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Gold Short: Pullback from Overbought HighsCurrently, Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of nearing overbought levels, with price action testing the upper resistance channels on the 30-minute timeframe. A descending trendline aligns with key Fibonacci retracement zones, suggesting a potential reversal opportunity from recent highs around $2,764. In this setup, I’m monitoring price action around the trendline for any signs of rejection, which could indicate the start of a short-term downward movement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching overbought territory, currently close to 69, which often signals an imminent pullback. This, combined with recent highs, gives a strong technical basis for a short position targeting a reversion to lower support levels. Fundamental Context: Fundamental factors are adding weight to this setup. Market sentiment remains risk-off due to persistent geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East and a closely watched U.S. presidential election, both of which have driven safe-haven demand for Gold. Additionally, there is a 96% market expectation for a Fed rate cut of 25 basis points, creating a low-interest rate environment, further supporting bullish Gold sentiment. However, despite these bullish drivers, any signs of easing in geopolitical tensions or unexpected outcomes in the Fed’s rate decision could diminish the upward momentum. Combined with RSI overbought conditions, this presents a tactical opportunity to capitalize on a potential corrective move in Gold’s price. Trade Plan: 1. Entry: Short position near the $2,755 resistance level. 2. Stop Loss: Set above the recent high around $2,770 to guard against a false breakout. 3. Target: Initial target at $2,720, with potential to add partials or adjust if price action shows signs of reversal. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by AR33_
XAU/USD 05 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. I have made an update following my review of overall analysis. Bearish iBOS printed 22 August 2024 has subsequently lead me confirm the swing high which means M15 swing range is established. Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge. Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis. Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high. Price has targeted weak internal low but the move was not sustained which indicates that price may be seeking further liquidity. We are seeing a secondary reaction to previous M15 supply zone. Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Oh My Gold!- Everything is in graph. - maybe Gold will start a new rise after BTC Halving. " In a bearish market, investors typically prefer to buy gold, and at times of high inflation and market volatility, gold is considered by many as a 'safe haven' asset. " - This was the definition of a safe heaven i found in Google, but this have no more sense in 2022.. - if you bought GOLD in 2011 ATH and sold in 2022, you would have made somehow zero benefits or lose your money because of lack of patience. - How much money you would have made buying Bitcoin in 2018 ? ( no need to push the date to 2011..) if you really want to know what is happening now, it's really simple and logic : - The New Generation is impatient, they buy BTC and Cryptos, they take risks. - They make much more money and faster money than buying a corrupted metal controlled by Governments ( Thanks to Nixon's Team in 1971 ). - When Cryptos Bull runs burst to new ATH, smart peoples drop Cryptos to buy Gold, Rolex, Graphic Cards, and Lambos or RS7 ( a joke for my friend Baba ) - in a worst case of world war, it's much more simple to have a Ledger in the pocket than move with 50 Kgs of Gold in a bag. - The New Money is in the Blockchain. Happy Tr4Ding !
TVC:GOLD
by thecryer
22
XAUUSD Technical Analysis 25.05.2023 1h chart– Previous Daily candle closed Bearish at 1957.200 closing below Daily Support formed on Friday 19th May 2023, forming new Daily Resistance around 1975.200. – Buys on close above 1962.600 targeting Weekly previous Support formed on 3rd April 2023 at 1969.100, Leaving Runners to the Daily Resistance formed at 1975.200. – Sells on close below 1952.500 targeting 4h Support at 1945.700, Leaving Runners to the Daily Support formed at 1940.100. – High Impact News ahead for the USD 30min after New York session open starting with Prelim GDP q/q, Unemployment Claims and followed by Prelim GDP Price Index q/q and Pending Home Sales m/m.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SalimFX20
1
The value of gold appears to be trending towards $2500The gold market appears to have entered the initial stage of a new, major impulsive wave, identified as the third in a sequence of such patterns. This cyclical trend can be traced back to 1832, with the completion of the first wave in 1980. The corrective wave 2 concluded in 1999, and the first impulsive wave of the current third wave began in 2001. In my analysis, it can be considered as the third impulsive wave in a larger impulsive wave 3 within another impulsive wave 3 of a higher degree. Fibonacci resistance levels of note include: — $2075 — $2553 — $3412 — $4642 — $4791 — $5953 — $7635 — $10682
TVC:GOLDLong
by joerivdpol
8
Gold Getting Ready For Higher Prices?As we examine the Gold chart we see the volatility has been increasing over the last few months. Many believe the price of Gold has become stagnant and will not perform well this year. As we look closely at the chart, we see the price has sold off over the last few weeks but seems to be holding support levels so far. It's possible we're seeing an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern forming that could push the price above the 2011 previous all-time high. We'll need to be patient and see how price reacts over the next few weeks, but if we continue to see strength, then the likelihood of seeing new highs this year will increase by the day.
TVC:GOLDLong
by CryptoSyphn
GOLD IS BULLISH LONGTERMAiming towards 1910 on gold and then a breakout to higher resistance levels and hepfully pass the main ones i highlighed, specially the MAJOR resistance. 2K Stimulus strong possibility and a really good catalyst. Stimulus check might be a seperate standalone bill, so good news for gold if passes. More money printing for the other seperate bills that add up to similar government spending. GOLD bullish overall longterm. Maybe buy the rumor & sell the NEWS coming up(Christmas rally, Jan-Feb correction), Goodluck!
TVC:GOLDLong
by djpsypher
1
GOLD UPDATE- How far gold can Fall ?How far gold can fall, well harmonic patterns suggesting a probability of bat pattern , which can take gold price to 1716 levels, plus these levels are also aligned with price action support around 1680 levels. There is a intermediate support around 1800 levels, so keep an eye on price action around this level, you might see temporary bounce from here. So as of now, according to my analysis 1716- 1680 this is the zone up to which gold prices can or may fall. This bat pattern probability would get negated if price closed above 1970 levels. If in future I spot any changes in prices , I will update here accordingly. If you are trading this, you are trading completely on our own risk.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by manuagarwal21
1