Gold Pattern FormationThis commodity has been on a bearish momentum for the past few days, before a small pullback to 2570 zone.
It has been forming a head and shoulder pattern and I do anticipate that the commodity might complete the pattern before resuming with the bearish momentum.
It might pullback to around 2630, before now retracting to 2300.
Let us wait and see if by the end of the day if it will close above 2580.
Goldtradingstrategy
Gold’s Next Move: Short Trade Setup Amid Key RetracementGold has retraced to the 0.5 Fibonacci level within the cloud zone, trading above the 200 Moving Average (MA) on the 30-minute timeframe. While the smaller time frame shows a bullish structure, the higher time frame remains firmly bearish. This trade capitalizes on the short-term bullish momentum within the retracement phase, keeping the broader bearish trend in mind for risk management.
Our approach is focused on capitalizing on the retracement for a short position while aligning with the overall bearish trend. If the price fails to hold key levels, a deeper bearish continuation is expected.
Technical Analysis:
• Retracement Level: Gold is at the 0.5 Fibonacci cloud level on the 30-minute chart.
• Moving Average: Currently trading above the 200MA on the lower time frame, indicating temporary bullish momentum.
• Higher Time Frame: Still bearish, reflecting a downtrend in the broader structure.
• Recent Price Action: Gold surged 1.13% above the 200MA, then retraced into the cloud, testing support for the next move.
• Trade Setup: Short-term bearish execution with targets aligned to the broader downtrend, capitalizing on the retracement level as an entry point while considering the smaller time frame’s temporary bullish momentum.
Fundamental Overview:
Gold prices rebounded in Asian trading, supported by easing US Treasury bond yields and a softer US Dollar. Geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and expectations of further stimulus measures from China provide additional support for gold. However, long-term concerns about US monetary policy and interest rate stability may weigh on the metal’s trajectory.
Traders are closely monitoring signals from Federal Reserve policymakers regarding future rate hikes. Additionally, the market is cautious about potential ripple effects from Nvidia Inc.’s earnings on the broader sentiment.
This trade takes advantage of the short-term bullish retracement on the lower time frame while staying aligned with the higher time frame’s bearish outlook. Proper risk management and vigilance toward key fundamental triggers remain essential.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
XAUUSD:Long and short trading strategy of the day
Yesterday's gold rose all the way, the daily line closed the sun line, we can't deny that the market is always right. We are still insisting on bearism it directly V turned over, the main rising market has a number of reasons, one is the escalation of the situation in Russia and Ukraine, another is the strengthening of interest rate reduction expectations. The recent market is the elevator market straight up and down, yesterday's gold 2564 rose to 2614, and then again pulled up to 2623, up 60 points at present, short-term form and indicators have turned more, but the weekly line has not changed the big short, in the operation first follow the short long low, in the big pressure or to short, Now gold is a big rebound after the big fall, the weekly big V shape has not been formed.
The daily sun will support today's long inertia rise, Asia and Europe period to find the opportunity to bear, if directly pulled up to 2642-2648 this weekly pressure can also be short, short - term back step waiting for more opportunities, 4 hours of strong support has been up to 2589 near, hourly support near 2603. This is the long point, now adjust your mind to follow it.
Support 2603 and 2589, pressure 2629, strong pressure 2642-2648, disc strong and weak water line 2603.
XAUUSD long daily The gold market has recently tested a significant trend support line on the daily chart. This support line has proven to be a strong area where buyers step in, and the market has now formed a distinct price action signal at this level.
From my analysis, it looks like the market is respecting this trend line and showing signs of a potential upward move. If this momentum holds, we could see gold rallying toward higher levels in the coming days or weeks.
This is not going to be any significant move until Trump takes office in January.
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Formation ManipulationHello Traders
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A Piptastic start to the week with our 1H chart hitting targets just like we analysed.
We started the day with our Bullish target hit at 2574. This followed with ema5 cross and lock above this weighted Goldturn, opening 2599, which was also hit!!!!
We are now seeing 2599 cross and locked, leaving 2622 open. As long as we don't see a lock back down below 2599, 2622 will remain open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up and knowing we have gaps above, allows us to safely buy from dips.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2574 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2574 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2599 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2599 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2622
BEARISH TARGETS
2551
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2551 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2525
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2525 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
2638
SWING RANGE
2506 - 2484
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
THE KOG REPORT - Election update:Continuing with this chart we've managed to navigate the move from the all time high into the lower region which we had marked with a circle for Camelot as a potential RIP zone. There was a slight stretch on the move however, we did get the bounce giving us a fantastic long trade.
On this particular chart we would like to see where price closes on the weekly to make a further assessment. For now, if you followed, it moved well.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD Potential Long OpportunityOn the 30-minute XAU/USD (Gold) chart, I’ve identified a potential long setup based on Fibonacci levels and recent price action.
🔹 Entry: Enter around the current level at $2,556, where we’re seeing signs of support.
🔹 Stop Loss: Place below the recent low near the 1.0 Fibonacci extension level at $2,536. This area has previously acted as support, and a break below could signal a shift in trend.
🔹 Take Profit: Target the 0.25 Fibonacci retracement level at $2,577 or, for a higher target, consider the 0.5 retracement level around $2,597-$2,618. These levels have previously acted as resistance zones, making them logical profit points for a long position.
Ensure this trade aligns with your risk tolerance. With a stop loss set close to support, this setup offers a solid risk-to-reward ratio if the uptrend continues.
Good luck!
Trade Plan for Gold (XAUUSD)Gold is currently moving within a descending channel, indicating a downtrend. It is consistently setting lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), confirming bearish market sentiment. Additionally, the RSI is in sync with the price action, reinforcing the downtrend.
Entry Point:
Sell at 2603, which serves as the next significant resistance level. This level is also close to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement derived from the previous Lower High (2709) and Lower Low (2534).
Stop Loss:
Place the stop loss at 2710, above the last Lower High (LH), ensuring protection against false breakouts.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 2496, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel and maintaining a conservative target.
TP2: 2389, aiming for the continuation of the downtrend if the price breaks the next support levels.
Trade Notes:
Monitor RSI for divergence or loss of momentum near critical levels.
Confirm the continuation of the descending channel by observing price behavior near 2603 before entering the trade.
Adjust the plan dynamically based on any breakouts or unexpected shifts in the broader market sentiment.
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GOLD:The trend remained down for the week
Gold fell all the way last week, 2686 fell to 2536 fell to 150 points, weekly pattern big top to determine, weekly trend continues to be bearish, this is the trend, the second is to find a position, short trend is beyond doubt.
The current performance is expected to rebound first repair let continue to fall, bear space will be larger, six trading days closed negative, last Thursday, the daily line appeared a hammer candle pattern, this is a stop down signal, but not the trend change signal, Friday repair today continue to repair, Asia-Europe time we first consider the opportunity to bear.
Based on the previous 4-hour line closed positive line, the short-term rebound will continue, the high of the rebound is near 2597, the actual suppression position is near 2603, Asia-Europe period first rely on this position to short, this week's shock repair small long is also a chance, Asia-Europe period small support is 2570, Friday repair low 2560 is also support, At present, the first estimated space is 2603-2570, according to this range to trade.
Support 2560 and 2570, pressure is 2603, strong pressure 2620 and 2643, disc strength and weakness line 2590.
XAU/USD 18 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 12 November 2024.
Price has printed both a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and a subsequent bearish Break of Structure (BOS), confirming the need for a pullback across all higher timeframes (HTFs).
Currently, price action remains in alignment with the broader pullback requirements.
Intraday Expectation
The expectation for the intraday session is that price will print a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) to signify the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. The positioning of this bullish CHoCH is indicated by the blue dotted line on the chart.
However, it is also possible that price could extend to a new low, bringing the CHoCH positioning much closer to the current price action, setting the stage for a potential bullish reversal signal.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold prices is anticipated to persist. Traders should exercise caution and remain vigilant in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
The prior intraday expectation was invalidated as price printed a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), signaling a shift in internal order flow.
Following bullish iBOS, the next anticipated move is the printing of a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which would indicate the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. This CHoCH positioning is marked by a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
For today's session, we are looking for confirmation of a bearish pullback phase by price printing a bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line
Alternative Scenario:
On the H4 timeframe, there are signs of a bullish pullback phase potentially developing, though there is no confirmation as of yet. In my view, the bullish momentum on the M15 timeframe is to assist the H4 timeframe in confirming its pullback phase.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy approach and rising geopolitical tensions, heightened volatility in Gold prices is expected to continue. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential whipsaws in price action.
M15 Chart:
The opportunity to break 2500 has arrived
Last Friday's market was actually quite dull. Even with the support of retail data, I am not very interested in this data. I have never seen how much volatility it can cause to gold since I started the industry. In the end, it was only a high of 2577 and a low of 63. This volatility is not as good as the rapid decline of 2554. It is really embarrassing. It is obviously the market of Black Friday, but there has been no performance for two weeks. I have been looking forward to it in vain. The main reason is that I want to make another market with a drop of 40 US dollars on the same day. There is no way. I can't stop looking down just because there is no volatility, right? Just start again this week.
And I am not surprised at all by the performance of the opening gap. The market has been like this in recent weeks. It's nothing more than the difference in the size of the gap. Everyone knows the reason. Whether it is the market sensitivity after the election or the reaction after the interest rate cut, it is normal to jump. Fortunately, the gap is not big today. Although the volatility is large, it will not be very extreme.
Generally, when there is a jump market, I will tell you a few trading rules. This is my summary of many years of experience.
The bigger the gap, the faster the market fluctuates. Don't rush to see the gap filling, because you don't know whether it will rise or fall first. The most stable way is to wait for the first fluctuation. Take this gap as an example. It is strictly forbidden to go short directly to see the gap filling at the first time, because you don't know the first wave of action. If it really fills up the first time, then you can go long at the low point after the filling. On the contrary, it rebounds upward at the first time, then you look for high point pressure to see it fill the decline. Not to mention that this approach is 100% correct, but I usually operate the transaction in this way when facing a gap.
The characteristic of the gap market is that the initial fluctuation speed and amplitude are large. Don't make any chasing orders, let alone think that you will miss something. Moreover, if the first wave of gold fills down or falls a little, it is likely to rebound upwards, which is not friendly to my bearish perspective. On the contrary, the first upward movement is what makes me happy. I have already made a short order near 92, just to see it fill the gap 2565 later. At least 30 US dollars of space can be taken. Moreover, after the gap is filled, it is not impossible to look lower, but this should be the US market or tomorrow. It is known that the support of the low point of gold fluctuation is near 2555. I also need to see whether gold will spit back to this position.
What needs to be determined now is whether gold will start to adjust upward or turn to the adjustment downward mode. This is the only controversy in the market and the focus of long and short trading this week. What can be determined is that the last wave of emotional selling from 2790 to 2536 has ended. Will the second wave of adjustment of more than 250 US dollars occur? Where will it happen? How low can it fall after it happens?
I emphasize again that 2790 to 2536 is the same wave of decline, because the speed and scale are almost the same, there is no need to separate the decline of more than 200 US dollars. I originally thought that the bottom this time would be the same as the last time at 2590. Note that the sideways fluctuation at the upper end of the triangle below is the same as the rhythm of last Friday. The tail did not touch the previous low of 2643, and it has already started a weak decline. This is why I will go short near 2570 on Friday. The bifurcation line also has the pressure guidance of this point, and it has not touched the top and bottom conversion position of 2590. Then let's see the continued decline. It has been falling for a week, right? You want me to see a big reversal on the last day, that's impossible.
The direct surge in the morning was a bit unexpected to me, but it is not unacceptable, because the overall downward structure is still there, that is, the equidistant channel. I told members before that if there is a rise and pullback, we can still seek another high-altitude opportunity below 2600. Don’t you all dislike the feeling of being bearish at low levels? If this is the case, you will have the opportunity to trade at a high altitude. Look, it is here, perfect. The previous top and bottom conversion position is 92. It is possible to do it without saying much. Secondly, there is a retracement of 2602 above. The cost performance of bearish trading is very high. At the same time, you can also see the gap filling 2565 at the first time.
Of course, since it can fluctuate at the bottom of the cycle, the possibility of bottoming out cannot be ruled out. This is something that bulls need to study and recognize. I will not describe it too much here. Your trading position must be firm. And confirm that the upward position of gold adjustment is 2620 and 2643 above. I will naturally deal with it at that time. I don’t know what kind of falling pattern it will be if it really falls again this time. Its journey will definitely not be smooth sailing according to conventional fluctuations. For example, 2555 or 2530 below are also prices that need to be challenged. Whether it is repeated or oscillating, as long as it goes down, I will definitely catch this wave of market. You can also see the price after the deep break, which is probably around 2480.
XAUUSD, 15-MINUTES TIMEFRAME CHARTXAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
XAUUSD touched the resistance level of 2,594.00
General outlook
XAUUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hour . The pair moved up the resistance level of 2,594.00.
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a sell order at 2,590.
Set your stop loss at 2,598. below the previous low ($8.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,560. ($30.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2574 and a gap below at 2551. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2574
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2574 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2599
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2599 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2622
BEARISH TARGETS
2551
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2551 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2525
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2525 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
2638
SWING RANGE
2506 - 2484
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price lay between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2570 and a gap below at 2519, as weighted Goldturns and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2570
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2570 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2611
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2611 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2654
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2654 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2694
BEARISH TARGETS
2519
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2519 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2487 - 2450
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2450 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2411 - 2368
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see our updated daily chart idea with updated weighted levels.
We are seeing price test a strong level of support at 2560 and ema5 cross and lock below this level will open the swing rage for a reaction below.
We also have a longer range weighted level resistance level above at 2629. A cross and lock above this level will confirm the range above.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
This is an update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now.
After smashing all our Bullish targets we are now seeing the well overdue correction into the retracement range. The channel top and the retracement range are good areas of support for a reaction.
We have a body close below the retracement range opening the swing range. However, ema5 cross and lock will further confirm and strengthen this. The new weekly candle this week will have an ema5 defacement to the top of the channel, so may see some correction above to re- attach.
We will track the movement down, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gaps for the future.
We are now seeing price break back inside the channel, and therefore will now track the movement down, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gaps for the future..
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD 17.11.2567Here is my outlook on gold for the upcoming week and beyond regarding swing trading:
Due to the break of the main trend, the sentiment for a downtrend has emerged. With a wide price movement range, there is a possibility that the chart will move as illustrated.
I hope this analysis is helpful for everyone.
You can follow and support me on various social media platforms by searching for Invest Research .
GOLD - Potential sell !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GOLD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is imbalance filled and rejection from bearish OB around 2600.
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