GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart today, buying dips inline with our plans from yesterday and our updates on this chart throughout the week.
Yesterday we stated after completing all our targets that we were seeing price back in the range on both 1H and 4H chart and therefore the levels and our cross and lock weighted levels are active once again.
We also stated that price was testing the retracement range Goldturn 2737 and we will likely see a reaction here. This played out perfectly with the retracement range providing the support for the bounce into 2760 inline with our plans to buy dips
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Goldtradingstrategy
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionAs we head into the new week, gold prices remain resilient, fueled by heightened Middle East tensions and U.S. election uncertainty that keeps investors seeking safe-haven assets. Despite dollar strength and recent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, gold has surged over 32% this year, reflecting sustained demand in the face of global instability.
In this analysis, we cover critical areas for buyers and sellers alike, focusing on structural patterns, market psychology, and potential trade opportunities you won’t want to miss. Whether you're watching the price action or setting up entry points, these insights will equip you with a clear roadmap for the week ahead.
Will gold continue its strong performance, or could a new catalyst shift the trend?
📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market!
#goldprice #goldtrading #investing #commodities #marketanalysis #tradingstrategy #goldforecast #geopolitics #election2024 #safehaven #financialmarkets #forex #daytrading #swingtrading #middleeast #usdollar #economicuncertainty📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
11.1 Gold shock awaits non-agricultureJudging from Wednesday's ADP, non-farm payrolls on Friday should also maintain good growth. The same is true for the initial clearing last night. The sharp retracement before the data is basically the early digestion of the data.
1. The price broke the morning starting point before the US market and rebounded at 6-8 o'clock. This pattern must not have fallen much.
We have been emphasizing this point of view to everyone recently: Don't buy more twice when gold retreats in the US market. After the increase is too large, it is easy to fall by a large margin. Double bottoms, 618, and other positions are not caught, and there is no rebound.
But compared with yesterday's empty, it is the rhythm. Continuous failures and no operating mentality are easy to form. If you can't get started when you see it right, and you can't hold back and get started, it's wrong.
2. The morning is still a cyclical rise.
Intraday analysis:
1. A sharp drop in the rise, the first day is still a bull correction, which has been seen countless times before.
2. The continuous sharp drop breaks the bottom, which changes the short-term bull direction.
3. There will be non-agricultural data tonight. Before the non-agricultural data, the overall market should not change much.
4. If the bearish outlook continues, the rebound in the morning is focused on the European session. If the European session continues to rebound, the US session will inevitably fluctuate. If the market is weak, the European session will retreat first.
At present, it is obviously the top of the hourly big Yin line at 2757, because this position breaks the position of the decline and rebound at 382. And there is no high point of correction in the early morning, so it can only be arranged at the top of the big Yin line.
At the same time, the non-agricultural data is divided into two parts:
1. Look at the second retracement before the non-agricultural data.
2. Whether the non-agricultural data can continue the decline of yesterday depends on the data. Last month, it was 254,000, and this time it is expected to be only 11.3. Whether it is from the initial claims or from ADP, it is impossible to be lower than 11.3. It can only be high. How high it is depends on the data performance.
Therefore, the worst non-agricultural data is also bad for gold. It just depends on how bad it is. For example, ADP rebounds first and then falls, or it retreats directly.
As long as the data is higher than 150,000, the pullback is also empty, but no matter what, the European session is very critical. The European session continues to rebound and is strong. The US session fluctuates, but the European session is weak, and the probability of breaking the bottom is high.
GOLD Analysis | Intraday Chart ForecastGold prices rise in early European trade after sliding in the previous session, with investors awaiting U.S. payrolls data for more insights on the Federal Reserve's next policy move. Futures trade 0.5% higher at $2,764.00 a troy ounce following a 2% fall on profit-taking and increasing bets that the U.S. central bank will take a more cautious approach to rate cuts in the months ahead. "The fact that the core PCE rose the most on a monthly basis since April--along with strong spending and robust growth data released earlier this week--trimmed the Fed cut bets," Swissquote Bank's Ipek Ozkardeskaya says in a note. Still, prices continue to be supported by strong demand for safe-haven assets due to heightened geopolitical risks in the Middle East and uncertainty around the U.S. election.
🔴 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
-------------------------------
That said, Gold failed the bullish impulsive structure triggering a bearish leg that pushed the price directly to the potential support area around 2732. If Gold manages to hold this area (already touched once), we do not exclude an irregular wave B, with a potential new Top in wave 5. If our impulsive structure had not failed, above the 2,800 area it would have been interesting to try to sell Gold (see chart/analysis below). That said, let's take one step at a time, and therefore our focus will be on the support area, for now.
📊 POTENTIAL SELL TRADE
-----------------------------------
Thanks for watching & support.
Bears are strong, follow the trendGold fell sharply on Thursday, and the current price fell below the previous low. The key is whether it can continue today. Today is the first day of the monthly line change, and the amplitude space is large. The probability of covering this month is very high. The four-hour rebounded at the lower track support, breaking the bottom as a whole. It is currently in a weak rebound, and the overall situation is short!
Gold fell sharply in the NY market yesterday, and the daily high fell and covered. Gold still has downward momentum after the rebound. Gold in the Asian session continues to be short, and plans to be around 2758! The rebound is to give a better opportunity to short. Today's non-agricultural data, gold shorts will continue to exert their strength, and we will remain cautious in trading.
The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold forms a dead cross downward, then the downward space of gold will continue to open up.
Trading strategy:
2727~2758 range sell high and buy low. But exit the market before the release of NFP data, and wait for the market to stabilize before trading
XAUUSD CHARTING EXAMPLEThis is just an example to help people get comfortable in setting up the lines for market prediction and a practice run.
Market pullback potential 2729.00 and then retracement back to 2800.00 before seeing all time high of 3000.00
Cap Detectors:
SHAWN
AMILIA
KLO
ANN
Sahara
Martina
Janelle
XAUUSD (GOLD) BUY ANALYSIS 4HRS TIMEFRAMEHello trader what do you think about Gold? Here on Gold price forming uptrend and has reached a certain level of resistance and is likely to continue falling till it reach at around level of support zone 2758.45 after then trader can now enter for LONG and target profit around resistance level of 2788.89 . Remember to like and share your thought on comment!
GOLD 4H CHART MARKET UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart for us today with price rejection on the final range after hitting all our targets. As shared yesterday we don't like chasing targets all the way to the top on a new range and safer to buy dips and that's what we have been doing,
Today once again we were able to use our 1H chart levels to buy 30 to 40 pip dips from our strategic levels even against todays trend. That's the power of our chart setups!!
We now have a gap left on the top of the range and seeing price reject into the 4H chart retracement range. We expect a reaction here for a bounce or a cross and lock below this range will see the swing range.
We are now also seeing price back in the range on both 1H and 4H chart and therefore the levels and our cross and lock weighted levels are active once again, for us to track and trade the movement.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2760 (EMA5 LOCK ABOVE 2737 WILL FURTHER CONFIRM THIS) - DONE
POTENTIALLY 2779 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2779 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2797
POTENTIALLY 2814
BEARISH TARGETS
2737 - DONE
2715
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2715 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2693 - 2669
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Sell GOLD HAS REACHED AN ALLTIME HIGH OF 2790.
Before this happened gold created a false head and shoulders pattern with a head at 2758 and a neckline at 2717. If gold breaks through 2717 expect a sell to 2700 and 2665 to complete the head and shoulders pattern. And if any downward movement continues as expected, I will give new targets.
I went short Gold at 2735.83. It just happended....!
I really was not on the front foot to Short gold or silver so early in the week, it just happened because a report came in on tradingview news that the middle east situation is contained more so than open war-fare and the Gold chart was begging to be shorted because there was no buying and the gold-ghost was taking a break resting under a moving average. Sorry buddy, your shorted!
Will see how it goes. Not sure what economic news is on today in the USA but I will soon find out.
Other Long trades I am on include GBPUSD, GBPCAD is looking to really break out in the Monday sessions and I am also Short on AUDUSD which I think is starting to become in-the-money. Have a good trading day and remember 'greed normally means losing money not making it'. Chris
XAUUSD: Wait for a drop before rising, target 2800Yesterday, Wednesday, the United States released the October "small non-farm" data. The ADP employment in October recorded 233,000, the largest increase since July 2023. These figures are contrary to expectations of economic slowdown after the Boeing employee strike in October and the two brutal hurricanes and attacks on the US East Coast ports.
The subsequent release of the US third quarter real GDP annualized growth rate recorded 2.8%, lower than the expected and previous value of 3%. Consumer spending, which accounts for the largest share of economic activity, increased by 3.7%, the largest increase since the beginning of 2023. At the same time, data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that the initial value of the annualized quarterly rate of the core PCE price index in the third quarter of the United States rose by 2.2%, roughly in line with the Fed's goals.
Spot gold continued to hit a record high, hitting the $2,790 mark during the day, but failed to get above this level.
From the current point of view, 2,790 is very likely not the high point of gold, but the risk of retracement also needs to be considered.
Therefore, we can't blindly be bullish, but need to wait for a retracement before considering buying
Is now the best time to short gold prices?I don't think so. I believe you have read the article I posted yesterday. If not, read it again.
Is the accuracy of the fast trading strategy amazing? Indeed. This is the strength of the fast trading strategy analysis team.
At present, the values mentioned yesterday have been fully achieved today. Today, I led all members to go long on gold prices again to expand profits. There are about 9 profitable orders. You can refer to the fast trading strategy grouping
Tomorrow's trading direction: Check above to see if the position of 2786 can be successfully broken through. If not, you can refer to the opportunity to sell above 2786 and buy near 2770 tomorrow. If it breaks through, then 2800 points is not far away. At present, there is no major news to promote it. Focus on the initial jobless claims data on Thursday night and the release of non-farm data on Friday. This week's time is also very tight. After all, good trading opportunities want to expand profits. Members of the fast trading team are no exception. So I am also busy.
Market analysis for three days this week. The accuracy of the signals is obvious to all. Trading is actually very simple. As long as there is trading funds in the account, everyone can leave me a message. Everyone has equal opportunities. No one wants to be a person who keeps losing money! Everyone agrees, right?
There are only two trading opportunities left this week, and the trading space is still very large. The proportion of making money. The probability of making 70% profit on 100k is more than 95%. The probability of making 100% profit is more than 85%. The above are all cumulative data. People who continue to pay attention know this.
Regarding trading, this is all I will notify you today. If you have any questions, you can leave me a message at any time. I will reply and solve them in time when I see them.
Gold's rising momentum continues unabated, continue to focus on
As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold is often favored during periods of geopolitical turmoil. So far this year, gold prices have risen 35% and are expected to record their best annual performance since 1979. The intensified conflict between Israel and Lebanon has led to tensions, further boosting market demand for gold. Israel's recent air strikes have caused a large number of civilian casualties, attracting widespread attention and condemnation from the international community. The Lebanese Prime Minister said that the two sides may reach a ceasefire agreement in the next few days. Although this news may ease short-term tensions, market concerns about the future situation remain.
The release of US third-quarter economic data showed that GDP grew 2.8% month-on-month, and consumer spending grew 3.7% at the fastest rate in a year and a half. Despite the strong economic performance, inflation has slowed, with the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rising only 2.2%. These data provide new clues to the Fed's policy path. The market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its meeting next week. Despite strong economic growth, gold remains the first choice for investors in an uncertain environment. As the election approaches, the market is full of doubts about the future direction of US economic policies, and the safe-haven demand for gold may rise further.
The supply and demand of gold also affects the price. Uncertainty in the global economy has prompted investors to increase their allocation to gold, especially in a low-interest rate environment, where the attractiveness of gold as an interest-free asset has increased. At the same time, the loose policies of central banks around the world continue to support gold prices. In response to the economic slowdown, many central banks have generally adopted measures such as interest rate cuts and quantitative easing, which has further boosted demand for gold.
On Wednesday, it hit a record high of $2,789.89 per ounce. On Wednesday, mainly driven by the uncertainty of the US presidential election and geopolitical tensions, investors' demand for safe-haven assets increased significantly. Gold hit a record high again on Wednesday. Today, investors continue to pay attention to the 1-hour support area below 2,778, and go long on gold after the correction stabilizes.
Thank you for your likes, thank you
10.31 gold box vibration???Gold is mainly affected by the following three aspects:
1: The October US non-farm payrolls data will be announced at 20:30 on Friday. The US September ADP employment data released on Wednesday increased significantly beyond expectations. Next tonight, the US September PCE price index and the number of initial jobless claims for the week will be released.
2: The US presidential election next Tuesday (November 5th), there are less than 4 trading days left. Who will eventually enter the White House in the battle between the Donkey and the Elephant parties? Especially on November 5th, the day of the election, the gold market will definitely fluctuate violently!
3: Geopolitical risk events, North Korea tested an intercontinental ballistic missile around 7:10 this morning, and Iran will say that it will retaliate against Israel before November 5th. With the reshaping of the world pattern, the geopolitical risks in the Middle East are spreading to the world.
As the price of gold approaches $2,800, bulls and bears diverge again. The last time gold approached $2,700, it adjusted around $2,685, which ultimately did not affect the upward trend. It just threw the bulls off the train during the adjustment, which also hit the bulls' morale for short-term operations.
This time, when it approached $2,800, the bulls paused. On Wednesday, the market repeatedly washed between 2,790 and 2,770. In addition, the heavy pound data will be released today, tomorrow and next week. The suspense will naturally be left to the non-agricultural data today and tomorrow night.
1 hour, it quickly fell back to the 2,770 point where it started to rise in the morning, forming a high-level box shock. At present, the gold price has not stabilized at 2,790. Don't rush to chase more, but pay attention to the direction of the 2,790-70 box range breakthrough, and try to avoid chasing the edge position within the box.
Gold continues to increase in price due to many support factorsGold prices increased while the US economy showed signs of slowing down faster than expected. US GDP growth in the third quarter only reached 2.8%, lower than the 3% recorded in the previous quarter.
The growth figure is lower than expected, making many people believe that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will consider accelerating the pace of interest rate reduction to further support the economy. The USD is likely to weaken. The cash flow could also ease the decline in the US vote market.
Gold is a commodity that benefits when interest rates decrease. However, 2.8% is still considered a quite positive growth tool. The impact of this information on the USD is not much.
Currently, gold is considered to be able to continue to increase and set new peaks, possibly reaching 2,800 USD/ounce when the US election has many unpredictable things. Tensions in the Middle East are still quite high, while Japan has recently fallen into a political crisis after the country's ruling coalition lost the majority of seats in parliament.
Gold increased before the US presidential electionWorld gold prices increased, with spot gold increasing by 12.5 USD to 2,788.1 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,798.6 USD/ounce, up 17.5 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold continues to benefit as uncertainty ahead of the US presidential election boosts shelter demand for this precious metal. According to RJO Futures senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis, there are many factors that are supporting gold and could push prices higher. He predicted that the price of this precious metal could reach 2,850 USD/ounce.
Saxo Bank's head of commodity strategy Ole Hansen said that gold prices increased due to uncertainty related to the election results and the market is pricing in further interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). again next week. He emphasized that the weakness of the greenback is also supporting gold.
According to OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong, the results of the US election have an impact on gold. He believes that, soon, spot gold will face resistance at $2,800/ounce, then $2,826/ounce.
Currently, the US presidential election has entered a sprint race, with recent polls showing that the race for the White House is still very fierce. The gap between the two candidates, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, is extremely tight.
Gold bullish analysisGold hit 2790 for the second time, forming a double top pattern on the hourly chart. However, the price closed above 2780. Before the trend is completely changed, the callback is still dominated by low-to-long positions. Let's look at the oscillation range of 2770/2800 during the day. There is basically no room for gold bears. The decline is to continue to give more opportunities. Gold bulls are unstoppable and full of momentum.
Gold fluctuated upward yesterday, and gold continued to accumulate momentum at a high level. Gold still bottomed out and rebounded yesterday despite the small non-agricultural negative news. Gold bulls held on to the 2770 line and continued to rise. Gold fell back to 2780 in the Asian session and continued to buy on dips.
Gold continued to fluctuate at a high level in 1 hour, and the gold 1-hour moving average continued to diverge upward with a golden cross. The gold moving average support moved up to around 2770. Gold also stepped back to the support near 2770 several times in the US session yesterday and then bottomed out and rebounded. Gold continued to buy on dips after stepping back to 2780 in the Asian session. Accumulating momentum at a high level, gold is likely to hit the 2800 line.
First support: 2780, second support: 2768, third support: 2755
First resistance: 2794, second resistance: 2805, third resistance: 2813
Trading strategy:
According to the resistance support, sell high and buy low in the range of 2770~2800
Comparing Gold and Bitcoin: Which is the Superior Hard Money?As economic uncertainty, inflation, and geopolitical tensions continue to rise, investors are increasingly turning to alternative assets like gold and Bitcoin as hedges against potential market downturns. Both assets have seen significant price increases in recent years, sparking a heated debate over which one truly qualifies as the superior "hard money."
Gold: The Timeless Haven
Gold has been revered as a store of value for centuries. Its appeal lies in its physical nature, scarcity, and historical track record as a reliable hedge against inflation. When economic conditions deteriorate, investors often flock to gold as a haven.
• Pros of Gold:
o Tangible Asset: Gold is a physical asset, offers a sense of security and control.
o Historical Performance: Gold has consistently proven its worth as an inflation hedge over the long term.
o Diversification: Adding gold to a portfolio can reduce overall risk.
o Global Acceptance: Gold is recognized worldwide as a valuable commodity.
• Cons of Gold:
o Storage Costs: Storing physical gold can be expensive and inconvenient.
o Liquidity Concerns: While gold is generally liquid, large-scale sales may impact its price.
o Opportunity Cost: Gold doesn't generate income like stocks or bonds.
Bitcoin: The Digital Gold
Bitcoin, a decentralized digital currency, has emerged as a disruptive force in the financial world. Its proponents argue that it offers superior qualities as a hard money due to its limited supply, cryptographic security, and potential for future growth.
• Pros of Bitcoin:
o Digital Scarcity: Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million coins, ensuring its scarcity.
o Decentralization: Bitcoin operates on a decentralized network, making it resistant to censorship and manipulation.
o Global Accessibility: Bitcoin can be accessed and traded by anyone with an internet connection.
o Potential for High Returns: Bitcoin's price volatility offers opportunities for significant gains.
• Cons of Bitcoin:
o Price Volatility: Bitcoin's price can fluctuate dramatically, making it a risky investment.
o Regulatory Uncertainty: Governments around the world are still grappling with how to regulate cryptocurrencies.
o Technical Complexity: Understanding and using Bitcoin can be challenging for some.
o Environmental Concerns: Bitcoin mining consumes significant amounts of energy.
The Hard Money Debate: Gold vs. Bitcoin
The debate over which asset is superior as a hard money often boils down to individual preferences and risk tolerance.
Gold proponents emphasize its tangible nature, historical track record, and global acceptance. They argue that gold's value is rooted in its physical properties and its role as a traditional safe haven.
Bitcoin advocates highlight its digital scarcity, decentralization, and potential for disruption. They believe that Bitcoin's unique characteristics make it a more suitable store of value in the digital age.
Ultimately, the choice between gold and Bitcoin depends on various factors, including:
• Risk Tolerance: Investors with a higher risk tolerance may be more inclined to invest in Bitcoin, while those seeking a more conservative approach may prefer gold.
• Investment Horizon: Long-term investors may benefit from both assets, as they have the potential to appreciate over time.
• Diversification: Both gold and Bitcoin can serve as diversifiers in a portfolio, reducing overall risk.
A Balanced Approach
Rather than choosing one over the other, some investors opt for a balanced approach by allocating a portion of their portfolio to both gold and Bitcoin. This strategy can help mitigate the risks associated with either asset and potentially generate higher returns over the long term.
As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the debate over gold and Bitcoin is likely to intensify. Investors must carefully consider their financial goals, risk tolerance, and long-term outlook before making investment decisions.
GOLD 1H AND 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts today with our 1H chart complete and 4h chart targets also smashed. We got the EMA5 cross and lock above 2762 opening 2772 and 2781, which were hit today completing this 1h chart idea (please see below)
Our 4h chart also had ema5 cross and lock above 2737, opening 2760 and 2779, which were both hit completing this range. We now have ema5 lock above 2779 opening the range above. We always take caution chasing targets all the way to the top and that why using our Goldlturns to buy dips is the safest way to chase targets in a new range
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2760 (EMA5 LOCK ABOVE 2737 WILL FURTHER CONFIRM THIS) - DONE
POTENTIALLY 2779 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2779 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2797
POTENTIALLY 2814
BEARISH TARGETS
2737 - DONE
2715
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2715 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2693 - 2669
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
ADP data is coming soon! Gold shortThe market performance on Wednesday (October 30) continued the recent strong upward momentum. The price of gold hit $2,789.83/ounce in early trading, setting a new record high and rising sharply by more than $15. With the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and the intensification of geopolitical risks, gold has once again become a safe haven choice for investors.
Technical analysis
After breaking through the resistance area of 2,780-2,785 US dollars/ounce, the price of gold became an offensive signal for bulls. The price of gold may further push towards the $2,800/ounce mark. At present, any meaningful correction is expected to find good support around $2,750/ounce. If there is a subsequent sell-off in the price of gold, it may push the price of gold to the support level of $2,732-2,730/ounce, or even further down to the $2,715/ounce area.
Today's focus data:
US unemployment rate in October
US non-farm payrolls in October (10,000 people)
Today's expected trend of gold prices can focus on the fluctuations between the support level of $2,765.00/ounce and the resistance level of $2,800.00/ounce. Under the current market sentiment and technical conditions, gold is still a worthy investment option.