THE STOCK GAUNTLET HAS BEGUN! GOOGLE 1/17⚔️🛡️ THE STOCK GAUNTLET HAS BEGUN! ⚔️🛡️
STOCK/TRADE UPDATE: 1/17
1⃣ NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL
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NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL
Google (Alphabet)
$GOOG $GOOGL IS A GIFT RIGHT NOW. YOU WILL SEE! NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL
IS A GIFT. YOU WILL SEE!👀
1.) High Five Setup
2.) Inverse H&S Breakout/will retest and fill earnings GAP then head to the Measure Move (MM) of $193.
3.) They just demolished earnings and everyone was bullish until the market decided to pull back. Everyone just forgot about the ones who reported first out the MAG7.
What do you think? Is this the easiest trade you've ever seen? IMO it's definitely one of them haha
"BE GREEDY WHEN OTHERS ARE FEARFUL"-WB
NFA
GOOGLE: Where are they going after earnings? Let's talk about itWHERE WILL GOOGLE GO AFTER THEY REPORT EARNINGS ON TUESDAY?!
NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL
In this video, we will review 3 key items that give us the best probability of predicting where they will go.
1⃣ See if it meets my "High Five Setup" trade strategy
2⃣ Why it's BUY according to my Valuation Metric Tool (6/6 score) I WANT A DIP!
3⃣ Look aHEAD to find out 👇
Video analysis 4/5. Stay tuned!🔔
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Is this MAG7 name finally going to play catchup to its siblings? Drop a comment below.
Not financial advice.
Retest on a GOOG Inverse H&S Pattern! 🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Alphabet (Google) Cup and Handle Bullish Technical FormationIn the domain of technical analysis of market prices, a cup and handle or cup with handle formation is a chart pattern consisting of a drop in the price and a rise back up to the original value, followed first by a smaller drop and then a rise past the previous peak. It is interpreted as an indication of bullish sentiment in the market and possible further price increases.
The cup part of the pattern should be fairly shallow, with a rounded or flat "bottom" (not a V-shaped one), and ideally reach to the same price at the upper end of both sides. The drop of the handle part should retrace about 30% to 50% of the rise at the end of the cup. For stock prices, the pattern may span from a few weeks to a few years; but commonly the cup lasts several months, while the handle should last for a shorter time.
A cup and handle formation is considered significant when it follows an increasing price trend, ideally one that is only a few months old. The older the increase trend, the less likely it is that the cup and handle will be an accurate indicator. The trade volume should decrease along with the price during the cup and should increase rapidly near the end of the handle when the price begins to rise.
The main technical graph for Alphabet Inc (Google) stock indicates on Cup and Handle Bullish Technical formation, since the price rose heavily over 2-years period of time (mid-2022 to mid-2024), and then 0.382x Fib retraced so far from its historical peaks.
This one can be entitled for so-called "cup and handle" respectively, with a further upside potential.
GOOGL Alphabet Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on GOOGL:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GOOGL Alphabet prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 165usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-11-1,
for a premium of approximately $4.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
BIG POST! | How To Beat SP500?
S&P 500 Performance: +35% since 2022.
My Selected Portfolio Performance: +62%, with an 82% hit rate.
Top Performing Stocks: NVDA (+735%), ANET (+343%), META (+209%), and more.
Technical Analysis Tools Used: Price action, trendlines, Fibonacci levels, round numbers, and more.
It’s been nearly three years since I posted my analysis of S&P 500 stocks on February 23, 2022. Back then, I reviewed all 500 stocks, applied some quick technical analysis, and identified 75 stocks that stood out for me. Importantly, I relied solely on technical analysis to make my picks. Fast forward to today, and the results speak for themselves. Most of these selections have significantly outperformed the broader market, proving the power and importance of technical analysis.
While many investors rely solely on fundamentals, technical analysis brings a dynamic edge that’s often underestimated. By focusing on price action and market behavior, technical analysis allows us to spot opportunities that others might miss, especially it gives a massive psychological edge while the markets are making corrections. The market doesn't care what you know, the market cares what you do!
Here’s what I used for my analysis:
It's kind of pure price action - previous yearly highs, trendlines, a 50% retracement from the top, round numbers, Fibonacci levels, equal waves, and channel projections. For breakout trades, determined strong and waited for confirmation before pulling the trigger.
The Results
While the S&P 500 has gained around 35% over this period , my selected stocks from the same list have made +62%! Out of the 75 stocks I picked, 67 have hit my target zones and 54 are currently in the green. That’s an 82% hit rate, and for me, that’s a good number!
Now, for those who favor fundamental analysis, don’t get me wrong, it has its place. But remember, fundamentals tell you what to buy, while technicals tell you when to buy - to be a perfect investor, you need them both. You could hold a fundamentally strong stock for years, waiting for it to catch up to its "true value," while a technical analyst might ride multiple trends and capture far superior returns during that same time. Also, the opposite can happen – you may see a great technical setup, but if the fundamental factors are against it, you could end up with your money stuck in a bad trade.
To put these ideas in perspective, starting with a simulated portfolio of $76,000, where each stock had an equal investment of around $1,000–$1,100, the portfolio is now worth around $124,000. The results are based on buying at marked zones and holding until today. I calculated entries from the middle of the target zone, as it’s a more realistic and optimal approach compared to aiming for perfect lows (which, frankly, feels a bit scammy) to get much(!) higher returns. This method reflects real-world trading.
Before we dive in, here are the current Top 5 stocks from My Picks:
NVDA: +735%
ANET: +343%
TT: +227%
META: +209%
LEN: +164%
These numbers demonstrate the effectiveness of a solid technical strategy. Many say it's tough to beat the market with individual stock picks, but these results show it’s not just possible, it’s absolutely achievable with the right tools and approach.
Now, let's dive into the charts!
1. Apple (AAPL) - a load-it-up type of setup has worked out nicely. Used previously worked resistance levels. If the stocks performing well and the market cap is big enough then these levels can help you to get on board.
Current profit 65%
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2. Adobe (ADBE) - came down sharply, but the price reached the optimal area and reversed.
Current profi 38%.
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3. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) - round number, strong resistance level becomes support and the climb can continue.
Current profit 101%
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4. Amazon (AMZN) - came down from high prices to the marked levels and those who were patient enough got rewarded nicely.
Current profit 66%
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5. Arista Networks (ANET) - retest of the round nr. worked perfectly, as a momentum price level, after the strong breakout.
Current profit 343%
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6. Aptiv PLC (APTV): Came down quite sharply and it will take some time to start growing from here, if at all. The setup was quite solid but probably fundamentals got weaker after the all-time high.
Current loss -24%
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7. American Express (AXP) - firstly the round nr. 200 worked as a strong resistance level. Another example is to avoid buying if the stock price approaches bigger round numbers the first time. Came to a previous resistance level and rejection from there…
Current profit 104%
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8. Bio-Rad Laboratories (BIO) - in general I like the price action, kind of smoothly to the optimal zone. It might take some time to start growing from here but also fundamentals need to look over.
Current loss 6%
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9. BlackRock (BLK) - kind of flawless. All criteria are in place and worked perfectly.
Current profit 81%
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10. Ball Corporation (BALL) - a perfect example of why you should wait for a breakout to get a confirmed move. No trade.
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11) Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) - Buy the dip. Again, as Apple, a big and well-known company - all you need to do is to determine the round numbers, and small previous resistances that act as support levels, and you should be good.
Current avg. profit from two purchases 64%
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12) Cardinal Health (CAH) - the retest isn't as deep as wanted but still a confirmed breakout and rally afterward. Still, the bias was correct!
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13) Ceridian HCM Holding (DAY) - found support from the shown area but not much momentum.
Current profit 20%
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14) Charter Communications (CHTR) - technically speaking it is a quite good price action but kind of slow momentum from the shown area. Probably came too sharply and did not have enough previous yearly highs to support the fall.
Current loss -10%
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15) Comcast Corp. (CMCSA) - got liquidity from new lows, pumped up quickly, and is currently fairly solid.
Current profit 10%
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16) Cummins (CMI) - got rejected from 2028 and 2019 clear highs, fairly hot stock, and off it goes.
Current profit 80%
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17) Salesforce.com (CRM) - perfect. 50% drop, strong horizontal area, and mid-round nr did the work.
Current profit 83%
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18) Cisco Systems (CSCO) - worked and slow grind upwards can continue.
Current profit 30%
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19) Caesars Entertainment (CZR) - not in good shape imo. It has taken too much time and the majority of that is sideways movement. Again, came too sharply to the optimal entry area.
Current loss -16%
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20) Devon Energy (DVN) - inside the area and actually active atm. Still, now I’m seeing a bit deeper correction than shown.
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21) Electric Arts (EA) - 6 years of failed attempts to get a monthly close above $150 have ended here. It got it and we are ready to ride with it to the higher levels.
Current profit: kind of BE
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22) eBay (EBAY) - it took some time but again, worked nicely.
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23) Enphase Energy (ENPH) - got a breakout, got a retest, and did a ~76% rally after that! If you still hold it, as I do statistics, then…
Current loss -59%
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24) Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) - kind of worked but didn't reach. No trade.
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25) Meta Platforms (META) - the bottom rejection from the round number $100 is like a goddamn textbook :D At that time 160 and 200 were also a good area to enter. Here are several examples of the sharp falls/drops/declines - watch out for that, everything should come fairly smoothly. Still, it ended up nicely and we have a massive winner here...
Current profit 209%
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26) FedEx (FDX) - I love the outcome of this. Very solid price action and multiple criteria worked as they should. Perfect.
Current profit 60%
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27) First Republic Bank (FRC) - firstly got a solid 30 to 35% gain from the shown area but...we cannot fight with the fundamentals.
Current loss 99%
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28) General Motors (GM) - finally found some liquidity between strong areas and we are moving up.
Current profit 47%
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29) Alphabet (GOOG) - load it up 3.0, a good and strong company, and use every previous historical resistance level to jump in.
Current avg. profit after three different price level purchases 63%
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30) Genuine Parts (GPC) - coming and it looks solid.
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31) Goldman Sachs (GS) - really close one.
Current profit 86%
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32) Hormel Foods (HRL) - quite bad performance here. Two trades, two losses.
The current loss combined these two together is 35%
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33) Intel (INTC) - at first perfect area from where it found liquidity, peaked at 65%. Still, I make statistics if you still holding it then…
Current loss -21%
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34) Ingersoll Rand (IR) - beautiful!
Current profit 144%
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35) Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) - the trendline, 50% drop, strong horizontal area. Ready, set, go!
Current profit 157%
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36) Johnson Controls International (JCI) - second rest of the area and then it started to move finally..
Current profit 55%
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37) Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) - Buy the dip and we had only one dip :)
Current profit 13%
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38) CarMax (KMX) - the area is strong but not enough momentum in it so I take it as a weakness.
Current profit kind of BE
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39) Kroger Company (KR) - without that peak it is like walking on my lines
Current profit 15%
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40) Lennar Corp. (LEN) - strong resistance level becomes strong support. Beautiful!
Current profit 164%
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41) LKQ Corp. (LKQ) - just reached and it should be solid. Probably takes some time, not the strongest setup but still valid I would say.
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42) Southwest Airlines (LUV) - no breakout = no trade! Don’t cheat! Your money can be stuck forever but in the meantime, other stocks are flying as you also see in this post. If there is a solid resistance, wait for the breakout and possibly retest afterward! Currently only lower lows and lower highs.
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43) Las Vegas Sands (LVS) - channel inside a channel projection ;) TA its own goodness!
Current profit 70%
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44) Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) - worked!
Current profit 37%
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45) Altria Group (MO) - got a bit deeper retest, liquidity from lower areas, and probably a second try..
Currently kind of BE
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46) Moderna (MRNA) - "seasonal stocks", again too sharp and we are at a loss…
Current loss -37%
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47) Morgan Stanley (MS) - the first stop has worked, and got some nice movements.
Current profit 62%
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48) Microsoft (MSFT) - Load it up 4.0, buy the dip has worked again with well-known stock.
Three purchases and avg. return from these are amazing 70%
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49) Match Group (MTCH) - it happens..
Current loss -53%
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50) Netflix (NFLX) - almost the same as Meta. Came quite sharply but the recovery has been also quick. Another proof is that technical analysis should give you a psychological advantage to buy these big stocks on deep corrections.
Current profit 153%
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51) NRG Energy (NRG) - Perfect weekly close, perfect retest…
Current profit 90%
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52) NVIDIA (NVDA) lol - let this speak for itself!
Current profit 735%
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53) NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) - usually the sweet spot stays in the middle of the box, and also as I look over these ideas quite a few have started to climb from the first half of the box. Touched the previous highs.
Current profit 74%
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54) Pfizer (PFE) - actually quite ugly, TA is not the strongest. Probably results-oriented but yeah..
Current loss -25%
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55) PerkinElmer - “after” is EUR chart but you get the point.
Current profit 25%
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56) Pentair (PNR) - worked correctly, 50% drop combined with the horizontal area, easily recognizable, and the results speak for themselves.
Current profit 124%
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57) Public Storage (PSA) - again, previous yearly highs and the trendline did the job.
Current profit 36%
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58) PayPal (PYPL) - the area just lowers the speed of dropping, but slowly has started to recover.
Current loss -14%
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59) Qorvo (QRVO) - slow, no momentum.
Current profit 10%
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60) Rockwell Automation (ROK) - previous yearly high again, plus some confluence factors.
Current profit 32%
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61) Rollins (ROL) - after posting it didn’t come to retest the shown area. Being late for a couple of weeks. Worked but cannot count it in, the only thing I can count is that my bias was correct ;)
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62) Snap-On Incorporated (SNA) - same story!
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63) Seagate Technology (STX) - firstly it came there! Look how far it was, the technical levels are like magnets, the price needs to find some liquidity for further growth and these areas can offer it. I like this a lot, almost all the criteria are in place there.
Current profit 73%
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64) Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) - one of the textbook examples of how trendline, 50% drop, round nr. and strong horizontal price zone should match. Still a bit slow and it will decrease the changes a bit.
Kind of BE
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65) TE Connectivity (TEL) - came down, and got a rejection. “Simple” as that.
Current profit 37%
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66) Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) - mister Ranging Market.
Current profit 19%
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67) Trimble (TRMB) - finally has started to move a bit. Got liquidity from previous highs again and..
Current profit 45%
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68) Tesla (TSLA) - made a split. Have been successfully recommended many times after that here and there but two years ago we traded in these price levels and..
Current profit 19%
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69) Train Technologies (TT) - dipped the box and off it goes! Epic!
Current profit 227%
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70) Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO) - I like this analysis a lot. Worked as a clockwork.
Current profit 60%
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71) United Rentals (URI) - WHYY you didn’t reach there :D Cannot count it.
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72) Waters Corp. (WAT) - came to the box as it should be slow and steady. As the plane came to the runway.
Current profit 41%
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73) Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) - another escaped winner. Didn’t come down to retest my retest area so, missed it.
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74) Xylem (XYL) - perfect trendline, good previous highs, 50% drop from the peak and..
Current profit 76%
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75) Autodesk (ADSK) - took a bit of time to start climbing but everything looks perfect. Nice trendline, 50% drop from ATH, previous yearly highs - quite clean!
Current profit 66%
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The strategies above show how useful price action, key levels, and psychology can be for investing. By spotting breakouts, and pullbacks, or focusing on round numbers and past highs, technical analysis helps give traders an edge in understanding the market.
Regards,
Vaido
A clear bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern on GOOG!🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Alphabet ($GOOG) Faces Pressure Amid DOJ Antitrust MovesAlphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ), the parent company of Google, is feeling the heat as the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) pushes for antitrust action that could fundamentally reshape the tech giant. On Tuesday, October 8, the DOJ filed court documents urging a federal district judge to consider structural remedies for breaking up Google's core businesses. This marks the most significant antitrust prosecution in over three decades since the Microsoft case in the 1990s. Now, Alphabet finds itself on a path that could lead to the breakup of its lucrative search and advertising empire.
DOJ’s Move to Break Up Big Tech
In the latest filing, the DOJ outlines the harms it believes Google’s business practices have caused in four key areas: search distribution, search results generation, advertising scale, and data usage. The remedies the DOJ is considering include contract requirements, non-discrimination product mandates, data-sharing, and even breaking up parts of the company.
Google (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ), in response, has warned that these measures could harm consumers, businesses, and developers. The company argues that the rise of competitors, coupled with emerging technologies like AI, means that competition is already flourishing. Nevertheless, the DOJ contends that Google’s dominance is not the result of its innovation alone but stems from years of anti-competitive practices designed to stifle rivals and maintain its hold on the market.
This case could potentially change the future of the tech industry by opening new opportunities for competitors and shaking up how large platforms like Google operate.
Implications for the Tech Sector
The DOJ's lawsuit is not just about Google; it’s a signal of a broader regulatory crackdown on Big Tech. If the court rules in favor of the DOJ, it could set a precedent for how antitrust laws are applied in the digital age, especially concerning data and artificial intelligence.
One of the key aspects of the case is Google's use of data to fortify its dominance in search and advertising. Google controls vast amounts of data that it uses to enhance its algorithms, making it difficult for competitors to keep up. As AI-driven insights become central to business strategies, the outcome of this case could shape how data is regulated and shared within the tech ecosystem.
This case will also likely influence other tech giants like Meta (formerly Facebook), Amazon, and Apple, all of whom have faced similar accusations of monopolistic practices. The question of whether Big Tech will be forced to downsize could lead to ripple effects across the entire industry, possibly igniting a new era of competition and innovation.
Technical Outlook
On the technical side, Alphabet’s stock (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) is showing signs of weakness. As of today, the stock is down 2%, reflecting market jitters over the potential antitrust breakup. Currently trading near $148, Google shares are hovering close to their 1-month low.
The technical indicators paint a bearish picture for Alphabet (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ). The stock is trading within a confined zone, with its moving averages forming a perpendicular alignment—typically a signal of consolidation and uncertainty. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 46, which suggests that momentum is waning, but the stock is not yet oversold. A bearish harami candlestick pattern has also formed, which is a reversal signal indicating that the stock could continue to trend downwards.
A break below $148 could trigger further selling, as investors may lose confidence amid the legal uncertainties. The stock is trading close to its 200-day moving average, a critical support level, and any significant move below this level could accelerate the sell-off.
A Potential Game Changer for Google
Google (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) remains one of the most profitable companies in the world, with its search and advertising businesses driving the majority of its revenue. However, the DOJ's push to break up these core businesses could result in significant revenue losses and operational changes. If the court rules in favor of the DOJ, Alphabet (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) could be forced to divest some of its most profitable divisions, fundamentally altering how it operates.
The case also raises broader questions about the future of data-driven businesses. Google’s ability to collect and use data at scale has been one of the main drivers of its success. If the company is forced to share data with competitors, it could level the playing field and create new challenges for Alphabet’s business model.
The Road Ahead for Alphabet Investors
For investors, the ongoing legal battle introduces substantial uncertainty. While Alphabet (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) remains a powerhouse in terms of innovation and financial strength, the potential for a breakup and increased regulation poses significant risks. The outcome of this case could reshape the company's future and set new precedents for the entire tech industry.
The next major milestone in this case is the DOJ’s proposed final judgment, expected in November. Until then, Alphabet's stock will likely experience increased volatility as investors weigh the potential impacts of a breakup on the company’s long-term profitability.
Google - Looking For Sell Triggers Around 171This video provides an overview of the things that I am watching for Google right now.
-We need to monitor the quarterly, monthly & weekly divergences that are currently setup, but not yet confirmed. These are not actionable right now, but they definitely need our attention. If confirmed, they imply some very significant moves in this market.
-We can see that the Monthly is still bullish, and we had a monthly MAC entry confirm on the Daily on September 13th. This trade still has not hit its targets, with the first being 169.69 (what a great number). The second target being 180. I would not be surprised to see Google trade up to 169.69 sometime soon.
-The Weekly chart is confirmed bearish for the MAC strategy. What this means is that any rallies into the weekly MAC high are opportunities to sell on the H6 chart. I'll be looking for sell triggers if price trades into the 171 level (Weekly MAC high).
-Threw in some cycles, for fun.
Have a great week.
GOOGLE: The 3rd major bullish wave begins.Google is just turning from bearish to neutral today on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 44.178, MACD = -4.950, ADX = 38.408), same situation also on its 1W outlook, as the stock recovers from the 1W MA50 breach last week. The green weekly close today is positive as it restored the price back inside the 2year Channel Up. A second straight green candle next week, will validate the start of Google's new 250day bullish wave, with the two before it rising by approximately +60% each.
If you are a long term investor, wait for next week's candle close and if green, buy (TP = 230.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Looking for a bullish swing on GOOG soon.🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
GOOGLE You can still catch this BUY to based on these indicatorsAlphabet Inc. (GOOG) is in the process of forming a bottom following the July and early August correction. Technically it has already priced the new Higher Low (green Arc) on the 20-month Channel Up but is underperforming relative to the rest of the tech sector.
This is why it hasn't yet broken above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) but this isn't at all discouraging. Every break within this long-term Channel Up below the 1D MA100 and subsequent recovery above it, confirmed the start of its new Bullish Leg. This has only taken place when the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross below the 0.0 mark, which last took place on August 16.
The above occurrences indicate that it is not late to catch this unique long-term buy on Google. Following the October 27 2023 Low, the first High it made was after a +28.14% rise. As a result our first long-term Target is $200.
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U.S. Justice Department Weighs Action to Curb ‘Illegal MonopolyIn what could be one of the most significant antitrust actions of the modern era, the U.S. Department of Justice (DoJ) is contemplating the breakup of Alphabet Inc.’s Google, following a landmark court ruling that found the tech giant had illegally monopolized the online search and advertising markets. This decision marks a pivotal moment not only for Google ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) but also for the broader tech industry, as it could lead to a rare and profound restructuring of one of the world’s most powerful companies.
The Court Ruling: A Game-Changer for Big Tech
Earlier this month, U.S. District Judge Amit Mehta delivered a ruling that could alter the trajectory of Google’s dominance in the digital economy. The ruling found that Google had engaged in illegal practices to maintain its monopoly over online search and search text ads, in violation of U.S. antitrust laws. Central to the case were Google’s exclusive agreements with major device manufacturers, such as Apple and Samsung, which ensured that Google Search was the default engine on their devices. In exchange for billions of dollars—$26 billion in 2021 alone—Google effectively eliminated competition by making its search engine ubiquitous across smartphones and tablets.
Judge Mehta’s decision has sparked intense discussions within the Justice Department about the appropriate remedies to address Google’s anti-competitive behavior. While the ruling itself is a major blow to Google, the potential remedies on the table could have even more far-reaching implications, potentially leading to the breakup of the company.
Divestiture on the Table: Android and Chrome in the Crosshairs
One of the most significant and radical remedies being considered is the forced divestiture of key Google assets, including the Android operating system and the Chrome web browser. Android, which powers approximately 2.5 billion devices worldwide, has been a cornerstone of Google’s dominance in the mobile market. Chrome, the world’s most popular web browser, further solidifies Google’s control over how users access the internet.
Judge Mehta’s ruling highlighted how Google’s agreements with device manufacturers required them to pre-install Google’s apps, such as Chrome and Google Search, in a manner that prevents users from deleting them. This strategy has effectively stifled competition, ensuring that rival search engines and browsers struggle to gain a foothold. By mandating the pre-installation of these apps, Google has created an ecosystem where users have little choice but to use its products, thereby reinforcing its monopoly.
The Justice Department’s discussions about breaking up Google ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) could lead to the most significant corporate restructuring in the United States since the breakup of AT&T in the 1980s. If the DoJ moves forward with this plan, it would signal a major shift in how the U.S. government regulates Big Tech and could have profound implications for the entire industry.
The Historical Context: A Rare Move in Antitrust Enforcement
The potential breakup of Google is reminiscent of other major antitrust actions in U.S. history, such as the dismantling of AT&T in 1984 and the Microsoft case in the late 1990s. However, such measures are rare and are typically reserved for cases where a company’s dominance is so overwhelming that it stifles competition and harms consumers.
The AT&T case, often referred to as the “Bell System breakup,” resulted in the division of the telecommunications giant into seven regional companies, known as “Baby Bells.” This action was intended to foster competition in the telecommunications market and prevent any one company from having too much control over the industry.
Similarly, in the Microsoft case, the company was found guilty of maintaining a monopoly in the PC operating system market through anti-competitive practices. While Microsoft was not broken up, the case resulted in a settlement that imposed significant restrictions on the company’s business practices and required it to share its application programming interfaces (APIs) with third-party developers.
The potential breakup of Google would be in line with these historical precedents, marking the first time in decades that the U.S. government has sought to dismantle a major technology company for monopolistic behavior.
Google’s Dominance and the AI Factor: A Growing Concern
While the focus of the antitrust case is on Google’s dominance in the search and advertising markets, the Justice Department is also increasingly concerned about the company’s growing influence in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). Google’s control over online search provides it with an unparalleled advantage in AI development, as the vast amounts of data collected through search queries are used to train its AI models.
Google’s AI-powered features, such as its “AI Overviews,” which provide narrative responses to search queries, are built on the company’s extensive data assets. These overviews summarize information from across the web, presenting it directly to users without requiring them to click through to the original sources. While this feature enhances the user experience, it has raised alarms among regulators who fear that Google’s dominance in search could extend into AI, potentially stifling competition in this emerging field.
In response to concerns about data scraping, Google introduced a tool that allows websites to block data scraping specifically for AI purposes. However, this opt-out option does not apply to all data used for AI development, and Google has been criticized for not allowing website publishers to opt out of AI Overviews, which are considered a “feature” of search rather than a separate product.
The Justice Department’s focus on AI reflects broader concerns about the concentration of power in the tech industry, particularly as AI becomes increasingly central to the digital economy. If Google’s dominance in search allows it to maintain an unassailable lead in AI, it could further entrench the company’s monopoly and limit the opportunities for innovation and competition in this critical area.
Possible Remedies: Breaking Up and Beyond
As the Justice Department considers its options, several potential remedies are on the table. In addition to the possible breakup of Google, other measures being discussed include requiring Google to share more data with competitors, imposing interoperability requirements on its products, and preventing the company from using its dominance in search to unfairly advantage its AI offerings.
One less severe remedy could involve mandating Google to divest or license its data to rival search engines, such as Microsoft’s Bing or DuckDuckGo. This would address one of the key findings in Judge Mehta’s ruling: that Google’s contracts ensure it collects far more user data than its competitors, which in turn allows it to refine its search algorithms and maintain its dominance.
Another option could involve requiring Google ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) to stop forcing websites to allow their content to be used for AI products in order to appear in search results. This would prevent Google from leveraging its search monopoly to dominate the AI market, ensuring that competitors have a fair chance to develop their own AI technologies.
The Justice Department is also considering banning exclusive contracts that stifle competition. For example, Google’s agreements with device manufacturers, which require the pre-installation of its apps, could be prohibited, allowing consumers more choice in the search engines and browsers they use.
The Road Ahead: Implications for Google and the Tech Industry
The outcome of the upcoming trial, set for September 4, will determine the specific penalties or remedies that Google ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) will face. If the Justice Department decides to pursue a breakup, it will need approval from Judge Mehta, who would then direct Google to comply. This process could take years to fully unfold, but the implications for Google—and the tech industry as a whole—could be profound.
For Google ( NASDAQ:GOOG ), a breakup would mean a dramatic shift in its business model. Divesting Android and Chrome would not only reduce its control over key aspects of the digital ecosystem but could also lead to a loss of synergy between its products, potentially weakening its competitive position. However, it could also create new opportunities for innovation and competition, as other companies step in to fill the void left by Google’s dominance.
For the tech industry, the case could set a significant precedent, influencing how digital markets are regulated in the future. If successful, the Justice Department’s actions could pave the way for more aggressive antitrust enforcement against other tech giants, such as Amazon, Apple, and Facebook, which have also faced scrutiny over their business practices.
The case also raises broader questions about the role of government in regulating technology companies. As digital markets continue to evolve, the balance between fostering innovation and ensuring competition will be a key challenge for regulators. The outcome of the Google case could provide a roadmap for how to navigate this complex landscape, ensuring that the benefits of technology are widely shared while preventing any one company from gaining too much power.
Technical Outlook
Currently, as of the time of writing, Google's stock ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) is down 1.91% in premarket trading on Wednesday. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 39.87, indicating that the stock is quite oversold. This is not good news for Google, especially considering that the company is facing challenging times. However, there is a glimmer of hope as the stock is trading above the 200-day Moving Average.
Conclusion: A Pivotal Moment for Big Tech
The Justice Department’s potential breakup of Google represents a watershed moment in the ongoing effort to regulate Big Tech. As the case progresses, it will be closely watched by industry leaders, regulators, and investors, as it could reshape the future of the technology sector.
For Google, the stakes could not be higher. The company’s dominance in search, advertising, and AI has made it one of the most powerful corporations in the world, but it is now facing the possibility of being dismantled by the very government that once championed its success.
Regardless of the outcome, the case will have lasting implications for the tech industry, as it could set a new standard for antitrust enforcement in the digital age. As the Justice Department weighs its options, the future of Google—and the broader tech landscape—hangs in the balance.
GOOGL Short Term bounce, but Long Term crash??A lot of this drop on NASDAQ:GOOGL is due to AI news and possible bubble bust. I dont think investors are giving up on GOOGL and expect to see a short term bounce to around the 172-173 area this coming week. Market depending.
I think 155 looks a lot better to buyers rather than 167 but we shall see. Either way another big move is waiting for NASDAQ:GOOGL We just need to see if buyers will step in.
Weekly is still overbought. But Daily, 4HR and smaller Timeframes looks like it will bounce.
NAS100 US100 NASDAQ - LONGHi guys!
After the crazy political events (Biden resignation, Trump win odds around 60% - Kamala 30-35%) - The NASDAQ has reached my levels of interest for LONGS.
Area I marked on the chart is the first point I started building the long position .
I want a nice swing position for a 2% move up minimum (50% FVG) with a chance to reach All time highs supply area possibly .
Please note:
- Alphabet (GOOGLE) and Tesla (TSLA) earnings report on Tuesday after session,
- Observe the political stage and the odds.
GOOGLE Correction completed. Buying again for a $210 Target.Last time we made a call on Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) on July 11 (see chart below), we caught the most optimal sell entry, right at the top of the 21-month Channel Up:
The price not only broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 15, but today almost touched the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is holding since March 12.
This correction is consistent with the mid Bullish Leg pull-back that bottomed on July 11 2023 and then moved on to complete a +37.69% rise from the previous Higher Low. As a result, we think this is the best level to buy again and target $210.00 (+37.69% rise from the April 25 Higher Low.
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GOOGL Alphabet Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought GOOGL at the start of the reversal:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GOOGL Alphabet prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 200usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $7.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GOOGLE Top of the Channel makes pull-back likely. Buy the dip.Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) has been trading within a Channel Up since the November 03 2022 market bottom and on our last analysis (April 16, see chart below), it gave us an excellent buy entry, hitting eventually our 175.00 Target:
Right now the price is more than half-way on the new Bullish Leg but has come very close to the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line). Based on the June 07 2023 Top and the previous major Bullish Leg, we might get a pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), before going for the final Higher High.
As as result, we are now willing to buy only after a 1D MA50 contact and Target $210.00, which will represent a +37.60% rise from the recent Higher Low, similar to the Bullish Leg of 2023.
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Google Set to Invests 1 Billion Euros in Finnish Data CentreGoogle ( NASDAQ:GOOG ), a subsidiary of Alphabet Inc., has announced its plan to invest an additional 1 billion euros ($1.1 billion) in the expansion of its data center campus in Finland. This strategic move aims to bolster the company's artificial intelligence (AI) business growth in Europe. The Nordic region, with its cooler climate, tax incentives, and abundant renewable energy sources, has become a preferred location for data centers in recent years.
While some Nordic countries have expressed concerns about hosting data centres, citing the potential use of renewable power for higher value products such as green steel, Finland's significant increase in wind power capacity, particularly a 75% surge to 5,677 megawatts in 2022, has positioned it favorably for accommodating data centres. Google ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) has secured wind power in Finland through long-term contracts, leveraging the country's renewable energy potential.
With the proliferation of AI applications, analysts anticipate a substantial surge in data centres' power consumption. Google's investment in the Finnish data centre aligns with its commitment to operating with 97% carbon-free energy and its plan to redirect excess heat from the data centre to the district heating network in Hamina, benefiting local households, schools, and public service buildings. Furthermore, Google has pledged to achieve net zero emissions across all its operations and value chain by 2030.
In addition to its Finnish investment, Google ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) recently announced its intention to construct new data centres in the Netherlands and Belgium. These initiatives underscore the company's strategic focus on expanding its data infrastructure to support its growing AI and cloud computing operations.
Technical Outlook
Google ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) stock is up 1% to $179 per share trading with a bullish Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 71.99 which is sparsely overbought. The stock is prime for further growth as it is trading above the 200, 100, and 50-day Moving Averages (MA) Respectively.
A move further above the 1-month high to the pivot point will validate new highs for Google ( NASDAQ:GOOG ).
Google Overbought13 of the giant investment companies were on the side that sells googl in this ranks. I'm on the side of the googl area from $ 176 and I think it looks expensive. I can add it if it descends between $ 145 and $ 124. Especially I chase the candles in which the dfr indicator I have developed gives a scholar signal.
OpenAI’s search engine: Implications beyond GOOG stockOpenAI has denied rumors claiming it's set to reveal an AI-powered search engine for its flagship chatbot, ChatGPT, on Monday.
Although there is speculation that OpenAI is being a bit of a wise guy, and the product it will demo is not a search engine, but what they might dub as the next generation of search engines.
It will be interesting to see if this product, whenever it is first demonstrated, is anything Google will have to worry about. According to Bloomberg, OpenAI’s search tool will be partly powered by Microsoft’s Bing search engine. Make of that what you will.
Either way, this could likely ratchet up competition with Google and the market might have already begun to price in this risk to GOOG stock. But what other stocks could face a negative or positive risk from this development?
Maybe we can ask ChatGPT:
“Online advertising companies: Companies that heavily rely on Google's advertising platform for revenue could face challenges if advertisers shift their budgets to the new search engine. This includes companies like The Trade Desk (TTD), Magnite Inc. (MGNI), and Criteo S.A. (CRTO).
E-commerce platforms: Google's search engine is a major source of traffic for many e-commerce platforms. If a rival search engine gains popularity, it could impact the flow of traffic and potentially affect revenue for companies like Amazon (AMZN), eBay Inc. (EBAY), and Shopify Inc. (SHOP).
Payment processing companies: Google's search engine facilitates e-commerce transactions, which benefits payment processing companies like PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) and Square Inc. (SQ). If a rival search engine affects e-commerce traffic patterns, it could indirectly impact payment processing companies.
Digital marketing agencies: Companies that specialize in search engine optimization (SEO) and search engine marketing (SEM) services may see a shift in demand if advertisers allocate resources away from Google towards the new search engine. Examples include companies like WPP plc (WPP) and Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC).
Data analytics companies: Google's search engine generates vast amounts of data, which is valuable for analytics purposes. If a new search engine captures market share, it could impact data analytics companies that rely on Google's data for insights. Companies like Nielsen Holdings plc (NLSN) and The Dun & Bradstreet Corporation (DNB) could be affected.
Online review platforms: Google's search engine plays a significant role in driving traffic to online review platforms like Yelp Inc. (YELP) and TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP). A new search engine could potentially change the dynamics of online reviews and impact these platforms' user base and revenue streams.”