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Gold Falls from Peak, but Rate Cut Hopes Keep Outlook Positive● Gold prices fell after hitting a high at $3057.59 due to a stronger US dollar, making it more expensive for overseas buyers. ● Despite this, gold is set for its third consecutive weekly gain, up 0.7% this week. ● Market participants expect at least two US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, supporting gold's long-term bullish outlook. ◉ Technical Observations ● While moving through the rising parallel channel, the price has just faced resistance from the upper boundary and is expected to have a pullback towards $2,950. ● If the price slips below this level, the next strong support is expected near $2,790.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NaranjCapital
XAU/USD 24-28 March 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025. In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition CHOCH. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Swing -> Bullish. Internal -> Bullish. Price continued bullish repositioning bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price action. Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high. Expectation is for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and the repricing of Gold. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 March 2025. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs. Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold fluctuates and rises, breaks out, rebounds and goes shortGold has been rising for several consecutive trading days, and the general trend is still bullish. We can continue to trade gold after it falls sharply. In the short term, gold has fallen below the rising trend line. It can be seen that gold has been running above the trend line recently. It has now fallen below the trend line, so we can rebound and short gold. Recommendation: Short gold near 3032 and 3038, stop loss at 3046
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RobertaAlsop
Gold is making big profits above 40, and may fall again in the eGold has been rising again and again. It broke through the high in the morning and continued to rise. The price is close to 3040. There is almost no callback in the whole rising process. There is a possibility of accelerating to the top. It is very close to 3050. Don't blindly chase the price when it reaches here.Therefore, it is not recommended to chase high gold today. You can short it in batches around 3040-3050. The support below is 3027-3018-3006! If you want to be stable, try to do less and wait and see. Let's see how it goes today and look for opportunities in the evening.
TVC:GOLDShort
by RegPoe
Gold induces bullish crashGold bulls are still showing a strong momentum. After successfully breaking through the $3,000 mark, it is likely to enter an accelerated upward phase.Gold opened at $3033, and the bulls are currently in a high-level oscillation state.There is still a possibility that the bulls will further push the price up to the range of 3040-3050 USD. The main reason is the lack of momentum for the decline. Gold has experienced a sharp rise of more than 100 points, from $2,981 to $3,038. The bulls have undoubtedly ushered in a nearly 60-point increase again.Therefore, shorting today is a more reasonable choice
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RobertaAlsop
XAUUSD - Daily, Gold’s Next Big Move: Be Ready!XAUUSD - Daily Update 📈 With most analysts focusing on Gold’s bullish momentum, let’s step back and analyze where we are in the bigger picture and where we should secure profits before a potential correction. Gold has been in a strong uptrend since the $2,000 zone, forming three major bullish legs as highlighted in the chart: 🔹 First leg correction: ~$150 drop 🔹 Second leg correction: ~$250 drop 🔹 Third correction may be deeper, so caution is needed in the target zone. Key Levels to Watch: 📌 Potential Target Zone: $3,050 - $3,150 ✔️ Measured Move: Previous legs suggest an extension into this zone. ✔️ Liquidity Grab: Gold tends to hunt liquidity over round numbers—just as it did at $2,000 → $2,060, it may break $3,050 before reversing. ✔️ Ascending Channel: The price is approaching the top of the channel, where market makers may trigger a fake breakout before a significant pullback. 🚨 Trading Strategy: Swing traders: Secure profits near $3,050 - $3,150. Daily traders: Use pullbacks as short-term profit opportunities. 💸 If you missed this rally, stay ahead for reversal signs & upcoming moves! Follow for more insights! 🚀
FX:XAUUSD
by Sober_Trading
XAU/USD 13 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 07 March 2024. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias has not been met, largely due macroeconomic events, particularly the Trump trade tariff war, which is causing uncertainty within the markets which is supporting Gold price. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. Within the structure following the iBOS, price has printed a several bearish CHoCH's with very minimal pullbacks before continuing bullish. In order not to distort internal structure range I will apply discretion and not classify bearish CHoCH without considerable pullback. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print Bearish CHoCH which is supported by a pullback relative to recent price action. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Prices Rise as Inflation Fears Subside◉ Fundamental Rationale ● Gold prices remain steady despite a strong US dollar, supported by a softer-than-expected US CPI report. ● The US CPI report showed a 0.4% rise, lower than the forecasted 0.5%, easing inflation concerns. ● Weaker US inflation data reduces the likelihood of a rate hike, making gold more attractive to investors. ● The strong US dollar, fueled by a surge in US Treasury yields, failed to dent gold's appeal. ● Prices are expected to remain supported as investors seek safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainty. ◉ Technical Observations ● Gold prices have broken free from a Symmetrical Triangle pattern and surged upward. ● Currently trading near all-time highs, the rally is expected to continue, propelling prices beyond the previous high.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NaranjCapital
XAU/USD 07 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023. As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price. On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent. Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold, An upward movement incoming ?Hello traders, I hope you are great. our latest analysis on Gold hit all its targets and we gained a profit of around 800 pips; but what's next ? Will the price continue its downward correction or not ? Let's clarify things a bit to make decision making easier for ourselves: With the delayed possibility of a ceasefire in the war between Ukraine and Russia, as well as existing tensions between the USA and other countries, the likelihood of a continued correction in gold has diminished at least in the short term. We should also keep in mind that there is a possibility of renewed conflict between Hamas and Israel in the upcoming Days. If we have consider these factors together, it seems to me there is at least a chance of another upward movement in Gold. Targets have determined by Blue dashed lines. And finally Tell me What are your thoughts about GOLD ? UP or DOWN ? comment your opinion below this post.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by aminrzb
1
XAU/USD 04 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023. As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price. On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent . Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Prices Take a Breather: First Weekly Decline in Nine Weeks◉ Overview ● Gold prices have risen for eight consecutive weeks, driven by safe-haven demand and a weaker US dollar. ● However, with US inflation data scheduled for release, investors are becoming cautious, leading to a decline in gold prices. ● The US inflation data will provide insight into the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy decisions. ◉ Technical Observations ● After hitting an all-time high near $2,956, the prices are now declining. ● In the weekly chart, a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern could be observed, indicating negative market sentiments. ● A support level is expected at $2,790, which is nearly 3% below the current market price.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NaranjCapital
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Breakout Ahead? 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Gold has respected the key demand zone at 2,911 – 2,916, forming a strong base for a potential bullish continuation. The recent correction followed a complex wave pattern, completing an ABCDE structure before bouncing. The price is now moving towards the 161.8% Fibonacci extension at 2,992, a key upside target. 📊 Momentum Indicators: The Stochastic Oscillator is recovering from lower levels, signaling renewed bullish momentum. A break above recent highs could accelerate upside movement toward the psychological $3,000 mark. 🔥 Trading Outlook: Bullish Bias: As long as Gold holds above 2,911, the upside structure remains intact. Upside Target: 2,992 – 3,000 based on Fibonacci confluence. Invalidation: A sustained break below 2,911 could shift momentum bearish. 📢 Are You Bullish on Gold? Comment below & hit Boost if you’re riding this move! 🚀✨ 🔔 Follow for More Precision Trading Insights!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mohammad_Mirdehghan
Gold/USD Monthly Elliott Wave & Fibonacci ProjectionsPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD This analysis presents a detailed Elliott Wave count on the monthly chart of Gold/USD with Fibonacci extension levels for key price targets. Wave Structure: The chart follows a classical 5-wave impulse structure (I to V). Wave V is currently forming with possible subwave developments marked (1, 2, 3, 4, 5). Fibonacci Key Levels: 100% ($2,529) — initial projection target 127.2% ($2,778) — intermediate resistance 161.8% ($3,095) — dominant bullish extension target 261.8% ($3,019) — extended bullish zone Potential Price Movement: A correction near $2,550 aligns with the Fibonacci 161.8% retracement, followed by a rally to complete wave V. Long-term resistance and liquidity zones highlighted around $3,095. Use this projection for long-term trading strategies. Fibonacci and wave alignments may guide stop-loss placements or profit-taking points. Keep an eye on corrections near wave 4 zones for confirmation before further bullish continuation Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to trade any securities or assets. Trading in financial markets involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Trwin
2
XAU/USD 29 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 27/01/2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to analysis dated 21 January 2025. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade continue bearish to complete it's pullback phase. Technically price should trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,786.060. It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 28 January 2025. As mentioned in yesterday's analysis and alternative scenario that as H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, it would come at no surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS to assist H4 TF in it's pullback phase. This is how price printed. Strong internal low was targeted with price printing a bearish iBOS. Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, show reaction at either premium of 50% EQ, or M15/H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,730.560. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD IS GOING BULLISH ALLOW IT TO TOUCH LINE 2719.730✅Smart Money Concept Gold price (XAU/USD) reached a fresh one-month high during Thursday’s Asian session but struggled to sustain momentum above the $2,700 mark. Diminished worries over U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's proposed trade tariffs and the anticipation of two potential Federal Reserve rate cuts this year have fueled positive market sentiment. However, a slight uptick in the U.S. Dollar (USD) has constrained further gains for the safe-haven asset. SET UP GOLD PRICE: BUY GOLD zone: $2678.479 - $2673.696 SL $2668.682 TP1: $2684.471 TP2: $2690.235 TP3: $2696.253 SELL GOLD zone: $2719.730 - $2723.622 SL $2729.470 TP1: $2713.175 TP2: $2706.151 TP3: $2699.870 Note: FrankFx advises traders to manage their capital wisely: - Adjust the number of lots to match your capital. - Set Take Profit at 3-6% of your account balance. - Set Stop Loss at 2-3% of your account balance.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FrankFx14
Gold Approaching Key Resistance Berish Rjction or Bullish BrkoutBased on the chart provided: ### Key Observations: 1. **Resistance Zone**: - Price is approaching a strong resistance zone around 2,720–2,740, as indicated by the shaded area. - Previous interactions with this level suggest potential rejection, making it a critical zone for monitoring price action. 2. **Target Levels**: - **1st Target**: 2,680 – a minor support level where price might pause or bounce if rejection occurs. - **2nd Target**: 2,640 – a key mid-level support area aligned with historical price structure. - **3rd Target**: 2,623 – a stronger support zone near the previous low, offering a potential bounce zone. 3. **Risk-Reward Setup**: - A clear risk zone (stop-loss) is placed above the resistance zone (around 2,759), indicating a bearish outlook. - The trade setup assumes a rejection from the resistance area, with the first target likely to hit before deeper retracements. 4. **Market Context**: - Recent bullish momentum may face exhaustion as it approaches resistance, especially if accompanied by reduced volume. - The "Change of Character" (ChoCh) annotations suggest a possible shift in momentum around the resistance zone. ### Potential Trade Scenarios: 1. **Bearish Rejection**: - Look for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., bearish engulfing candles, rejection wicks) around the 2,720–2,740 zone. - Short entry: Near 2,720–2,730. - Targets: 2,680, 2,640, and 2,623, in that order. 2. **Bullish Breakout**: - If the price breaks above 2,740 with strong momentum, invalidate the bearish scenario. - Look for a retest of the 2,740 level as new support for long positions. - Target: 2,770–2,800. ### Additional Notes: - **Divergences**: Check for any bearish divergences in RSI or MACD to confirm weakness near the resistance zone. - **Economic Events**: Be cautious of news or data releases that may increase volatility in gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
XAU/USD 14 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal high, printing a bearish iBOS. Internal structure has now aligned itself with swing structure. This could potentially be an early indication that both Daily and H4 pullback phases are incomplete. It would also be useful to remember that Weekly TF remains in its bearish pullback phase. Price subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH thereby confirming internal range and indication of bullish pullback phase initiation. Intraday Expectation: Price has yet to trade in to premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal low, priced at 2,656.880. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 10 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high priced at 2,667.150. Price has yet to print a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. We are currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH. Technically price to then trade down to discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK