Bears dominate - gold selling pressure below 2600⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Thursday's US economic data revealed a decline in unemployment claims, while the final Q3 GDP report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis confirmed 3.1% year-over-year growth.
Despite these figures, market attention remains focused on projections for 2025. The Federal Reserve (Fed), led by Chair Jerome Powell, reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, though the decision was not unanimous, with Cleveland Fed's Beth Hammack dissenting in favor of maintaining current rates.
Fed officials have also shifted focus to inflation, as reflected in the dot plot. Their projections indicate two 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025 and another two in 2026.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Strong Bearish Trend - Pressure on Market Maintains Around 2600
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2626 - $2628 SL $2633
TP1: $2620
TP2: $2610
TP3: $2600
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2576 - $2574 SL $2569
TP1: $2582
TP2: $2590
TP3: $2600
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Goldtrade
Short gold after hitting 2635-2645 areaBrothers, we went long on gold near 2591 yesterday and closed the long position near 2607 this morning, making a profit of 160 pips easily, which is a very good trading result.
After closing the long position, I originally planned to wait for gold to fall back and continue to go long on gold in the 2595-2590 area, but after I closed the order, gold has been fluctuating in the 2607-2600 area, and did not give me the opportunity to go long on gold again. So it's a pity that I missed this time when gold continued to rebound.
At present, gold has reached around 2628, and the increase has not exceeded my expectations. I think gold may even continue to rebound to the 2635-2645 area. However, if gold touches this area for the first time, I think there will be an opportunity for gold to fall back to build up momentum and extend its effect.
So, if gold touches the 2635-2645 area as expected, I will choose to short gold once!Bros, will you choose to short gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Buy gold, there is still a chance to rebound to 2640Bros, gold has fallen sharply due to the hawkish rate cut, and the lowest has reached around 2584, and then rebounded; just now, gold touched around 2687 during the second decline, and then rebounded to above 2690, showing signs of building a W double bottom in the structure.
Although the rebound of gold is relatively weak, the downward space is gradually converging. I was optimistic that gold would continue to fall to around 2670, but at present, since gold has signs of forming a W double bottom structure, after consuming a certain amount of short energy, once the W double bottom structure is successfully built, gold may still rebound to 2640 again.
So in trading, I think it is best not to continue to chase short gold in short-term trading. We can go long on gold with the 2590-2580 area as the support area, and the defense position is 2570. So in short-term trading, I am currently more inclined to go long on gold.
Bros, are you as optimistic about the gold rebound as I am? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Will the interest rate cut in late 2024 happen? XAU UP OR DOWN ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 12/16 - 12/20/2024
🔥 World situation:
Although gold posted some losses, it remains up nearly 1% for the week, supported by a mix of US economic data. While inflation figures were varied, the latest Initial Jobless Claims report strengthened investor confidence in a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Attention now shifts to the Fed’s December 17-18 policy meeting, with traders pricing in a 93% likelihood of a 25 basis point cut, according to CBOT data. Following the announcement, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference for insights into the policy direction for 2025.
🔥 Identify:
H4 is seeing price close to the bullish trendline - which will be validating the last rate cut of the year. There will be some upside but it will still be difficult to break above the 2723 price zone
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2678, $2723
Support : $2613, $2590, $2535
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Go long gold near 2633 as scheduledBros, I have been suggesting that gold is likely to continue to fall to the 2635-2630 area in the past two days. At present, gold has fallen back to this area as expected. We have made a lot of money in gold short trading in the past two days! Congratulations to those friends who followed my trading strategy!
At present, the lowest price of gold has reached around 2633, so the support of the 2635-2630 area is effective in the short term, and gold has failed to fall below this area several times during the decline, so this area has become an important defensive position for bulls in the short term, so there should be some buying funds here, whether it is to seize control or to play between the long and short sides, the bulls should perform well in this range.
So in terms of short-term trading, I prefer to start long gold near 2633, and I have already done so. Moreover, there is still strong support in the 2625-2620 area below. If gold continues to fall, I will consider adding positions to long gold in the 2625-2620 area again.
Bros, I have already started to go long on gold. Are you optimistic about the rebound of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Easy profit of 110pips, gold still points to 2630!Bros, as I mentioned in my last opinion, gold is currently facing resistance in the 2660-2670 area, so I still prefer to short gold in terms of trading. Today we shorted gold near 2660 as planned. Just now, when gold fell back to around 2649, I manually closed my short position and easily made a profit of 110 pips.
So how should we trade gold next? Today, gold showed a weak rebound, proving that as gold fell last Friday, buying funds gradually concentrated in the 2645-2640 area. Therefore, before gold falls below the 2645-2640 area, we cannot be too bearish on gold in short-term trading, so we cannot set a TP value that exceeds expectations; however, gold is still weak overall, and we can still wait for gold to rebound and short gold again. If the gold market is to eliminate some long holders, then gold is likely to try to fall below the 2645-2640 area and continue to fall to around 2630.
So next, we continue to short gold with the 2665-2660 area as resistance. Brothers, are you bearish on gold in the short term like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Follow the trend and short gold!This week is a new week, so let's start this week's trading with hope!
Gold rebounded after touching 2643, and currently rebounded to 2658. From the current rebound strength, gold is still very weak. And after gold just experienced a big drop, there is no position to support gold to rebound immediately. So we can only follow the weak trend in trading at present.
So in the short term, I still prefer to short gold, and there is resistance in the 2660-2670 area above. Once gold cannot break through this area strongly, gold is likely to continue to fall. Once gold encounters resistance and falls back, it may fall back to the 2645-2640 area, or even the 2630 area.
Bros, let's try to short gold first, and then wait patiently for gold to fall back! If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold continued its downward trend at the beginning of the week⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) edges higher after dipping to the $2,644-2,643 range during the Asian session, a one-week low. This pause in its recent pullback from last Thursday's one-month high is supported by a softer US Dollar, driven by a slight retreat in US Treasury yields. Geopolitical risks and uncertainties surrounding US President-elect Donald Trump's policies also bolster demand for the safe-haven metal.
However, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will take a cautious approach to rate cuts next year, given stalled progress in reducing inflation toward the 2% target, could support US bond yields and limit further gains for gold. Investors are likely holding back on major moves ahead of the much-anticipated FOMC meeting outcome on Wednesday.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Downtrend continues - Gold is under strong selling pressure before results of interest rate cuts
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2674 - $2676 SL $2679
TP1: $2660
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2640
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2635 - $2637 SL $2632
TP1: $2645
TP2: $2658
TP3: $2670
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Turning to long goldBros, today gold continued to retreat, and the current lowest has reached around 2665, and the short trend of gold is obvious.
So where will gold fall? Should we continue to short gold? In fact, from the perspective of the gold structure, the 2665-2655 area is the bottom position of the rising relay in the rising structure, so this area plays an important supporting role. If gold cannot fall below this area, then gold's current downward trend is merely a correction to the rising trend. Therefore, gold may still rebound with the help of the 2665-2655 area, or it may hit the 2680-2690 area again.
So in terms of short-term trading, when most people are still shorting gold, I quietly started to go long on gold! Brors, let's wait and see! If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Buy gold, TP: 2690-2695Bros, today gold fell sharply and fell below 2695 due to the negative impact of PPI data on the gold market. I reminded in the previous opinion that the 2700-2695 area is the last line of defense for bulls. Once gold falls below this area, it is easy to be sold and continue to fall.
So today I went long on gold near 2702 as planned. After gold fell below 2695, I strictly followed the trading plan and chose manual stop loss near 2693, ending the gold long position with a loss of $4.7K; then I followed up with a gold short position near 2693, and manually closed the position near 2683, ending the transaction with a profit of $4.9K.
It means everything I did in trading today was for nothing,fortunately, I strictly followed my trading plan and strategy to execute the transaction, so even if I lost money in the long transaction, I recovered the loss in the short transaction, and there was no loss overall. Relatively speaking, no loss is the greatest success.
At present, after gold is relatively stable, I have bought gold again near 2683, and the short-term important support below is 2675. I expect gold to rebound to at least 2690-2695. As for the result of the transaction, let us wait and see! If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Start going long goldBros, yesterday I emphasized that the key resistance area for gold in the short term is in the 2720-2725 area. Starting from today's London market, gold is just suppressed below 2720 and is currently fluctuating in the 2720-2700 area. In fact, at this time, whether we participate in long or short transactions, we have no way to make a move!
According to the current decline, gold is just profit-taking, and it is not sold off. If gold is sold off, the decline will be far more than that. So it is not completely certain that gold will return to the short trend. So the bulls still have the ability to fight back.
The 2705-2695 area below is the last line of defense for the bulls. If gold falls below this area, then gold may be sold off and continue to fall. But before a break below this support area, we have one more opportunity to go long gold.
If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Go ahead and try shorting gold!Bros, due to the renewed tension in the geopolitical situation and the surge in risk aversion in the market, gold has risen sharply in the short term, and the current highest has reached around 2618. However, the continuity of the gold market, which has risen due to news stimulation, remains to be seen!
And from the chart, although gold has risen strongly, it still faces resistance in the 2720-2725 area in the short term. This is the last line of defense in the bear market, so it is not easy for gold to continue to break through. If gold fails to successfully cross this resistance area, then after consuming the bullish momentum to a certain extent, gold may retreat again and retest the 2700-2695 area.
So in terms of short-term trading, I will still not give up shorting gold. I will still try to add positions to continue shorting gold based on the 2720-2725 resistance area! Do you think gold will pull back? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Sorry, I'm already short goldBros, the expected CPI disappointed me. And the original plan to buy gold at 2580 was stranded because gold did not fall back effectively, so I had to give up the original plan to buy gold.
Gold moved very strongly today, with both bulls and bears fiercely competing around 2700. But for now, after gold continued its rebound to the 2700-2705 area, it did not usher in explosive emotional buying, and the price of gold did not rise sharply. Instead, it has been fluctuating in the 2700-2705 area. In the fierce game between long and short sides, the short force is not completely without opportunities, so since there is no opportunity to participate in the long gold, we might as well prepare in advance to see the decline and retracement of gold.
In addition, from the perspective of candlestick charts, even if gold continues to rise, it needs to build a W-shaped structure in the structure to support the continued rise of gold. Therefore, in the short term, gold still needs to fall back!
Bros, I have already shorted gold in the 2700-2705 area. Do you think gold will pull back? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
The only chance to short gold!As I said in my last article, I planned to buy gold with the 2670-2660 area as support, but gold did not fall back to 2670, not even to 2671, so unfortunately gold did not reach our buying area.
Currently, gold has risen to around 2690. Obviously, it is not a good idea to chase gold near this position, and it faces resistance in the 2695-2700 area. I think even if gold breaks through the 2695-2700 resistance area, it will retreat because it needs to accumulate upward momentum. So anyway, I will try to short gold here once.
Am I the only one who takes the risk of shorting gold in the entire network? Will you try to short gold in this position area? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Friends who hold short positions in gold, what should we do now?Bros, gold once rose to around 2676, but fortunately it has started to fall back now. To be honest, today's gold trading is in trouble. I originally wanted to short gold around 2660 now, and then go long gold around 2645 after gold fell back. However, gold only touched 2653 several times during the decline and then rebounded again. So I have held my short position until now, and then added the same position around 2675 to continue shorting gold. Once put me in a passive position in today's gold trading.
The better thing now is that gold has started to fall back to around 2668. Although I still have floating losses, it is much better than just now! Come on, brothers! We still have hope for turning losses into profits, so wish us good luck!
Bros, do you think my gold short position still has a chance to turn losses into profits?If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
I've already started shorting gold,and you?Bros, as I mentioned in my last article, gold rose to around 2660 as expected, but did not effectively break through, and the overall situation is still in the range of fluctuations.
So in terms of trading, as I said in my last article, although from a structural point of view, it is conducive to supporting the rise of gold. But I did not chase the rise of gold directly. On the contrary, according to my trading strategy, I took 2660-2670 as the resistance area and shorted gold at 2660.33 as the transaction price.
On the other hand, gold is in the range of fluctuations, so if gold wants to continue to rise, it must increase the liquidity of long positions, so gold needs to fall back to attract more long funds, so gold still has the need to fall back.
Bros, have you also shorted gold?If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
First short gold, then go long gold!Bros, this week's new trading journey begins from now!
Gold rebounded again under the support of safe-haven buying, and now it has reached around 2658. To be honest, gold is currently in a relatively obvious upward arrangement, and there is still room for gold to continue to rise.
However, overall, gold has not yet escaped the scope of shocks, so it is not good to directly chase gold near 2658, and the current strength of gold's rise is not firm. Gold needs to fall back to increase the liquidity of gold bulls, so we might as well consider trying to short gold with 2660-2670 as resistance, and wait for gold to fall back to the appropriate area before participating in long gold!
Bros, let's try to short gold first, and then wait patiently for gold to fall back before re-participating in long gold!If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
The plan to go long on crude oil beginsBros, today's NFP market is somewhat disappointing. Gold did not activate our limit orders during the rebound. So we don't have a good position to participate in gold trading.
At present, I pay more attention to crude oil than to gold. At present, crude oil has fallen to around 66.95 and has not effectively fallen below 67. Moreover, crude oil has repeatedly turned the tide in the 67-66 area, successfully stopped the decline and successfully reversed the trend, so crude oil has now entered a strong buying area.Therefore, crude oil is currently at a very attractive price near 67. I think there will be a large influx of buying funds in this area, thus supporting the oil price to rise again.
Then I think we can start to go long on crude oil in this position area! Wish us good luck! Bros, are you also bullish on crude oil in the short term like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
NFP market trading strategyFrom the data, the previous value is 1.2 (million), and the forecast value is 20 (million). From the current expectations, the non-agricultural employment population data may continue to rise sharply, which is bearish for gold; if the data is revised for the previous value, it may bring greater pressure to the gold market; gold fell to around 2613 overnight, and it is not ruled out that institutions are running ahead of the NFP market. If gold in the NFP market continues to fall sharply, it will also harvest most of the funds chasing the rise;
From the chart, gold is currently in a volatile pattern, but from the perspective of rebounding and falling back many times, it faces multiple resistances above, first facing resistance in the 2655-2665 area, and secondly facing resistance in the 2675-2685 area. So it is actually difficult for gold to break upward at the technical level; and today is Friday, the gold market closes the weekly line. From the weekly level, gold still has room to continue to fall, so once gold falls in the NFP market, it is likely to test the 2605-2600 area support; it may even test the 2580-2560 area.
So, today’s NFP market trading strategy:
1. Set the price limit to sell gold at 2658-2662. If it exceeds 2666, the short position will be abandoned;
2. Wait for the data to be released and then follow the gold fluctuations to choose an opportunity to short gold;
Bros, are you ready to participate in the NFP market? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Long Gold AgainWe just bought gold near 2632, and then gold rebounded above 2643. I just closed our long position near 2642 and easily earned 100 pips.
At present, gold has fallen back to around 2626. Although we just missed the opportunity to short gold, when gold falls back, as long as gold does not fall below the 2625 line, I think the gold fall is still an opportunity to go long on gold, so I just went long on gold again near 2628. I think we should be able to make at least another 100 pips profit. Anyway, wish us good luck!
Bros, have you gone long on gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
The bulls are not completely defeated, go long gold!Brothers, gold has fallen sharply to around 2635 in the short term, which seems to have broken the recent range of fluctuations. So are the bears really coming? Have the bulls completely failed in the struggle between the long and short sides?
Although gold seems to be falling rapidly in the short term, the bulls still have a certain degree of resistance and will not be completely defeated immediately. I have just reminded that it is difficult for gold to have a sustainable market before the NFP market. So the short-term decline of gold is probably a fake move to trap more short positions of short gold at low levels. So I think before gold falls below the 2630-2625 area, we must be particularly careful about the counterattack of bullish energy, and we cannot blindly chase short gold.
So in terms of trading, we can try to go long on gold in batches in the 2635-2625 area. Wish us good luck!Bros, will you follow me to do more gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!