Gold's Chart Signals Temporary Downtrend but Uptrend Indicators As per the analysis of the provided chart, the outlook for Gold suggests potential downside towards the levels of 59260 , 59000 , and 58700 . Traders should pay attention to the level of 59600 , as a crossover and close above this level could signal a resumption of the uptrend. The presence of the 100-day moving average and a parallel channel on the chart further support the notion of an underlying uptrend, indicating that the current downtrend may be temporary.
In terms of key events for today, the following are of significance:
18:00 Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Apr) and Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Apr) - High impact
19:30 Michigan Consumer Expectations & Sentiment (May) - Low impact
22:30 U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count - Medium impact
Additional information and important event details for the upcoming week will be provided shortly.
Goldtips
TommyXAU Educational - What i mean by clean rangeGood afternoon gold gang, hope you're having a good weekend.
I thought id hop on to share with you a piece of information of what i mean by clean range. Ok ..
Say you have 2 key levels in price .. we have had a big news event causing a big red candle to the left hand side. This has left what is called an imbalance. An imbalance is where the wicks of the previous and after candle don't meet. Backtest that one yourself and see how many times these imbalances get filled.
Price is coming back up and closes above the key level .. it is now a high probability that price will come up and fill that imbalance and the clean range.
I call it clean as there is no traffic or hurdles that should stop price on its way up. Again, adding to the probability.
Simple as that really guys ..
Please leave a like if it was of any help to you and ill see you this evening for market open!
TommyXAU
XAUUSD 21/4/23 Outlook & the daily death rangeGood evening gold gang! hope you have all had a good trading day.
Nothing from me today as my ranges didnt get broken, but my bullish analysis was spot on. Few traders messaged me with winning trades and thats awesome.
What do we have tomorrow then, ok first thing to note is the news. Its a late one so im hoping for some volume in asian and london .. NY is likely to range for a bit.
Lets talk about the range .. if you go on the daily time frame .. you will see that the last 3 days have all opened and closed in the same area .. albeit left wicks .. ive not seen this for a long time and im hopeful we get a break out of the range tomorrow or during the news. Thats why the range is a no trade zone .. there will be too much dealing going on. Wait for the clear breaks in my zones marked up.
Direction is gonna be tough to gauge as the candles are the same .. so keep frosty and be prepared for whichever side we pop out of.
Ive placed a couple of additional targets on there incase we do get some volume and direction. A word about my targets .. i dont hold full positions to targets .. i always take profits on the way. Don't be a hero .. take what the market gives you and leave runners.
Please like and hit the follow button .. im here everyday bringing you super accurate gold analysis and its amazing when people message me telling me they have made money.
catch you tomorrow morning gold gang
tommyXAU
XAUUSD How to deal with fake outs (tutorial) Good morning gold gang! Im back with another educational piece this weekend getting ready for market open.
In this weeks i want to look at the fakeout. The fakeout is a false breakout of the key level. When price moves and closes outside of the level, the next step is to enter the trade. Sometimes what happens is price will close then shoot back up into the range. This is a fakeout.
The way i deal with them is i always make sure my entry is a pip or 2 after the wick of the previous candle .. normally what happens is the next candle will open before the wick and saving you from the entry. If this doesnt happen, then you take the loss like a man/woman/person and move on.
What NOT to do is change bias and take buys (in this case) as you can get faked out this way too .. a change in bias would be above the next htf resistance or key level.
Hope this was educational guys .. please like and follow along for more XAUUSD updates. I post daily and you dont want to miss them.
tommyXAU
Don't Get Yourself Into a Bull Trap With MCX GoldKey levels: 47948 - 49290
Gold is rejecting uptrend and downtrend at the level of 47948 . And we don't see a powerful movement in the 2021 year, wherein it throwout the level of 49280 successfully.
Here, you will have a strong support level, wherein we may decide about buying or selling. And it is the level of 47948 . Intraday traders can keep buying the gold for targets of 48360 - 48640 - 48890 - 49280 until it remains above the level of 47948 .
But, if you see a breakout of the first 'key' level, then sell it for the targets of 47480 - 47060 below.
Buyers must be aware these days. Why?
The gold prices may push down with power compared to an uptrend because of Coronavirus (Omicron).
For advance traders, watch significant releases or events that may affect the movement of gold, silver, crude oil & natural gas.
Tuesday, Dec 28, 2021
20:30 CB Consumer Confidence (Dec) - High
Wednesday, Dec 29, 2021
03:00 API Weekly Crude Oil Stock - Medium
21:00 Crude Oil Inventories - High
Thursday, Dec 30, 2021
19:00 Initial Jobless Claims - High
21:00 Natural Gas Storage - Low
Gold - The Bigger PictureEver since Gold touched its all-time highs back in 2020, things have been going downhill. However, what people might not have noticed is how there seems to be a pattern that is in the making. We are on the verge of the end of the triangular formation, and somewhere in October 2021, we can expect a massive breakout.
In the chart that I have just shared, the pink highlighted area is the area of value (AOV). If you find gold prices touching these regions, you have a perfect entry point because they would either be facing fierce resistance or superior support. However, it should be kept in mind that this pattern is soon to break away. For anyone willing to trade in gold, now is the time to do a spot of day-trading and swing trading. However, if you wish to make a significant chunk of profit, read the chart carefully and figure out the perfect entry points for pending orders (once the pattern is broken). Of course, there is always a risk of a false breakout, but so far, there hasn't been one since last year. This only goes to suggest that the next breakout will be a wave everyone would love to ride on. For now, enjoy the little trades as much as you can!
FOMC Minutes: A confirmation for an explosive rally in XAUUSDGold has started collapsing nonstop after Nonfarm Payrolls data. And it stopped at my ' tested many times ' level. XAUUSD has recovered 50% almost in the previous week.
The gold spot needs to break the 1793.6 level to start an uptrend. Afterward, it will go for 1806 - 1826 levels. And these levels can push the gold price up to 1900 .
But if gold breaks the strong support again, it will start falling. This time, it won't stop! Hence, the short-term traders can start selling from there for the targets of 1744 - 1726 - 1684 .
For advance traders, watch significant releases or events that may affect the movement of gold, silver & crude oil. Especially, don't forget to watch this Wednesday's events to find out gold upcoming actions.
Tuesday, Aug 17, 2021
18:00 Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul) - High Impact
23:00 Fed Chair Powell Speaks - High Impact
Wednesday, Aug 18, 2021
02:00 API Weekly Crude Oil Stock - Medium Impact
20:00 Crude Oil Inventories - High Impact
23:30 FOMC Meeting Minutes - High Impact
Thursday, Aug 19, 2021
18:00 Initial Jobless Claims - High Impact
20:00 Natural Gas Storage - Low Impact
Friday, Aug 20, 2021
Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count - Low Impact
MCX Gold Will Have An Explosive Rally This Wednesday:
MCX traders should keep their eyes on the 46720 levels. It's a trend changer.
As per XAUUSD, Indian MCX Gold can raise 47500 - 48260 after a breakout of $1793.6 . And if it breaks the strong support of Gold Spot, it will keep falling for targets of 46260 - 45860 .
Gold will come back to the $1800 level?On 16 July, gold has crashed over 60$ during the FOMC event. At that time, Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data was highlighting selling pressure.
GOLD - COMMODITY EXCHANGE INC.
FUTURES ONLY POSITIONS AS OF 07/27/21
(CONTRACTS OF 100 TROY OUNCES) | OPEN INTEREST: 500,187
NON-COMMERCIAL & COMMERCIAL TOTAL
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
LONG 452,107 | SHORT 481,533
Ref: CFTC Gov
And on 27 July, CFTC data was said OI (Open Interest) of a gold future contract is 500,187 and total shorts 481,533 & buys 452,107 . But, gold prices increased.
We have to notice that the bullish rally wasn't powerful compare to the 16 July data. And selling pressure has higher compare to buyers. Hence gold has moved bearish side in the last trading session.
If gold wants to move upside, then it has to crossover my strong resistance. That will lead the gold's prices above 1840 - 1860 - 1882 - 1900 .
But if you focus fundamentally & CFTC data, XAUUSD will keep falling and touch the following targets: 1793.6 - 1783.6 - 1763.6 . Gold is making double top formation also.
GOLD LONG-TERM TREND ANALYSIS, TIPS, & CHARTAs per the chart above, gold is trying to take a U-Turn. It can slip for 47460 – 46760 – 46260 levels.
As per the S-RSI, it will start running upside soon for the dynamic resistance level of 53900. Hence, targets: 49560 – 50000 – 52000 – 53000+
Don’t forget to keep your eyes on downtrend level 46260 .