Buy gold!Bros, earlier today, we initiated our first trade by going long on gold around the 2628 level, and we have now closed our long position near 2647. While we didn’t capture the absolute peak, we still secured an easy profit of nearly 200 pips.
Currently, after touching the 2649 level, gold has slightly pulled back and is now trading around 2642. Despite gold briefly dipping to the 2625 level earlier today, the overall bullish structure remains intact. As I mentioned on Friday, short-term pullbacks in gold are merely corrections of the prior uptrend and serve to build momentum for further upside. Therefore, I continue to maintain a bullish bias in my trading approach.
Since gold has resumed its rebound, for the upcoming short-term trades, we can consider using the 2640-2635 zone as a support level and start going long on gold again!
Bros, do you believe gold will extend its rebound? If you’re interested in learning more detailed trading strategies and receiving additional trade signals, you can join the channel linked at the bottom of the article. Let’s make trading easier and turn profit-making into an enjoyable journey!
Goldtradingstrategy
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week's KOG Report we said we would look for two levels from the open to be attempted where we wanted to short the market. The first level of 2630-5 worked extremely well for us giving us a level to level, point to point short into the red box region and target level we had shared. This move completed a majority of our bearish targets apart from one, also giving us the opportunity to then long back up into the Excalibur targets we had above.
During the later part of the week we shared the updated chart and gave the levels again to attempt the short, and again, a pinpoint short came from the level we wanted and we closed the week with runners left on those trades.
Another decent week in Camelot, not only on Gold but also the other pairs we trade and analyse giving us a 15 out of 16 targets completed.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
To start, we have NFP towards the end of the week, so we’ll use this report for the first half of the week and then release the NFP KOG Report with our view per-event. After the bearish move on Friday, we’ll be looking for a base during the early sessions, potentially deeper into the 2625-30 region before then attempting the long trade back up to target the resistance levels. It’s those resistance levels 2640 and above that again the 2650-55 region that need to be monitored this week for the break, if held, further opportunities may be available to short again unless broken. We’re still in the larger range with key level support 2605 and resistance sitting way up at 2670-75 so it gives us some idea of the play.
If we do break above that 2550 level and hold with a close, we'll look higher again into the range high trading level to level.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2630 with targets above 2650, 2655 and above that 2667
Bearish below 2630 with targets below 2624, 2620, 2610 and below that 2604
RED BOXES:
Break above 2640 for 2646, 2650, 2659 and 2670 in extension of the move
Break below 2625 for 2620, 2617, 2610 and 2604 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD today analysisGold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around $2,645 per ounce, maintaining its position near recent highs. Analysts suggest that the precious metal may experience further gains in the near term, with potential targets above $2,975.
This optimistic outlook is supported by several factors, including ongoing geopolitical tensions, expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts, and sustained demand from central banks diversifying their reserves.
However, it's important to note that some forecasts indicate the possibility of a deeper correction before gold prices reach new highs.
Given these mixed signals, investors should exercise caution and consider both the potential for upward movement and the risks of a correction when making trading decisions.
For a more detailed technical analysis, you might find the following video helpful:
Target Achieved: Our XAUUSD Forecast Was Spot On!The market has hit the target just as we predicted! 🚀 Our analysis of the strong 4H trendline and bullish momentum proved accurate, with the price continuing to push upward as anticipated. This is a testament to the power of technical analysis and staying disciplined with the trend. 📈
Stay tuned for more insights and forecasts! 💡
GOLD (XAUUSD) ANALYSISFrom the updated chart, here's a refined **analysis and target projection**:
---
### **Analysis**:
1. **Current Price**:
- Gold is trading around **2645.59**, showing a bullish attempt to break above recent resistance levels.
2. **Demand Zone**:
- A possible higher low (HL) formation is near the **2620–2630 zone**, indicating strong buyer interest. If this level holds, the price may continue its upward movement.
3. **Resistance Areas**:
- The next immediate resistance zone lies between **2650–2660**, where a minor supply zone exists.
- If this zone breaks, the price may target the next significant supply level around **2680–2700**, as suggested by the higher green zone.
4. **Bullish Continuation**:
- The drawn purple arrow indicates a potential retracement into the support zone, likely around **2635–2640**, before continuing the bullish trend.
- The market structure remains bullish, with higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
---
### **Targets**:
1. **First Target (Short-Term)**: **2650–2660**
- A logical level for partial profit-taking or initial resistance.
2. **Second Target (Mid-Term)**: **2680–2700**
- A higher supply zone, with the potential to act as a significant resistance level.
---
### **Invalidation**:
- A break below **2620** would invalidate the bullish setup and could lead to further downside toward **2600 or lower**.
Here's the (GOLD) analysis based on the 4-hour time frameHere's the analysis based on the 4-hour time frame CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Analysis:
1. **Resistance Zone:**
- The price has approached a clear resistance zone (around 2660–2670) where sellers may step in. This zone has been tested before, making it significant.
2. **Bearish Price Action:**
- The recent candlesticks near resistance suggest hesitation, possibly indicating seller strength.
- If a bearish engulfing or similar rejection pattern forms, it may confirm a potential reversal.
3. **Moving Averages:**
- The moving averages (possibly EMA or SMA) show alignment below the current price, indicating a recent bullish move. However, a pullback to the moving averages is typical in such cases.
4. **Volume:**
- (Not visible on the chart) If volume is decreasing near the resistance zone, it strengthens the bearish bias.
Suggested Sell Targets:
1. **First Target (T1):** 2645
- Minor support zone and close to the first EMA.
2. **Second Target (T2):** 2621
- A previous support level and aligns with the middle of the range.
3. **Third Target (T3):** 2608
- Strong support zone; price could bounce from here.
Stop Loss:
- Place your stop loss slightly above the resistance zone, around **2675**, to avoid being stopped out by false breakouts.
Recommendation:
- Wait for confirmation via bearish candlestick patterns (like engulfing or pin bars) before entering.
- Watch the volume and any fundamental news that could impact gold.
SWING AND GROW RICHlooking for a great start for the new year, gold holds some great potential to make your dreams come true. looking for a bullish swing on gold. the weekly trend is bullish and the daily has made it's pull back to the 200 moving average, the 4h has gone bullish from the 2nd of january and it made a pull back on friday and today, looking for a pin bar in line with the trend on the 4h, the 1h has made a bullish enguling parttern. so looking to close out at a new all time high. trade with proper risk management. enjoy the year.
XAU/USD 06 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Price has most recently printed a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation.
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is expected to react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,625.260.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Today's market analysis, signal updateOn Friday, gold rose first and then fell. Although the daily chart of the big cycle is bullish, due to the rapid rise, there has been a small cycle adjustment. In my opinion, the daily chart's oscillating upward movement has not yet ended, but the short-term adjustment and correction has not yet ended, especially in the four-hour period. The price broke through the acceleration line and then suppressed and fell back. Today's rhythm is expected to be corrected first and then fell.
The lowest price of gold fell back to around 2636 and began to rise. It is also the support level of the previous 2639 vertex conversion, but I think the high point of 2665 is not yet able to break through, because there is NFP this week, and the previous market is expected to remain volatile, and the data released before the non-agricultural data is the important factor that dominates the market direction this week! Therefore, in the short term, we should first treat it with a shock idea!
Gold began to build a top structure in 30 minutes, and then gold 30 minutes on Friday rushed up and fell below the 2650 support line. Gold began to weaken, and the 30-minute moving average of gold began to turn downward. If a dead cross is formed downward, then gold will continue to fall. Gold will continue to be short under pressure at 2650 in the Asian session.
First support: 2630, second support: 2623, third support: 2610
First resistance: 2650, second resistance: 2665, third resistance: 2672
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2635-2638
SELL: 2650-2653
More signals will sent to the VIP group
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold, after a short-term upward movement, is now approaching a key resistance level, which coincides with the upper boundary of the short-term ascending channel. This resistance zone is expected to act as a strong barrier, potentially halting the bullish momentum.
As the price reaches this level, there is a high probability of a bearish reversal, leading to a decline toward the identified support level.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Am I the only one who is waiting for a bearish trend for #gold?hello guys!
let's analyze gold together!
Double Top Formation:
A double top has been identified near the $2,675-$2,680 level, signaling a potential reversal from the bullish trend.
Broken Channel:
The previous upward channel has been broken, indicating a shift in market structure and possible bearish momentum.
Two Scenarios Outlined:
First Scenario (Blue Path): The price may consolidate or retest the $2,630-$2,640 range before resuming its downward trend toward $2,578.
Second Scenario (Red Path): A bullish retracement toward the $2,675-$2,680 resistance zone is possible, followed by a reversal and significant decline.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: $2,675-$2,680 (critical zone for the second scenario).
Support: $2,629 (short-term) and $2,578 (major support).
Outlook:
The bias appears bearish due to the broken channel and the double-top pattern. Confirmation of either scenario depends on price action near the outlined key levels.
XAUUSD - Todays PlanWe are back after the festive period! Here is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for after the Holiday season and start of the New Year.
Let’s take a step back and take a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we are attaching the long-term overview on the pair.
We are still following the sell bias we have published on November 27th.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2635 .
Scenario 1: SELLS from 2636 or 2630
That would confirm our pullback to the upside and breaking below 2630 would give us an opportunity to drop back down to 2611 or 2604 which is still one of our major Key Levels. Next we would be targeting a very important KL (Key Level) 2590.
Scenario 2: BUYS from 2645
We broke above 2636 and are trading above it. We should see more upside towards 2645 potentially reaching and breaking 2660. If 2660 is broken, it would invalidate our long-term analysis on XAUUSD.
Personal opinion:
We are still extremely bearish on XAUUSD. Safe sells would be placed at breaks of 2630 and we could potentially reach our target today (2611 - 2604). On the other hand if we start breaking above 2636 and breaking 2645, we would be looking to finally change our long-term bias and look for further buys reaching 2714 again.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking below 2630 would confirm sells down to 2611 - 2604.
- XAUUSD breaking above 2645 would confirm further buys up to 2660.
- DXY is still holding strength and shows no signs of stopping.
Thank you everyone for your amazing support lately. We will continue to provide value to you.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
THE KOG REPORT - WeeklyWhen we first started publishing on Tradingview we used to share the long term charts along with the weekly plan but then decided to stop. We've had quite a few requests for our long term projections so we'll try and keep up to date with publishing them.
Weekly Chart:
On this chart we can see a clean reversal formed with the resistance level now at the 2655-65 region just like the monthly chart. If the level holds us down, we have support below 2555-60 on what could be the breaker swing! This entails caution, if we attack that region and break the kings swing takes us again into that 2480 region before then bouncing. This could be the shake up the market has been waiting for.
Red boxes on this chart represent the key levels for the swing trades and longer captures. Together with the strategy and the indicators, they'll help keep us in the right direction.
Key level resistance 2660-70 break for 2720
Key level support 2560, break for 2480
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Where gold will move after weekend open? (BULLISH ACTIVE & WHY)Hey everyone this is your boy Hunbal! I am looking for a good buy trade ready for asian session gold is ready for a drop I have 1 confirmation one the rejection from the support level and second I am waiting choc in m30 time frame so we are hoping a good buy from here (2632) our take profit will be 100 pips 2642 and our stop loss will be 80 pips 2624. I wish we all together print some money.
Good Luck :)
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2661 and a gap below at 2633. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2661
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2661 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2681
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2681 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2711
BEARISH TARGETS
2633
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2611
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2593
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2593 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2570 - 2551
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing ema5 and price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2655 and a gap below at 2629. We need ema5 to cross and lock above or below the weighted Goldturns to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2655
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2726
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2726 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
BEARISH TARGETS
2629
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2629 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2600
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2600 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2561
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see the daily chart update we have been trading and tracking for a while now, to give you all an overall view of the range.
As stated last week the retracement range is still providing support and we also stated that we had a candle body close above 2629 opening 2686 gap and will also need ema5 lock to further confirm this.
- This gave a nice push up last week with over 200 pips. We now also have the ema5 confirmation for the long range gap above at 2686. As long as the retracement range holds and provides support we will continue to buy dips knowing we have the gap above open.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Another update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out as analysed.
As stated already this chart allowed us to project the long term corrections and direction. We are using this chart to track our bullish targets until no ema5 lock to confirm rejections on the levels.
The channel top is continuing to provide support like we stated for the past few weeks, We had a test within the channel into 2590 axis inline with the retracement range, which gave the perfect reactional support bounce.
This is the beauty of our Gold channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than the price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
As long as we see no ema5 break and lock below into the channel, we cane safely continue with our plans to buy dips in this range using the the levels just like the last few weeks reactional bounce above the retracement axis level.
Ema5 is still playing above the channel top and has not broken into the channel providing support above the channel.
We will continue to track the movement down and trade the bounces up, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gaps above for the future.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Unlocking Gold’s Potential in 2025: What Traders Must Know!!!COMEX:GC1! After a strong rise in 2024, gold has started to solidify its position in 2025. Known for its status as a safe-haven asset, gold benefited from economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and changes in monetary policy. Undoubtedly, by the end of 2024, profit-taking occurred, which caused gold prices to fall from their historic highs. However, as 2025 begins, traders are readjusting their perspectives and strategies, which is providing support to gold.
1. Review of 2024: A Glorious Year for Gold
• In 2024, gold saw a significant surge, with prices rising sharply due to various factors. Changes in central bank policies, particularly the Federal Reserve's rate cuts, played a crucial role in driving gold prices higher. Gold ended the year up 27%, marking a 23% increase compared to the previous year.
• The primary reasons for the pullback from gold's historic highs were twofold. First, traders began to lock in profits, as the annual price increase for this precious metal seemed too good to be true. Second, U.S. economic data, particularly inflation figures, began to show signs of an unexpected reversal. After dropping to its lowest point in 2024, U.S. inflation data began to rise, causing the Federal Reserve to reconsider its extremely dovish monetary policy, which led to multiple rate cuts throughout the year. By the end of 2024, traders' sentiment indicated that the Fed was unlikely to cut rates further in its next meeting, which resulted in the U.S. dollar index rising relative to gold prices.
2. Recalibrating with a New Perspective
• As we enter 2025, traders are considering three key factors that could significantly support gold prices. First, a major event will take place on January 20, when the new president will be inaugurated. The elected president may pressure the Federal Reserve to cut rates further, advocating for a lower interest rate environment. This suggests that, despite some members of the Fed being reluctant to lower rates, the Federal Reserve may be compelled to do so under pressure from the new president.
• Second, the incoming president is expected to escalate trade tensions with other countries, potentially affecting economic growth and increasing geopolitical uncertainty. If this occurs, it may lead some investors to reconsider the U.S. dollar’s status as a safe-haven currency, which could increase demand for gold.
• Third, we are entering a period in which most investors are reallocating funds within their portfolios. Considering the performance over the past two years and the potential for trade policy-driven geopolitical tensions, we may see a fresh influx of capital into gold.
3. Price Trends
• Gold prices have now surpassed the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), which is a positive indicator for the trend. As long as prices remain above this level, we may see a more bullish momentum in the market.
GOLD LONG-TERM FORECAST UPDATEMonthly Chart: Gold is forming an internal high and low, indicating a potential reversal.
Weekly Chart: Inside bar formation, waiting for market sweep. Expecting a bullish move after sweep.
Daily Chart: CRT pattern confirmed, targeting lower levels. Our bullish area remains at $2580-
Stay tuned for further updates!