XAUUSD: 11/8 Today's Trading StrategyOn Friday (August 11), DXY fluctuated within a narrow range and is currently around 102.50. Affected by the lower-than-expected inflation data overnight, spot gold once rose to an intraday high of $1,930.19, but then turned around and accelerated below the $1,920 mark. The U.S. dollar index turned from falling to rising, and investors digested U.S. July inflation data , data showed that consumer prices rose slightly, but inflation remained well above the Fed's 2% target; U.S. consumer prices rose slightly in July, consolidating expectations that the Fed's interest rate hike cycle is coming to an end
Yesterday, the price of gold fluctuated in a large range. The market opened at 1914.6 in the morning and the market rose first. In the beginning of the US market, it was affected by the fundamentals and quickly rose. The daily line reached the highest position at 1930.2 and then the market fell under pressure. After reaching the position of 1911.9, the market consolidated. After the daily line finally closed at the position of 1912, the daily line closed in the form of a shooting star with a very long upper shadow line.
Although gold rebounded yesterday with the support of the CPI data, the overall bearish trend finally returned in vain, and it still hit a new low since this round in late trading. No change for now. From a technical point of view, yesterday’s daily line of gold received a Yinxian shooting star, indicating that the short position is corrected, the Bollinger Bands are wide open, the KDJ indicator is about to form a golden cross, the midline fluctuates widely, and the general trend is still upward. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands open wide, the KDJ indicator is about to form a golden cross, and the price fluctuates at a low level. On the daily chart, the price of gold fluctuated and fell. The dead cross of the 5-day and 10-day moving averages crossed the middle track of the Bollinger Bands downwards, and formed a short-term suppression on the price of gold. The middle track and the lower track of the Bollinger Bands turned downward, indicating that the short Occupy a short-term advantage and gradually open up the downside space, but the downside time of the lower track of the Bollinger Band is relatively short, which may limit the short-term downside space. In terms of indicators, the dead cross of KDJ and RSI indicators turned slightly upward, indicating that there is a short-term rebound opportunity for gold prices, but the dead cross of MACD indicator diverged and crossed the zero axis, and the short-term technical side has the upper hand. Today, the upper pressure of gold price focuses on 1922 and 1933 US dollars, and the lower support focuses on 1910 and 1900 US dollars.
Gold operation strategy:
SELL: 1920-1923
TP1:1916
TP2:1910
Buy: 1903-1906
TP1:1909
TP2:1918
Goldtrader
The Gold price update for the coming weekend includes importantGold is now in a bearish trend and will find sell positions for the long term, but the confirmations are most important. Gold is now very close to its Demand zone of 1905–1895, which marked the double bottom on July 6th, 2023.
Gold will give respect to their demand zone, and as per dollar analysis, the dollar will fall. In this case, gold will move some bullish.
The major levels were also marked on the chart with their possible rejections.
Buying zone 1906 to 1896 but if we will find some market structure changes indications like rejection in H1, M30 and Confirmations in M30, H1 also.
The major zones are:
1- 1918.90
2- 1924.88
3- 1931.31
4- 1947.88
You will open buy positions, and your take profit will be at these levels in the short term.
Selling zone was also the major zone marked above if market will give some indications.
The marked levels were also the resistance levels in the H4 time frame.
The possible trading setup is as follows:
Entry Point: 1906-1894
Stop Loss: 1890
Take Profit1: 1918
Take Profit2: 1931
The setup is valid if we can see some indications, a rejection candle at the support zone and a confirmation candle in H1 or M30.
Will gold go up?
The gold market has been oscillating and falling since the early trading, but we can clearly see from the market conditions that the main bullish funds are constantly intervening. Therefore, gold is very likely to rise at the lower support point and continue to form a narrow-range shock adjustment trend. For short-term trading, I suggest that you can choose to buy at 1925-1930. The target profit is 5-10 US dollars
Trading Signals:
GOLD: buy1925-1930 tp1935-1940
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Gold forecast and opportunities It’s worth noting that Friday’s downbeat prints of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) joined the mixed Fed signals to trigger the US Dollar’s retreat from a multi-day high, which in turn allowed the Gold Price to recover from a multi-day-old support line. However, the weekend comments from Fed Governor Michelle Bowman appear hawkish and join the looming geopolitical fears surrounding China to exert downside pressure on the XAU/USD.
Apart from that, the Gold market’s consolidation ahead of festive demand from India, one of the key customers of XAU/USD, also keeps the metal prices down ahead of the key data/events from the US.
Gold buy zone 1936-1932
Target 1942
Target 1950
Target 1955
Note : wishes to traders manage thier capital well and safe
- take small lot's on your account
- take profit 10% of your capital
-stop loss on 4% of your capital
The big trader is who trade long term with tp
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Structure Analysis 🥇
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Horizontal Key Levels
Resistance 1: 1965 - 1988 area
Support 1: 1924 - 1934 area
Support 2: 1893 - 1907 area
Vertical Key Levels
Vertical Resistance 1: Falling trend line
Consider these structure for pullback/breakout trading next week.
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GOLD: Gold price prediction today!Based on fundamental analysis, gold price has a very high probability of going up with NFP. But according to technical analysis, gold price is still in a falling wedge, which creates an extremely unpredictable NFP, let's wait and see what surprises gold futures will give us!
Looking at multiple time frames, support and resistance zones work best in the 1900-1952 range. Let's wait and see if these 2 support-resistance zones are strong enough to stop the NFP wave this time!
This is important news and a lot of risk, if you want to enter the trade pay attention to the 1952 zone!
GOLD (XAUUSD) Ahead of NFP. Your Plan: 🥇
Traders, do not forget that we are expecting the NFP release today.
Depending on the figures, I see 2 potential scenarios on Gold.
Bullish Scenario
1941 - 1945 is a key horizontal resistance.
If the market breaks and closes above that, I will expect a bullish continuation
to a major falling trend line.
Bearish Scenario
1925 - 1935 is a key horizontal support that the price is approaching now.
Its bearish breakout and a daily candle close below will push the prices lower.
Next goal will be 1908.
Wait for a breakout and the follow the market.
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XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD gained 16.60% After the Last U.S. Credit DowngradeIf you haven`t purchased GOLD in the buy area:
Then you need to know that Fitch Ratings downgraded the US debt rating from the highest AAA rating to AA+, citing concerns about "a steady deterioration in standards of governance."
This downgrade occurred following last-minute negotiations among lawmakers to reach a debt ceiling deal earlier this year, which posed a risk of the nation's first default.
In the aftermath of a similar credit downgrade in the past, the price of Gold surged by 16.60% within one month. Standard & Poor's, one of the three major credit rating firms, downgraded U.S. debt on Aug. 5, 2011, following another significant debt ceiling battle.
Currently, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has risen to 4.15%, reaching its highest level since November 2022.
It's worth noting that even though the mentioned price target may not be sustainable in today's market conditions, it was still worth mentioning for reference.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
GOLD: What happens today?Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price declines further as economic data misses estimates
Gold price drops sharply after facing selling pressure around $1,970.00 as demand for gold remains weak due to higher gold prices and interest rates.
Fears of more interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve (Fed) deepen as Chicago Fed Bank President Austan Goolsbee favors further policy tightening despite easing inflationary pressures.
Meanwhile, 10-year US Treasury yields remain subdued at around 4% as inflation remains in check after soft United States core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data was released on Friday.
Gold's Reaction to Upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls Gold's Reaction to Upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls
Gold trading faced headwinds on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar strengthened despite Fitch's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating to AA+ from AAA. Investors seemed unfazed and focused on positive data from the ADP National Employment report that might possibly indicate a larger-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls report this Friday.
The ADP National Employment report revealed private businesses in the US hired 324K workers in July 2023, surpassing market expectations of a189K. Fitch's decision to downgrade the U.S. credit rating was attributed to concerns about potential fiscal deterioration over the next three years and the debt ceiling crisis that was averted at the last minute a couple months ago.
The impact of these developments on gold prices was evident, as it retreated for the second consecutive session, currently testing at $1,935 and might be approaching a significant technical support level at $1,930. On the flip side, if gold resumes its rebound, it may encounter initial resistance around $1,942, followed by the psychologically important $1,950 mark.
Gold: Shocked and closed in the sun, still volatile
In any trend, everyone likes continuity, and the longer it lasts, the better, especially for A-shares, which can only be a market that goes up. A rise means giving money to everyone, while a fall is tantamount to death.
According to the current situation, before the U.S. market, it hit a short position near 1968, with a target of 1954, and bought the 1950-1954 line.
Keep updating and pay more attention
Gold or Nasdaq: What to Short this Week?For Gold (XAU/USD), the 4-hour chart suggests a neutral-to-bearish stance. While the pair is currently above its moving averages, the 50-day moving average is closely trailing its price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is dropping towards a neutral level, indicating a potential pause in buyer activity. If Gold drops below $1,945, there is a risk of prices descending further and retesting their previous lows or the 200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA) around $1,941.
The deciding factor for Gold this week will likely be the US jobs data. The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report on Friday is a significant event, and the precursor jobs data (JOLTS Job report on Tuesday) could also sway traders. The market expects the NFP to show 190K jobs added, more than double the natural US growth rate. A strong jobs figure could influence traders' anticipation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and impact the downside outlook for Gold.
On the other hand, Nasdaq and other major US indices are expected to end July with gains. The Dow Jones has particularly shown impressive growth over the past two weeks. The outperformance of the Dow Jones suggests a possible shift by investors from growth stocks (such as Nasdaq stocks) to value stocks.
Looking at the daily chart, the Nasdaq Composite is now targeting a key resistance level at 14,649. However, there is a possibility of aggressive seller response at that level. On the 4-hour chart, a divergence with the MACD indicates weakening momentum, which is often followed by pullbacks.
Earnings reports from major tech companies, Apple and Amazon, will be crucial for Nasdaq this week. These two giants represent 11.6% of the entire Nasdaq index measured by market cap. Better-than-expected US earnings could potentially prolong the bull run in the market.
Gold: Shorting 1962-1965
Gold strategy: Gold 1960 empty, stop loss 1965, take profit 1930.
The obvious downward trend on the golden hourly chart, and the rebound hit the pressure position, is the beginning of another decline! And this fall will surely fall below the support of 1940, reaching around 1930!
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GOLD DAILY shortHello dear friends,
Gold, by breaking its descending channel in the daily timeframe, can move upwards and show reactions at specific levels marked with white and orange colors, and experience a price correction.
This means that it is expected that the price can reach the bottom of the channel drawn on the chart by collecting liquidity behind the level of 1994
XAUUSD Outlook 28/7/23 WOAH! 🥲🔪Good evening Gold Gang!! WOWZERS .. 300 pip drop with positive dollar news. Madness.
The forecast sells were there but i unfortunately missed them as i had to deal with something at home grrr. Congrats to the gold gang who grabbed them. Great eyes!
Ok so we have broken the daily level on the HTF .. what can this mean .. will a push up to retest would be the normal move for it to then sell back down.
We have some more juicy red folders tomorrow too so this could get interesting .. plus .. end of the month (almost) Lets finish off with a bang!
Buys and sells are on the charts .. i have a reversal level there too marked individually .. that would mark the retest of the daily level .. wait for the reversal pattern to appear on the LTF
Thanks for hanging out with me today guys please drop a like if you find these ramblings helpful at all
catch you in London session
tommyXAU
How gold should trade after the Fed's interest rate decision
Today's Fed interest rate decision is fully in line with market expectations, raising interest rates by 0.25%, which is expected to raise interest rates, so the market has digested the volatility brought by the rate hike, and then the Fed's speech is also very dovish, gold fell rapidly after a short rise, there was no great fluctuation, gold was blocked around 1978, and the upward trend was not continued, the dollar index also began to rise after a short decline, which further suppressed the rise of gold, in the next gold trading, Give advice to friends to go short at a high level
Gold Trading Strategies:
XAUUSD:SELL@1975-1980 TP1965-1960
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XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD: Gold has reached a critical position
As shown in the figure, the bottom center of gravity of gold is moving up step by step, and it is currently near 1975, which is suitable for light positions. Today's overall operation is mainly based on dips!
Join me and don't let procrastination and hesitation stop you from making money!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Key Levels & Structure Analysis 🥇
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Resistance 1: 1979 - 1987 area
Resistance 2: 2000 - 2010 area
Resistance 3: 2034 - 2048 area
Support 1: 1945 - 1954 area
Support 2: 1925 - 1938 area
Support 3: 1892 - 1907 area
Consider these structure for pullback/breakout trading.
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