Goldtrend
Gold rebounds strongly, should we chase long gold?Today we went long gold near the 2412 position and successfully hit TP: 2423. It was still a good trading profit. At present, gold has rebounded strongly to above 2430. The bulls have regained control of the situation. How much more can gold rise? Do we still want to continue chasing gold?
There may be many people who have this question, and many people have even chased long gold. In fact, relatively speaking, I think gold bulls have reached a certain stage now, and the probability of another violent rise should be low; and gold has formed long upper shadow lines many times during the rebound, so there is still a certain degree of resistance above.and the energy of the bulls has stagnated near 2430, so the short-term resistance faced by gold in the 2430-2435 area is still valid, and even if gold breaks through this area, I believe that with the current strength of the bulls, it will be difficult to break through the 2440 position.
So in terms of trading, I do not recommend chasing gold above 2430. On the contrary, we can consider shorting gold. Once gold falls below the 2405-2400 area, the space below will open further. Therefore, in the next transaction, we will mainly focus on shorting gold at high levels, focusing on the 2430-2435 area at the top; focusing on the gains and losses at the 2400 position below.
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XAUUSD:21/5 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2450-2500, support below is 2411-2371
Four-hour resistance 2435-2450, support below 2411
Gold operation suggestions:
Judging from the current market trend, the lower support continues to focus on yesterday's NY time low near 2411, and the upper pressure focuses on the short-term near 2435, focusing on the suppression of 2435. Relying on this range to maintain a wide range of shock operation, the short-term bulls' strong dividing line still focuses on the 2400 integer mark , before the daily level falls below this position, it still maintains the long advantage and continues to sell high and buy low.
BUY:2435 near SL:2430
BUY:2411 near SL:2406
BUY:2400 near SL:2397
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
GOLD-Tuesday Analysis
There was no US economic data released on Monday and Tuesday, but the tension in the geopolitical situation had a great impact on the financial market. Iran confirmed that its president had been killed, which undoubtedly added many uncertainties to the unstable Middle East. Although the helicopter crash has not yet been resolved, if it is confirmed, the Middle East will continue to be on the brink of war. Geopolitics is also the biggest support for this round of gold price rise.
According to the trend of gold falling from highs, 2450 points may be the top, but it still needs to be confirmed. If it fluctuates at a high level on Tuesday and the daily closing is a red candle, then 2450 may be the top of this week. On Wednesday and Thursday, there is room for a big drop. Therefore, for the time being, Tuesday's market is regarded as a range fluctuation, and you can sell high and buy low within the support and resistance points. From a technical point of view, the unilateral moving average support of the daily cycle is 2405 and 2375, and the Bollinger middle rail support of the H4 cycle is 2405. In other words, as long as it falls below 2400 points in the near future, it can be basically determined that gold has peaked at 2450 this week, and the probability of a decline in the later period will increase.
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GOLD to continue in the upward move?XAUUSD - 24h expiry
Buying continued from the 78.6% pullback level of 2398.5.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Price action resulted in a new all-time high at 2450.
20 4hour EMA is at 2406.5.
Our profit targets will be 2446.1 and 2456.1
We look to Buy at 2401.1 (stop at 2383.1)
Resistance: 2430.0 / 2450.1 / 2473.2
Support: 2406.1 / 2390.0 / 2370.0
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Don’t panic because of the adjustment, gold is bullish near 2405
This time, unlike four years ago, the surge in gold in 2020 is due, on the one hand, to the sudden epidemic, which has led to market uncertainty about the future, and, on the other, the massive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve.
Today, the Federal Reserve has already tightened policy and has been clamoring to raise interest rates. Fed Governor Bowman has repeatedly reminded the market not to be too optimistic. A drop in inflation does not guarantee that interest rates will not be raised in the future.
Federal Reserve voting committee member Mester also said yesterday that she believed three interest rate cuts this year were too many. Based on the current economic development, too many interest rate cuts are not suitable.
The US economy is slowing down. This is already an event. Politicians will not come out and say that their economy is going to collapse. They are optimistic that there will be a soft landing and inflation will continue to be high and interest rates will be reduced to 2%.
The market situation does not mean that the higher the frequency, the better, nor does it mean that a small amount adds up to a large sum. It is about clarifying the main trend, then turning the short-term into a long-term, and continuing to make profits. It is unrealistic to try to counter the trend.
Because it does not mean that a rise will necessarily lead to a fall, and a big rise does not necessarily mean a big fall. This is not a positive or negative relationship. Just like many people’s understanding of the Fed’s interest rate hikes and cuts is very one-sided. The end of interest rate hikes does not mean that It is necessary to raise interest rates. It is absolutely possible to maintain high interest rates without increasing or decreasing them.
I have repeatedly emphasized that once you miss the gold rally, you may not be able to encounter such an opportunity even if you wait for ten years. But even if you participate, you do not have a deep understanding of the trend and cannot make profits, and you will always be pessimistic. I think it’s because the market is not good, I’m not lucky, and I’m not good enough.
In fact, none of the above has anything to do with it. Wealth is determined by the track, and investment is determined by trends. Just like if you invest in stocks in the United States in the past 20 years, the trend will take participants across classes.
Don’t be afraid of heights. There will be adjustments after rising. This is a normal market behavior. Yesterday, the price of gold adjusted downward from 2,450 US dollars. It was just a short break. It will not have an impact on the rise. Instead, it is an opportunity to get on the train.
After the gold price hit $2,450 yesterday, it continued to fall back. The current support is at $2,407, which will be adjusted. However, the structure is still mainly low and long. We are not considering shorting gold at the moment.
Therefore, we should pay attention to this kind of sharp rise in the market, especially after the data weakens, we should not go low again.
Today, gold is long near 2405, and the loss is at 2390, avoiding the previous top-bottom transition position of 2396. The span of the target area above is enlarged a bit, at 2430-2440, and the stop loss will be adjusted by moving up at that time.
XAUUSD: 20/5 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2450-2500, support below is 2413-2371
Four-hour resistance is 2450, support below is 2413
Gold operation suggestions:
The strong dividing line for short-term bulls has moved to the 2400 integer mark, and the daily level has stabilized above this position and continues to maintain the trend of low and long bullish rhythm.
Judging from the daily gold trend, the lower support for gold is focused on 2413-2400-2370, and the upper focus is on 2445-2450 for suppression. The bull situation is still strong, and market risk aversion continues to heat up, so we can do long at low levels in operation, and the risk of trading with the trend is low. .
BUY:2415 near SL:2411
BUY:2400 near SL:2397
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Gold Continues Higher . . . Look for Small PullbackWhere are we today? We are in a rising wedge . . . and there is a risk that gold eventually breaks this primary trend levels . . . but, if past is prologue, then we should see a 15 minute retracement into our next buy at the 4 hour HWB long setup. . . around 2391-2393.6 area.
Still in the bullish trend channel, entry buyWorld gold prices skyrocketed as the level of inflation, and its series of impacts on US monetary policy, boosted demand for holding the precious metal.
On the other hand, gold prices are also supported by increased reserves at the Central Bank of China.
However, analysts at Kitco Metals believe that today's increase in gold prices mainly stems from risk concerns when the President of Iran died in a plane crash.
Meanwhile, a Chinese oil tanker was attacked by Houthi missiles in the Red Sea, increasing geopolitical tensions, increasing the need to hold gold to preserve capital.
Gold prices simultaneously increased sharply💎XAUUSD Analysis💎
🔸Yesterday`s gold charge passed the antique top of 2430 and right away after that withinside the afternoon consultation, there has been a correction. However, withinside the nighttime consultation, the marketplace reacted and the gold charge multiplied again, presently positioned withinside the top place across the 2430 threshold. Observing at the H1 frame, it is able to be visible that withinside the brief term, the gold charge suggests symptoms and symptoms of peaking. New round this charge range. Therefore, in present day consultation, gold charge may also modify barely to retest the 2410 place. In this charge place, gold charge may hold a positive upward pressure. Therefore, it's miles probably that there could be a recuperation response from this assist place. You can bear in mind promoting gold in present day consultation and ready to shop for round 2410.
⚜️BUY LIMIT XAUUSD ⚜️
👉ENTRY 2410
🔺SL 2400
❇️TP1 2417
❇️TP2 2423
❇️TP3 2430
SELL LIMIT 2450-2455
TP 2430-2425
Gold increased on the first day of the week,selling to entry buyWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 2.3 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,416.7 USD/ounce.
Last week, world gold prices fluctuated strongly as the market continuously received important economic data along with statements from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. This precious metal started the trading week at 2,361.17 USD/ounce and increased steadily beyond the 2,400 USD/ounce mark when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statement and economic data confirmed that interest rates will no further increase and the Fed may soon loosen policy this year.
Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey results show the majority of experts believe gold prices could reach or surpass all-time highs, while retail traders are cautious. this precious metal.
After an exciting week, the market is expected to be quiet this week with little important economic data released. The information that is believed to be able to affect the direction of gold is the minutes of the Fed's monetary policy meeting ending on May 1. However, most experts believe that the content of the minutes will not exceed investors' expectations, so the gold market will have little reaction unless there is unexpected information. In addition, the market also awaits statements from Fed officials. Six officials are expected to speak early this week.
Golden Opportunity: Fed Rate-Cut Bets Drive Gold Near Record HigGold prices are hovering near all-time highs, fueled by a growing belief among investors that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this year. This optimism comes despite mixed economic signals from the US, with concerns about inflation still lingering.
Record-Breaking Rally
Gold recently reached a fresh intraday record, surpassing the previous high set in April 2024. This surge is attributed to a significant increase in investor demand for the precious metal. The allure of gold stems from its traditional role as a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty. In periods of potential inflation or economic slowdown, investors often flock to gold as a hedge against decreasing purchasing power of traditional currencies.
Fed Rate Cuts: A Catalyst for Gold
The primary driver for the recent gold price increase is the growing anticipation of a policy shift by the Federal Reserve. The Fed has been raising interest rates throughout 2024 to combat inflation. However, recent economic data has shown signs of a potential slowdown. This has led some investors to believe that the Fed may soon pivot and start lowering interest rates.
Lower Rates, Higher Gold Prices
Interest rates and gold prices typically have an inverse relationship. When interest rates rise, the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets like gold increases, making them less attractive to investors. Conversely, when interest rates fall, gold becomes a more appealing investment option. This dynamic is playing out in the current market, with the prospect of lower interest rates driving investors towards gold.
Beyond Rate Cuts: Supporting Factors
While the Fed's monetary policy is the primary driver, other factors are also contributing to gold's strength. Geopolitical tensions across the globe continue to serve as a source of unease for investors, further bolstering the demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Additionally, robust demand for physical gold from major consumers like China and India is providing additional support to prices.
Mixed Signals from the US Economy
The US economic picture remains somewhat unclear. While recent data suggests a potential slowdown, inflation concerns haven't entirely abated. The Fed has indicated its commitment to bringing inflation under control, leaving investors to navigate a complex economic environment.
Gold's Long-Term Prospects
The future trajectory of gold prices hinges heavily on the decisions of the Federal Reserve. If the Fed does indeed pivot towards rate cuts, gold prices could continue their upward climb. However, if inflation remains stubbornly high, the Fed may need to maintain its hawkish stance, potentially putting downward pressure on gold.
Investor Considerations
The current market situation presents both opportunities and challenges for investors. The potential for a Fed policy shift makes gold an attractive proposition. However, the uncertainty surrounding the US economy and future inflation levels necessitates careful consideration before investing.
Diversification is Key
Gold can be a valuable addition to a diversified investment portfolio. However, it's crucial not to overexpose oneself to a single asset class. Investors should consider their risk tolerance and overall investment goals when deciding whether to invest in gold.
Conclusion
Gold's recent surge highlights its enduring appeal as a safe-haven asset. With the Fed's policy decisions looming large, gold prices are likely to remain in focus in the coming months. Whether it continues its record-breaking rally or experiences a correction depends heavily on the trajectory of the US economy and the Federal Reserve's response.
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GOLD FORECAST
The current analysis indicates a bullish trend for OANDA:XAUUSD , provided it stays above the pivot line at 2438. Currently, the price seems poised to consolidate between 2450 and 2430 before any breakout occurs. The prevailing bullish pressure suggests that if trading remains above 2438, the trend will continue upwards.
If the price dips below 2438, there are two scenarios to consider:
A retest to 2430 followed by a continuation of the bullish trend.
A deeper retest to 2410 before resuming the bullish trend, as illustrated on the chart.
The price is expected to rise to 2463, and stabilizing above 2463 could lead to a further increase to 2475.
Key Levels:
Bullish Line: 2463, 2475
Pivot Line: 2438
Bearish Line: 2430, 2410, 2396
GOLD - where is immediate support? Hold or not??#GOLD... Perfect move as expected.
Now market have 2325 to 28 as immediate supporting area guys.
Keep close that region and if market hold that area then again upside firether move expected.
Keep in mind guys that that will be your cutt n reverse area on confirmation ..
Good luck
Trade wisely
Gold is firmly at a high level, and the international situation
The recent trend can be said to be a small unilateral rise. After this week's daily trend correction, it will quickly make up for it the next day. The energy of the bulls is very strong, and its trend is also very rhythmic! Also on Friday, the price of gold rose close to $50, which also proves the strength of the bulls from another perspective!
The gold price is currently close to the previous historical high of 2431, and the one-hour trend does not show any sign of a sharp decline. This means that gold will once again hit the 2431 mark. Regarding the current trend, what we need to do next Monday is , find a good point in advance to ambush long orders, waiting for gold to violently rise again!
From a technical perspective, the current daily level is close to the high of 2431. If it breaks through successfully, five daily waves will be formed, the space above will be opened, and the magnitude of the increase will be equivalent to that of three waves! The conclusion drawn by the wave theory will be an increase of nearly 300 US dollars! That’s another big piece of meat for the market! Whoever is more organized will get the meat! Whoever is braver will get more meat! Those who are timid and cowardly will only be reduced to so-called stepping stones!
For next week's layout, we mainly refer to the previous peak conversion level of 2397, and retreat to the 2397-2340 area to boldly go long. If the gold price returns to the moving average support near 2389, we can still go long.
specific strategies
Gold will be over 2397 next Monday, stop loss 2387, target 2431
If you like my analysis, please leave a comment below and I wish you all a happy weekend
GOLD - What is the current trend for gold ?World gold rate multiplied through 26 USD, placing a brand new file at 2,437 USD/ounce, at one factor accomplishing the very best degree of 2,439 USD/ounce. The purpose why gold fees multiplied past 2,four hundred USD/ounce become the declaration through US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and monetary statistics confirming that hobby prices will now no longer boom anymore and the Fed might also additionally will quickly loosen financial coverage this year. Gold`s latest healing has additionally been pushed through robust call for from significant banks. According to latest reports, now no longer simplest China and Türkiye however additionally Middle Eastern nations are growing gold purchases.
This week, the marketplace awaits critical statistics together with US present domestic sales, Open Market Committee (FOMC) mins from the April and May financial coverage meeting; S&P Flash production and offerings PMI; weekly unemployment claims; US new domestic sales; long lasting items orders.
Entry buy Gold for todayWorld gold prices increased in the context of a sharp decline in the USD index in recent days and continuous gold purchases by central banks around the world.
Gold prices turned positive for the week early Wednesday morning as the US April CPI report showed an improvement over the previous month. By Friday, the bullish trend had returned sending gold prices in excess of $2,400 an ounce.
And after surpassing $2,400 per ounce, Wall Street experts believe gold prices this week could reach or exceed all-time highs.
The latest weekly survey by Kitco News shows that Wall Street is maintaining a strong bullish sentiment on gold. Up to 11 out of 14 analysts forecast that gold prices will continue to increase. Only 2 analysts expect prices to decline and some experts expect the market to move sideways.
Individual consultants are more cautious but still lean towards the possibility of this precious metal going up. Specifically, 58% of 149 people asked about the price increase. 21% were predicted to decrease and the remaining number was redefined.
According to analysis, the decline in the USD index on the international market and the decline in US government bonds have supported gold prices towards the peak area. After surpassing the 2,400 USD/ounce area, gold prices may continue to increase, even towards the 2,500 USD/ounce area - a new high in history.