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XAU/USD 20 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Despite price printing it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation, price continued bullish. Recent economic data and geopolitical tensions, have influenced market sentiment such as the Fed's recent interest rate decision (reduction) which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile. From a structural perspective, price is within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line Intraday expectation: Due to volatility, price could continue bullish, however, price could also initiate bearish pullback, therefore, I will be standing by. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price did not meet yesterday's intraday with price printing a bullish BOS following reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Fed rate decision to increase rates by 50bps along with geopolitical tensions is supporting Gold prices. Price has not printed a bullish CHoCH, however, price has printed beyond internal 50% EQ and in to premium, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range. Price is currently contained within a swing low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to indicate pullback phase intimation. First indication would be for price to print bearish CHoCH. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 16 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned on 13 September 2024, price to indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH was significantly positioned away from price therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This is how price printed with CHoCH positioning being brought significantly closer to current price action. Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices. Intraday expectation: Price indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH indicating bearish pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at discount of 50% EQ. Technically price should target weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 13 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS without any significant pullback following previous bullish iBOS Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices. Intraday expectation: Price indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH is significantly far, therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge. Price has printed a bullish BOS with price failing to target weak internal low. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating bearish pullback phase initiation. At he time of writing it seems price is print higher-highs. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish pullback phase, target either M15 demand zones or price reacts at discount of internal 50% EQ. Alternative scenario, price prints bullish iBOS, confirming internal range low. This would give more realistic LTF confirmation that HTF is in pullback phase. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 11 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. On Tuesday 20 August 2024 price printed all time high. Thursday 22 August 2024 price printed a bearish CHoCH which indicated bearish pullback phase initiation. Printing of bearish CHoCH has also confirmed internal range. Thus far, over a period of 12-days, price has been unable break weak internal high which is an indicator that price may seek further liquidity before attempting to target weak internal high again. I would expect price to either react at discount of internal 50% EQ or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge. Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis. Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high. Price is currently reacting at an M15 supply zone. Intraday expectation: Price is close to extreme premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 10 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 05 September 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge. Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis. Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high. Price has targeted weak internal low but the move was not sustained which indicates that price may be seeking further liquidity. We are seeing a secondary reaction to previous M15 supply zone. Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 09 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 05 September 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge. Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis. Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high. Price has targeted weak internal low but the move was not sustained which indicates that price may be seeking further liquidity. We are seeing a secondary reaction to previous M15 supply zone. Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
XAU/USD 05 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. I have made an update following my review of overall analysis. Bearish iBOS printed 22 August 2024 has subsequently lead me confirm the swing high which means M15 swing range is established. Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge. Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis. Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high. Price has targeted weak internal low but the move was not sustained which indicates that price may be seeking further liquidity. We are seeing a secondary reaction to previous M15 supply zone. Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 03 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price is stuck within an internal range and is most probably awaiting a catalyst (macroeconomic or geopolitical) Technically price should target weak internal low and is currently reacting at premium of internal 50% EQ, however, price has ben printing low volume bars with no clear internal range direction. Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ with strong high remaining protected. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 02 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As mentioned in previous analysis whereby we needed to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. This is exactly what price printed, printing a bearish iBOS. Price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ with strong high remaining protected. Price to target weak internal low. M15 Chart:https://www.tradingview.com/x/JBvjXAlC/
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 22 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish pullback phase, react at M15 demand zone, perhaps as deep as H4 or D demand zone to then target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remain the same as yesterday's analysis dated 21 August 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Previous Intraday expectation was met and price has printed a bullish iBOS. Price has printed bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Internal structure has been established and price reacted at discount of 50% EQ, however, price has also failed, as yet, to target weak internal high, therefore, price could potentially be seeking further liquidity and could be targeting M15 demand zone. Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high but thus far has failed, therefore, price is perhaps seeking further liquidity (M15 demand zone) to fuel. bullish continuation. Alternative scenario: We need to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 21 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Intraday expectation to remain the same as analysis dated 18 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. H4 demand zone is positioned the same as bearish CHoCH positioning. Intraday expectation: On a candle-to-candle view since iBOS, price is printing higher highs, therefore, wait until price indicates pullback. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Previous Intraday expectation was met and price has printed a bullish iBOS. Price has printed bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Internal structure has been established and price reacted at discount of 50% EQ, however, price has also failed, as yet, to target weak internal high, therefore, price could potentially be seeking further liquidity and could be targeting M15 demand zone. Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high but thus far has failed, therefore, price is perhaps seeking further liquidity (M15 demand zone) to fuel. bullish continuation. Alternative scenario: We need to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 20 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Intraday expectation to remain the same as analysis dated 18 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. H4 demand zone is positioned the same as bearish CHoCH positioning. Intraday expectation: On a candle-to-candle view since iBOS, price is printing higher highs, therefore, wait until price indicates pullback. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 19 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned in my analysis dated 16 August 2024, whereby internal structure was bearish. We needed to be mindful that H4 internal structure was bullish. Price has printed a bullish BOS and iBOS. Price has printed bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price to react at discount of 50% EQ, or M15 demand level to target weak internal high. Price may seek liquidity at M15 supply level to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Alternative scenario: Price to target weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 16 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias to remain the same as yesterday's analysis dated 15 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per previous intraday expectation, price was approaching internal high, however, due to US CPI data, and traders trimming rate-cut bets due to US CPI data, price had a bearish reaction, nonetheless, bullish structure remains intact. Intraday expectation: Price to continue to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price targeting weak internal low printing a bearish iBOS. Bullish CHoCH positioning and strong internal high are positioned at the same level, however, as price has pulled back to discount of 50% internal EQ, I am happy to confirm internal low. Price has reacted at H4 supply zone. Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low, however, and as per yesterday's intraday expectation, we need to be mindful that H4 internal structure is bullish. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 15 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per previous intraday expectation, price was approaching internal high, however, due to US CPI data, and traders trimming rate-cut bets due to US CPI data, price had a bearish reaction, nonetheless, bullish structure remains intact. Intraday expectation: Price to continue to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met due to US CPI data release and traders trimming rate-cut bets which saw XAU print bearish price action. Price has printed bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback initiation. Price has also reacted at 50% EQ of the internal structure. Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low, however, we need to be mindful H4 TF remains bullish. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
4
XAU/USD 14 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterdays analysis dated 11 August 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following bullish iBOS, price printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback initiation. Internal structure is substantial, therefore, I have zoomed out in order to obtain a better view of structure. Price has reacted at an M15 supply level, however, the move did not sustain sufficient bearish momentum and it seems weak internal high is being targeted. Intraday expectation: Whilst I have mentioned that price may target weak internal high, price may well print a secondary reaction to the M15 supply level in order to gain more liquidity to complete bearish pullback phase. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 13 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterdays analysis dated 11 August 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per previous analysis, particularly alternative scenario, which was: We need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. This is exactly how price printed. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following bullish iBOS which indicates bearish pullback initiation. Internal structure is substantial, therefore, I have had to to zoom out so you may obtain a better view. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 12 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterdays analysis dated 11 August 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: I will keep my analysis/bias the same as dated 06 August 2024 in order to demonstrate alternative scenario and how the HTF's will always hold more weight over LTF's. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level. Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action. Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 12-16 August 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has, as yet, failed to indicate bearish pullback following bullish bullish BOS and iBOS. The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line. However, price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. Price indicated bearish pullback phase initiation once it printed a bearish CHoCH. Price then continued bearish, reacting at discount of internal 50% EQ denoted in blue. Price has, once again, almost precisely reacted at 50% EQ of the internal structure, therefore, technically price should target weak internal high. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 09 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 04 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 06 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level. Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action. Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 07 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 04 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 06 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level. Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action. Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
XAU/USD 06 April 2024 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 04 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level. Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action. Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
4
XAU/USD 05 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 04 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high. Alternative scenario, price to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has now printed a bearish iBOS. Although price has not yet print a bullish CHOCH, price has pulled back into premium of 50% EQ, therefore, I am happy to mark the current low as an internal low thereby giving us an internal range. Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal low, however, we have had two failed attempts which could mean price is seeking liquidity to fuel it's drive down, therefore, price to react at premium of 50% or M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
4
XAU/USD 31 July 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a swing BOS, printing an all time high. After BOS/iBOS price is expected to pullback. Last analysis and intraday expectation was for price to pull back into discount of 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high which currently seems underway, therefore, intraday expectation remains the same. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS After iBOS we expect price to pull back, therefore, for an early indication that pullback has initiated we need to see price print a bullish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH has been printed which indicates bearish pullback phase initiation and internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK