Gold rises strongly, aiming for a new high!Last Friday, gold continued to rise strongly, breaking through 3320 in the Asia-Europe session and accelerating its rise. The European session broke through the 3340 mark continuously. The US session broke through 3369 and then fell back. The daily line closed with a big positive line. It broke through the high for three consecutive days and returned to above 3360. The unilateral bullish pattern was re-established. Today, the gold price jumped high and broke through 3370 and then fluctuated at a high level. Although it rushed up, the strength was limited. It must be adjusted after a short-term retracement before it can continue to rise. Therefore, in terms of operation, we continue to maintain the main idea of retreating and multiplying. Pay attention to the 3340-3345 area for short-term support during the day, and look at the 3330 line for strong support. If it does not break, it will continue to be a good opportunity to buy low and do more. Taking advantage of the trend is still the current main tone. As long as the daily level does not break 3330, the bullish structure will not be destroyed.
🔹Support focus: 3340-3345, key support level 3330
🔹Resistance focus: 3380-3393 area
1️⃣ If the price falls back to 3340-3350, a light long position will be intervened, with the target of 3365-3370. A strong breakthrough can see a new high;
2️⃣ If the price rises to 3380-3393 and is under pressure, a short-term short position adjustment can be tried, with a short-term target of around 3360.
The specific real-time points and position arrangements will be updated at the bottom. Interested friends are advised to pay attention to my strategy tips in a timely manner and seize every opportunity reasonably.
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The 3400 mark will be the key for next week!Gold has been up and down this week, and the shock wash has intensified. It bottomed out and rebounded at 3282, and then steadily pulled up. After a slow rise to 3368 on Friday, the retracement was limited, and finally closed at 3355. So can gold be expected to be strong? Is it possible to reach 3400 next week? From the trend point of view, it is too early to say that it will turn strong. 3400 is an insurmountable barrier. Only by breaking through 3400 can we see a stable strong bull. If it is suppressed below 3400, the bulls will not be stable and may fall back at any time. We can only see large range fluctuations. From the overall trend point of view, gold is currently fluctuating widely in the large range of 3250-3400. It is safe to buy below 3300, and it is easy to go up. After all, it is still upward in the long run. Next week, we will focus on the gains and losses of the 3400 mark. It is not recommended to chase the high position directly on Monday. On the one hand, the interruption of the market after the weekend holiday can easily cause discontinuous rise. In addition, after three consecutive positive lines on the daily line, there will either be a negative correction and a fall, or a large positive volume. Combined with the current trend and rhythm of gold, be careful of a high-rise fall, and it is easy to get trapped by chasing long positions at high positions. Don't feel that it will soar as soon as it rises, and the high point of 3500 seems to be within reach; don't feel that it will fall sharply as soon as it falls, and the 3000 mark is not a dream. We should stay away from those who sing long when it rises and sing short when it falls. The direction is not because you see it, so you believe it, but because you believe it, so you see it. There will always be a time when you chase the rise and sell the fall and you will return with nothing.
Moreover, the high point of 3365 has not formed a substantial break and stabilized. On Monday, we still need to focus on the gains and losses of this position, so we need to look at it from two aspects:
1. If it rises directly at the opening, pay attention to the pressure near 3370-3380 and you can go short, and the target is 3350-3340!
2. If the market falls back at the opening, go long around 3340-3330, with the target above the high point of 3360-3368.
Gold still has room to pull back, be brave and short gold!Gold continued to rebound today, and we also successfully gained 150pips profit in long gold trading. However, although gold is currently maintaining its upward trend, the rebound strength of gold is not strong during the European session, and it has repeatedly touched 3375 and then fell back, proving that there is still some resistance above. In my previous trading point of view, I also emphasized that gold is under pressure near 3380 in the short term. In addition, from a technical perspective, today's intraday high is limited to 3395.
So in order to dump the bullish momentum so that it can break through 3380 more smoothly, or even continue to above 3340, gold will inevitably have a retracement in the short term. So when most people in the market are still waiting for a retracement to go long on gold, I will definitely not waste the opportunity of gold retracement in vain.
So for short-term trading, I will consider shorting gold appropriately in the 3375-3395 area, with the target looking at 3360-3350. After gold falls back as expected, we might as well consider going long on gold at a low level.
It is the right time to go long after the shock and adjustmentGold opened higher at 3364 today, and after a brief surge to 3374, it entered a stage of shock and retracement. Our plan to arrange short orders near 3370 was successfully implemented, and we stopped profits in batches in the 3360-3355 range, making short-term profits. Overall, although it jumped higher due to the stimulus of news such as the increase in tariffs over the weekend, the momentum of the surge is limited, and the technical side still needs to retrace to digest the gains.
At present, the market has returned to the technical rhythm. The key support refers to the breakthrough point of 3340-3345 last Friday. Further exploration will look at the strong support of 3330. The overall rhythm is still mainly to arrange long orders near the low support, and going with the trend is the key. As long as the 3330 support is not broken, the daily line structure will still maintain a strong bullish trend. Do not blindly chase the short position. The operation of short orders against the trend needs to be particularly cautious. I will promptly remind you of the specific operation strategy according to the changes in the market. You can pay attention to the bottom notification. It is recommended that you keep paying attention and respond to the market rhythm steadily.
Reference for gold operation strategy: Go long on gold near the 3345-3355 area, target the 3365-3370 line. If it breaks above 3370, you can continue to hold and hope for further continuation.
Two lines of defense for bulls: 3340 and 3330 are the key!Gold maintains a strong pattern in the short term, and it is recommended to mainly buy on dips. The short-term support below focuses on the neckline of the hourly line at 3340 last Friday. The more critical support is locked at the 3330 line. This range is an important watershed for judging the continuation of short-term bullish momentum. As long as the daily level can remain stable above the 3330 mark, the overall trend will remain upward. Before falling below this position, we should adhere to the idea of buying low and buying low, and rely on key support levels to arrange long orders. At present, the price has completed a technical breakthrough and broke through the upper edge of the 3330 convergence triangle under the dual positive factors of Trump's tariff landing to stimulate risk aversion and the support of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, and formed three consecutive positive daily lines. It is necessary to pay attention to the short-term pressure at the 3375 line. The overall operation strategy will be combined with the real-time trend prompts during the trading session, and pay attention to the bottom in time.
7.15 Gold Market Analysis and Operation SuggestionsFrom the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below focuses on the neckline of the hourly line of last Friday, 3340-45, and focuses on the support of 3325-30. The intraday retracement continues to follow the trend and the main bullish trend remains unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3325 mark. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to follow the trend and bullish rhythm. Before falling below this position, continue to follow the trend and follow the trend. Maintain the main tone of participation.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to 3340-45, and add more when it falls back to 3325-30, stop loss 3317, target 3365-70, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Where will gold prices go at the weekly close?The mentality of trading is very important. At the same time, you must have clear ideas and decisive actions. Gold has been in a state of rapid growth. Many people are easily led to big losses by a small mistake. If you are worried about the loss at this time, you can choose to observe our daily operations in the group. The operations in the group are reasonable and well-founded, with real-time current price orders, and the returns are also considerable. Everyone is welcome to come and verify.
Gold risk aversion has driven gold to strengthen. The current bullish trend of gold is strong. The decline during the US trading session is still dominated by long positions. Technically, the 1-hour moving average forms a golden cross upward, indicating sufficient bullish momentum. After the gold price breaks through, it is confirmed that the support level of 3330 is effective, and the short-term support structure has been formed. It is recommended to wait for the second opportunity for the gold price to step back! Although the 1-hour chart shows that the current trend remains strong and the step-back amplitude is small, it is necessary to maintain a cautious attitude-even if the market is strong, it is not recommended to chase more, and it is necessary to guard against the risk of a deep correction in the gold price. In terms of operation, it is reminded that you can focus on the support level below: the first support level is 3345 (bull-bear watershed). If it falls below, pay attention to the key support of 3330. If the gold price falls back to around 3345 and stabilizes, you can consider a light position to try more.
Although the bulls are strong, don't chase them at high levelsGold trend analysis:
The market is fluctuating repeatedly now, and it is possible to rise or fall, but under the bullish trend, the main force is still rising. Therefore, this week's trading is to fall back and do more at a low price. Whether it is the previous 3285, 3306, or 3315, there are good profits. Although it is temporarily unable to break out of the bullish volume, at least the trend remains unchanged, and there will definitely be a large upward space in the future. Today is Friday, and we still pay attention to the possibility of bullish volume. This week, we have been emphasizing that if it rises during the week, we will see the 3370 high point. If 3370 breaks, there are still 3380 and 3400 above. On Friday, we will see whether this idea is realized.
From a technical point of view, there was a sharp pull this morning, with the big sun breaking through the upper track of the downward channel 3326 in the above figure, and then stepping back to confirm stabilization and bottoming out, which means that the breakthrough is effective, so you can directly follow the bullish trend in the morning, and during the European session, it repeatedly went up and down around the 3345-3332 range. With the experience of yesterday's trend, today we have been waiting for it to approach the 10-day moving average and then continue to be bullish on dips, and the entry point is basically good; currently it has broken through the resistance level of 3345 in the European session, so it depends on whether it can stand directly on it tonight. Once it stands, it can gradually rush to 3370, and the second is 3374, etc.; Of course, if it just pierces but does not stabilize, it will continue to spiral slowly upward around the yellow channel in the figure, so continue to wait patiently for the 10-day moving average, which is also the lower track position to grasp the low and long; Therefore, tonight gold 3345-3333 continues to rise on dips, with 3330 top and bottom positions as nodes, resistance at 3370, further resistance at 3374, etc.; If there is an unexpected big negative inducement to empty the market like yesterday, pay attention to stabilization above 3320 and still bullish;
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go long when it falls back to 3333-3345, and the target is 3360-3370.
Continue to try to find the top of the band to short goldGold maintained a slow and volatile rise structure during the day. The highest has reached 3348, and it is only a step away from 3350. Will gold continue its upward momentum as usual?
In fact, it was beyond my expectation that gold could break through 3345 in the short term. According to my original expectation, the intraday high of gold was almost around 3345. Although the rebound of gold exceeded expectations, it is currently located near the resistance of 3348-3350, so I will definitely not give priority to chasing gold at high levels in short-term transactions.
Moreover, gold is currently in the resistance area of 3348-3350. The volatility of gold has converged, and the upward momentum has declined. As gold continues to rebound and faces the key resistance area again, the bulls are relatively more cautious. In this context, this resistance area may act as a catalyst, and the bears will react, leading the decline in gold. However, as gold rebounds and the support below gradually stabilizes, we can appropriately reduce the expectation of gold's decline and adjust the decline target to the 3330-3320 area.
So for short-term trading, I will still short gold based on the resistance area, trying to find a swing top in the 3340-3350 area, and look at the target area of 3330-3320.
How to seize gold trading opportunitiesNews:
On Friday (July 11) in the Asian time zone, US President Trump posted a "tariff change" on social media, announcing that a 35% tariff would be imposed on all Canadian goods from August 1, a 10 percentage point increase from the current rate. This decision was like a thunderbolt, instantly igniting the market's risk aversion sentiment, and the spot gold price soared, reaching a high of $3,344 per ounce during the session. Although Trump extended the tariff agreement to August 1, which once suppressed the gold price, he subsequently stated that it would not be extended after the expiration, and launched further tariff attacks after the expiration, announcing a new 50% tariff on copper imports from the United States and a 50% tariff on goods from Brazil, which increased concerns about tariff risks and pushed the gold price to rebound from the bottom;
Gold trend analysis:
The market is fluctuating repeatedly now, and it is possible to rise or fall, but under the bullish trend, the main force is still rising. Therefore, this week's trading is to fall back and do more at a low price. Whether it is the previous 3285, 3304, or 3317, there are good profits. Although it is temporarily unable to break out of the bullish volume, at least the trend remains unchanged, and there will definitely be a large upward space in the future. Today is Friday, and we still pay attention to the possibility of bullish volume. This Monday has been emphasizing that if it rises during the week, it will look at the 3345 high point. If 3345 breaks, there are still 3365 and 3400 above. Friday will see whether this idea is realized.
From a technical point of view, all cycles are obviously bullish now. The daily line bottomed out on Tuesday, and Wednesday and Thursday were all small broken Yang rising. If it continues, we will first see whether the daily Bollinger middle rail 3345 pressure is broken. After the break, the big Yang closes high. This wave of rise may reach 3400. Therefore, the daily cycle has a lot of room for growth and should not be taken lightly. The H4 cycle needs to see whether today's rise can break 3345, because if it breaks 3345, there is a possibility of the upper rail opening. After the upper rail opens, gold will have a unilateral trend. Therefore, today's bullish target is 3345. If 3345 is not broken, there is still a possibility of a decline. If 3345 breaks, there will be 3365 and 3400 above. Here, it is clearly bullish and optimistic about the break of 3345. After determining the direction, the trading idea on Friday is also clear. It must be mainly long on the decline. The support below is 3320-3310. Don't chase more in the European session. Trade again if there is a decline.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go long if it falls back to around 3315-3325, with the target at 3335-3345; it is recommended to consider shorting if it touches 3345 but does not break, with the target at 3335-3325.
7.11 Gold bulls rise again, beware of the black swan coming on FYesterday, Thursday, the US dollar index rose first and then fell. It once approached the 98 mark before the US market, but then gave up most of the gains.
Yesterday, spot gold fluctuated around the 3320-30 US dollar mark. After the US market, it once touched 3310, but finally rebounded to above 3320 for consolidation.
Today, Friday, gold broke through the high point of 3330 yesterday in one fell swoop in the early trading.
So this is relatively good news for bulls.
If the high point of yesterday breaks through and stabilizes, it means that the bullish upward trend may continue today.
From the current 4-hour chart:
It can be found that the current 4-hour chart of gold has stabilized in the breakthrough range.
So if gold continues to go up, simply look at the previous high point.
The two recent high points are around 3345 and 3360.
Gold’s Uptrend Is a Mirage,Bears Are Lurking Beneath!Gold has rebounded to around 3336, and seems to have tried to stand above 3335, but it has not stood firm. Therefore, it cannot be considered that the bulls have an advantage just because gold has tried to break through 3335. Recently, I have been reminding everyone that before gold stands above 3335, the bears still have the spare power to dominate the market, so I fully believe that the gold bulls and bears will fight fiercely for control around 3335!
Why do I think it is difficult for gold bulls to have a good performance in the short term? Because since gold fell and touched 3285, it has fallen below many key supports. The market is short-selling. The previous support has become a key resistance under the effect of technical top and bottom conversion, and multiple resistances are concentrated in the 3335-3345-3355 area. Under the suppression of multiple resistances, it is difficult for gold bulls to make any progress in the short term.
So before the resistance is effectively broken, I think any rebound may be an opportunity to short gold, so I will try to find the band top and short gold based on the resistance area, and now I think it is still worth a try to short gold in the 3330-3340 area as originally planned! And look at the target area of 3320-3310
Gold has a big win this dayNews: In the early Asian session on Thursday (July 10), spot gold fluctuated slightly higher, once regaining the 3320 mark, and is currently trading around $3323/ounce. On Wednesday, gold prices rebounded strongly after hitting a two-week low of 3282.61, closing at $3313.38/ounce, showing strong momentum for recovery. Trump extended the tariff agreement to August 1 and began to collect tariffs again. Although it eased market tensions, his remarks will not be extended after the expiration, and he issued tariff threats, which increased global trade uncertainty and pushed up risk aversion. The market is still facing economic and inflation concerns brought about by tariffs, which will also weaken the dollar and support gold prices.
Analysis of gold trend: After the full-day trend of gold on Wednesday, the lowest price was 3282 and the highest price was 3322, with a range of $40, so the bullish strength has come out. However, Li Siyu would like to emphasize here that gold is in a bullish trend for the time being, but it is not an absolute unilateral trend, but a fluctuating trend under the bullish trend. There are opportunities both up and down on Thursday. If it rises, you can look at 3345, and if it falls, you can look at 3285. Therefore, before there is an absolute strong unilateral rise, it is recommended that everyone keep looking at this wave of gold fluctuations. However, today's market is more important. Today is Thursday, and Thursday is often the node of the weekly change time. Today is likely to continue the rebound on Wednesday and continue to rise.
From a technical point of view, the daily line closed positive under the rebound of 3282 and stood firmly above the lower Bollinger track. If it continues to close positive on Thursday, it is necessary to pay attention to the suppression of the middle Bollinger track, that is, the high point of 3345. After breaking through, there will be another wave of rise on Friday, and you can see 3365 and 3400. Therefore, today's gains and losses of 3345 are crucial. The strong rebound in the H4 cycle is quite obvious. When it falls, it is very weak and continuous. When it rises, it is very strong and continuous. It depends on whether the continuous positive trend on Thursday will continue. Now the K-line stands firmly on the middle track of Bollinger. If it continues to rise, the high point of the upper track is around 3340-3345. In principle, the continuation of the long position will test the high point of the upper track. Therefore, it is still possible to go long today. Of course, it is not an absolute long trend now, so don't chase the rise. The support below the small cycle is around 3310-3300. If it falls back to this price, you can continue to go long. Clearly define the target. Today, we will see the gains and losses of 3345.
Golden Trap: Bulls Exhausted, Bears Ready to StrikeToday, the gold market is in a stalemate between long and short positions, with the market fluctuating sideways for a long time and maintaining an overall volatile trend. Although the rebound of gold has won a respite for the bulls, the rebound of gold during the day is not enough to completely reverse the decline. I think that before the 3325-3335 area is stabilized, the bears still have spare power to dominate the market!
According to the current structure, although gold rebounded again after touching 3310 during the retracement, it has retreated many times during the rebound. The candle chart is interspersed with obvious negative candle charts, indicating that the rebound strength is weak. In the short term, it is under pressure in the 3330-3340 area, and it is difficult to break through in a short time.
So I think the role of the gold rebound may be to trap more buyers, so we try not to chase gold after the rebound. The area near 3310 is not a key support in the short term. 3305-3300 is the current key support area. Once the bears regain control of the situation, gold may test the 3305-3300 area again. Once it falls below the reformed area, it may test 3280 again, or even refresh the recent low to around 3270.
So the downward potential of gold is not over yet. We can still look for opportunities to short gold in the 3325-3335 area and look at the target 3305-3295 area.
Repeated cycle, timing is keyMarket fluctuations are oscillating about 70% of the time, and only about 30% of the time are unilateral upward or downward, so accumulating small victories into big victories is the magic weapon for long-term success. What we need to do is to plan our positions well, and make this investment with a plan, direction, and guidance. A good trader will make your investment journey smoother. How to operate in a volatile market? The ancients said: Do not do good things because they are small, and do not do evil things because they are small. If we move it to financial management, it can be understood as: Don't be too greedy, enter the market in batches. When entering the market and covering positions, the position should be small. Although the profit is less, accumulating small victories into big victories is the key to success. The investment philosophy is composed of the investor's psychology, philosophy, motivation, and technical level. It mainly includes: stability, patience, independent thinking, discipline, trend, etc.
Judging from the current trend of gold, in the 4H cycle, it has touched 3330 many times under pressure, and the K-line has continuously closed with upper shadows, which is quite similar to yesterday's rhythm. So we must first look at the strength of the decline. The support below is at 3314 and 3306. In terms of operation, it should be treated as mainly long and auxiliary short. The upper pressure still focuses on the gains and losses of 3330.
Short gold ,the downside potential is far from over.After we waited patiently for a long time, the gold bears finally showed signs of strength and began to fall as expected. Why do I insist on being optimistic about the gold retracement and wait patiently for it to retrace? !
In fact, it is very simple. Gold started to rebound from around 3283 and touched around 3330, which only recovered 50% of the decline. When facing the 50% retracement level, the bulls were unable to do so and could not stand above 3335, and could not even stabilize above 3330. The bulls' willingness was obviously insufficient. Then it can be determined that the gold rebound is only a technical repair of the sharp drop, and it cannot be completely regarded as a reversal of the trend. Then after a certain degree of repair, the gold bears will counterattack again.
Moreover, from the perspective of market psychology, the recent gold bull and bear markets have been discontinuous, and Trump often stirs up the gold market, making it difficult for the market to stand unilaterally on the bull side. Therefore, before gold stabilizes in the 3330-3340 area, there is limited room for rebound in the short term. Once gold falls below the 3310-3305 area again during the retracement, gold may test the area around 3280 again, or even around 3270.
So the above is why I insist on shorting gold, and I have shorted gold at 3320-3330 as planned, and patiently hold the position to see its performance in the 3310-3305 area, which is also the target area of our short-term short position.
Gold 4-hour resistance point fluctuates, shorts comeOn Thursday (July 10), the 4-hour resistance point of gold price was formed before the US market. The logic of shorting at the resistance point can be considered. Spot gold maintained a strong trend in the European session, trading around $3,330. Although US President Trump's remarks on imposing a new round of tariffs on many countries triggered safe-haven demand, the FOMC meeting minutes showed differences in the path of interest rate cuts within the year, making gold bulls still cautious.
Spot gold continued to retreat after the previous high of $3,499.83, and has been blocked below $3,451.14 recently, forming a relatively obvious box consolidation structure. The current price is running below the middle track of the Bollinger Band at $3,343.69, indicating that the upward momentum of the bulls is weak. Analysts believe that the short-term key support level is at $3,250, which forms a resonance support with the previous low of $3,247.87. If it falls below, it may increase the downside risk.
Gold's short-term decline is limited and will continue to riseWith the rise of gold in the US market yesterday, the trend line of the downward trend channel has been supported many times in the short cycle. After the rebound, we still need to pay attention to the suppression of 3328-30. This position is the suppression position of the 4-hour downward trend channel. If it breaks, the overall trend will be a rising flag, which may continue the upward trend. Of course, if it continues to not break through the suppression of 3328-30, it may fluctuate within the range. This requires further observation.
Intraday short-term suggestions: short-term long mainly, pay attention to the support of short-term long near 3307, stop loss 3297, take profit at 3328-30 suppression, break at 3348-50, pay attention to risks.
Start buying gold, a rebound may come at any time!Gold is undoubtedly weak at present, and bears have the upper hand. However, since gold touched the 3290-3280 area, gold bears have made more tentative moves, but have never really fallen below the 3290-3280 area, proving that as gold continues to fall, bears have become more cautious.
From the perspective of gold structure, multiple technical structural supports are concentrated in the 3285-3275 area, which makes it difficult for gold to fall below this area easily. After gold has failed to fall below this area, gold is expected to build a short-term bottom structure with the help of multiple supports in this area, thereby stimulating bulls to exert their strength and a rebound may come at any time.
Therefore, in the short term, I do not advocate chasing short gold; instead, I prefer to try to find the bottom and go long gold in the 3290-3280 area; but we should note that because gold is currently in an obvious short trend, we should appropriately reduce the expectation of gold rebound, so we can appropriately look at the rebound target: 3305-3315 area.
Technical analysis guide for gold in the US market!Technical aspects:
The gold daily chart shows an obvious shock consolidation structure, and is currently running between the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands, with an overall weak trend. Since hitting a high of $3499.83, the market has fallen into a sideways consolidation range, with top resistance concentrated in the $3400-3450 range and bottom support at $3250. The recent price retracement to around 3250 failed to effectively break below, forming an important support level.
The MACD indicator crossover continues, the green column is enlarged, the double lines are downward, and the momentum is weak. The RSI indicator runs around 44, and does not show oversold or rebound signals. The price is still in a weak consolidation stage. Analysts believe that if it falls below the 3250 line, it may open up further correction space, and pay attention to the 3170 area support; on the upside, if it can effectively stand above 3400, it is expected to retest the 3450 line high.
7.9 Gold long and short switches frequently!From the daily chart, the overall gold price is still in a weak position, the moving average is hooked, and the upper pressure is near the moving average 3319. Only if it breaks through and stands firm at this position during the day, can the bulls start to exert their strength. It happens that the MA10 position of H4 is also near 3319. At present, H4 is in a bearish trend, so the bullish pressure is still very large, but it rose in the early morning, and it bottomed out and rebounded. Combined with the recent non-continuation of the long and short trends, there is a high probability of rebounding during the day, so we can go long in the Asian session first, and go long directly at the current price of 3300, add positions to 3295, defend 3286, and look at 3312-19. The focus is still on the strength of the European session. If the European session is strong, continue to go long before the US session retreats; if the European session is weak, the US session will bottom out and rebound!
Gold lures shorts, mainly depending on the rebound.On Monday, the gold market rebounded. The root cause was that Trump sent tariff letters to 14 countries at one time. Even allies such as Japan and South Korea were not spared and were subject to high tariffs of 25% to 40%. This "extreme pressure" trade method instantly ignited the market's risk aversion sentiment. Funds poured into gold, pushing up gold prices. The market quickly saw through the "routine". On Tuesday, Trump extended the tariff deadline from July 9 to August 1. This delay was seen as a signal of "surrendering" under trade pressure, and trade tensions were eased. The safe-haven demand dissipated like a receding tide, and gold was sold off violently, plummeting by $35 in a single day, a drop of more than 1%, and the lowest fell to $3,287.2 per ounce.
On Tuesday, the price of gold showed a trend of rising and falling. It reached a high of 3245 in the morning and then gradually fell. It fell to 3287 and then stopped falling and rebounded. As it failed to break through the key resistance level of 3345 and the price continued to be unable to stand firm on the middle track, the bulls' rebound momentum was insufficient. Yesterday's daily line closed with a large Yin line in the engulfing pattern. This K-line combination indicates that the gold price may continue to fall today. The focus below is on the support strength near the lower track 3280. The upper resistance level needs to pay attention to the 3320-3330 range. Today's daily closing is crucial. If the real big Yin line continues to close, it may drive the Bollinger Band to open downward and further open up the downward space; if the closing can stand above 3330, the short-term downward trend may end and the market is expected to restart the rise. From the weekly perspective, the gold price showed an obvious oscillation pattern this week. After rising on Monday, it fell back on Tuesday. The bulls and bears fought fiercely but failed to gain a decisive advantage. Although the current market is weak, the price is close to the important support area. In terms of operations, it is recommended that under the premise of controlling risks, you can now pay attention to the opportunities to buy on dips in the 3295-3285 area.
Buy Gold! The short-term bottom may have appeared!Gold continued to retreat yesterday and hit a recent low, reaching around 3287. Then gold gradually rebounded to above 3300. Relatively speaking, the rebound momentum was weak. It is expected that the long and short sides will fight fiercely around 3300. However, from the recent characteristics of gold operation, it can be seen that although the short position of gold is strong, it is difficult to continue in the short term, and I think the short-term decline of gold is basically in place, so at this stage, in terms of short-term trading, I do not advocate shorting gold directly;
As gold did not continue to fall after reaching around 3287, on the contrary, it gradually rebounded to above 3300, which may strengthen the market's consensus on the short-term bottom, thereby attracting the favor of off-site funds; from the current gold structure, if gold can maintain above 3300-3295, it may be combined with the 3287 low to build a "W" double bottom structure, which is conducive to supporting the rebound of gold.
However, as gold fell below 3300 again, the bearish trend is relatively strong, so we need to moderately lower our expectations for a gold rebound. In the short term, gold is under pressure in the 3315-3325 area, so we can temporarily look to this area for the rebound target. Therefore, in short-term trading, I do not advocate shorting gold directly, and you can first consider going long on gold in the 3300-3295 area, TP: 3310-3320-3330.