GOLD IS GOING BULLISH ALLOW IT TO TOUCH LINE 2719.730✅Smart Money Concept
Gold price (XAU/USD) reached a fresh one-month high during Thursday’s Asian session but struggled to sustain momentum above the $2,700 mark. Diminished worries over U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's proposed trade tariffs and the anticipation of two potential Federal Reserve rate cuts this year have fueled positive market sentiment. However, a slight uptick in the U.S. Dollar (USD) has constrained further gains for the safe-haven asset.
SET UP GOLD PRICE:
BUY GOLD zone: $2678.479 - $2673.696 SL $2668.682
TP1: $2684.471
TP2: $2690.235
TP3: $2696.253
SELL GOLD zone: $2719.730 - $2723.622 SL $2729.470
TP1: $2713.175
TP2: $2706.151
TP3: $2699.870
Note:
FrankFx advises traders to manage their capital wisely:
- Adjust the number of lots to match your capital.
- Set Take Profit at 3-6% of your account balance.
- Set Stop Loss at 2-3% of your account balance.
Goldusd
Gold Approaching Key Resistance Berish Rjction or Bullish BrkoutBased on the chart provided:
### Key Observations:
1. **Resistance Zone**:
- Price is approaching a strong resistance zone around 2,720–2,740, as indicated by the shaded area.
- Previous interactions with this level suggest potential rejection, making it a critical zone for monitoring price action.
2. **Target Levels**:
- **1st Target**: 2,680 – a minor support level where price might pause or bounce if rejection occurs.
- **2nd Target**: 2,640 – a key mid-level support area aligned with historical price structure.
- **3rd Target**: 2,623 – a stronger support zone near the previous low, offering a potential bounce zone.
3. **Risk-Reward Setup**:
- A clear risk zone (stop-loss) is placed above the resistance zone (around 2,759), indicating a bearish outlook.
- The trade setup assumes a rejection from the resistance area, with the first target likely to hit before deeper retracements.
4. **Market Context**:
- Recent bullish momentum may face exhaustion as it approaches resistance, especially if accompanied by reduced volume.
- The "Change of Character" (ChoCh) annotations suggest a possible shift in momentum around the resistance zone.
### Potential Trade Scenarios:
1. **Bearish Rejection**:
- Look for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., bearish engulfing candles, rejection wicks) around the 2,720–2,740 zone.
- Short entry: Near 2,720–2,730.
- Targets: 2,680, 2,640, and 2,623, in that order.
2. **Bullish Breakout**:
- If the price breaks above 2,740 with strong momentum, invalidate the bearish scenario.
- Look for a retest of the 2,740 level as new support for long positions.
- Target: 2,770–2,800.
### Additional Notes:
- **Divergences**: Check for any bearish divergences in RSI or MACD to confirm weakness near the resistance zone.
- **Economic Events**: Be cautious of news or data releases that may increase volatility in gold.
XAU/USD 14 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal high, printing a bearish iBOS. Internal structure has now aligned itself with swing structure.
This could potentially be an early indication that both Daily and H4 pullback phases are incomplete. It would also be useful to remember that Weekly TF remains in its bearish pullback phase.
Price subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH thereby confirming internal range and indication of bullish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has yet to trade in to premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal low, priced at 2,656.880.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 10 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high priced at 2,667.150.
Price has yet to print a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
We are currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH. Technically price to then trade down to discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD IS READY TO FLYING MUST READ THE CAPTION This chart displays an hourly analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) with a potential bullish setup. Here's a breakdown:
1. Trend and Price Channel:
A rising parallel channel is drawn, suggesting a short-term uptrend.
The price has respected the channel boundaries, bouncing off the lower and upper limits.
2. Key Levels:
Support: Around 2,635 (stop-loss level).
Resistance: Around 2,680-2,685 (target area).
3. Trade Idea:
The chart indicates a buy setup:
Entry: Around the current price (2,653).
Stop Loss: Below the channel at 2,635, providing a buffer against downside risk.
Target: 2,680-2,685, just above the channel's upper resistance.
4. Projection:
The white arrows suggest a predicted price movement:
A potential retracement before moving higher to the target zone (2,680-2,685).
5. Risk-Reward:
The setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio if the price continues to follow the channel's trajectory.
Analysis: The chart anticipates a continuation of the uptrend as long as the price remains within the channel. If the price breaks below 2,635, it may invalidate the bullish outlook.
I recommend placing a buy tradeAnalysis
Technical Indicators:
50-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA): The price is currently trading above the 50-day SMA. This could indicate a bullish trend or potential for further price decline.
Support and Resistance Levels: i have marked several support and resistance levels in yellow. These levels often act as areas where price tends to stall or reverse direction.
Recent Trend: The price has been in a uptrend recently, as evidenced by the higher highs and higher lows on the chart.
Current Price: The price is currently near a support level.
Prediction:
I think there's a possibility that the price could bounce off the current support level (2633.80) and move upwards in the short term. However, the uptrend and the position above the 50-day SMA suggest that any upward movement might be continue.
Next Week's Outlook:
Bullish: If the price breaks above the immediate resistance level 2664.11 (the yellow line above the current price and sustains that move, it could signal a potentialof the uptrend. In this scenario, I think the price could move higher towards the next resistance level.
In situations like this, I recommend placing a buy trade. While the trade is running, i usually use a high frequency trading strategy like the Lock30x scalping method to increase profits. The market is usually very volatile around the 50-day moving average before moving up. By taking advantage of this volatility, i can make much higher profits with lock30x scalping compared to just holding a long-term buy trade. keep the stop lose 2621.67
GOLD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is moving in an UP trend channel and is creating symmetrical triangle and is moving in a descending AND is moving in an Ascending channel.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance area, which now acts as support.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
XAUUSD Forecast: The Bulls Are Gaining Momentum!
We're seeing some impressive price action on XAUUSD! 📈 The market is currently respecting a strong 4H trendline, showcasing the power of the ongoing bullish momentum. The technicals are aligning, and the market seems poised to continue its upward push.
Keep an eye on this setup—it’s looking like an excellent opportunity for those riding the trend! Don't miss the chance to capitalize on the next move. 💰
Here’s an analysis of the DXY on the 1-hour chart, Here’s an analysis of the DXY on the 1-hour chart, with your updated target of 107.100:
Current Analysis
Trend Overview:
The dollar index (DXY) is in a clear downtrend on the 1-hour chart, forming lower highs and lower lows.
Momentum indicators like RSI are likely staying below 50, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
Key Resistance Zone (108.100):
This is the potential sell zone, where the price may face rejection.
Look for a bearish candlestick pattern at or near this level (e.g., shooting star, evening star, bearish engulfing) to confirm the entry.
Support Zones on the Path to 107.100:
Intermediate Support 107.500: DXY might consolidate or bounce slightly here, as it's a possible reaction point.
Final Target 107.100: This aligns with a major support level from prior price action or Fibonacci retracement zones.
Indicators to Watch
RSI:
If RSI is below 40, it confirms strong bearish momentum.
Any divergence (e.g., higher low on RSI while price makes a lower low) near 107.500 or 107.100 could signal weakening downside momentum.
MACD:
Look for a bearish crossover (MACD line crossing below the signal line) as confirmation to enter or hold the trade.
Volume:
A spike in volume near resistance (108.100) supports rejection. Similarly, decreasing volume near the target (107.100) could indicate trend exhaustion.
Trade Setup for 1-Hour Chart
Sell Entry: Around 108.100 (resistance zone).
Take Profit (Target): 107.100.
Stop Loss: Around 108.300, slightly above resistance, to account for volatility.
TVC:DXY
XAU/USD 20 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
FINAL ANALYSIS OF 2024! WISHING YOU ALL VERY HAPPY FESTIVITES. MAY 2025 AND OWNARDS BRING YOU ALL SUCCESS!!
ANALYSIS WILL RESUME SECOND WEEK OF 2025 (DATE TO BE CONFIRMED)
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
FINAL ANALYSIS OF 2024! WISHING YOU ALL VERY HAPPY FESTIVITES. MAY 2025 AND OWNARDS BRING YOU ALL SUCCESS!!
ANALYSIS WILL RESUME SECOND WEEK OF 2025 (DATE TO BE CONFIRMED)
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 19 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's analysis played out as expected with price targeting weak internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is currently trading at premium of internal 50% EQ where we could see a reaction. Price could potentially trade up to M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,583.915
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
GOLD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is creating symmetrical triangle and is moving in a descending AND is moving in an UPWARD channel.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
XAU/USD "Gold Vs US Dollar" Market Heist Plan on Bullish SideOla! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
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Entry 👇 📉: Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe, Recent / Nearest High Point entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 4H timeframe
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Gold prediction & Economic Crisis ECONOMIC CRISIS
Usually, everything is going fine. But from time to time something bad happens and the crisis breaks out. It may either apply to our business (or personal life), or the whole economy. Then, we talk about “economic crisis”.
There are many types of economic crises: currency crisis, debt crisis, bank crisis, broad financial crisis, GDP crisis, etc. We analyze “financial crisis” in a separate entry, focusing in this case on the latter meaning. We do this for two reasons. First, this is usually what people have in mind when they talk about “economic crisis”. Second, it is the most serious crisis as it entails the most severe effects on human welfare and the whole economy (in terms of increased unemployment and reduced income) often spurring other crises.
So, in the simplest terms, economic crisis is a sharp transition from expansion to a recession, or from boom to bust. Economic crises are, thus, related to the business cycle. They are characterized by a sharp fall in GDP and the rise in the unemployment rate. Investors are shocked and they panic. Nobody knows what will happen next, so there is a lot of uncertainty.
Economic Crisis and Gold
The widespread belief is that gold shines during economic crises. There is something in it, as the safe havens often thrive when economies are struggling, while markets are in turmoil. Indeed, as one can see in the chart below, gold gained during most of the several last US recessions (the timing of recessions is reflected by the rectangles).
GOLD Every Rise Has Its Sunset- From 2000 to today, gold has surged by an impressive 1000%, a remarkable performance for the world's leading asset.
- Keep in mind, every ascent is bound to face a descent someday.
- I’ll skip the deep dive into politics and fundamentals, but the picture is clear: with Trump winning the election, peace could make a comeback. Gold typically rises when fears of war spike, but as those fears ease, its value tends to drop.
- As always, the chart tells the story. Take a look at the Fibonacci levels— a prime buying opportunity is likely to emerge in the $1200 to $800 range.
- i will post in comments my older Gold Analysis.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Gold let's go ( Repost )- if we just analyze FA basically, the world political climate, fear of wars, Covid, Crises, inflation, Gold will always remains for the old generation the best store of value.
- i don't show indicators to keep the chart clean but Gold is turning green and extremely bullish on Monthly Timeframe.
- Gold made a constant flat accumulation between 2021-2022.
- BB starting to be thinner ( sign of a move ).
- This is a Medium/Long Term investment ( 2023 ).
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Trading Parts :
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Buy : Now
TP1 : 2300$
TP2 : 2500$
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- i will post my old gold analysis in comments.
Happy Tr4Ding !
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold price, after reaching the top of its ascending channel, has entered a correction phase and broken its support zone. Currently, it is trading below this support level. It is expected that, after a pullback to the broken level, gold will continue its decline and may drop at least to the bottom of the specified channel.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAU/USD 01 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation from 31 October 2024 was met as price targeted weak internal low, printing another bearish iBOS.
CHoCH positioning is still quite distant from current price. To confirm the internal structure, I would like to see price move up to the 50% internal EQ level.
Intraday Expectation: I will remain on standby and wait for price action that allows me to confirm the internal structure.
Note: Price continues to be highly volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed’s dovish stance.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD (GOLD) BUY ANALYSIS 4HRS TIMEFRAMEHello trader what do you think about Gold? Here on Gold price forming uptrend and has reached a certain level of resistance and is likely to continue falling till it reach at around level of support zone 2758.45 after then trader can now enter for LONG and target profit around resistance level of 2788.89 . Remember to like and share your thought on comment!
Gold Short: Pullback from Overbought HighsCurrently, Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of nearing overbought levels, with price action testing the upper resistance channels on the 30-minute timeframe. A descending trendline aligns with key Fibonacci retracement zones, suggesting a potential reversal opportunity from recent highs around $2,764. In this setup, I’m monitoring price action around the trendline for any signs of rejection, which could indicate the start of a short-term downward movement.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching overbought territory, currently close to 69, which often signals an imminent pullback. This, combined with recent highs, gives a strong technical basis for a short position targeting a reversion to lower support levels.
Fundamental Context:
Fundamental factors are adding weight to this setup. Market sentiment remains risk-off due to persistent geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East and a closely watched U.S. presidential election, both of which have driven safe-haven demand for Gold. Additionally, there is a 96% market expectation for a Fed rate cut of 25 basis points, creating a low-interest rate environment, further supporting bullish Gold sentiment.
However, despite these bullish drivers, any signs of easing in geopolitical tensions or unexpected outcomes in the Fed’s rate decision could diminish the upward momentum. Combined with RSI overbought conditions, this presents a tactical opportunity to capitalize on a potential corrective move in Gold’s price.
Trade Plan:
1. Entry: Short position near the $2,755 resistance level.
2. Stop Loss: Set above the recent high around $2,770 to guard against a false breakout.
3. Target: Initial target at $2,720, with potential to add partials or adjust if price action shows signs of reversal.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
GOLD IS GOING TO BUY MOREHello Trader , What do you think about Gold ? Here on Gold price has made double bottom and was able to break above area which means is going to buy more so trader should go for LONG with expected profit target of 2758.136 .Remember to like and share your thought on comment! Use money Management