GOLD - 2 SCENARIOS 📉📈Hello Traders !
On Monday 08 January, The GOLD Price Reached A Support Level (2013.702 - 2021.000).
Currently We Have 2 Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario📈
If The Price Breaks and Closes Above The Resistance Line !
We Will See a Bullish Move...
TARGET: 2071.000🎯
Bearish Scenario📉
If The Market Breaks The Support Level (2013.702 - 2021.000) and Closes Below That
We Will See a Bearish Move...
TARGET: 1983.000🎯
Goldusd
GOLD - Change of Character 📉Hi Traders !
The Gold Reached A Resistance Level (2095.436 - 2086.223), and Formed an Ascending Channel.
Currently,
The Channel is Broken.
The Price Failed To Create a New Higher High.
The Last Higher Low is Broken (ChoCh).
So, I Predict a Bearish Move📉.
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TARGET: 2021.000🎯
GOLD - BEARISH MOVE 📉
As We Talked in The Previous Analysis:
The Gold Reached A Resistance Level (2095.436 - 2086.223), and Formed an Ascending Channel.
The Channel is Broken.
The Price Failed To Create a New Higher High.
The Last Higher Low is Broken (ChoCh).
Currently:
The Price Pull Back to important structure
and Now It Will Continue Its Bearish Movement📉
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TARGET: 2021.000🎯
GOLD is expected to fluctuate slightly todayGold is poised to mark its first weekly decline in a month on Friday, as the U.S. dollar gains support from fading expectations of an early interest rate cut. Investors are eagerly awaiting a key employment report later in the day to glean further insights into the future of interest rates.
The dollar index is on track to register its best weekly performance since July 2023, making the precious metal more expensive for holders of other currencies. The shift reflects the ongoing strength in the U.S. labour market, evidenced by Thursday's data revealing a larger-than-expected decline in new jobless claims and increased private sector hiring in December.
Minutes from the Federal Reserve's meeting held on December 12 and 13 indicate a growing sense among policymakers that inflation is under control. However, there remains a high degree of uncertainty regarding expectations for interest rate cuts. This ambiguity has contributed to a cautious approach in the market.
The decline in interest rates diminishes the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, which monitors trader bets on interest rate movements, market expectations for a rate cut in March have dropped to 65%, compared to 90% the previous week. This shift reflects a reassessment of the economic landscape.
GoldHello All,
I am glad you have liked my post and I am sure everyone who have traded on these post would have made profits.
If you like my Idea, Don't forget to Boost and comment on my Analysis.. The recommendations are purely for educational purpose only, consult you financial advisor before trading.
Gold Analyze (Road Map)!!!🗺️Gold wants to make a similar Movement like the Main wave 2 ( Flat Correction ), I tried to show you the end of the Main wave 4 in my Chart, and probably it will happen at my TRZ (Time Reversal Zone).
Where is the end of main wave 4 ❗️❓
🎯 Target 🎯: 1680$ until 1650$
Where is the end of main wave 5 ❗️❓
🎯 Target 🎯: 2263$ until 2230$
Gold Analyze, Timeframe Weekly (Log Scale)
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy , this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Let GOLD take a breathHi Trader! After a long upward movement, gold has entered an old liquidity. To resume its upward, it needs to recharge a bit. My take-profit plan is to exit 25% of the position at each of the four liquidity points. The stop loss is set above the order block.
🚀Please support my efforts with the "Boost" button.
❤️And a comment is the best thing you can do!
Gold Rush with AI: Is a Bullish Trend broken?Dear Esteemed TradingView Members,
I n the intricate dance of financial markets, recent analytics hinted at a potential dip in Gold prices towards the next support zone, resting delicately around the current trendline and $1920. In a broader view of gold, the prevailing trend remains steadfastly bullish. The recent descent, therefore, wasn't a harbinger of a bearish trend but rather a retracement within the overarching bullish narrative. Retracements, akin to ripples in a vast river, move against the current without altering its course.
I n this light, the bullish trajectory of Gold persists, despite the transient shadow of bearish developments. The true nature of this episode—whether a mere retracement within a bullish trajectory or the inception of a bearish divergence—might unveil itself by the first quarter of 2024. For those inclined towards the former, signs may include ascending RSI values, dwindling volume bars, and price actions hovering modestly above the demand zone.
H owever, should this unfold as a pivot towards a bearish trajectory, anticipate a descent where RSI mirrors the fall in price, breaching the demand zone, and volume maintains its pressure at a consistent or escalating level? While my inclination leans towards the bullish scenario, it's imperative to remain vigilant of the alternate narrative.
N avigating the dynamic terrain of financial markets involves intuition and a judicious blend of analytical prowess and cutting-edge tools. In my recent analysis, I utilized Gradient Boosting Machines (GBMs) to sculpt the contours of my demand zone, adding a layer of sophistication to the predictive landscape.
So, what are GBMs?
G radient Boosting Machines stand as a formidable force in machine learning. A distinguished member of the ensemble learning family, GBMs artfully weave together multiple decision trees, harmonizing their collective insights to refine predictions. While their computational prowess is undeniable, it's worth noting that GBMs tread on the more resource-intensive side, making them a powerful yet demanding ally in the quest for accuracy.
A dvantages of GBMs include the capacity to attain high accuracy levels and tackle intricately woven datasets with finesse. However, this prowess comes at a cost—GBMs can be computationally demanding during the training phase and exhibit sensitivity to the choice of hyperparameters.
I n tandem with GBMs, my analysis delves into the nuanced language of financial indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and volume. RSI, a stalwart in technical analytics, gauges the magnitude of recent price changes, offering insights into the overbought or oversold nature of an asset. Volume is the heartbeat of market movements, signaling the intensity and sustainability of price shifts.
T ogether, these tools form a symphony of insights, guiding us through the intricate dance of market dynamics. As always, this isn't investment advice but a shared exploration of market intricacies. Your funds are your responsibility, and understanding the tools at your disposal empowers you in this journey.
It isn't investment advice but a nudge to delve into your research. Your funds are your responsibility—handle them with care. Embrace risk-management strategies, explore available safety nets, and prioritize the preservation of funds over fleeting gains.
Warm regards,
Ely
Gold Nears Six-Month Peak Amid Fed's Moderate Policy OutlookGold prices continue their positive trend for the fourth consecutive day, nearing a multi-month peak. The belief that the Federal Reserve has completed interest rate hikes and is initiating policy easing in 2024 remains supportive. From a technical perspective, the overnight breakthrough above the horizontal resistance at $2,008-$2,010 is considered a new catalyst for bullish traders. Furthermore, oscillators on the daily chart comfortably stay in the positive zone, indicating that there is still room before entering overbought conditions. This, in turn, suggests that the path of least resistance for gold prices is to the upside.
Therefore, a potential next move targeting the examination of the next relevant resistance around $2,035 seems to be a plausible scenario. This momentum could further extend towards the intermediate hurdle at $2,048 on the way to the year-to-date peak, around the $2,078 level touched in May.
On the flip side, the current breach of the resistance level at $2,010-$2,008 appears to immediately shield against downward pressure before reaching the $2,000 mark. Further selling pressure leading to a descent below the $1,988-$1,987 zone could pave the way for deeper losses. Gold prices might then swiftly descend towards the $1,978 zone on the way to the region of $1,967-$1,966 and the support area at $1,955. A convincing break below this level would expose the Simple Moving Average (SMA) 200-day, currently closing near the $1,942 area, and converging at $1,935-$1,934, encompassing the SMA 100 and 50 days.
1.2&1.2&1.2 ??? Greetings, dear friends. I hope you are having a productive week.
I am happy to assist you in ensuring that all previous analyses are attached to each corresponding analysis. This will provide a comprehensive overview and help you make well-informed decisions. Please do not hesitate to let me know if there is anything else I can do to assist you further.
I want to share my market analysis ideas based on the Elliott Wave Principle with you.
I am a fan of this principle and follow all the rules and guidelines for analyzing the market.
However, please note that my ideas are based on my personal experience and may change over time.
If there is an error in my analysis, I am open to re-analyzing it from the beginning and learning from my mistakes.
It's important to understand that making an error in analysis is not a fault, but evading responsibility is.
No one can analyze financial markets with 100% accuracy, but it's remarkable how close we can get.
We analyze from multiple perspectives to consider all possibilities.
Let's mention a few opinions and ideas!
Based on mathematics.
I am still practicing to understand the Elliott Wave Principle better and hope to provide an even better analysis in the future.
Thank you for your continued support, and I look forward to our mutual success.
Best regards,
Mr. Nobody
Keep trying and never give up.
Good luck!
GOLD has 3 scenarios in here gold need to reach 2009/10 level first.then we are creating a good game plan for gold because the trading plan is important to the day trading. Let's begin:
1.In here i expect gold hit 2009/10 and do a big down with a high volume.the correction which is bigger than the move will move the pair down and turn bullish to bearish.
this is my wrost case one because i am a buyer until the war will have done
2.If price able to breaks the level with good inefficiency we do long but we have to wait for the breakout first
3.best scenario is this part because i have already told according to the WAR commodity and the US index will be moving to the same side .it can be happen and you can see it.so if reaches that level then do a decent correction we do long till 2020/2025 level
that is my plan on gold
Has Time of FALL arrived ?Hello Traders .
as you can see in the previous analysis (Link below), we expected an upward correction and it happened.
so what's next ?
I think for coming weeks we'll first see an upward movement to 2000-2020 and then we'll probably see a fall to 1885.
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