Gold rebounds as expected, get ready to short goldBros, as the trading strategy I published in the last article, we went long on gold near 2860 as scheduled according to the trading plan today. In order to lock in profits in time, we closed the order near 2870. In just half an hour, we made almost 100 pips of profit.
At present, gold continues to rebound to around 2875. Although the rebound process is relatively continuous, the overall rebound strength is not strong, so we can't chase gold too much; gold fell from the stage high of 2956 to around 2830, and gold turned from strong to weak. Its 50% retracement level is in the 2890-2895 zone, and the 38% retracement level is near 2880.
Therefore, the current rebound cannot be regarded as a reversal, but only a technical rebound repair. If gold rebounds to the 2880-2890 zone, I am still willing to short gold. Before gold is determined to reverse the trend, I think gold must at least retrace the 2860-2850 zone to form a technical double bottom support.
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Goldtechnicalanalysis
The bears haven’t gone away, continuing to short gold!Bros, I want to say that 2868 is definitely not the lowest point at the current stage, and the bears have not stopped roaring. After gold falls below 2970, market panic will lead to deep selling, which will drive gold prices further down.
So the bears have not left yet, and any rebound is an opportunity to short gold. As the center of gravity of gold prices moves down, the current resistance has moved down to the 2895-2905 zone again. If gold remains below this area, I think gold is likely to move towards the 2840-2830 zone next!
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Go long on gold in the 2930 area and make continuous profits!Dear Traders,
In the past couple of days, gold has been volatile, swinging up and down. Have you made profits in your gold trades? Regardless, the fluctuations in gold were within my control, and I was able to secure considerable profits from my long gold positions.
As I shared in my previous two articles, in short-term trading, we should avoid hastily chasing rallies in gold. However, once gold retraces to the 2940-2930 support region, we can actively consider going long. Yesterday, after gold retraced to around 2930, it reversed and rebounded, rising to approximately 2953. Today, after touching 2929, gold reversed again and is currently climbing back to around 2942. We've secured substantial profits from two consecutive long trades in gold.
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
GOLD (XAUUSD): One More Consolidation
Since Wednesday, Gold started to consolidate within a horizontal
channel on a 4H.
To buy Gold with a confirmation next week, wait for a breakout of
the resistance of the channel. It will initiate a movement higher at least to 2975.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of a support of the channel can trigger
a local correctional movement at least to 2906.
Wait for a breakout, it will provide a reliable confirmation.
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Be bold and short goldBrothers, did you short gold?
As I mentioned in my previous article, I have already entered short positions in the 2930-2940 zone. Today, gold has broken below Wednesday’s low, which has to some extent opened further downside potential and strengthened the probability of continued decline. Moreover, under the pressure of the head and shoulders pattern, I believe gold is highly likely to retest the 2920-2910 support zone today.
I have followed my trading plan and am currently in profit on my short positions. We can continue to hold and wait for further profit expansion. Did you follow me in shorting gold?If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Keep making money by shorting goldYesterday, I remained firmly committed to shorting gold from start to finish, and as anticipated, gold retraced to my two target zones: 2930-2925 and 2920-2910.
Today, gold has pulled back to around 2916, breaking Wednesday’s low, which has, to some extent, opened up downside potential and strengthened expectations for further downside acceleration toward the 2900-2880 region. Additionally, from a short-term technical perspective, a head and shoulders pattern has formed, further supporting the likelihood of a sharper decline. Therefore, in today’s trading, I continue to favor short positions in gold.
As gold’s price action shifts lower, overhead resistance levels are also adjusting downward. This calls for a more conservative expectation of gold’s rebound potential. For short-term trading, we can consider scaling into short positions in the 2930-2940 zone.
Bros, are you optimistic about the continued decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Breakout Soon?!
I see clear signs of a bullish accumulation on a daily.
The recent formation of a higher low and 3 consequent equal highs
indicates a highly probable coming bullish movement.
As always, your perfect confirmation is a breakout.
The violation of the underlined blue resistance will give you a
strong bullish signal.
Growth will be expected then.
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What to do if you hold a short position?Dear Traders,
Gold has continued its upward movement, supported by strong buying interest, pushing above 2930, with bullish momentum regaining control. However, at this stage, I do not believe it is wise to chase further long positions in gold.
I am currently still holding short positions in gold, and despite its apparent strength, I am not concerned about my short positions. This is because gold is once again facing resistance at previous highs, and according to the trendline, the 2936-2940 region remains a key resistance zone. Therefore, it is likely that gold will pull back upon reaching this zone and test support in the 2915-2910 region.
In terms of short-term trading, I will continue to short gold in batches above 2930, using the 2936-2940 resistance zone, and expect a retracement towards the 2915 area.
Bros, do you have the courage to short gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Best Strategies to Identify a Bearish Reversal in Gold Trading
In this article, I will explain to you 4 efficient strategies to identify a bearish reversal with technical analysis in Gold trading.
You will learn price action, SMC and technical indicator strong bearish signals.
First, let me remind you that different bearish signals may indicate a different magnitude and a degree of a potential reversal.
While some signals will be reliable for predicting short term reversals, some will be more accurate in projecting long-term ones.
One more thing to note is that one of the best time frames for bearish reversal confirmations on Gold is the daily. So, all the cases that will be explained will be on a daily time frame strictly.
XAUUSD Bearish Reversal Signal 1 - Bearish Price Action Pattern.
One of the perfect indicators of the overbought state of a bullish trend on Gold is bearish price action patterns.
I am talking about classic horizontal neckline based patterns like head & shoulders, inverted cup & handle, double/triple top and descending triangle.
Typically, these patterns leave early bearish clues and help to predict a coming downturn movement.
A strong bearish signal is a breakout of a horizontal neckline of the pattern and a candle close below.
The price may continue falling at least to the next key support then.
Above is the example of a head and shoulders pattern on Gold, on a daily. Its formation was the evidence of the overheated market. Bearish breakout of its neckline confirmed that, and the price continued falling.
Bearish Reversal Signal 2 - Rising Channel Breakout.
When the market is trading in a healthy bullish trend, it usually starts moving with the boundaries of a rising channel.
It can be the expanding, parallel or contracting channel.
Its support will represent a strong vertical structure , from where new bullish waves will initiate after corrections .
Its breakout will quite accurately indicate a change of a market sentiment and a highly probable bearish reversal.
Look at this rising parallel channel on Gold chart on a daily. The market was respecting its boundaries for more than 3 months.
A bearish violation of its support was an accurate bearish signal that triggered a strong bearish movement.
Bearish Reversal Signal 3 - Change of Character & Bearish Price Action.
One of the main characteristics of a bullish trend is the tendency of the market to set new higher highs and higher lows. Each final high of each bullish impulse is always higher than the previous. Each final low of each bearish movement is also higher than the previous.
In such a price action, the level of the l ast higher low is a very significant point.
The violation of that and a formation of a new low is an important event that is called Change of Character CHoCH.
It signifies the violation of a current bullish trend.
After that, one should pay attention to a consequent price action, because CHoCH can easily turn into just an extended correctional movement.
If the market sets a lower high and a new lower low then, it will confirm the start of a new bearish trend.
That is the example of a confirmed Change of Character on Gold on a daily. To validate the start of a new bearish trend, we should let the price set a lower high and a form a bearish impulse with a new lower low.
Bearish Reversal Signal 4 - Death Cross.
Death cross is a strong long-term bearish reversal signal that is based on a crossover of 2 moving averages.
On a daily time frame, it is usually based on a combination of 2 Simple Moving Averages: one with 50 length and one with 200 length.
The signal is considered to be confirmed when a 50 length SMA crosses below 200 length SMA.
It is commonly believed that it signifies that the market enters a long-term bearish trend.
On the chart, I plotted 2 Moving Averages. When the blue one crosses below the orange one, a global bearish trend on Gold will be confirmed
The 4 bearish signals that we discussed will be useful for predicting short term, mid term and long term bearish reversals on Gold.
While price action patterns will indicate local bearish movements, Death Cross will confirm a global trend change.
Learn to recognize all the signals that we discussed to make more accurate trading and investing decisions.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan For Next Week Explained
Gold did not manage to update the All-Time High on Friday,
retracing from a key daily resistance.
The market is now trading within a horizontal range on a daily.
Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries,
I see 2 potential scenarios:
Bullish Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above 2943,
a bullish continuation will be expected to the new highs.
Bearish Scenario
If the price breaks a demand zone based on a rising trend line
and a support of the range and closes below that,
a correctional movement will follow.
Alternatively, with the absence of fundamentals,
the market may stay within the range for a while, so be patient.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Supports & Resistances to Watch
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 2869 - 2886 area
Support 2: 2770 - 2790 area
Resistance 1: 2941 - 2950 area
Resistance 2: 2998 - 3003 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan For Next Week Explained
Here is my price action analysis for Gold on a 4H.
The market is currently trading in a sideways after
an extended up movement that was completed 5th of February.
We see a horizontal parallel channel formation.
To confirm the next bullish wave, I suggest waiting for a breakout
of its resistance.
4H candle close above 2887 will confirm the violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected at least to 2900 then.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the support of the channel
may trigger a correctional movement.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): The Next Resistance is Here:
Many Gold traders are now speculating where is the next strong
resistance on XAUUSD chart.
I see a very peculiar zone ahead that is based on a significant
rising trend line that the market has been respecting since 2023
and 2900 psychological level.
Probabilities will be high to see at least a pullback from that zone.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold for next week.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising Trend Line
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising Trend Line
Horizontal Structures
Resistance 1: 2816 - 2820 area
Support 1: 2786 - 2790 area
Support 2: 2718 - 2732 area
Support 3: 2689 - 2698 area
Support 4: 2655 - 2663 area
Support 5: 2614 - 2635 area
Support 6: 2596 - 2605 area
Support 7: 2583 - 2585 area
Consider these structures for pulback/breakout trading.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Get Ready For Breakout
It feels like Gold is going to update the All-Time High soon.
I see clear signs of a bullish accumulation on a horizontal
resistance based on a current highest high.
A breakout of the underlined orange area and a candle close above
will indicate the continuation o a global bullish trend.
The market will most likely continue rising at least to 2820.
Alternatively, if you are looking for a bearish confirmation,
a breakout of the support of the channel will give you a strong bearish signal.
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Learn Supply and Demand Basics in Gold XAAUSD Trading
In this article, we will discuss the basic principles of Smart Money Concepts in Gold trading.
I will explain to you how Gold price relates to supply and demand on the market. What is a fair value and how to identify it.
We will discuss a relation between a fair value and supply and demand and why is it so important to learn to recognize the imbalance.
Gold Price
First, let's briefly discuss how the price of Gold is valued .
Gold price is determined by the basic economic principles of supply and demand.
Supply is defined by the actions of the sellers and selling volumes.
While a demand is defined by the activity of buyers and the volumes they wish to purchase.
When supply exceeds demand, it leads to a decline in prices.
Increased selling pressure leads to lower prices as sellers compete to attract buyers.
Above, you can see how the excess of demand pushes Gold prices up rapidly.
When demand exceeds supply, we see an increase in the price of the financial asset.
In the example above, you can see how the excess of supply leads to a depreciation of a Gold price.
Imbalance & Fair Value
The excess of supply or demand on the market is also called an imbalance in Smart Money Concept trading SMC.
The imbalance causes strong bullish or bearish movement on the market.
However, such moves do not last forever.
At some moment, reaching a particular price level, the market will stop growing or falling, and the market will find the equilibrium in supply and demand.
Such an equilibrium is also called a fair value in SMC trading.
On the chart above, Gold was growing rapidly. After reaching some price level, the growth stopped and the market found a fair value.
Supply finally absorbed the excess of demand.
Sideways Movement & Range
When the market finds a fair value, it usually starts trading in sideways . The sideways movement forms a horizontal range - a horizontal parallel channel.
Such ranges signify that the market participants agree about a current price of an asset.
Above, you can see that after a strong up movement, Gold found a fair value and a consolidation within a horizontal range started.
Fair Value Range
When you spotted the range, you should remember that the market may stay within that for a very long period of time.
The trigger that will make the market reassess the fair value is typically a some important fundamental factor, the surprising geopolitical or economic event that will create a new imbalance on the market.
A strong signal that the market strives to find a new fair value is the breakout of one of the boundaries of the range. It is a signal of a violation of a current fair value.
You can see that Gold found a fair value and was stuck for quite a long period within a wide horizontal range. Then, because of the release of significant US fundamental news, an imbalance occurred. Fair value range was violated, and the price found a new fair value higher.
Trading Tips
When the imbalance on the market occurs and it violates the fair value, the price tends to find a new fair value around significant liquidity zones.
That is why it is so critical to pay attention to them.
Also, the laws of supply and demand, imbalance and fair value work on any time frame and can be applied for any trading style.
Learn to perceive a price chart from a Supply and Demand perspective in order to master Smart Money Concept trading strategy.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Levels For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold for next week.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising Trend Line
Horizontal Structures
Resistance 1: 2786 - 2790 area
Support 1: 2718 - 2732 area
Support 2: 2689 - 2698 area
Support 3: 2655 - 2663 area
Support 4: 2614 - 2635 area
Support 5: 2596 - 2605 area
Support 6: 2583 - 2585 area
Consider these structures for pulback/breakout trading.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising Trend Line
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising Trend Line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 2689 - 2699 area
Support 2: 2654 - 2662 area
Support 3: 2614 - 2635 area
Support 4: 2595 - 2606 area
Support 5: 2583 - 2585 area
Support 6: 2536 - 2562 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Gold Next Expected Move as respecting to Elliott WaveHello Traders!
Gold is Respecting well to Elliott Wave as all we know that its time for corrective moves in gold and on Thursday 09/01/2025 gold took good move in upside direction. its the clue for strong bearish trend as Elliott wave also expecting till 2487 which is very good move for sellers.
Chart Pattern also showing bearish trend as we can see double top and rising wedge in H4 and expecting target of 2571 which is also good move almost 1000 pips.
Support: 2649.300
Resistance: 2695.600
Key Level: 2670
Looking for good selling area to take entry till that i will wait and will not rush in this situation we can see selling area from 2676-2681
Traders if you like my idea then kindly support my idea and follow me for more analysis
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Outlook For Next Week Explained
Gold formed a strong bullish pattern on a daily - a cup & handle.
A breakout of its horizontal neckline is an accurate bullish signal.
With a high probability, the market will continue rising next week.
Next resistances - 2674 / 2716
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan for Today
If you decided to trade today, there is one potential
shorting opportunity for Gold.
Following my recent update, the price is testing a recently
broken daily horizontal structure at the moment.
On an hourly time frame, the price formed a tiny double top on that.
2621 - 2625 is its neckline.
To sell the market with a confirmation, wait for a bearish breakout of
a neckline and an hourly candle close below that.
Sell aggressively or on a retest then.
Targets will be 2608 / 2600.
If the price sets a new higher high,
the setup will be invalid.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Massive Breakout
FED rate decision and FOMC made Gold very bearish yesterday.
The price violated a support line of a wide horizontal range on a daily.
Its breakout signifies a strong bearish pressure.
It opens a potential for more price depreciation.
Next support - 2563
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports and resistances for Gold for next week.
Support 1: 2648 - 2666 area
Support 2: 2605 - 2625 area
Support 3: 2536 - 2563 area
Resistance 1: 2718 - 2732 area
Resistance 2: 2787 - 2789 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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