Get started

Goldtrend

Gold at a Psychological Level Gold has now risen to 100 times its previously fixed price of $35 per ounce. Is this a psychological milestone signaling a correction ahead, or is there still more upside potential? Under the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, gold was officially priced at $35, a rate maintained until 1971, when President Nixon suspended the dollar’s convertibility into gold, effectively ending the gold standard. This historic move, known as the “Nixon Shock,” allowed gold to trade freely in the market. By December the same year, the market price had already climbed to around $43–44 per ounce. So why has gold risen from $35 to $3,500? Gold is widely recognized as a hedge against inflation—but in reality, it has proven to be more than that. Let’s consider this: If inflation had compounded at the target rate of 2% per year since 1971, gold should be priced at $102 today. But at $3,500, the also implied that the compounded annual growth rate is around 8.9%. So, what explains this outperformance? One key driver is the expansion of the money supply, especially through debt, and more critically, debt financed by money printing. Periods of high inflation are can be preceded by an unjustified increase in the money supply, not backed by corresponding income or production output. In 2018, we saw the beginning of Trump’s Tariff 1.0. Since the anticipation of Trump’s Tariff 2.0, I’ve incorporated a framework I call the QTD Matrix—which stands for Quantitative Easing, Tariffs, and Debt—to track the trajectory of gold prices. As long as we continue to see: • Central banks deploying Quantitative Easing during crises, • Ongoing or escalating Tariff wars, and • Persistent growth in national Debt, It is reasonable to expect gold to remain firm and potentially break into new highs. Historical Observations: • Let’s start with Gold vs QE. Each major wave of QE has triggered a significant rally in gold—from Japan’s QE in 2001, to US QE1, QE2, and QE3 following the 2008 crisis, and the massive Covid-era QE in 2020. • Next Gold vs Tariffs. When Trump’s Tariff 1.0 was announced in August 2018, gold pivoted on that very day and began trending higher. In October 2022, Biden’s export controls on advanced chips acted as a tariff-equivalent event, once again prompting gold to rise. After Trump's re-election in November last year, markets began pricing in Tariff 2.0, and gold responded by trending upward once more. • Finally Gold vs Debt. Gold has also moved in close tandem with the rising US debt over the years. As of now, I believe that QE (Q), Tariffs (T), and Debt (D) will remain in play. Hence, it's reasonable to expect: • The cost of living to remain elevated, • Inflationary pressures to persist, and • Gold prices to continue their long-term uptrend. That said, I’m also noticing technical and psychological resistance in the mid-term after it reached $3,500. This is a quarterly chart, once I have identified its primary uptrend line, I would like to mirror it to its significant peak (going back way back the 1980s, a period of high inflation), which appears to intersect around the psychological level of $3,500. With the trade war currently on pause, gold may temporarily take a breather. But as long as QTD remains intact, it may just be a matter of time before gold tests its recent resistance—and, if broken, continues its upward trajectory. We should also ask: Is there any possibility that the Q, T, or D could shift in the opposite direction? If so, that could be a positive sign for equity markets. Micro Gold Futures & Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
COMEX:GC1!Short
by konhow
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – May 2025👋 Hey GoldMindsFX! 🕰️ Timeframe: Monthly 📍 Current Price: 3,204 📈 Bias: Cautious Bullish-to-Neutral 📏 Trend: Strong long-term bullish, but in monthly exhaustion/cool-off mode 🔍 STRUCTURAL OVERVIEW BOS (Break of Structure): Confirmed above 2,075 (2020/2022 key resistance). Rally: Sustained higher highs and strong bullish candles since October 2023. Current Candle: Huge wick into FIB extension (1.618–2.0) = 3,440–3,500 (top-out risk). 🧠 KEY MONTHLY LEVELS TO WATCH Type/Zone Price Range Quick Note 🔴 Premium Supply 3,440–3,500 FIB extension (1.618–2.0), big rejection wick, bull exhaustion 🟠 Resistance 3,222–3,242 Prior OB + last BOS area, possible retest zone ⚠️ Mid-Zone 3,160–3,185 Equilibrium, liquidity trap, key short-term support 🟢 Demand 3,050–2,960 Big monthly OB + FVG, unmitigated base, strong support 🔵 Discount 2,950–2,800 Previous reaccumulation, structure demand from 2023 rallies 🗺️ MACRO & MARKET CONTEXT Geopolitical Tension: Wars, inflation, and Fed confusion (CPI/UoM). Market Mood: Sentiment weak, uncertainty high after May FOMC & Powell. Central Bank Flow: Dips bought, but profit-taking near highs — “wait and react” mode. 🧭 SCENARIOS FOR MAY Bullish Plan: If price holds above 3,160–3,185 ➔ look for re-entry toward 3,240 and possible retest of upper wicks (3,440+). Needs H4 CHoCH + volume for confirmation. Bearish Plan: Lose 3,160 ➔ look for a drop toward 3,050–2,960. If that fails, watch for deeper retrace to 2,800–2,950. ⚙️ FIBONACCI EXTENSION SUMMARY 1.272: ✅ Hit 1.618: 3,440 (Tapped) 2.0: 3,500 (Wick/Exhaustion) 🧠 FINAL WORD Gold’s monthly “moonshot” stalled at 3,500 — don’t chase, just watch how price reacts to the 3,160–3,185 key range. Lose it? Expect deeper cool-off. Hold it? Reload for one more push toward the highs. Stay focused, trade smart, and let structure guide your next moves! Drop a comment if you want the weekly/daily breakdowns. — GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Daily Sniper Plan for Friday, May 23👋 Hey Gold Snipers, Ready to Slice Through the Noise? The market has been throwing shadows and traps all day — but structure doesn’t lie. As we head into May 23, we’ve mapped out the real levels that matter. No hype. Just clean logic. You want sniper entries? Here's where we hunt 🧠🎯 🔭 Bias for May 23: Bearish-to-Neutral Short-term bias is bearish as long as 3298 holds as resistance If bulls reclaim 3300+ with momentum, we shift into bullish continuation bias toward 3332–3345 Until then, we’re playing inside structure → fading premium, buying deep discount only on confirmation 🧭 Market Update Gold spent most of Thursday chopping inside indecision, dancing between reclaimed zones and rejected premiums. But smart money leaves a trail — and tonight, structure gave us the blueprint: CHoCH confirmed from 3345 → now forming a lower high structure EMA 5/21 still locked bearish on M15–H1, while price holds under the OB flip zone RSI is showing divergence near key demand FVGs still exposed both above and below = imbalance-driven reactions likely Momentum is building... but direction depends on how we react to these zones👇 🧩 Plan for Friday, May 23 – Built Around Key Zones 🔺 Sell Zone: 3314–3320 💥 Premium OB reaction area → If price taps and rejects, this is where shorts load → EMA 100 and previous LH sit here — high probability fade level → Watch for M5 CHoCH or bearish engulfing to trigger sniper logic ⚖️ Flip Zone: 3292–3298 🧠 Former demand turned resistance — now the pivot of truth → If price rejects here again, expect quick drop to 3260s → BUT... if bulls reclaim and hold above 3300, this flips the script → In that case, structure opens doors to: 🟡3314 🟡3332 Even 3345+ (liquidity sweep zone) We adapt with structure — not emotions. 🟩 Buy Zone #1: 3263–3273 ✅ CHoCH support base + FVG + RSI bounce → This is sniper ground if price returns here cleanly → Look for EMA 5/21 bull lock + M15 BOS → Reactive zone, not for the impulsive — confirmation or nothing 🟩 Buy Zone #2: 3242–3250 🔑 Deep liquidity sweep + fib 78–88.6% → If price runs the 3260 zone and traps liquidity, this is the reload zone → Needs strong wick + RSI divergence + internal BOS to act ❌ Breakdown/Invalidation Zone: 3222–3230 🚨 Below here = no more sniper longs → Structure flips HTF bearish → If it breaks with volume and OB rejection on retest = prepare for deeper slide 🧠 Final Thoughts: This isn’t about signals. It’s about structure. Gold moves best when we wait — not when we guess. We mapped every key zone. Now we wait for confirmation, follow the logic, and let the amateurs get baited in between. 🎯 Bias stays bearish under 3298. Above 3300, we start building toward higher liquidity zones — but confirmation is king. 💬 Let me know which zone you're watching. 🔁 Share this plan if it helped clarify your direction. 🟡 Like + Follow GoldFxMinds for sniper-level structure — every session.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
3
XAUUSD H4 OUTLOOK – “Bounce, Trap or Breakdown?🧠 Market Context: Gold is consolidating between a major bullish defense zone (3090–3110) and multiple bearish supply layers above. We remain below the last major lower high and within a bearish H4 flow, though macro HTF structure is still bullish. If 3090 fails, the next deeper demand blocks will be critical. 🔁 STRUCTURAL FLOW: Bias: Bearish ST | Bullish HTF Trend: Lower highs | Weak demand bounces Flow: Retesting internal supply | Reaction from demand confirmed 📍 SNIPER ZONES Type Price Range Description 🔴 Extended Premium Supply 3365–3380 HTF OB + imbalance + wick zone 🔴 Premium Reversal Block 3312–3325 Upper imbalance + internal LH supply 🔴 Mid-Term Supply 3275–3285 May 13 rejection zone 🔴 Internal Trap Supply 3240–3255 Retest of old OB + inefficiency 🟢 Reactive Demand Zone 3160–3172 Internal CHoCH + RSI confluence + bounce base 🟢 HTF Buy Block 3090–3110 Final CHoCH origin + strong rejection 🟢 Deep Discount Demand 3050–3072 Unmitigated WICK OB below liquidity 🟢 FVG-Demand Layer 2980–3000 Weekly imbalance + final LTF liquidity pocket 🟢 Weekly Strong Low Zone 2890–2925 Last major HL before macro expansion ⚠️ Notes: Above 3325, price would need a strong break in structure to flip bias short-term. Below 3090, watch for bounce reactions at 3050 or the full discount zone into 2980. Until then, internal traps are likely during news week flow. 🔥 Follow @GoldFxMinds for sniper updates and market recaps 🧠 Which zone do you expect to be hit first: 3380 or 3050? Drop your thoughts below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD DAILY OUTLOOK – MAY 19, 2025“Between Bounce & Breakdown – Watch the Mid-Zone Traps 🎯” 🧠 Market Overview: Gold bounced last week from the 3160–3172 buy block, confirming demand at discount, but price remains stuck under multiple bearish supply layers. Until we reclaim structure above 3285, this is still a bearish pullback inside a bullish macro trend. → We’re now trading between sniper zones, where volume fades, fakeouts rise, and only confirmation wins. 🔍 STRUCTURE FLOW 🟩 3160–3172 → Confirmed buy zone from last week, clean bounce with CHoCH 🔴 3365–3375 → Daily rejection supply zone, created by imbalance wick & H4 OB 🟧 Price is now inside “mid-trap” territory (3205–3285) = avoid trading blindly 📌 KEY SNIPER ZONES (REFINED) 🔹 Zone Type Price Range Confluences 🟢 Buy Zone 1 3160–3172 OB + EQ liquidity + confirmed CHoCH (D1-H1 confluence) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 3212–3225 Internal FVG + H1 OB origin + 61.8% fib retrace 🔴 Sell Zone 1 3275–3285 Previous H4 OB + bearish NY reaction trap zone 🔴 Sell Zone 2 3312–3324 Internal liquidity sweep + imbalance fill 🔴 Sell Zone 3 3365–3375 Strong rejection + top of H4 imbalance ⚙️ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: EMA50/100 now sloping down = bearish short-term tone RSI near neutral (no divergence = trend-follow only) Daily candle closed inside mid-zone → no clear momentum = trade only on LTF CHoCH confirmations 🔔 RISK EVENTS (THIS WEEK) Thu, May 23 → Unemployment Claims + Flash PMIs + Housing Data Fri, May 24 → New Home Sales + FOMC Financial Stability Report (tentative) → Expect fakeouts ahead of these. Stay reactive, not predictive. 🧭 DAILY PLAN 🔽 If price reclaims 3275–3285 and fails → sniper sell entry → TP 3225 / 3172 🔼 If price dips to 3212–3225 with M15 CHoCH → scalp buy to 3260–3270 ❌ Avoid entries in 3230–3265 → mid-zone chop trap 🧠 Final Thoughts: You don’t chase gold in mid-range. You don’t sell bottoms or buy tops. You wait at the edge of structure — with logic, confluence, and confirmation. That’s sniper mode. 🔥 Like & Follow @GoldFxMinds for intraday sniper plans 💬 Drop your bias below — Break below 3172 or bounce back to 3320?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD MONTHLY OUTLOOK — MAY 2025🕰️ Timeframe: Monthly 📍 Current Price: 3204 📈 Bias: Cautious Bullish-to-Neutral 📏 Trend: Long-term bullish | Near-term exhaustion 🔎 STRUCTURAL OVERVIEW ✅ HTF Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed above 2075 (2020/2022 resistance) ✅ Sustained higher highs + strong impulse candles since Oct 2023 ⛔️ Price just wicked into Monthly FIB Extension Zone (1.618–2.0) = 3440–3500 ⚠️ Bearish wick formed near 3500, suggesting premium rejection 🧠 KEY TECHNICAL ZONES (Monthly) Zone Type Price Range Notes 🔼 Premium Supply 3440–3500 Monthly FIB Extension zone + rejection wick + final extension of long-term bull leg 🔼 Resistance 3222–3242 Previous OB and last BOS area before wick spike — possible retest point ⚠️ Mid-Zone 3160–3185 Equilibrium / liquidity trap area seen on H4/D1 🟩 Monthly Demand 2960–3050 Large unmitigated zone + FVG + consolidation base before impulse 🟦 Discount Range 2800–2950 Key reaccumulation blocks from 2023 rallies 🔮 MACRO + MARKET CONTEXT 💬 Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing inflation concerns and Fed credibility under fire after CPI/UoM combo 📉 UoM Sentiment: Dropped below expectations = recessionary anxiety 📊 Inflation Expectations: Came in hotter = market confused, no clean direction 🗣️ Powell speech + May FOMC aftermath = market lacks conviction, stuck in uncertainty 🧭 STRATEGIC SCENARIOS ✅ Bullish Continuation (if retracement holds above 3160–3180) Potential reentry toward 3240–3250 and re-test upper wick zone >3440 Must see H4 CHoCH + volume confluence ❌ Bearish Retracement (if lower timeframes lose 3160) Deeper move likely toward 3050–3080 = Monthly demand base Below that = consolidation back to 2960 ⚙️ FIBONACCI EXTENSION Applied from breakout leg Oct 2023 (Low ~1810 to High ~2222 → projected from pullback at ~1984) Extension targets: 1.272 = ✅ Reached 1.618 = 3440 = tapped 2.0 = 3500 = wick rejection We are now reacting inside a fully extended bullish range, which supports a monthly cool-off. 🧠 FINAL WORD Gold hit the monthly moonshot. Now it’s all about real structure and rotation: 💡 Watch how price respects the 3160–3180 range. Lose that — and we dive back toward 3050–3080. Hold it — and we reload for the final frontier above 3440. Gold’s Monthly Jetpack Ran Out of Fuel at 3500 🚀🔥 — Now It’s All About Gravity and Structure." From FIB extensions to wick rejections, this is not the time to chase... it’s the time to react. Comment, follow, and stay sharp — sniper mode never sleeps. — GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD TRADE Entry from Support with Targets at 3,347 and 3,503Entry Point: 3,219.45 Stop Loss: 3,171.35 Target Point One: 3,347.49 EA Target Point (Final Target): 3,503.87 Trade Plan: Risk Zone: Between entry (3,219.45) and stop loss (3,171.35). The trader risks roughly 48.1 points. Reward Zone: From entry to: Target Point One: ~128 points. Final Target (EA Target): ~284.4 points. Risk-Reward Ratios: To Target Point One: ~2.66:1 To EA Target Point: ~5.9:1 Indicators and Signals: Price appears to be bouncing off a support zone near 3,212–3,219, indicating a potential reversal. 200 EMA (blue) and 50 EMA (red) are shown; price is slightly above the 200 EMA, suggesting long-term support. There is a downtrend before the bounce, so this might be a counter-trend trade or the start of a new trend. Summary: This setup is a classic bounce from a demand/support zone with a clear upside potential. The risk is tightly managed, and the reward is significantly higher, aligning with favorable risk-reward principles. However, the position is speculative and relies on bullish follow-through from the support level. Watch price behavior near the 3,288 and 3,347 resistance zones to assess momentum.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
37
XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS 🔥 XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS & PURE GOLD FLOW INCOMING 🔥 No setups. No predictions. Just sniper vision + POIs that matter. – by GoldFxMinds 🧠 MACRO CONTEXT – POWELL DAY: LIQUIDITY MODE ON Tomorrow, May 15, markets lock eyes on U.S. Unemployment Claims + Powell Speech at 15:30 (UTC+2). After CPI’s downside surprise and increasing signs of a softer Fed tone, volatility is guaranteed. We are in a recalibration phase, with panic selling possibly pausing... but not over — yet. Expect: Fakeouts before confirmation Traps near equilibrium Massive liquidity sweeps NY session 🧭 STRUCTURE FLOW – MULTI-TF ALIGNMENT TF Bias Status D1 🔻 Bearish CHoCH confirmed + BOS → rejection from 3455 FVG, now testing deep discount. H4 🔻 Bearish LL formed. BOS at 3220 confirmed. Price now in strong OB at 3180–3174. H1 ⚖️ Neutral–Bullish CHoCH + consolidation under 3200 = decision zone. M15–M5 🔼 Corrective Bullish BOS from 3174 low. FVG + OB reaction at 3184–3187. No trend reversal yet. ⚡️ BIAS & SESSION EXPECTATIONS Session Bias Notes Asia Flat–Reactive Expect low-volume bounce/consolidation. London Neutral–Bullish If price holds 3174 and reclaims 3187, possible pre-news pump. NY Pre-News Bullish Bias Only if 3200–3205 breaks clean with structure shift. Post-News Volatility Trap Zone Eyes on sweep + reversal OR fakeout > continuation. No early entries. 📍 ZONE MAP – EYES ON POIs ONLY 🟢 BUY WATCH AREAS (Do Not Buy Until Confirmed) Zone Price Reason 🟢3180–3174 Deep Reactive Demand -Active OB that gave current bounce. Watch CHoCH on M5–M15 if price retests. 🟢3165–3150 Sweep Zone -Clean SL liquidity zone. If swept with reversal → sniper entry confirmed. 3125–3110 Final Demand POI-Deep OB + FVG unmitigated on H4. Perfect for fakeout spike if 3165 breaks. 🔴 SELL WATCH ZONES (Trap Reversal Areas) Zone Price Reason 3200–3205 Bull Trap Supply-BOS zone from May 13. If we reject here → continuation down confirmed. 🔴3235–3245 NY Spike Trap→OB + FVG confluence. If spiked after news, look for rejection wick → sell setup. 🔴3285–3295 Final Premium Cap→ D1 OB supply. Only if price explodes post-news → expect top-out or massive rejection. 🔐 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT – LEVEL TRACKER Type Level Status Weak low 3174 Hit & reacting. Confirmed bounce. Key invalidation SL zone 3165 Critical. If broken → 3125–3110 in play. Bullish reclaim trigger 3200–3205 Flip this = momentum back to buyers short-term. Trap zone 3235–3245 Watch for wick trap after Powell. Final rejection cap 3285–3295 Premium OB. No further upside expected beyond here. 🧩 STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK FOR TOMORROW – NO SETUPS, ONLY SMART REACTIONS DO NOT BUY blindly under 3200 — structure is still bearish until flipped. If 3165 sweeps → wait for CHoCH M5/M15 and reclaim. Otherwise, let it drop toward 3125–3110. If price pumps into 3205 before Powell → sell trap zone active. If price pumps into 3235–3245 post-news → ideal premium reversal zone. 🎯 FINAL NOTES This isn’t a day for basic setups. It’s a liquidity game. We’re in sniper territory, and gold’s volatility is about to hit full throttle. So tomorrow: Track these POIs, not bias. Let the market show you its cards. React only to clean CHoCH or BOS. 💬 Comment below if you’re watching the reclaim… or waiting to slap the trap. We’ll post a post-Powell recap + directional update. No fear. No hope. Just levels. — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3344 and a gap below at 3297. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3344 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3394 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3394 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3438 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3486 BEARISH TARGETS 3297 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3297 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 3236 - 3176 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3176 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 3088 - 3046 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3046 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3130 - 3078 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
8
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – Monday, May 12, 2025🔍 Daily Structure Summary: After rejecting from the ATH zone (3500), price formed a corrective wave, with a clean bullish reaction from 3284–3292, now confirmed on Daily. Friday’s daily candle closed bullish, forming a strong wick rejection from demand, indicating buy-side interest around 3290. EMAs show price still in a pullback phase, with EMA21 and EMA50 overhead acting as dynamic resistance (~3360–3380). 📌 Key Daily Zones & Levels Zone / Level Description 3448–3500 🔺 Premium Supply Zone – major rejection area (same as Weekly top) 3380–3395 🔁 Daily FVG + EMA confluence – near-term resistance zone 3340–3360 🔁 Old support → new resistance – possible rejection if unconfirmed 3284–3292 ✅ Confirmed Demand – recent bounce and bullish PA 3250–3265 🔵 Last defense zone – if this breaks, 3220 may be exposed 3220–3235 🔵 Major Daily Demand – matches Weekly BOS and potential reversal zone 📈 Current Price Action Notes: Price is pushing away from 3290, aiming toward 3340–3360, where we may see the first intraday test of resistance. A clean break above 3360 would open space toward 3380–3395, where FVG and EMA50 could slow price. If price fails to hold above 3290, it may revisit 3250–3265 for a deeper liquidity sweep. 🧠 Flow Outlook for Monday: Bullish scenario: Price holds above 3290 and forms higher low → potential to reach 3360–3380 intraday. If that breaks, we target 3395. Bearish scenario: If we reject below 3340 and lose 3290 again, price may head back toward 3250–3235 for stronger demand testing. 📌 Summary of Levels (For May 12): Type Price Zones Notes Resistance 3448–3500 Premium HTF rejection zone 3380–3395 FVG + EMA confluence 3340–3360 Near-term intraday resistance Support 3284–3292 Daily demand, bullish reaction confirmed 3250–3265 Key intraday demand & bounce zone 3220–3235 HTF daily demand + structure base
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup: Capitalizing on Key Support LevelsThis setup is based on a combination of technical indicators and key support levels, which suggest a potential bullish movement in the near future. Chart Analysis: Price Action: The price of gold has been consolidating around the $3,230 level, forming a potential support zone. This consolidation phase often precedes a breakout, and we are looking for a bullish breakout from this range. Volume: The volume indicator shows a decrease in selling pressure, which is a positive sign. Increased volume on upward price movements would confirm the bullish sentiment. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently hovering around the 50 level, indicating a neutral momentum. However, a break above 50 would signal bullish momentum, and we are looking for a move towards the overbought zone (above 70). MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is approaching a bullish crossover with the signal line, which is a strong indication of a potential upward trend. The histogram is also showing positive divergence, adding to the bullish case. Support and Resistance Levels: Key support levels are marked at $3,187.75 and $3,236.44. A break above these levels would confirm the bullish setup. Resistance levels are at $3,310.55 and $3,379.27, which could act as targets for the long position. Trade Setup: Entry: Look for a bullish breakout above the $3,236.44 support level. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent low at $3,187.75. Target: Aim for the resistance levels at $3,310.55 and $3,379.27. I invite all traders to share their thoughts and insights on this setup. Your feedback and additional analysis can help refine this strategy and improve our collective understanding of the market. Let's discuss the potential outcomes and any additional indicators or patterns that could support or contradict this setup. Don't forget to follow me for more detailed analyses and trade setups. Together, we can navigate the markets and capitalize on profitable opportunities. Happy Trading! 🚀💸
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FxPercent
XAUUSD – Daily Outlook (April 28, 2025)Gold continues to trade near all-time highs after last week’s explosive rally. However, the most recent Daily candle shows a clear long-wick rejection into the premium supply zone (around 3350–3430), suggesting that smart money may be defending this level. ✅ Structure remains bullish on higher timeframes. ✅ Momentum slowed slightly after touching the upper extreme. ✅ Price is still holding above the previous daily range breakout. At the same time: ⚠️ Buyers are showing signs of exhaustion after tapping into the premium supply zone. ⚠️ Volume on the last bullish candle was lower compared to the recent bearish reaction. ⚠️ The last daily wick indicates possible trapped buyers at the highs. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Zone: 3350–3430 (premium supply rejection) Support Zone: 3280–3300 (former breakout zone) Deeper Support: 3120–3160 (mid-range liquidity pocket) What’s Next? As long as Gold stays above 3280, the broader bullish bias remains intact. However, a clean daily close below 3280 could trigger deeper retracements into 3240 or even 3160 zones before bulls regain strength. Patience is key here: let price tell its story between the premium rejection and the former breakout zone. 🔔 Final Thought: Gold is not in a rush. Neither should you be. Stay sharp, stay patient — the best setups often appear when most traders lose their discipline. Follow for more clean updates, sniper entries, and smart market flow insights. Let’s grow together! 🚀💛
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
2
Snipers Only: Gold's Next Killzone Is LIVE – Eyes on 3295 -3373🔍 Macro + Context: Gold continues to dance between uncertainty and calculated aggression. After rejecting cleanly from the premium zone at 3370, price dropped overnight into 3287, fulfilling our sniper buy setup from 3310 and hitting TP2 at 3370 with precision. Now? Price is hovering at 3298, teasing a bigger directional play as we head into NY session. With inflation jitters, geopolitical undercurrents, and mixed USD sentiment, gold remains a reactionary beast—not a predictive one. Let structure speak. 📐 Technical Structure: 🧱 H1 Structural Key Levels: 🔸 3370–3376 = Premium Supply Zone – Clean rejection + break of structure 🔸 3345 = Previous lower high – Minor liquidity zone, watch for manipulation 🔸 3310 = Former TP1 & demand flip – Local structural retest 🔸 3285–3287 = Current HL attempt – LTF liquidity pool, key bounce zone 🔸 3233–3237 = HTF Discount OB – HTF demand, possible reversal anchor 🧠 Trend & Flow: HTF Bias: Bullish (Daily still in higher-low territory) LTF Flow: Bearish correction within HTF context BOS/CHoCH: Clear BOS from 3370 to the downside Liquidity: Swept at 3370 and now resting near 3287 lows EMAs: LTF bearish slope, but HTF structure intact RSI: Reset on M15–H1, hinting at potential momentum rebuild 🎯 Sniper Entry Zones (Clean, No Fluff): 🟩 BUY ZONE #1 (Reactive Entry) 3284 – 3288 Structure: H1–H4 Demand + Liquidity Sweep Confluence: EQ of last push + M15 OB 🟩 BUY ZONE #2 (Deeper Reversal Only) 3233 – 3237 Structure: HTF OB + Untapped Daily Liquidity 🟥 SELL ZONE #1 (Intraday) 3372 – 3376 Structure: M15–H1 OB + Prior HTF Reaction 🟥 SELL ZONE #2 (Extreme Supply Test) 3448 – 3455 Structure: HTF FVG + Upper imbalance ⚠️ Eyes On: Don’t trust the first breakout above 3345—it’s likely liquidity. Watch how price reacts around 3295: bounce = bull continuation, crack = deeper dive into 3230s. Momentum could explode NY session—wait for confirmation and never chase. 💬 Final Message : Gold’s moving—but so are we.💡If this helped map your zones, smash that ❤️ and drop your bias in the comments. Are you stalking 3285 or waiting to trap sellers at 3370 again? Let’s catch these sniper plays together. TradingView’s been too quiet lately – if you vibe with clean structure > hopium, show some love and let’s grow this smart gold tribe. 👇👇👇 Smart plans. No fluff. Just logic. Drop a 💡 and let’s connect.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
8
XAUUSD Market Update – April 28, 2025 NY🎯 Quick Context: Price successfully defended the support + liquidity pocket zone (around 3272–3288). A bullish intraday reaction followed, but we are still trapped inside a consolidation range for now. ✅ Valid Zones Remaining from Daily Plan: Support + Liquidity Pocket (3272–3288): ✅ Still active and valid as strong support. Minor Resistance Level Inside Range (3350–3360): ✅ Remains relevant for possible rejections. Major Flip + Resistance Zone (3380–3395): ✅ Still untouched and valid — upper upside target if bullish continuation happens. ⚠️ Zones Weakened or Invalidated: Micro Support 3310–3315: ⚠️ Structure failed to hold cleanly — now treated as a neutral zone (no strong bias here). Intraday Pivot 3260–3265: ⚠️ Previously breached — weak support for now, not a major focus. 🔥 Possible Scenarios: Bullish Scenario 🟢 Holding above 3272–3288 = potential rally toward 3310–3315, then 3350–3360. Solid break and close above 3360 = bullish continuation potential toward 3380–3395. Bearish Scenario 🔴 Clear loss of 3272–3288 = risk of a sharper selloff toward lower discount zones (~3220–3240). 🧠 Extra Observations: Current structure = sideways/consolidation between buyers and sellers. Short-term momentum (M15–M30) is trying to lean bullish but without a confirmed HH yet. HTF bias (H1–H4) remains slightly bullish as long as price holds above the 3272–3288 support zone. 📢 Final Note: 🏹 Patience is key. Let price react around the zones — we are ready and disciplined to execute based on real confirmation, not emotions. ✨ Final Friendly Message: "We’ve already done the heavy lifting by marking the battlefield. 🛡️ Now it’s all about patience, precision, and letting Goldie show its next move. 📈✨ Stay sharp, stay humble – and remember: we react, not predict. 🎯 Let’s make this a week where we checkmate the market together! ♟️ If you enjoyed this update, leave a like, drop a comment, or just say hi – you’re part of the GoldFxMinds crew! 🚀💬❤️"
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD – Weekly Outlook (April 28 – May 3)XAUUSD – Weekly Outlook (April 28 – May 3) Current Structure: Massive bullish momentum intact — we are still climbing into extreme premium territory. Price has broken all previous structure highs and is trading well above the last known CHoCH (confirmed weekly bullish flow). Current Weekly candle is showing minor exhaustion but no clear reversal confirmation yet. Key Weekly Observations: Premium Zone: 3350–3500 → extreme overbought territory, where distribution/reversal could begin forming. Immediate Support: 3110–3150 → previous major liquidity grab + breakout area (could act as reaccumulation if retested). Unmitigated Zones Below: ~2900–2950 → old FVG left behind (possible bounce if deeper correction happens). Strong demand clusters still much lower, around 2050–2100 (only relevant if a major cycle shift occurs). Liquidity and Flow: Liquidity has been swept above all major highs — now hunting for fresh liquidity pools either at extreme highs (above 3350) or deeper below (below 3200). Strong liquidity vacuum between 3280 and 3150 zones if a weekly rejection happens. Bias: Still bullish but hyper-extended — smart money will likely start hunting liquidity pockets on both sides soon. Watching for early signs of weekly exhaustion or topping (large wicks, strong engulfing candle). ✅ Weekly Bias: Cautious bullish, watching for early topping patterns ✅ Key Levels to Watch: 3350–3500 (resistance), 3150–3110 (support) 🌟 Final Note for the Community: We’re flying at premium altitudes — but don’t get drunk on heights! 🛫 Stay sharp, stay humble. Gold doesn’t ask, it takes. Let’s keep mastering the game, one sniper move at a time. 👉 Follow, like, and comment your outlook — let’s grow this smart community together! 🚀✨ #Gold #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #WeeklyOutlook
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
3
April 24 NY Recap – XAUUSD Buy Sniped from 3310 to 3340🎯 April 24 NY Recap – XAUUSD Buy Sniped from 3310 to 3340 💥our first TP Today’s NY session was all about precision and patience. 🔹 The market opened with a calm continuation of the post-Claims structure, giving bulls a final chance to reenter from the 3310 sniper zone, previously posted in our daily plan. 📍 Breakdown of the 3310 Buy • Zone: H1–H4 demand confluence • Confirmation: Clean rejection on M15, followed by consolidation and impulsive breakout • Confluence:  – Untouched OB + FVG  – Price locked above M30 EMA100  – Discounted fib zone  – RSI bounce on M15 • Execution: Buy 3310.70 → TP 3340.78 • Result: +300 pips Not just a technical win — but a mindset win. Snipers don’t chase. They wait. 🧠 NY Session Notes • No macro drivers today, which gave full control to pure PA + structure • Liquidity was swept below 3310 before aggressive buying stepped in • Once price reclaimed 3330–3340, we saw a clean continuation to premium • TP hit with no retest — textbook sniper exit 💬 Let’s Talk – No Chart Needed 📈 Did you catch the 3310 buy? 💭 How did your NY session go? 👇 Drop your thoughts or reentry ideas below — we learn every session. 📲 Like, Comment, and Follow to keep this stream of real structure-based updates alive. We don’t predict. We react. And today, we reacted perfectly. 💛
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold’s Next Trap? Don't Blink“Gold’s Next Trap? Don't Blink. 👀💣” 📅 Daily XAUUSD Sniper Plan – April 25, 2025 Clean structure. No noise. Just logic. 🧭 MARKET CONTEXT • Macro: No major USD catalyst. Yesterday's Unemployment Claims were neutral → price action driven by structure & liquidity. • Sentiment: Gold remains in premium territory but failed to hold above 3355 in NY → suggesting smart money profit-taking. • HTF Bias: Bullish (D1 trend intact, HLs hold) • LTF Flow: Bearish intraday – CHoCH & BOS on M30-H1 • Key Event Backdrop: Powell not speaking today, but market still reflects uncertainty from recent Trump vs. Powell tensions. 📐 STRUCTURE & SMC FLOW • M30–H1: Internal CHoCH formed after price failed to break above 3355 • Liquidity: Sweeps above 3353 and below 3312 → now hovering around internal equilibrium • SMC Confluence: OBs, FVGs, and EMA alignment used for all entries • FIB Zones: Discount for buys (3280–3310), Premium for sells (3385+) 🔻 SELL SCENARIOS Sell #1 – 3385–3392 🧨 Premium retest zone + H1 OB + Gap mitigation • SL: 3401 • TP1: 3355 • TP2: 3333 • TP3: 3306 🎯 Confluence: H1 OB, NY liquidity above, internal CHoCH Sell #2 – 3411–3422 💣 Extended premium fill – final imbalance trap • SL: 3432 • TP1: 3372 • TP2: 3333 • TP3: 3306 🎯 Confluence: Unmitigated FVG + fib extension 1.272 + clean wick rejection zone 🟢 BUY SCENARIOS Buy #1 – 3333–3338 🔋 HTF OB + H4 structure demand • SL: 3322 • TP1: 3360 • TP2: 3385 • TP3: 3410 🎯 Confluence: HTF FVG, historical bounce zone, EMA100 support Buy #2 – 3284–3288 🧱 Sniper reentry zone from structure base • SL: 3270 • TP1: 3312 • TP2: 3340 • TP3: 3372 🎯 Confluence: Previous sniper entry, structure HL, strong OB zone 📊 TREND RECAP • HTF Trend: Bullish • LTF Structure: Currently in retracement mode • Bias: Neutral to bearish for early London, bullish only on clean 3333 reaction or deeper dip to 3284 🫂 COMMUNITY CALL "Gold’s Next Trap? Don't Blink. 👀💣" Will 3450 Hold? Or is Gold Just Getting Started? 🔄🧠 Which setup are you watching tomorrow? Let’s catch these sniper entries together – drop your bias in the comments 💬👇 TradingView's been too quiet lately – if this helped, hit that ❤️ and show some love. Let’s grow this smart gold tribe together! Smart plans, no hype. If you’re riding gold with logic, drop a 💡 below and let's connect!
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
2
Market Analysis: Gold Extends Record RunMarket Analysis: Gold Extends Record Run Gold price started a fresh surge above the $3,250 resistance level. Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today - Gold price started a fresh surge and traded to a new record high at $3,384 against the US Dollar. - A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,322 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen. Gold Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $3,200 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $3,250 and $3,280 resistance levels. There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,350. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,380 resistance zone. A new record high was formed near $3,384 and the price is now consolidating gains. On the downside, immediate support is near the $3,362 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,283 swing low to the $3,384 high. The next major support sits at $3,322. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,322. It is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,283 swing low to the $3,384 high. A downside break below the trend line support might send the price toward the $3,282 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,242 support zone. Immediate resistance is near the $3,384 level. The next major resistance is near the $3,388 level. An upside break above the $3,388 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,500. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,520 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
9
XAUUSD – H1 Key Levels Outlook🧭 XAUUSD – H1 Key Levels Outlook 🔼 Key Resistance – 3,237–3,247 (Premium + Weak High Zone) Why it matters: This is where price tapped into the premium range and formed a new weak high. Strong imbalance left here. What to watch: If price forms a CHoCH or M5 supply inside this zone, expect short-term rejection. If price consolidates above 3,247 and locks with EMA5, the bullish narrative may extend. 🔄 Mid-Range Zone – 3,183–3,193 (Previous FVG + Breaker Structure) Why it matters: Zone where price paused before the final impulse — now a reactive area with fair value gap. What to watch: First bounce or liquidity sweep here can provide short-term scalp opportunities. Clean break and EMA lock below 3,183 would open the door for deeper retracement. 🟦 Support Zone – 3,108–3,122 (Prior BOS + Liquidity Pool) Why it matters: Price broke above this zone strongly — now it may act as key demand. What to watch: If price returns and prints bullish CHoCH or rejection from OB on M15, valid sniper buy setup. A failure to hold here would indicate possible revisit of lower demand. 🧊 Discount + Strong Demand – 2,965–2,980 (HL + Clean OB) Why it matters: Untouched strong low paired with a clean bullish OB from April 9 reversal. What to watch: Ideal swing entry zone if market sells off deeper. A CHoCH or BOS + engulfing in this zone = sniper long re-entry. ✅ Summary: H1 confirms bullish flow, but current price is dancing in premium. Let price lead. If we reject the highs, focus on 3,193–3,183 and 3,122–3,108 for possible bounce points. A drop to 2,980 is extreme but worth prepping for. 💛 Trader’s Note: Don’t chase — observe. Highs can deceive, but key levels always speak. If it doesn’t look clean, it’s not your trade. Keep your plan close, your bias neutral, and your mind calm. Let’s crush the week, one sniper play at a time! 🙌 📣 Join the Conversation! Got your own levels or sniper zones in mind? Share them below — I love seeing how others view the battlefield! 🧠 If this breakdown helped or inspired you: ❤️ Like it 🔔 Follow and subscribe for daily sniper plays 💬 Comment to grow our trader tribe Let’s build smarter and trade sharper — together 💥 #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #TradingCommunity #GoldAnalysis #SniperEntry
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD – 4H Key Levels Map (as of April 13, 2025)🔍 XAUUSD – 4H Key Levels Map (as of April 13, 2025) 🔼 Key Resistance Zone – 3,275–3,285 (Premium + Weak High Zone) Why it matters: This is where price reached extreme premium and swept a weak high. It’s also the highest H4 imbalance zone. What to watch: Watch for rejection patterns: M5/M15 CHoCH, bearish OB rejections, or RSI bearish divergence. If price closes above 3,285 with volume and EMA5 lock → watch for bullish continuation and potential new ATHs. 🟦 Mid-Level Liquidity Pocket – 3,221–3,233 (Previous H4 FVG zone) Why it matters: This zone was the launchpad of the impulsive move. It still holds unmitigated imbalance. What to watch: First retest of this zone could offer a bounce. If broken cleanly → invalidates recent push, opens path to deeper retrace. Look for M15 CHoCH + bullish OB to validate reentry if we drop here. 🧊 Support Zone – 3,065–3,085 (Previous H4 BOS + FVG) Why it matters: Clean BOS level where structure flipped bullish. Imbalance is also present. What to watch: Major zone for potential retracement buys. If price rejects here on higher timeframe → signs of continuation. EMA5/21 alignment above this zone supports bullish momentum. 🔽 Ultimate H4 Demand Zone – 2,958–2,972 (Discount Zone) Why it matters: Previous accumulation range, massive unmitigated imbalance, and strong HL. What to watch: Extreme demand zone — only in case of full market correction. Watch for long wicks or liquidity grabs with M15/M5 CHoCH confirmation. ✅ Summary: Gold is still flexing bullish strength, but we’re deep into premium. Don’t rush — let the price talk. If we reject the highs, be ready at 3,221 and 3,065 for potential entries. Stay patient, stay sharp — the clean setups are always worth the wait. 💛 Friendly Note to Fellow Traders: Take a deep breath, trust your levels, and don’t let FOMO drive your next click. Gold always gives another chance — if not today, then tomorrow. Happy trading, and if this helped, drop a like or comment — we’re all learning this magic together!
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
1
Weekly Outlook – XAUUSD Key Levels Map🟩 Weekly Outlook – XAUUSD Key Levels Map 📍 Premium Supply Zone: ‣ 3246 – 3275 → Price currently testing this premium area; potential reaction zone. 📍 Wick High / Liquidity: ‣ 3246.07 → Weekly wick = clear liquidity, useful for sweep/rejection monitoring. 📍 Weekly FVG (Fair Value Gap): ‣ 3085.16 → First key imbalance zone below current price, valid draw for bearish correction. 📍 Equilibrium Zone (Macro Weekly): ‣ ~2800 → Midpoint between recent major swing low and swing high = macro balance area. 📍 Origin of Macro CHoCH: ‣ 2372.54 → Anchored zone for deeper corrections; institutional footprint from structural shift.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
gold and inflation in 1970s stagflation fomc member repeatedly saying this is not stagflation like 1970s but gold bug on social media constantly pump stagflation narrative after gold historic run from $2000 to $3000 in just one year with usa cpi and gold chart in one image you can get idea how gold moved in last stagflation crisis with big political news : when paul volcker comes into fed and when Ronald Reagan wins election gold first makes double top before multi year bear market inflation peaked after volcker get fed control but before election result. is this is really replay of 1970s ? we got same old president trump and same old fed chair powell ✅ biden forced fed to do big size 50bps cut pre election to choose inflation over higher unemployment which is stagflation ✅ in his first term trump in election year March 2020 use covid as excuse to cut 0% and do QE and trillion dollar fiscal policy stimulus check. choosing inflation over high employment which is stagflation but it was biden who has to face most of the inflation spike to 9% ✅trump raise tariff to 100 years high to choose high employment over inflation which is recession ✅ in next 4 years it will be clear is this replay of 70s or not. in future we will have more inflation and gold price data to confirm
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by Sangam-Agarwal