SAP ready for a slow n steady climb back up ? SAP was until recently the largest tech company in Europe, Now replaced by PROSUS but after a disappointing Q3 earnings it fell 20%+.
Total revenue fell 4% to €6.54 billion, cloud and software revenue fell 2% and operating profit fell 12%. However, Pure-cloud services grew 11%, to €1.98 billion.
SAP’s revenue was around €300 million under expectations, though per-share profit beat expectations.
“Over the next two years, we expect to see muted growth of revenue accompanied by a flat to slightly lower operating profit. After 2022 momentum will pick up considerably though. Initial headwinds of the accelerated cloud transition will start to turn into tailwinds for revenue and profit. That translates to accelerated revenue growth and double digit operating profit growth from 2023 onwards,” SAP CFO Luka Mucic said in a call with analysts.
Looking to scale in when price is in BUY ZONE (purple box), with Entry target of $100. Stop Loss $90. Exit target MINIMUM 2:1 RR , look at levels to find an exit.
This will probably be a longer term play due to the revised forecast targets being pushed back from 2023 to 2025
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, JUST A RANDOM IDEA
Google (Alphabet)
GOOGLE - Alphabet HoldNASDAQ:GOOGL
The Idea is still to Hold before going long - The resistance level has not been properly broken.
Alphabet (GOOGL) – Alphabet earned $16.40 per share for its latest quarter, compared to the $11.29 a share consensus estimate. Revenue exceeded analysts’ forecasts as well. The Google parent saw a return to growth in digital advertising, while YouTube exceeded the $5 billion mark in ad revenue for the first time.
Update on Nasdaq Regression Trends, Support and ResistanceUpdating these charts for this week as the market character continues to change. If the NASDAQ is going to return to the regression mid-point lines for 1yr, 2yr, 5yr and 35yr, there is still significant drawdown to happen in the next couple months.
Over the past two weeks, the index has gone up and down, but has consistently followed bearish trend lines, even on up days.
Investors are rotating through sectors looking for safe havens that will hold up well. Real Estate was last week, Energy is this week.
Unless something changes (economic stimulus, other news), I'm still expecting a 0.5-3% drop this week (especially if China-relations further deteriorate from the TikTok stall) and 13-15% into mid-October.
Lots of others expecting these drops as well. Look at Call/Put Ratios and SQQQ Volume continues to be high.
Opening Idea:GOOG facing Difficulties to go higher (explanation)For 4 times, the stock has tested the blue line which was a support and now a resistance, and delivers some bearish signals looking at the upper shadows and the strong volumes.
- For trading: you need to wait for the breaking of the highlighted rectangle, the bearish signals are encouraging to break from below and maybe reach the lower red level of PITCHFORK.
- For investing: I'm still bullish, If you analyze the stock from the beginning of the explosion of prices till now, you will see that the chart is doing an angle of 45° approximately, so it is very difficult to go down, and very risky to go against the trend.
Regression Trends, Support and ResistanceThe broader Nasdaq Composite Index had a great reversal day, but what comes next? The top 4 market cap players were testing support and resistance lines, indicating indecision on where investors think the market will go. Having one of these make a big move either direction would certainly impact the others and the broader index.
Taking a look at overall market, there is a lot of room to move downward if that's the direction that things take. Even in the shorter term of 1 year, the market is very extended beyond the Regression Trend midpoint. There's plenty of support historically, for the market to take a large correction in the other direction to bring the average growth back to the midpoint. In fact, you can see that as 35y, 5y, 2y regression midpoints converge to nearly the same location.
These regression midpoints aren't perfect, but even adding some +/- error to the locations, it still gives the market a lot of room to move down.
Outcomes could be support near the 1y midpoint where you'd also have 200d support and the pivot point of the previous peak. That would be near a 15% decline.
Beyond that, there is not much support until you get to the bottom of the March crash. So another ~15% drop would be feasible.
2020 already claims 3 of the 20 largest percentage drops in Nasdaq history.
And it's 2020 - it wants to be the best at being the worst!