GOLD: Gold price prediction today!Based on fundamental analysis, gold price has a very high probability of going up with NFP. But according to technical analysis, gold price is still in a falling wedge, which creates an extremely unpredictable NFP, let's wait and see what surprises gold futures will give us!
Looking at multiple time frames, support and resistance zones work best in the 1900-1952 range. Let's wait and see if these 2 support-resistance zones are strong enough to stop the NFP wave this time!
This is important news and a lot of risk, if you want to enter the trade pay attention to the 1952 zone!
Goldtrader
GOLD (XAUUSD) Ahead of NFP. Your Plan: 🥇
Traders, do not forget that we are expecting the NFP release today.
Depending on the figures, I see 2 potential scenarios on Gold.
Bullish Scenario
1941 - 1945 is a key horizontal resistance.
If the market breaks and closes above that, I will expect a bullish continuation
to a major falling trend line.
Bearish Scenario
1925 - 1935 is a key horizontal support that the price is approaching now.
Its bearish breakout and a daily candle close below will push the prices lower.
Next goal will be 1908.
Wait for a breakout and the follow the market.
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XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD gained 16.60% After the Last U.S. Credit DowngradeIf you haven`t purchased GOLD in the buy area:
Then you need to know that Fitch Ratings downgraded the US debt rating from the highest AAA rating to AA+, citing concerns about "a steady deterioration in standards of governance."
This downgrade occurred following last-minute negotiations among lawmakers to reach a debt ceiling deal earlier this year, which posed a risk of the nation's first default.
In the aftermath of a similar credit downgrade in the past, the price of Gold surged by 16.60% within one month. Standard & Poor's, one of the three major credit rating firms, downgraded U.S. debt on Aug. 5, 2011, following another significant debt ceiling battle.
Currently, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has risen to 4.15%, reaching its highest level since November 2022.
It's worth noting that even though the mentioned price target may not be sustainable in today's market conditions, it was still worth mentioning for reference.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
GOLD: What happens today?Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price declines further as economic data misses estimates
Gold price drops sharply after facing selling pressure around $1,970.00 as demand for gold remains weak due to higher gold prices and interest rates.
Fears of more interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve (Fed) deepen as Chicago Fed Bank President Austan Goolsbee favors further policy tightening despite easing inflationary pressures.
Meanwhile, 10-year US Treasury yields remain subdued at around 4% as inflation remains in check after soft United States core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data was released on Friday.
Gold's Reaction to Upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls Gold's Reaction to Upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls
Gold trading faced headwinds on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar strengthened despite Fitch's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating to AA+ from AAA. Investors seemed unfazed and focused on positive data from the ADP National Employment report that might possibly indicate a larger-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls report this Friday.
The ADP National Employment report revealed private businesses in the US hired 324K workers in July 2023, surpassing market expectations of a189K. Fitch's decision to downgrade the U.S. credit rating was attributed to concerns about potential fiscal deterioration over the next three years and the debt ceiling crisis that was averted at the last minute a couple months ago.
The impact of these developments on gold prices was evident, as it retreated for the second consecutive session, currently testing at $1,935 and might be approaching a significant technical support level at $1,930. On the flip side, if gold resumes its rebound, it may encounter initial resistance around $1,942, followed by the psychologically important $1,950 mark.
Gold: Shocked and closed in the sun, still volatile
In any trend, everyone likes continuity, and the longer it lasts, the better, especially for A-shares, which can only be a market that goes up. A rise means giving money to everyone, while a fall is tantamount to death.
According to the current situation, before the U.S. market, it hit a short position near 1968, with a target of 1954, and bought the 1950-1954 line.
Keep updating and pay more attention
Gold or Nasdaq: What to Short this Week?For Gold (XAU/USD), the 4-hour chart suggests a neutral-to-bearish stance. While the pair is currently above its moving averages, the 50-day moving average is closely trailing its price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is dropping towards a neutral level, indicating a potential pause in buyer activity. If Gold drops below $1,945, there is a risk of prices descending further and retesting their previous lows or the 200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA) around $1,941.
The deciding factor for Gold this week will likely be the US jobs data. The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report on Friday is a significant event, and the precursor jobs data (JOLTS Job report on Tuesday) could also sway traders. The market expects the NFP to show 190K jobs added, more than double the natural US growth rate. A strong jobs figure could influence traders' anticipation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and impact the downside outlook for Gold.
On the other hand, Nasdaq and other major US indices are expected to end July with gains. The Dow Jones has particularly shown impressive growth over the past two weeks. The outperformance of the Dow Jones suggests a possible shift by investors from growth stocks (such as Nasdaq stocks) to value stocks.
Looking at the daily chart, the Nasdaq Composite is now targeting a key resistance level at 14,649. However, there is a possibility of aggressive seller response at that level. On the 4-hour chart, a divergence with the MACD indicates weakening momentum, which is often followed by pullbacks.
Earnings reports from major tech companies, Apple and Amazon, will be crucial for Nasdaq this week. These two giants represent 11.6% of the entire Nasdaq index measured by market cap. Better-than-expected US earnings could potentially prolong the bull run in the market.
Gold: Shorting 1962-1965
Gold strategy: Gold 1960 empty, stop loss 1965, take profit 1930.
The obvious downward trend on the golden hourly chart, and the rebound hit the pressure position, is the beginning of another decline! And this fall will surely fall below the support of 1940, reaching around 1930!
Share this point of view with my friends, I hope you can make more money and realize your dreams. Friends in need can keep up.
GOLD DAILY shortHello dear friends,
Gold, by breaking its descending channel in the daily timeframe, can move upwards and show reactions at specific levels marked with white and orange colors, and experience a price correction.
This means that it is expected that the price can reach the bottom of the channel drawn on the chart by collecting liquidity behind the level of 1994
XAUUSD Outlook 28/7/23 WOAH! 🥲🔪Good evening Gold Gang!! WOWZERS .. 300 pip drop with positive dollar news. Madness.
The forecast sells were there but i unfortunately missed them as i had to deal with something at home grrr. Congrats to the gold gang who grabbed them. Great eyes!
Ok so we have broken the daily level on the HTF .. what can this mean .. will a push up to retest would be the normal move for it to then sell back down.
We have some more juicy red folders tomorrow too so this could get interesting .. plus .. end of the month (almost) Lets finish off with a bang!
Buys and sells are on the charts .. i have a reversal level there too marked individually .. that would mark the retest of the daily level .. wait for the reversal pattern to appear on the LTF
Thanks for hanging out with me today guys please drop a like if you find these ramblings helpful at all
catch you in London session
tommyXAU
How gold should trade after the Fed's interest rate decision
Today's Fed interest rate decision is fully in line with market expectations, raising interest rates by 0.25%, which is expected to raise interest rates, so the market has digested the volatility brought by the rate hike, and then the Fed's speech is also very dovish, gold fell rapidly after a short rise, there was no great fluctuation, gold was blocked around 1978, and the upward trend was not continued, the dollar index also began to rise after a short decline, which further suppressed the rise of gold, in the next gold trading, Give advice to friends to go short at a high level
Gold Trading Strategies:
XAUUSD:SELL@1975-1980 TP1965-1960
Join me for more free accurate trading signals
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD: Gold has reached a critical position
As shown in the figure, the bottom center of gravity of gold is moving up step by step, and it is currently near 1975, which is suitable for light positions. Today's overall operation is mainly based on dips!
Join me and don't let procrastination and hesitation stop you from making money!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Key Levels & Structure Analysis 🥇
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Resistance 1: 1979 - 1987 area
Resistance 2: 2000 - 2010 area
Resistance 3: 2034 - 2048 area
Support 1: 1945 - 1954 area
Support 2: 1925 - 1938 area
Support 3: 1892 - 1907 area
Consider these structure for pullback/breakout trading.
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GOLD:Earnings summary
After so many days of rising gold, I think there is momentum to fall.
So, today's strategy for gold is dominated by shorting.
But you have to learn to read the movement of gold, know what is support and what is resistance.
The market often deceives you and understands the meaning of the market, so that you can make money, not be taken away by the market.
Professional matters should be left to professional people, the choice is more important than your own efforts, if you want to earn money, want to learn, contact me.
H4 Time Frame | Gold LevelsH4 Time Frame | Gold Levels
At this point we seem gold rejected the point more then 3 times
and right now circulating in zone 1961 Accordingly to moves it would be bearish and will touched the point soon at 1945 so choose the proper lot size and risk Management
more the 200 pips are coming on way
so more precise prediction we are going to published our H1 Time Frame
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Outlook 21/7/23 Weekly is still bull 📈Good evening gold gang! WHAT A WEEK! .. grabbed some amazing pips today in both sessions. Congratulations if you caught them with me on my analysis.
Last day of the week lets go!!
Weekly candle is still bullish! im still expecting that 1993 to be hit either tomorrow or early next week. So buys are on the menu tomorrow
Only thing to look out for is the messy range marked in the yellow box. Thats the no trade zone for me as there are way too many wicks in there. Wait for the breakout
I have just seen whilst writing this, that tomorrow is a no news day!! UGH! .. we may not reach the dizzy heights of 1993 until next week now as im not sure there will be much volume
saying that, fridays are normally busy days, so lets stay hopeful
buys sells and reversal points are on the charts gang .. have a great evening and asian session for those partaking
do me a favour and follow along! i keep it real over here :)
catch you in london
your mate Tommy XAU