Gold Price Analysis September 25Fundamental Analysis
Gold rose to a fresh record high of $2,670 an ounce on Wednesday after a surprise drop in U.S. consumer confidence data on Tuesday raised expectations of more aggressive policy easing and deeper interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
Lower interest rates are good for gold because they reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets, making it more attractive to investors.
The People's Bank of China's biggest stimulus move since the Covid pandemic announced on Tuesday, which included steep cuts in borrowing costs as part of a package of measures to revive the slumping economy, also supported gold prices.
Escalating tensions in the Middle East after Israel resumed bombing Hezbollah targets in Lebanon further boosted safe-haven flows into the yellow metal.
Technical Analysis
Gold is sideways in a narrow range and waiting for clear buying and selling forces at the support level of 2650 to see how the price reacts when the US session enters. If it cannot break through 2650, a new ATH can be established today. Pay attention to the resistance zones at the top of 2670-2680 and see the price reaction in this zone to SELL. Important support is at the 2640 zone
Trading signals
BUY GOLD zone 2650 SL 2645
BUY GOLD zone 2640 SL 2635
SELL GOLD zone 2670 SL 2675
SELL GOLD zone 2680 SL 2685
Goldtradingstrategy
9.25 Professional Gold Short-term Operation Analysis StrategyToday, the recommended upper pressure position is 2665, and the lower support is 2645. The overall market still shows a trend of raising the low point to a new high, and the structural low point of this round is around 2624. The support effect of this position was also mentioned in yesterday's analysis. So if the market has a strong correction today and directly breaks through 2645 without stopping, the alternative plan is to look at the support of 2638. This position is the support of the Fibonacci 0.618 correction level of yesterday's overall pull-up.
Not much room for $GOLD pullbacks - has to be BIG newsGold is only going up for the moment. The channel it is following is now giving little room for significant pullbacks as breach of support lines will trigger some alarm bells against the long bull trend in 2024. So this ascend will take time forming an exponential curve cum parabolic shaping or plateau. Give it a week or 2 for BUYING!
Gold Thoughts 25-Sept-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Gold market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
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9.25 Gold short-term operation analysis strategyIn the early Asian session on Wednesday (September 25), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range near its historical high and is currently trading around $2,660.16 per ounce. Gold prices rose by $30 on Tuesday and hit a record high of $2,664, continuing the recent rally. The daily line closed with a big positive, with basically no leads.
In addition to the tensions in the Middle East that have enhanced the safe-haven appeal of gold, the US consumer confidence index has recorded the largest drop in three years, and concerns about the labor market are growing. Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in November have increased, and the US dollar index has recorded the largest single-day drop in nearly a month, which also provides momentum for gold prices to rise.
Gold is undoubtedly strong at present, whether from a short-term or long-term perspective, especially in the 4-hour period, which basically starts to rise as soon as it steps back on the moving average, and there is basically no retracement. Although gold is undoubtedly strong, this round of gold has risen by nearly 200 points in just two weeks, so the risks of peaking and retracement that I have been emphasizing in my previous articles are needed. Of course, we have no idea where the top is. We all have guessed the top, but the current price is already in danger. When it reaches our position, we can still participate in short orders.
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Short at 2665, defense at 2670, target 2650-2640
Long at 2635, defense at 2628, target 2650-2660
SHORTING GOLD PRICE range at 2559.70-2558.20Team, we are shorting gold at level 2559.70-2558.20 with stop loss at 2663.30
target 1 at 2553.8
Target 2 at 2646.10
Suggestion, if we could hold this a bit longer, it would run down nicely. however if it hit your first target, Bring stop loss to 2660.52 and target 2.
Gold Analysis==>>End of the Rally!!!Gold entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , as I expected in the previous post .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has succeeded in completing the main wave 5 . One sign of this completion is the breaking of the Uptrend line .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
It should be noted that the Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI will be published today, and we expect Gold to react when it is published .
I expect Gold to drop at least $2,590 in the next hours, and if the Support line breaks, we should wait for Gold to drop to the Support zone($2,574-$2,560) .
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold - A Reversal Will Happen SoonOANDA:XAUUSD | Gold is still in a bullish market:
After the strong breakout which we saw in the beginning of 2024, Gold started another major bullish market cycle. This cycle is definitely not over soon, but Gold might create a short term correction, which would perfectly line up with the upper resistance of the rising channel.
Levels to watch: $2.650
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PITASTIC day on the chart with our chart idea playing out perfectly once again.
After completing our Bullish target at 2631 yesterday we stated that we were now looking for ema5 cross and lock above 2631 to open the range above.
We got the cross and lock above 2631 opening 2644 and if momentum allows potentially 2658. 2644 was hit perfectly completing this target!!! A candle body close or cross and lock will further confirm the potential target aswell.
We are happy with 2644, as our target in this range and now observing for the rest of today.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2631 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2631 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2644 - DONE
POTENTIALLY 2658
BEARISH TARGETS
2618 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2618 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2603 - 2588
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2588 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2575 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold is just one step away, the Sell opportunity is comingIn today's Asian session, gold rose in the short term, and the historical high was refreshed again, reaching 2640.
Driven by the Fed's expectations of a rate cut in November and the decline in US Treasury yields, the price of gold hit a new record high. The growing tension between Israel and Hezbollah has increased the appeal of safe havens, which may further boost demand for gold.
From the 4-hour chart, we can see that referring to the rule that the price of gold rises by $50-60 each time, the price of gold is likely to have room for an increase of $10.
This is almost the last short-term rise in gold. The high point of this time is likely to be around the range of 2640-2650.
Trading strategy:
Now chasing the rise, there is not much room above, and there is a risk of an imminent correction, so I don't recommend it.
Go short now, because there may be more than ten dollars of room for growth above, and now is not a good selling position, so we can wait until the 2640-2650 range to sell, preferably at 2650.
I personally did not close the sell order I held last week. If the gold price reaches 2650, I will continue to increase my position and pull the average price to 2615-2620
9.24 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyYesterday, the gold market opened at 2621.6 in the morning, then the market rose slightly to 2131.6, and then the market fell rapidly. The daily line reached a low of 2613, then the market rose, and the daily line reached a historical high of 2635.2, and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2628.2, and the daily line closed with a spindle pattern with equal upper and lower shadows. After such a pattern ended, today's market still has bullish demand. In terms of points, the long positions of 1996 and 2028 below are followed by stop loss at 2350. After the long positions of 2601 were reduced last Friday, the stop loss was followed by 2601.
Today's market operation:
2615 long stop loss 2609, target 2635
2640 short stop loss 2645 target 2620
SHORT ON GOLD AT MARKET PRICE 2639.15Team, I have been waiting all morning for the GOLD price to short
a lot of patience, but GOLD has been crazy pump due to Isreal tension
however, it has reached a new high, so I am attempting a small risk
SHORT AT 2639.15, STOP LOSS either at 2641.95 or 2645 -
target both at 2634.87 and 2631.96
9.24 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsThe bullish market sentiment after the Fed's rate cut last week and geopolitical tensions pushed up gold prices. Gold hit a new record high yesterday, reaching 2634, and then began to fall slightly, closing the daily line with a small positive. However, the US dollar index stabilized and rebounded, and Ukrainian President Zelensky said that the Russian-Ukrainian war was "close to the end". Everyone still needs to beware of the risk of a short-term correction in gold prices.
Gold hit a new high again, and the high point was constantly refreshed, from 2500 to 2634. In the short term, it is still dominated by a bullish trend. The weekly level broke through strongly last week. The current market is running on the upper track of the long-term channel. At present, it is necessary to focus on the support near 2600. The gains and losses of this position are related to the trend guidance of gold bulls and bears. If this position is broken, gold is likely to have a large retracement.
It is still expected to fluctuate during the day. In the short term, if gold wants to completely get out of the strong pattern, it still needs time to exchange space. I have repeatedly emphasized that the current point chasing long profits and risks are not proportional. The operation is around the 2600-2635 range during the day.
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Short gold at current price 2633, defense 2638, target 2620-2600
Long gold at 2600, defense 2594, target 2610-262
GC - looking for a possible sell entryI am seeing some of the early breakdown started, but in very early stage and it might take couple of days to play out. I am very much interested interested in selling the GC at around 2665 to 2670 area. There is a chance it may spike up during European or early US session tomorrow. On the downside, 2632 area is a strong support and may hold up and bounce before price going down to 2610 area.
Gold Outlook Today we have experienced a new over purchase manager index PMI which has shown pretty much data that was the reason gold has moved up and USD has dropped now as the news is over and price is forming a resistance over 2630 physiological level also price is consolidating between 2615 to 2630 level which probably be making a flag pattern which is a bullish continuation pattern now we will wait for break above 2630 and break below 2615 then we will act accordingly
Thanks
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with both our Bearish target 2618 and Bullish target 2631 hit, just like we said.
No cross and lock below 2618 gave the rejection bounce twice into 2631. We will now look for ema5 cross and lock above 2631 to open the range above. Failure to lock above 2631, will follow with a rejection back to 2618
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2631 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2631 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2644
POTENTIALLY 2658
BEARISH TARGETS
2618 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2618 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2603 - 2588
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2588 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2575 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD Possible MoveGOLD broke the previous ATH and overall, on a 4H, Daily and Weekly Timeframe is in a BULLISH trend. I will look for BUY opportunity on the retest level mentioned in the chart.
Fundamentally speaking, FED rate cut, Weakening Dollar and Middle East crisis, all of these contribute to GOLD being a safe-haven for Retail as well as Institutions.
If you feel any different, please share your views!
Gold short-term operation strategyThe four-hour lifeline, the hourly double-line upper track, the acceleration starting point, the top and bottom conversion position, and the position along the channel line are superimposed at 2584-2590, which is used as a support area for sweeping. The price squats and steps back to determine the support, or look at the upward movement
The Asian session breaks the high, the European session breaks the low, and the sprint action needs to be handed over to the US session
Pay attention to 2612-2610 in the European session, pay attention to 2622 upwards, and then look at 2630-2632
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
9.23 Gold Short-term Operation Analysis StrategyGold's daily and weekly lines are both up, setting new highs. Gold once again stood firmly on the 2600 line. The daily and weekly lines closed directly with big positive lines, with basically no leads. Judging from the current trend, gold will continue to rise in the long run, and the technical forms are undoubtedly strong. There are currently a lot of short-term supports below, 2610-2600 in the short term, and the upper short-term suppression is at 2635. No one can predict where the final high point will be.
As gold repeatedly breaks through new highs and madly refreshes historical highs, new highs also hide the risk of falling back.
Intraday operation strategy:
Short at 2635, defend at 2641, target 2620-2600
Buy at 2605, defend at 2600, target 2620-2630
Gold thoughts 23-Sept-2024Happy New Week all, Kindly see my Gold thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Gold Shines as Dollar Dips: A New All-Time High in SightHey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD .
In the daily timeframe, gold has formed a symmetrical triangle followed by a breakout above the upper trendline. Recently, the price retested this trendline and continued to move upward. Analyzing the trend, gold remains above the EMA34 line, indicating a bullish trend. Additionally, the MACD has made a bullish crossover, signaling upward momentum. With these technical indicators aligning, we are looking at a potential continuation of this upward movement toward Target Area 1 at 2,625 or even Target Area 2 at 2,739. However, bears might find some hope if the price manages to break below the support level at 2,426.
The bullish trend is also supported by fundamental factors, as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell recently confirmed that interest rate cuts are likely in the near future. This has weakened the dollar compared to other currencies and commodities, further boosting the appeal of gold.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Gold. "
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