KOG's RED BOXES - GOLD Dear team,
Please copy the Red boxes onto your charts for Gold's potential movement tomorrow.
We will publish KOG's bias of the day and watch how the magic happens.
Key level support here at 2475-77
Key level resistance here at 2510-15
Please check the pinned post on how to use the Red Boxes.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Goldtradingstrategy
XAUUSD: 2505-2500 resistance is not broken, boldly sellThe August NFP data released by the United States last Friday was 142,000, lower than the expected 160,000 and higher than the previous value of 89,000. At the same time, although the unemployment rate was in line with market expectations, it was actually the first decline in 5 months, which caused the gold price to rebound to 2529 and then fall to 2485.
From the daily chart, the K-line decline this time is very similar to the previous decline. If we calculate the next three trading days according to the previous rules, it will fluctuate in the range of 2470-2505. We can sell high and buy low during this period. And after 3 trading days, it happens to be the node when CPI is announced.
Therefore, from the perspective of trend and time, the probability of copying the previous market is also very high.
Now the gold price is close to the resistance of 2500-2505. I have mentioned the support and resistance of this range countless times before. Everyone knows its importance. Therefore, if nothing unexpected happens today, I will sell near this range.
Today's market is less volatile. Sell according to resistance4-hour 2526, support below 2472
1-hour resistance 2507, support below 2485
Today, short selling is the priority. Try to sell when the price reaches the resistance area. If the price goes down to 2485, it will probably reach a new low. You can try to go long at 2472.
9.9 Gold Short-term AnalysisGold fell last week, then rebounded and fell again. It was in a range of fluctuations. The lowest point of the week was 2471, the highest point was 2529, and the weekly line closed at 2497. The weekly line showed a cross star. The gold price was still in a bullish channel. The daily line showed a large range of fluctuations. The non-agricultural data on Friday was bullish, but 2530 was still blocked and fell under pressure. It once fell to 2485. In summary, this week's focus is on the gains and losses of 2530. Although the general trend is bullish, if it does not break the high, it will continue to run in a large range. In the day, the four-hour line showed a large range of fluctuations. The hourly line rebounded in the short term. The upper side first looked at 2500, and if it broke, it looked at 2510. The intraday operation idea is to rebound and fluctuate.
This week's key data
Wednesday: US Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Thursday: ECB monetary policy decision, US PPI, US weekly unemployment claims
Friday: University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index Preliminary Value
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Formation ManipulationHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XAUUSD:5/9 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2550, support below 2450
Four-hour resistance 2506, support below 2450
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, gold bulls did not rise further strongly, and the upside was limited after the news release in NY time. The hourly moving average of gold is still a dead cross downward short arrangement, and there is no sign of turning. The gold moving average resistance is around 2500-2507. In the short term, gold continues to be under pressure from the 2500-2507 line. It has not broken through in one fell swoop, indicating that the resistance is still valid. Gold still continues to be bearish and fall back. The rebound of gold is not a reversal. Although it seems strong on the surface, it still cannot change the form of gold topping at a high level. Gold is already bearish in the short term. Without data stimulation, it is difficult for gold to break through resistance. Do not expect a big rise before NFP on Friday.
From the 4-hour analysis, the current upper resistance is 2500-2507. The pullback relies on this position to continue the main bearish trend. The short-term gold price long and short strength watershed focuses on the 2515 mark. Before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, any pullback is a short-selling opportunity. Keep participating in the trend.
SELL:2494near SL:2500
SELL:2508near SL:2511
SELL:2525near SL:2529
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
9.9 Gold short-term operation strategyIn the early Asian session on Monday (September 9), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around 2496. Gold prices rose and fell last Friday, as the number of new non-agricultural jobs fell short of expectations. Gold prices once hit a three-week high of around $2529.06 per ounce, approaching the historical high, but soon gave up the gains because the unemployment rate fell and the Fed's "number three" did not send a signal of a 50 basis point rate cut to the market, causing the market to doubt the extent of the Fed's rate cut later this month. Gold's performance last Friday sounded the alarm for the market, showing that the trend in the next few weeks will be full of variables. In this context, how to deal with potential volatility will become a key issue for gold traders.
Gold closed two consecutive cross-yin lines on the weekly line. On Friday, there was a wave of highs and falls, which highlighted the signal of strong short positions. Although the current gold price is still running above the short-term moving average, and the short-term moving average also forms a short-term support in the 2490 area, the upward momentum is obviously beginning to show weakness. On the whole, the weekly line, the short position still has the advantage in the short term, and it is likely to continue to extend the lows. This week, it is expected to reach the 2470 area again.
This week, we need to focus on the previous two double-needle bottoming positions around 2470. In terms of the weekly and daily closings, the downward trend is obvious, and it is expected to continue to bottom out. If the position cannot be supported, then the gold short position profit will definitely fall sharply. In terms of intraday operations, long orders are not considered for the time being. Short orders can be participated in the rebound near 2505
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Short gold rebounds at 2505, defend 2515, target 2495-2480
9.6 Gold short-term operation strategyGold is currently priced at 2497 in the morning, so go short directly!
Gold fell sharply at a high level last Friday, and the rebound of gold was not strong. Gold continued to build a high top, and the rebound was an opportunity to go short; Gold is currently priced at 2497 in the morning, so go short directly!
Gold has a multiple top structure at a high level in 4 hours, and the 4-hour moving average of gold began to turn downward. Once a downward dead cross is formed, the space for gold to fall will be opened, and the decline of gold will increase. Gold rebounded weakly in the morning, and even 2500 could not be broken. The rebound was weak, so go short at 2497 first.
The market changes rapidly, plan your trade, trade your plan, gold is weak and has no rebound, which is a signal of weakening, and gold continues to go short to the end.
Gold is short at 2497, stop loss at 2507, target 2480-2475
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2506 Goldturn resistance and 2495, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap above on market open at 2506 and below at 2495 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2506
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2506 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2523
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2523 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2535
POTENTIALLY 2547
BEARISH TARGETS
2495
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2495 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2482
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2482 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2472 - 2461
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2517 Goldturn resistance and we have 2493, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap open above at 2517 and below at 2493 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2517
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2517 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2536
POTENTIALLY 2550
BEARISH TARGETS
2493
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2493 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2468
2438
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2438 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2416 - 2389
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart structure that we have been tracking and trading successfully for a while now.
Same as last week, we still have the candle body close above 2521 for the gap to 2566. We would need Ema5 lock to further confirm and strengthen this gap. Currently ema5 is playing just under it and we will continue to observe and update this.
We have to also keep in mind that we have a support range below at 2464 - 2405 for longer range support areas to buy strategic dips if the corrections take place before completing gaps above.
We will use smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea and analysis that we have been tracking and trading for several months.
Last week we had the same again with a candle body close above 2505 again leaving a gap to 2557. We also stated that we need to keep in mind that we have a ema5 detachment below highlighted on the chart with a circle for a possible correction area.
- This played out perfectly by providing the correctional touch below on the highlighted area with a circle and then the bounce, which is also inline with the channel top support for the bounce just like we said.
All channels that break usually require the channel top to become support outside the channel for further continuations before new channels form.
Failure to provide support outside of the channel, means price breaks back into the channel, in which case the channel re-activates for trading and tracking level to level once again
Therefore, if we see a rejection before the gap and a break back into the channel then we will use the levels within the channel to provide the bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion, using our smaller time-frames keeping in mind the long range gap for the future..
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Strong level / best time to sell on correction from the level (all signals on real account )
The situation with gold (XAU/USD) is currently characterized by several key factors that affect its value. First, the gold price often reacts to changes in economic data and the political environment. The unpredictability of global financial markets, inflation, and changes in U.S. interest rates particularly affect the demand for gold as a safe haven.
Second, there has been a recent increase in interest from central banks in gold holdings as they seek to diversify their foreign exchange reserves. This could lead to additional demand for gold in global markets.
In addition, a strengthening US dollar usually has a negative impact on gold as it becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies. At the same time, geopolitical instability and conflict situations can contribute to the rise in prices for the precious metal as investors look for ways to protect their assets.
At the moment, volatility in XAU/USD quotes can be observed, which creates both risks and opportunities for traders. Technical analysis shows important support and resistance levels that can influence further price movement.
9.6 Gold summaryWe have always emphasized that if gold does not break the new high, it is short. Gold maintains the idea of shorting today. Gold finally fell as expected. Gold has a bumper harvest overall. Gold fell sharply from a high position. The profit was 56K and the position was closed.
Gold has multiple top structures in 4 hours. The 4-hour moving average of gold is still showing signs of turning downward. The positive news of non-agricultural gold has not been able to make gold break the historical high. It seems that it is still difficult for gold to directly break the historical high in the short term.
A Friday full of surprises and a perfect weekend!
GOLD MARKET UPDATEHey Everyone,
A fantastic finish to the week with our final target completed today!!
Yesterday after completing 2509; we had a cross and lock opening 2524 and it fell short by a few pips, which we highlighted on the chart yesterday with a circle.
- And BOOOOOM!!! TODAY WE HIT OUR 2524 TARGET!!!
There wasn't enough momentum for the extended 2535, which is why we always call that a "potential" if momentum allows.
BULLISH TARGET
2509 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2509 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2524 - DONE
2535 - POTENTIAL
BEARISH TARGETS
2498 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2498 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2484 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2484 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2472 (DONE) - 2461
We will now come back Sunday with our Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD: NFP data is coming, how to make a trading plan?Yesterday's ADP data showed an increase of 99,000 jobs, the lowest since January 2021, significantly lower than the expected 145,000 and the previous value of 122,000. This provided a significant positive for gold. Fortunately, the subsequent initial jobless claims and two PMI data were negative, which suppressed the rise of gold and prevented the expectation of a consistent recession in all economic data.
It is precisely because of this that the price of gold fell to our buying range of 2500-2505 and then rose again, giving us the opportunity to buy at 2505 and take profits at 2516.
There are less than two weeks before the Fed's September rate cut, whether it is a 25 basis point or 50 basis point cut. Today's NFP data will play a decisive role. Everyone must pay attention to it. The fluctuation may be very large at that time.
Everyone knows the importance of the monthly NFP data, and I don't need to explain too much. Therefore, today's technical reference is not as significant as the data. Everything has to wait for the results of the data release, so it is difficult to judge.
Given the uncertainty in today's market, I can't give you a specific trading strategy in advance, because it needs to be adjusted according to the actual market conditions. But I prefer to wait for a pullback and buy bullish, or make a trading plan based on the data performance after the data is released.
I hope the above strategy is useful to everyone. In fact, you can be more cautious and give up today's trading, or make a trading plan based on the specific market trend after the data is released.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailGold prices dipped into the $2,500 zone on Friday after the US Department of Commerce revealed that inflation remains subdued. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index held steady at 2.5% year-over-year in July, falling short of market expectations. This aligns with the Fed’s potential move to ease monetary policy in September, though the size of the rate cut remains uncertain.
As we head into a busy week with the release of ISM Manufacturing and Services PMIs, jobs data, and the Balance of Trade, this video breaks down the potential for both buyers and sellers in the Gold market. Will the $2,500 level hold, or are we in for more volatility? Dive into the analysis to prepare for the week ahead!
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we're focusing on the $2,500 zone. This could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone, Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights!
📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market!
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #ForexTrading #JacksonHole #Investment #TradingStrategy #FXTrading📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
With the Non-Farm Payrolls coming, can gold reach a new high?Gold is approaching a record high again. Will it break through tonight with the help of non-farm payrolls?
The August US non-farm payrolls report will be released at 20:30 tonight. This report will directly determine whether the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points or 50 basis points in the September interest rate decision, and will also directly reveal whether the US economy has entered a recession as the market worries.
Last month, US employment data was weak, especially the unemployment rate hit a new high since October 2021, which aroused market concerns about the US economy. This concern spread to the entire financial market, forming a chain reaction and triggering the Black Monday plunge.
Fed Chairman Powell said at the August Global Central Bank Annual Meeting that he did not expect the August employment report to continue to be weak, and the September interest rate cut would not change due to the rebound in the employment market. The overly weak employment performance is not what the Fed wants to see.
In addition, the number of non-farm payrolls in the United States on August 21 was revised down by 810,000, which means that the employment report in the past 12 months has been beautified, and the average number of jobs has decreased by 68,000 per month. It shows that the US economic performance is not as optimistic as the market expected.
Due to the downward revision of past data, non-agricultural data will not have too much water, unlike the huge monthly difference in employment data in the previous few months, which made the investment bank's forecast of employment become a decoration. This time, the market expected 160,000 employment and 4.2% unemployment rate. Last month, 114,000 employment and 4.3% unemployment rate.
Tonight's non-agricultural data mainly has two aspects:
1: The data performed better than market expectations, and the number of employed people rebounded further. It must be a low probability event if it is lower than 100,000. If it is between 110,000 and 160,000, it will cause the gold price to rise first and then fall. It is not as good as expected, but it is stronger than last month.
2: The employment data continued to be weak, even lower than 114,000 last month, and the unemployment rate rose by more than 4.3%, which is bullish for gold. From another perspective, from the perspective of the US economic recession, gold may not rise. Arbitrage transactions will be sold in large quantities, dragging down panic selling of other assets, and gold is no exception.
That is to say, whether the employment data performs well or poorly tonight, it should be difficult for gold to rise. Good employment performance is bearish for gold, and poor employment performance indicates a hard landing of the US economy. Wasn’t last month’s non-farm data bullish, but gold fell sharply?
Therefore, today, gold should pay attention to the risk of falling back after rising. Yesterday, gold broke through 2506 and turned bullish. I also reminded that 2506 is the dividing point between long and short positions this week. If it breaks through, you can no longer have illusions. Then 2518 was reversed to 2505, and a high-altitude profit was made. Pay attention to the dividing point between long and short positions at 2530 today. After a surge upward, be careful of the short-selling counterattack with the help of non-farm data tonight! Focus on 2505 below, and the breakout will continue, but pay attention to risk control.