XAUUSD: Market outlook is still in 1910~1930In the morning, analyze the shock from 1910 to 1930. In the consolidation stage, go long at 1921, TP at 1927, and then short at 1927/1930 respectively. The market is not much different from the trend I updated on the TV public screen and the old post.
If you are short like me, then you must feel that gold cannot go down, and it will stop when it falls to 1926 at the lowest. .
Of course, it is also related to the early closure of the US market, and the market may not fluctuate much.
But have you ever thought about it, if you think differently from the bulls? I also feel that gold cannot go up, because 1930 has always been a hurdle for gold
I also made the reasons for the bearish near 1927 very clear. There is no data today, that is purely technical fluctuations, and when entering the market for technical fluctuations, we must take the initiative to grasp the possibility of 1930 double tops. The decline is very important. Although we may not see too much profit, we can make money as a wave of short-term trading.
Obviously, the current market has not fluctuated to this decline, and I think there is no problem in terminating the transaction before the market closes.
My principle is to leave tomorrow's money for tomorrow to earn!
So see you tomorrow!
Goldtradeidea
GOLD: Long-term developments!It remains to be seen whether the USD bulls can maintain their dominant position or take some profits off the table before the release of the US Core PCE Price Index - the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Important data is due at the end of the North American session and will impact expectations for future acceleration. This, in turn, will drive demand for USD and provide a new directional impetus for Gold prices, which seem poised to end the quarter in negative territory for the first time since September 2022.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Technical analysis of gold, how to operate the US market?Looking at gold on the daily line, the relative strength index (RSI) fell to 40, reflecting a bearish bias in the near-term outlook. Gold may face strong resistance at 1940, which is the confluence of the downtrend line and the 100-day moving average. Looking at gold from the 4-hour line, with the relative strength index (RSI) line at 14 recovering from the overbought area, gold prices are approaching the support line from a month ago. A looming bullish crossover on the moving average convergence and divergence (MACD) indicator added strength to gold's corrective rally. On the whole, it is recommended to rebound and short in the evening gold operation!
Gold evening operation strategy:
Empty order strategy: It is recommended to go short at 1932-1934, stop loss at 1941, and target around 1918;
Multi-single strategy: It is recommended to go long at 1918-1916, stop loss at 1910, and target around 1930
Detailed daily trading signals can contact me to get! I wish you all a great and profitable new week
Gold trading recommendations today
Gold 1913 direct multi
For today's gold, first of all, today is the last trading day of this week, be wary of short profit-taking. Secondly, with the continuous decline this week, there is also a demand for rebound in the short term. Thirdly, judging from the 4-hour chart of gold, the current 1910 area below has met obvious support, and there is also a clear rebound signal in form.
Trading straregy:
gold: buy@1913 tp1:1925 tp2:1930
Next, there will be a lot of trading opportunities for gold, and I will provide you with more signals, don't miss the opportunity to make money!
Gold is up 40% today6.20 Gold market trend analysis:
Gold closed yesterday in a narrow range, the daily line entity is not large, the star K line closed. In the short term into the contraction shock, yesterday due to the early closure of the holiday market, the space to further shrink, the technical structure temporarily entered the contraction of the Braindao oscillating operation. On Monday, the overall volatility of gold was smaller and went downward, recorded a bardo, on the daily line, gold is currently holding in the slow consolidation of the downward channel, the high point gradually moved down and may form a downward triangle, which suggests that there may be continued downside space on the daily trend. In the trend of the 4-hour level, the K line continues to bear the short-period moving average, showing a weak operating trend. Although there was a small rebound in the morning, it was not strong and had been repaired in technical form. Therefore, in the short-term trend, gold still shows a weak tendency.
The hourly line shows a clear return of the interval, and the early positive line in the daily line structure indicates that the market has a certain resistance, but the rebound height of the positive line is still limited by the suppression area. After the second correction of the market, the market still has downward expectations. The Breindau upper track coincides with the upper track resistance 1970 of the recent oscillation zone. Down the track around 1932. A few trading days before the beginning of this week, the large probability is to maintain a range of shocks, and can not see the momentum of breakthrough for the time being. There is no shock trend of breakthrough kinetic energy, and the unilateral quantity is insufficient, which will form repeated sawing and washing disks. Operation on the card point is the key. The direction is second. Short line grasp on the rail empty rail. Try to stay close to the edge of the range, and the stop loss level is relatively small, which also reduces the possibility of being washed. Today, gold has a further pullback risk, short-term above the focus on ma5 pressure is near 1953, the price is expected to rely on 1953 resistance to test 1938 and lower support. The lower support area is concerned between 1940-1930, in summary, today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that the rebound is mainly short, the callback is supplemented by more, the above short-term focus on 1958-1960 resistance, the below short-term focus on 1940-1938 support, friends must keep up with the rhythm. To control the position and stop loss problem, strictly set the stop loss, do not resist single operation. The recent market turbulence is large, opportunities and risks coexist, and risks are controlled
Strategy one: Gold rebound around 1952-1955 batch short, stop loss 1961, target near 1940-1935, break to see 1930 line
Strategy two: Gold callback near 1930-1932 batch long, stop loss 1924, target near 1940-1945, break to see 1950 line (recommended for reference only, the actual operation according to the real-time operation of the disk)
XAUUSD:Short-term bearish within the day, and then rise againGold suddenly rose rapidly in the short term. The price of gold has now risen to around 1956. In the Asian market, the price of gold once touched a level around 1945. The price of gold has successfully touched our first target price of 1945. Waiting for the price of gold to fall below this level will confirm that the price of gold will continue The corrective bearish trend and fell to the next target 1913.
I continue to predict that the price of gold will be in a bearish trend for some time to come. From the 4-hour chart, the price of gold is below the 50-period exponential moving average (EMA), which supports the bearish expectation.
It should be noted that if the gold price breaks through 1956 and continues its upward trend, this may push the gold price's intraday outlook to turn bullish, and rise to the key resistance 1977, and then try to fall again.
The timing of long-short operations around 1956 needs to continue to pay attention to the follow-up trend
Intraday real-time trading signal follow-up update...
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
The price of gold stands at 1962, and the market outlook is expeLooking at the daily line, if the price of gold can stand above 1962, the market outlook is expected to further touch 1985, which are the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 2082-1925 downward range. However, given that 1962 is in the recent intensive transaction area, it is more likely to fluctuate on this line.
Gold rose to 1964 in the Asian session; the US dollar index rose to 102.186.
The price of gold fell to 1924.73 yesterday, its lowest level since March 17. However, as the newly released U.S. economic data provided a new basis for the Federal Reserve to suspend interest rate hikes, the price of gold completely recovered the lost ground during the day and rose by more than 0.8% to close at 1957.81.
Data released on Thursday showed that as of the week of June 10, the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits totaled 262K. value. U.S. industrial production unexpectedly fell 0.2% in May, following a 0.5% rise in April. The market had expected a rise of 0.1%.
"Gold is struggling because the Fed is still hawkish on inflation and interest rates," said Edward Meyer, metals analyst at Marex. Over the next two weeks, gold is likely to trade in the $1,931-$2,000 range, with strong resistance at the upper end, Meir added.
The Fed's updated forecast this week pointed to the resilience of the U.S. economy and suggested that borrowing costs may need to rise another 50 basis points by the end of the year. Traders are currently pricing in a 72% chance of a 25 basis point hike in July.
Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy despite stronger-than-expected inflation as it focused on supporting a fragile economic recovery amid a sharp slowdown in global growth. Governor Kazuo Ueda delivered a speech after the meeting, noting that more time is needed to achieve the 2 percent inflation target.
Gold reaches a key trading positionThe Fed's interest rate decision has been settled, and the previous record of ten consecutive interest rate hikes has been stopped. The key point is that the Fed expects to raise interest rates by 50 basis points this year. Therefore, gold is still out of the decline, including the market is still digesting interest rates. The impact of the announcement of the resolution. After the digestion of the market in the first three days of this week, the shape of each cycle has also changed. The daily line has formed three consecutive negatives in the shocks and declines of the first three days, and the top has moved down to 1970. Bollinger may open with a temporary slow decline. Therefore, the daily cycle may fall and crash at any time, and the key point is still at 1932. Once again, if it falls below 1932, the long-short trend of gold will change, and a unilateral plunge will be formed at that time. You can pay attention to 1910 below. 1860, 1810.
The H4 cycle is more obvious. After rushing up to 1960 on Wednesday, it was weak and just suppressed below the 60-day moving average. After falling at midnight, Bollinger has opened his mouth for the time being. Every moving average forms a suppression and diverges downward. Breaking through 1932, there is no doubt that the weak short position is undoubtedly, and the bottom cannot be guessed below. It needs to be shorted for a period of time, and then wait for H4 to close and form a shock. Therefore, on the whole, gold may form a short trend today. If it falls below 1932, it can get out of the room for a sharp drop. Under this weakness, try to be short-selling. In the performance of the small cycle, it should be noted that although it is weak, it cannot be chased short. After all, the low point has not been refreshed for the time being, and 1932 has not broken, so there is still room for a rebound to support the test. The upper suppression point is 1940, 1945, and it needs to be shorted in combination with the intraday pattern.
6.15 Gold strategy: Before 1932 breaks, you can rely on the vicinity of 1932 to go long, stop loss 5 points, target 1940-1945
Rebound to 1940-1945 and short in batches, stop loss at 1951, target 1932-1930 to break the position and hold, after breaking the 1932 trend support point, there may be a sharp drop in the unilateral market, then we need to pay attention to whether the support below 1910-1900 is stable Reconsider whether to participate more
(For reference only, specific real offer analysis shall prevail)
Gold Today - Scalping in a downtrendThe price of gold is currently hovering around the $1932 mark, showing a downward trend over the past three days. The actions taken by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) caused some volatility today but were unable to reverse the downward trend of XAU/USD due to the hawkish trend.
It's worth noting that if the price drops below $1,932, it could quickly reach the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the XAU/USD rally from November 2022, which is around the $1,900 mark.
However, there is an ascending support line around $1,895 that could pose a challenge to the bears in the gold market.
As mentioned yesterday, I implemented a selling strategy at $1955 and took profits at $1930. Currently, I have a buy order at $1930 in hopes of reaching $1945 and $1955.
Given this range, it might be a good idea to continue setting up a sell order for gold in order to profit around $1915 and potentially even $1900 in the near future.
Today's PPI - Bulls are extremely scaredThe recent decision by the Fed to pause on future rate hikes is good news for gold. However, there are concerns that the yellow metal could face increased pressure as this move may push risk appetite up.
Some analysts have warned that the Fed may still raise rates later in the day due to US inflation being far above the central bank's 2% target.
Despite slipping below the 2 EMAs of the uptrend, gold remains stuck between key breakout support and resistance levels of 1935 and 1980.
The Fed's actions could have a significant impact on the US dollar's value and, in turn, affect gold's performance.
Currently, gold is moving below the bearish band in all trading frames, and its decline may only stop if there is more positive news or if the price resistance at 1918 - $ 1900 is reached.
Today's target for gold traders should be to keep an eye on the 1955 zone, as the downtrend may continue around this price level.
🚨 XAUUSD High Probability BUY Setup SOON 🚨🚨 XAUUSD High Probability BUY Setup SOON 🚨
* Here we can see clearly the next potential move for Gold in coming hours or day.
* EP(BUY): 1954.23
* TP1: 1965.95
* TP2: 1969.73
* No SL provided for this trade.
* Keep your eye close on your trading positions.
* Happy pip hunting traders.
* FX KILLA *
Gold current price 1951 short!
Gold current price 1951 short!
Gold fell below the 1-hour upward trend line yesterday. Gold rushed up many times in 1 hour without breaking through, and fell below the support upwards. I chose to break through upwards. A rebound with the trend is short selling. The gold 1950 area has formed support for gold many times a few days ago.
Before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, the probability of the market fluctuating is relatively high, and now it just hits the resistance level, so go short first. Then wait for the final direction of the Fed's interest rate decision.
Trading straregy:
gold: sell@1950-1955 tp1:1946 tp2:1941
Next, there will be a lot of trading opportunities for gold, and I will provide you with more signals, don't miss the opportunity to make money!
CPI forecast with mixed opinionsRecently, central banks have been instrumental in supporting the value of gold. Their interest in purchasing precious metals has reached new heights, playing a major role in stabilizing gold prices.
Despite this, the US Federal Reserve continues to hold a significant position in the gold market, and many anticipate an increase in gold prices once the current monetary tightening cycle comes to a close.
Gold is currently selling at $196.20, which is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of its most recent daily drop.
This indicates a potential downside risk and suggests that the lows of $1932.00 may be tested monthly in May.
The daily chart reveals that gold is positioned below the bearish 34 and 89 EMAs, with its slope extending below the aforementioned Fibonacci level.
Gold trading recommendations today
Gold did not continue to fall after yesterday's fall, but a small rebound. Are gold bulls starting to reverse again? This is also a matter of concern to everyone. Tonight, the annual rate of CPI in the United States has not been adjusted seasonally in May. Before the data, it is normal for gold to fluctuate back and forth. However, the gold rebound is an opportunity to short.
The gold 4-hour is now in a relay pattern of triangle convergence. The overall 4-hour trend is still downward. After the golden triangle converges and falls below the lower support, the gold 4-hour decline will continue. After gold fell below the downward trend line for 1 hour yesterday, the rebound did not break through the downward trend line again, which has formed a back pressure. At the same time, a downward channel has formed a trend of oscillating and falling in 1 hour.
Trading straregy:
gold: sell@1959 tp1:1949 tp2:1944
Next, there will be a lot of trading opportunities for gold, and I will provide you with more signals, don't miss the opportunity to make money!
Today GOLD - Volatility In Big FrameGold prices saw a decline on Monday after hitting a five-day high of $1,973 on Friday.
However, prices remained within last week's range, as investors turned cautious ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and policy announcements of the United States Federal Reserve.
The bearish 89-day Moving Average (EMA) has been causing rejection, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) below the midline, indicating a bearish bias in the near term.
However, a daily close above the 89 EMA could eliminate the possibility of a drop and trigger a new uptrend towards Friday's high of $1,973, with a challenge to the June 2 high of $1,983. Additionally, Gold buyers will aim to reclaim the resistance at $1990.
CPI inflation data forward-looking, personal forward-looking guiTomorrow is the release of cpi data. Judging from the volatile and sideways trend, tomorrow's market should be very big. Here I believe that many investors still want to know, I am more inclined to cpi is falling or rising.
From the perspective of data expectations, the previous value is 4.9%, and the expected value is 4.1%. The gap in the middle is still relatively large. Maybe everyone thinks that the rate of inflation will not fall so quickly. With a high probability, most people think that the announced value will be greater than expected, but less than the previous value. But I personally prefer less than expected. In this way, the impact on the data is data bullish for gold, but the trend of gold prices will show a performance of rising first and then falling.
Because when inflation falls, the first wave of bets on market funds must be bullish on gold as shown by the data. But at the same time, when inflation falls, it means that real interest rates in the United States are rising. Correspondingly, when the first wave of market funds broke out, the market sentiment returned to rationality, which brought about a new stage of selling of gold. Therefore, it is more inclined to pull up strongly in the short term, and it is expected to reach around 1980. Then began a new round of shocks and fell, and entered the trend of 1930-1980 range shocks. The above is my expectation for the high probability trend of the future market. Of course, it is only a personal forward-looking guideline. In the end, market data shall prevail.
Next week - Potential buying/Selling zones on GC/XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1!
I'm continuing my analysis on the GC/XAUUSD gold market, after reaching my TP last week, I'm expecting these potential scenarios mentioned on the chart.
As you can see, we're in the liquidity zone, so all the possibilities are there, the market can do absolutely anything.
In my analysis, all entries are based on a 1H time frame to minimize risk.
I'd just like to mention that the market is expecting some big news this week (CPI, PPI, FOMC).
Trade at your own risk.
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