70% Decline.Line 1 traces the support bounce and the sequential bounce. This line is carried over into perpetuity per the chart. It's a goal setter. 08' recession happened and broke below the line. The bottom of that trend measures distance with red line. This is where the trend reversal begins.
The new race is against the previously set trend with line 1. We tipped it in 2015, and it was a hard resistance. We broke it in 2017 and the rally was equal to the distance from the 'line 1' support trend and the pit of '08 recession, which started ' line 2' support trend.
We are very obviously capped. It's trend reversal time. The inverse of the proposition stated earlier was factored in from the top, where the most recent decline assumes the beginning of the market reversal.
This mirroring method gave me a figure of 70% decline. I'm not saying will hold, but I am saying that it's a hell of a proposition to be made, and that's my target for getting back into equities.
Guys, this isn't investment advice. Don't take it as such. I don't know what I'm doing 50% of the time, and the other 50% of the time, I'm sticking only to what I know. You do you, and just try your best. We'll figure it out.
Gone
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Long GoneBitcoin Update
A very quiet day for Bitcoin...a little break into new highs, a continuation pattern lasting 10 hours of stultifying price
action and then a break higher, which is being chased higher in China.
Still no sellers around though. So it pushes higher. Continuation patterns tend to last 5 or 6 hours, this last one
was longer than usual but the break has been steady. Hope you spotted the pattern here...not a regular well defined flag
or parallel but look at it: left shoulder, head, right shoulder: an inverted/reverse head and shoulders (so another
continuation pattern to add to the list, to study and remember for ever) with the small dynamic resistance line at
the top of the chart forming the neckline/break-point. The minimum upside target following breakout is 12,092, only 50
points away as this written. Another 260 points or so, if touched. The break today was slow coming - like fishing can
be too - we have to learn patience and recognise that when Bitcoin goes into a continuation pattern it takes 5 to 6 hours
usually to straighten out again and sometimes 10. This is the nature of the beast. We cannot let ourselves get tired by
waiting though, becasue just when you think it's never going to break higher, it does. It's Bitcoin. Stay with it. Day traders
can draw a support line right under the lows of this run from 11166 on a 1 minute chart to determine a near term exit.
* Sorry to desert post today - busy in meetings that took all day and most of night...new Crypto funds starting up ahead
of futures trading starting in Bitcoin on December 18 - Bitcoin gets more respectable with every passing day.
Soon everyone will have a Bitcoin desk or risk being left behind, and getting labelled old-fashioned.
Except for Jamie Dimon of course. Mr Dimon may be a stopped clock, but he could yet be proved right. One day.
Until then, every other day, he's wrong though.