EURCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURCAD is currently trading around 1.5600 and is consolidating within a textbook ascending triangle pattern on the daily timeframe. This setup signals a strong bullish bias as the pair continues to form higher lows, tightening under a key horizontal resistance zone between 1.5730 and 1.5770. Price is respecting the ascending trendline very well, indicating buyer strength. A breakout above this resistance zone could open the doors for a clean rally toward the 1.6400 psychological level, offering a strong risk-to-reward opportunity.
From a fundamental standpoint, the euro is gaining traction as recent Eurozone economic indicators suggest improving sentiment and a potential shift in ECB tone toward neutral. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar remains pressured by falling crude oil prices and softening domestic data, including disappointing employment numbers this week. This divergence in fundamentals aligns well with the bullish technical structure for EURCAD, creating a high-probability scenario for buyers.
Looking ahead, a confirmed breakout above 1.5770 with volume could trigger a strong bullish impulse. The measured move from the triangle’s base supports a projection toward the 1.6400 area, making this setup attractive for swing traders aiming to ride the next leg higher. Risk should remain controlled below 1.5440, where the ascending structure would be invalidated.
I’m closely monitoring the price action near the breakout zone. Patience is key, but once we see bullish momentum pushing through the resistance, this trade setup has the potential to deliver a solid upside run. EURCAD remains one of my top bullish forex plays going into mid-May.
Goldupdate
EURJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??EURJPY is currently trading around 162.800 and showing clear bullish momentum after a clean bounce off a strong support zone. Price has been consolidating above a well-established demand area, and today's candle confirms renewed buyer interest. The reaction from this level highlights a potential shift back to the upside, with 169.000 marked as the next significant target. The rejection wicks and structure suggest accumulation, with the market gearing up for a bullish continuation.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining strength on the back of better-than-expected economic data across the eurozone, while the Japanese yen continues to face broad pressure due to the Bank of Japan's dovish stance. The BOJ remains committed to ultra-loose monetary policy, which puts the yen at a disadvantage against stronger currencies like the euro, especially when inflation expectations in Europe remain sticky.
Technically, EURJPY has respected this support zone multiple times, creating a solid base of demand. Each test has been met with higher lows, reinforcing the bullish bias. The price action is forming a classic support-retest continuation pattern, and if this structure holds, we could see a swift move toward 169.000. Volume and momentum indicators are also beginning to align in favor of the bulls.
Looking forward, as long as price holds above the 162.200 area, the path of least resistance remains upward. Traders will be watching for continuation signals and breakouts of minor resistance zones to confirm the move. This setup offers a favorable risk-reward structure, and with market sentiment tilting toward euro strength, EURJPY has the potential to deliver solid gains in the coming sessions.
XAUUSD Bullish or bearish Detailed AnalysisXAUUSD is currently trading around 3380, continuing its bullish momentum as previously anticipated. The price action has followed the projected path, delivering substantial profits for those positioned early. The next key resistance level is at 3450, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Fundamentally, gold's rally is supported by heightened safe-haven demand amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and a weakening U.S. dollar. Investors are closely watching the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, with expectations leaning toward a dovish stance, which could further bolster gold prices .
Technical indicators suggest that the bullish trend remains intact, with the price maintaining its position above key moving averages. However, traders should be cautious of potential pullbacks as the market approaches overbought conditions.
In summary, XAUUSD is on track toward the 3450 target, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. Traders should monitor key resistance levels and macroeconomic developments to manage their positions effectively.
XAU/USD 02 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 01 May 2025 whereby I mentioned that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bullish pullback following the printing of a bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH.
Price did not pullback significantly enough to warrant a further bearish iBOS, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify this as such, I have however marked in red.
Price has since continued bearish, subsequently printing a bullish CHoCH.
Internal structure is now established, however, I will continue to monitor price regarding depth of pullback as previous.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,201.955
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD DETAILED ANALYSIS TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALS XAUUSD is currently trading around the 3256 level and is clearly respecting a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. The price is now pushing higher from the lower boundary of the channel, suggesting short-term bullish momentum. Based on the current technical structure, I am anticipating a clean breakout above the channel resistance, with the next key target at 3300. The marked purple resistance zone around 3310–3320 also acts as a magnet for price once the breakout is confirmed.
On the fundamental side, gold remains supported by ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and speculation around the Fed's next rate decision. With recent U.S. economic data showing mixed signals—strong labor market figures but slowing inflation momentum—the market is pricing in fewer rate hikes, which weakens the USD and favors upside in XAUUSD. Additionally, central bank gold demand remains strong globally, acting as a long-term support for bullion.
Traders are currently reacting to a softening dollar index and treasury yields, which further underpins bullish sentiment in gold. A clear break above the upper boundary of this channel, ideally with strong volume confirmation, could set the stage for a swift move to retest the 3300 psychological level. From a risk-reward perspective, the breakout trade setup here aligns well with institutional strategies that favor trend continuation post-consolidation.
In summary, XAUUSD is trading inside a clean descending channel, with buyers stepping in aggressively near the support zone. A breakout above the structure could trigger a bullish continuation move toward 3300, backed by strong macro tailwinds and technical confirmation. This setup offers an excellent opportunity for swing traders to capitalize on short-term momentum. Are you also tracking gold fundamentals this week?
Gold Price (XAUUSD) Retesting Fibonacci Support ZoneGold (XAUUSD) is currently in a technical phase that aligns with a classic **retesting formation**, where price action returns to previous support levels before resuming its bullish trend. After hitting a recent high near 3,350–3,400, gold has begun a healthy retracement, with key Fibonacci levels acting as potential demand zones. The 3,200–3,150 range appears to be a strong support zone, and if this level holds, it could trigger the next leg up in the bullish trend. Volume remains supportive, suggesting market interest is still intact, and buyers may be preparing for re-entry.
This consolidation phase could offer an excellent opportunity for smart money accumulation, particularly as gold respects major technical levels and Fibonacci retracement zones. From a macro perspective, continued geopolitical tensions, inflationary concerns, and central bank accumulation of gold provide a strong fundamental backdrop that supports a long-term bullish outlook. If gold maintains above the key 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels, we could soon witness a new wave targeting the 3,350 to 3,400 resistance zone once again.
Market participants should watch for confirmation through bullish candlestick patterns and increasing volume in the coming sessions. A break above 3,275 would further validate bullish continuation and may serve as a trigger point for momentum traders. The broader trend remains intact, and current price action fits the pattern of a technical breather before the next impulsive rally.
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XAUUSD DAILY PLAN & MARKET UPDATE — APRIL 30, 2025Not predictions. Structure. Logic. Execution.
📍 What Happened:
🔻 3315–3325 SELL → Perfect rejection → Drop of 200+ pips
🔁 Retest at 3314 → Confirmed OB rejection zone
❌ 3284–3288 BUY → Invalidated, BOS clean
✅ 3260–3270 BUY → Real reaction zone. OB + FVG + full discount → Delivered bounce
👁🗨 Eyes On (Into NY Session & May 1):
3315–3325 = Decision zone
→ Break = bullish reversal
→ Rejection = new short trigger
3260–3270 = Key support. If holds = bounce continuation
3252–3244 = Next strong buy zone if 3260 fails
3350 / 3385 = Targets only if bullish breakout occurs post-news
🧠 Current Bias:
🔸 HTF Trend: Consolidation under ATH → bearish-leaning
🔹 LTF Flow: Bearish structure unless 3315 flips
🎯 Bias: Neutral-bearish → shifting bullish only above 3325
📊 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
Zone Type Level(s) Commentary
🔻 Resistance 3385 HTF FVG zone / reversal risk
🔻 Resistance 3350 Clean target above breakout
🔻 Resistance 3325 Final barrier before shift
🔻 Flip Zone 3315–3320 Must flip to validate bulls
🔁 Retest 3308–3312 Last OB rejection
⚖️ Mid Zone 3286–3292 Retest structure, weak
✅ Support 3260–3270 Confirmed bounce zone
🟩 Demand 3252–3244 Next high-conviction buy zone
🟢 Discount 3220–3235 Long-term OB zone
🟢 Discount 3192–3205 Extreme discount + FVG
🗓️ MACRO FOR MAY 1:
🗣️ 15:30 Trump Speech
📉 15:30 Unemployment Claims (forecast: 224K)
🏭 15:45 Final Manufacturing PMI
🏭 17:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI + Prices
⚠️ Expect high volatility. Prepare for breakout setups only after structure confirms — not before.
🎯 Final Note:
If 3315–3325 breaks cleanly → we’re heading to 3350 / 3385.
If it holds → we hunt reentry shorts with sniper precision.
This is not a place to guess. It’s where real traders wait.
—
📌 Like plans built on logic, not luck?
Drop a 🧠 if this structure helped you.
🔥 Follow if you're done with signal-chasing and ready to trade like a sniper.
XAU/USD 01 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed as per my analysis dated 24 April 2025 by targeting weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Internal structure is now established, however, I will continue to monitor price regarding depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,221.320
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Trap Zones vs. Bounce Zones — Daily Flow Outlook April 30 Gold Battle Plan – Liquidity Games Reloaded 🎮💥
Gold’s Not Done — Next Move is Loading… You In? ⚔️🧨
No Guessing. No Praying. Just Precision – GoldMindsFX Flow 🔥✨
🧠 Macro & Market Context:
Gold continues to range between 3380–3260, with no clean breakout yet. Price action since yesterday has remained reactive and indecisive — still trapped inside the larger structure.
Today’s USD Events (High Impact):
🗣️ Trump Speech
🟦 ADP Non-Farm Employment
🟧 Advance GDP q/q
🟨 Employment Cost Index
🟧 Core PCE + Pending Home Sales
Expect volatility — especially NY session. Liquidity spikes likely.
🧭 Market Bias:
HTF Bias (Daily, H4): Still bullish overall as long as 3230–3240 is respected.
LTF Flow (M15–H1): Consolidation with small bullish attempts — structure still undecided.
📌 Key Structural Zones (Sniper Focus):
🔺 Sell Zones (Premium Supply)
3372–3376 → Trap Sell OB (M15–H1)
→ Price was previously rejected hard from here
3380–3390 → High-Volume Liquidity Pool
→ Major decision zone if price extends upside
🟩 Buy Zones (Discount Demand)
3284–3288 → Clean H1 Demand Reaction + Internal Liquidity
→ This zone triggered a 500+ pip rally this week
3233–3237 → Deep HTF OB + Untapped Liquidity
→ Must-hold level for HTF bullish bias to remain intact
👀 Eyes On Today:
3317–3325 → Micro structure to monitor. If bulls hold above this area, we may retest 3350–3372.
3284 → First bounce zone for reentry if NY dips.
Rejection below 3280 = eyes on 3233–3237.
🔥 Trading Focus Tip:
It’s a news-driven day. Your job isn’t to predict — it’s to wait, react, and strike with logic.
Snipers don’t rush. We let liquidity come to us.
💬 Final Note:
Goldie's still stuck in the cage — but today might be the breakout tease. Don’t chase, don’t guess — just watch the flow and let price tell you the truth. 🎯
Smart moves only. No fluff, just levels.
Let me know — are you watching the bounce or hunting the trap? Drop your zone bias 💬👇
📢 If this helped map your zones, hit that ❤️, smash follow, and drop your bias in the comments — are you stalking 3285 or sniping the 3370 trap? Let’s trade smart, not loud. 🚀💛
XAUUSD Market Update – April 28, 2025 NY🎯 Quick Context:
Price successfully defended the support + liquidity pocket zone (around 3272–3288).
A bullish intraday reaction followed, but we are still trapped inside a consolidation range for now.
✅ Valid Zones Remaining from Daily Plan:
Support + Liquidity Pocket (3272–3288): ✅ Still active and valid as strong support.
Minor Resistance Level Inside Range (3350–3360): ✅ Remains relevant for possible rejections.
Major Flip + Resistance Zone (3380–3395): ✅ Still untouched and valid — upper upside target if bullish continuation happens.
⚠️ Zones Weakened or Invalidated:
Micro Support 3310–3315: ⚠️ Structure failed to hold cleanly — now treated as a neutral zone (no strong bias here).
Intraday Pivot 3260–3265: ⚠️ Previously breached — weak support for now, not a major focus.
🔥 Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario 🟢
Holding above 3272–3288 = potential rally toward 3310–3315, then 3350–3360.
Solid break and close above 3360 = bullish continuation potential toward 3380–3395.
Bearish Scenario 🔴
Clear loss of 3272–3288 = risk of a sharper selloff toward lower discount zones (~3220–3240).
🧠 Extra Observations:
Current structure = sideways/consolidation between buyers and sellers.
Short-term momentum (M15–M30) is trying to lean bullish but without a confirmed HH yet.
HTF bias (H1–H4) remains slightly bullish as long as price holds above the 3272–3288 support zone.
📢 Final Note:
🏹 Patience is key. Let price react around the zones — we are ready and disciplined to execute based on real confirmation, not emotions.
✨ Final Friendly Message:
"We’ve already done the heavy lifting by marking the battlefield. 🛡️ Now it’s all about patience, precision, and letting Goldie show its next move. 📈✨
Stay sharp, stay humble – and remember: we react, not predict. 🎯
Let’s make this a week where we checkmate the market together! ♟️
If you enjoyed this update, leave a like, drop a comment, or just say hi – you’re part of the GoldFxMinds crew! 🚀💬❤️"
XAU/USD 25 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 April 2025.
Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback.
Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 24 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback.
Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025✅ XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025
🧭 Market Context & Trend After a powerful continuation post-holiday, Gold smashed through the previous ATH and is now trading in a vertical, parabolic leg — with minimal structure below and zero resistance above.
💣 Middle East tension + macro safe-haven flows = strong fuel for this spike. But we’re now in a price zone where traps and liquidation are very likely.
📈 Trend:
• H4: Strong bullish BOSs since April 10
• No valid H4 CHoCH yet — structure remains bullish
• Price is deep inside unmitigated premium, with signs of slowing momentum intraday
🔼 Key Levels ABOVE Price
Type Zone Notes
🔻 Premium Sweep Zone 3395–3405 Key area around ATH for possible fakeout/sell trap setups — watch for M5/M15 CHoCH or BOS here
🧱 Ultimate Spike Zone 3415–3425 High-impact inefficiency from lower timeframes + round number zone – ideal for stop hunts
🚨 Extreme Spike Risk 3435–3455 No structure here — only if geopolitical tensions worsen
🔽 Key Levels BELOW Price
Type Zone Notes
🔵 Intraday Buy Zone 3333–3340 Minor FVG + OB zone – valid only for scalps or continuation if PA confirms
🟩 HTF Demand 3284–3288 Strong OB + FVG + clean H4 CHoCH base – valid for swing longs if dump occurs
⚓️ Institutional Support 3220–3235 Last clean unmitigated H4 demand + equilibrium from macro breakout zone
🧠 Trading Considerations
🔻 SELL setups only valid with clear bearish confirmation (M5/M15 CHoCH + momentum shift) inside the 3395–3405 zone. No blind shorts — the trend is still active.
🟢 BUY setups are cleaner from 3284+ or deeper — chasing now is extremely risky unless price builds structure above 3400.
📉 A fast spike followed by breakdown could signal a swing reversal from this premium zone.
🎯 H4 Bias:
Cautiously Bullish — structure is clean, but price is hyperextended. Best setups will come after liquidity is taken.
XAUUSD Market Recap – April 21, 2025 | NY Close Review🟨 XAUUSD Market Recap – April 21, 2025 | NY Close Review
🔹 Price Action:
Gold made another aggressive high into ATH 3430, reaching full premium territory with strong upside momentum through London into NY. But the reaction near 3430 was sharp — indicating potential short-term exhaustion.
🔍 What Worked Today
✅ Liquidity sweep complete – Price ran clean through the previous weak high and liquidity above 3425, grabbing the top before rejecting.
✅ Bullish BOS confirmed – Structure remained bullish on all timeframes, with no valid CHoCH break on H1 or H4.
✅ Sniper bias confirmed – Directional buys played perfectly from lower OBs (especially the ones marked pre-Asia and pre-London).
🔍 What Didn’t Happen
❌ No mitigation of lower H1/H4 FVGs – Zones between 3361 and 3387 remain completely untouched.
❌ The 3305–3315 OB area wasn’t retested – Meaning any breakout traders looking for retests were left hanging.
❌ No real signs of reversal structure – Despite the reaction off ATH, we’ve yet to see a proper CHoCH + BOS sequence on H1 or H4.
⚠️ Unmitigated Key Zones
🟦 H1 FVG – 3361
🟦 H4 FVG – 3285.00–3300.00
🟧 H4 OB block – 3224 (untouched, still a strong magnet if sell momentum kicks in)
These levels remain high interest for any future discount buy setups if price starts pulling back.
📉 What Was Rejected Today
🔼 3430 – New ATH. Price wicked into this level and rejected instantly with visible CHoCH on M15 and M5, leaving a clear bearish reaction.
🔼 M15 OB – The supply zone around 3425–3430 acted as short-term resistance with an intraday bearish sequence into NY close.
🧠 Market Sentiment
🔸 Still bullish on HTF, but intraday shows clear profit-taking behavior.
🔸 Dollar weakness and geopolitical premium still holding gold up — but overextension risk is real above 3425.
📍 Summary
Gold remains in a strong uptrend but may be showing short-term exhaustion after hitting ATH 3430. With unmitigated OBs and FVGs below, any deeper pullback will be liquidity-driven, not structural bearishness… yet.
We'll prep the sniper plan separately soon — stay ready. 🧠⚔️
Gold Updates April 17th ahead of Unemployment Claims🧠 Updated Structure & Trend (April 17 – Pre-Weekend Trading)
✅ HTF (D1, H4): Price has made a new all-time high at 3357, extending the bullish run — but we're now deep in premium exhaustion territory.
🟠 M30–H1: First signs of distribution and internal CHoCH on M15 are showing. No follow-through above ATH. Price is stalling, likely waiting for NY volume.
⚠️ Volatility is low, and Friday is a market holiday, so any manipulation or rejection will likely happen today.
🔼 New ATH: 3357
This makes previous zones like 3333–3340 less relevant for traps.
Focus shifts to the true inducement zone:
🔻 3355–3365 → Main sniper short zone, valid only with clear M5 structure (BOS or reversal FVG).
🔻 Key Sell Zones (Updated):
3355–3365 → Final inducement / exhaustion zone near new ATH
3342–3345 → OB retest below weak high, valid only if confirmed with bearish PA on M5
🟢 Key Buy Zones (Same):
3284–3288 → OB + FVG + discount zone
3260–3265 → H1 equilibrium and last clean demand
3230–3235 → Deeper reentry zone if we get a flash crash before NY
📊 Trading Logic:
If NY session spikes again into 3355–3365, we're ready to snipe with precision.
If price fails to reclaim 3345 and breaks M5 structure, we target early shorts.
On a clean dump, we look for longs in the 3280–3260 range, with confirmation.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
XAU/USD 14 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per my analysis dated 11 April 2025 by printing higher highs which has repositioned CHoCH, which is denoted with a blue dotted line, much closer to current price action.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in previous analysis that I will continue to monitor internal structure following the printing of a bearish CHoCH.
Due to the extreme bullishness of the market I will be mapping internal structure as it appears.
The reasoning behind this due to the fact of the increasing range of the internal structure. By mapping internal structure as it appears we are more likely to be in a good position to have an early warning of all HTF bearish pullback phase initiations.
Price has printed a double bullish iBOS since last analysis and we are now trading within an establish internal range where you will note that price has printed a double top and has been unable to close above weak internal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 3,244.340.
Alternative scenario:
Due to the narrowing of internal range, it could be a potential early signal that all HTF's are beginning their bearish pullback phase initiation. I would therefore not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 10 April 2025 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as I mentioned in yesterday's analysis whereby I commented that it would be worthwhile to note that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS as H4 TF has printed a bullish reaction from discount of 50% EQ.
Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH, however, price quickly once again formed a higher high, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify previous CHoCH in order not to distort internal structure as the move was most probably an outlier due to Trump announcing 90 day pause on tariffs.
Price has printed a further bearish CHoCH, however, I will continue to monitor price.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, of which one is well positioned at 50% of internal EQ, before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,132.630
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
WHY EURUSD IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED ANALYSISEURUSD has officially broken out of a clean bullish pennant pattern on the 4H chart, confirming the bullish momentum that has been building over the past week. After a sharp rally, price consolidated within a contracting range, forming the classic pennant shape. With the breakout now confirmed and price currently trading at 1.106, I’m anticipating a continuation toward the projected target at 1.143 — offering a potential 300+ pip gain in this move.
Technically, the breakout is supported by increasing bullish volume, strong impulse candles, and a clear structure of higher lows. The pennant served as a healthy consolidation zone, allowing buyers to regain control before the next leg up. Price has respected support at 1.096 and is now printing bullish continuation signals with momentum indicators pointing north.
Fundamentally, today’s market sentiment favors EUR strength, especially as the US dollar comes under pressure due to rising expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts later in the year. Inflation data in the eurozone remains sticky, supporting the ECB’s cautious stance on monetary easing. Meanwhile, weaker US labor market data and softening retail figures are weighing on dollar demand.
With both technicals and fundamentals aligned, I’m expecting further upside on EURUSD. The structure is solid, the breakout is clean, and sentiment supports continued bullish flow. I’ll be holding my bias firmly bullish unless the price falls back below 1.096, which would invalidate the setup. For now, all eyes are on 1.120 short term and eventually 1.143 as the full pennant projection completes.
WHY XAUUSD IS BULLISH ?? TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSXAUUSD is currently trading around the key psychological level of 3000, and as expected, price action has just completed a textbook retest of the previous breakout zone. The support level near 2960–2980 has held strongly, giving gold the momentum it needs for the next leg up. Price has reacted with a clear bullish bounce from this demand zone, confirming the structure and setting up for a potential continuation toward the 3100 target.
From a technical perspective, we’re seeing a classic bullish continuation move. The previous impulse to the upside was followed by a correction phase, which respected the support area now acting as a launchpad. This bounce, combined with strong candle formations on the 12H and daily charts, suggests bulls are regaining control. Volume is gradually increasing, aligning with the anticipated breakout from the recent consolidation.
On the fundamentals side, the gold market remains well-supported. Recent macroeconomic data shows inflationary pressures are still lingering, while expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts later in the year continue to weigh on the US dollar. Geopolitical tensions and increased central bank gold accumulation are adding further demand for safe-haven assets like gold. These drivers remain bullish catalysts as long as uncertainty stays elevated and real yields remain low.
With price holding above 3000 and a strong structure in place, I expect continuation toward 3100 in the near term. This is a high-probability setup supported by both technicals and fundamentals. I’ll be closely watching for higher lows and continuation signals above 3020 for additional confirmation. Risk management remains key, but the market structure strongly favors further upside.
XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party”📊 XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party” 🎯💣
✅ Sniper Sell @ 3135 – Textbook Execution
The daily plan's sell scenario from 3135–3145 played out perfectly:
Premium zone + valid OB
FVG rejection + bearish PA (M5/M15 CHoCH)
Three take-profits hit: 3120 → 3086 → 3054
Structure respected, price never looked back 🔫
🔥 Post-NFP Breakdown – April 5, 2025
📉 NFP (Actual): 228K vs. 140K Expected
📈 Strong surprise to the upside – job creation smashed expectations
📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (vs 4.1%)
📉 Slight increase – softens the impact of strong jobs number
💬 Market Reaction?
Gold dumped hard post-data, as strong NFP spooked the market
Algorithmic move: sweep → push down → bounce on deep FVG
Market front-ran deeper demand (below 3054), tagging 3036 briefly
🔁 What Got Mitigated:
✅ Premium supply zone @ 3135–3145
✅ 3086–3100 OB demand fully tapped
✅ 3054–3040 imbalance filled
✅ Final reaction wick @ 3036–3038 bounced right off deeper imbalance
🧲 Still in Play / Unmitigated:
🟦 3029–2985 = untouched D1 imbalance
🟡 Small rejection gap @ 3081–3085 (may act as intraday retest zone)
🔴 Possible liquidity below 3000 still untouched
🧠 Summary:
✅ Plan respected
✅ NFP added fuel
✅ Gold respected PA structure to the pip
🎯 Sniper sell from 3135 = perfect execution
Market Update (No Buy/Sell Bias)🧠 Structural Recap: Why Gold Did What It Did
🔄 Mitigation & Reaction Zones Review
✅ Premium Supply Zone @ 3144–3160 (H1-H4)
— Price tapped into this key premium area and sharply rejected it. This indicates a successful mitigation of that supply zone.
— This zone previously aligned with the weak high and premium structure, adding to its weight.
🟦 Mid-Range FVGs @ 3120–3130 (H1)
— This area acted as the bounce point today after price wicked down aggressively.
— The strong wick from 3086–3144 confirms buyer interest post-news, filling imbalance and mitigating prior demand (on H1).
🟫 Mitigated Demand Zone @ 3086–3096 (H1-H4)
— This demand zone was pierced and fully tapped. We saw a textbook bounce with strong reaction, suggesting the zone is now mitigated.
— A notable EQ + strong candle from this zone created bullish displacement.
🔵 Unmitigated Discount Demand @ 3054–3080 (H4)
— This remains a key untouched demand. Price wicked close to it but didn’t tap.
— If we get another push down, this is still valid and unmitigated.
🧱 Below 3050: Unmitigated Macro Zone (D1)
— The large OB/FVG combo around 2970–3030 still hasn’t been mitigated. This remains untouched liquidity in a deeper pullback.
📰 News Review — April 3, 2025
Trump’s Conference Commentary
— Hawkish rhetoric around economic strategy but no clear monetary focus.
— Mixed signals caused initial DXY strength, but later market corrected.
US Jobless Claims & ISM Services PMI
— Slightly worse-than-expected numbers, showing cooling economy signs.
— This supported XAU recovery post-drop as rate hike sentiment weakened.
Geopolitical Noise (Middle East)
— Continued tensions are keeping safe-haven demand intact, especially below 3100.
🧠 TL;DR
Zones like 3144–3160 and 3086–3096 are now mitigated.
3054–3080 and 2970–3030 remain unmitigated, future bounce areas.
Today’s volatility was news-driven, but liquidity still sits lower.
We’re currently in mid-mitigation flow, with the market respecting PA zones well.
XAU/USD 24 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias and analysis remains the same as analysis dated 23 March 2025.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As per analysis dated 19 March 2025 whereby I mentioned as an alternative scenario that internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS.
This is how price printed, by printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has yet to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation, however, price has traded into premium of 50% internal EQ, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded in to premium of 50% EQ and has mitigated M15 supply zone.
Technically, price to target weak internal low priced at 2,999.465.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 17 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025.
Previous analysis and bias was not met as price did not target weak internal low.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to either trade down to discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily/H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH confirming internal range, however, price has not in any way pulled back significantly enough to classify current internal high as an iBOS, should price print higher than current internal high.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 13 March 2025
Analysis and bias has not been met, largely due macroeconomic events, particularly the Trump trade tariff war, which is causing uncertainty within the markets which is supporting Gold price.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Within the structure following the iBOS, price has printed a several bearish CHoCH's with very minimal pullbacks before continuing bullish.
In order not to distort internal structure range I will apply discretion and not classify bearish CHoCH without considerable pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print Bearish CHoCH which is supported by a pullback relative to recent price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart: