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XAU/USD 12 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterdays analysis dated 11 August 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: I will keep my analysis/bias the same as dated 06 August 2024 in order to demonstrate alternative scenario and how the HTF's will always hold more weight over LTF's. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level. Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action. Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 12-16 August 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has, as yet, failed to indicate bearish pullback following bullish bullish BOS and iBOS. The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line. However, price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. Price indicated bearish pullback phase initiation once it printed a bearish CHoCH. Price then continued bearish, reacting at discount of internal 50% EQ denoted in blue. Price has, once again, almost precisely reacted at 50% EQ of the internal structure, therefore, technically price should target weak internal high. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 09 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 04 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 06 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level. Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action. Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 07 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 04 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 06 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level. Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action. Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
XAU/USD 06 April 2024 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 04 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level. Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action. Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
4
XAU/USD 05 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 04 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high. Alternative scenario, price to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has now printed a bearish iBOS. Although price has not yet print a bullish CHOCH, price has pulled back into premium of 50% EQ, therefore, I am happy to mark the current low as an internal low thereby giving us an internal range. Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal low, however, we have had two failed attempts which could mean price is seeking liquidity to fuel it's drive down, therefore, price to react at premium of 50% or M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
4
XAU/USD 31 July 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a swing BOS, printing an all time high. After BOS/iBOS price is expected to pullback. Last analysis and intraday expectation was for price to pull back into discount of 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high which currently seems underway, therefore, intraday expectation remains the same. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS After iBOS we expect price to pull back, therefore, for an early indication that pullback has initiated we need to see price print a bullish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH has been printed which indicates bearish pullback phase initiation and internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 19 July 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a swing BOS, printing an all time high. After BOS/iBOS price is expected to pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to pull back into discount of 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bearish iBOS which confirms swing pullback phase initiation. After iBOS we expect price to pull back, therefore, for an early indication that pullback has initiated we need to see price print a bullish CHoCH. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line on the inside bar candle. We are currently trading within an internal high and fractal low. Intraday expectation: Price to print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price to trade up to premium of 50% EQ or react at M15 POI before targeting weak internal low. Alternative scenario: Price to print a lower low which would reposition CHoCH positioning closer to more recent price action. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 18 July 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a swing BOS, printing an all time high. I have been previously mentioning that price could be seeking further liquidity to fuel it's bearish pullback phase and price could create a higher high to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action to allow for a more realistic indication of pullback phase. This again, is precisely what happened. Price has printed all time high and CHoCH positioning has been brought closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. 50% EQ for swing structure is denoted in black. 50% EQ for internal structure is denoted in blue. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating bearish pullback phase initiation, however, price has been unable to sustain it's bearish pullback phase and seems to be targeting the weak internal high. Intraday expectation: Price has been unable to sustain it's bearish pullback phase. I would therefore stand aside an wait for price to confirm. It may be possible that price will print a higher high which would bring the internal low closer to current price action allowing for more realistic confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bearish iBOS which confirms swing pullback phase initiation of the swing structure and has also confirmed swing range, however, I will be monitoring this. Intraday expectation: Internal structure is bearish, swing and internal high are positioned the same making swing high weak but the internal high strong. I would therefore stand aside and wait to see how price reacts at M15 supply level before taking action. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 17 July 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a swing BOS, printing an all time high. I have been mentioning that price could be seeking further liquidity to fuel it's bearish pullback phase and price could create a higher high to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action to allow for a more realistic indication of pullback phase. This again, is precisely what happened. Price has printed all time high and CHoCH positioning has been brought closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. 50% EQ for swing structure is denoted in black. 50% EQ for internal structure is denoted in blue. Intraday expectation: Allow price to continue it's bullish momentum and print bearish CHoCH to indicate pullback initiation. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has print both internal and swing BOS (Break Of Structure) Price has printed a bearish CHoCH thereby confirming internal range and indicating bearish pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price could potentially be targeting weak internal high. Alternative scenario, price to react at M15 supply zone, pullback into discount of 50% or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 04 June 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterdays analysis dated 03 June 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has continued bullish indicating that bullish pullback phase is incomplete. Internal structure remains bearish until strong internal high is taken out. Intraday expectation: Price to react at 50% EQ of the swing structure, which is indicated in black or H4 supply levels before targeting weak internal low. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price printed a further bullish iBOS. Bearish CHoCH has been printed after reacting from H4 supply zone. This indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback initiation. Price has reacted from discount of 50% EQ. Intraday expectation: Internal structure is bullish, therefore, price to react at either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. Alternative scenario is price to target strong internal low as we need to be mindful that H4 is in bearish pullback phase and we are showing reaction from H4 supply zone. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 19 June 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same analysis dated 17 June 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price traded to the downside, however, price was unable to breach and close below weak internal low where we saw a reaction at a H4 demand level. Nonetheless, internal structure remains bearish, therefore, price should technically target weak internal low. Price could potentially continue to trade bullish, react at either premium of 50% EQ or H4 supply level before targeting weak internal low. Strong swing low is expected to hold, however, it would be worth noting the swing low must be taken as the weekly and daily TF's are both in pullback phase. Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 17 June 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price printed a bullish iBOS following US CPI data release 12 June 2024. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback initiation following bullish iBOS. Price has reacted from H4 POI and continued bullish to target weak internal high, however, price was unable to breach and close above weak internal high reacting at an M15 POI. Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high. Price could target more liquidity by trading down to nested H4 and M15 POI's before targeting weak internal high. Alternative scenario is price could target strong internal low as H4 internal structure is bearish. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 01 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has now printed a bearish BOS and iBOS as price needed a pullback from all HTF's Following the shift in structure we now expect price to pullback. First indication, but not confirmation, of pullback initiation would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price is reacting at H4 demand level. Price remains in pullback phase and is now is discount of internal structure where it is expected the strong low to hold. Intraday expectation: Price to print bullish CHoCH, reach 50% of internal EQ before targeting weak internal low. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a series of bearish iBOS'. Following bullish iBOS price is expected to pullback which price did printing a bullish CHoCH. Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low. Another alternative could be that price prints bullish iBOS as H4 remains in bullish pullback phase. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
I will only say a single word: Gold!I will only say a single word: Gold. Yes, just gold. Do not forget; "Madness only comes to those who think the most" Gold is at its highest high in history. We know that the metal in question is considered a protective reserve for our fiat currencies. But what explains this sudden rise? Is this increase linked to the "wars" that are taking place around the world, which directly affects the economies of countries considered developed, spilling over directly to the rest of the world, the so-called emerging countries, causing "investors to stay away from investments" and keep your rich money in American bonds that are paying attractive rates? However, something else comes to mind. But if American debt also increases at the same speed as gold, is it really wise to put our money in bonds (of any country) that are directly linked to fiat currencies and not in the precious metal? We have many questions that must be weighed in order to truly make a decision. I feel like we're at a moment that I can call more or less like this: "If we run, the animal will catch us, if we stay, the animal will eat." People want to find a way out, unfortunately there is no way out, there are only paths that we must choose to prepare ourselves for any eventuality that may happen in the future! According to the previous analysis and graphically speaking, gold is in a region of resistance as indicated by the SETUP used. This unknown region (resistance) in 2422 is imposing a less appetizing pace for the metal, setting precedents for us to have a correction until 2210. But it is clear that if the SETUP used is correct, where today we have resistance at 2422 (exact place where prices are respecting), and there is such a correction at 2410, this leads me to think only of a pattern called "pull back " bullish continuation. What a thing, right? I make it clear in the image below; prices fully respected the upward channel suggested by SETUP, therefore, I trust the chart pattern more than the current market. And as I always say, and I've said it for a long time thanks to years of observation: "THE SETUPS DON'T LIE, BUT THE MARKET YES-or- DOES!". Check out all my previous analyzes on gold by clicking here, and see if the SETUP'S lie! Do your analysis and good business. Be aware, if you buy, use stop loss. See other graphical analyzes below.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MacD_Bollinger
XAU/USD 26 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates. Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low. Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS. As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which is currently underway. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. -> Sub-Internal: Bullish. Price printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates last week. Price printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, that pullback has initiated. This is also a requirement for all HTF's Analysis on 22/02/2024 was for price to indicate initiation of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH which was denoted with a blue dotted line. Price printed this. Due to the size of the internal range I plotted sub-internal range, which is denoted in red, to gain a micro-view of price action. Sub-internal structure has now switched bullish in-line with internal and swing structure. Intraday expectation is for price to target weak internal high which is denoted by blue dashed line. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD Shorts from 2052.000 or 2072.000 back downMy outlook for gold this week leans towards a potential retracement following its recent upward bullish momentum. I anticipate a temporary sell-off from the 15-hour supply zone I've identified, or a scenario where the equal highs gets taken and reaches the 4-hour supply zone above. Additionally, there's a trendline forming below, coupled with numerous untouched Asian lows. While this temporary bias diverges from my overall outlook, I'm particularly intrigued by the possibility of a significant buying opportunity around the 1990.000 level. Should the price not reach that point, I'll patiently await for a new, clear demand zone to consider as a potential buying opportunity. Confluences for Gold Sells are as follows: - Price swept liquidity and formed a 15-hour supply zone that's been unmitigated. - Nice trendline liquidity has been building below that needs to get taken. - Lots of Asian lows below as well as a daily demand that needs to be mitigated. - Price has been moving very bullish and is due for a pullback/retracement. P.S. Given that this is a counter-trend concept, I'll exercise extra caution and ensure that all my confirming factors align before proceeding. Additionally, I'll reduce my risk accordingly. The objective is to initiate sells aiming towards a better demand zone. HAVE A GREAT WEEK TRADERS!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
2
XAUUSD:30/10 Today’s Trading StrategyThe three positive lines of the Golden Week rose strongly. After a long period of consolidation last week, at the end of the day, heavy volume broke through the high point and stood firmly above the 2000 mark. After the daily line continued to consolidate and gain momentum, it closed the positive line again and continued to rise. The daily line is bullish. The weekly positive trend has been strong. The previous retracement low serves as the critical point for bulls this week, and the short-term rise will further continue. The next goal is most likely to challenge the previous high. ​ The 4-hour chart gathers momentum around the middle track, and then cooperates with the big positive line to pull up and close at a high level. The bulls consolidated strongly to replace the callback. The previous low of 1953 served as the rising low of the second wave. After pushing through the high, it formed the rising trend of the second wave. The high of 1990-1995 was converted into today's support. The high trend will continue at the beginning of the week. It is expected that Asia If the market pulls back slightly, the European market will move higher. The 1-hour chart consolidated and corrected after a wave of positive gains, pulling up and closing at a high level. It is recommended to go long on dips today. BUY:1994~1996 SL:1989 TP1:2001 TP2:2006 SELL:2016~2018 SL:2021 TP1:2010 TP2:2004
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ