Goldtrading
Jan 21,2025 Gold IdeaTrading Strategy www.tradingview.com
January 21, 2025
Gold held its ground above 2703–2706 USD/oz yesterday, leading to a breakout at 2711–2712 USD/oz during the Asian session. This bullish signal suggests favoring Buy trades for today.
Key Levels
Support Levels:
2711–2712 USD/oz
2703–2704 USD/oz
Resistance Levels:
2733–2735 USD/oz
1. Buying Opportunities (Bullish Continuation):
Enter Buy positions if the price stays above 2711–2712 USD/oz.
Initial target: 2733–2735 USD/oz
Extended target: 2749–2750 USD/oz
Place a Stop Loss below 2708 USD/oz.
2. Pullback to Support Levels:
If the price retraces to 2703–2704 USD/oz, look for a strong rebound to enter Buy positions.
Target: 2711–2712 USD/oz and beyond.
Set a Stop Loss below 2700 USD/oz.
3. Breakout Above Resistance:
If the price breaks above 2735 USD/oz with strong momentum, consider additional Buy positions.
Target: 2749–2750 USD/oz.
Place a Stop Loss below 2730 USD/oz.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our analysis playing out once again in true level to level fashion.
We got our Bearish target at 2696 hit with no cross and lock below this level and therefore confirming the rejection for the bounce. We now have 2717 gap left above and will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2717
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2717 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2737
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2737 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2753 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2768
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2768 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2786
BEARISH TARGETS
2696 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2675
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2675 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2661 - 2647
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2632 - 2618
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would like to see price attempt a brief test of the high, reject and give us the move down which was successful. We then wanted to exit any short trades and find the optimal spot to long back up sticking to the bias and the bias targets as well as the red box targets and Excalibur. Combined, we got the move up from the pivot red box and managed to complete all of our bullish targets ending the week with a phenomenal pip capture tracking this precious metal at nearly every turning point up and down.
A fantastic week again in Camelot not only on Gold but the other pairs we analyse and trade as well.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week again we’ll stick with the bullish bias for now. The key level resistance on open is the 2715-14 price point, if rejected we should see a continuation of the move downside into the lower support levels 2700, 2690 and below that the key level and bias level support 2680-5. It’s that lower level that needs to be monitored, as building a base there and upon a clean reversal we feel the opportunity to then long the market again back up into the 2725, 2730 and above that 2740-5 region initially is what we’ll be looking for.
Our weekly red box worked well last week giving the rejection we wanted, and due to the failed break, we would like to see that level attempted again to monitor whether we close above or not. This is really important for gold as another fail can result in another major correction before attempting higher pricing.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 2680-5 with targets above 2720, 2730, 2735 and above that 2745
Bearish on break of 2780 with targets below 2670 and below that 2766
RED BOX TRADERS:
Break above 2704 for 2710, 2716, 2735 and 2733 in extension of the move
Break below 2695 for 2788, 2682, 2680 and 2665 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU/USD | Gold Price Liquidity Grab Analysis Timeframe: 4H
Key Highlights:
1. Liquidity Zone (LIQ): A significant liquidity zone is identified at the $2,732 level, as marked by the purple box. Price action shows signs of a liquidity grab, evident from the sharp spike above the zone before reversing.
2. Breakout Confirmation: The breakout above the previous resistance suggests a bullish intent; however, the failure to sustain above $2,732 indicates a possible fakeout.
3. Short-term Support: The smaller purple zone ($2,696 - $2,703) now acts as immediate support, providing potential opportunities for buyers to re-enter.
4. Potential Downside Risk: A break below $2,696 could open doors for a deeper correction toward the $2,688 level, or possibly further down to $2,513 if bearish momentum increases.
Strategy Insights:
Buyers: Consider waiting for a confirmed retest of the $2,703 zone for a potential bounce. Tight stop-loss placement below $2,688 is recommended.
Sellers: Monitor for rejection around the $2,732 zone. A reversal signal here could provide a shorting opportunity targeting $2,688 or lower.
Outlook:
Gold remains volatile, and traders are advised to watch key levels closely. A decisive move beyond $2,732 with volume could indicate further upside to $2,800 and beyond. Conversely, sustained rejection at resistance and a break below support could confirm a bearish trend.
Risk management is critical—trade wisely!
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2717 and a gap below at 2696. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2717
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2717 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2737
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2737 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2753 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2768
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2768 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2786
BEARISH TARGETS
2696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2675
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2675 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2661 - 2647
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2632 - 2618
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing ema5 and price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2726 and a gap below at 2694. We need ema5 to cross and lock above or below the weighted Goldturns to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2726
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2726 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2753 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2785
BEARISH TARGETS
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2665
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2665 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2633
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2600
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see the daily chart update we have been trading and tracking for a while now, to give you all an overall view of the range.
Previously after ema5 cross and lock above 2629 opening 2686, we continued to buy dips all the way into 2686 completing this gap. We then stated that we now have a candle body close above 2686 opening 2760 but will need ema5 lock to further confirm this, only as a along range/term gap.
- We now have ema5 lock to further confirm this gap
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out, as analysed.
Previously we stated that the channel top was continuing to provide support like we stated for the past few weeks.
We also stated that, as long as we see no ema5 cross and lock below into the channel, we can safely continue with our plans to buy dips in this range.
- This is continuing to play out perfectly. You can see although we had many breaks into the channel with candle over the last few weeks, ema5 failed to break inside, confirming the rejection and providing support above the channel like we stated.
This followed with the perfect bounce inline with our plans to buy dips and now heading towards our 2729 AXIS gap target above.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Ema5 is still playing above the channel top and has not broken into the channel providing support above the channel.
We will continue to track the movement down and trade the bounces up, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gaps above for the future.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising Trend Line
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising Trend Line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 2689 - 2699 area
Support 2: 2654 - 2662 area
Support 3: 2614 - 2635 area
Support 4: 2595 - 2606 area
Support 5: 2583 - 2585 area
Support 6: 2536 - 2562 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GOLD IS GOING BULLISH ALLOW IT TO TOUCH LINE 2719.730✅Smart Money Concept
Gold price (XAU/USD) reached a fresh one-month high during Thursday’s Asian session but struggled to sustain momentum above the $2,700 mark. Diminished worries over U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's proposed trade tariffs and the anticipation of two potential Federal Reserve rate cuts this year have fueled positive market sentiment. However, a slight uptick in the U.S. Dollar (USD) has constrained further gains for the safe-haven asset.
SET UP GOLD PRICE:
BUY GOLD zone: $2678.479 - $2673.696 SL $2668.682
TP1: $2684.471
TP2: $2690.235
TP3: $2696.253
SELL GOLD zone: $2719.730 - $2723.622 SL $2729.470
TP1: $2713.175
TP2: $2706.151
TP3: $2699.870
Note:
FrankFx advises traders to manage their capital wisely:
- Adjust the number of lots to match your capital.
- Set Take Profit at 3-6% of your account balance.
- Set Stop Loss at 2-3% of your account balance.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Following on from the initial KOG Report we've not done too badly managing to plot the path for the move and jump on board with it over the week. Yesterday we wanted that pullback into the 2685-90 region to continue with the bias and the bias levels which didn't hit exactly but the move continued and we've completed all of our targets for the week.
Now, again we're a bit high, so if you're looking for trades the only option is to wait for the pull back, or for those on the boxes and scalping, look for a reversal from above, if not broken, support has flipped 2710!
For us, a great week on the gold and the rest of the markets, we'll be taking it easy tomorrow.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bullish above 2650 with targets above 2700✅, 2706✅ and above that 2716✅
Bearish on break of 2650 with targets below 2640 and below that 2635
RED BOXES:
Break above 2690 for 2700✅, 2703✅, 2706✅, 2710✅ and 2724✅ in extension of the move
Break below 2680 for 2667, 2665, 2655 and 2640 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is an update on our 1H CHART route map shared on Sunday. This chart has been playing gout perfectly.
We started the week with the retracement range test followed with the bounce into our bullish target 2691. EMA5 cross and locked above 2691 opening 2706 and 2719. This was hit perfectly today completing this range.
We are now looking for ema5 lock above 2719 to open the range above for a continuation or failure to lock above will follow with a rejection here.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2691 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2691 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2706 - DONE
POTENTIALLY 2719 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2719 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2736
BEARISH TARGETS
2679 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2679 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2668 (DONE) - 2654
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2654 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2640 - 2624
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PIPTASTIC day on the charts once again!!!
Yesterday after completing the bearish target at 2665, we confirmed the rejection with no lock below. The bounce gave us a nice push up, all the way into 2694 our Bullish target, perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips. We were able to secure over 100 pips clean!!
We are now looking for ema5 lock above 2694 for a continuation to the next Goldturn or failure to lock above will follow with a rejection back to lower Goldlturns for a bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2694 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2726
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2726 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
BEARISH TARGETS
2665 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2665 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2633
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2600
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD: 1H MA200 rebound.Gold is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.885, MACD = 7.900, ADX = 30.745) as it is consolidating between the 1H MA50 and 1H MA200. Since yesterday, it has found support on the latter. The 1H RSI is rebounding in the same way it did on January 6th, which was the previous HL of the Channel Up. This indicates that it is a buy opportunity. The two bullish waves before both hit their 1.618 Fibonacci extensions to form a HH at the top of the Channel Up. Consequently, we turn bullish on Gold now, aiming at the 1.618 Fib (TP = 2,720) which conveniently falls a little under the R1 level.
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GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great day on the charts today with Gold recovering from yesterdays drop, perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips.
Our 4h chart idea Bullish target 2694 was hit at the start of the week and now our bearish target also complete at 2665. No lock on either weighted level and therefore playing between both levels in this range. We need ema5 to cross and lock above or below the weighted Goldturns to determine the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2694 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2726
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2726 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
BEARISH TARGETS
2665 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2665 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2633
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2600
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our chart idea is playing out in true level to level fashion, although our entry today was too early and therefore we will look to manage from dips.
We did get our Bullish target 2691 followed with no lock confirming the rejection into our bearish target 2679. This followed with ema5 cross and lock opening the retracement range, which we are seeing price play in currently.
Once again all our weighted levels gave 30 to 40 pip bounces inline with our plans and analysis.
We are looking for a reaction from this retracement range, unless we see a cross and lock below 2654, which will open the swing range for a bigger bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2691 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2691 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2706
POTENTIALLY 2719
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2719 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2736
BEARISH TARGETS
2679 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2679 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2668 (DONE) - 2654
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2654 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2640 - 2624
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD 13 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high.
Price subsequently printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH.
We are currently trading within an established range
Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,697.950.
Price could potentially trade down to M15 demand zone to sweep liquidity before targeting weak internal high.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart: