Gold Market Trend Analysis for December 12, 2024: Opportunities Current Gold OANDA:XAUUSD Price Situation
Gold is currently trading around $2,713, maintaining its upward trend in both the medium and short term. After breaking through the key resistance level at $2,700, the market is now approaching the next significant resistance at $2,732. This zone is critical and will determine whether the price continues to rise or faces rejection and adjusts downward.
Trading volume on the 4-hour chart has increased during price surges, indicating active participation from buyers. However, sellers are also waiting to act at higher price levels.
Technical Analysis
Here are the key highlights of the current gold trend analysis:
Market Trend:
Primary trend: Upward.
Key support levels: $2,700 (MA50) and $2,696 (Fibonacci 50%).
Resistance: $2,732 (previous peak).
Fibonacci Retracement:
The price is trading near the 38.2% - 50% retracement levels of the move from the $2,660 low to the $2,732 high.
Strategy : Wait for the price to retrace to $2,710 (Fibonacci 38.2%) to buy.
RSI Indicator:
RSI is currently at 65, not yet in the overbought zone. However, if RSI hits 70 at $2,732, the chances of a correction will increase.
Bollinger Bands:
The price is approaching the upper band of the Bollinger Bands at $2,732, indicating strong upward momentum. If the price fails to break through, it may pull back to the middle band ($2,710).
MACD and EMA:
MACD is positive, with the signal line above 0.
EMA 50 at $2,700 continues to act as dynamic support for the upward trend.
Market Scenarios
Scenario 1: Price Continues to Rise (Breakout)
If the price breaks the $2,732 resistance with strong volume, it is likely to rise further to $2,750.
Trading Strategy:
Buy when the price closes above $2,732.
Stop Loss: $2,720.
Take Profit 1: $2,750.
Take Profit 2: $2,760.
Scenario 2: Price Rejected at Resistance
If the price is rejected at $2,732, a pullback to the $2,710 or $2,700 support level may occur.
Trading Strategy:
Sell near $2,732 if reversal signals like Pin Bar or Doji candles appear.
Stop Loss: $2,740.
Take Profit 1: $2,710.
Take Profit 2: $2,700.
Scenario 3: Price Pulls Back to Support and Bounces
If the price retraces to the $2,700 support level and holds firm, this could be an opportunity to buy along with the trend.
Trading Strategy:
Buy at $2,700.
Stop Loss: $2,688.
Take Profit 1: $2,732.
Take Profit 2: $2,750.
Advice for Traders
Practice Careful Risk Management:
Limit risk per trade to no more than 2% of your account.
Monitor Economic News:
Key economic data, such as Fed interest rate decisions or CPI, will significantly impact gold prices.
Wait for Confirmation:
Avoid emotional trading and only enter trades with clear signals at critical price zones.
Goldtrendanalysis
XAU/USD 10 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed, allowing us to buy dips from our weighted level bounces.
We started the day with the bearish gap below at 2647 being hit followed 2631 retracement range test at 2631 weighted Goldturn giving us over 40 pip bounce like we always state and all the way into 2647.
We need to keep in mind that ema5 has also locked below 2631 leaving the swing range open. However, we are seeing the bullish Goldturn 2647 being tested. If we see a lock above 2647 then we are likely to see the upper targets or failure to lock above 2747 will see a re-attempt on the lower Goldlturns, also keeping in mind the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2668
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2713
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2713 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2733
BEARISH TARGETS
2647 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2631 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2631 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2609 - 2592
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Buy Opportunity: Strategic Targets and Bullish Signals!Greetings, Traders!
Brief Description🖊️:
Currently, on XAUUSD, I am observing bullish momentum entering the market. The price has retraced into discount prices of the impulsive leg, taking discount sell stops multiple times, which suggests order pairing. This occurs within discount prices, where the logic is to buy in discount prices and sell in premium prices. A strong order block is supporting the price, as its mean threshold is continuously being rejected. This order block is considered inducement due to the sell stop liquidity resting above it. The price is currently supported by a bullish order block, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Things I Have Seen👀:
Bullish Momentum📈: The market shows signs of bullish order blocks continuously supporting the price.
Order Pairing🟢 : Smart money entering buy orders against sell stop liquidity within discount prices.
Order Block Support🟢: A strong order block, with its mean threshold repeatedly rejected, indicates robust support.
Bullish Targets📉:
Buy Stop Liquidity: Above failure swings, which possess engineered liquidity.
Daily FVG : The second target.
Main Draw on Liquidity : The final target, an order block with inefficiencies such as the liquidity void and the FVG that need to be filled.
What's Important Now❗
If the price confirms a buy, manage your trades as you see fit. Consider scaling out your position at these objectives to optimize your trading strategy.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
💡 GOLD: Gold has not yet broken the above resistanceWhile the price of D1 gold saw an increase yesterday, putting an end to its three-day losing streak, the resulting price bar displayed an upward trend with a limited range. It closed with a 1/2 upper shadow, indicating that the buying force in the lower range remains relatively weak compared to the downward pressure from above. The daily structure of gold on D1 appears to be in a sideways pattern, leaning more towards a potential price increase.
On the H1 timeframe, gold has recently experienced a robust upward movement, although it has yet to breach the crucial upper resistance zone. Currently, the primary trend for H1 gold suggests a cautious approach, with an inclination to wait for a selling opportunity at the resistance above. Traders may consider a shift to buying only if this resistance is successfully breached and subsequently retested.
GOLD - Gold selling strategyGold price on Kitco closed last week's trading session at 1,992 USD/ounce.
Investors' worries about the Israel-Hamas conflict still exist, but that cannot help gold prices surpass the threshold of 2,000 USD/ounce. It is because the gold price cannot surpass this important threshold that has caused market psychology to become cautious.
Some analysts believe that gold prices are being hindered by the price level of 2,000 USD/ounce. If gold prices are consolidated in the near future, the precious metal price may soar to a new all-time high.
Commodity analysts say that geopolitical factors are having a major impact on gold and that as concerns subside, the precious metal's safe-haven appeal will be reduced.
According to Tastylive.com expert Christopher Vecchio, safe haven purchasing power thanks to the geopolitical crisis is being depleted. While geopolitical conflict can provide trading impetus for gold, it does not have a long-term effect.
Gold Shows Resistance at $2006 - Time to Long Gold!
Gold has been flexing its muscles, holding strong against the market forces at the $2006 level. This is an incredibly significant indicator that suggests a bullish trend for the precious metal. The market is buzzing with anticipation, and it's time for us to seize this golden opportunity!
Now, you might be wondering, "What does this mean for me as a long trader?" Well, my friend, it's time to consider taking a long position on gold. With the resistance at $2006, we have a strong indication that gold prices are likely to surge higher in the near future. This is the perfect moment to capitalize on this trend and potentially reap substantial profits.
So, without further ado, I encourage you to take action and consider going long on gold. By strategically entering the market at this crucial point, you position yourself to benefit from the potential upward movement in gold prices. It's time to ride the wave of this exciting resistance level and make the most of this opportunity!
As always, it's crucial to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Keep an eye on market indicators, monitor the latest news, and consult your trusted sources to ensure you have a well-informed strategy in place. Remember, trading involves risks, but with careful planning and a keen eye, we can navigate these waters and emerge victorious.
I sincerely hope you share my enthusiasm for this exciting development. Let's embrace the thrill of the trading world and make the most of this golden chance together! Wishing you success and prosperity in your trading endeavors.
To your trading success!
PS: Don't let this opportunity slip away! Take action now and consider going long on gold while the resistance at $2006 holds strong. Remember, timing is everything in the trading world, and this could be the moment that sets you on the path to significant gains. Good luck and happy trading!
Capitalize on the Rise in Gold Prices – An Opportunity for ProfiI am writing to bring your attention to a highly lucrative investment opportunity that has emerged amidst the escalating tensions in the Middle East – the exponential rise in gold prices acting as a safe haven.
As you are well aware, gold has always been considered a reliable investment avenue during times of geopolitical uncertainty. The recent developments in the Middle East have significantly increased the risk factor, leading to a surge in demand for this precious metal. This rapid increase in gold prices presents a remarkable chance for traders like you to capitalize on its long-term growth potential.
By trading long positions in gold, you can leverage its unprecedented price hikes to secure substantial profits. As history has demonstrated, gold often serves as a haven for investors seeking protection during uncertain times. Considering the ongoing tensions in the Middle East, it is highly likely that the gold prices will continue to rise.
This is a call-to-action for you to seize this opportunity and enter into long trading positions for gold. With increasing global uncertainties and the mounting tensions in the Middle East, gold offers a hedge against these risks and serves as a cornerstone of a profitable investment strategy. To ensure you don't miss out on the potential gains, I urge you to take immediate action and initiate trades for gold's long positions.
Now is the time to embrace the power of gold as a safe haven, with the potential to secure sustained profits in the long run. So, act swiftly and make the most of this golden opportunity (pun intended)!
XAUUSD - IDEAS AND OVER VIEWS WHAT TO DO COMING WEEKHere is quick understanding about gold
Gold had shown consolidation after it broke resistance near $1940 -$1935 range in recent market, which was due to the CPI report. The decrease in consumer inflation also resulted DXY prices to decrease, which led the gold to consolidate through out the day.
As per the current situation the resistance level that is coming ahead is $1963, followed by $1972. There is a good chance to sell from $1972 for at least 8$-10$ target. If by any chance gold breaks $1972 we can then aim for 1984$.
On the other side, if gold depletes, it is advisable to go for long positions from 1952$ or even 1940$, with the target to 1962$- 1972$.
resistance point - 1962, 1972, 1984
support point - 1950 -1940 - 1920
What do you guys think ?
XAUUSD | Bearish Sentiment XAUUSD, when observed on a daily time frame, is currently in an uptrend and is exhibiting a pattern of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). However, there has been a significant decrease in price accompanied by high trading volume, which breaks the previous higher low according to Dow Theory. This suggests that GOLD is likely to print lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH) in the near future.
On the weekly time frame, XAUSD has faced rejection three times within the 2070 to 2080 zone, which acts as a strong resistance level. Each time the XAUSD (Gold) price reaches this zone on the weekly chart, it subsequently experiences a downward movement. This indicates that the 2070 to 2080 zone is a significant resistance area for GOLD.
Furthermore, on the daily time frame, there is a bearish divergence forming, and the price has also broken the previous higher low. These factors contribute to the consideration of a potential reversal zone for GOLD.
It is important to note that technical analysis indicators are not infallible, and other factors such as market sentiment and fundamental news can influence price movements. Traders should use these technical indications in conjunction with other analysis tools and consider the broader market context before making trading decisions.
XAUUSD as we see gold this week trades are facilitating VL, reject from 1965,1958, we see price is fading way below absorption buyers lifting the price higher below 1940 , after buyers are initiative push the price higher after reject from 1957 create new key levels, a zone price all the way to trade location 1944 know buyers are pushing higher creating new order flow.
SSRM could benefit from gold rushSSR Mining Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of precious metal resource properties in Turkey and the Americas. The company explores for gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc deposits. Its projects include the Copler Gold mine located in Erzincan province, Turkey; the Marigold mine located in Nevada, the United States; the Seabee Gold Operation located in Saskatchewan, Canada; and the Puna Operations in Jujuy province, Argentina. The company was formerly known as Silver Standard Resources Inc. and changed its name to SSR Mining Inc. in August 2017. SSR Mining Inc. was incorporated in 1946 and is based in Denver, Colorado.
Profit and operating cash flow is positive
Volume is increasing
Positive earnings
Risk reward - 2.95
Resistance 17.37, Target 24.39
Stoploss 14.35