GOOG: Time to buy the DIP? Complete analysis (H,D and W charts).Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how GOOG is doing today!
First, we see a good reaction today, in the 1h chart, as the support area between the two black lines at $ 2,667 - $ 2,651 is holding the price nicely.
Right now is a good time for a bullish reaction, and GOOG could fill the last gap at $ 2,747.65. However, in order to reverse, we must see a stronger bullish structure, because the trend is still bearish. We see nothing but lower highs/lows, and the 21 ema is descending as well.
This could be a sign of exhaustion, but it is too soon to tell. Let’s look for more clue in the daily chart:
What I find curious is that GOOG is dropping with low volume. Its volume has been below the average since Feb 8, indicating that it is not dropping because of sell pressure. Instead, it just looks weak, and the price will get more and more discounted, until GOOG becomes attractive again to investors.
The weekly chart offers more ideas:
In the weekly chart, GOOG did a Bearish Engulfing last week, just under its 21 ema – not a good sign. It seems it could drop more, maybe to the previous support level at $ 2,492.84, but this is where things get dangerous.
If GOOG loses this support, it might trigger this Head & Shoulders chart pattern, and this will officially trigger a bear market on GOOG. Of course, this scenario wasn’t triggered yet, but it is important to pay attention to the signs it is giving to us right now.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this, so, remember to follow me to not miss any of my future analyses.
Google (Alphabet)
Alphabet | Fundamental Analysis |LONG| MUST READ !There is no denying that Alphabet has become a force to be considered with. Indeed, not many companies can boast that their branded product or service has become a verb: "google it." Beyond search, Alphabet is a leader in digital advertising, smartphone operating systems led by Android, and cloud computing with the rapidly growing Google Cloud.
Recently, the tech giant informed about a historic 20-for-1 stock split, reducing the size of its stake for the first time in eight years. Now investors who have been considering buying the stock are encountered with a bothersome question: should they buy the stock now or wait until after the split?
It's been a long time since Alphabet held its last stock split. In fact, the last time it happened was when the company was still called Google. That was in 2014, and Google didn't change its name to Alphabet until late 2015.
What's notable about the previous stock split is that it created non-voting Class C shares of Google, while Class A shares maintained the standard one vote per share. In April 2012, a shareholder lawsuit was filed alleging that co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin orchestrated the stock split to maintain control of the company to the detriment of shareholders. As a result of the split, the company increased the number of shares without a commensurate increase in voting rights. The lawsuit was eventually settled, allowing the split to proceed with shareholder compensation.
In the nearly two years between the announcement and the actual stock split, Google stock was up about 74%.
Typically, a split does not change the overall economic value of the company that is doing the split. One share of Alphabet worth $2,800 is worth as much as 20 shares worth $140 (20 x $140 = $2,800). As with pizza, the number of slices does not change the overall size of the pie. Nevertheless, some argue that the underlying effect is positive for investor psychology.
That's exactly what happened when several well-known companies made headlines over the past couple of years as investors rushed to buy shares after the stock split announcement. Apple stock rose 34% in a month after announcing a 4-for-1 stock split in July 2020. Tesla followed suit less than two weeks later, announcing a 5-for-1 stock split. Between the announcement and the completion of the split, the stock jumped 81%.
A similar situation occurred in May 2021, when The Trade Desk announced a 10-for-1 stock split and Nvidia unveiled plans for a 4-for-1 stock split. The Trade Desk and Nvidia stock rose 27% and 24%, respectively, between the day of the announcement and the day the split was completed.
Aptus Capital Advisor senior analyst and portfolio manager David Wagner opined on the situation, "We all know the split doesn't boost the fundamental value of the company. ... but from what we've seen in the market with Tesla and Nvidia, people like to chase splits."
There are many reasons to think that Alphabet will continue on the same upward trajectory that led to that famous stock split.
Google's dominance in search remains unchallenged, with about 92 percent of the global search engine market. Alphabet is using this advantage to gain a leadership position in digital advertising, which accounts for about 29% of global digital ad spending. Nor should we forget Google Cloud, which has quietly risen to the top three, behind only Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure.
These factors drove Alphabet's strong performance. In the fourth quarter, revenues of $75.3 billion rose 32% year over year, and operating margins improved, boosting earnings per share (EPS) to $30.69, a 38% increase.
For investors who are optimistic about Alphabet, there's no reason to hesitate to buy the stock, unless, of course, your financial situation allows you to shell out almost $3,000 per share. If that's the case, and your broker doesn't offer the option to buy fractional shares, a stock split will make them much more affordable over time.
If you plan to buy Alphabet stock now, keep in mind that it may require additional record keeping. Those who are buying the stock now (at about $2,800) need to remember to adjust their records to reflect the revised cost base by dividing it by 20 to account for newly issued shares ($2,800 / 20 shares = $140). This will become important when you eventually sell your stock and settle with the tax authorities. Fortunately, brokerage firms know how to do this, so it shouldn't be too difficult.
Given Alphabet's market dominance, great execution, and continued outlook, it doesn't matter if you buy the stock now or wait until after the July 18 split-adjusted trading. What matters is that you buy them.
QQQ and techInside week, high of last week was 370.1 and low was 351.52. Previous week high was 374.36 and a low of 334.15. Looking to see what way we break this upcoming week. A lot of the big names already reported. AAPL, AMZN, and GOOG rally and help push QQQ higher while the weakness of them all FB got destroyed by their poor earnings report. Been seeing a lot of people who didn't like that AMZN beat because of RIVN IPO. The question is do we chop around this week or do we break the inside week in any direction. I am ready to play puts or calls depending on how we open up on Monday.
AAPL - Daily / Apple Joins the Death Cross Cult of FANGsApple's Impulse Weakening Impulse Structure has finally broken.
We warned of this on February 6th, the Retracement was concluding
as many of the FANGs were seeing 55/199 Crosses occurring.
2C was a weak retracement, we were looking forward to more, but
it simply was not to be.
Yields crossing 1.691 were our LIS for the cross over 2% and onto 2.06
to and through 2.082 / 2.12 / 2.189 / 2.26 / 2.28 and on to the UTL
with a potential Throw over to 2.5%.
Apple will lead 3A (a powerful move lower to new lows) as its weighting
is sizeable for NQ.
As previously indicated 141s are the Initial Price Objective for 3/5 IT.
We believe it can move lower to the 411 EMA @ ~ 133.4.0.
Apple has lost the Edge in innovation and is unable to complete with the
Google's innovations and breadth of Carrier Market Integration.
After months of research into Global Access - the Edge Google has over
Apple is immense. The Pixel 6 is functionally a very basic, well made
Smartphone.
Where it excels is in AI Integration and Carrier switching.
I have begun converting to Google's Hardware and Service for all lines and
services, consolidating a number of Business Lines for Global use while
traveling outside the United States.
Apple is unable to offer anything remotely competitive, their claims to
developing a true Global Phone with improved carrier switching is quite
distant at this point in time.
Margin compression, Debt, a very Real Lack of Innovation (Share Buybacks
as opposed to CapEx Investment), and Accountants gaming the Future... Unlikely
Apple will ever return to its former Halcyon days as a leading TECH Innovator.
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Instead, APPLE will be the Anchor that drags the NQ to new Lows in 3/5 IT and
then 5/5 for the IT Correction.
5/5 will then take this Overhyped Cult to new ATHs into Q3 of 2022.
From there our price Target remains $35 into 2025.
SOLBTC in Bull Flag - upside PT of 0.023 or $1,587This translates to a PT of nearly $1,500 for 1 SOL token. You can see the flagpole extrapolation in red and then the 2nd half push PT in orange (both align very nicely which suggest we are halfway through our entire flagpole move right now with another half to go).
Last time this happened, SOL moved higher by 724% in 99 days!Just like my last major call in SOL back on August 7th, 2021, here again SOL is at a nexus point where the CC SMA 50 will turn green in the coming weeks. I'm currently projecting that this turns green by beginning of March. Once this occurs, SOL will enter a new impulsive surge higher which will likely be in conjunction with major catalysts such as scaling, mainnet release, NFTs, and DeFi drivers. Star Atlas is a AAA game that is being launched as well on Solana's ecosystem so I expect there to be renewed optimism in the coming weeks as more updates are released. Solana is without a fact the most bullish network atm due to its scaling potential that is happening in front of our eyes. Having the backing of SBF helps quite a lot as well.
See my prior major call on SOL below to see how well that played out. Accumulating here prior to the CC SMA 50 turning green would allow you to make higher returns, but of course you can wait until the signal is confirmed later this month or in early March.
SOL: D & W Hidden Bullish Divergence and Large Wedge FormationSOL is a very strong project with extremely strong fundamentals (user growth, speed, cost) versus competitors. Despite the recent wormhole hack which wasn't an issue of SOL but an issue with a bridge is making headlines, this only provides an opportunity to buy cheaper than normal imho.
SOL will no doubt fix any congestion issues it had in the past as their lead dev devoted an 8 week campaign to bolster the network and solve any issues. These are top programmers from Qualcomm and you can rest assured these sort of programmers are much better than crypto programmers. SOL allows MUCH easier to use programming languages than other rival coins such as ETH which relies solely on Solidity and feedback from top programmers is that Solidity is not easy to use at all. This impact development significantly as the legacy world still has 98% of programmers and if you want your crypto project to grow in the long-run, it's ideal to have the easier programming languages to onboard those 98% to create apps and develop for the best projects.
Lastly, SOL has an asymmetric advantage as it is backed by one of the brightest minds in the space, Sam Bankman-Fried. Sam's pro-regulator clarity stance will make SOL a crowd favorite to overcome any hurdles in the future.
My price targets for SOL are in the mid $400-$500 by mid-year. It sounds lofty but again, SOL is actually onboarding users and is increasing its re-investment into the network and into R&D. It would only infer a $130B market cap which isn't that high compared to what coins like XRP did in the last bull-run in 2017 when there were 10% of the investor pool. XRP achieved $130B market cap in 2017. SOL is about 100x more useful than XRP so as the large wedge formation suggests, SOL's terminal value is likely multi-thousand dollar range. This of course depends on how quickly SOL's programming team develops top products. With SOL Pay just launching on the market a few days ago that provides a direct conversion into USDC upon paying for goods and services, SOL could be at the beginning of yet another impulse wave higher. SOL Pay is a game changer in terms of adoption, and will only quicken major developers to come into the Solana ecosystem, as more of the legacy guys will want to join networks that are headed by legacy programmers.
Lastly, there is strong Hidden Bullish Divergence on the daily and weekly charts - this is a longer term signal that typically plays out over weeks/months.
If you own a big bag of ETH or DOT, it would be wise to diversify a bit into SOL for your long-term bags here.
"OK Google, what is patience?"Since the pop on earnings and the split news I have been watching for a good pullback on Google NASDAQ:GOOG . I am operating under the thesis that the pre-split price action will signal a rally as in other past tech stocks. This rally may take a while because the July 15th split date is relatively far out. For the last several days I have been waiting for the price to come to the 2775 level it must hold to remain bullish to retest and break the high.
FAANG Dead? The NEW Tech Stock Leaders!With the disasterous earnings of Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX and Facebook NASDAQ:FB this past month it may be time to call for a new acronym of the still bullish and strong Tech Stock leaders of the market: Micosoft NASDAQ:MSFT - Apple NASDAQ:AAPL - Google NASDAQ:GOOG - Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN
GOOG - Daily Impulse Failure AheadAlphabet stock @ $3,000 provides entry after the 20:1 Spilt @ $150 - Round Numbers
appear to be favored.
The Daily Impulse will fail, although to can move higher this week, the Gaps will be filled.
If we were to own a FANG it would be GOOG and GOOG Only.
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Now is not that entry.
GOOG Alphabet Inc. 20-to-1 Stock SplitRuth Porat, Alphabet CFO: “The reason for the split is it makes our shares more accessible”
Alphabet Inc . 20-to-1 Stock Split on July 15 could lead to Alphabet’s listing on the Dow Jones Industrial Average , the indexs that holds 30 blue-chip companies.
And you all know how appealing were Apple , Tesla and Nvidia for retail investors after the stock splits!
My short term price target is the all time high, $3037.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
GOOGLE Stock Split - Big opportunity!Today on earnings NASDAQ:GOOG announced an upcoming 20 to 1 stock split. This is a major news event with a history we can look back on. There are three instances from the last two years (TSLA, AAPL, NVDA) where tech stocks announced splits and then proceeded to FOMO rally. Trade with proper risk controls but look for opportunity NOW in Google!
I talked about this trade last year with Nvidia when that stock did a split. It is the same trade. Check link below:
Alphabet (NASDAQ: $GOOG) Drops Stock Split + Strong Earnings!🤓Alphabet Inc. provides online advertising services in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. The company offers performance and brand advertising services. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments. The Google Services segment provides products and services, such as ads, Android, Chrome, hardware, Google Maps, Google Play, Search, and YouTube, as well as technical infrastructure and digital content. The Google Cloud segment offers infrastructure and data analytics platforms, collaboration tools, and other services for enterprise customers. The Other Bets segment sells internet and TV services, as well as licensing and research and development services. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
Google forecast for this week!Another 5% decline is highly likely for this week!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
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Can the Market Rally without Apple?
In doing my homework - I've trying to determine whether this market can rally in the weeks ahead?
With a 3 Trillion dollar market cap you need $APPL - As matter of fact if you watch Apple trade you can see the S&P 500 move almost exactly the same. Which never ends well on long enough timeline.
I reduced the number of indicators to keep the chart clean. They all say the exact thing - on daily AAPL is a sell. Five shown. Notice the indecision in the green candles - the regime change is underway.
I'm a fan of market and volume profile but sometimes you need a different eye. APPL can retest the highs even reach an All Time High once more - before pulling the rug.
The trendline right beneath price has been tested 3 times. Line drawn by algo BTW. It will break and most likely return to the trendline before this breakout in October 2021.
This takes AAPL to the mid- $140's - not the end of the world, but a huge impact on US equites.
The indicator on the bottom show there is no strength, moreover not shown its also divergent - but it can stay way for a while on a daily chart.
Draw this trendline on your own charts and keep an eye on it. That said a well placed news bomb will most likely make quick work of this trapping longs. Think Evergrande Sept 2021.
Which is funny - that's in the lows 4300's - and where this market will likely return. Ok 4260 - but I'm not argue about days range.
So we'll if they gamma squeeze this AAPL one more time. One way or another Frazier is going down.
Facebook and Google, Netflix all look weak too and look similar on this chart setup. The only one that breaking up is Tesla (shaking head). However TSLA is a casino ticket not the market.
Google: Lower Prices Incoming? Alphabet - Short Term - We look to Sell at 2807.00 (stop at 2861.00)
We look to sell rallies. Previous support level of 2800.00 broken. Trading volume is increasing. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 2800.00, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 2630.00 and 2460.00
Resistance: 2800.00 / 2900.00 / 3000.00
Support: 2700.00 / 2600.00 / 2500.00
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SRM: Near-Term PT $15Diagonal / wedge structure that has a remarkably similar shape & feel to May - July has a near-term target of $15... SRM just received a major investment ($75 Million) from Tiger Global. This is one of the largest Hedge Funds in the entire world with $95 Billion in Assets Under Management (AUM). The reason this is a big deal for the state of DeFi / Crypto is that this is one of the most mainstream investors in terms of views on crypto that we could have enter the crypto foray. This is just as big as Dalio who has so far only dabbled his toes into the crypto space. A $75 million investment in the Serum Protocol is not just a mere dipping of toes but a full on swan dive into the pool. Most VC backed ventures only raise $1-3 million dollars in total. This shows the extreme confidence from one of the smartest minds in the world. Believe me, Tiger has a field of analysts that are 10x smarter than the rest of us, and they are going with the narrative of investing in geniuses like Sam Bankman-Fried who is the mind behind SRM and the Serum Protocol that on the surface appears to only be a DeFi trading project in reality is MUCH bigger than just DeFi. The entire ecosystem has many different projects using the Serum Protocol as its central engine. SRM is built using the Solana Protocol which currently boasts 65k TPS.
In my view Serum will overtake all DEXs (with their bloated fee structure and much slower finality in trading) on ETH protocols... which at last view if we just add up the market caps of the top 3 (Pancake, Sushi, and UNI), we get nearly $15 billion in market cap. Knowing that SRM is at 65k TPS and is scaling to 1 million TPS and 1 billion users and has major minds like SBF and Tiger Global behind it - I fully expect to see SRM dominate the DEX space in 2022 and garner 80% market share of all DEXs... let's just say that all DEXs today have a value of $40 - $50 billion. At 80% that means SRM could rise to $32 - $40 Billion Market Cap in 2022.
At the current market cap of $400 million that means a price of approximately $30. Uniswap reached a market cap of $22 Billion USD at its height but remember, this was on the ERC-20 protocol which is bloated, slow, and VERY expensive per trade. SRM is essentially free to trade, extremely fast, and is scaling to 1 million TPS in 2022. We could easily see a $40 Billion valuation in 2022 in my view and a PT of $30 in intermediate term.
AXS: Near-term Bull-Flag PT $246See my most previous Bull-Flag targets for SOL and LUNA... AXS with tons of market adoption and major investments from Samsung does provide an opportunity to be a gaming juggernaut in the gaming space. Axie bears some remarkable similarity to the virality of Pokemon about 25 years ago.... except with much higher sustainable uspide.
The Bull Flag Target is $246 and is a shorter-term expectation which I would expect to play out by Q1 2022 as major catalysts occur for AXS and greater adoption occurs.