Gold is obviously suppressed, so we must go short!Yesterday, gold continued to fluctuate and fall under pressure at the 3360 mark. The US market further accelerated downward to break through the 3300 integer mark and reached a weak closing near 3295. The daily K-line closed with a suppressed fall and broke the bottom of the middle shadow. The overall gold price continued to fluctuate and fall in a weak rhythm. After reaching the lowest level of 3295, it rebounded and closed at 3323. Today, it opened at 3324. As of now, it has reached the highest level of 3337. At present, we are focusing on the suppression of 3340-3348. If the rebound is under pressure, we can still intervene in short orders. The recent market trends are basically the same - bottoming out and rebounding. In terms of operation, continue to keep shorting under pressure and long positions after bottoming out and rebounding.
From the current market trend, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the 3338-3342 area. If it rebounds to this range and is under pressure, you can consider choosing an opportunity to arrange short orders. The lower support focuses on the 3315-3305 line. If it falls back and stabilizes, there is a possibility of a short-term rebound. The overall situation is still in a range-bound structure. It is recommended to focus on key points, buy high and sell low, follow the trend, and strictly control risks. For more specific operation points, please pay attention to the 🌐 notification at the bottom.
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Start going long on goldAlthough gold is under pressure and weak at present, gold still rebounded near 3295 under the influence of yesterday's major negative news, proving that there is still a large amount of buying funds below, limiting the retracement space of gold; and from 3295 to 3335, there is still a rebound space of $40, proving that gold is not extremely weak. Moreover, there is a gap left above, and there is a technical need to rebound to fill the gap;
In addition, yesterday gold fell sharply due to news, and there should be many longs trapped in the market. If gold is relatively stable, there may be self-rescue behavior of the trapped longs, so gold longs still have the opportunity to rebound to 3340-3350. At present, the main focus is on the short-term support area of 3315-3305, and we can moderately consider going long on gold in this area.
Opportunities only come to those who ambush in advanceAfter Trump announced that Israel and Iran had reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement, the market's risk aversion sentiment cooled significantly, and the price of gold once plummeted by more than $30. Although the stability of the ceasefire agreement is in doubt, the rebound in risk appetite dominates the market trend, with stock markets rebounding, oil prices falling, and demand for safe-haven assets falling. Powell will deliver a semi-annual monetary policy testimony, and the market is paying attention to his statement on the timing of the July rate cut. At present, the internal differences of the Federal Reserve on interest rate cuts have intensified. If Powell sends a signal that the number of interest rate cuts this year is limited, it may strengthen the rebound of the US dollar and suppress gold prices; on the contrary, if the stance is dovish, it may ease the downward pressure on gold prices. In the short term, the fading of geopolitical risks and the warming of risk appetite are the main reasons for the decline in gold prices, but the weakening of the US dollar and the potential dovish tendency of the Federal Reserve still provide support. In the medium and long term, global economic uncertainty, geopolitical risks and expectations of the Federal Reserve's loose policy still constitute structural support for gold.
From a technical perspective, the gold daily moving average system is in an intertwined state, and the forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced. The current short-term resistance above is around 3320-3333, which is an important psychological level. If an effective breakthrough is achieved or the upside space is opened, the support below will focus on the 3285-3295 line, which is the lower edge of the May oscillation platform. If it falls below, the pressure of the correction may increase. The loss of the middle track in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure and provides technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long on the pullback near 3285-3295. At present, gold continues to fall in line with the trend.
Buy gold, there may be a rebound in the short termAt present, gold has touched the area of 3325-3315 mentioned in my previous article, and the lowest price is around 3316. At present, due to the current important support area of 3310-3300 below, gold still has a rebound demand in the short term; although gold has not rebounded sharply at present, the downward momentum has indeed slowed down, and gold may rebound after the short force is consumed. Moreover, the ceasefire between Iran and Israel has not yet been settled. Moreover, the ceasefire between Iran and Israel has not yet been settled. With the fluctuating situation in the Middle East, bulls may have opportunities to counterattack.
However, the current performance of gold is indeed relatively weak, so there is no need to expect gold to rebound and fill the upper gap area of 3360-3370 in the short term; in trading, the rebound expectation can be appropriately lowered, and long positions can continue to be held and look up to the 3340-3350 area.
The golden storm is coming again, are you ready?Gold rebounded after falling back to 3333 in the first wave, and then rebounded to 3357 in the second wave before falling again, breaking through the previous low of 3333 and accelerating down to 3316. Currently, the short-term trend has stabilized in the 3316 area, which is also the support level for multiple rebounds in the previous period. After continuing to fall today, it has not broken through. We have arranged long orders in the 3316-3317 area in advance and have taken profits near 3331. Gold rebounded after stepping back again. Our long order plan is still in position. If the subsequent rebound breaks through the 3333 line, it is expected to further rise to the 3340-3348 area. We will try to short in this area.
In the short-term structure, the upper resistance focuses on the 3340-3348 area, and the lower support focuses on the 3310-3315 area. 3300-3305 is the watershed between the strength of long and short positions in the short term. The daily level is still under pressure as a whole, and the main idea of high altitude continues.
Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to around 3340-3348, target the 3330-3320 range.
Are you ready for the next wave of gold market?Gold fell back as expected after opening high. Today's strategy arranged long orders at 3350-3352, and successfully closed the market at around 3362 with profit. The subsequent three short orders also closed the market at a profit as expected. The points were perfectly predicted, and the long and short positions were perfectly grasped during the day. The strategic ideas were disclosed in advance and all were fulfilled.
At present, the overall trend of gold is still bullish, and it is in the adjustment stage in the short term. The large range this week is 3340-3405. Although there is a rebound, the upward pressure is still not small, and the gold price may continue the wide range of long and short fluctuations. Pay attention to the 3355-3340 area below. In terms of operation, long orders are arranged according to the strength of the retreat; pay attention to 3385 in the short term above. If it can effectively break through, look at 3395-3405. The strong pressure is still at the 3405 line. If it does not break, it will still fall under pressure. On the contrary, if it stabilizes, it is expected to hit last week's high.
Operation suggestion: When gold falls back to around 3355-3340, long orders can be arranged in batches, with the target at 3370-3380. Short orders will be adjusted according to the real-time market, please pay attention to the bottom 🌐 notification for specific points.
There are still profit opportunities in short selling!As gold continues to rebound, bulls are reversing their decline. After gold broke through the 3370-3380 area, the current market consensus on 3350-3340 as the bottom area was strengthened. However, as gold fell back under pressure several times after the rebound, it proved that there was still a certain amount of selling pressure above, and it was obvious that the resistance was in the 3395-3405 area; once gold broke through this resistance area, gold bulls would regain the upper hand and are expected to continue to probe the 3320-3330 area. However, before gold effectively broke through the 3395-3405 area, bulls and bears would still fiercely compete for control, so it is still in a wide range of fluctuations.
Therefore, before gold broke through the 3395-3405 area, we can still appropriately short gold in the 3385-3395 area, and expect gold to retreat to the 3375-3365 area in the short term. In trading, we must pay attention to the changes in the rhythm of gold. Once gold chooses a direction and makes a breakthrough, we need to change our trading strategy!
It’s the right time to make a golden layout!Last Friday, the overall gold price continued to be suppressed and fell back to fluctuate and adjust. Finally, it stabilized at the 3340 mark before closing and rebounded and fluctuated. The daily K line closed with a fluctuating number K. The overall gold price continued to be suppressed and fluctuated in the near term. However, the US military attacked Iran's nuclear facilities over the weekend, exacerbating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and the market's risk aversion sentiment heated up. Today, the gold price jumped high and fell back into a volatile state. In the short term, the gold price is likely to continue the wide range of long and short fluctuations, and continue to trade time for space. Although gold opened high and went low, it still did not break the bullish trend channel. Looking for opportunities to go long after stepping back is also the current trend.
From the current market trend, today's technical support below is around 3345-3355, focusing on the gains and losses of the 3340 line; the upper short-term resistance is around 3380-3385, focusing on the 3395-3405 line. Relying on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation during the day, the middle position is always more watchful and less active, cautious pursuit of orders, and patiently waiting for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy: go long when gold falls back to around 3350-3355, and add to long positions when it falls back to 3340-3345. The target is 3370-3380.Counter-trend short orders will be entered at an appropriate time based on market changes, and the specific points will be subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
Follow the trend and go short, and buy when the price falls backAffected by the situation in the Middle East, gold opened higher and lower again on Monday, and the trend was exactly the same as last Monday. After the opening, gold fell back to the 3352-3355 line and fluctuated. We planned to arrange long orders near 3350, but gold went up directly and did not give an entry opportunity. During the rebound, gold was blocked and under pressure at the 3366 line, and at the same time, there were signs of stagflation at high levels. Combined with the short-term adjustment needs, the strategy was to arrange short orders near 3364 and successfully stop profit at the target of 3350. Then we went long at the 3348-3350 line, which is also the preset long entry area. The current target continues to focus on the 3370-3380 area. So far, although gold opened high and went low, the overall bullish trend channel has not been broken, and the retracement to long is still the current mainstream direction.The specific points are subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
From the current trend, the support below focuses on the 3340-3345 area. Combined with the stimulus of the Middle East situation over the weekend, the short-term upper resistance focuses on the 3380-3385 area. The expectation of breakthrough is still there, and the focus is on the suppression performance of the 3400-3415 line. The overall strategy continues to rely on the idea of buying on pullbacks. Watch more and do less in the middle position, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for clear signals at key points before intervening.
Gold operation strategy: Gold retracement near the 3340-3350 line to do more, the target is 3370-3380.
Gold bottomed out and rebounded, continue to go longAffected by the situation in the Middle East, gold opened high and fell again on Monday, just like last Monday. At present, it has fallen back to the 3352-3355 line and fluctuated. Although it is under short-term pressure, the bull channel has not been broken, and the retracement is still a long opportunity. The support below is 3340-3345, and the short-term resistance is 3380-3385. It is only a matter of time before it breaks through. The key suppression is still in the 3400-3415 area. In terms of strategy, continue to arrange long orders around the retracement, be cautious in chasing orders in the middle oscillation zone, and wait patiently for key position signals. The specific points are subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
Gold suggestion: arrange long orders around 3340-3350, and the target is 3370-3380.
Wait for the key points to be confirmed before taking actionThe trend of gold on Friday is still in line with my analysis. Before the market opened, I suggested that gold would rebound from the bottom. Considering the resistance level, I would arrange short orders with a light position. I clearly emphasized that I should not chase short orders at low levels. The actual market price fluctuated upward after hitting the 3340 line at the lowest point, and maintained a range-bound fluctuation pattern as a whole. We arranged long orders in batches at 3342-3353, successfully stopped profit near 3358, reversed shorting, and stopped profit again at 3342. After that, the market hit the top again and was blocked. Short orders were arranged at 3370-3375. It is not recommended to hold positions over the weekend. I have already left the market with a small profit near 3365. Although there was no significant breakthrough, all ended with profit, but it was quite satisfactory for Friday's market.
News: Gold prices were stable on Friday, but fell 1.8% this week. It closed at 3368. The latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement reinforced the Fed's cautious stance, keeping interest rates in the 4.25%-4.50% range. However, the statement also lowered the number of expected rate cuts this year, which put downward pressure on gold prices. In addition, U.S. Treasury yields did not change much but rose slightly, reflecting the stabilization of market risk sentiment. The 10-year Treasury yield rose by more than 2 basis points to 4.421%, and the 30-year Treasury yield rose to 4.924%. Rising yields often put pressure on non-yielding assets such as gold, further suppressing the upward momentum of gold prices. The Fed's failure to immediately launch an easing policy, coupled with a stronger dollar and a reduced urgency of geopolitical risks, have all exacerbated selling pressure. Unless tensions escalate again or the Fed unexpectedly turns, short-term gold price forecasts point to further weakening.
The price of gold has rebounded since it fell from its historical high of 3500 to 3120, After continuous rise, due to the decline of risk aversion in the market, it fell under pressure at 3452. It rebounded to 3340 on Friday. The K-line combination arrangement was bearish. The 4H chart showed a stop-loss signal. It is expected that the market will consolidate below 3400 in the short term. In the medium term, attention should be paid to the geopolitical crisis and the July interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve. It will break through the node after confirming the upper resistance of 3400. In the short-term 4-hour chart, the lower support is around 3340-3345, and the upper short-term resistance is around 3380-3385. Focus on the suppression of the 3400-05 line. The overall idea of retracing back to long positions remains unchanged, and the middle area is mainly kept on the sidelines. Be cautious in chasing orders and wait patiently for the key points to be confirmed before intervening. If the upper resistance is not broken, you can still consider light positions to arrange short orders, and pay attention to the bottom for the specific entry point.
A glimmer of hope for bullish lovers!Gold is currently dominated by bears, but thanks to the support of risk aversion caused by geopolitical conflicts, gold has shown a certain degree of resistance to decline while falling. Therefore, the current market direction is very clear, with weak and volatile downward movement. But under this market situation, we cannot short gold excessively. We can only wait for it to rebound to the pressure level and then short gold, or try to go long on gold with strong support.
At present, gold has touched the 3350 area again, which has a certain support effect. If gold cannot effectively fall below 3350, then gold may still rebound to the 3370-3380 area again; but once gold effectively breaks the support near 3350, gold is expected to continue to fall to the 3340-3330 area.
In terms of short-term trading, I think it is possible to consider starting to try to go long on gold in batches in the 3350-3330 area, TP: 3365-3375
The bulls are not dead yet, it’s time to ambush at low levels!Gold only opened higher and rose on Monday this week, and then reached the highest level of 3452, and then started the road of shock and retracement this week. As of today, Friday, gold is still oscillating and adjusting in the lower range, but from the 4-hour market trend, the trend of gold is still dominated by bulls. In the short term, gold is oscillating and adjusting at a low level. Today, Friday, we will first focus on the support level of 3347-3353 below, which is also the starting point of the rebound yesterday. If this position is not broken today, Friday, we will mainly rebound and close.
From the 4-hour analysis, the support below focuses on 3347-3353, and the short-term resistance above focuses on the 3378-3385 level, with a focus on the 3408-3415 level. Continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation unchanged, and the middle position is always more watchful and less active, cautiously chase orders, and patiently wait for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to 3347-3355, with a target of 3370-3380.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
Gold continues to fluctuate, and range operations are effective!Gold opened high on Monday and then fell sharply. On Tuesday, it fluctuated and corrected with a cross-yang line. On Wednesday, the overall trend was also volatile. However, after the Fed's interest rate decision was announced on Wednesday, the price of gold fell to around 3362. The low point of this decline was just supported by the 10-day moving average. From a technical point of view, the support of the 10-day moving average at 3350 has become a key point. If this support can be effectively maintained, the gold price is expected to maintain a volatile pattern; once it breaks down, the short-selling force may continue, and then it will be necessary to look at the support of the 20-day moving average near 3350. In terms of upper resistance, the 5-day moving average is currently near 3390, which will suppress the upward movement of gold prices. Further resistance depends on the gains and losses of 3405.
There is not much change in the 4-hour chart. The lower track has not opened, and the support of 3360 is strong. It is still a bullish trend. However, it is worth noting that in the continuous rebound, the Bollinger middle track suppression point has not been broken. Relatively speaking, gold is weak and volatile in the medium term. Under the trend today, if it continues to rise, we must pay attention to the gains and losses of the dense suppression point 3405. If 3405 is broken, the trend strength will come out and we can see the high point of 3430. For intraday trading, we still maintain high-altitude and low-multiple, waiting for the trend strength to break through the space, and we are bullish above the support of 3350 during the day.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to short at the rebound of 3385-3390, with a target of 3370-3365; gold falls back to 3350-3355 and buys, with a target of 3375-3385;
Range oscillation, strategy remains unchanged!The Federal Reserve kept the interest rate unchanged. Gold did not break through the range we gave after all. The important support below is still at 3365-3360. Today, we continue to operate in the range and keep high and low as yesterday. Gold touched the lowest level of 3362 without breaking through, and still rebounded. The long orders of 3372 and 3363 that we arranged have successfully stopped profit at 3380, so we continue to operate in the range.
From the current analysis of gold trend, gold continues to focus on the important support of 3365-3360 below, and focuses on the short-term suppression of 3400-3415 above in the short term. The operation is mainly carried out in the range for the time being, and there is a high probability of continued volatility in the short term.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to 3375-3370, and cover long positions when it falls back to 3365-3360, with the target of 3380-3390-3400.
Stick to shorting goldGold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range of 3380-3385, and the trend is relatively slow. We also need more patience. In comparison, I think the current short-selling force has a slight upper hand, because gold has shown signs of accelerating decline after a difficult rebound many times, and has fallen below 3380 many times. According to the current gold structure, gold does not have sufficient room for decline, and it is still possible to continue to fall to the 3365-3355 area.
It is expected that gold will not fluctuate too much before the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's monetary policy press conference. For this interest rate decision, I think the possibility of a rate cut is not great, and the current interest rate may still remain unchanged. The reduction in the expectation of a rate cut may stimulate a wave of gold declines in the short term. So in the short term, I still prefer a short trade in gold. Obviously, gold is currently under pressure in the 3395-3405 area, so we can still try to short gold in this area.
Once again, we seized a golden opportunityYesterday, gold fluctuated throughout the day and failed to break through the key range we pointed out. The current structure continues to fluctuate. During the day, we will continue to pay attention to the strong support of 3365-3360 below. This area is the key defensive position we emphasized yesterday. As long as this area is not broken, the bulls still have a chance to make a comeback. The long orders we arranged today at 3370-3375 have all been taken profit near 3387, and the short-term is perfectly realized! At present, 3400 above is the primary pressure position. We have also given a short order plan. We continue to hold it at present, and the target is to take profit when it falls back to 3380-3375.
The overall idea is to maintain the main long and auxiliary short rhythm. In terms of operation, the interval thinking is prioritized, and wait for the key points to be confirmed before taking action. If it breaks through, change the idea in time.
Operation suggestion: Gold falls back to 3375-3370 and goes long with a light position, and further falls back to 3365-3360 to cover the position. The target is 3380-3390-3400.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
Seize the opportunity to short gold after the reboundBecause gold fell back to the expected support area of 3375-3365 first, I just took the opportunity to go long on gold near 3372 and set TP: 3390. Obviously, our long position ended the transaction by hitting TP, and we made a profit of 180pips.
At present, gold continues to rebound to around 3396, and is facing the short-term resistance area of 3395-3405, and the upside may be limited. And I think before the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's monetary policy conference, gold is likely to maintain a range of fluctuations, and the willingness of both long and short parties to break through may not be strong in the short term. And from the current structure, gold tends to fluctuate downward as a whole.
So for short-term trading, we might as well try to short gold in the resistance area. I think it is still very likely to retreat to at least the 3385-3380 area.
Golden opportunity comes again!Gold fluctuated all day yesterday, and finally did not break the range we gave. Today we continue to focus on the strong support range of 3365-3360, because this position is also the important key support we gave yesterday. Today we continue to look for opportunities to go long when we step back. As long as the strong support position below is not broken, there will be hope for the bulls to make a comeback.
From the current analysis of gold trends, gold continues to focus on the short-term support near 3375-3370 below, and the important support is around 3365-3360. The short-term focus is on the short-term suppression near 3400-3415 above. The operation is temporarily based on the range. There is a high probability that the short-term fluctuations will continue. Wait patiently for the key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold steps back to 3375-3370, and cover long positions when it steps back to 3365-3360. The target is around 3380-3390-3400.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
Tend to short gold, it may still retrace to 3360-3350 areaAt present, gold as a whole is still fluctuating in the 3395-3365 area. In the short term, both long and short sides are not willing to break through. They may be waiting for the guidance of the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's monetary policy press conference. However, from the current oscillation structure, because the high point of gold rebound and the low point of retracement are gradually moving downward, the center of gravity of the candlestick chart is shifting downward, and the weight of gold shorts is slightly higher.
From the current structure, 3395-3405 has become a new round of pressure area. Gold has been unable to break through for a long time, and has tried to accelerate downward many times during the retracement process. Although it can stabilize above 3375-3365, it may be easier to break through below after several tests. Once the 3375-3365 area is broken, gold may even continue to move to the 3360-3350 area.
Therefore, within the 3395-3365 oscillation range, we can temporarily maintain the trading rhythm of selling high and buying low in the short term, while we must pay attention to the breakthrough of gold. Once gold breaks through, the trend may be continued, and we need to follow the trend to execute transactions!
Gold is weak, and there may be a low point yet to come!According to the current structure, gold is obviously in a weak position. Gold has failed to break through the high point of the previous wave after multiple rebounds during the day. 3400 has become a new round of pressure area; and gold has just accelerated its decline and fell below 3370. For the current trend, falling below 3370 will weaken the bullish sentiment to a certain extent and indicate that there is further room for decline, so I think gold should have a low point, and the low point we should first pay attention to is in the range of 3365-3355.
So in terms of short-term trading,
First, we can try to short gold with the short-term resistance area of 3395-3405;
But if gold first retreats to the support area of 3365-3355, we can first choose to go long on gold.
Have you caught up with this golden opportunity?The 4-hour K-line pattern of gold shows that the upward trend remains intact, focusing on the strong support range of 3360-3365 (technical resonance with the 5-week moving average). Before the price effectively breaks below the support band, the bulls still have upward momentum, otherwise the trend may reverse. The 3365-3400 range is maintained for intraday fluctuations. The gold operation strategy recommends arranging long orders in the 3370-3375 area when the price falls back, and adding positions to long positions if the support of 3360-3365 is broken.
Operation strategy: Gold recommends going long near 3370-3375 now, and adding positions to long positions in the support area of 3360-3365 when the price breaks, with the target of 3380-3390.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
Continue to try to short gold,It's expected to touch 3355-3345 Gold has broken through 3380 twice, but recovered quickly, indicating that the bulls still have some defensive power. At present, gold has touched 3400 again; it can be seen that the bulls' potential defense is still good, but it is not enough to support the continued rebound of gold in the short term. Obviously, gold is still under pressure in the 3410-3420 area in the short term. If gold cannot break through this resistance area in the short term, gold may continue to maintain a volatile state and continue to seek strong support downward. Only after gold breaks through the 3410-3420 area, it is expected to continue to rise and touch the area near 3450 again.
When gold tested the support near 3380 several times during the day and tried to break through this area, after gold failed to break through the 3410-3420 area in the short term, I think gold will be more likely to choose a downward direction, or even continue to test the 3355-3345 area. Therefore, for short-term trading, before breaking through the 3410-3420 area, we should not chase gold too much, and we can try to short gold in this area appropriately.