guys soon =)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Brandon_evo4
Best Trend Following Strategies for Gold. XAUUSD Day Trading The recent bull run on Gold is a perfect example of a strong trending market. For traders, such sentiment always provides very profitable trading opportunities. In this article, I will share with you 3 best trend-following strategies for day trading Gold that showed extremely high performance this year. So what I did, I back tested 4H/1H time frame since the middle of February when the bull market started. I tested various strategies: price action, SMC, multiple indicators, candlestick patterns ; and I was looking for the ones that showed the highest accuracy and profitability. 1. Moving Averages Crossover The first strategy that showed a very high performance was based on a crossover of 2 moving averages. Exponential MA with 30 length. Simple MA with 9 length. For entry signal, Simple MA should cross Exponential MA from the downside and a candle should close above both MAs'. Stop loss will be below the closest horizontal support. The setup is considered to be profitable if, after the entry, the price moved up at least by pips distance from entry to stop loss. 13 setups we spotted. 9 of them were profitable. Total winning rate is 69%. 2. Trend-Following Patterns The second strategy that showed a very high performance was based on classic price action patterns. I was looking for bullish patterns like bullish flag, falling wedge, horizontal range, double bottom, head and shoulders, ascending triangle, cup & handle. Bullish confirmation was a breakout and a candle close above a neckline of the pattern. The pattern is considered to be losing if after the breakout of the neckline, the price dropped below its lows. The pattern is considered to be profitable if, after the entry, the price moved up at least by pips distance from entry to stop loss. From 14th of February to 8th of April, I found 37 bullish patterns. According to the rules that I described above, 31 pattern turned out to be profitable. That gives 83% winning rate. 3. Break of Structure (BoS) The Break of Structure strategy is very old and based on breakouts of current highs. In a bullish trend, after the price violates the levels of a current Higher High HH, a bullish continuation is expected. A long trade is opened after the candle closes above HH or on a retest. With such a strategy, Stop Loss is lying below the last Higher Low HL. The setup is considered to be profitable if, after the entry, the price moved up at least by pips distance from entry to stop loss For the same period, I identified 21 Breaks of Structure. According to the rules, 18 setups were profitable. Total win rate is 85%. Remember that you should not overestimate the performance of these strategies. They work perfectly only in times of a strong bullish market. Such periods are extremely rare. However, once you see a strong bullish season, these strategies will help you to get maximum from it. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
10
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Accumulation?! Quick update for Gold: since my last post on Sunday, the market formed a classic bullish price action pattern on a daily - the ascending triangle. The pattern signifies a bullish accumulation and a highly probable coming bullish movement. To confirm that we stick to the plan that I shared earlier. We wait for a bullish breakout of 2341 and a daily candle close above. It will open a potential for a bullish continuation to 2375. Alternatively, a bearish breakout of a trend line of a triangle can give us a strong bearish signal. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
6
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Once again another great day on the chart today with our gap above giving us the confidence to buy dips form our Goldturns, as suggested yesterday. 2296 Goldturn gave us the bounce, as planned completing 2309 and 2326 inline with our plans to buy dips and now with protected profits heading for the gap. We are happy with the catch and now closing the week. As always, we will now come back Sunday with our multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! Have a great weekend with family and loved ones!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10