Goldtrader
XAU/USD: Citi Sees 50bp Rate Cut After NFP XAU/USD: Citi Sees 50bp Rate Cut After NFP
Citi anticipates the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report will show 125,000 new jobs, leading to a 50-basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Citi suggested in a note to Clients on Tuesday that if payrolls come in between 125,000 - 175,000, a 50-basis point rate cut is likely from the Fed.
The 4H chart for XAU/USD indicates that buyers may be stepping in on dips following the release of US JOLTs Job Openings data, which revealed fewer openings than expected in July. However, if Gold continues to weaken, the next likely support level is around $2,470-$2,460. A decisive break below this support level could alter the outlook for Gold, indicating that the commodity could be entering a more pronounced downtrend.
xauusdbeautiful drop on last friday 2524 was a great entry. seemd like gold want to dump more but anything possible as we do have ( bos ) 2515-2517 with ob looking at the chart clean predictions as gold bias is still bullish on weekly and monthly frame, smaller frame short.
let me know your thought. leave a comment below.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Support and Resistance Levels
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
support and resistance levels to focus on Gold.
Resistance 1: 2525 - 2531 area
Support 1: 2470 -2484 area
Support 2: 2432 - 2447 area
Support 3: 2353 - 2381 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Can Gold’s Uptrend Survive Friday’s PCE Data? Can Gold’s Uptrend Survive Friday’s PCE Data?
Gold prices slipped over 0.7% on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar rebounded, setting the stage for a pivotal close to the month with key inflation data on the horizon.
Markets are bracing for the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. The PCE data, due on Friday, is expected to show a slight uptick, according to consensus estimates. If the U.S. economic data continues to show signs of weakness, it could bolster gold’s recent uptrend, fueling speculation that the Fed might consider a larger rate cut in September.
Despite Wednesday's dip, gold's upward trajectory possibly remains largely intact. The metal briefly dipped below $2,500 but quickly rebounded. If prices remain above this level, the next significant resistance lies at the all-time high of $2,531.
Gold's Uptrend Intact? ATH Remains Unbroken Gold extended its rally on Monday as mounting expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September fueled demand for the safe-haven asset. Powell gave the green light on interest rate cuts during his speech at Jackson Hole last Friday.
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly echoed Powell, saying “It's hard to imagine anything could derail a September rate cut.”
Traders are closely eyeing next week’s Nonfarm Payrolls report, which could play a crucial role in determining the magnitude of the rate cut. An abysmal number could raise the likelihood of a 50bps cut. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, and thus increases its appeal.
Adding to bullion’s appeal, escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly the intensifying conflict between Israel and Hezbollah, provided an additional boost to prices.
Despite the bullish momentum, gold has yet to reclaim its all-time high of $2,531. Technical indicators show some loss of upward momentum, though they remain well above neutral levels, suggesting the uptrend remains intact.
XAUUSD 4HR Analysis UpdateGolds Bull Run
Following my recent analysis post where I identified a key pivot zone leading into the next price impulse surge we are now running profit with momentum in our favour and the first phase of the analysis completed, going forwards I am looking for price to push a little further into the 2520's where I will await a suitable correction followed by various conformations affirming the continuation of golds ascent and another long opportunity.
As suggested todays powell speech and other red flag events helped surge the price off the floating ema support, dynamic support and resistance and key order block pivot S+R level, with further jackson symposium events on saturday and durable goods orders on monday we could see price continue the bullish favour heading into the opening of next week.
What is your thoughts on the future of price movement for this precious metal ? Let me know in the comments below.
XAUUSD 4HR Analysis + Trade Idea🚀💰 Gold's on a Roll ! 💰🚀
Last week, # XAUUSD hit an all-time high of $2529, only to take a dramatic dip back to the 2470-80 zone, finding strong support from the 50 EMA, dynamic trendline, and a key S+R order block. 📉🔄 But don't be fooled by this correction—gold is gearing up for its next big move! With factors pointing towards continued growth, we could see it break out of the $2500s in no time and aim for a whopping $3000 or even $5000! 📈✨
As we wait for tomorrow's statement from Jerome Powell, the market is buzzing with anticipation. Will gold continue its ascent? 🤔🔥 Keep your eyes on the charts! 📊👀
What's your next move? Let me know in the comments! ⬇️💬
xauusdgold has created lower low and lowe high as we can see on the chart i have pointed clearly, in my vision looking at the chart its about to take short with really good conformation as we doo have fundamental up coming. what you guys think , gold still long or short.? let me know in the comment below.
Gold Thoughts 20-Aug-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my GOLD market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
support & resistances to pay close attention to.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures
Horizontal Support 1: 2472 - 2483 area
Horizontal Support 2: 2431 - 2447 area
Horizontal Support 3: 2353 - 2382 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Technical Analysis
Gold is currently stuck on a key daily resistance based on the ATH.
Analyzing a price action, I see a clear bullish accumulation:
the price has set three equal highs already, keeping setting the higher lows.
At some moment, we may see a breakout attempt of the underlined
red resistance area.
A daily candle close above that will be an important bullish signal.
It will drive the prices higher, the next goal for the buyers will be a major rising trend line.
From a current perspective, it is 2500 level.
Alternatively, the market may initiate one more correctional movement.
I will post the update if I see any bearish confirmation.
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XAUUSD All time high tomorrow?!?!Good evening gold gang hope you're well! ... gold has been rallying today with only small signs of slowing and closing at near all time high .. can war news push us over the top?
We are currently in a 4h engulfing zone so id like to see a pull back in asia in order to buy up tomorrow to all time high.
If we gap and fly in asian session, then we must wait to see where we land before risking sells
Its gonna be a fun one guys im looking forward to it .. catch you in london
tommy
XAUUSD | Road to 2,500 PhasePrevious analysis has now near enough completed with a large bullish surge today making its way over 2 key quarter level phases with 2500 being the last of this phase section, after breaking through the previous days high gold now tests the all time high of 2,485 where there is a lot of pressure to break through already.
With various events happening this week such as the CPI, PPI + Retail Sales I think the final event on thursday could provide key insight into golds growth and how the precious metal stands out from the rest, it is noteworthy of paying attention to the upcoming PPI although only short term impact it can play important roles within the FED and further conditions.
What are your thoughts and ideas? Let me know below :)
XAUUSD still bearish!! major algo in sightwhats up gold gang hope you're well! .. been a little while since my last post its just been so mental with the pricing, i havent bothered analysing .. just reacting to current market price
we are continuing to trend downwards (missing a great sell today by 10 pips) and making its way down to the major algo at 2352.12. You can expect a bounce there for scalp buys but i would be careful for sure.
A pull back to the trendline and sell in asia would be the move!
tomorrow we find some good sell zones and let them rip
catch you all in london
tommy boi
Fears Fail to Keep Gold Above $2,400: A Temporary Dip? Gold has slipped below the $2,400 mark even as geopolitical tensions possibly escalate, with Israel bracing for potential retaliation from Iran. US intelligence indicates the response could come late Thursday or Friday.
Market attention is also directed towards the upcoming Initial Jobless Claims data, due on Thursday, which investors hope will provide further information about the labor market.
Perhaps in an attempt to calm the volatility seen at the beginning of the week, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said Tuesday that “none of the labor market indicators she looks at are flashing red at present ...”.
Perhaps adding to the downward pressure on gold, major Asian central banks appear to have paused their physical gold buying sprees. Reports from the World Gold Council indicate that China has abstained from buying the precious metal for the third consecutive month.
Technically, if the XAU/USD continues its downward trajectory, the next support level could lay at the 50-day and 100-day Simple Moving Average. Further declines could test the May 3 low of $2,277.
#GOLD (#XAUUSD) Will Retest ATH Soon
As I predicted on a live stream, 📈Gold went up and
violated a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on a daily.
I think that the market has a nice potential to retest the resistance based on ATH soon.
Let the market complete a minor correction and expect more growth then.
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XAUUSD Still bearish! heres why good evening gold gang! im back from a little trip away and ready to go
price still respecting downward trends even though very wicky today with price grabbing liquidity everywhere!
price respecting the daily candle meet and also 4h engulfing so a small pull back in asian to sell down is on the cards.
Ill need to see where price lands in the london session to see what we're going to take as there are quite a few obsticles in the way down there currently
buys need to break the 2 zones first which looks like it will need some news
BIG news week this week too so im expecting big movements
please like and share this for me!
tommy