XAUUSD Next Move? 2h AnalysisGold Price Outlook: Bearish Bias with Key Levels to Watch
Fundamental Analysis: Gold has been under pressure recently due to a combination of factors. The ongoing strength of the US dollar, driven by hawkish statements from the Federal Reserve, continues to weigh on gold prices. Additionally, rising bond yields and expectations of higher interest rates are further diminishing gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset. As global economic uncertainties persist, market participants are increasingly flocking to higher-yielding assets, leaving gold vulnerable to continued downside. If the Fed maintains its stance on tightening monetary policy, gold could face further headwinds in the short term.
Technical Analysis: Gold has been consolidating within a defined range over the past few sessions, creating a clear trading setup. Currently, the price is moving between two key levels:
Resistance: 2674 (If price breaks and closes above this level, it could signal a potential bullish reversal, with the next target at 2689).
Support: 2659 (If price breaks and closes below this level, we may see further downside with a target at 2625).
Key Levels to Watch:
Buy Trigger: A break and close above 2674 could open the door for a move higher towards 2689.
Sell Trigger: A break and close below 2659 would suggest further bearish pressure, with a target towards 2625.
Strategy: Monitor price action around these levels for confirmation. A clean break above 2674 could provide a buying opportunity, while a close below 2659 would support a bearish outlook. Let's see how the market performs in the coming sessions to gauge the direction.
Goldtrend
GOLD IS GOING TO BUY MOREHello Trader , What do you think about Gold ? Here on Gold price has made double bottom and was able to break above area which means is going to buy more so trader should go for LONG with expected profit target of 2758.136 .Remember to like and share your thought on comment! Use money Management
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea that we have been tracking and trading over the last 3 weeks.
Last week we stated that we have a detachment to ema5 below, also inline with the channel top for a possible re-test for a correction and that we had some of this correction but not the full attachment to ema5.
- This correction was now complete by touching ema5 and followed with the bounce, as the channel top provided the support like we stated perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips.
As stated before if the channel top continues to provide support then we will track the movement up, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock or candle body close. We currently have a candle body close gap to 2729 our long range AXIS TARGET.
However, if we continue to see tests on the channel top and then get a break inside the channel, then we will track the movement down, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gap for the future..
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART SHORT/MID TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart idea that we have been tracking for a while with the updated retracement and swing range.
Same as last week we are still seeing price play between two weighted levels. We have 2690 Goldturn resistance and 2645, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap above at 2690, as we had ema5 cross and lock above 2645 opening 2690. The daily chart averages are lagging so sometimes gaps get filled before ema5 confirmation, in which case candle body close gaps are suffice.
Currently we have ema5 cross and lock leaving 2690 gap open and support at 2645 Goldturn for the bounces we are seeing. 2645 is currently providing support and bounces inline with our plans to buy dips and no cross and lock below 2645, therefore confirming support.
Please note a break below 2645 will also open the lower range, which we can use to track the movement down and catch the bounces up.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 1H AND 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another smashing day on the charts!!!
Please see yesterdays 1h chart update below
We got the final target hit at 2658 completing this chart idea!!!
Now please review the 4H chart idea, which we have been tracking and trading for the last two weeks, which is also playing out to perfection in true level to level fashion.
Emea5 cross and lock above 2626 opened 2645 and 2664 - Both targets were hit and completed today!!!
We are now seeing wick rejection on this level and will need a cross and lock above 2664 to open the range above or failure to lock above will see price test the lower Goldturns for the reactional bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2626 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2626 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2645 - DONE
POTENTIALLY 2664 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2664 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2682
POTENTIALLY 2699
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
After completing our last monthly chart long term/range chart idea, we never had a chance to update a new long term plan and so here you go!!!
2499 candle body close left a gap open last month to 2589. This gap was hit perfectly this month at 2589. We are now seeing play above 2589 but will need the month candle to close above this level to open 2702 AXIS target.
Failure to close above this level this month will see a rejection into the channel top for a bounce and a further close below the channel top or 2499 will see a further drop into the channel half line for the next correctional test and bounce.
Each of the lower Goldturn levels below are likely to give re-actional bounces using our shorter time frame idea.
2825 is our final long range/term target on this chart idea and we will look to continue to buy dips using our smaller timeframe ideas rather then chasing the bull form the top.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea and analysis that we have been tracking and trading for several months.
Last week we had the same again with a candle body close above 2505 again leaving a gap to 2557. We also stated that we need to keep in mind that we have a ema5 detachment below highlighted on the chart with a circle for a possible correction area.
- This played out perfectly by providing the correctional touch below on the highlighted area with a circle and then the bounce, which is also inline with the channel top support for the bounce just like we said.
All channels that break usually require the channel top to become support outside the channel for further continuations before new channels form.
Failure to provide support outside of the channel, means price breaks back into the channel, in which case the channel re-activates for trading and tracking level to level once again
Therefore, if we see a rejection before the gap and a break back into the channel then we will use the levels within the channel to provide the bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion, using our smaller time-frames keeping in mind the long range gap for the future..
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD (GOLD) Longs from 2,480.000 back upMy analysis for gold this week remains focused on identifying long opportunities to capitalize on the bullish pressure we've been seeing. The plan is to follow the trend as it develops. Last week's consolidation and the current slowdown suggest that the bullish momentum is waning and a retracement might be due.
I've identified a 2-hour supply zone where the price might react and trigger a downward move. If this does not happen, I'll look for the price to decline towards the 17-hour demand zone, where I anticipate price accumulation and a potential rally continuation.
Confluences for gold buy opportunities include:
- Price has shown strong bullish behavior and recently took out the all-time highs.
- A clear 17-hour demand zone remains, which caused a break of structure to the upside.
-There's trendline liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken.
- This move aligns with the higher time frame trend, which is currently very bullish.
P.S. I particularly expect the price to sweep the Asian session low around 2484, where we might then see a slowdown. Additionally, there's also a significant 19-hour demand zone below to consider.
XAU/USD Gold has potential (Updated)Hi everyone, this post is written to improve and update my previous idea on Gold. You can check my previous idea... but this post will cover it all anyways. To skip the long read, I've summarized the idea at the end.
I'll start with a broad overview to keep things clear...
And as time passes, and gold plays out, I will update the post to include more solid ideas.
This time, I've zoomed out the older snapshot from the other post since gold is trying to break out of this 10-year trend.
In my understanding, recently politics are getting heated, more and more people are turning their capital into Gold. And given that it is already at an all-time high, it is possible that this trend can be broken.
With that said, this post will solely investigate the technical analysis aspect of Gold.
I'm writing this idea to predict whether the ongoing bullish behavior will continue or not, rather than to find an entry point.
In my previous analysis, this was the general trend over the long term (almost 10-year trend). It showed resistance as I expected (2450). Of course, it is such a strong trend and sell pressure was expected. 1st time it got rejected at 2450 but after 1 months of recession, recently Gold fired back up to 2500 for the 2nd time. And as of right now, it is trying to break out of this 10-year trend.
If it does continue going up, 2700$ is where I am expecting to see some actual resistance.
To confirm this as a breakout I have looked at the possible uptrend driving the price which I've approximately shown as the pink trend, within the 10-year trend.
Inside the pink trend, the trend shown with white is the bullish trend that started in 2023 and is going on since. This trend does also indicate that with the current momentum, reaching 2700$ is possible. But we have to keep track of the price as Gold may face some resistance between 2545-2575$ as stated on the next image.
This is the YTD view.
Within the white steep uptrend, I believe Gold is currently rising within the channel shown. Pink line shows approximately the upper boundary of the bigger trend from the previous view.
Recently Gold gained pace and even broke out of this pink resistance zone, starting another uptrend after months of trying. We can't be certain of anything at the moment.
For the time being, I won't go into more short-term analysis, because more information is needed and currently it has a clear upwards momentum. If we do indeed reach around ~2570 than a more detailed lower timeframe analysis can be helpful to see if it can continue moving up.
I will update this post from time to time, as more information is necessary.
Predictions,
today, Aug 20, some resistance around 2530$
2-3 day target 2545-2550$
overall target;
if it does continue bullish 2700$, and in years target (~4000?)
Just to keep in mind,
If it fails to keep these levels and a reversal happens, It is possible that for months it can go back to 2200$ for a retest.
Even though I think it is less likely, if a lot of sell pressure happens and the pink trend cannot be broken. More sell pressure will be added when Gold falls below 2400$ and eventually can end up following a trajectory like this.
In either case Gold has huge potential on the long run, and I don't think it is wise to risk shorting Gold anytime soon.
Please do your own research before taking any risks.
Bulls see it as a sell signal Medium-Term
Fundamental analysis:
Middle East Crisis (Iran and Israel)
They run away from every fight (battle, war .. :) , we know this means "Decreasing tensions in the Middle East"
Technical analysis:
Wave C = 123.6% of Wave A
Bulls see it as a sell signal
Conclusion:
This market needs a correction
7 Dimension Analysis For Gold Core Analysis System (SMC)
1 Price, 2 pattrens, 3 Volume ,4 Volitality, 5 Momentum, 6 Time, 7 Sentiments
🕛 TOPDOWN Analysis
H1 shows a bullish structure with price successfully touching its extreme Point of Interest (POI). Afterward, it provides a bullish confirmation, indicating readiness for a bullish position on the 5-minute timeframe.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: 5 MIN
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bullish with Confirmation (Choch)
🟢 Swing Move: Corrective move towards mitigating the 5-min Extreme POI
🟢 Inducement: Taken with the first deep pullback for this swing
🟢 Strongest Demand: Accumulation on the Discounted Zone supporting the bulls
🟢 Traps: False Breakout observed
🟢 Time Frame Confluence: H4, H1, and M5
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS: Triple bottom reversal with a massive shakeout indicating a reversal
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: To be observed upon price reaching the execution level
3️⃣ Volume
🟢 Fixed Range: Volume on Fake Out observed to be massive compared to previous
🟢 Volume during Correction: No significant volume indicating weaker sellers
4️⃣ Momentum RSI
🟢 Divergence and Loud Bullish Move: Observed at the start, with the price still in the bullish zone above 40
🟢 Oversold Rejections: Indicating bullish sentiment
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Volatility Contraction Phase: Suggesting a Squeeze breakout is expected with Walking on the band scenario
6️⃣ Strength According to ROC
🟢 Gold Stronger than Dollar: For this week
7️⃣ Sentiment
Gold expected to undergo a short bigger timeframe correction
✔️ Entry Time Frame: M5
☑️ FIB Trigger event: Awaited
☑️ Trend line breakout: Awaited
💡 Decision: Buy
🚀 Entry: 2296
✋ Stop loss: 2290
🎯 Take profit: 2380 (If Internal Structure changes)
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 14
🕛 Expected Duration: 3 Days
📚 SUMMARY: The analysis indicates a bullish sentiment with various patterns and indicators suggesting a potential buying opportunity on the 5-minute timeframe. High volume on the Fake Out and absence of volume during correction hint at weaker sellers. Traders are advised to monitor candle patterns upon reaching the execution level and consider a buy position with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 14 over an expected duration of 3 days.
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATE Hey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart structure that we have been tracking successfully for a while now..
On our last two updates we had the cross and lock above 2355 leaving a gap open to 2405 and then same with 2405 opening 2464.
- Both gaps were hit and completed , as analysed.
We now have a candle body close gap above 2464 leaving a long range/term gap to 2521 and will need EMA5 lock above 2464 to further confirm this. Failure to lock now with ema5 confirmed the rejection we are seeing now
We have marked the charts with our unique weighted levels and will use them to track the movement up and down, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock confirmation.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ( CREATED A NEW HISTORICAL PEAK ) ( STRONG RISING ) ( 4H ) XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under strong bullish pressure ,after breakout 2,440$
TURNING LEVEL : the price of turning level between 2,475$ and 2,468$ , indicates the price breaking 2,475$ reach a new resistance level or created a new historical peaks , but if breaking 2,468$ reach a support level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL : in the last chart price reach a full resistance level , know this level at 2,491$ , and 2,510$ , for reach this level after breaking 2,475$ .
SUPPORT LEVEL : support level at 2,440$ in previously this level is a resistance level but after breaking know worked a strong support level , for reach this level after breaking 2,468$ .
PRICE MOVEMENT : the price is sensitive area , yesterday price have strong rising an breakout a supply zone reach a full target , created a new historical peaks , price breaking 2,475$ rising or reach a new resistance level at 2,491$ , then reach a 2,510$ , after breaking 2,468$ reach a support level at 2,440$ it is a strong support level , breaking this level the price started a downward .
TARGET LEVEL
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,491$ , 2,510$ .
SUPPORT LEVEL ; 2,440$ , 2,425$ .
GOLD ( FED CHAIR POWELL ) ( 4H )XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency active bullish after the price breakout the resistance trendline .
TURNING LEVEL : a blue line between resistance and support level around 2,348$, indicates if the price stabilizing above this level reach resistance level , if the breaking turning level reach a support level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL : there is a green line around 2,378$ , indicates selling have already increase this level , so if the price stable turning level reach this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line below turning level around 2,337$ , indicates buying have already increase this level , so if the price breaking turning level reach this level .
PRICE MOVEMENT : maybe first the price will trying to dropping turning level around 2,348$ , after rising to the resistance level around 2,378$ , then stable above this level reach 2,391$ ,
if the price breaking turning level reach a support level at 2,337$ , then stable by open 4h candle below this level reach a 2,320$ , know the price in the supply returned to the demand zone may be reach a turning level before long .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,378$ , 2,391$
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,337$ , 2,320$
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATE Hey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart structure.
Last week we stated that we will continue to see price play between 2355 and 2309 until we see a lock confirmation for the next range.
- We now have a cross and lock above 2355 leaving a gap to 2405.
We have marked the charts with the weighted levels and will use them to track the movement up and down confirmed with ema5 cross and lock confirmation.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
DOWN trend for Gold!! Expected mark $2300⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) dips for the second day, hitting over a week's low during Wednesday's Asian session. Influential Federal Reserve officials' recent hawkish comments imply no imminent rate cuts due to a strong US economy. This boosts US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar, negatively impacting the non-yielding gold.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price in the H1 trend line is decreasing - selling pressure exists. Pay attention to support areas
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2294 - $2292 SL $2287
TP1: $2300
TP2: $2308
TP3: $2315
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2300 - $2302 SL $2297 scalping
TP1: $2306
TP2: $2310
TP3: $2315
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2334 - $2336 SL $2341
TP1: $2328
TP2: $2320
TP3: $2310
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD: Big Swing Buy Coming Up Worth 2200+ PIPS! Dear Traders,
Gold rejected at $2450 and dropped more than 1200+ pips, indicating a strong bearish takeover. Still we expect the same to continue, as bearish momentum is so strong that price ranged between 2330-2340 area for a long period on Friday. Which suggested that bears large number of volume Is still there in the market. Going forward, we can expect price of Gold to drop around 2280-2290 this key level remain strong for buyers. That move will be worth thousands of pips we expecting around 2200 pips if not more targeting 2500$ which will be record high.
**Please like and comment the idea, for more do follow us which will encourage us to bring more educational chart analysis**
Do your own analysis, always follow risk management.
Team SetupsFX_
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP FOR THE WEEK AHEADHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels 2336 resistance and 2307 Goldturn support. We will need to see a test and lock on either levels to open the next range.
We will need to see ema5 lock above 2336 to open the range above or a rejection before this will follow to find support at the retracement range. A further cross and lock below 2307 will open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2336
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2336 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2356
BEARISH TARGETS
2307
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2307 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2290 - 2275
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Today's trading trends, selling strategiesThe employment and economic data released by the US last week showed both positive and negative trends. However, the fairly positive job market has caused the market to predict that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will not cut interest rates before November this year, instead of September as previously forecast.
Experts say that world gold prices in the next few days will adjust within a narrow range to wait for information from the Fed meeting taking place on June 11-12. Surely the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this meeting. However, the market will look for information about the health of the US economy and the direction of inflation.
Some financial institutions believe that the Fed cutting interest rates may consider the deflation situation of the world's No. 1 economy, when it twice reported the country's gross domestic product growth in the first quarter. a sharp decrease compared to the fourth quarter of 2023.
Experts recommend that investors should patiently wait for information from the Fed meeting. Because gold prices will be strongly affected when the Fed releases positive information from the US economy.
Gold fell deeply at the end of the week, the downtrend continuedWorld gold prices tend to recover with spot gold increasing by 2.3 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,294.9 USD/ounce.
The gold market this week is forecast to have many fluctuations and the direction of this precious metal depends heavily on the consumer price index (CPI) report and the interest rate decision of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). ) and a speech from the head of the world's most powerful central bank.
Last week, the market witnessed a strong sell-off when receiving two unfavorable information. Gold lost up to 80 USD during the day, recording the strongest intraday decline in 4 years. Specifically, the price reversed when the latest report showed that the People's Bank of China did not add gold last month, cutting off this central bank's 18-month gold buying streak. The report raises concerns that gold demand will slow down in the near future.
While the market is gradually stabilizing, expectations that the Fed will raise interest rates in September are gradually fading after the US Department of Labor's employment report dealt another strong blow to the market.
The Fed started the fight against inflation from March 2022 with interest rate increases. In this way, the US Central Bank wants to slow down economic growth and reduce inflationary pressure, with the goal of bringing inflation down to 2%. Recent inflation reports show that inflation is currently at 2.7%.