XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS 🔥 XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS & PURE GOLD FLOW INCOMING 🔥
No setups. No predictions. Just sniper vision + POIs that matter.
– by GoldFxMinds
🧠 MACRO CONTEXT – POWELL DAY: LIQUIDITY MODE ON
Tomorrow, May 15, markets lock eyes on U.S. Unemployment Claims + Powell Speech at 15:30 (UTC+2).
After CPI’s downside surprise and increasing signs of a softer Fed tone, volatility is guaranteed.
We are in a recalibration phase, with panic selling possibly pausing... but not over — yet.
Expect:
Fakeouts before confirmation
Traps near equilibrium
Massive liquidity sweeps NY session
🧭 STRUCTURE FLOW – MULTI-TF ALIGNMENT
TF Bias Status
D1 🔻 Bearish CHoCH confirmed + BOS → rejection from 3455 FVG, now testing deep discount.
H4 🔻 Bearish LL formed. BOS at 3220 confirmed. Price now in strong OB at 3180–3174.
H1 ⚖️ Neutral–Bullish CHoCH + consolidation under 3200 = decision zone.
M15–M5 🔼 Corrective Bullish BOS from 3174 low. FVG + OB reaction at 3184–3187. No trend reversal yet.
⚡️ BIAS & SESSION EXPECTATIONS
Session Bias Notes
Asia Flat–Reactive Expect low-volume bounce/consolidation.
London Neutral–Bullish If price holds 3174 and reclaims 3187, possible pre-news pump.
NY Pre-News Bullish Bias Only if 3200–3205 breaks clean with structure shift.
Post-News Volatility Trap Zone Eyes on sweep + reversal OR fakeout > continuation. No early entries.
📍 ZONE MAP – EYES ON POIs ONLY
🟢 BUY WATCH AREAS (Do Not Buy Until Confirmed)
Zone Price Reason
🟢3180–3174 Deep Reactive Demand -Active OB that gave current bounce. Watch CHoCH on M5–M15 if price retests.
🟢3165–3150 Sweep Zone -Clean SL liquidity zone. If swept with reversal → sniper entry confirmed.
3125–3110 Final Demand POI-Deep OB + FVG unmitigated on H4. Perfect for fakeout spike if 3165 breaks.
🔴 SELL WATCH ZONES (Trap Reversal Areas)
Zone Price Reason
3200–3205 Bull Trap Supply-BOS zone from May 13. If we reject here → continuation down confirmed.
🔴3235–3245 NY Spike Trap→OB + FVG confluence. If spiked after news, look for rejection wick → sell setup.
🔴3285–3295 Final Premium Cap→ D1 OB supply. Only if price explodes post-news → expect top-out or massive rejection.
🔐 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT – LEVEL TRACKER
Type Level Status
Weak low 3174 Hit & reacting. Confirmed bounce.
Key invalidation SL zone 3165 Critical. If broken → 3125–3110 in play.
Bullish reclaim trigger 3200–3205 Flip this = momentum back to buyers short-term.
Trap zone 3235–3245 Watch for wick trap after Powell.
Final rejection cap 3285–3295 Premium OB. No further upside expected beyond here.
🧩 STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK FOR TOMORROW – NO SETUPS, ONLY SMART REACTIONS
DO NOT BUY blindly under 3200 — structure is still bearish until flipped.
If 3165 sweeps → wait for CHoCH M5/M15 and reclaim. Otherwise, let it drop toward 3125–3110.
If price pumps into 3205 before Powell → sell trap zone active.
If price pumps into 3235–3245 post-news → ideal premium reversal zone.
🎯 FINAL NOTES
This isn’t a day for basic setups. It’s a liquidity game.
We’re in sniper territory, and gold’s volatility is about to hit full throttle.
So tomorrow:
Track these POIs, not bias.
Let the market show you its cards.
React only to clean CHoCH or BOS.
💬 Comment below if you’re watching the reclaim… or waiting to slap the trap.
We’ll post a post-Powell recap + directional update.
No fear. No hope. Just levels.
— GoldFxMinds
