Break position and go short, pay attention to 2334/2320 support
After rising above the important pressure zone of 2,400 points again late last week, it finally closed near 2,390 points. We once regarded this pattern as a strong level to be broken through. Gold has a 4-hour double top structure. Gold fell directly below the low of 2354 in previous days. With support, gold's decline will continue. Gold's one-hour rebound of 2354 is an opportunity for high short selling. After gold rebounds slightly, you can go short directly.
Lower expectations for interest rate cuts and the de-escalation of the conflict between Iran and Israel have led to a slowdown in gold's gains. Although it failed to extend last weekend's rebound and break out of the day's decline, it does not mean that the correction range has changed. What hinders the bullish expectations of the market outlook is that after the short-term correction is too large, the correction cycle will be lengthened. Just stay in the 2320 to 2400 range and continue trading.
For today's layout, on the one hand, we will pay attention to the opportunity of pulling back 2355, and consider shorting when the time comes. On the other hand, focus on the 2334 and 2320 support levels, and then go long depending on the situation.
Goldtrend
The opportunity to go long gold has arrived again
Gold is still bullish overall. Although the K-line on Friday once reached around 2363, the big positive line then took a step to near 2400. This is obviously a bullish pattern, and the K-line has been fluctuating upwards recently, and 2370 has become more solid. The bottom is more stable
The gold daily level is also a strong bull. No matter how the K line falls, the K line can close the Yang line. This is the behavior of the market. At the same time, the K line is always above the moving average, and the support level continues to rise.
Trading strategy: Go long near gold 2368, stop loss 2358, take profit 2380
XAU blueprint Using different analysis procedures, I am keen to publish this broken down xau swing movement which portrays a logical full liquidity sweep along the indicated zones after establishing a "rally-up", as well as the currently forming base before we see the drop thereby clearing the liquidity below .
Do you still not understand? You can always leave a comment below for further explanation 👍
Anticipating a Sharp Reversal in Gold: Detailed Analysis for 4-HGreetings Traders,
In this analysis, we'll delve into the potential for a significant reversal in the price of gold, focusing on the 4-hour timeframe. Let's break down the factors contributing to this anticipation:
Technical Analysis:
Bollinger Bands: Using the Bollinger Bands indicator, we observe price action within the upper and lower bands. A narrowing of the bands followed by a sudden expansion often indicates increased volatility and potential for a reversal.
Moving Averages: Analyzing the moving averages, particularly the 50-period and 200-period SMAs, provides insights into the prevailing trend and potential areas of support or resistance.
Market Sentiment:
Fundamental Factors: Consider recent economic data releases, geopolitical events, and shifts in monetary policy that could influence investor sentiment towards gold.
Trader Positioning: Reviewing speculative positioning in the futures market or sentiment indicators like the Commitments of Traders (COT) report can offer clues about market sentiment and potential positioning unwinds.
Support Zones: Identify critical support levels based on previous price action, Fibonacci retracement levels, or horizontal support/resistance zones.
Resistance Levels: Highlight significant resistance levels where price might encounter selling pressure.
Conclusion:
Summarize the key points of the analysis and reiterate the thesis for anticipating a sharp reversal in gold on the 4-hour timeframe.
Emphasize the importance of staying vigilant and adaptable to evolving market conditions, and encourage traders to conduct their own analysis and risk assessment before making trading decisions.
Remember, trading involves inherent risks, and it's essential to exercise caution and proper risk management at all times.
Happy trading!
What affects the direction of gold?World gold prices tend to decrease with spot gold down 2.4 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,388.8 USD/ounce.
The world gold market last week fluctuated according to a familiar pattern. Gold prices continuously touched new highs thanks to being boosted by shelter demand due to fears of escalating tensions, but then retreated and entered a consolidation phase.
Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey shows that both Wall Street experts and retail investors continue to believe in the precious metal's strength, with 71% of Wall Street experts and 64% of general investors. Retail participants participating in the survey forecast that gold prices will increase this week.
According to SIA Wealth Management market strategist Colin Cieszynski, risks remain significant and could trigger market rallies. Sharing the same opinion, senior commodities broker Daniel Pavilonis of RJO Futures also said that geopolitical conflicts will continue to push gold prices up even if there is no immediate escalation.
Market analyst Everett Millman of Gainesville Coins said that developments in the Middle East are still the main factor affecting the direction of gold this week when there is not much economic data published. Expert Millman believes that, before the June monetary policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the market will put aside anything related to interest rate expectations until the situation is resolved. in the Middle East is really calming down.
XAU/USD Poised for Short-Term Rise to New All-Time HighXAU/USD is expected to continue its rise in the short term, reaching a new all-time high (ATH) this week. After a period of ranging and consolidation, where the price remained within a relatively tight range, the upward momentum is expected to resume. This suggests a bullish sentiment in the market for the gold/US dollar currency pair. However, it is important to note that market trends are influenced by various factors and can change rapidly. To make accurate predictions or assessments, it is advisable to consult up-to-date market analysis and seek guidance from financial professionals who have access to the latest market data and tools.
The forecast for gold next week is still mainly long!
Even though gold dipped this week, it failed to fall below the watershed line of 2319. Bulls continued to rise close to $100 that week, which is also the norm for gold in recent weeks. The short-term one-hour trend has been wave after wave, hitting the 2400 mark many times during this period! At the same time, with the war in some areas, it is obvious that the market heat has not cooled down, and bulls still dominate the market! Next week's operation will still be based on a low-long strategy!
The biggest factor affecting gold in the near future must be the impact of local wars, and as the situation continues to worsen, the price of gold remains high. Although the early high of 2432 is already very high, now that the situation has not been alleviated, 2432 cannot become history. It is only a matter of time before it reaches a new high again next week. The current market situation is actually not difficult. Going long when falling back is like picking up money, but there are always people chasing the rise and losing all the way. But in fact, trading is not about following the market. You like to buy following the market fluctuations and then get trapped. , if so you will only become a stepping stone for others! Trading requires forward-looking vision and thinking. Just like before gold reaches a new historical high, experienced players have already predicted that it will break through 2432 again. Before that, I will gradually place multiple orders until the target is reached!
specific strategies
Gold is over 2378-2380, stop loss is 2370, target is 2400
Could I be talking about you now, haha, everyone is welcome to leave a message
XAU/USD (GOLD) bullish rally from 2300 or 2280Gold remains bullish for me, but the recent slowdown in momentum suggests a potential upcoming drop. We are currently in a 6-hour supply zone with multiple reactions already, and we might see another one after a liquidity sweep at 2420.
My main focus for gold is to observe a drop to form a new supply zone or witness a reaction from a marked-out demand zone on the 2-hour or 10-hour timeframe. Following this, I'll start looking for buying opportunities again, noting significant liquidity via Asia lows.
Confluences for GOLD Buys are as follows:
- Price is still in a bullish trend on the higher time frame and continued BOS has been present.
- Demand zones have been left that have caused the BOSs as well. like the 2hr and 10hr.
- Liquidity to the upside still left as well in the form of Asian highs.
- For price to continue in the bullish trend it needs to retrace and form another rally.
- Dollar also approaching a very good supply so if expected to drop gold could rise further.
P.S. If price breaks any of the key demand points of interest (POIs), I will watch for a Change of Character (CHOCH) to the downside, signaling a continuation of the new downward trend.
Have a great trading week!
A breakout has just started on the weekly!Had to take a position on this today! Sprott is the largest holder (with 165 million shares). This long-term chart looks very similiar to Jaguar Mining (another Sprott company) that has taken off. A reverse head and shoulders forming on the monthly chart. It could still bounce sideways to lower in the near-term. If so, I doubt it will be dramatic. Could be an easy 10x from here.
Go long gold first, then consider going short goldDear friends, today due to the expansion and escalation of conflicts in the Middle East, market risk aversion has surged. Gold has been enthusiastically sought after as a safe haven asset. It took the 2400 position in one fell swoop and continued to rise to around 2417. Subsequently, Iran downplayed the tension many times. Gold turned downward and has now given up all its gains, with the lowest falling to around 2372.
The market has experienced ups and downs, and I estimate that many people have been hit hard by this wave of short-term market conditions, because when the market is at its most frenetic, it is also when most traders are least calm. Judging from the current situation, although gold has risen due to the news, it has indeed broken through the suppression of the recent high of 2395, and the pressure above has been released. When gold fell to the 2375-2370 area, its downward momentum further slowed down, and the 2375-2370 area still has certain support in the short term. And the risk aversion in the market still exists, so I think gold still has the conditions to rise.
Therefore, in terms of trading, I will first consider going long gold with 2375-2370 as the support area. When gold rebounds, I will backhand short gold. I will share detailed trading ideas and trading signals every day to help everyone grasp the rhythm of market trading. If you are currently losing money, I am confident that I can help you turn losses into profits in a short period of time; if you are currently making profits, I am more capable of helping you increase profits. If you want to seize more trading opportunities and profits, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and trading strategies in the first time.
Gold short position is closed with profit, what’s the next tradeAt present, the K-line has stabilized at 2380, and the big positive line at the bottom has stopped the decline, directly consolidating the bottom signal, especially the K-line starting from below the moving average, directly breaking the suppression of the moving average, obviously unable to hold down the bulls
Trading strategy: long gold near 2380, stop loss 2370, target 2430
The above is purely personal investment sharing and does not constitute an actual entry point. You are responsible for your profits and losses.
Be wary of gold’s rising trap, as the smoke bomb in the Middle E
There is little hope of a rate cut this year. Williams, the Fed’s No. 3 figure, said an interest rate hike is still possible!
This week, expectations for a rate cut have dropped to freezing point. What most voting committee members meant was this: If inflation doesn't fall, high interest rates will remain. If necessary, the possibility of raising interest rates cannot be ruled out.
In addition, the situation in the Middle East is confusing. Iran warned Israel at the United Nations: Saturday's attack was just an appetizer, a minimum attack, and the hard food has not yet been served.
This is also the most stubborn thing Iran has ever done, actively attacking Israel under the nose of the United States. Since the outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli war on October 7 last year, Hamas has taken the initiative to attack Israel to an extent beyond imagination. Iran's attack this time is also a historic move.
This morning, Israel attacked Iran, but Iran softened its attitude and had no intention of provoking a conflict. The price of gold also rushed to $2,417 in the morning, and then returned to the starting point, exciting those who held more funds.
Another thing that also affects gold prices is Russia's announcement to cancel gold tariffs. Russia itself has a lot of gold. Coupled with the Russia-Ukraine war, military expenditures increased significantly. The market is worried that Russia will be tight due to military spending. , selling gold in large quantities.
I don't think there's any need to worry too much. Removing tariffs is not about selling gold. Does this mean that to sell gold you have to sell it to Ukrainians and not trade it in your own country? The elimination of tariffs can make the circulation of gold smoother, thereby promoting gold transactions.
Originally, the surcharge for selling gold was too high due to import and export duties. This time it was canceled. People who didn't plan to buy gold can do so without a hitch, while people who plan to sell can quickly find more buyers. .
The above three points, the Fed's interest rate hike, the situation in the Middle East, and the elimination of gold tariffs are not the key points that affect gold in the long term. I have repeatedly emphasized that what drives gold prices to new human highs is: consensus.
Consensus has a strong siphon effect and is also an ideology. Just like today's young people don't get married and don't have children. No matter how stimulated the policy is, the effect will be small. The main reason is a change in ideology. Young people born in 2000 have more independent personalities. They have a strong sense of self-love. These people must first make themselves comfortable, rather than living for the approval of others.
Gold is now driven by consensus. It’s no longer a matter of raising or lowering interest rates. A few bombs in the Middle East will illustrate this. The stock market is not making money, the government's credit value has declined, and the paper money credit system has begun to falter.
At this point, gold becomes the currency of Musk’s writings. After it started to burn, more and more people began to plan to allocate gold. Even if you buy 100 grams, it is better than buying nothing. In addition, in Le Pen's eyes, mobs and crowds are unconscious. The more people buy, the more people will participate.
Within 4 hours, gold prices surged higher in early trading, but were still consolidating at a high level. The small level is at 2350 and the large level is at 2320. These two points determine whether the top is formed. The weekly trend is still very good, with the bottom at 2320 and a rebound later. This week marks the sixth week of positive closings. Today’s pressure is focused on 2395-2400. The sharp rise in early trading is difficult to sustain. If Europe falls below the bottom (2373 points), the US will fall.
The strategy today is still to treat it as a shock. The general direction has not changed. If it breaks through the morning low of 2373 and then rebounds, it can be shorted during the day. There are many layouts in the 2350-40 area below. After a sharp rise in early trading, it is not recommended to chase the rise after a correction.
If you are interested in my analysis, you can tell me in the comments
Gold fell yesterday to break the rising trend, and today it rebo
The current trend of gold has seen some energy from bulls shrinking. Yesterday’s market did not refresh the previous day’s high. Instead, it tried to break through the 2400 mark many times under the pressure of the 2400 mark. Unfortunately, gold no longer has enough energy to hit the 2400 mark. , and also fell below the previous rising trend line support, which means that the range of small bulls has passed, and will now gradually turn into a pattern of shock and decline! During the day, we will wait for the gold price to rebound and reach the pressure level of the moving average near 2377 before going short!
Judging from the one-hour trend, gold has recently failed to break through the 2400 mark three times, and judging from the traces left behind, its trend shows a head and shoulders pattern, which is also one of the reversal patterns. From a technical point of view , the bulls announced the end, the bears will cover the original rising market, then today's operation idea is very clear, the rebound short will be the main strategy!
specific strategies
Gold is short at 2377, stop loss is 2385, target is 2362
Gold is short and profitable, and the U.S. rebound continues to
After gold surged higher today to lure bulls, the gold rebound was not strong. Gold returned to the short position. Gold has reached a double top in 4 hours. The possible room for adjustment will increase. In the short term, it will continue to be bearish and the adjustment will fall. The US market rebounds around 2385 and can still continue to be short. .
Gold bulls have reached a certain stage. If gold peaks, the decline will be considerable. Today is Friday again. We will wait and see whether gold will once again stage a trend of highs and lows.
U.S. market operation ideas:
Gold is short at 2385, stop loss at 2393, target 2365-2360;
Gold continues to look at the 2145 lineFor gold, we continue to look at the 2145 line. Gold rebounded directly to around 2177, but this is not a reversal. We continue to be bearish.
The golden hourly line was also suppressed by the moving average. The European market rebounded quickly, but it was still below the moving average and was suppressed. The macd energy column was also below the zero axis, and gradually moved away from the zero axis. The upper resistance 2185 is still strong, and the resistance below is still strong. Continuation of emptiness is inevitable
If gold is high, don’t chase the bulls and continue to be short.Gold has been going up and down like this in the past two days. The probability of gold directly breaking through and rising sharply is not very high, and the high position continues to be short.
Gold did not hit a new high in 4 hours. Gold still had a head-and-shoulders top structure in 4 hours. Gold rose to around 2197 yesterday as a risk aversion, which was lower than 2200 last time. It rebounded many times and failed to break through 2197. Gold rebounded to 2197 every time. The high position gives the opportunity to go short, and the rebound near 2193 can continue to go short first.
The market situation is changing rapidly. Sometimes, don’t underestimate the role of a few dollars. This is the key position. The trend will change if it does not break or if it breaks. This is the turning point. Since gold cannot break through, it is possible to form a top structure. Gold continues to be short today.
GOLD - where is gold current support? Holding or not?#GOLD... So guys according to our today video analysis market very well hold his first area below 2367 that was 2354 55.
Now market have a region in chart means on hour chart.
That is start from 2367 to 2374
Means 5 to 7 points region,
That will be your most important region for further move to anyside,
If market hold it then a further bounce expected from here otherwise not at all.
In simple and short words, it's buying season, war season etc.
You should stay focused on every immediate support only..
And don't plan for a short until market hold your current support.
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAUUSD Buy AgainXAUUSD has dropped back to my original buy area zone after taking out Tuesday's high earlier today during the Asian Session. Now anticipating for price to go back up again from the same 1H Order Block. Note that it is Friday and the last trading day of the week without any major red news driver, and hence momentum to go all the way to take out today's Asian high may not happen.
Gold finally broke through the 2404 line, it is too strong
Gold prices surged above $2,400 an ounce as concerns about escalating tensions between Israel and Iran boosted safe-haven demand. Gold prices rose for a fifth straight week after unconfirmed media reports of explosions in Iran, Syria and Iraq. Rhetoric between Iran and Israel has intensified since last weekend's drone and missile attacks. Latest news According to ABC News, US officials said that an Israeli missile hit an Iranian facility.
Gold rose rapidly due to the news and finally broke through the 2404 line. There is still heavy pressure above the golden 4-hour chart. After the market's risk aversion ends, gold may fall back to a certain extent.
Gold’s safe haven ends, prepares for decline